e10vq
 

 
 
FORM 10-Q
UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549
(Mark One)
     
þ   QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
For the quarterly period ended September 30, 2006
OR
     
o   TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
For the transition period from                      to                     .
Commission file number 0-15341
Donegal Group Inc.
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
     
Delaware   23-2424711
     
(State or other jurisdiction of
incorporation or organization)
  (I.R.S. Employer
Identification No.)
     
1195 River Road, P.O. Box 302, Marietta, PA   17547-0302
     
(Address of principal executive offices)   (Zip code)
(717) 426-1931
 
(Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)
Not applicable
 
(Former name, former address and former fiscal year, if changed since last report)
     Indicate by check mark whether registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. Yes þ. No o.
     Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, or a non-accelerated filer. See definition of “accelerated filer and large accelerated filer” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act. (Check one):
Large accelerated filer o     Accelerated filer þ      Non-accelerated filer o.
     Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act). Yes o. No þ.
     Indicate the number of shares outstanding of each of the issuer’s classes of common stock, as of the latest practicable date: 19,604,985 shares of Class A Common Stock, par value $0.01 per share, and 5,576,775 shares of Class B Common Stock, par value $0.01 per share, outstanding on October 31, 2006.
 
 

 


 

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Part I.Financial Information
Item 1. Financial Statements
Item 2.Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
Item 4. Controls and Procedures
Part II. Other Information
Item 1. Legal Proceedings
Item 2. Changes in Securities, Use of Proceeds and Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities
Item 3. Defaults upon Senior Securities
Item 4. Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders
Item 5. Other Information
Item 6. Exhibits
Signatures
AMENDED AND RESTATED SERVICES ALLOCATION AGREEMENT
CERTIFICATION OF CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER
CERTIFICATION OF CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER
STATEMENT OF CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER PURSUANT TO 18 U.S.C. SECTION 1350
STATEMENT OF CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER PURSUANT TO 18 U.S.C. SECTION 1350
Part I. Financial Information
Item 1. Financial Statements.
Donegal Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Consolidated Balance Sheets
                 
    September 30, 2006     December 31, 2005  
    (Unaudited)          
Assets
               
 
               
Investments
               
Fixed maturities
               
Held to maturity, at amortized cost
  $ 172,771,224     $ 180,182,305  
Available for sale, at fair value
    331,249,541       295,097,235  
Equity securities, available for sale, at fair value
    44,310,926       33,371,360  
Investments in affiliates
    8,319,510       8,441,546  
Short-term investments, at cost, which approximates fair value
    23,680,018       30,653,668  
 
           
Total investments
    580,331,219       547,746,114  
Cash
    4,829,907       3,811,011  
Accrued investment income
    5,409,034       5,521,335  
Premiums receivable
    50,840,516       47,124,106  
Reinsurance receivable
    101,108,440       94,137,096  
Deferred policy acquisition costs
    25,222,064       23,476,593  
Deferred tax asset, net
    10,628,343       11,532,834  
Prepaid reinsurance premiums
    44,904,881       40,063,138  
Property and equipment, net
    5,039,643       5,234,423  
Accounts receivable — securities
    2,020,401       411,149  
Federal income taxes recoverable
    860,887       901,341  
Due from affiliate
    356,452        
Other
    1,799,161       1,462,448  
 
           
Total assets
  $ 833,350,948     $ 781,421,588  
 
           
 
               
Liabilities and Stockholders’ Equity
               
 
               
Liabilities
               
Losses and loss expenses
  $ 269,609,266     $ 265,729,527  
Unearned premiums
    202,883,033       186,660,050  
Accrued expenses
    11,049,542       12,706,485  
Reinsurance balances payable
    2,005,608       1,814,292  
Cash dividends declared to stockholders
          1,781,393  
Subordinated debentures
    30,929,000       30,929,000  
Accounts payable — securities
    3,343,634       896,893  
Due to affiliate
          728,486  
Drafts payable
    356,591       703,912  
Other
    1,571,046       1,575,364  
 
           
Total liabilities
    521,747,720       503,525,402  
 
           
 
               
Stockholders’ Equity
               
Preferred stock, $1.00 par value, authorized 2,000,000 shares; none issued
           
Class A common stock, $.01 par value, authorized 30,000,000 shares, issued 19,723,860 and 19,156,169 shares and outstanding 19,578,930 and 19,011,268 shares
    197,239       191,562  
Class B common stock, $.01 par value, authorized 10,000,000 shares, issued 5,649,240 shares and outstanding 5,576,775 shares
    56,492       56,492  
Additional paid-in capital
    148,991,728       141,932,954  
Accumulated other comprehensive income
    4,063,000       2,532,073  
Retained earnings
    159,186,517       134,074,853  
Treasury stock
    (891,748 )     (891,748 )
 
           
Total stockholders’ equity
    311,603,228       277,896,186  
 
           
Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity
  $ 833,350,948     $ 781,421,588  
 
           
All 2005 capital accounts and share information have been restated for 4-for-3 stock split as discussed in footnote 1.
See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.

1


 

Donegal Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Consolidated Statements of Income

(Unaudited)
                 
    Three Months Ended September 30,  
    2006     2005  
Revenues:
               
Net premiums earned
  $ 75,705,387     $ 74,584,045  
Investment income, net of investment expenses
    5,385,705       4,548,837  
Net realized investment gains
    152,694       124,896  
Lease income
    243,998       242,495  
Installment payment fees
    1,131,873       1,066,182  
 
           
Total revenues
    82,619,657       80,566,455  
 
           
 
               
Expenses:
               
Net losses and loss expenses
    42,555,787       41,071,801  
Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs
    12,152,000       12,069,000  
Other underwriting expenses
    12,549,734       12,269,717  
Policy dividends
    520,147       572,344  
Interest
    725,994       588,360  
Other expenses
    489,804       289,686  
 
           
Total expenses
    68,993,466       66,860,908  
 
           
 
               
Income before income tax expense
    13,626,191       13,705,547  
Income tax expense
    3,807,890       3,928,390  
 
           
 
               
Net income
  $ 9,818,301     $ 9,777,157  
 
           
 
               
Net income per common share:
               
Basic
  $ 0.39     $ 0.41  
 
           
Diluted
  $ 0.38     $ 0.39  
 
           
Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income
(Unaudited)
                 
    Three Months Ended September 30,  
    2006     2005  
Net income
  $ 9,818,301     $ 9,777,157  
Other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax
               
Unrealized income (loss) on securities:
               
Unrealized holding income (loss) during the period, net of income tax
    5,416,304       (1,645,915 )
Reclassification adjustment, net of income tax
    (99,251 )     (81,182 )
 
           
Other comprehensive income (loss)
    5,317,053       (1,727,097 )
 
           
Comprehensive income
  $ 15,135,354     $ 8,050,060  
 
           
All 2005 per share information has been restated for 4-for-3 stock split as discussed in footnote 1.
See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.

