e10vq
Table of Contents

 
 
UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549
FORM 10-Q
(Mark One)
     
þ   QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
For the quarterly period ended September 30, 2007
OR
     
o   TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
For the transition period from                      to                     .
Commission file number 0-15341
Donegal Group Inc.
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
     
Delaware   23-2424711
     
(State or other jurisdiction of   (I.R.S. Employer
incorporation or organization)   Identification No.)
1195 River Road, P.O. Box 302, Marietta, PA 17547-0302
    (Address of principal executive offices)       (Zip code)     
(717) 426-1931
(Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)
Not applicable
 
(Former name, former address and former fiscal year, if changed since last report)
     Indicate by check mark whether registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. Yes þ. No o.
     Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, or a non-accelerated filer. See definition of “accelerated filer and large accelerated filer” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act. (Check one):
     Large accelerated filer o      Accelerated filer þ       Non-accelerated filer o.
     Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act). Yes o. No þ.
     Indicate the number of shares outstanding of each of the issuer’s classes of common stock, as of the latest practicable date: 19,699,824 shares of Class A Common Stock, par value $0.01 per share, and 5,576,775 shares of Class B Common Stock, par value $0.01 per share, outstanding on October 31, 2007.
 
 

 


TABLE OF CONTENTS

Part I. Financial Information
Item 1. Financial Statements
Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations.
Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
Item 4. Controls and Procedures
Part II. Other Information
Item 1. Legal Proceedings
Item 2. Changes in Securities, Use of Proceeds and Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities
Item 3. Defaults upon Senior Securities
Item 4. Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders
Item 5. Other Information
Item 6. Exhibits
Signatures
Certification of CEO
Certification of CFO
Statement of CEO
Statement of CFO


Table of Contents

Part I. Financial Information
Item 1. Financial Statements.
Donegal Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Consolidated Balance Sheets
                 
    September 30, 2007     December 31, 2006  
    (Unaudited)          
Assets
               
 
               
Investments
               
Fixed maturities
               
Held to maturity, at amortized cost
  $ 160,465,027     $ 169,178,137  
Available for sale, at fair value
    344,896,275       331,669,778  
Equity securities, available for sale, at fair value
    43,959,677       40,541,826  
Investments in affiliates
    8,534,363       8,463,059  
Short-term investments, at cost, which approximates fair value
    39,050,848       41,484,874  
 
           
Total investments
    596,906,190       591,337,674  
Cash
    4,813,922       531,756  
Accrued investment income
    5,645,234       5,769,087  
Premiums receivable
    53,571,359       49,948,454  
Reinsurance receivable
    90,552,163       97,677,015  
Deferred policy acquisition costs
    26,909,245       24,738,929  
Deferred tax asset, net
    8,238,442       9,085,688  
Prepaid reinsurance premiums
    49,776,570       44,376,953  
Property and equipment, net
    5,536,132       5,146,305  
Accounts receivable — securities
    4,670,117       262,992  
Federal income taxes recoverable
          998,785  
Other
    1,521,788       1,824,173  
 
           
Total assets
  $ 848,141,162     $ 831,697,811  
 
           
 
               
Liabilities and Stockholders’ Equity
               
 
               
Liabilities
               
Losses and loss expenses
  $ 242,000,329     $ 259,022,459  
Unearned premiums
    213,329,263       196,902,972  
Accrued expenses
    11,716,963       12,754,012  
Reinsurance balances payable
    2,593,018       2,034,972  
Federal income taxes payable
    712,477        
Cash dividends declared to stockholders
          2,442,958  
Subordinated debentures
    30,929,000       30,929,000  
Accounts payable — securities
          3,392,329  
Due to affiliate
    485,463       1,567,091  
Drafts payable
    624,793       381,744  
Other
    1,245,518       1,468,012  
 
           
Total liabilities
    503,636,824       510,895,549  
 
           
 
               
Stockholders’ Equity
               
Preferred stock, $1.00 par value, authorized 2,000,000 shares; none issued
           
Class A common stock, $.01 par value, authorized 30,000,000 shares, issued 19,961,708 and 19,834,248 shares and outstanding 19,651,051 and 19,689,318 shares
    199,617       198,342  
Class B common stock, $.01 par value, authorized 10,000,000 shares, issued 5,649,240 shares and outstanding 5,576,775 shares
    56,492       56,492  
Additional paid-in capital
    154,417,449       152,391,301  
Accumulated other comprehensive income
    5,854,057       5,061,174  
Retained earnings
    187,428,952       163,986,701  
Treasury stock
    (3,452,229 )     (891,748 )
 
           
Total stockholders’ equity
    344,504,338       320,802,262  
 
           
Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity
  $ 848,141,162     $ 831,697,811  
 
           
See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.

