6-K

UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549
 
FORM 6-K
 
REPORT OF FOREIGN PRIVATE ISSUER
PURSUANT TO RULE 13a-16 OR 15d-16
UNDER THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
FOR THE MONTH OF OCTOBER 2015
 
METHANEX CORPORATION
(Registrant’s name)
 
SUITE 1800, 200 BURRARD STREET, VANCOUVER, BC V6C 3M1 CANADA
(Address of principal executive offices)
 

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant files or will file annual reports under cover Form 20-F or Form 40-F.

Form 20-F  ¨             Form 40-F  ý

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant by furnishing the information contained in this Form is also thereby furnishing the information to the Commission pursuant to Rule 12g3-2(b) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.

Yes  ¨            No   ý

If “Yes” is marked, indicate below the file number assigned to the registrant in connection with Rule 12g3-2(b): 82 


METHANEX CORPORATION 2015 THIRD QUARTER REPORT    PAGE 1
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS



NEWS RELEASE
Methanex Corporation
1800 - 200 Burrard St.
Vancouver, BC Canada V6C 3M1
Investor Relations: (604) 661-2600
http://www.methanex.com 

For immediate release


METHANEX REPORTS THIRD QUARTER RESULTS


October 28, 2015

For the third quarter of 2015, Methanex reported Adjusted EBITDA1 of $95 million and Adjusted net income1 of $23 million ($0.26 per share on a diluted basis1). This compares with Adjusted EBITDA1 of $129 million and Adjusted net income1 of $51 million ($0.56 per share on a diluted basis1) for the second quarter of 2015. Net income attributable to Methanex shareholders was $78 million in the third quarter compared to $104 million in the second quarter of 2015.

John Floren, President and CEO of Methanex commented, “Our third quarter Adjusted net income reflects lower average realized methanol pricing compared to the second quarter of 2015. Prices decreased as the affordability for methanol into certain energy applications moved lower relative to the second quarter, in alignment with lower oil and related product prices.”

Mr. Floren continued, “We expect to complete our one million tonne Geismar 2 plant with no change to our total cost estimate, and to achieve first methanol by the end of 2015. The plant will be an excellent addition to our asset portfolio and we expect strong, reliable production from that facility for years to come.”

"We returned over $50 million to shareholders in the third quarter of 2015 in the form of dividends and share repurchases. With cash on hand, an undrawn credit facility, a robust balance sheet, and strong future cash generation capability, we are well positioned to meet our financial commitments, invest to grow the Company and return excess cash to shareholders."

A conference call is scheduled for October 29, 2015 at 12:00 noon ET (9:00 am PT) to review these third quarter results. To access the call, dial the conferencing operator ten minutes prior to the start of the call at (416) 340-8530, or toll free at (800) 769-8320. A playback version of the conference call will be available until November 19, 2015 at (905) 694-9451, or toll free at (800) 408-3053. The passcode for the playback version is 4600087. Presentation slides summarizing the Q3 2015 results and a simultaneous audio-only webcast of the conference call can be accessed from our website at www.methanex.com. The webcast will be available on the website for three weeks following the call.

Methanex is a Vancouver-based, publicly traded company and is the world’s largest producer and supplier of methanol to major international markets. Methanex shares are listed for trading on the Toronto Stock Exchange in Canada under the trading symbol "MX" and on the NASDAQ Global Market in the United States under the trading symbol "MEOH".



FORWARD-LOOKING INFORMATION WARNING

This third quarter 2015 press release contains forward-looking statements with respect to us and the chemical industry. Refer to Forward-Looking Information Warning in the attached third quarter 2015 Management’s Discussion and Analysis for more information.
___________________

1
Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted net income and Adjusted net income per common share are non-GAAP measures which do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by GAAP. These measures represent the amounts that are attributable to Methanex Corporation shareholders and are calculated by excluding the mark-to-market impact of share-based compensation as a result of changes in our share price and the impact of certain items associated with specific identified events. Refer to Additional Information - Supplemental Non-GAAP Measures on page 12 of the attached Interim Report for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2015 for reconciliations to the most comparable GAAP measures.



-end-

For further information, contact:



Sandra Daycock
Director, Investor Relations
Methanex Corporation
604-661-2600




3

Share Information
Methanex Corporation’s common shares are listed for trading on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the symbol MX and on the Nasdaq Global Market under the symbol MEOH.

Transfer Agents & Registrars
CST Trust Company
320 Bay Street
Toronto, Ontario Canada M5H 4A6
Toll free in North America: 1-800-387-0825
Investor Information
All financial reports, news releases and corporate information can be accessed on our website at www.methanex.com.

Contact Information
Methanex Investor Relations
1800 - 200 Burrard Street
Vancouver, BC Canada V6C 3M1
E-mail: invest@methanex.com
Methanex Toll-Free: 1-800-661-8851
Interim Report
for the
Three and Nine Months Ended  
September 30, 2015
At October 28, 2015 the Company had 89,656,398 common shares issued and outstanding and stock options exercisable for 1,706,558 additional common shares.

THIRD QUARTER MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS
Except where otherwise noted, all currency amounts are stated in United States dollars.


FINANCIAL AND OPERATIONAL HIGHLIGHTS

A reconciliation from net income attributable to Methanex shareholders to Adjusted net income1 and the calculation of Adjusted net income per common share1 is as follows:
 
Three Months Ended
 
Nine Months Ended
($ millions except number of shares and per share amounts)
Sep 30
2015

Jun 30
2015

Sep 30
2014

 
Sep 30
2015

Sep 30
2014

Net income attributable to Methanex shareholders
$
78

$
104

$
52

 
$
191

$
322

Mark-to-market impact of share-based compensation, net of tax
(55
)
4

14

 
(39
)
22

Gain related to the termination of a terminal services agreement, net of tax

(57
)

 
(57
)

Argentina gas settlement, net of tax



 

(27
)
Adjusted net income 1
$
23

$
51

$
66

 
$
95

$
317

Diluted weighted average shares outstanding (millions)
91

91

95

 
92

96

Adjusted net income per common share 1
$
0.26

$
0.56

$
0.69

 
$
1.04

$
3.30

We recorded Adjusted EBITDA1 of $95 million for the third quarter of 2015 compared with $129 million for the second quarter of 2015. The decrease in Adjusted EBITDA1 was primarily due to a decrease in our average realized price to $323 per tonne for the third quarter of 2015 from $350 per tonne for the second quarter of 2015.
Production for the third quarter of 2015 was 1,259,000 tonnes compared with 1,281,000 tonnes for the second quarter of 2015. Refer to the Production Summary section on page 3.
Sales of Methanex-produced methanol were 1,238,000 tonnes in the third quarter of 2015 compared with 1,203,000 in the second quarter of 2015.
During the third quarter of 2015, we entered into forward contracts to hedge natural gas prices for the Geismar 2 facility for a 10 year period. As of October 28, 2015 we have hedged approximately 40% of the natural gas requirements of the facility.
We continue to make excellent progress on the construction of the Geismar 2 facility and we expect to be producing first methanol by the end of 2015.
During the third quarter of 2015 we paid a $0.275 per share dividend to shareholders for a total of $25 million.
During the third quarter of 2015, we repurchased 629,100 common shares for $27 million. Under the current normal course issuer bid, we are authorized to purchase up to a further 3.2 million shares by May 5, 2016.
1 
These items are non-GAAP measures that do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by GAAP and therefore are unlikely to be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies. Refer to Additional Information - Supplemental Non-GAAP Measures on page 12 for a description of each non-GAAP measure and reconciliations to the most comparable GAAP measures.

METHANEX CORPORATION 2015 THIRD QUARTER REPORT    PAGE 1
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS



This Third Quarter 2015 Management’s Discussion and Analysis (“MD&A”) dated October 28, 2015 for Methanex Corporation (“the Company”) should be read in conjunction with the Company’s condensed consolidated interim financial statements for the three and nine month periods ended September 30, 2015 as well as the 2014 Annual Consolidated Financial Statements and MD&A included in the Methanex 2014 Annual Report. Unless otherwise indicated, the financial information presented in this interim report is prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) as issued by the International Accounting Standards Board (IASB). The Methanex 2014 Annual Report and additional information relating to Methanex is available on SEDAR at www.sedar.com and on EDGAR at www.sec.gov.


FINANCIAL AND OPERATIONAL DATA

 
Three Months Ended
 
Nine Months Ended
($ millions except per share amounts and where noted)
Sep 30
2015

Jun 30
2015

Sep 30
2014

 
Sep 30
2015

Sep 30
2014

Production (thousands of tonnes) (attributable to Methanex shareholders)
1,259

1,281

1,204

 
3,804

3,646

Sales volume (thousands of tonnes)
 
 
 
 
 
 
Methanex-produced methanol (attributable to Methanex shareholders)
1,238

1,203

1,258

 
3,678

3,629

Purchased methanol
679

813

694

 
2,144

1,991

Commission sales
169

109

191

 
463

693

Total sales volume 1
2,086

2,125

2,143

 
6,285

6,313

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Methanex average non-discounted posted price ($ per tonne) 2
384

403

444

 
390

525

Average realized price ($ per tonne) 3
323

350

389

 
337

453

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Adjusted revenue (attributable to Methanex shareholders) 4
619

696

757

 
1,940

2,517

Adjusted EBITDA (attributable to Methanex shareholders) 4
95

129

137

 
321

552

Cash flows from operating activities
134

82

171

 
253

590

Adjusted net income (attributable to Methanex shareholders) 4
23

51

66

 
95

317

Net income attributable to Methanex shareholders
78

104

52

 
191

322

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Adjusted net income per common share (attributable to Methanex shareholders) 4
0.26

0.56

0.69

 
1.04

3.30

Basic net income per common share (attributable to Methanex shareholders)
0.87

1.15

0.55

 
2.10

3.36

Diluted net income per common share (attributable to Methanex shareholders)
0.54

1.15

0.54

 
1.90

3.34

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Common share information (millions of shares)
 
 
 
 
 
 
Weighted average number of common shares
90

91

94

 
91

96

Diluted weighted average number of common shares
91

91

95

 
92

96

Number of common shares outstanding, end of period
90

90

94

 
90

94



1 
Methanex-produced methanol includes volume produced by Chile using natural gas supplied from Argentina under a tolling arrangement (“Tolling Volume”). For the 3rd quarter of 2015, Tolling Volume was 1,000 tonnes. Commission sales represent volume marketed on a commission basis related to 36.9% of the Atlas methanol facility and 50% of the Egypt methanol facility.
2 
Methanex average non-discounted posted price represents the average of our non-discounted posted prices in North America, Europe and Asia Pacific weighted by sales volume. Current and historical pricing information is available at www.methanex.com.
3 
Average realized price is calculated as revenue, excluding commissions earned and the Egypt non-controlling interest share of revenue but including an amount representing our share of Atlas revenue, divided by the total sales volume of Methanex-produced (attributable to Methanex shareholders) and purchased methanol but excluding Tolling Volume.
4 
These items are non-GAAP measures that do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by GAAP and therefore are unlikely to be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies. Refer to Additional Information - Supplemental Non-GAAP Measures on page 12 for a description of each non-GAAP measure and reconciliations to the most comparable GAAP measures.