2


 

Donegal Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Consolidated Statements of Income

(Unaudited)
                 
    Nine Months Ended September 30,  
    2006     2005  
Revenues:
               
Net premiums earned
  $ 225,280,341     $ 219,784,658  
Investment income, net of investment expenses
    15,424,517       13,312,933  
Net realized investment gains
    1,034,741       1,235,248  
Lease income
    728,160       708,008  
Installment payment fees
    3,295,280       3,096,746  
 
           
Total revenues
    245,763,039       238,137,593  
 
           
 
               
Expenses:
               
Net losses and loss expenses
    126,628,127       122,417,355  
Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs
    36,020,000       35,291,000  
Other underwriting expenses
    37,566,486       37,914,521  
Policy dividends
    1,042,117       1,180,416  
Interest
    2,061,888       1,629,861  
Other expenses
    1,553,911       1,179,366  
 
           
Total expenses
    204,872,529       199,612,519  
 
           
 
               
Income before income tax expense
    40,890,510       38,525,074  
Income tax expense
    11,721,439       11,427,554  
 
           
 
               
Net income
  $ 29,169,071     $ 27,097,520  
 
           
 
               
Net income per common share:
               
Basic
  $ 1.17     $ 1.13  
 
           
Diluted
  $ 1.14     $ 1.10  
 
           
Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income
(Unaudited)
                 
    Nine Months Ended September 30,  
    2006     2005  
Net income
  $ 29,169,071     $ 27,097,520  
Other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax
               
Unrealized gain (loss) on securities:
               
Unrealized holding gain (loss) during the period, net of income tax
    2,203,509       (1,500,359 )
Reclassification adjustment, net of income tax
    (672,582 )     (802,911 )
 
           
Other comprehensive income (loss)
    1,530,927       (2,303,270 )
 
           
Comprehensive income
  $ 30,699,998     $ 24,794,250  
 
           
All 2005 per share information has been restated for 4-for-3 stock split as discussed in footnote 1.
See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.

3


 

Donegal Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Consolidated Statement of Stockholders’ Equity

(Unaudited)
Nine Months Ended September 30, 2006
                                                                         
                                            Accumulated                        
                                    Additional     Other                     Total  
                                    Paid-In     Comprehensive     Retained     Treasury     Stockholders’  
    Class A Shares     Class B Shares     Class A Amount     Class B Amount     Capital     Income     Earnings     Stock     Equity  
Balance, December 31, 2005
    19,156,169       5,649,240     $ 191,562     $ 56,492     $ 141,932,954     $ 2,532,073     $ 134,074,853     $ (891,748 )   $ 277,896,186  
 
                                                                       
Issuance of common stock
    50,156               502               984,226                               984,728  
 
                                                                       
Net income
                                                    29,169,071               29,169,071  
 
                                                                       
Cash dividends
                                                    (3,993,481 )             (3,993,481 )
 
                                                                       
Exercise of stock options
    517,535               5,175               4,088,581                               4,093,756  
 
                                                                       
Grant of stock options
                                    63,926               (63,926 )              
 
                                                                       
Tax benefit on exercise of stock options
                                    1,922,041                               1,922,041  
 
                                                                       
Other comprehensive income
                                                                       
 
                                            1,530,927                       1,530,927  
 
                                                     
 
                                                                       
Balance, September 30, 2006
    19,723,860       5,649,240     $ 197,239     $ 56,492     $ 148,991,728     $ 4,063,000     $ 159,186,517     $ (891,748 )   $ 311,603,228  
 
                                                     
All 2005 capital accounts and share information have been restated for 4-for-3 stock split as discussed in footnote 1.
See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.

4


 

Donegal Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows

(Unaudited)
                 
    Nine Months Ended September 30,  
    2006     2005  
Cash Flows from Operating Activities:
               
Net income
  $ 29,169,071     $ 27,097,520  
 
           
Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operating activities:
               
Depreciation and amortization
    2,023,178       2,259,065  
Realized investment gains
    (1,034,741 )     (1,235,248
Changes in assets and liabilities:
               
Losses and loss expenses
    3,879,739       (3,912,918
Unearned premiums
    16,222,983       18,919,351  
Premiums receivable
    (3,716,410 )     (4,494,078
Deferred acquisition costs
    (1,745,471 )     (2,000,262
Deferred income taxes
    80,140       (573,091
Reinsurance receivable
    (6,971,344 )     3,811,825  
Prepaid reinsurance premiums
    (4,841,743 )     (6,331,935
Accrued investment income
    112,301       (90,807
Due from affiliate
    (1,084,938 )     (2,169,071
Reinsurance balances payable
    191,316       304,444  
Current income taxes
    40,454       3,010,646  
Accrued expenses
    (1,656,943 )     482,664  
Drafts payable
    (347,321 )     (633,070 )
Other, net
    (341,031 )     (404,258 )
 
           
Net adjustments
    810,169       6,943,257  
 
           
Net cash provided by operating activities
    29,979,240       34,040,777  
 
           
 
               
Cash Flows from Investing Activities:
               
Purchase of fixed maturities:
               
Held to maturity
          (9,747,396 )
Available for sale
    (76,896,066 )     (121,513,555
Purchase of equity securities, available for sale
    (24,918,543 )     (14,628,556
Maturity of fixed maturities:
               
Held to maturity
    6,869,266       8,748,151  
Available for sale
    25,290,261       14,458,997  
Sale of fixed maturities:
               
Held to maturity
          860,000  
Available for sale
    18,143,309       42,313,754  
Sale of equity securities, available for sale
    14,791,496       14,084,732  
Net decrease in investment in affiliates
    18,378       69,399  
Net purchases of property and equipment
    (457,746 )     (642,768 )
Net sales of short-term investments
    6,973,650       31,738,867  
 
           
Net cash used in investing activities
    (30,185,995 )     (34,258,375
 
           
 
               
Cash Flows from Financing Activities:
               
Cash dividends paid
    (5,774,874 )     (5,052,317
Issuance of common stock
    5,078,484       942,147  
Tax benefit on exercise of stock options
    1,922,041        
 
         
Net cash provided by (used in) financing activities
    1,225,651       (4,110,170
 
           
 
               
Net increase (decrease) in cash
    1,018,896       (4,327,768
Cash at beginning of period
    3,811,011       7,350,330  
 
           
Cash at end of period
  $ 4,829,907     $ 3,022,562  
 
           
 
               
Cash paid during period — Interest
  $ 2,021,331     $ 1,571,275  
Net cash paid during period — Taxes
  $ 9,675,000     $ 8,950,000  
See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.

5


 

DONEGAL GROUP INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
(Unaudited)
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements
1 – Organization
     We were organized as an insurance holding company by Donegal Mutual Insurance Company (“Donegal Mutual”) on August 26, 1986. Through our insurance subsidiaries, we operate predominantly as an underwriter of personal and commercial lines of property and casualty insurance. Our personal lines products consist primarily of homeowners and private passenger automobile policies. Our commercial lines products consist primarily of commercial automobile, commercial multi-peril and workers’ compensation policies. Our insurance subsidiaries, Atlantic States Insurance Company (“Atlantic States”), Southern Insurance Company of Virginia (“Southern”), Le Mars Insurance Company (“Le Mars”) and the Peninsula Insurance Group (“Peninsula”), which consists of Peninsula Indemnity Company and The Peninsula Insurance Company, write personal and commercial lines of property and casualty insurance exclusively through a network of independent insurance agents in certain Mid-Atlantic, Midwest and Southern states. Donegal Mutual and our insurance subsidiaries conduct business together as the Donegal Insurance Group. We also own approximately 48% of the outstanding stock of Donegal Financial Services Corporation (“DFSC”), a thrift holding company that owns Province Bank FSB. Donegal Mutual owns the remaining approximately 52% of the outstanding stock of DFSC.
     At September 30, 2006, Donegal Mutual held approximately 41% of our outstanding Class A common stock and approximately 69% of our outstanding Class B common stock.
     Atlantic States, our largest subsidiary, and Donegal Mutual have a pooling agreement under which both companies proportionately share their combined underwriting results, excluding certain reinsurance assumed by Donegal Mutual from our insurance subsidiaries. See Note 4 – Reinsurance for more information regarding the pooling agreement.
     On April 6, 2006, our board of directors declared a four-for-three stock split of our Class A common stock and our Class B common stock in the form of a 33-1/3% stock dividend with a record date of April 17, 2006 and a distribution date of April 26, 2006. The capital stock accounts, all share amounts and earnings per share amounts for 2005 have been restated to reflect this stock split.
     Effective as of September 21, 2005, certain members of the Donegal Insurance Group entered into an Acquisition Rights Agreement with The Shelby Insurance Company and Shelby Casualty Insurance Company (together, “Shelby”), part of Vesta Insurance Group, Inc. The agreement granted those members the right, effective January 1, 2006, at their discretion and subject to their traditional underwriting and agency appointment standards, to offer renewal or replacement policies to the holders of Shelby’s personal lines policies in Pennsylvania, Tennessee and Alabama, in connection with Shelby’s withdrawal from those three states. As part of the agreement, the Donegal Insurance Group is paying specified amounts to Shelby based on the direct premiums written by the Donegal Insurance Group on the renewal and replacement policies it issued. Net premiums written related to this agreement amounted to $1.9 million in the third quarter of 2006 and $4.8 million in the first nine months of 2006. The issuance of all remaining policies under the acquisition rights agreement was accelerated and completed in the third quarter.
2 – Basis of Presentation
     Our financial information for the interim periods included herein is unaudited; however, such information reflects all adjustments, consisting only of normal recurring adjustments that, in the opinion of management, are necessary for a fair presentation of our financial position, results of operations and cash flows for the interim periods included herein. Our results of operations for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2006 are not necessarily indicative of our results of operations to be expected for the twelve months ending December 31, 2006.
     These interim financial statements should be read in conjunction with the financial statements and notes thereto contained in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2005.