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Table of Contents

Donegal Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Consolidated Statements of Income

(Unaudited)
                 
    Three Months Ended September 30,  
    2007     2006  
Revenues:
               
Net premiums earned
  $ 77,609,940     $ 75,705,387  
Investment income, net of investment expenses
    5,812,669       5,385,705  
Net realized investment gains
    488,226       152,694  
Lease income
    267,741       243,998  
Installment payment fees
    1,262,255       1,131,873  
 
           
Total revenues
    85,440,831       82,619,657  
 
           
 
               
Expenses:
               
Net losses and loss expenses
    41,011,053       42,555,787  
Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs
    12,940,000       12,152,000  
Other underwriting expenses
    14,218,116       12,549,734  
Policy dividends
    360,885       520,147  
Interest
    733,558       725,994  
Other expenses
    484,168       489,804  
 
           
Total expenses
    69,747,780       68,993,466  
 
           
 
               
Income before income tax expense
    15,693,051       13,626,191  
Income tax expense
    4,480,623       3,807,890  
 
           
 
               
Net income
  $ 11,212,428     $ 9,818,301  
 
           
 
               
Earnings per common share:
               
Class A common stock — basic
  $ 0.45     $ 0.40  
 
           
Class A common stock — diluted
  $ 0.45     $ 0.39  
 
           
Class B common stock — basic and diluted
  $ 0.41     $ 0.36  
 
           
Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income
(Unaudited)
                 
    Three Months Ended September 30,  
    2007     2006  
Net income
  $ 11,212,428     $ 9,818,301  
Other comprehensive income, net of tax
               
Unrealized gains on securities:
               
Unrealized holding gain during the period, net of income tax
    3,553,723       5,416,304  
Reclassification adjustment, net of income tax
    (317,346 )     (99,251 )
 
           
Other comprehensive income
    3,236,377       5,317,053  
 
           
Comprehensive income
  $ 14,448,805     $ 15,135,354  
 
           
See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.

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Donegal Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Consolidated Statements of Income
(Unaudited)
                 
    Nine Months Ended September 30,  
    2007     2006  
Revenues:
               
Net premiums earned
  $ 231,882,586     $ 225,280,341  
Investment income, net of investment expenses
    16,878,913       15,424,517  
Net realized investment gains
    653,656       1,034,741  
Lease income
    791,159       728,160  
Installment payment fees
    3,521,709       3,295,280  
 
           
Total revenues
    253,728,023       245,763,039  
 
           
 
               
Expenses:
               
Net losses and loss expenses
    132,155,199       126,628,127  
Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs
    37,890,000       36,020,000  
Other underwriting expenses
    41,329,592       37,566,486  
Policy dividends
    868,004       1,042,117  
Interest
    2,160,580       2,061,888  
Other expenses
    1,496,889       1,553,911  
 
           
Total expenses
    215,900,264       204,872,529  
 
           
 
               
Income before income tax expense
    37,827,759       40,890,510  
Income tax expense
    10,344,437       11,721,439  
 
           
 
               
Net income
  $ 27,483,322     $ 29,169,071  
 
           
 
               
Earnings per common share:
               
Class A common stock — basic
  $ 1.11     $ 1.20  
 
           
Class A common stock — diluted
  $ 1.10     $ 1.16  
 
           
Class B common stock — basic and diluted
  $ 1.00     $ 1.08  
 
           
Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income
(Unaudited)
                 
    Nine Months Ended September 30,  
    2007     2006  
Net income
  $ 27,483,322     $ 29,169,071  
Other comprehensive income, net of tax
               
Unrealized gains on securities:
               
Unrealized holding gain during the period, net of income tax
    1,217,759       2,203,509  
Reclassification adjustment, net of income tax
    (424,876 )     (672,582 )
 
           
Other comprehensive income
    792,883       1,530,927  
 
           
Comprehensive income
  $ 28,276,205     $ 30,699,998  
 
           
See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.