METHANEX CORPORATION 2015 THIRD QUARTER REPORT    PAGE 2
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS



PRODUCTION SUMMARY

 
      Q3 2015
Q2 2015

Q3 2014

 
YTD Q3 2015

YTD Q3 2014

(thousands of tonnes)
Operating Capacity1

Production

Production

Production

 
Production

Production

New Zealand 2
608

476

487

595

 
1,444

1,654

Atlas (Trinidad) (63.1% interest)
281

226

236

234

 
671

674

Titan (Trinidad)
218

172

183

185

 
541

537

Geismar 1 and 2 (Louisiana, USA) 3
250

259

276


 
715


Egypt (50% interest)
158


8

50

 
16

288

Medicine Hat (Canada)
140

123

51

130

 
301

390

Chile I and IV 4
100

3

40

10

 
116

103

 
1,755

1,259

1,281

1,204

 
3,804

3,646


1 
Operating capacity includes only those facilities which are currently capable of operating, assuming access to natural gas feedstock, but excludes any portion of an asset that is underutilized due to a lack of natural gas feedstock over a prolonged period of time. Our current annual operating capacity is 7.0 million tonnes, including 0.4 million tonnes related to our Chile operations. The operating capacity of our production facilities may be higher than original nameplate capacity as, over time, these figures have been adjusted to reflect ongoing operating efficiencies at these facilities. Actual production for a facility in any given year may be higher or lower than operating capacity due to a number of factors, including natural gas composition or the age of the facility’s catalyst.
2 
The operating capacity of New Zealand represents the two Motunui facilities and the Waitara Valley facility (refer to New Zealand section below).
3 
We commenced methanol production from Geismar 1 during the first quarter of 2015. The Geismar 2 facility is currently under construction and will contribute one million tonnes annually to operating capacity once complete bringing the total quarterly operating capacity to 0.5 million tonnes.
4 
The production capacity of our Chile I and IV facilities is 1.7 million tonnes annually (0.4 million tonnes per quarter) assuming access to natural gas feedstock.


New Zealand

Our New Zealand methanol facilities produced 476,000 tonnes of methanol in the third quarter of 2015 compared with 487,000 tonnes in the second quarter of 2015. Mechanical issues at our Motunui facilities resulted in lost production of approximately 80,000 tonnes during the third quarter of 2015. The Motunui 1 plant was shut down for repairs during the third quarter to address the mechanical issues. The New Zealand facilities are capable of producing up to 2.4 million tonnes annually, depending on natural gas composition.


Trinidad

Production in Trinidad during the quarter was impacted by gas curtailments at both plants. The Titan facility produced 172,000 tonnes in the third quarter of 2015 compared with 183,000 tonnes in the second quarter of 2015. The Atlas facility produced 226,000 tonnes (63.1% interest) in the third quarter of 2015 compared with 236,000 tonnes (63.1% interest) in the second quarter of 2015.

We continue to experience natural gas curtailments to our Trinidad facilities due to a mismatch between upstream commitments to supply the Natural Gas Company of Trinidad and Tobago ("NGC") and downstream demand from NGC’s customers including Atlas and Titan. We are engaged with key stakeholders to find a solution to this issue, but in the meantime expect to continue to experience gas curtailments to the Trinidad site.


Geismar, United States

In late January 2015, the Geismar 1 plant commenced production and since start up has been operating at full rates, producing 259,000 tonnes during the third quarter of 2015 compared to 276,000 tonnes during the second quarter of 2015. We continue to make excellent progress on the construction of Geismar 2 and we expect to be producing first methanol by the end of 2015. Once complete, the Geismar 2 facility will add approximately one million incremental tonnes to our annual operating capacity.


METHANEX CORPORATION 2015 THIRD QUARTER REPORT    PAGE 3
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS



Egypt

The Egypt methanol facility has been idled since June 2015 due to natural gas supply restrictions and has only operated for twelve days during 2015, producing 32,000 tonnes (Methanex share of 16,000 tonnes). Although the restart date and future operating rates are difficult to predict, our current expectation is that we will be able to resume operations in the fourth quarter of 2015 at reduced rates after the peak Egyptian summer electricity consumption period ends.

The Egypt facility has experienced periodic natural gas supply restrictions since mid-2012 and gas restrictions have become more significant since 2014. We cannot predict when the gas supply situation will improve, but are optimistic that recent developments impacting upstream gas supply in Egypt will result in improved gas deliveries in the future.


Medicine Hat, Canada

During the third quarter of 2015, we produced 123,000 tonnes at our Medicine Hat facility compared with 51,000 tonnes during the second quarter of 2015. The Medicine Hat facility underwent a planned major refurbishment during the second quarter of 2015 and returned to normal operation in mid-July. Since restart, the plant has been operating at full rates.


Chile

As a result of insufficient natural gas feedstock from Chile and Argentina during the southern hemisphere winter, we idled our Chile operations in May 2015. On September 27, 2015, we restarted one of our two plants in Chile and produced 3,000 tonnes during the quarter, supported by natural gas supplies both from Chile and from Argentina through a tolling arrangement. We have reached an agreement with Empresa Nacional del Petróleo ("ENAP") for gas supply until April 2016.

The future of our Chile operations is primarily dependent on the level of natural gas exploration and development in southern Chile and our ability to secure a sustainable natural gas supply to our facilities on economic terms from Chile and Argentina.




FINANCIAL RESULTS

For the third quarter of 2015, we reported net income attributable to Methanex shareholders of $78 million ($0.54 per share on a diluted basis) compared with net income attributable to Methanex shareholders for the second quarter of 2015 of $104 million ($1.15 income per share on a diluted basis).

For the third quarter of 2015, we recorded Adjusted EBITDA of $95 million and Adjusted net income of $23 million ($0.26 per share on a diluted basis). This compares with Adjusted EBITDA of $129 million and Adjusted net income of $51 million ($0.56 per share on a diluted basis) for the second quarter of 2015.

We calculate Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted net income by including amounts related to our equity share of the Atlas (63.1% interest) and Egypt (50% interest) facilities and by excluding the mark-to-market impact of share-based compensation as a result of changes in our share price and the impact of certain items associated with specific identified events. Refer to Additional Information - Supplemental Non-GAAP Measures on page 12 for a further discussion on how we calculate these measures. Our analysis of depreciation and amortization, finance costs, finance income and other expenses and income taxes is consistent with the presentation of our consolidated statements of income and excludes amounts related to Atlas.

METHANEX CORPORATION 2015 THIRD QUARTER REPORT    PAGE 4
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS



A reconciliation from net income attributable to Methanex shareholders to Adjusted net income and the calculation of Adjusted net income per common share is as follows:
 
Three Months Ended
 
Nine Months Ended
($ millions except number of shares and per share amounts)
Sep 30
2015

Jun 30
2015

Sep 30
2014

 
Sep 30
2015

Sep 30
2014

Net income attributable to Methanex shareholders
$
78

$
104

$
52

 
$
191

$
322

Mark-to-market impact of share-based compensation, net of tax
(55
)
4

14

 
(39
)
22

Gain related to the termination of a terminal services agreement, net of tax

(57
)

 
(57
)

Argentina gas settlement, net of tax



 

(27
)
Adjusted net income 1
$
23

$
51

$
66

 
$
95

$
317

Diluted weighted average shares outstanding (millions)
91

91

95

 
92

96

Adjusted net income per common share 1
$
0.26

$
0.56

$
0.69

 
$
1.04

$
3.30


1 
These items are non-GAAP measures that do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by GAAP and therefore are unlikely to be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies. Refer to Additional Information - Supplemental Non-GAAP Measures on page 12 for a description of each non-GAAP measure and reconciliations to the most comparable GAAP measures.

We review our financial results by analyzing changes in Adjusted EBITDA, mark-to-market impact of share-based compensation, depreciation and amortization, finance costs, finance income and other expenses and income taxes. A summary of our consolidated statements of income is as follows:
 
Three Months Ended
 
Nine Months Ended
($ millions)
Sep 30
2015

Jun 30
2015

Sep 30
2014

 
Sep 30
2015

Sep 30
2014

Consolidated statements of income:
 
 
 
 
 
 
Revenue
$
527

$
638

$
730

 
$
1,742

$
2,490

Cost of sales and operating expenses
(394
)
(526
)
(597
)
 
(1,422
)
(1,916
)
Mark-to-market impact of share-based compensation
(67
)
4

16

 
(49
)
26

Adjusted EBITDA (attributable to associate)
38

18

5

 
78

32

Amounts excluded from Adjusted EBITDA attributable to non-controlling interests
(9
)
(5
)
(17
)
 
(28
)
(80
)
Adjusted EBITDA (attributable to Methanex shareholders) 1
95

129

137

 
321

552

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Mark-to-market impact of share-based compensation
67

(4
)
(16
)
 
49

(26
)
Depreciation and amortization
(51
)
(47
)
(39
)
 
(145
)
(107
)
Gain related to the termination of a terminal services agreement

65


 
65


Argentina gas settlement



 

42

Finance costs
(16
)
(18
)
(8
)
 
(55
)
(28
)
Finance income and other expenses
1

2

(5
)
 
(6
)
(4
)
Income tax expense
(10
)
(20
)
(19
)
 
(25
)
(117
)
Earnings of associate adjustment 2
(18
)
(11
)
(8
)
 
(41
)
(26
)
Non-controlling interests adjustment 2
10

8

10

 
28

36

Net income attributable to Methanex shareholders
$
78

$
104

$
52

 
$
191

$
322

Net income
$
77

$
101

$
59

 
$
191

$
366


1 
This item is a non-GAAP measure that does not have any standardized meaning prescribed by GAAP and therefore is unlikely to be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies. Refer to Additional Information - Supplemental Non-GAAP Measures on page 12 for a description of the non-GAAP measure and reconciliation to the most comparable GAAP measure.
2 
These adjustments represent depreciation and amortization, finance costs, finance income and other expenses and income taxes associated with our 63.1% interest in the Atlas methanol facility and the non-controlling interests.



METHANEX CORPORATION 2015 THIRD QUARTER REPORT    PAGE 5
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS



Adjusted EBITDA (attributable to Methanex shareholders)

Our operations consist of a single operating segment – the production and sale of methanol. We review the results of operations by analyzing changes in the components of Adjusted EBITDA. For a discussion of the definitions used in our Adjusted EBITDA analysis, refer to How We Analyze Our Business on page 17.

The changes in Adjusted EBITDA resulted from changes in the following:
($ millions)
Q3 2015 compared with Q2 2015

Q3 2015 compared with Q3 2014

YTD Q3 2015 compared with YTD Q3 2014

Average realized price
$
(53
)
$
(127
)
$
(670
)
Sales volume
(6
)
(3
)
23

Total cash costs
25

88

416

Decrease in Adjusted EBITDA
$
(34
)
$
(42
)
$
(231
)


Average realized price
 
Three Months Ended
 
Nine Months Ended
($ per tonne)
Sep 30
2015

Jun 30
2015

Sep 30
2014

 
Sep 30
2015

Sep 30
2014

Methanex average non-discounted posted price
384

403

444

 
390

525

Methanex average realized price
323

350

389

 
337

453


Methanex’s average realized price for the third quarter of 2015 was lower compared to the second quarter of 2015. Non-discounted posted prices moved lower through the quarter in Asia Pacific, the United States, and Europe compared to the second quarter of 2015 (refer to Supply/Demand Fundamentals section on page 10 for more information). Our average non-discounted posted price for the third quarter of 2015 was $384 per tonne compared with $403 per tonne for the second quarter of 2015 and $444 per tonne for the third quarter of 2014. Our average realized price for the third quarter of 2015 was $323 per tonne compared with $350 per tonne for the second quarter of 2015 and $389 per tonne for the third quarter of 2014. The change in average realized price for the third quarter of 2015 decreased Adjusted EBITDA by $53 million compared with the second quarter of 2015 and decreased Adjusted EBITDA by $127 million compared with the third quarter of 2014. Our average realized price for the nine months ended September 30, 2015 was $337 compared with $453 for the same period in 2014. The change in average realized price decreased Adjusted EBITDA by $670 million.


