FinancialContent is the trusted provider of stock market information to the media industry
The Solution for Greece, Europe & the Global Economy
Posted on May 09, 2012 at 13:27 PM EDT
From the source that told you European change still threatened stocks the day of the confounding market rally on the election results in Greece and France, today I am advising that the next move may be higher. What’s killing stocks these last few days is the wild speak coming from the Greek Syriza Party, which is currently attempting to form a government. What may save stocks, probably only temporarily, will be the inability of Greece’s Radical Left Coalition to form a government, which means the Greeks will get a second chance at deciding their fate in June. Where that leads should be at least clearer, though the direction could be either.
Relative tickers include: Global X FTSE Greece 20 ETF (NYSE: GREK), SPDR S&P 500 (NYSE: SPY), National Bank of Greece (NYSE: NBG), Hellenic Telecommunications (NYSE: OTE), Coca-Cola HBC (NYSE: CCH), Teekay Corp. (NYSE: TK), Navios Maritime Holdings (NYSE: NM), Navios Maritime Acquisition (NYSE: NNA), Navios Maritime Partners L.P. (NYSE: NMM), Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd. (NYSE: TNP).
Solution for GreeceAlso, the ramifications of the Greek decision might not be as clear, traumatic or destructive as people, pundits and even economists describe. For instance, if the euro-zone were to fail completely, which is not as unlikely as the entrenched make it to seem, Greece’s early exit might prove helpful. On the other hand, a fascist state and/or weak leadership would find difficulty navigating the global economic environment. You see, nothing is perfectly black or white in this world, however we may attempt to simplify, and everything can be colored. Furthermore, the best solution for Greece, Europe and the global market should offer wise economic strengthening combined with sensible budget management, or the gray in between today’s two arguments.
Some might say that the premature celebration of Syriza’s Alexis Tsipras has done more to terrify global markets and perhaps even the Greeks who voted for him than to bring positive change so far. The sum I speak of would include PASOK and New Democracy leadership, who will now surely employ fear tactics to retrieve votes lost in the first election. Greece’s citizens have only to look at their stock market, with the Athens Stock Exchange General Index collapsed over the two days following the anomalous trade immediately after the election. The Global X FTSE Greece 20 ETF (NYSE: GREK) is down 13% from May 4th. The iShares S&P Europe 350 Index (NYSE: IEV), down another 1.5% into midday Wednesday, has been edging down on the omens of election polls for weeks. Though, Europe’s slipping into broad-reaching recession has certainly played a role in that.
While a secondary victory for the establishment might ease market concerns, it’s certainly not a given. On the other end of the spectrum, the disgruntled and disgusted Greek people may line up behind Syriza now. If the many tentacled monster of Greek dissatisfaction were to more perfectly unify, then it is possible Syriza could win the majority. In that case, with the extra 50 seats in Parliament given for the win and the assistance of other parties, it might also form a government. The result of that is clear, based on the emboldened braggadocio of Tsipras. He has stated he will tear up standing agreements with the troika, whose response has also clearly been laid out. It would be the end of the relationship between Greece and Europe, or at least the euro-zone. Greece would default on its debt and return to the drachma.
In my view, and reiterating yet again, neither of the two extremes needs be the fate of Greece. If the global community which makes up the IMF, and the European Union, intend for Greece’s realistic revival, they would set simpler terms for Greece to payback its debt. An extension of the timeline to payback would allow Greece to more gradually implement sensible austerity measures while also finding creative growth solutions. Instead, Greeks have had deep destructive austerity shoved down their throats. The economic feedback would not be harsh my way, and upheaval in Greece would die down. Its tourism industry would recover, and its economy would find its way toward expansion. With that result, Spain, Italy and Portugal would gain time to restore their own fiscal soundness, and the euro-zone likewise should solidify. Perhaps, then, the SPDR S&P 500 (NYSE: SPY), the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average (NYSE: DIA) and the PowerShares QQQ (Nasdaq: QQQ) might be in the green instead of red like they were Wednesday.