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Donegal Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Consolidated Statement of Stockholders’ Equity

(Unaudited)
Nine Months Ended September 30, 2007
                                                                         
                                            Accumulated                        
                                    Additional     Other                     Total  
                                    Paid-In     Comprehensive     Retained     Treasury     Stockholders’  
    Class A Shares     Class B Shares     Class A Amount     Class B Amount     Capital     Income     Earnings     Stock     Equity  
Balance, December 31, 2006
    19,834,248       5,649,240     $ 198,342     $ 56,492     $ 152,391,301     $ 5,061,174     $ 163,986,701     $ (891,748 )   $ 320,802,262  
 
Issuance of common stock (stock compensation plans)
    127,460               1,275               1,765,742                               1,767,017  
 
Net income
                                                    27,483,322               27,483,322  
 
Cash dividends
                                                    (3,979,630 )             (3,979,630 )
 
Grant of stock options
                                    61,441               (61,441 )              
 
Tax benefit on exercise of stock options
                                    198,965                               198,965  
 
Repurchase of treasury stock
                                                            (2,560,481 )     (2,560,481 )
 
Other comprehensive income
                                            792,883                       792,883  
 
                                                     
 
Balance, September 30, 2007
    19,961,708       5,649,240     $ 199,617     $ 56,492     $ 154,417,449     $ 5,854,057     $ 187,428,952     $ (3,452,229 )   $ 344,504,338  
 
                                                     
See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.

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Donegal Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows

(Unaudited)
                 
    Nine Months Ended September 30,  
    2007     2006  
Cash Flows from Operating Activities:
               
Net income
  $ 27,483,322     $ 29,169,071  
 
           
Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operating activities:
               
Depreciation and amortization
    1,884,993       2,023,178  
Realized investment gains
    (653,656 )     (1,034,741 )
Changes in assets and liabilities:
               
Losses and loss expenses
    (17,022,130 )     3,879,739  
Unearned premiums
    16,426,291       16,222,983  
Premiums receivable
    (3,622,905 )     (3,716,410 )
Deferred acquisition costs
    (2,170,316 )     (1,745,471 )
Deferred income taxes
    420,310       80,140  
Reinsurance receivable
    7,124,852       (6,971,344 )
Prepaid reinsurance premiums
    (5,399,617 )     (4,841,743 )
Accrued investment income
    123,853       112,301  
Due from affiliate
    (1,081,628 )     (1,084,938 )
Reinsurance balances payable
    558,046       191,316  
Current income taxes
    1,711,262       40,454  
Accrued expenses
    (1,037,049 )     (1,656,943 )
Other, net
    322,942       (688,352 )
 
           
Net adjustments
    (2,414,752 )     810,169  
 
           
Net cash provided by operating activities
    25,068,570       29,979,240  
 
           
 
Cash Flows from Investing Activities:
               
Purchases of fixed maturities:
               
Available for sale
    (38,785,682 )     (76,896,066 )
Purchases of equity securities, available for sale
    (16,762,862 )     (24,918,543 )
Maturity of fixed maturities:
               
Held to maturity
    8,204,300       6,869,266  
Available for sale
    21,994,045       25,290,261  
Sales of fixed maturities:
               
Available for sale
          18,143,309  
Sales of equity securities, available for sale
    10,086,892       14,791,496  
Net decrease in investment in affiliates
    160,057       18,378  
Net purchase of property and equipment
    (1,100,093 )     (457,746 )
Net sales of short-term investments
    2,434,026       6,973,650  
 
           
Net cash used in investing activities
    (13,769,317 )     (30,185,995 )
 
           
 
Cash Flows from Financing Activities:
               
Cash dividends paid
    (6,422,588 )     (5,774,874 )
Issuance of common stock
    1,767,017       5,078,484  
Repurchase of treasury stock
    (2,560,481 )      
Tax benefit on exercise of stock options
    198,965       1,922,041  
 
           
Net cash provided by (used in) financing activities
    (7,017,087 )     1,225,651  
 
           
 
Net increase in cash
    4,282,166       1,018,896  
Cash at beginning of period
    531,756       3,811,011  
 
           
Cash at end of period
  $ 4,813,922     $ 4,829,907  
 
           
 
Cash paid during period — Interest
  $ 2,164,472     $ 2,021,331  
Net cash paid during period — Taxes
  $ 8,000,000     $ 9,675,000  
See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.