Sales volume
Methanol sales volume excluding commission sales volume was lower in the third quarter of 2015 compared with the second quarter of 2015 by 99,000 tonnes and with the third quarter of 2014 by 35,000 tonnes. Lower methanol sales volume excluding commission sales volume for these periods decreased Adjusted EBITDA by $6 million and $3 million, respectively. For the nine month period ended September 30, 2015, compared with the same period in 2014, methanol sales volume excluding commission sales volume was higher by 202,000 tonnes resulting in higher Adjusted EBITDA by $23 million.



METHANEX CORPORATION 2015 THIRD QUARTER REPORT    PAGE 6
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS



Total cash costs
The primary drivers of changes in our total cash costs are changes in the cost of methanol we produce at our facilities (Methanex-produced methanol) and changes in the cost of methanol we purchase from others (purchased methanol). All of our current production facilities except Medicine Hat are underpinned by natural gas purchase agreements with pricing terms that include base and variable price components linked to the price of methanol. We supplement our production with methanol produced by others through methanol offtake contracts and purchases on the spot market to meet customer needs and to support our marketing efforts within the major global markets.

We have adopted the first-in, first-out method of accounting for inventories and it generally takes between 30 and 60 days to sell the methanol we produce or purchase. Accordingly, the changes in Adjusted EBITDA as a result of changes in Methanex-produced and purchased methanol costs primarily depend on changes in methanol pricing and the timing of inventory flows.

In a rising price environment, our margins at a given price are higher than in a stable price environment as a result of timing of methanol purchases and production versus sales. Conversely, the opposite applies when methanol prices are decreasing.

The impact on Adjusted EBITDA from changes in our cash costs are explained below:
($ millions)
Q3 2015 compared with Q2 2015

Q3 2015 compared with Q3 2014

YTD Q3 2015 compared with YTD Q3 2014

Methanex-produced methanol costs
$
3

$
37

$
147

Proportion of Methanex-produced methanol sales
15

1

(18
)
Purchased methanol costs
4

30

253

Other, net
3

20

34

Increase in Adjusted EBITDA
$
25

$
88

$
416


Methanex-produced methanol costs
We purchase natural gas for the New Zealand, Trinidad, Geismar 1, Egypt and Chile methanol facilities under natural gas purchase agreements where the unique terms of each contract include a base price and a variable price component linked to the price of methanol. This reduces our commodity price risk exposure. The variable price component of each gas contract is adjusted by a formula related to methanol prices above a certain level. For the third quarter of 2015 compared with the second quarter of 2015, Methanex-produced methanol costs were lower by $3 million. For the three and nine months ended September 30, 2015 compared with the same periods in 2014, Methanex-produced methanol costs were lower by $37 million and $147 million, respectively. Changes in Methanex-produced methanol costs for all periods presented are primarily due to the impact of changes in realized methanol prices on the variable portion of our natural gas costs and changes in the mix of production sold from inventory.

Proportion of Methanex-produced methanol sales
The cost of purchased methanol is directly linked to the selling price for methanol at the time of purchase and the cost of purchased methanol is generally higher than the cost of Methanex-produced methanol. Accordingly, an increase in the proportion of Methanex-produced methanol sales results in a decrease in our overall cost structure for a given period. For the third quarter of 2015 compared with the second quarter of 2015 and the third quarter of 2014, a higher proportion of Methanex-produced methanol sales increased Adjusted EBITDA by $15 million and $1 million, respectively. For the nine months ended September 30, 2015 compared with the same period in 2014, a lower proportion of Methanex-produced methanol sales decreased Adjusted EBITDA by $18 million.

Purchased methanol costs
Changes in purchased methanol costs for all periods presented are primarily as a result of changes in methanol pricing.

Other, net
For the three and nine months ended September 30, 2015 compared with the same periods in 2014, changes in other costs are primarily a result of lower logistics costs.

METHANEX CORPORATION 2015 THIRD QUARTER REPORT    PAGE 7
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS



Mark-to-Market Impact of Share-based Compensation

We grant share-based awards as an element of compensation. Share-based awards granted include stock options, share appreciation rights, tandem share appreciation rights, deferred share units, restricted share units and performance share units. For all share-based awards, share-based compensation is recognized over the related vesting period for the proportion of the service that has been rendered at each reporting date. Share-based compensation includes an amount related to the grant-date value and a mark-to-market impact as a result of subsequent changes in the fair value of the share-based awards primarily driven by the Company’s share price. The grant-date value amount is included in Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted net income. The mark-to-market impact of share-based compensation as a result of changes in our share price is excluded from Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted net income and analyzed separately.
 
Three Months Ended
 
Nine Months Ended
($ millions except share share price)
Sep 30
2015

Jun 30
2015

Sep 30
2014

 
Sep 30
2015

Sep 30
2014

Methanex Corporation share price 1
$
33.16

$
55.66

$
66.80

 
$
33.16

$
66.80

Grant-date fair value expense included in Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted net income
3

6

5

 
17

19

Mark-to-market impact due to change in share price
(67
)
4

16

 
(49
)
26

Total share-based compensation expense (recovery), before tax
$
(64
)
$
10

$
21

 
$
(32
)
$
45


1 
US dollar share price of Methanex Corporation as quoted on NASDAQ Global Market on the last trading day of the respective period.

The Methanex Corporation share price decreased from US $55.66 per share at June 30, 2015 to US $33.16 per share at September 30, 2015. As a result of this decrease, we recorded a $67 million mark-to-market recovery on share-based compensation in the third quarter of 2015 compared with a $4 million mark-to-market expense in the second quarter of 2015.


Depreciation and Amortization    

Depreciation and amortization was $51 million for the third quarter of 2015 compared with $47 million for the second quarter of 2015 and $39 million for the third quarter of 2014. Depreciation and amortization was higher in the third quarter of 2015 compared to the second quarter of 2015 primarily due to higher unabsorbed depreciation recognized for production sites impacted by natural gas restrictions and production outages and higher sales volume of Methanex-produced methanol. Depreciation and amortization was higher in the third quarter of 2015 compared with the third quarter of 2014 primarily due to the commencement of depreciation associated with the start-up of our Geismar 1 facility during the first quarter of 2015 and higher unabsorbed depreciation recognized for production sites impacted by natural gas restrictions and production outages.


Finance Costs
 
Three Months Ended
 
Nine Months Ended
($ millions)
Sep 30
2015

Jun 30
2015

Sep 30
2014

 
Sep 30
2015

Sep 30
2014

Finance costs before capitalized interest
$
21

$
22

$
15

 
$
70

$
46

Less capitalized interest
(5
)
(4
)
(7
)
 
(15
)
(18
)
Finance costs
$
16

$
18

$
8

 
$
55

$
28


Finance costs before capitalized interest primarily relates to interest expense on the unsecured notes, limited recourse debt facilities, and finance leases. For the three and nine months ended September 30, 2015 compared with the same periods in 2014, finance costs were higher due to higher average debt levels in 2015 compared to 2014 and an increase in finance costs related to leased assets that were put into use on the start up of our Geismar 1 facility.

Capitalized interest relates to interest costs capitalized for the Geismar project. The Geismar 1 facility commenced production during the first quarter of 2015 and accordingly, we ceased capitalizing interest costs related to Geismar 1 from the date that the facility commenced commercial operations.

METHANEX CORPORATION 2015 THIRD QUARTER REPORT    PAGE 8
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS



Finance Income and Other Expenses

 
Three Months Ended
 
Nine Months Ended
($ millions)
Sep 30
2015

Jun 30
2015

Sep 30
2014

 
Sep 30
2015

Sep 30
2014

Finance income and other expenses
$
1

$
2

$
(5
)
 
$
(6
)
$
(4
)

The change in finance income and other expenses for all periods presented was primarily due to the impact of changes in foreign exchange rates.



Income Taxes

A summary of our income taxes for the third quarter of 2015 compared with the second quarter of 2015 is as follows:
 
Three Months Ended
September 30, 2015
 
Three Months Ended
June 30, 2015
($ millions, except where noted)
Net Income

Adjusted Net Income1

 
Net Income

Adjusted Net Income1

Amount before income tax
$
87

$
30

 
$
121

$
66

Income tax expense
(10
)
(7
)
 
(20
)
(15
)
 
$
77

$
23

 
$
101

$
51

Effective tax rate
12
%
23
%
 
16
%
23
%

1 
This item is a non-GAAP measure that does not have any standardized meaning prescribed by GAAP and therefore is unlikely to be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies. Refer to Additional Information - Supplemental Non-GAAP Measures on page 12 for a description of the non-GAAP measure and reconciliation to the most comparable GAAP measure.

We earn the majority of our earnings in New Zealand, Trinidad, the United States, Egypt, Canada and Chile. In Trinidad and Chile, the statutory tax rate is 35%. The statutory rates in Canada and New Zealand are 26.5% and 28%, respectively. The United States statutory tax rate is 36% and the Egypt statutory tax rate is 22.5%. As the Atlas entity is accounted for using the equity method, any income taxes related to Atlas are included in earnings of associate and therefore excluded from total income taxes but included in the calculation of Adjusted net income.

For both the third quarter of 2015 and the second quarter of 2015, the effective tax rate based on Adjusted net income was 23%. Adjusted net income represents the amount that is attributable to Methanex shareholders and excludes the mark-to-market impact of share-based compensation and the impact of certain items associated with specific identified events. The effective tax rate differs from period to period depending on the source of earnings and the impact of foreign exchange fluctuations against the United States dollar on our tax balances.


METHANEX CORPORATION 2015 THIRD QUARTER REPORT    PAGE 9
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS



SUPPLY/DEMAND FUNDAMENTALS

At the end of Q3 2015, we estimate that methanol demand, excluding integrated coal-to-olefins facilities, was approximately 61 million tonnes on an annualized basis.

Our average realized price in the third quarter of 2015 decreased to $323 per tonne from $350 per tonne realized in the second quarter of 2015. Traditional chemical demand for methanol in the third quarter of 2015 was similar to the second quarter of 2015, while energy demand grew modestly. We understand that a number of methanol-to-olefins ("MTO") facilities either undertook maintenance activities or operated at reduced rates during the quarter as a result of lower oil and olefins pricing, which lowered methanol affordability into that application. Leading into the fourth quarter of 2015, MTO related demand is anticipated to pick up with the re-start of capacity under maintenance and we believe that the start-up of two new MTO facilities have the capacity to consume up to 3.6 million tonnes of methanol.

We held our October North America contract price at $366 per tonne, reduced the European quarterly contract price by €70 to €295 per tonne for the fourth quarter of 2015, and moderately reduced our October Asia Pacific contract price by $10 per tonne to $305 per tonne. We also recently announced that Asia Pacific contract prices for November will remain steady at current levels and that we will decrease our North America contract price for November to $349.

