Gold: Fakeout or generational buying opportunity?

I highlighted the accompanying chart before. Gold staged an upside breakout at 2100 out of a cup and handle pattern. It recently rose above 2500 to an all-time high. In addition, the cup and handle breakout of 2024 is highly reminiscent of a similar breakout in 2005. Not only did the gold price stage upside breakouts, but also the gold/S&P 500 ratio made a rounded saucer shaped bottom (bottom panel) that resolved in over a decade of positive relative performance.
In December 2023, I studied the factors driving gold strength and concluded that they “should be bullish for the price of risky assets” (see The Market Meaning of a Gold Breakout). In June 2024, I focused on the inflationary pressures behind fiscal dominance and looked forward to the November election. I concluded that gold prices should benefit regardless of who wins the White House, but a Trump win would be especially inflationary (see Why the November Election Matters to Gold).

Now that gold has reached another all-time high at 2500, will history repeat itself? Is this another generational buying opportunity or a bull trap fakeout?
 The full post can be found here.