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DONEGAL GROUP INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
(Unaudited)
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements
1- Organization
     We were organized as an insurance holding company by Donegal Mutual Insurance Company (“Donegal Mutual”) on August 26, 1986. Our insurance subsidiaries, Atlantic States Insurance Company (“Atlantic States”), Southern Insurance Company of Virginia (“Southern”), Le Mars Insurance Company (“Le Mars”) and the Peninsula Insurance Group (“Peninsula”), which consists of Peninsula Indemnity Company and The Peninsula Insurance Company, write personal and commercial lines of property and casualty insurance exclusively through a network of independent insurance agents in certain Mid-Atlantic, Midwest and Southern states. The personal lines products consist primarily of homeowners and private passenger automobile policies. The commercial lines products consist primarily of commercial automobile, commercial multi-peril and workers’ compensation policies. Donegal Mutual and our insurance subsidiaries conduct business together as the Donegal Insurance Group. We also own approximately 48% of the outstanding stock of Donegal Financial Services Corporation (“DFSC”), a thrift holding company that owns Province Bank FSB. Donegal Mutual owns the remaining approximately 52% of the outstanding stock of DFSC.
     At September 30, 2007, Donegal Mutual held approximately 42% of our outstanding Class A common stock and approximately 73% of our outstanding Class B common stock.
     Atlantic States, our largest subsidiary, and Donegal Mutual have a pooling agreement under which both companies proportionately share their combined underwriting results, excluding certain reinsurance assumed by Donegal Mutual from our insurance subsidiaries. See Note 4 — Reinsurance for more information regarding the pooling agreement.
     On March 7, 2007, our board of directors authorized a share repurchase program, pursuant to which we may purchase up to 500,000 shares of our Class A common stock at market prices prevailing from time to time in the open market subject to the provisions of SEC Rule 10b-18 and in privately negotiated transactions. We purchased 32,000 and 165,727 shares of our Class A common stock under this program during the three and nine months ended September 30, 2007, respectively.
2- Basis of Presentation
     Our financial information for the interim periods included herein is unaudited; however, such information reflects all adjustments, consisting only of normal recurring adjustments that, in the opinion of management, are necessary for a fair presentation of our financial position, results of operations and cash flows for the interim periods included herein. Our results of operations for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 are not necessarily indicative of our results of operations to be expected for the twelve months ending December 31, 2007.
     These interim financial statements should be read in conjunction with the financial statements and notes thereto contained in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2006.
3- Earnings Per Share
     We have two classes of common stock, which we refer to as Class A common stock and Class B common stock. Our Class A common stock is entitled to cash dividends that are at least 10% higher than those declared and paid on our Class B common stock. Accordingly, we use the two-class method for the computation of earnings per common share pursuant to Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 128, “Earnings Per Share.” The two-class method is an earnings allocation formula that determines earnings per share separately for each class of common stock based on dividends declared and an allocation of remaining undistributed earnings using a participation percentage reflecting the dividend rights of each class. A reconciliation of the numerators and denominators used in the basic and diluted per share computations is presented below for each class of stock:

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    (dollars in thousands, except per share data)  
    2007     2006  
    Class A     Class B     Class A     Class B  
For the Three Months Ended September 30:
                               
Basic net income per share:
                               
Numerator:
                               
Allocation of net income
  $ 8,930     $ 2,282     $ 7,818     $ 2,000  
 
                       
Denominator:
                               
Weighted-average shares outstanding
    19,628,405       5,576,775       19,548,873       5,576,775  
 
                       
Basic net income per share
  $ 0.45     $ 0.41     $ 0.40     $ 0.36  
 
                       
 
Diluted net income per share:
                               
Numerator:
                               
Allocation of net income
  $ 8,930     $ 2,282     $ 7,818     $ 2,000  
 
                       
Denominator:
                               
Number of shares used in basic computation
    19,628,405       5,576,775       19,548,873       5,576,775  
Weighted-average effect of dilutive securities
                               
Add: Director and employee stock options
    221,611             525,112        
 
                       
Number of shares used in per share computations
    19,850,016       5,576,775       20,073,985       5,576,775  
 