 
Methanex Non-Discounted Regional Posted Prices 1
(US$ per tonne)
Oct 2015

Sep 2015

Aug 2015

Jul 2015

North America
366

366

416

442

Europe 2
330

410

410

410

Asia Pacific
305

315

360

375

1 
Discounts from our posted prices are offered to customers based on
various factors.
2 
€295 for Q3 2015 (Q2 2015 – €365) converted to United States dollars.


During the quarter, we continued to see stable demand from traditional chemical applications in China and the rest of the world. We estimate that traditional chemical derivatives consume approximately 60% of global methanol and believe that growth is correlated to GDP and industrial production growth rates. On the energy side, there are now eleven completed MTO/methanol-to-propylene ("MTP") plants in China which are dependent on merchant methanol supply, and these have the capacity to consume just over 10 million tonnes of methanol annually. There are two incremental MTO plants with expected start-up during the fourth quarter, increasing total potential demand at capacity for MTO/MTP to almost 14 million tonnes of methanol annually. There are also three other MTO plants at various stages of construction which are anticipated to be completed in 2016. The future operating rates and methanol consumption from these facilities will depend on a number of factors, including pricing for their various final products and the impact of feedstock costs on relative competitiveness. During the third quarter of 2015, we estimate that at least 4 million tonnes of annual methanol demand did not operate as a result of unaffordability, including MTO, MTP, and dimethyl-ether. Demand for direct methanol blending into gasoline in China has remained strong and we believe that future growth in this application is supported by numerous provincial fuel-blending standards. Fuel blending has continued to gain interest outside of China with several countries currently conducting demonstration programs to test the use of methanol-blended fuels.

The methanol price will ultimately depend on the strength of the global economy, industry operating rates, global energy prices, new supply additions and the strength of global demand. Over the next few years, outside of China, the majority of new capacity additions are expected in North America. We are targeting to be producing first methanol from our one million tonne Geismar 2 facility in Geismar, Louisiana by the end of 2015. In addition, a 1.3 million tonne Fairway Methanol LLC plant has commenced operation in Clear Lake, Texas and OCI N.V. is developing a project for the construction of a 1.8 million tonne plant in Beaumont, Texas. We expect that production from new methanol capacity in China will be consumed in that country.


METHANEX CORPORATION 2015 THIRD QUARTER REPORT    PAGE 10
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS



LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES

Cash flows from operating activities in the third quarter of 2015 increased by $52 million to $134 million compared with $82 million for the second quarter of 2015 and decreased by $37 million compared to $171 million for the third quarter of 2014. Cash flows from operating activities for the nine month period ended September 30, 2015 were $253 million compared with $590 million for the same period in 2014. The changes in cash flows from operating activities resulted from changes in the following:
($ millions)
Q3 2015 compared with Q2 2015

Q3 2015 compared with Q3 2014

YTD Q3 2015 compared with YTD Q3 2014

Change in Adjusted EBITDA (attributable to Methanex shareholders)
$
(34
)
$
(42
)
$
(231
)
Exclude change in Adjusted EBITDA of associate
(20
)
(33
)
(46
)
Dividends received from associate

13

32

Cash flows attributable to non-controlling interests
4

(8
)
(52
)
Non-cash working capital
104

17

(21
)
Income taxes paid
3

9

(2
)
Argentina gas settlement


(42
)
Share-based payments
1

3

23

Other
(6
)
4

2

Increase (decrease) in cash flows from operating activities
$
52

$
(37
)
$
(337
)

During the third quarter of 2015 we paid a quarterly dividend of $0.275 per share, or $25 million.

On April 29, 2015, the Board of Directors approved a 5% normal course issuer bid, which allows us to repurchase for cancellation up to 4.6 million shares. Under the current normal course issuer bid, we are authorized to purchase up to a further 3.2 million shares by May 5, 2016. During the quarter we repurchased 629,100 shares for $27 million.

We operate in a highly competitive commodity industry and believe it is appropriate to maintain a conservative balance sheet and financial flexibility. At September 30, 2015, our cash balance was $427 million, including $55 million related to the 50% non-controlling interest in Egypt. We invest our cash only in highly rated instruments that have maturities of three months or less to ensure preservation of capital and appropriate liquidity. We also have access to a $400 million unsecured and undrawn credit facility and no debt maturities until 2019.

Our planned capital maintenance expenditure program directed towards maintenance, turnarounds and catalyst changes for existing operations, including our 63.1% share of Atlas, is currently estimated to be $105 million to the end of 2016. The estimated remaining capital expenditures related to our Geismar project are approximately $110 million, excluding capitalized interest.

We believe we are well positioned to meet our financial commitments, invest to grow the Company and continue to deliver on our commitment to return excess cash to shareholders.



METHANEX CORPORATION 2015 THIRD QUARTER REPORT    PAGE 11
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS



CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES

For the three months ended September 30, 2015, no changes were made in our internal control over financial reporting that have materially affected, or are reasonably likely to materially affect, our internal control over financial reporting.


ADDITIONAL INFORMATION – SUPPLEMENTAL NON-GAAP MEASURES

In addition to providing measures prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS), we present certain supplemental non-GAAP measures. These are Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted net income, Adjusted net income per common share, Adjusted revenue and operating income. These measures do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) and therefore are unlikely to be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies. These supplemental non-GAAP measures are provided to assist readers in determining our ability to generate cash from operations and improve the comparability of our results from one period to another. We believe these measures are useful in assessing operating performance and liquidity of the Company’s ongoing business on an overall basis. We also believe Adjusted EBITDA is frequently used by securities analysts and investors when comparing our results with those of other companies.


Adjusted EBITDA (attributable to Methanex shareholders)

Adjusted EBITDA differs from the most comparable GAAP measure, net income attributable to Methanex shareholders, because it excludes the mark-to-market impact of share-based compensation, depreciation and amortization, finance costs, finance income and other expenses, income tax expense, the 50% non-controlling interest in the Egypt facility, gain related to the termination of a terminal services agreement and Argentina gas settlement. Adjusted EBITDA includes an amount representing our 63.1% interest in the Atlas facility.

Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted net income exclude the mark-to-market impact of share-based compensation related to the impact of changes in our share price on share appreciation rights, tandem share appreciation rights, deferred share units, restricted share units and performance share units. The mark-to-market impact related to performance share units that is excluded from Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted net income is calculated as the difference between the grant date value determined using a Methanex total shareholder return factor of 100% and the fair value recorded at each period end. As share-based awards will be settled in future periods, the ultimate value of the units is unknown at the date of grant and therefore the grant date value recognized in Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted net income may differ from the total settlement cost.

The following table shows a reconciliation from net income attributable to Methanex shareholders to Adjusted EBITDA:
 
Three Months Ended

Nine Months Ended
($ millions)
Sep 30
2015

Jun 30
2015

Sep 30
2014


Sep 30
2015

Sep 30
2014

Net income attributable to Methanex shareholders
$
78

$
104

$
52

 
$
191

$
322

Mark-to-market impact of share-based compensation
(67
)
4

16

 
(49
)
26

Depreciation and amortization
51

47

39

 
145

107

Gain related to the termination of a terminal services agreement

(65
)

 
(65
)

Argentina gas settlement



 

(42
)
Finance costs
16

18

8

 
55

28

Finance income and other expenses
(1
)
(2
)
5

 
6

4

Income tax expense
10

20

19

 
25

117

Earnings of associate adjustment 1
18

11

8

 
41

26

Non-controlling interests adjustment 1
(10
)
(8
)
(10
)
 
(28
)
(36
)
Adjusted EBITDA (attributable to Methanex shareholders)
$
95

$
129

$
137

 
$
321

$
552


1 
These adjustments represent depreciation and amortization, finance costs, finance income and other expenses and income tax expense associated with our 63.1% interest in the Atlas methanol facility and the non-controlling interests.


METHANEX CORPORATION 2015 THIRD QUARTER REPORT    PAGE 12
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS



Adjusted Net Income and Adjusted Net Income per Common Share

Adjusted net income and Adjusted net income per common share are non-GAAP measures because they exclude the mark-to-market impact of share-based compensation and the impact of certain items associated with specific identified events. The following table shows a reconciliation of net income attributable to Methanex shareholders to Adjusted net income and the calculation of Adjusted net income per common share:
 
Three Months Ended
 
Nine Months Ended
($ millions except number of shares and per share amounts)
Sep 30
2015

Jun 30
2015

Sep 30
2014

 
Sep 30
2015

Sep 30
2014

Net income attributable to Methanex shareholders
$
78

$
104

$
52

 
$
191

$
322

Mark-to-market impact of share-based compensation, net of tax
(55
)
4

14

 
(39
)
22

Gain related to the termination of a terminal services agreement, net of tax

(57
)

 
(57
)

Argentina gas settlement, net of tax



 

(27
)
Adjusted net income 
$
23

$
51

$
66

 
$
95

$
317

Diluted weighted average shares outstanding (millions)
91

91

95

 
92

96

Adjusted net income per common share
$
0.26

$
0.56

$
0.69

 
$
1.04

$
3.30





Adjusted Revenue (attributable to Methanex shareholders)

A reconciliation from revenue to Adjusted revenue is as follows:

Three Months Ended
 
Nine Months Ended
($ millions)
Sep 30
2015

Jun 30
2015

Sep 30
2014

 
Sep 30
2015

Sep 30
2014

Revenue
$
527

$
638

$
730

 
$
1,742

$
2,490

Methanex share of Atlas revenue 1
97

64

46

 
229

171

Non-controlling interests' share of revenue 1

(1
)
(17
)
 
(23
)
(135
)
Other adjustments
(5
)
(5
)
(2
)
 
(8
)
(9
)
Adjusted Revenue (attributable to Methanex shareholders)
$
619

$
696

$
757

 
$
1,940

$
2,517


1 
Excludes intercompany transactions with the Company.


Operating Income

Operating income is reconciled directly to a GAAP measure in our consolidated statements of income.


METHANEX CORPORATION 2015 THIRD QUARTER REPORT    PAGE 13
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS



QUARTERLY FINANCIAL DATA (UNAUDITED)

A summary of selected financial information for the prior eight quarters is as follows:
 
Three Months Ended
($ millions, except per share amounts)
Sep 30
2015

Jun 30
2015

Mar 31
2015

Dec 31
2014

Revenue
$
527

$
638

$
577

$
733

Adjusted EBITDA 1 2
95

129

97

150

Net income 1
78

104

9

133

Adjusted net income 1 2
23

51

21

80

Basic net income per common share 1
0.87

1.15

0.09

1.43

Diluted net income per common share 1
0.54

1.15

0.09

1.11

Adjusted net income per share 1 2
0.26

0.56

0.23

0.85

 
Three Months Ended
($ millions, except per share amounts)
Sep 30
2014

Jun 30
2014

Mar 31
2014

Dec 31
2013

Revenue
$
730

$
792

$
968

$
881

Adjusted EBITDA 1 2
137

160

255

245

Net income 1
52

125

145

128

Adjusted net income 1 2
66

91

160

167

Basic net income per common share 1
0.55

1.30

1.51

1.33

Diluted net income per common share 1
0.54

1.24

1.50

1.32

Adjusted net income per share 1 2
0.69

0.94

1.65

1.72


1 
Attributable to Methanex Corporation shareholders.
2 
These items are non-GAAP measures that do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by GAAP and therefore are unlikely to be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies. Refer to Additional Information - Supplemental Non-GAAP Measures on page 12 for a description of each non-GAAP measure and reconciliations to the most comparable GAAP measures.