6


 

3 – Earnings Per Share
     The computation of basic and diluted earnings per share is as follows:
                         
            Effect of        
            Stock        
    Basic     Options     Diluted  
Three Months Ended September 30:
                       
 
                       
2006
                       
Net income
  $ 9,818,301     $     $ 9,818,301  
 
                 
 
                       
Weighted average shares outstanding
    25,125,648       525,112       25,650,760  
 
                 
 
                       
Earnings per common share:
                       
Net income
  $ 0.39     $ (0.01 )   $ 0.38  
 
                 
 
                       
2005
                       
Net income
  $ 9,777,157     $     $ 9,777,157  
 
                 
 
                       
Weighted average shares outstanding
    23,990,898       905,543       24,896,441  
 
                 
 
                       
Earnings per common share:
                       
Net income
  $ 0.41     $ (0.02 )   $ 0.39  
 
                 
 
                       
Nine Months Ended September 30:
                       
 
                       
2006
                       
Net income
  $ 29,169,071     $     $ 29,169,071  
 
                 
 
                       
Weighted average shares outstanding
    24,891,516       621,792       25,513,308  
 
                 
 
                       
Earnings per common share:
                       
Net income
  $ 1.17     $ (0.03 )   $ 1.14  
 
                 
 
                       
2005
                       
Net income
  $ 27,097,520     $     $ 27,097,520  
 
                 
 
                       
Weighted average shares outstanding
    23,962,408       785,588       24,747,996  
 
                 
 
                       
Earnings per common share:
                       
Net income
  $ 1.13     $ (0.03 )   $ 1.10  
 
                 
All outstanding options are exercisable exclusively for the purchase of shares of Class A common stock and were included in the computation of diluted earnings per share.
4 – Reinsurance
     Atlantic States has participated in an inter-company pooling agreement with Donegal Mutual since 1986. Both Atlantic States and Donegal Mutual place all of their direct business into the pool, and Atlantic States and Donegal Mutual then proportionately share the pooled business in accordance with the terms of the pooling agreement. Atlantic States has a 70% share of the results of the pool, and Donegal Mutual has a 30% share of the results of the pool. There have been no changes to the pool participation percentages since July 1, 2000.
     The insurance operations of our subsidiaries are interrelated with the insurance operations of Donegal Mutual, and, while maintaining the separate corporate existence of each company, Donegal Mutual and our

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insurance subsidiaries conduct their insurance business together as the Donegal Insurance Group. As such, Donegal Mutual and our insurance subsidiaries share the same business philosophy, management, employees and facilities and offer the same types of insurance products. We do not anticipate any changes in the pooling agreement with Donegal Mutual, including changes in Atlantic States’ pool participation level in the foreseeable future.
     The risk profiles of the business written by Atlantic States and Donegal Mutual historically have been, and continue to be, substantially similar. The products, classes of business underwritten, pricing practices and underwriting standards of both companies are determined and administered by the same management and underwriting personnel. Further, the companies share a combined business plan to achieve market penetration and underwriting profitability objectives. The products marketed by Atlantic States and Donegal Mutual are generally complementary, thereby allowing Donegal Insurance Group to offer a broader range of products to a given market and to expand Donegal Insurance Group’s ability to service an entire personal lines or commercial lines account. Distinctions within the products of the respective companies generally relate to specific risk profiles targeted within similar classes of business, such as preferred tier versus standard tier products, but not all of the standard risk gradients are allocated to one company. Therefore, the underwriting profitability of the business directly written by the individual companies will vary. However, as the risk characteristics of all business written directly by both companies are homogenized within the pool and each company shares the results according to its participation level, Atlantic States realizes 70% of the underwriting profitability of the pool (because of its 70% participation in the pool), while Donegal Mutual realizes 30% of the underwriting profitability of the pool (because of Donegal Mutual’s 30% participation in the pool). Pooled business represents the predominant percentage of the net underwriting activity of both Atlantic States and Donegal Mutual.
     Atlantic States, Southern and Donegal Mutual purchase third-party reinsurance on a combined basis. Le Mars and Peninsula have separate third-party reinsurance programs that provide similar types of coverage and that are commensurate with their relative size and exposures. Several different reinsurers are used, all of which, consistent with Donegal Insurance Group’s requirements, have an A.M. Best rating of A- (Excellent) or better or, with respect to foreign reinsurers, have a financial condition that, in the opinion of management, is equivalent to a company with at least an A- rating. The following information relates to the external reinsurance Atlantic States, Southern and Donegal Mutual has in place during 2006:
    excess of loss reinsurance, under which losses are automatically reinsured, through a series of contracts, over a set retention ($400,000 for 2006), and
 
    catastrophic reinsurance, under which Donegal Insurance Group recovers, through a series of contracts, between 95% and 100% of an accumulation of many losses resulting from a single event, including natural disasters, over a set retention ($3.0 million for 2006).
     Our insurance subsidiaries and Donegal Mutual also purchase facultative reinsurance to cover exposures from losses that exceed the limits provided by their respective treaty reinsurance.
     In addition to the pooling agreement and third-party reinsurance, Atlantic States, Southern and Le Mars have various agreements with Donegal Mutual.
     There were no significant changes to the pooling agreement, third-party reinsurance or other reinsurance agreements with Donegal Mutual during the three and nine months ended September 30, 2006 and 2005.