Editor's Note: This article should interest investors in National Bank of Greece (NYSE: NBG), Hellenic Telecommunications (NYSE: OTE), Coca-Cola HBC (NYSE: CCH), Teekay Corp. (NYSE: TK), Navios Maritime Holdings (NYSE: NM), Navios Maritime Acquisition (NYSE: NNA), Navios Maritime Partners L.P. (NYSE: NMM), Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd. (NYSE: TNP), Overseas Shipholding Group (NYSE: OSG), International Shipholding (NYSE: ISH), Excel Maritime Carriers (NYSE: EXM), Safe Bulkers (NYSE: SB), Claymore/Delta Global Shipping ETF (NYSE: SEA), Genco Shipping & Trading (NYSE: GNK), Diana Shipping (NYSE: DSX), Danaos (NYSE: DAC), Tsakos Energy Navigation (NYSE: TNP), Ship Finance Int'l (NYSE: SFL), Nordic American Tanker (NYSE: NAT), Seaspan (NYSE: SSW), General Maritime (NYSE: GMR), DHT Maritime (NYSE: DHT), Brunswick (NYSE: BC), Marine Products Corp. (NYSE: MPX), DryShips (Nasdaq: DRYS), Top Ships (Nasdaq: TOPS), Eagle Bulk Shipping (Nasdaq: EGLE), Sino-Global Shipping (Nasdaq: SINO), Paragon Shipping (Nasdaq: PRGN), K-SEA Transportation Partners (NYSE: KSP), Euroseas (Nasdaq: ESEA), Star Bulk Carriers (Nasdaq: SBLK), Omega Navigation (Nasdaq: ONAV), Knightsbridge Tankers Ltd. (Nasdaq: VLCCF), TBS Int'l (Nasdaq: TBSI), Golar LNG (Nasdaq: GLNG), Claymore/Delta Global Shipping (Nasdaq: XSEAX), American Commercial Lines (Nasdaq: ACLI), Deutsche Bank (NYSE: DB), ITA (Nasdaq: ITUB), Banco Santander (NYSE: STD), Westpac Banking (NYSE: WBK), UBS (NYSE: UBS), Lloyd’s Banking Group (NYSE: LYG), Barclay’s (NYSE: BCS), Credit Suisse (NYSE: CS), Allied Irish Banks (NYSE: AIB), Banco Latinamerican (NYSE: BLX), Bank of America (NYSE: BAC), Citigroup (NYSE: C), Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS), JP Morgan (NYSE: JPM), Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS), European Equity Fund (NYSE: EEA), Vanguard European Stock Index (Nasdaq: VEURX), Powershares FTSE RAFI Europe (NYSE: PEF), Europe 2001 (NYSE: EKH), S&P Emerging Europe (NYSE: GUR), Ultrashort MSCI Europe (NYSE: EPV), Vanguard Europe Pacific (NYSE: VEA), Wisdomtree Europe SmallCap (NYSE: DFE), Wisdom Tree Europe Total Div (NYSE: DEB), iShares S&P Europe 350 (NYSE: IEV), Morgan Stanley Eastern Europe (NYSE: RNE), DWS Europe Equity A (Nasdaq: SERAX), DWS Europe Equity B (Nasdaq: SERBX), Fidelity Europe (Nasdaq: FEUFX), Fidelity Europe (Nasdaq: FIEUX), ICON Europe A (Nasdaq: IERAX), Pioneer Europe Fund (Nasdaq: PBEUX), ProFunds Europe 30 (Nasdaq: UEPIX), Putnam Europe A (Nasdaq: PEUGX), Rydex Europe 1.25x (Nasdaq: RYAEX).
Please see our disclosures at the Wall Street Greek website and author bio pages found there. This article and website in no way offers or represents financial or investment advice. Information is provided for entertainment purposes only.
Inquiries about Wall Street Greek content and advertising services can be made by phone to 347.746.3415.
Banco Latinoamericano de Comercio Exterior S.A. Banco Santander S.A. ADS Bank of America Corp. Barclays PLC ADS Brunswick Corp. Citigroup, Inc. Coca-Cola Hellenic Bottling Co. S.A. ADS Credit Suisse Group ADS DWS World Dividend Fund Class A DWS World Dividend Fund Class B Danaos Corporation Deutsche Bank AG Diana Shipping, Inc. DryShips, Inc. Europe 30 ProFund Investor Class European Equity Fund Euroseas Ltd. Excel Maritime Carriers Ltd. Fidelity Europe Fund Genco Shipping & Trading Ltd. Global X FTSE Greece 20 ETF Golar LNG Ltd Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. Guggenheim Shipping ETF Guggenheim Shipping ETF ICON Europe Fund Class A International Shipholding Corp. JPMorgan Chase & Co. Knightsbridge Tankers Ltd Lloyds Banking Group PLC ADS Marine Products Corp. Morgan Stanley Morgan Stanley Eastern Europe Fund, Inc. National Bank of Greece S.A. ADS Navios Maritime Acquisition Corp. Navios Maritime Holdings, Inc. Navios Maritime Partners Nordic American Tanker PowerShares QQQ Trust, Series 1 ProShares UltraShort MSCI Europe Putnam Europe Equity Fund Class A Rydex Series Fds, Europe 1.25x Strategy Fd Cl A S&P DEP RECEIPTS SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust SPDR S&P Emerging Europe ETF Safe Bulkers Seaspan Ship Finance International Ltd. Sino-Global Shipping America, Ltd TOP SHIPS Teekay Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd. UBS AG Vanguard European Stock Index Fund Vanguard MSCI EAFE ETF Westpac Banking Corp. ADS WisdomTree Trust WisdomTree Europe SmallCap Dividend iShares Inc. S&P Europe 350 Index Fund
Stock Market XML and JSON Data API provided by FinancialContent Services, Inc.
Nasdaq quotes delayed at least 15 minutes, all others at least 20 minutes.
Markets are closed on certain holidays. Stock Market Holiday List
By accessing this page, you agree to the following
Press Release Service provided by PRConnect.
Stock quotes supplied by Telekurs USA
Postage Rates Bots go here