METHANEX CORPORATION 2015 THIRD QUARTER REPORT    PAGE 14
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS




FORWARD-LOOKING INFORMATION WARNING

This Third Quarter 2015 Management’s Discussion and Analysis (“MD&A”) as well as comments made during the Third Quarter 2015 investor conference call contain forward-looking statements with respect to us and our industry. These statements relate to future events or our future performance. All statements other than statements of historical fact are forward-looking statements. Statements that include the words “believes,” “expects,” “may,” “will,” “should,” “potential,” “estimates,” “anticipates,” “aim,” “goal” or other comparable terminology and similar statements of a future or forward-looking nature identify forward-looking statements.

More particularly and without limitation, any statements regarding the following are forward-looking statements:

expected demand for methanol and its derivatives,
expected new methanol supply or restart of idled capacity and timing for start-up of the same,
expected shutdowns (either temporary or permanent) or restarts of existing methanol supply (including our own facilities), including, without limitation, the timing and length of planned maintenance outages,
expected methanol and energy prices,
expected levels of methanol purchases from traders or other third parties,
expected levels, timing and availability of economically priced natural gas supply to each of our plants,
capital committed by third parties towards future natural gas exploration and development in the vicinity of our plants,
our expected capital expenditures,
anticipated operating rates of our plants,
expected operating costs, including natural gas feedstock costs and logistics costs,
expected tax rates or resolutions to tax disputes,
expected cash flows, earnings capability and share price,
availability of committed credit facilities and other financing,
 

our ability to meet covenants or obtain or continue to obtain waivers associated with our long-term debt obligations, including, without limitation, the Egypt limited recourse debt facilities that have conditions associated with the payment of cash or other distributions and the finalization of certain land title registrations and related mortgages which require actions by Egyptian governmental entities,
expected impact on our results of operations in Egypt or our financial condition as a consequence of civil unrest or actions taken or inaction by the Government of Egypt and its agencies,
our shareholder distribution strategy and anticipated distributions to shareholders,
commercial viability and timing of, or our ability to execute, future projects, plant restarts, capacity expansions, plant relocations, or other business initiatives or opportunities, including the completion of the Geismar project,
our financial strength and ability to meet future financial commitments,
expected global or regional economic activity (including industrial production levels),
expected outcomes of litigation or other disputes, claims and assessments, and
expected actions of governments, government agencies, gas suppliers, courts, tribunals or other third parties.


We believe that we have a reasonable basis for making such forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements in this document are based on our experience, our perception of trends, current conditions and expected future developments as well as other factors. Certain material factors or assumptions were applied in drawing the conclusions or making the forecasts or projections that are included in these forward-looking statements, including, without limitation, future expectations and assumptions concerning the following:

the supply of, demand for and price of methanol, methanol derivatives, natural gas, coal, oil and oil derivatives,
 
our ability to procure natural gas feedstock on commercially acceptable terms,


METHANEX CORPORATION 2015 THIRD QUARTER REPORT    PAGE 15
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS



operating rates of our facilities,
operating costs, including natural gas feedstock and logistics costs, capital costs, tax rates, cash flows, foreign exchange rates and interest rates,
the availability of committed credit facilities and other financing,
timing of completion and cost of our Geismar project,
global and regional economic activity (including industrial production levels),
receipt or issuance of third-party consents or approvals, including, without limitation, governmental registrations of land title and related mortgages in Egypt and governmental approvals related to rights to purchase natural gas,
 
the establishment of new fuel standards,
absence of a material negative impact from major natural disasters,
absence of a material negative impact from changes in laws or regulations,
absence of a material negative impact from political instability in the countries in which we operate, and
enforcement of contractual arrangements and ability to perform contractual obligations by customers, natural gas and other suppliers and other third parties.



However, forward-looking statements, by their nature, involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contemplated by the forward-looking statements. The risks and uncertainties primarily include those attendant with producing and marketing methanol and successfully carrying out major capital expenditure projects in various jurisdictions, including, without limitation:

conditions in the methanol and other industries including fluctuations in the supply, demand and price for methanol and its derivatives, including demand for methanol for energy uses,
the price of natural gas, coal, oil and oil derivatives,
our ability to obtain natural gas feedstock on commercially acceptable terms to underpin current operations and future production growth opportunities,
the ability to carry out corporate initiatives and strategies,
actions of competitors, suppliers and financial institutions,
conditions within the natural gas delivery systems that may prevent delivery of our natural gas supply requirements,
our ability to meet timeline and budget targets for our Geismar project, including cost pressures arising from labour costs,
 
competing demand for natural gas, especially with respect to domestic needs for gas and electricity in Chile and Egypt,
actions of governments and governmental authorities, including, without limitation, the implementation of policies or other measures that could impact the supply of or demand for methanol or its derivatives,
changes in laws or regulations,
import or export restrictions, anti-dumping measures, increases in duties, taxes and government royalties, and other actions by governments that may adversely affect our operations or existing contractual arrangements,
world-wide economic conditions, and
other risks described in our 2014 Management’s Discussion and Analysis and this Third Quarter 2015 Management’s Discussion and Analysis.



Having in mind these and other factors, investors and other readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. They are not a substitute for the exercise of one’s own due diligence and judgment. The outcomes implied by forward-looking statements may not occur and we do not undertake to update forward-looking statements except as required by applicable securities laws.


METHANEX CORPORATION 2015 THIRD QUARTER REPORT    PAGE 16
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS



HOW WE ANALYZE OUR BUSINESS

Our operations consist of a single operating segment – the production and sale of methanol. We review our results of operations by analyzing changes in the components of Adjusted EBITDA (refer to the Additional Information - Supplemental Non-GAAP Measures section on page 12 for a description of each non-GAAP measure and reconciliations to the most comparable GAAP measures).

In addition to the methanol that we produce at our facilities (“Methanex-produced methanol”), we also purchase and re-sell methanol produced by others (“purchased methanol”) and we sell methanol on a commission basis. We analyze the results of all methanol sales together, excluding commission sales volume. The key drivers of changes in Adjusted EBITDA are average realized price, cash costs and sales volume which are defined and calculated as follows:

PRICE
The change in Adjusted EBITDA as a result of changes in average realized price is calculated as the difference from period to period in the selling price of methanol multiplied by the current period total methanol sales volume excluding commission sales volume plus the difference from period to period in commission revenue.

CASH COST
The change in Adjusted EBITDA as a result of changes in cash costs is calculated as the difference from period to period in cash costs per tonne multiplied by the current period total methanol sales volume excluding commission sales volume in the current period. The cash costs per tonne is the weighted average of the cash cost per tonne of Methanex-produced methanol and the cash cost per tonne of purchased methanol. The cash cost per tonne of Methanex-produced methanol includes absorbed fixed cash costs per tonne and variable cash costs per tonne. The cash cost per tonne of purchased methanol consists principally of the cost of methanol itself. In addition, the change in Adjusted EBITDA as a result of changes in cash costs includes the changes from period to period in unabsorbed fixed production costs, consolidated selling, general and administrative expenses and fixed storage and handling costs.

VOLUME
The change in Adjusted EBITDA as a result of changes in sales volume is calculated as the difference from period to period in total methanol sales volume excluding commission sales volume multiplied by the margin per tonne for the prior period. The margin per tonne for the prior period is the weighted average margin per tonne of Methanex-produced methanol and margin per tonne of purchased methanol. The margin per tonne for Methanex-produced methanol is calculated as the selling price per tonne of methanol less absorbed fixed cash costs per tonne and variable cash costs per tonne. The margin per tonne for purchased methanol is calculated as the selling price per tonne of methanol less the cost of purchased methanol per tonne.

We own 63.1% of the Atlas methanol facility and market the remaining 36.9% of its production through a commission offtake agreement. A contractual agreement between us and our partners establishes joint control over Atlas. As a result, we account for this investment using the equity method of accounting, which results in 63.1% of the net assets and net earnings of Atlas being presented separately in the consolidated statements of financial position and consolidated statements of income, respectively. For purposes of analyzing our business, Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted net income and Adjusted net income per common share include an amount representing our 63.1% equity share in Atlas.

We own 50% of the 1.26 million tonne per year Egypt methanol facility and market the remaining 50% of its production through a commission offtake agreement. We account for this investment using consolidation accounting, which results in 100% of the revenues and expenses being included in our financial statements with the other investors’ interests in the methanol facility being presented as “non-controlling interests”. For purposes of analyzing our business, Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted net income and Adjusted net income per common share exclude the amount associated with the other investors’ non-controlling interests.

METHANEX CORPORATION 2015 THIRD QUARTER REPORT    PAGE 17
MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS




Methanex Corporation
Consolidated Statements of Income (unaudited)
(thousands of U.S. dollars, except number of common shares and per share amounts)

 
Three Months Ended
 
Nine Months Ended
 
Sep 30
2015

Sep 30
2014

 
Sep 30
2015

Sep 30
2014

Revenue
$
527,000

$
730,112

 
$
1,741,538

$
2,489,900

Cost of sales and operating expenses
(394,062
)
(597,044
)
 
(1,421,778
)
(1,915,966
)
Depreciation and amortization
(50,492
)
(38,767
)
 
(144,932
)
(106,691
)
Gain on termination of terminal services agreement


 
65,000


Argentina gas settlement


 

42,000

Operating income
82,446

94,301

 
239,828

509,243

Earnings (loss) of associate (note 4)
20,313

(3,838
)
 
37,202

6,058

Finance costs (note 6)
(16,211
)
(7,744
)
 
(54,978
)
(28,152
)
Finance income and other expenses
918

(4,851
)
 
(5,650
)
(3,937
)
Income before income taxes
87,466

77,868

 
216,402

483,212

Income tax expense (recovery):
 
 
 
 
 
Current
4,973

(12,559
)
 
(3,532
)
(66,212
)
Deferred
(15,189
)
(6,359
)
 
(21,281
)
(51,237
)
 
(10,216
)
(18,918
)
 
(24,813
)
(117,449
)
Net income
$
77,250

$
58,950

 
$
191,589

$
365,763

Attributable to:
 
 
 
 
 
Methanex Corporation shareholders
78,073

51,580

 
191,307

321,466

Non-controlling interests
(823
)
7,370

 
282

44,297

 
$
77,250

$
58,950

 
$
191,589

$
365,763

 
 
 
 
 
 
Income per share for the period attributable to Methanex Corporation shareholders
 
 
 
 
 
Basic net income per common share
$
0.87

$
0.55

 
$
2.10

$
3.36

Diluted net income per common share (note 7)
$
0.54

$
0.54

 
$
1.90

$
3.34

 
 
 
 
 
 
Weighted average number of common shares outstanding (note 7)
90,144,422

94,271,170

 
90,967,926

95,559,242

Diluted weighted average number of common shares outstanding (note 7)
90,692,425

94,795,437

 
91,755,493

96,140,134


See accompanying notes to condensed consolidated interim financial statements.


