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Euro Declines Amid Concern Greece Will Struggle to Raise Funds - The euro fell for a second day against the yen amid concern Greece and other European countries will struggle to raise funds to repay... Read More
It Feels Like an Either/Or Kind of Market
November 25, 2009
Another Day, Another Dollar “Going Down Forever”
October 14, 2009
Forex Moves in September Could Set the Tone for the Rest of the Year
September 10, 2009
Five Forces Driving the EUR/USD Lower
June 22, 2009
Euro-Dollar: Downside Projections
June 05, 2009
What Trichet Had to Say in ECB Meeting
April 02, 2009
ECB President Trichet does it once again. He has under delivered and postponed the inevitable. This morning, the central bank cut interest rates by only 25bp to 1.25 percent instead of the widely... Read More
ECB Preview: What to Expect
April 01, 2009
Tomorrow the European Central Bank is expected to take interest rates to a record low of 1.00 percent. The size of their rate cut as well as the possibility of the central bank adopting “unconventional... Read More
Back To The Pain Cave
March 26, 2009
QE promised so much, yet has delivered so little (even less than yesterday after the poor auctions in the UK and US.) And so perhaps March is what we thought it was: a month of erratic price action in... Read More
Treasury’s Geithner Needs to Learn His Lesson
March 25, 2009
How long does will it take for Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner to realize that his comments move markets? When he first took office, he mistakenly threatened to brand China as a currency manipulator.... Read More
Euro on a Tear, Will it Continue to Rise?
March 19, 2009
The EUR/USD is on a tear, having rallied more than 600 pips or 5 percent over the past 24 hours. The significance of Fed’s actions continue to resonate over the currency markets and even though we have... Read More
Well, after a 16% trough-to-peak rally in just a week and a half, things might be about to get very interesting indeed for the S&P 500. The index touched and briefly breached the support-turned... Read More
How Far Can Bear Market Rallies Extend?
March 11, 2009
Stocks rallied significantly yesterday, leading many people to wonder if this is “the bottom” in equities. Given that none of the problems in the U.S. economy have been resolved, I think that this is a... Read More
One Down, One To Go
March 06, 2009
Yesterday proved to be eventful, to say the least, as the Bank of England formally adopted QE, announcing that they could purchase up to £100 billion Gilts and £50 billion private-sector bonds as a new... Read More
Euro and British Pound Crushed by Rate Decisions
March 05, 2009
The Euro and British pound have come under severe selling pressure after the ECB and BoE cut interest rates by 50bp. Interest rates are now at historic lows for both central banks and even though the... Read More
Coining a Phrase
March 02, 2009
They say that it’s always darkest before the dawn. If that’s the case, then the bottom must be near*, because Macro Man feels like Corey Hart looking at a new-moon sky at 3 a.m….through tinted windows.... Read More
U.S. and U.K. Exposure to Developing Countries
February 18, 2009
A time bomb is waiting to explode in the Eurozone with Western European banks at risk of defaults on Eastern European loans. This leads me to wonder, how much is the US and the UK exposed to developing... Read More
Trouble Brewing in Europe Could Send EUR/USD to 2 Yr Low
February 17, 2009
The big story in the currency market today is the Euro which hit a 2 month low against the US dollar. Ratings agency Moody’s warned that the exposure of Western European banks to Eastern European loans... Read More
Forex: What is Unique in February?
February 02, 2009
In the beginning of January, I highlighted the effect of seasonality on the EUR/USD. At that time, I talked about how the EUR/USD has a natural bias to sell-off in the first month of the year as... Read More
Why are Euro and British Pound Tanking?
January 29, 2009
The Euro and British pound are selling off aggressively today on the heels of comments from government officials and market players. The EUR/USD broke the 1.30 level after legendary investor George... Read More
Dollar Rallies as Consumer Confidence Hits Record Lows
January 27, 2009
In more than 40 years, we have never seen US consumers this pessimistic. The Conference Board’s report on consumer confidence fell to 37.7, the lowest level on record. The disappointing consumer... Read More
What’s Worth Buying?
January 26, 2009
Another weekend, another attention-grabbing headline in the UK Sunday press. Outgoing BOE Cassandra David Blanchflower observed that unemployment in Britain is likely to reach 3 million (from the... Read More
What’s Behind the Big Moves in Currencies?
January 21, 2009
There has been a lot of volatility in the foreign exchange market this morning, driving currencies to historic levels: GBP/USD - 26 Year Low USD/JPY - 13 Year Low NZD/USD - 6 Year Low EUR/JPY - 6 Year... Read More
Credit Rating Downgrade: The Economic Red Flag
January 19, 2009
This morning, Standard and Poors downgraded the sovereign debt rating of Spain from AAA to AA+. With Greece’s rating downgraded last week and Ireland and Portugal on credit watch negative, this could... Read More
Forex: Euro Hit by Spain’s Downgrade
January 19, 2009
With the US markets closed for Martin Luther King’s Day, the odds were skewed towards a quiet trading. However, big news in Europe has made it anything BUT quiet. After hitting an intraday high above... Read More
Risk On: Bank of America News Helps Currencies
January 16, 2009
The theme in the markets this morning is a return of risk appetite. The US government has bailed out Bank of America for the second time, reminding investors that they are still here and ready to help... Read More
Euro Rallies After ECB Rate Decision as Trichet Signals Pause
January 15, 2009
After having cut interest rates by 50bp this morning to 2 percent, ECB President Trichet is finally buckling down and signaling that he is ready to cut interest rates again BUT NOT UNTIL March. Despite... Read More
ECB Preview: The Debate Over the Rate Cut
January 15, 2009
Of all the major central banks in the world, the ECB has been one of the least aggressive. Since the beginning of 2008, they have cut interest rates by only 150bp, an insignificant amount when compared... Read More
Euro Forecast: What’s In Store for 2009?
January 01, 2009
How Did the Euro Trade in 2008? Exactly one year ago, the Euro was trading at approximately 1.47 against the US dollar, 5 percent higher than current levels. In 2008, this type of move is considered... Read More
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