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5 – Segment Information
     We evaluate the performance of our personal lines and commercial lines segments based upon the underwriting results of our insurance subsidiaries as determined under statutory accounting principles prescribed or permitted by various state insurance departments (“SAP”), which is used by management to measure performance for the total business of our insurance subsidiaries. Financial data by segment is as follows:
                 
    Three Months Ended  
    September 30,  
    2006     2005  
    ($ in thousands)  
Revenues:
               
Premiums earned:
               
Commercial lines
  $ 28,684     $ 28,789  
Personal lines
    47,021       45,795  
 
           
Net premiums earned
    75,705       74,584  
Net investment income
    5,386       4,549  
Realized investment gains
    153       125  
Other
    1,376       1,308  
 
           
Total revenues
  $ 82,620     $ 80,566  
 
           
 
               
Income before income taxes:
               
Underwriting income:
               
Commercial lines
  $ 6,741     $ 5,894  
Personal lines
    215       2,291  
 
           
SAP underwriting income
    6,956       8,185  
GAAP adjustments
    971       416  
 
           
GAAP underwriting income
    7,927       8,601  
Net investment income
    5,386       4,549  
Realized investment gains
    153       125  
Other
    160       431  
 
           
Income before income taxes
  $ 13,626     $ 13,706  
 
           
                 
    Nine Months Ended  
    September 30,  
    2006     2005  
    ($ in thousands)  
Revenues:
               
Premiums earned:
               
Commercial lines
  $ 86,550     $ 84,562  
Personal lines
    138,730       135,223  
 
           
Net premiums earned
    225,280       219,785  
 
               
Net investment income
    15,425       13,313  
Realized investment gains
    1,035       1,235  
Other
    4,023       3,805  
 
           
Total revenues
  $ 245,763     $ 238,138  
 
           
 
               
Income before income taxes:
               
Underwriting income:
               
Commercial lines
  $ 15,666     $ 13,089  
Personal lines
    5,719       8,538  
 
           
SAP underwriting income
    21,385       21,627  
GAAP adjustments
    2,639       1,355  
 
           
GAAP underwriting income
    24,024       22,982  
Net investment income
    15,425       13,313  
Realized investment gains
    1,035       1,235  
Other
    407       995  
 
           
Income before income taxes
  $ 40,891     $ 38,525  
 
           

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6 – Subordinated Debentures
     On May 15, 2003, we received $15.0 million in net proceeds from the issuance of subordinated debentures. The debentures mature on May 15, 2033 and are callable at our option, at par, after five years. The debentures carry an interest rate equal to the three-month LIBOR rate plus 4.10%, which is adjustable quarterly. At September 30, 2006, the interest rate on the debentures was 9.51%.
     On October 29, 2003, we received $10.0 million in net proceeds from the issuance of subordinated debentures. The debentures mature on October 29, 2033 and are callable at our option, at par, after five years. The debentures carry an interest rate equal to the three-month LIBOR rate plus 3.85%, which is adjustable quarterly. At September 30, 2006, the interest rate on the debentures was 9.34%.
     On May 24, 2004, we received $5.0 million in net proceeds from the issuance of subordinated debentures. The debentures mature on May 24, 2034 and are callable at our option, at par, after five years. The debentures carry an interest rate equal to the three-month LIBOR rate plus 3.85%, which is adjustable quarterly. At September 30, 2006, the interest rate on the debentures was 9.25%.
7 – Share–Based Compensation
     Effective January 1, 2006, we adopted Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) Statement of Financial Accounting Standards (SFAS) No. 123(R), “Share-Based Payment,” a revision of SFAS No. 123 and superseding APB Opinion No. 25. SFAS No. 123(R) requires the measurement of all employee share-based payments to employees, including grants of employee stock options, using a fair-value-based method and the recording of such expense in our consolidated statements of income.
     SFAS No. 123(R) does not set accounting requirements for share-based compensation to nonemployees. We continue to account for share-based compensation to nonemployees under the provisions of FASB Interpretation No. 44 (FIN No. 44), “Accounting for Certain Transactions involving Stock Compensation,” and Emerging Issues Task Force Issue No. 00-23 (EITF 00-23), “Issues Related to the Accounting for Stock Compensation under APB Opinion No. 25, Accounting for Stock Issued to Employees, and FIN No. 44, Accounting for Certain Transactions involving Stock Compensation.” Pursuant to FIN No. 44, APB Opinion No. 25 did not apply to the separate financial statements of a subsidiary in accounting for share-based compensation granted by the subsidiary to employees of the parent or another subsidiary. EITF 00-23 states that when employees of a controlling entity are granted share-based compensation, the entity granting the share-based compensation should measure the fair value of the award at the grant date and recognize the fair value as a dividend to the controlling entity. These provisions apply to us, because Donegal Mutual is the employer of record for the majority of employees that provide services to us. As a result, the impact of the implementation of SFAS No. 123(R) was immaterial to our results of operations for the nine months ended September 30, 2006.
     SFAS No. 123(R) also requires the benefits of tax deductions in excess of recognized compensation cost to be reported as a financing cash flow, rather than as an operating cash flow as required under previous rules. Tax benefits realized upon the exercise of stock options of $1.9 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2006 were classified as financing activities in our Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows.
8 – Impact of New Accounting Standards
     In June 2006, the FASB issued Interpretation No. 48, “Accounting for Uncertainty in Income Taxes, an interpretation of FASB Statement No. 109” (FIN No. 48) FIN No. 48 clarifies the accounting for uncertainty in income taxes recognized in the financial statements in accordance with SFAS No. 109, “Accounting for Income Taxes.” FIN No. 48 is effective for fiscal years beginning after December 15, 2006. We do not expect the impact of adopting FIN No. 48 to have a significant effect on our results of operations or financial condition.

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Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations.
     The following information should be read in conjunction with the historical financial information and the notes thereto included in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q and Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations contained in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2005 as filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on March 13, 2006.
     On April 6, 2006, our board of directors declared a four-for-three stock split of our Class A common stock and our Class B common stock in the form of a 33-1/3% stock dividend with a record date of April 17, 2006 and a distribution date of April 26, 2006. The capital stock accounts, all share amounts and earnings per share amounts for 2005 have been restated to reflect this stock split.
Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates
     Our financial statements are combined with those of our insurance subsidiaries and are presented on a consolidated basis in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles in the United States (“GAAP”).
     We make estimates and assumptions that can have a significant effect on amounts and disclosures we report in our financial statements. The most significant estimates relate to the reserves for property and casualty insurance unpaid losses and loss expenses of our insurance subsidiaries, valuation of investments and policy acquisition costs. While we believe our estimates are appropriate, the ultimate amounts may differ from the estimates provided. These estimates are regularly reviewed, and any adjustment considered necessary is reflected in our current results of operations.
Liability for Losses and Loss Expenses
     Liabilities for losses and loss expenses are estimates at a given point in time of the amounts an insurer expects to pay with respect to policyholder claims based on facts and circumstances then known. An insurer recognizes at the time of establishing its estimates that its ultimate liability for losses and loss expenses will exceed or be less than such estimates. The estimates of liabilities for losses and loss expenses of our insurance subsidiaries are based on assumptions as to future loss trends and expected claims severity, judicial theories of liability and other factors. However, during the loss adjustment period, our insurance subsidiaries may learn additional facts regarding individual claims, and consequently it often becomes necessary to refine and adjust the estimates of their liability. We reflect any adjustments to the liabilities for losses and loss expenses of our insurance subsidiaries in our results of operations in the period in which the changes in estimates are made.
     Our insurance subsidiaries maintain liabilities for the payment of losses and loss expenses with respect to both reported and unreported claims. Liabilities for loss expenses are intended to cover the ultimate costs of settling all losses, including investigation and litigation costs from such losses. Our insurance subsidiaries base the amount of their liability for reported losses primarily upon a case-by-case evaluation of the type of risk involved, knowledge of the circumstances surrounding each claim and the insurance policy provisions relating to the type of loss. Our insurance subsidiaries determine the amount of their liability for unreported claims and loss expenses on the basis of historical information by line of insurance. Our insurance subsidiaries account for inflation in the reserving function through analysis of costs and trends, and reviews of historical reserving results. Our insurance subsidiaries closely monitor their liabilities and recompute them periodically using new information on reported claims and a variety of statistical techniques. Our insurance subsidiaries do not discount their liabilities for losses and loss expenses.
     The reserve estimates of our insurance subsidiaries can change over time because of unexpected changes in assumptions related to their external environment and, to a lesser extent, assumptions as to their internal operations. Assumptions related to their external environment include the absence of significant changes in tort law and the legal environment that increase liability exposure, consistency in judicial interpretations of insurance coverage and policy provisions and stability in economic conditions and the rate of loss cost inflation. For example, our insurance subsidiaries have experienced a decrease in claims frequency on bodily injury liability claims during the past several years while claims severity has gradually increased. These trend changes give rise to greater uncertainty as to the pattern of future loss settlements on bodily injury claims. Related uncertainties regarding future trends include the cost of medical technologies and procedures and changes in the utilization of medical procedures. Internal assumptions