METHANEX CORPORATION 2015 THIRD QUARTER REPORT    PAGE 18
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED INTERIM FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED)



Methanex Corporation
Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income (unaudited)
(thousands of U.S. dollars)

 
Three Months Ended
 
Nine Months Ended
 
Sep 30
2015

Sep 30
2014

 
Sep 30
2015

Sep 30
2014

Net income
$
77,250

$
58,950

 
$
191,589

$
365,763

Other comprehensive (loss) income, net of taxes:
 
 
 
 
 
Items that may be reclassified to income:
 
 
 
 
 
Change in fair value of cash flow hedges (note 10)
(18,750
)
226

 
(20,417
)
651

Forward element excluded from hedging relationship (note 10)
(9,691
)

 
(9,691
)

Change in fair value of interest rate swap contracts

(60
)
 
(12
)
418

Realized loss on interest rate swap contracts reclassified to finance costs

3,423

 
3,205

9,902

Taxes on above items
9,420

(1,088
)
 
8,992

(3,290
)
 
(19,021
)
2,501

 
(17,923
)
7,681

Comprehensive income
$
58,229

$
61,451

 
$
173,666

$
373,444

Attributable to:
 
 
 
 
 
Methanex Corporation shareholders
59,052

52,904

 
172,266

325,025

Non-controlling interests
(823
)
8,547

 
1,400

48,419

 
$
58,229

$
61,451

 
$
173,666

$
373,444


See accompanying notes to condensed consolidated interim financial statements.

METHANEX CORPORATION 2015 THIRD QUARTER REPORT    PAGE 19
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED INTERIM FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED)



Methanex Corporation
Consolidated Statements of Financial Position (unaudited)
(thousands of U.S. dollars)

AS AT
Sep 30
2015

Dec 31
2014

ASSETS
 
 
Current assets:
 
 
Cash and cash equivalents
$
426,708

$
951,600

Trade and other receivables
465,010

404,363

Inventories (note 2)
269,086

306,802

Prepaid expenses
20,668

23,137

 
1,181,472

1,685,902

Non-current assets:
 
 
Property, plant and equipment (note 3)
3,087,377

2,778,078

Investment in associate (note 4)
197,119

216,235

Other assets
81,429

95,125

 
3,365,925

3,089,438

 
$
4,547,397

$
4,775,340

LIABILITIES AND EQUITY
 
 
Current liabilities:
 
 
Trade, other payables and accrued liabilities
$
553,270

$
566,881

Current maturities on long-term debt (note 5)
46,647

193,831

Current maturities on other long-term liabilities
14,470

59,118

 
614,387

819,830

Non-current liabilities:
 
 
Long-term debt (note 5)
1,484,836

1,528,207

Other long-term liabilities
201,848

140,861

Deferred income tax liabilities
242,480

233,225

 
1,929,164

1,902,293

Equity:
 
 
Capital stock
510,338

521,022

Contributed surplus
2,360

2,803

Retained earnings
1,259,092

1,262,961

Accumulated other comprehensive loss
(19,454
)
(413
)
Shareholders' equity
1,752,336

1,786,373

Non-controlling interests
251,510

266,844

Total equity
2,003,846

2,053,217

 
$
4,547,397

$
4,775,340


See accompanying notes to condensed consolidated interim financial statements.


METHANEX CORPORATION 2015 THIRD QUARTER REPORT    PAGE 20
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED INTERIM FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED)



Methanex Corporation
Consolidated Statements of Changes in Equity (unaudited)
(thousands of U.S. dollars, except number of common shares)

 
Number of
Common
Shares

Capital
Stock

Contributed
Surplus

Retained
Earnings

Accumulated
Other
Comprehensive
Income (Loss)

Shareholders'
Equity

Non-
Controlling
Interests

Total
Equity

Balance, December 31, 2013
96,100,969

$
531,573

$
4,994

$
1,126,700

$
(5,544
)
$
1,657,723

$
247,610

$
1,905,333

Net income



321,466


321,466

44,297

365,763

Other comprehensive income




3,559

3,559

4,122

7,681

Compensation expense recorded for stock options


621



621


621

Issue of shares on exercise of stock options
502,074

9,662




9,662


9,662

Reclassification of grant date fair value on exercise of stock options

2,712

(2,712
)





Payment for shares repurchased
(2,701,399
)
(15,149
)

(154,015
)

(169,164
)

(169,164
)
Dividend payments to Methanex Corporation shareholders



(66,719
)

(66,719
)

(66,719
)
Distributions made and accrued to non-controlling interests






(42,725
)
(42,725
)
Balance, September 30, 2014
93,901,644

$
528,798

$
2,903

$
1,227,432

$
(1,985
)
$
1,757,148

$
253,304

$
2,010,452

Net income



133,144


133,144

7,401

140,545

Other comprehensive income



32

1,572

1,604

1,145

2,749

Compensation expense recorded for stock options


156



156


156

Issue of shares on exercise of stock options
34,650

995




995


995

Reclassification of grant date fair value on exercise of stock options

256

(256
)





Payment for shares repurchased
(1,609,807
)
(9,027
)

(74,453
)

(83,480
)

(83,480
)
Dividend payments to Methanex Corporation shareholders



(23,194
)

(23,194
)

(23,194
)
Distributions made and accrued to non-controlling interests






(4,613
)
(4,613
)
Equity contributions by non-controlling interests






9,607

9,607

Balance, December 31, 2014
92,326,487

$
521,022

$
2,803

$
1,262,961

$
(413
)
$
1,786,373

$
266,844

$
2,053,217

Net income



191,307


191,307

282

191,589

Other comprehensive (loss) income




(19,041
)
(19,041
)
1,118

(17,923
)
Compensation expense recorded for stock options


598



598


598

Issue of shares on exercise of stock options
253,002

3,695




3,695


3,695

Reclassification of grant date fair value on exercise of stock options

1,041

(1,041
)





Payment for shares repurchased
(2,736,091
)
(15,420
)

(122,607
)

(138,027
)

(138,027
)
Dividend payments to Methanex Corporation shareholders



(72,569
)

(72,569
)

(72,569
)
Distributions made and accrued to non-controlling interests






(17,234
)
(17,234
)
Equity contributions by non-controlling interests






500

500

Balance, September 30, 2015
89,843,398

$
510,338

$
2,360

$
1,259,092

$
(19,454
)
$
1,752,336

$
251,510

$
2,003,846


See accompanying notes to condensed consolidated interim financial statements.


METHANEX CORPORATION 2015 THIRD QUARTER REPORT    PAGE 21
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED INTERIM FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED)



Methanex Corporation
Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows (unaudited)
(thousands of U.S. dollars)

 
Three Months Ended
 
Nine Months Ended
 
Sep 30
2015

Sep 30
2014

 
Sep 30
2015

Sep 30
2014

CASH FLOWS FROM / (USED IN) OPERATING ACTIVITIES
 
 
 
 
 
Net income
$
77,250

$
58,950

 
$
191,589

$
365,763

Deduct (earnings) loss of associate
(20,313
)
3,838

 
(37,202
)
(6,058
)
Dividends received from associate
12,620


 
56,790

25,240

Add (deduct) non-cash items:
 
 
 
 
 
Depreciation and amortization
50,492

38,767

 
144,932

106,691

Income tax expense
10,216

18,918

 
24,813

117,449

Share-based compensation (recovery) expense
(64,440
)
20,632

 
(32,488
)
44,757

Finance costs
16,211

7,744

 
54,978

28,152

Other
(146
)
(593
)
 
186

(169
)
Income taxes paid
(4,978
)
(13,768
)
 
(39,112
)
(37,194
)
Other cash payments, including share-based compensation
(880
)
(4,481
)
 
(15,051
)
(44,817
)
Cash flows from operating activities before undernoted
76,032

130,007

 
349,435

599,814

Changes in non-cash working capital (note 9)
57,749

40,879

 
(96,443
)
(9,685
)
 
133,781

170,886

 
252,992

590,129

 
 
 
 
 
 
CASH FLOWS FROM / (USED IN) FINANCING ACTIVITIES
 
 
 
 
 
Payments for repurchase of shares
(27,042
)
(86,892
)
 
(138,027
)
(169,164
)
Dividend payments to Methanex Corporation shareholders
(24,750
)
(23,491
)
 
(72,569
)
(66,719
)
Interest paid, including interest rate swap settlements
(10,554
)
(19,994
)
 
(58,495
)
(46,805
)
Repayment of long-term debt and limited recourse debt
(21,430
)
(20,158
)
 
(193,083
)
(40,591
)
Cash distributions to non-controlling interests
(1,660
)
(1,660
)
 
(2,570
)
(34,158
)
Proceeds on issue of shares on exercise of stock options
79

1,961

 
3,695

9,662

Other
(572
)
(1,052
)
 
(2,830
)
(3,101
)
Changes in non-cash working capital related to financing activities (note 9)
(5,835
)
(7,151
)
 
(13,670
)
(6,515
)
 
(91,764
)
(158,437
)
 
(477,549
)
(357,391
)
 
 
 
 
 
 
CASH FLOWS FROM / (USED IN) INVESTING ACTIVITIES
 
 
 
 
 
Property, plant and equipment
(24,620
)
(19,269
)
 
(87,231
)
(51,033
)
Geismar plants under construction
(72,778
)
(193,177
)
 
(243,669
)
(419,544
)
Termination of terminal services agreement


 
65,000


Other assets

(2,446
)
 
1,996

(11,365
)
Changes in non-cash working capital related to investing activities (note 9)
(2,622
)
30,262

 
(36,431
)
(8,231
)
 
(100,020
)
(184,630
)
 
(300,335
)
(490,173
)
Decrease in cash and cash equivalents
(58,003
)
(172,181
)
 
(524,892
)
(257,435
)
Cash and cash equivalents, beginning of period
484,711

647,482

 
951,600

732,736

Cash and cash equivalents, end of period
$
426,708

$
475,301

 
$
426,708

$
475,301


See accompanying notes to condensed consolidated interim financial statements.


METHANEX CORPORATION 2015 THIRD QUARTER REPORT    PAGE 22
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED INTERIM FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED)



Methanex Corporation
Notes to Condensed Consolidated Interim Financial Statements (unaudited)
Except where otherwise noted, tabular dollar amounts are stated in thousands of U.S. dollars.



1.
Basis of presentation:

Methanex Corporation (the Company) is an incorporated entity with corporate offices in Vancouver, Canada. The Company’s operations consist of the production and sale of methanol, a commodity chemical. The Company is the world’s largest producer and supplier of methanol to the major international markets of Asia Pacific, North America, Europe and South America.

These condensed consolidated interim financial statements are prepared in accordance with International Accounting Standards (IAS) 34, Interim Financial Reporting, as issued by the International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) on a basis consistent with those followed in the most recent annual consolidated financial statements, with the exception of the early adoption of IFRS 9 “Financial Instruments” as described in the Company’s annual consolidated financial statements.

These condensed consolidated interim financial statements do not include all of the information required for full annual financial statements and were approved and authorized for issue by the Audit, Finance & Risk Committee of the Board of Directors on October 28, 2015.

These condensed consolidated interim financial statements should be read in conjunction with the Company’s consolidated financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2014.



2.
Inventories:

Inventories are valued at the lower of cost, determined on a first-in first-out basis, and estimated net realizable value. The amount of inventories included in cost of sales and operating expenses and depreciation and amortization for the three and nine month periods ended September 30, 2015 is $459 million (2014 - $542 million) and $1,421 million (2014 - $1,778 million), respectively.