                       
Diluted net income per share
  $ 0.45     $ 0.41     $ 0.39     $ 0.36  
 
                       
                                 
    (dollars in thousands, except per share data)  
    2007     2006  
    Class A     Class B     Class A     Class B  
For the Nine Months Ended September 30:
                               
Basic net income per share:
                               
Numerator:
                               
Allocation of net income
  $ 21,886     $ 5,597     $ 23,151     $ 6,018  
 
                       
Denominator:
                               
Weighted-average shares outstanding
    19,674,869       5,576,775       19,314,741       5,576,775  
 
                       
Basic net income per share
  $ 1.11     $ 1.00     $ 1.20     $ 1.08  
 
                       
Diluted net income per share:
                               
Numerator:
                               
Allocation of net income
  $ 21,886     $ 5,597     $ 23,151     $ 6,018  
 
                       
Denominator:
                               
Number of shares used in basic computation
    19,674,869       5,576,775       19,314,741       5,576,775  
Weighted-average effect of dilutive securities
                               
Add: Director and employee stock options
    292,257             621,792        
 
                       
Number of shares used in per share computations
    19,967,126       5,576,775       19,936,533       5,576,775  
 
                       
Diluted net income per share
  $ 1.10     $ 1.00     $ 1.16     $ 1.08  
 
                       
Options to purchase the following number of shares of Class A common stock were not included in the computation of diluted earnings per share because the exercise price of the options was greater than the average market price during the relevant period:
                                 
    Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
    September 30,     September 30,  
    2007     2006     2007     2006  
Number of shares
    1,032,500             1,051,667        
 
                       

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4- Reinsurance
     Atlantic States has participated in an inter-company pooling agreement with Donegal Mutual since 1986. Both Atlantic States and Donegal Mutual place all of their direct business into the pool, and Atlantic States and Donegal Mutual then proportionately share the pooled business in accordance with the terms of the pooling agreement. Atlantic States has a 70% share of the results of the pool, and Donegal Mutual has a 30% share of the results of the pool. There have been no changes to the pool participation percentages since July 1, 2000.
     The risk profiles of the business written by Atlantic States and Donegal Mutual historically have been, and continue to be, substantially similar. The products, classes of business underwritten, pricing practices and underwriting standards of Donegal Mutual and our insurance subsidiaries are determined and administered by the same management and underwriting personnel. In addition, as the Donegal Insurance Group, Donegal Mutual and our insurance subsidiaries share a combined business plan to achieve market penetration and underwriting profitability objectives. The products offered by our insurance subsidiaries and Donegal Mutual are generally complementary, thereby allowing Donegal Insurance Group to offer a broader range of products to a given market and to expand Donegal Insurance Group’s ability to service an entire personal lines or commercial lines account. Distinctions within the products of Donegal Mutual and our insurance subsidiaries generally relate to specific risk profiles targeted within similar classes of business, such as preferred tier versus standard tier products, but not all of the standard risk gradients are allocated to one company. Therefore, the underwriting profitability of the business directly written by the individual companies will vary. However, because the risk characteristics of all business written directly by Donegal Mutual and Atlantic States are homogenized within the pool and each company shares the results according to its participation level, Atlantic States realizes 70% of the underwriting profitability of the pool (because of its 70% participation in the pool), while Donegal Mutual realizes 30% of the underwriting profitability of the pool (because of Donegal Mutual’s 30% participation in the pool). Pooled business represents the predominant percentage of the net underwriting activity of both Atlantic States and Donegal Mutual.
     Atlantic States, Southern and Donegal Mutual purchase third-party reinsurance on a combined basis. Le Mars and Peninsula have separate third-party reinsurance programs that provide similar types of coverage and that are commensurate with their relative size and exposures. Several different reinsurers are used, all of which, consistent with Donegal Insurance Group’s requirements, have an A.M. Best rating of A- (Excellent) or better or, with respect to foreign reinsurers, have a financial condition that, in the opinion of our management, is equivalent to a company with at least an A- rating. The following information relates to the external reinsurance Atlantic States, Southern and Donegal Mutual has in place during 2007:
    excess of loss reinsurance, under which losses are automatically reinsured, through a series of contracts, over a set retention ($400,000 for 2007), and
 
    catastrophic reinsurance, under which Donegal Insurance Group recovers, through a series of contracts, 100% of an accumulation of many losses resulting from a single event, including natural disasters, over a set retention ($3.0 million for 2007).
     Our insurance subsidiaries and Donegal Mutual also purchase facultative reinsurance to cover exposures from losses that exceed the limits provided by their respective treaty reinsurance.
     In addition to the pooling agreement and third-party reinsurance, Atlantic States, Southern, Le Mars and Peninsula have various reinsurance agreements with Donegal Mutual.
     There were no significant changes to the pooling agreement, third-party reinsurance or other reinsurance agreements between our insurance subsidiaries and Donegal Mutual during the nine months ended September 30, 2007.