11


 

include accurate measurement of the impact of rate changes and changes in policy provisions and consistency in the quality and characteristics of business written within a given line of business, among other items. To the extent our insurance subsidiaries determine that underlying factors impacting their assumptions have changed, they attempt to make appropriate adjustments for such changes in their reserves. Accordingly, our insurance subsidiaries’ ultimate liability for unpaid losses and loss expenses will likely differ from the amount recorded at September 30, 2006. For every 1% change in our estimate for loss and loss expense reserves of our insurance subsidiaries, net of reinsurance recoverable, the effect on our pre-tax results of operations would be approximately $1.7 million.
     The establishment of appropriate liabilities is an inherently uncertain process, and there can be no assurance that the ultimate liability of our insurance subsidiaries will not exceed their estimates of loss and loss expense reserves and have an adverse effect on our results of operations and financial condition. Furthermore, the timing, frequency and extent of adjustments to the estimated future liabilities of our insurance subsidiaries cannot be predicted, since the historical conditions and events that serve as a basis for our estimates of ultimate claim costs may change. As is the case for substantially all property and casualty insurance companies, our insurance subsidiaries have found it necessary in the past to increase their estimated future liabilities for losses and loss expenses in certain periods, and in other periods their estimates have exceeded their actual liabilities. Further adjustments could be required in the future. However, on the basis of our insurance subsidiaries’ internal procedures, which analyze, among other things, their prior assumptions, their experience with similar cases and historical trends such as reserving patterns, loss payments, pending levels of unpaid claims and product mix, as well as court decisions, economic conditions and public attitudes, we believe that our insurance subsidiaries have made adequate provision for their liability for losses and loss expenses.
     Because of Atlantic States’ participation in the pool with Donegal Mutual, Atlantic States is exposed to adverse loss development on the business of Donegal Mutual included in the pool. However, pooled business represents the predominant percentage of the net underwriting activity of both companies, and Donegal Mutual and Atlantic States would proportionately share any adverse risk development of the pooled business. The business in the pool is homogenous (i.e., Atlantic States has a 70% share of the entire pool and Donegal Mutual has a 30% share of the entire pool). Since substantially all of the business of Atlantic States and Donegal Mutual is pooled and the results shared by each company according to its participation level under the terms of the pooling agreement, the underwriting pool is intended to produce a more uniform and stable underwriting result from year to year for each company than either would experience individually and to spread the risk of loss among each company.
     The liability for losses and loss expenses of our insurance subsidiaries by major line of business as of September 30, 2006 and December 31, 2005 consisted of the following:
                 
    September 30,     December 31,  
(dollars in thousands)   2006     2005  
Commercial lines:
               
Automobile
  $ 23,195     $ 23,532  
Workers’ compensation
    40,379       40,962  
Commercial multi-peril
    27,079       29,448  
Other
    3,143       3,088  
 
           
Total commercial lines
    93,796       97,030  
 
           
 
               
Personal lines:
               
Automobile
    64,449       63,254  
Homeowners
    10,658       10,900  
Other
    1,667       1,825  
 
           
Total personal lines
    76,774       75,979  
 
           
 
               
Total commercial and personal lines
    170,570       173,009  
Plus reinsurance recoverable
    99,039       92,721  
 
           
Total liability for losses and loss expenses
  $ 269,609     $ 265,730  
 
           
     We have evaluated the effect on the loss and loss expense reserves of our insurance subsidiaries and our stockholders’ equity in the event of reasonably likely changes in the variables considered in establishing loss and loss expense reserves. The range of reasonably likely changes was established based on a review

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of changes in accident year development by line of business and applied to loss reserves as a whole. The selected range does not necessarily indicate what could be the potential best or worst case or likely scenario. The following table sets forth the effect on the loss and loss expense reserves of our insurance subsidiaries and our stockholders’ equity in the event of reasonably likely changes in the variables considered in establishing loss and loss expense reserves:
                                   
      Adjusted Loss and             Adjusted Loss and        
      Loss Expense     Percentage     Loss Expense     Percentage  
Change in Loss     Reserves Net of     Change     Reserves Net of     Change  
and Loss Expense     Reinsurance as of     in Equity as of     Reinsurance as of     in Equity as of  
Reserves Net of     September 30,     September 30,     December 31,     December 31,  
Reinsurance     2006     2006(1)     2005     2005(1)  
(dollars in thousands)  
(10.0
)%   $ 153,513       3.6 %   $ 155,708       4.0 %
(7.5
)     157,777       2.7       160,033       3.0  
(5.0
)     162,042       1.8       164,359       2.0  
(2.5
)     166,306       0.9       168,684       1.0  
Base
      170,570             173,009        
2.5
      174,834       -0.9       177,334       -1.0  
5.0
      179,099       -1.8       181,659       -2.0  
7.5
      183,363       -2.7       185,985       -3.0  
10.0
      187,627       -3.6       190,310       -4.0  
 
(1)   Net of income tax effect.
Investments
     Our investments in available-for-sale fixed maturity and equity securities are presented at estimated fair value, which generally represents quoted market prices.
     We held fixed maturities and equity securities with unrealized losses representing declines that we considered temporary at September 30, 2006 as follows:
                                 
    Less than 12 months   12 months or longer
    Fair   Unrealized   Fair   Unrealized
    Value   Losses   Value   Losses
U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government corporations and agencies
  $ 5,954,650     $ 35,055     $ 84,017,942     $ 2,150,642  
Obligations of states and political subdivisions
    10,764,458       20,561       52,880,811       498,383  
Corporate securities
    1,510,225       6,140       12,451,033       295,449  
Mortgage-backed securities
    11,211,870       119,421       39,887,640       1,209,569  
Equity securities
    6,882,636       737,121       1,648,550       313,834  
                       
Totals
  $ 36,323,839     $ 918,298     $ 190,885,976     $ 4,467,877  
 
                               
     Of the total fixed maturity securities with an unrealized loss at September 30, 2006, securities with a fair value of $119.0 million and an unrealized loss of $1.9 million are classified as available for sale and are carried at fair value on the balance sheet while securities with a fair value of $99.7 million and an unrealized loss of $2.4 million are classified as held to maturity on the balance sheet and are carried at amortized cost.
     Substantially all of the unrealized losses within our fixed maturity investment portfolio resulted from increases in market interest rates and the related impact on our fixed maturity investment valuations.
     We make estimates concerning the valuation of our investments and the recognition of other than temporary declines in the value of our investments. When we consider the decline in value of an individual investment to be other than temporary, we write down the investment to its estimated net realizable value,