3.
Property, plant and equipment:

 
Buildings, Plant
Installations &
Machinery

 Plants
Under
Construction

 Finance Leases

Other

Total

Cost at September 30, 2015
$
3,920,931

$
506,235

$
137,660

$
195,933

$
4,760,759

Accumulated depreciation at September 30, 2015
1,502,680


36,480

134,222

1,673,382

Net book value at September 30, 2015
$
2,418,251

$
506,235

$
101,180

$
61,711

$
3,087,377

Cost at December 31, 2014
$
3,097,200

$
996,015

$
32,230

$
194,430

$
4,319,875

Accumulated depreciation at December 31, 2014
1,384,100


30,488

127,209

1,541,797

Net book value at December 31, 2014
$
1,713,100

$
996,015

$
1,742

$
67,221

$
2,778,078




METHANEX CORPORATION 2015 THIRD QUARTER REPORT    PAGE 23
NOTES TO CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED INTERIM FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED)



4.
Interest in Atlas joint venture:

a)
The Company has a 63.1% equity interest in Atlas Methanol Company Unlimited (Atlas). Atlas owns a 1.8 million tonne per year methanol production facility in Trinidad. The Company accounts for its interest in Atlas using the equity method. Summarized financial information of Atlas (100% basis) is as follows:
Consolidated statements of financial position as at
Sep 30
2015

Dec 31
2014

Cash and cash equivalents
$
11,529

$
24,834

Other current assets
90,983

70,594

Non-current assets
320,536

352,616

Current liabilities
(44,131
)
(29,442
)
Other long-term liabilities, including current maturities
(136,694
)
(145,336
)
Net assets at 100%
$
242,223

$
273,266

Net assets at 63.1%
$
152,843

$
172,431

Long-term receivable from Atlas
44,276

43,804

Investment in associate
$
197,119

$
216,235


 
Three Months Ended
 
Nine Months Ended
Consolidated statements of income
Sep 30
2015

Sep 30
2014

 
Sep 30
2015

Sep 30
2014

Revenue
$
95,285

$
76,578

 
$
277,919

$
271,373

Cost of sales and depreciation and amortization
(42,463
)
(78,711
)
 
(178,747
)
(248,929
)
Operating income
52,822

(2,133
)
 
99,172

22,444

Finance costs, finance income and other expenses
(2,273
)
(2,673
)
 
(6,967
)
(8,179
)
Income tax expense
(18,358
)
(1,277
)
 
(33,248
)
(4,664
)
Net earnings (loss) at 100%
$
32,191

$
(6,083
)
 
$
58,957

$
9,601

Earnings (loss) of associate at 63.1%
$
20,313

$
(3,838
)
 
$
37,202

$
6,058

 
 
 
 
 
 
Dividends received from associate
$
12,620

$

 
$
56,790

$
25,240


On December 31, 2014, the Company reclassified the presentation related to purchases of inventory from associate. The reclassification has been reflected in the comparative figures. For the three month and nine month periods ended September 30, 2014 the reclassification resulted in an increase to earnings of associate by $4.8 million and $4.0 million, respectively. These amounts have been reclassified to cost of sales and inventory with the associated tax impacts reflected in deferred taxes.


b)
Contingent liability:

The Board of Inland Revenue of Trinidad and Tobago has issued assessments against Atlas in respect of the 2005, 2006, 2007 and 2008 financial years. All subsequent tax years remain open to assessment. The assessments relate to the pricing arrangements of certain long-term fixed price sales contracts from 2005 to 2019 related to methanol produced by Atlas. Atlas had partial relief from corporation income tax until late July 2014.

The Company has lodged objections to the assessments. Based on the merits of the cases and legal interpretation, management believes its position should be sustained.




METHANEX CORPORATION 2015 THIRD QUARTER REPORT    PAGE 24
NOTES TO CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED INTERIM FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED)



5.
Long-term debt:

As at
Sep 30
2015

Dec 31
2014

Unsecured notes
 
 
$150 million at 6.00% due August 15, 2015
$

$
149,835

$350 million at 3.25% due December 15, 2019
346,062

345,387

$250 million at 5.25% due March 1, 2022
247,266

246,991

$300 million at 4.25% due December 1, 2024
296,134

296,073

$300 million at 5.65% due December 1, 2044
295,011

294,936

 
1,184,473

1,333,222

Egypt limited recourse debt facilities
329,610

368,678

Other limited recourse debt facilities
17,400

20,138

Total long-term debt 1
1,531,483

1,722,038

Less current maturities
(46,647
)
(193,831
)
 
$
1,484,836

$
1,528,207


1 
Long-term debt is presented net of deferred financing fees.

During the three months ended September 30, 2015, the Company made repayments on its other limited recourse debt facilities of $0.9 million and $20.5 million on its Egypt limited recourse debt facilities.

At September 30, 2015, management believes the Company was in compliance with all significant terms and default provisions related to long-term debt obligations.    



6.
Finance costs:

 
Three Months Ended
 
Nine Months Ended
 
Sep 30
2015

Sep 30
2014

 
Sep 30
2015

Sep 30
2014

Finance costs
$
21,283

$
15,316

 
$
69,891

$
46,364

Less capitalized interest related to Geismar plants under construction
(5,072
)
(7,572
)
 
(14,913
)
(18,212
)
 
$
16,211

$
7,744

 
$
54,978

$
28,152


Finance costs are primarily comprised of interest on borrowings and finance lease obligations, the effective portion of interest rate swaps designated as cash flow hedges, amortization of deferred financing fees, and accretion expense associated with site restoration costs. Interest during construction of the Geismar plants is capitalized until the plants are substantially complete and ready for productive use.



METHANEX CORPORATION 2015 THIRD QUARTER REPORT    PAGE 25
NOTES TO CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED INTERIM FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED)



7.
Net income per common share:

Diluted net income per common share is calculated by considering the potential dilution that would occur if outstanding stock options and, under certain circumstances, tandem share appreciation rights (“TSARs”) were exercised or converted to common shares.

Outstanding TSARs may be settled in cash or common shares at the holder’s option and for purposes of calculating diluted net income per common share, the more dilutive of the cash-settled and equity-settled method is used, regardless of how the plan is accounted for. Accordingly, TSARs that are accounted for using the cash-settled method will require adjustments to the numerator and denominator if the equity-settled method is determined to have a dilutive effect on diluted net income per common share as compared to the cash-settled method.

A reconciliation of the numerator used for the purpose of calculating diluted net income per common share is as follows:
 
Three Months Ended
 
Nine Months Ended
 
Sep 30
2015

Sep 30
2014

 
Sep 30
2015

Sep 30
2014

Numerator for basic net income per common share
$
78,073

$
51,580

 
$
191,307

$
321,466

Adjustment for the effect of TSARs:
 
 
 
 
 
Cash-settled recovery included in net income
(28,772
)

 
(12,507
)

Equity-settled expense
(700
)

 
(4,612
)

Numerator for diluted net income per common share
$
48,601

$
51,580

 
$
174,188

$
321,466


Stock options and, if calculated using the equity-settled method, TSARs are considered dilutive when the average market price of the Company’s common shares during the period disclosed exceeds the exercise price of the stock option or TSAR. A reconciliation of the denominator used for the purposes of calculating basic and diluted net income per common share is as follows:
 
Three Months Ended
 
Nine Months Ended
 
Sep 30
2015

Sep 30
2014

 
Sep 30
2015

Sep 30
2014

Denominator for basic net income per common share
90,144,422

94,271,170

 
90,967,926

95,559,242

Effect of dilutive stock options
211,859

524,267

 
306,365

580,892

Effect of dilutive TSARs
336,144


 
481,202


Denominator for diluted net income per common share
90,692,425

94,795,437

 
91,755,493

96,140,134




METHANEX CORPORATION 2015 THIRD QUARTER REPORT    PAGE 26
NOTES TO CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED INTERIM FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED)



8.
Share-based compensation:

a)
Share appreciation rights (“SARs”), TSARs and stock options:

(i)
Outstanding units:

Information regarding units outstanding at September 30, 2015 is as follows:
 
SARs
 
TSARs
(per share amounts in USD)
Number of Units

Weighted Average Exercise Price

 
Number of Units

Weighted Average Exercise Price

Outstanding at December 31, 2014
1,085,247

$
40.78

 
1,732,185

$
39.59

Granted
279,273

55.66

 
416,605

55.39

Exercised
(93,587
)
32.24

 
(17,300
)
31.89

Cancelled
(2,900
)
52.68

 
(6,850
)
64.98

Outstanding at June 30, 2015
1,268,033

$
44.66

 
2,124,640

$
42.67

Granted
5,000

40.72

 


Exercised
(450
)
26.78

 


Cancelled
(10,075
)
59.12

 
(2,675
)
50.45

Outstanding at September 30, 2015
1,262,508

$
44.53

 
2,121,965

$
42.66


 
Stock Options
(per share amounts in USD)
Number of Units

Weighted Average Exercise Price

Outstanding at December 31, 2014
699,261

$
21.90

Granted
55,917

55.66

Exercised
(236,681
)
15.28

Cancelled
(3,600
)
61.50

Expired
(12,690
)
28.43

Outstanding at June 30, 2015
502,207

$
28.33

Exercised
(12,300
)
6.33

Cancelled
(3,600
)
61.50

Outstanding at September 30, 2015
486,307

$
28.64


 
Units Outstanding at
September 30, 2015
 
Units Exercisable at
September 30, 2015
Range of Exercise Prices
(per share amounts in USD)
Weighted Average
Remaining
Contractual Life
(Years)

Number of Units
Outstanding

Weighted
Average
Exercise Price

 
Number of Units
Exercisable

Weighted
Average
Exercise Price

SARs:
 
 
 
 
 
 
$23.36 to $40.72
3.37

765,920

$
32.70

 
646,286

$
31.71

$46.42 to $73.13
5.98

496,588

62.78

 
69,734

72.46

 
4.39

1,262,508

$
44.53

 
716,020

$
35.68

TSARs:
 
 
 
 
 
 
$23.36 to $40.72
3.26

1,400,535

$
32.41

 
1,227,235

$
31.58

$46.42 to $73.13
6.00

721,430

62.57

 
99,533

72.65

 
4.20

2,121,965

$
42.66

 
1,326,768

$
34.66

Stock options:
 
 
 
 
 
 
$6.33 to $25.22
0.65

224,590

$
10.51

 
224,590

$
10.51

$28.43 to $73.13
4.45

261,717

44.20

 
158,200

36.12

 
2.70

486,307

$
28.64

 
382,790

$
21.10



METHANEX CORPORATION 2015 THIRD QUARTER REPORT    PAGE 27
NOTES TO CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED INTERIM FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED)



8.
Share-based compensation (continued):

(ii)
Compensation expense related to SARs and TSARs:

Compensation expense for SARs and TSARs is measured based on their fair value and is recognized over the vesting period. Changes in fair value each period are recognized in net income for the proportion of the service that has been rendered at each reporting date. The fair value at September 30, 2015 was $12.3 million compared with the recorded liability of $11.6 million. The difference between the fair value and the recorded liability of $0.7 million will be recognized over the weighted average remaining vesting period of approximately 1.72 years. The weighted average fair value was estimated at September 30, 2015 using the Black-Scholes option pricing model.

