We decided to give yesterday a pass.
Though the indexes failed to hold our strong bounce lines (well, 3 of 5 did), we can blame Canada for that one as a gunman shot up Parliament yesterday afternoon and the "terrorist attack" news sent our markets lower. Other than that (and these things are unavoidable when you sell 500M guns to 400M people in North America), it wasn't a bad day for the markets, so we're going to wait and see what actually sticks. Our watch levels remain:
- Dow 16,466 (weak) and 16,632 (strong).
- S&P 1,878 (weak) and 1,903 (strong).
- Nasdaq 4,280 (weak) and 4,360 (strong).
- NYSE 10,360 (weak) and 10,540 (strong).
- Russell 1,104 (weak) and 1,128 (strong).
So the Dow fell almost exactly from it's strong bounce to it's weak bounce yesterday. Aside from confirming the 5% Rule™ is firmly in charge, holding the weak bounce line is bullish – IF it holds. The S&P and Nasdaq held their strong bounce lines (thanks to AAPL) while the NYSE stayed in it's range but the Russell was a big disappointment and failed the weak bounce – a very bad sign if they can't take it back today.
We had a lot of fun playing the Rusell Futures yesterday, starting with my too-early short…