13


 

and the amount of the write-down is reflected as a realized loss in our results of operations. We individually monitor all investments for other than temporary declines in value. Generally, if an individual equity security has depreciated in value by more than 20% of original cost, and has been in an unrealized loss position for more than six months, we assume there has been an other than temporary decline in value. With respect to debt securities, we assume there has been an other than temporary decline in value if it is probable that contractual payments will not be received. In addition, we may write down securities in an unrealized loss position based on a number of other factors, including the fair value of the investment being significantly below its cost, the deteriorating financial condition of the issuer of a security and the occurrence of industry, company and geographic events that have negatively impacted the value of a security or rating agency downgrades. In our determination, no investments trading below cost had declined on an other than temporary basis during the third quarter of 2006 or 2005. We determined that certain investments trading below cost had declined on an other than temporary basis during the first nine months of 2006 and 2005. Losses of $47,538 and $618,882 were included in net realized investment gains for these investments in the first nine months of 2006 and 2005, respectively.
Policy Acquisition Costs
     Policy acquisition costs, consisting primarily of commissions, premium taxes and certain other underwriting costs that vary with and are directly related to the production of business, are deferred and amortized over the period in which the premiums are earned. The method followed in computing deferred policy acquisition costs limits the amount of such deferred costs to their estimated realizable value, which gives effect to the premium to be earned, related investment income, losses and loss expenses and certain other costs expected to be incurred as the premium is earned. Estimates in the calculation of policy acquisition costs have not shown material variability because of uncertainties in applying accounting principles or as a result of sensitivities to changes in key assumptions.
Results of Operations — Three Months Ended September 30, 2006 Compared to Three Months Ended September 30, 2005
     Net Premiums Written. Net premiums written for the three months ended September 30, 2006 were $80.4 million, an increase of $2.8 million, or 3.6%, over the comparable period in 2005. Commercial lines net premiums written decreased $405,000, or 1.4%, in the third quarter of 2006 compared to the comparable period in 2005, reflecting increased competition for quality commercial accounts. Personal lines net premiums written increased $3.2 million, or 6.5%, in the third quarter of 2006 compared to the comparable period in 2005. We have benefited during the third quarter of 2006 from the addition of the personal lines new business related to increased agent utilization of our WritePro automated underwriting system and the Shelby acquisition rights agreement. Net premiums written related to the acquisition rights agreement amounted to $1.9 million in the third quarter of 2006. The issuance of all remaining policies under the acquisition rights agreement was accelerated and completed in the third quarter.
     Net Premiums Earned. Net premiums earned increased to $75.7 million for the third quarter of 2006, an increase of $1.1 million, or 1.5%, over the third quarter of 2005. Premiums are earned, or recognized as revenue, over the terms of the policies issued by our insurance subsidiaries, which are one year or less in duration. Therefore, increases or decreases in net premiums earned generally reflect increases or decreases in net premiums written in the preceding twelve-month period compared to the comparable period one year earlier.
     Investment Income. For the three months ended September 30, 2006, our net investment income increased 20.0% to $5.4 million, compared to $4.5 million for the comparable period one year ago. An increase in average invested assets from $529.4 million in the third quarter of 2005 to $570.8 million in the third quarter of 2006 and an increase in the annualized average rate of return on investments from 3.4% for the third quarter of 2005 to 3.8% for the third quarter of 2006 accounted for the increase in net investment income. The increase in our annualized average return reflects a shift from short-term investments to higher-yielding fixed maturities in our investment portfolio as well as higher short-term interest rates during the third quarter of 2006 compared to the comparable period a year earlier. These increases were offset in part by decreases in our annualized average rate of return on our increased holdings of tax-exempt fixed maturities in our investment portfolio during the third quarter of 2006 compared to the comparable period a year earlier. The increased holdings of tax-exempt fixed maturities in 2006 resulted from a shift from taxable to tax-exempt fixed maturities in order to obtain more favorable after-tax yields.

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     Net Realized Investment Gains. Net realized investment gains in the third quarter of 2006 were $152,694, compared to $124,896 for the comparable period in 2005. No impairment charges were recognized in either period. Net realized investment gains in both periods resulted from normal turnover within our investment portfolio.
     Losses and Loss Expenses. The loss ratio of our insurance subsidiaries, which is the ratio of incurred losses and loss expenses to premiums earned, in the third quarter of 2006 was 56.2%, compared to 55.1% in the third quarter of 2005. The increase in the loss ratio reflected an increase in weather-related claims of approximately $2.0 million in the third quarter of 2006 compared to the third quarter of 2005, primarily related to the increased severe weather activity in the Mid-Atlantic region, including the effects of tropical storm Ernesto. The commercial lines loss ratio decreased to 43.8% in the third quarter of 2006, compared to 46.4% in the third quarter of 2005, primarily due to an decrease in the workers’ compensation loss ratio as a result of a slight decrease in claim severity in that line of business. The personal lines loss ratio increased from 60.5% in the third quarter of 2005 to 64.0% in the third quarter of 2006 due to an increase in the private passenger auto loss ratio primarily related to a slight increase in claim severity in that line of business. The homeowners loss ratio increased from 57.1% in the third quarter of 2005 to 59.1% in the third quarter of 2006 primarily related to increased weather-related losses.
     Underwriting Expenses. The expense ratio, which is the ratio of policy acquisition costs and other underwriting expenses to premiums earned, for the third quarter of 2006 and 2005 was 32.6%.
     Combined Ratio. The combined ratio was 89.5% and 88.5% for the three months ended September 30, 2006 and 2005, respectively. The combined ratio represents the sum of the loss ratio, expense ratio and dividend ratio, which is the ratio of workers’ compensation policy dividends incurred to premiums earned. The slight increase in the combined ratio was largely attributable to the increase in the loss ratio for the 2006 period compared to the 2005 period as discussed above.
     Interest Expense. Interest expense for the third quarter of 2006 was $725,994, compared to $588,360 for the third quarter of 2005, and reflected an increase in average interest rates on our subordinated debentures in the third quarter of 2006 compared to the comparable period in 2005.
     Income Taxes. Income tax expense was $3.8 million for the third quarter of 2006, representing an effective tax rate of 27.9%, compared to $3.9 million for the third quarter of 2005, representing an effective tax rate of 28.7%. The change in effective tax rates is primarily due to tax-exempt interest income representing a larger proportion of income before income tax expense in the 2006 period compared to the 2005 period.
     Net Income and Earnings Per Share. Our net income for the third quarter of 2006 was $9.8 million, or $.38 per share on a diluted basis, comparable to the net income of $9.8 million, or $.39 per share on a diluted basis, reported for the third quarter of 2005. Our fully diluted shares outstanding for the third quarter of 2006 increased to 25.6 million, compared to 24.9 million for the third quarter of 2005.
Results of Operations — Nine Months Ended September 30, 2006 Compared to Nine Months Ended September 30, 2005
     Net Premiums Written. Net premiums written for the nine months ended September 30, 2006 were $236.7 million, an increase of $4.3 million, or 1.9%, over the comparable period in 2005. Commercial lines net premiums written decreased $2.7 million, or 3.0%, in the first nine months of 2006 compared to the comparable period in 2005. Personal lines net premiums written increased $7.0 million, or 4.9%, in the first nine months of 2006 compared to the comparable period in 2005. We have benefited during the first nine months of 2006 from the addition of the personal lines new business related to the Shelby acquisition rights agreement. Net premiums written related to this agreement amounted to $4.8 million for the first nine months of 2006. The issuance of all remaining policies under the acquisition rights agreement was accelerated and completed in the third quarter.
     Net Premiums Earned. Net premiums earned increased to $225.3 million for the first nine months of 2006, an increase of $5.5 million, or 2.5%, over the comparable period in 2005. Premiums are earned, or recognized as revenue, over the terms of the policies issued by our insurance subsidiaries, which are one year or less in duration. Therefore, increases or decreases in net premiums earned generally reflect increases or decreases in net premiums written in the preceding twelve-month period compared to the comparable period one year earlier.
     Investment Income. For the nine months ended September 30, 2006, our net investment income increased 15.8% to $15.4 million, compared to $13.3 million for the comparable period one year ago. An