For the three and nine month periods ended September 30, 2015, compensation expense related to SARs and TSARs included a recovery in cost of sales and operating expenses of $44.6 million (2014 - expense of $13.3 million) and a recovery of $19.6 million (2014 - expense of $28.8 million), respectively. This included a recovery of $45.3 million (2014 - expense of $11.7 million) and a recovery of $26.8 million (2014 - expense of $20.3 million), respectively, related to the effect of the change in the Company’s share price for the three and nine month periods ended September 30, 2015.

(iii)
Compensation expense related to stock options:

For the three and nine month periods ended September 30, 2015, compensation expense related to stock options included in cost of sales and operating expenses was $0.2 million (2014 - $0.2 million) and $0.6 million (2014 - $0.6 million), respectively. The fair value of each stock option grant was estimated on the grant date using the Black-Scholes option pricing model.

(b)
Deferred, restricted and performance share units:

Deferred, restricted and performance share units outstanding at September 30, 2015 are as follows:
 
Number of Deferred
Share Units

Number of Restricted
Share Units

Number of Performances
Share Units

Outstanding at December 31, 2014
302,158

30,365

798,944

Granted
5,790

6,400

169,990

Granted performance factor 1


71,100

Granted in-lieu of dividends
2,946

361

5,916

Redeemed
(1,500
)

(426,598
)
Cancelled


(14,247
)
Outstanding at June 30, 2015
309,394

37,126

605,105

Granted
671



Granted in-lieu of dividends
2,575

287

4,655

Redeemed



Cancelled


(3,483
)
Outstanding at September 30, 2015
312,640

37,413

606,277


1 
Performance share units have a feature where the ultimate number of units that vest are adjusted by a performance factor of the original grant as determined by the Company’s total shareholder return in relation to a predetermined target over the period to vesting. These units relate to performance share units redeemed in the quarter ended March 31, 2015.

Compensation expense for deferred, restricted and performance share units is measured at fair value based on the market value of the Company’s common shares and is recognized over the vesting period. Changes in fair value are recognized in net income for the proportion of the service that has been rendered at each reporting date. The fair value of deferred, restricted and performance share units at September 30, 2015 was $21.6 million compared with the recorded liability of $20.3 million. The difference between the fair value and the recorded liability of $1.3 million will be recognized over the weighted average remaining vesting period of approximately 1.5 years.


METHANEX CORPORATION 2015 THIRD QUARTER REPORT    PAGE 28
NOTES TO CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED INTERIM FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED)



8.
Share-based compensation (continued):

(b)
Deferred, restricted and performance share units (continued):

For the three and nine month periods ended September 30, 2015, compensation expense related to deferred, restricted and performance share units included in cost of sales and operating expenses was a recovery of $19.9 million (2014 - expense of $7.1 million) and an recovery of $13.5 million (2014 - expense of $15.4 million), respectively. This included a recovery of $21.7 million (2014 - expense of $5.1 million) and a recovery of $22.0 million (2014 - expense of $6.1 million) related to the effect of the change in the Company’s share price for the three and nine month periods ended September 30, 2015.



9.
Changes in non-cash working capital:

Changes in non-cash working capital for the three and six month periods ended September 30, 2015 and 2014 were as follows:
 
Three Months Ended
 
Nine Months Ended
 
Sep 30
2015

Sep 30
2014

 
Sep 30
2015

Sep 30
2014

Changes in non-cash working capital:
 
 
 
 
 
Trade and other receivables
$
81,523

$
30,770

 
$
(60,647
)
$
77,109

Inventories
46,983

15,714

 
37,716

49,231

Prepaid expenses
(6,361
)
7,078

 
2,469

(1,132
)
Trade, other payables and accrued liabilities, including long-term payables included in other long-term liabilities
(67,191
)
15,387

 
(66,879
)
(104,619
)
 
54,954

68,949

 
(87,341
)
20,589

Adjustments for items not having a cash effect and working capital changes relating to taxes and interest paid
(5,662
)
(4,959
)
 
(59,203
)
(45,020
)
Changes in non-cash working capital having a cash effect
$
49,292

$
63,990

 
$
(146,544
)
$
(24,431
)
 
 
 
 
 
 
These changes relate to the following activities:
 
 
 
 
 
Operating
$
57,749

$
40,879

 
$
(96,443
)
$
(9,685
)
Financing
(5,835
)
(7,151
)
 
(13,670
)
(6,515
)
Investing
(2,622
)
30,262

 
(36,431
)
(8,231
)
Changes in non-cash working capital
$
49,292

$
63,990

 
$
(146,544
)
$
(24,431
)



10.Financial instruments:

Financial instruments are either measured at amortized cost or fair value.
In the normal course of business, the Company's assets, liabilities and forecasted transactions, as reported in U.S. dollars, are impacted by various market risks including, but not limited to, natural gas prices and currency exchange rates. The time frame and manner in which the Company manages those risks varies for each item based on the Company's assessment of the risk and the available alternatives for mitigating risks.
The Company uses derivatives as part of its risk management program to mitigate variability associated with changing market values. Changes in fair value of derivative financial instruments are recorded in earnings unless the instruments are designated as cash flow hedges. The Company designates as cash flow hedges derivative financial instruments to hedge its risk exposure to fluctuations in the euro compared to the U.S. dollar and derivative financial instruments to hedge its risk exposure to fluctuations in natural gas prices.

METHANEX CORPORATION 2015 THIRD QUARTER REPORT    PAGE 29
NOTES TO CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED INTERIM FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED)



10.    Financial instruments (continued):

The fair value of derivative instruments is determined based on industry-accepted valuation models using market observable inputs and are classified within Level 2 of the fair value hierarchy. The fair value of all of the Company's derivative contracts includes an adjustment for credit risk. The effective portion of the changes in fair value of derivative financial instruments designated as cash flow hedges is recorded in other comprehensive income. The spot element of forward contracts in the hedging relationships is recorded in other comprehensive income as the change in fair value of cash flow hedges. The change in the fair value of the forward element of forward contracts is recorded separately in other comprehensive income as the forward element excluded from hedging relationship.
Natural gas forward contracts
The Company has elected to manage its exposure to changes in natural gas prices for the Geismar 2 facility by executing a number of forward contracts which it has designated as cash flow hedges for its highly probable forecast natural gas purchases in North America. During the three months ended September 30, 2015, the Company entered into 10 year forward contracts to hedge approximately 40% of gas supply to the Geismar 2 facility once operational.
Euro forward exchange contracts
The Company manages its foreign currency exposure to the euro that results due to sales denominated in euros by executing a number of forward contracts which it has designated as cash flow hedges for its highly probable forecast euro collections.
The following tables provide additional information on the Company's derivative financial instruments designated as cash flow hedges outstanding as at September 30, 2015:
 
Notional amount by term to maturity
 
1 year or less

1-3 years

3-5 years

More than 5 years

Total

Natural gas forward contracts
19,358

82,038

87,095

266,920

$
455,411

Euro forward exchange contracts
72,742




$
72,742

 
Consolidated balance sheet classification
Fair Value at September 30, 2015

Natural gas forward contracts
Other long-term liabilities
$
28,927

Euro forward exchange contracts
Other long-term liabilities
$
76


The carrying values of the Company’s financial instruments approximate their fair values, except as follows:
 
September 30, 2015
As at
Carrying Value
Fair Value
Long-term debt excluding deferred financing fees
$
1,547,140

$
1,516,917


Long-term debt consists of limited recourse debt facilities and unsecured notes. There is no publicly traded market for the limited recourse debt facilities. The fair value disclosed on a recurring basis and categorized as Level 2 within the fair value hierarchy is estimated by reference to current market prices for debt securities with similar terms and characteristics. The fair value of the unsecured notes disclosed on a recurring basis and also categorized as Level 2 within the fair value hierarchy was estimated by reference to a limited number of small transactions in September 2015. The fair value of the Company’s unsecured notes will fluctuate until maturity.



METHANEX CORPORATION 2015 THIRD QUARTER REPORT    PAGE 30
NOTES TO CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED INTERIM FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED)



Methanex Corporation
Quarterly History (unaudited)

 
2015
Q3
Q2
Q1
2014
Q4
Q3
Q2
Q1
METHANOL SALES VOLUME
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(thousands of tonnes)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Methanex-produced 1
3,678

1,238

1,203

1,237

4,878

1,249

1,258

1,143

1,228

Purchased methanol
2,144

679

813

652

2,685

694

694

643

654

Commission sales 1
463

169

109

185

941

248

191

206

296

 
6,285

2,086

2,125

2,074

8,504

2,191

2,143

1,992

2,178

METHANOL PRODUCTION
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(thousands of tonnes)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
New Zealand
1,444

476

487

481

2,196

542

595

559

500

Atlas (Trinidad) (63.1% interest)
671

226

236

209

907

233

234

191

249

Titan (Trinidad)
541

172

183

186

664

127

185

203

149

Geismar 1 and 2 (Louisiana, USA) 2
715

259

276

180






Egypt (50% interest)
16


8

8

416

128

50

99

139

Medicine Hat (Canada)
301

123

51

127

505

115

130

138

122

Chile I and IV
116

3

40

73

165

62

10

26

67

 
3,804

1,259

1,281

1,264

4,853

1,207

1,204

1,216

1,226

AVERAGE REALIZED METHANOL PRICE 3
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
($/tonne)
337

323

350

337

437

390

389

450

524

($/gallon)
1.01

0.97

1.05

1.01

1.31

1.17

1.17

1.35

1.58

PER SHARE INFORMATION ($ per share) 4
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Adjusted net income 5
1.04

0.26

0.56

0.23

4.12

0.85

0.69

0.94

1.65

Basic net income
2.10

0.87

1.15

0.09

4.79

1.43

0.55

1.30

1.51

Diluted net income
1.90

0.54

1.15

0.09

4.55

1.11

0.54

1.24

1.50


1 
Methanex-produced methanol includes volume produced by Chile using natural gas supplied from Argentina under a tolling arrangement. Commission sales represent volume marketed on a commission basis related to the 36.9% of the Atlas methanol facility and the portion of the Egypt methanol facility that we do not own.

2 
We commenced methanol production from Geismar 1 in January 2015.

3 
Average realized price is calculated as revenue, excluding commissions earned and the Egypt non-controlling interest share of revenue but including an amount representing our share of Atlas revenue, divided by the total sales volume of Methanex-produced (attributable to Methanex shareholders) and purchased methanol but excluding volume produced by Chile using natural gas supplied from Argentina under a tolling agreement.

4 
Per share information calculated using amounts attributable to Methanex shareholders.

5 
This item is a non-GAAP measure that does not have any standardized meaning prescribed by GAAP and therefore is unlikely to be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies. Refer to Additional Information - Supplemental Non-GAAP Measures on page 12 for a description of the non-GAAP measure and reconciliation to the most comparable GAAP measure.


METHANEX CORPORATION 2015 THIRD QUARTER REPORT    PAGE 31
QUARTERLY HISTORY



SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.

 
METHANEX CORPORATION
Date: October 28, 2015
By:
/s/ KEVIN PRICE
 
 
Name:
 
Kevin Price
 
 
Title:
 
Vice President, Legal,
Assistant General Counsel
& Corporate Secretary