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5- Segment Information
     We evaluate the performance of our personal lines and commercial lines segments based upon the underwriting results of our insurance subsidiaries as determined under statutory accounting principles prescribed or permitted by various state insurance departments (“SAP”), which our management uses to measure performance for the total business of our insurance subsidiaries. Financial data by segment is as follows:
                 
    Three Months Ended  
    September 30,  
    2007     2006  
    ($ in thousands)  
Revenues:
               
Premiums earned:
               
Commercial lines
  $ 28,058     $ 28,684  
Personal lines
    49,552       47,021  
 
           
Net premiums earned
    77,610       75,705  
Net investment income
    5,813       5,386  
Realized investment gains
    488       153  
Other
    1,530       1,376  
 
           
Total revenues
  $ 85,441     $ 82,620  
 
           
 
               
Income before income taxes:
               
Underwriting income:
               
Commercial lines
  $ 4,417     $ 6,741  
Personal lines
    3,604       215  
 
           
SAP underwriting income
    8,021       6,956  
GAAP adjustments
    1,059       971  
 
           
GAAP underwriting income
    9,080       7,927  
Net investment income
    5,813       5,386  
Realized investment gains
    488       153  
Other
    312       160  
 
           
Income before income taxes
  $ 15,693     $ 13,626  
 
           
                 
    Nine Months Ended  
    September 30,  
    2007     2006  
    ($ in thousands)  
Revenues:
               
Premiums earned:
               
Commercial lines
  $ 85,610     $ 86,550  
Personal lines
    146,273       138,730  
 
           
Net premiums earned
    231,883       225,280  
Net investment income
    16,879       15,425  
Realized investment gains
    654       1,035  
Other
    4,312       4,023  
 
           
Total revenues
  $ 253,728     $ 245,763  
 
           
 
               
Income before income taxes:
               
Underwriting income:
               
Commercial lines
  $ 15,350     $ 15,666  
Personal lines
    1,611       5,719  
 
           
SAP underwriting income
    16,961       21,385  
GAAP adjustments
    2,679       2,639  
 
           
GAAP underwriting income
    19,640       24,024  
Net investment income
    16,879       15,425  
Realized investment gains
    654       1,035  
Other
    655       407  
 
           
Income before income taxes
  $ 37,828     $ 40,891  
 
           