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increase in average invested assets from $515.1 million in the first nine months of 2005 to $564.0 million in the first nine months of 2006 and an increase in the annualized average rate of return on investments from 3.4% for the first nine months of 2005 to 3.6% for the first nine months of 2006 accounted for the increase in net investment income. We realized increases in our annualized average rate of return as a result of a shift from short-term investments to higher-yielding fixed maturities in our investment portfolio as well as higher short-term interest rates during the first nine months of 2006 compared to the comparable period a year earlier. These increases were offset in part by decreases in our annualized average rate of return on increased holdings of tax-exempt fixed maturities in our investment portfolio during the first nine months of 2006 compared to the comparable period a year earlier.
     Net Realized Investment Gains. Net realized investment gains in the first nine months of 2006 were $1.0 million, compared to $1.2 million for the comparable period in 2005. Impairment charges of $47,538 were recognized in the first nine months of 2006, compared to impairment charges of $618,882 recognized in the first nine months of 2005. The impairment charges for both periods were the result of declines in the market value of equity securities that we deemed to be other than temporary. The remaining net realized investment gains and losses in both periods resulted from normal turnover within our investment portfolio.
     Losses and Loss Expenses. The loss ratio of our insurance subsidiaries in the first nine months of 2006 was 56.2%, compared to 55.7% in the first nine months of 2005. The commercial lines loss ratio improved slightly to 48.9% in the first nine months of 2006, compared to 50.0% in the first nine months of 2005, primarily due to improved experience in the worker’s compensation line of business. The personal lines loss ratio increased from 59.3% in the first nine months of 2005 to 61.1% in the first nine months of 2006 due to increased claim severity in the personal automobile line of business and increased weather-related losses in the homeowners line of business.
     Underwriting Expenses. The expense ratio for the first nine months of 2006 was 32.7%, compared to 33.3% in the first nine months of 2005. The decrease in the first nine months of 2006 expense ratio reflects decreases in estimated guaranty fund assessments and underwriting-based incentive compensation.
     Combined Ratio. The combined ratio was 89.3% and 89.5% for the nine months ended September 30, 2006 and 2005, respectively. The combined ratio represents the sum of the loss ratio, expense ratio and dividend ratio.
     Interest Expense. Interest expense for the first nine months of 2006 was $2.1 million, compared to $1.6 million for the first nine months of 2005, and reflected an increase in average interest rates on our subordinated debentures in the first nine months of 2006 compared to the comparable period in 2005.
     Income Taxes. Income tax expense was $11.7 million for the first nine months of 2006, representing an effective tax rate of 28.7%, compared to $11.4 million for the first nine months of 2005, representing an effective tax rate of 29.7%. The change in effective tax rates is primarily due to tax-exempt interest income representing a greater proportion of net income before taxes in the 2006 period compared to the 2005 period.
     Net Income and Earnings Per Share. Our net income for the first nine months of 2006 was $29.2 million, or $1.14 per share on a diluted basis, an increase of 7.8% over our net income of $27.1 million, or $1.10 per share on a diluted basis, reported for the first nine months of 2005. Our fully diluted shares outstanding for the first nine months of 2006 increased to 25.5 million, compared to 24.8 million for the first nine months of 2005.
Liquidity and Capital Resources
     Liquidity is a measure of an entity’s ability to secure enough cash to meet its contractual obligations and operating needs as they arise. Our major sources of funds from operations are the net cash flows generated from our insurance subsidiaries’ underwriting results, investment income and maturing investments.
     We have historically generated sufficient net positive cash flow from our operations to fund our commitments and build our investment portfolio, thereby increasing future investment returns. The impact of the pooling agreement with Donegal Mutual historically has been cash flow positive because of the historical underwriting profitability of the pool. The pool is settled monthly, thereby resulting in cash flows substantially similar to cash flows that would result from the underwriting of direct business. We have not experienced any unusual variations in the timing of claim payments associated with the loss reserves of our insurance subsidiaries. We maintain a high degree of liquidity in our investment portfolio in the form of readily

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marketable fixed maturities, equity securities and short-term investments. Our fixed-maturity investment portfolio is structured following a “laddering” approach, so that projected cash flows from investment income and principal maturities are evenly distributed from a timing perspective, thereby providing an additional measure of liquidity to meet our obligations should an unexpected variation occur in the future. Net cash flows provided by operating activities in the first nine months of 2006 and 2005 were $30.0 million and $34.0 million, respectively. The decrease in our net cash flows provided by operating activities was primarily due to the adoption of SFAS No. 123(R), which requires the benefits of tax deductions in excess of recognized compensation cost to be reported as a financing cash flow, rather than as an operating cash flow as required under previous rules..
     On November 25, 2003, we entered into a credit agreement with Manufacturers and Traders Trust Company (“M&T”) relating to a four-year $35.0 million unsecured, revolving line of credit. On July 20, 2006, we amended the agreement with M&T to extend the credit agreement for four years from the date of amendment on substantially the same terms. As of September 30, 2006, we have the ability to borrow $35.0 million at interest rates equal to M&T’s current prime rate or the then current LIBOR rate plus between 1.50% and 1.75%, depending on our leverage ratio. In addition, we pay a fee of 0.15% per annum on the loan commitment amount, regardless of usage. The agreement requires our compliance with certain covenants, which include minimum levels of our net worth, leverage ratio and statutory surplus and A.M. Best ratings of our insurance subsidiaries. During the nine months ended September 30, 2006, we had no borrowings outstanding under the credit agreement, and we were in compliance with all requirements of the credit agreement.
     The following table shows our expected payments for significant contractual obligations as of September 30, 2006.
                                         
            Less                    
            than 1     1-3     4-5     After 5  
($ in thousands)   Total     year     years     years     years  
Net liability for unpaid losses and loss expenses of our insurance subsidiaries
  $ 170,570     $ 74,967     $ 76,534     $ 8,801     $ 10,268  
Subordinated debentures
    30,929                         30,929  
 
                             
Total contractual obligations
  $ 201,499     $ 74,967     $ 76,534     $ 8,801     $ 41,197  
 
                             
     The timing of the amounts for the net liability for unpaid losses and loss expenses of our insurance subsidiaries is estimated based on historical experience and expectations of future payment patterns. The liability has been shown net of reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses and loss expenses to reflect expected future cash flows related to such liability. Amounts assumed by Atlantic States from the pooling agreement with Donegal Mutual represent a substantial portion of our insurance subsidiaries’ gross liability for unpaid losses and loss expenses, and amounts ceded by Atlantic States to the pooling agreement represent a substantial portion of our insurance subsidiaries’ reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses and loss expenses. Future cash settlement of Atlantic States’ assumed liability from the pool will be included in monthly settlements of pooled activity, wherein amounts ceded to and assumed from the pool are netted. Although Donegal Mutual and we do not anticipate any changes in the pool participation levels in the foreseeable future, any such change would be prospective in nature and therefore would not impact the timing of expected payments for Atlantic States’ proportionate liability for pooled losses occurring in periods prior to the effective date of such change.
     On April 6, 2006, our board of directors declared a four-for-three stock split of our Class A common stock and our Class B common stock in the form of a 33-1/3% stock dividend with a record date of April 17, 2006 and a distribution date of April 26, 2006.
     On October 19, 2006, our board of directors declared regular quarterly cash dividends of 8.25 cents per share for our Class A common stock and 7.0 cents per share for our Class B common stock, payable November 15, 2006 to stockholders of record as of the close of business on November 1, 2006. There are no regulatory restrictions on the payment of dividends to our stockholders, although there are state law restrictions on the payment of dividends from our insurance subsidiaries to us. Our insurance subsidiaries are required by law to maintain certain minimum surplus on a statutory basis, and are subject to regulations under which payment of dividends from statutory surplus is restricted and may require prior approval of the

