The obvious hasn’t been making the headlines:
A no vote means a lot more immediate austerity than a yes vote.
A no vote means Greece can’t borrow at all, and therefore govt. checks will only clear if Greece immediately cuts back to where it is only spending tax revenue.
A yes vote means Greece can continue to spend quite a bit more than tax revenues, to the tune of the check from the benefactors.
And with no one in govt. at any level having any kind of a plan to leave the euro, and no idea how to manage a new currency in any case, that option continues to have no political support.
So the choices are:
Yes, we accept a relatively modest deficit cut as per the EU proposal.
No, we prefer to go cold turkey to a balanced budget and a seriously draconian cut.
Meanwhile, tick, tick, tick, the entire euro economy continues to slow, and continuously nudge up the entire region’s budget deficit, as they all work their way towards the same fate as Greece.
And, tick, tick, tick, the US deficit reduction process moves forward, with multi trillion dollar reductions already proposed by both parties.Greek Vote Threatens Bailout
By Alkman Granitsas, Marcus Walker, and Costas Paris
November 1 (WSJ) — ATHENS—Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou stunned Europe by announcing a referendum on his country’s latest bailout—a high-stakes gamble that could undermine the international effort to preserve the euro.
A “yes” vote in the referendum could deflate the massive street protests and strikes that threaten to paralyze Greece as it tries to enact a brutal austerity program to earn rescue loans from the euro zone and the International Monetary Fund.