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6- Subordinated Debentures
     On May 15, 2003, we received $15.0 million in net proceeds from the issuance of subordinated debentures. The debentures mature on May 15, 2033 and are callable at our option, at par, after five years. The debentures carry an interest rate equal to the three-month LIBOR rate plus 4.10%, which is adjustable quarterly. At September 30, 2007, the interest rate on the debentures was 9.66%.
     On October 29, 2003, we received $10.0 million in net proceeds from the issuance of subordinated debentures. The debentures mature on October 29, 2033 and are callable at our option, at par, after five years. The debentures carry an interest rate equal to the three-month LIBOR rate plus 3.85%, which is adjustable quarterly. At September 30, 2007, the interest rate on the debentures was 9.21%.
     On May 24, 2004, we received $5.0 million in net proceeds from the issuance of subordinated debentures. The debentures mature on May 24, 2034 and are callable at our option, at par, after five years. The debentures carry an interest rate equal to the three-month LIBOR rate plus 3.85%, which is adjustable quarterly. At September 30, 2007, the interest rate on the debentures was 9.35%.
7- Share–Based Compensation
     Effective January 1, 2006, we adopted Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) Statement of Financial Accounting Standards (SFAS) No. 123(R), “Share-Based Payment” which requires the measurement of all share-based payments to employees, including grants of employee stock options, using a fair-value-based method and the recording of such expense in our consolidated statements of income. In determining the expense to be recorded for stock options granted to directors and employees of our subsidiaries and affiliates other than Donegal Mutual, the fair value of each option award is estimated on the date of grant using the Black-Scholes option pricing model. The significant assumptions utilized in applying the Black-Scholes option pricing model are the risk-free interest rate, expected term, dividend yield and expected volatility.
     Under SFAS No. 123(R), the compensation expense for our stock compensation plans that has been charged against income before income taxes was $94,655 and $51,106 for the three months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively, with a corresponding income tax benefit of $33,129 and $17,887, respectively. The compensation expense for our stock compensation plans that has been charged against income before income taxes was $248,798 and $151,089 for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively, with a corresponding income tax benefit of $87,079 and $52,881, respectively. As of September 30, 2007, our total unrecognized compensation cost related to nonvested share-based compensation granted under our stock compensation plans was $354,552. This cost is expected to be recognized over a weighted average period of 2.6 years.
     SFAS No. 123(R) does not set accounting requirements for share-based compensation to nonemployees. We continue to account for share-based compensation to employees and directors of Donegal Mutual under the provisions of FIN No. 44 and EITF 00-23, which state that when employees of a controlling entity are granted share-based compensation, the entity granting the share-based compensation should measure the fair value of the award at the grant date and recognize the fair value as a dividend to the controlling entity. These provisions apply to options granted to employees and directors of Donegal Mutual, the employer of record for the majority of employees that provide services to us. We recorded implied dividends of $22,282 and $23,939 for the three months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively. We recorded implied dividends of $61,441 and $82,809 for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively.
     Cash received from option exercises under all stock compensation plans for the three months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006 was $375,210 and $602,181, respectively. The actual tax benefit realized for the tax deductions from option exercises of share-based compensation was $161,230 and $193,969 for the three months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively. Cash received from option exercises under all stock compensation plans for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006 was $504,380 and $4,093,149, respectively. The actual tax benefit realized for the tax deductions from option exercises of share-based compensation was $198,965 and $1,922,041 for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively.

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8- Impact of New Accounting Standards
     In June 2006, the FASB issued Interpretation No. 48, “Accounting for Uncertainty in Income Taxes, an interpretation of FASB Statement No. 109” (FIN No. 48). FIN No. 48 clarifies the accounting for uncertainty in income taxes recognized in financial statements in accordance with SFAS No. 109, “Accounting for Income Taxes.” Effective January 1, 2007, we adopted FIN No. 48. As of January 1, 2007, we had no material unrecognized tax benefits or accrued interest and penalties. Our policy is to account for interest as a component of interest expense and penalties as a component of other expense. Federal tax years 2003 through 2006 were open for examination as of January 1, 2007. The adoption of FIN No. 48 did not have a significant effect on our results of operations, financial condition or liquidity.
     In September 2006, the Securities and Exchange Commission issued Staff Accounting Bulletin (SAB) No. 108 to address diversity in practice in quantifying financial statement misstatements. SAB No. 108 requires that registrants quantify the impact on the current year’s financial statements of correcting all misstatements, including the carryover and reversing effects of prior years’ misstatements, as well as the effects of errors arising in the current year. The adoption of SAB No. 108 did not have a significant effect on our results of operations, financial condition or liquidity.
     In September 2006, the FASB issued SFAS No. 157, “Fair Value Measurements.” This statement defines fair value, establishes a framework for measuring fair value in generally accepted accounting principles and expands disclosures about fair value measurements. This statement applies under other accounting pronouncements that require or permit fair value measurements. The statement is effective for financial statements issued for fiscal years beginning after November 15, 2007. We do not expect the adoption of this statement to have a significant effect on our results of operations, financial condition or liquidity.
     In February 2007, the FASB issued SFAS No. 159, “The Fair Value Option for Financial Assets and Financial Liabilities – Including an Amendment of FASB Statement No. 115.” SFAS No. 159 permits companies to choose to measure many financial instruments and certain other items at fair value at specified election dates. Upon adoption, an entity shall report unrealized gains and losses on items for which the fair value option has been elected in earnings at each subsequent reporting date. Most of the provisions apply only to entities that elect the fair value option. However, the amendment of SFAS No. 115, “Accounting for Certain Investments in Debt and Equity Securities,” applies to all entities with available-for-sale and trading securities. SFAS No. 159 is effective as of the beginning of an entity’s first fiscal year that begins after November 15, 2007. We do not expect the adoption of this statement to have a significant effect on our results of operations, financial condition or liquidity.
Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations.
     The following information should be read in conjunction with the historical financial information and the notes thereto included in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q and Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations contained in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2006 as filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on March 13, 2007.
Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates
     Our financial statements are combined with those of our insurance subsidiaries and are presented on a consolidated basis in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles in the United States (“GAAP”).
     Our insurance subsidiaries make estimates and assumptions that can have a significant effect on amounts and disclosures we report in our financial statements. The most significant estimates relate to the reserves of our insurance subsidiaries for property and casualty insurance unpaid losses and loss expenses, valuation of investments and our insurance subsidiaries’ policy acquisition costs. While we believe our estimates and the estimates of our insurance subsidiaries are appropriate, the ultimate amounts may differ from the estimates provided. We regularly review these estimates and reflect any adjustment considered necessary in our current results of operations.