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applicable domiciliary insurance regulatory authorities. Our insurance subsidiaries are subject to risk-based capital (RBC) requirements. At December 31, 2005, our insurance subsidiaries’ capital levels were each substantially above RBC requirements. At January 1, 2006, amounts available for distribution as dividends to us from our insurance subsidiaries without prior approval of their domiciliary insurance regulatory authorities were $21.9 million from Atlantic States, $5.4 million from Southern, $2.1 million from Le Mars and $2.9 million from Peninsula, all of which remained available at September 30, 2006.
     As of September 30, 2006, we had no material commitments for capital expenditures.
Equity Price Risk
     Our portfolio of marketable equity securities, which is carried on our consolidated balance sheets at estimated fair value, has exposure to the risk of loss resulting from an adverse change in prices. We manage this risk by performing an analysis of prospective investments and through regular reviews of our portfolio by our investment staff.
Credit Risk
     Our portfolio of fixed-maturity securities and, to a lesser extent, our portfolio of short-term investments is subject to credit risk. This risk is defined as the potential loss in market value resulting from adverse changes in the borrower’s ability to repay the debt. We manage this risk by performing an analysis of prospective investments and through regular reviews of our portfolio by our investment staff. We also limit the percentage and amount of our total investment portfolio that can be invested in the securities of any one issuer.
     Our insurance subsidiaries provide property and liability insurance coverages through independent insurance agencies located throughout our operating area. The majority of this business is billed directly to the insured, although a portion of the commercial business is billed through agents to whom our insurance subsidiaries extend credit in the normal course of business.
     Because the pooling agreement does not relieve Atlantic States of primary liability as the originating insurer, Atlantic States is subject to a concentration of credit risk arising from business ceded to Donegal Mutual. Our insurance subsidiaries maintain reinsurance agreements in place with Donegal Mutual and with a number of other major unaffiliated authorized reinsurers.
Impact of Inflation
     Property and casualty insurance premium rates are established before the amount of losses and loss settlement expenses, or the extent to which inflation may impact such expenses, are known. Consequently, our insurance subsidiaries attempt, in establishing rates, to anticipate the potential impact of inflation.
Risk Factors
     The business, results of operations and financial condition, and therefore the value of our common stock, are subject to a number of risks. For a description of certain risks, reference is made to our 2005 annual report on Form 10-K, filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on March 13, 2006.

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Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk.
     Our market risk generally represents the risk of gain or loss that may result from the potential change in the fair value of our investment portfolio as a result of fluctuations in prices and interest rates and, to a lesser extent, our debt obligations. We attempt to manage our interest rate risk by maintaining an appropriate relationship between the average duration of the investment portfolio and the approximate duration of liabilities, i.e., policy claims of our insurance subsidiaries and debt obligations.
     We have maintained approximately the same investment mix and duration of our investment portfolio to our liabilities from December 31, 2005 to September 30, 2006.
     There have been no material changes to our quantitative or qualitative market risk exposure from December 31, 2005 through September 30, 2006.
Item 4. Controls and Procedures.
Evaluation of Disclosure Controls and Procedures
     We conducted an evaluation, under the supervision and with the participation of our management, including our Chief Executive Officer and our Chief Financial Officer, of the effectiveness of the design and operation of our disclosure controls and procedures pursuant to Rule 13a-15(e) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, as of the end of the period covered by this report. Based upon that evaluation, our Chief Executive Officer and our Chief Financial Officer concluded that our disclosure controls and procedures are effective to ensure that information we (including our consolidated subsidiaries) are required to disclose in our periodic filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission is recorded, processed, summarized and reported, within the time periods specified in the Securities and Exchange Commission’s rules and forms.
Changes in Internal Control Over Financial Reporting
     There has been no change in our internal control over financial reporting during the quarter covered by this report that has materially affected, or is reasonably likely to materially affect, our internal control over financial reporting.
Safe Harbor Statement Under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995
     Certain forward-looking statements contained herein involve risks and uncertainties. These statements include certain discussions relating to underwriting, premium and investment income volume, business strategies and our business activities during 2006 and beyond. In some cases, you can identify forward-looking statements by terms such as “may,” “will,” “should,” “could,” “would,” “expect,” “plan,” “intend,” “anticipate,” “believe,” “estimate,” “project,” “predict,” “potential” and similar expressions. These forward-looking statements reflect our current views about future events, are based on assumptions that reflect current conditions and are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties that may cause our actual results to differ materially from those anticipated by these forward-looking statements. Many of the factors that will determine future events or our future results of operations are beyond our ability to control or predict.

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Part II. Other Information
Item 1. Legal Proceedings.
     None.
Item 2. Changes in Securities, Use of Proceeds and Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities.
                                 
                            (d) Maximum Number
                    (c) Total Number of   (or Approximate
                    Shares (or Units)   Dollar Value) of
                    Purchased as Part   Shares (or Units)
    (a) Total Number of   (b) Average   of Publicly   that May Yet Be
    Shares (or Units)   Price Paid per   Announced Plans or   Purchased Under the
Period   Purchased   Share (or Unit)   Programs   Plans or Programs
Month #1
  Class A – None   Class A – None   Class A – None        
July 1-31, 2006
  Class B – 347   Class B – $16.55   Class B – 347     (1 )
 
                               
Month #2
  Class A – 13,333   Class A – $19.25   Class A – 13,333        
August 1-31, 2006
  Class B – 28,445   Class B – $19.05   Class B – 28,445     (1 )
 
                               
Month #3
  Class A – None   Class A – None   Class A – None        
September 1-30, 2006
  Class B – 523   Class B – $17.21   Class B – 523     (1 )
 
                               
 
  Class A – 13,333   Class A – $19.25   Class A – 13,333        
Total
  Class B – 29,315   Class B – $18.99   Class B – 29,315     (1 )
 
(1)   These shares were purchased by Donegal Mutual pursuant to its announcement on August 17, 2004 that it will, at its discretion, purchase shares of our Class A common stock and Class B common stock at market prices prevailing from time to time in the open market subject to the provisions of SEC Rule 10b-18 and in privately negotiated transactions. Such announcement did not stipulate a maximum number of shares that may be purchased under this program.
Item 3. Defaults upon Senior Securities.
     None.
Item 4. Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders.
     None.
Item 5. Other Information.
     None.

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Item 6. Exhibits.
     
Exhibit No.   Description
Exhibit 10.1
  Amended and Restated Services Allocation Agreement dated October 19, 2006 between Donegal Group Inc., Atlantic States Insurance Company, Southern Insurance Company of Virginia, Le Mars Insurance Company, The Peninsula Insurance Company, Peninsula Indemnity Company and Donegal Mutual Insurance Company (filed herewith)
 
   
Exhibit 10.2
  First Amendment to Credit Agreement dated July 20, 2006 between Donegal Group Inc. and Manufacturers and Traders Trust Company (incorporated by reference to Exhibit 10.2 to Form 8-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on July 21, 2006)
 
   
Exhibit 10.3
  Amended and Restated Tax Sharing Agreement dated as of October 19, 2006 between Donegal Group Inc., Atlantic States Insurance Company, Southern Insurance Company of Virginia, Le Mars Insurance Company, The Peninsula Insurance Company and Peninsula Indemnity Company (incorporated by reference to Exhibit 10.1 to Form 8-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on October 23, 2006)
 
   
Exhibit 31.1
  Certification of Chief Executive Officer
 
   
Exhibit 31.2
  Certification of Chief Financial Officer
 
   
Exhibit 32.1
  Statement of Chief Executive Officer pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350 of Title 18 of the United States Code
 
   
Exhibit 32.2
  Statement of Chief Financial Officer pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350 of Title 18 of the United States Code

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Signatures
     Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.
         
  DONEGAL GROUP INC.
 
 
November 3, 2006  By:   /s/ Donald H. Nikolaus    
    Donald H. Nikolaus, President   
       and Chief Executive Officer   
 
     
November 3, 2006  By:   /s/ Jeffrey D. Miller    
    Jeffrey D. Miller, Senior Vice President   
       and Chief Financial Officer   
 

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