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Liability for Losses and Loss Expenses
     Liabilities for losses and loss expenses are estimates at a given point in time of the amounts an insurer expects to pay with respect to policyholder claims based on facts and circumstances then known. An insurer recognizes at the time of establishing its estimates that its ultimate liability for losses and loss expenses will exceed or be less than such estimates. Our insurance subsidiaries base their estimates of liabilities for losses and loss expenses on assumptions as to future loss trends and expected claims severity, judicial theories of liability and other factors. However, during the loss adjustment period, our insurance subsidiaries may learn additional facts regarding individual claims, and consequently it often becomes necessary for our insurance subsidiaries to refine and adjust their estimates of liability. Our insurance subsidiaries reflect any adjustments to their liabilities for losses and loss expenses in their results of operations in the period in which the changes in estimates are made.
     Our insurance subsidiaries maintain liabilities for the payment of losses and loss expenses with respect to both reported and unreported claims. It is our intent that the liabilities for loss expenses will cover the ultimate costs of settling all losses, including investigation and litigation costs from such losses. Our insurance subsidiaries base the amount of their liability for reported losses primarily upon a case-by-case evaluation of the type of risk involved, knowledge of the circumstances surrounding each claim and the insurance policy provisions relating to the type of loss. Our insurance subsidiaries determine the amount of their liability for unreported claims and loss expenses on the basis of historical information by line of insurance. Our insurance subsidiaries account for inflation in the reserving function through analysis of costs and trends and reviews of historical reserving results. Our insurance subsidiaries closely monitor their liabilities and recompute them periodically using new information on reported claims and a variety of statistical techniques. Our insurance subsidiaries do not discount their liabilities for losses and loss expenses.
     Reserve estimates can change over time because of unexpected changes in assumptions related to our insurance subsidiaries’ external environment and, to a lesser extent, assumptions as to our insurance subsidiaries’ internal operations. Assumptions related to our insurance subsidiaries’ external environment include the absence of significant changes in tort law and the legal environment that increase liability exposure, consistency in judicial interpretations of insurance coverage and policy provisions and stability in economic conditions and the rate of loss cost inflation. For example, our insurance subsidiaries have experienced a decrease in claims frequency on bodily injury liability claims during the past several years while claims severity has gradually increased. These trend changes give rise to greater uncertainty as to the pattern of future loss settlements on bodily injury claims. Related uncertainties regarding future trends include the cost of medical technologies and procedures and changes in the utilization of medical procedures. Internal assumptions include accurate measurement of the impact of rate changes and changes in policy provisions and consistency in the quality and characteristics of business written within a given line of business, among other items. To the extent our insurance subsidiaries determine that underlying factors impacting their assumptions have changed, our insurance subsidiaries attempt to make appropriate adjustments for such changes in their reserves. Accordingly, our insurance subsidiaries’ ultimate liability for unpaid losses and loss expenses will likely differ from the amount recorded at September 30, 2007. For every 1% change in our estimate for loss and loss expense reserves of our insurance subsidiaries, net of reinsurance recoverable, the effect on our pre-tax results of operations would be approximately $1.5 million.
     The establishment of appropriate liabilities is an inherently uncertain process, and there can be no assurance that the ultimate liability of our insurance subsidiaries will not exceed our insurance subsidiaries’ loss and loss expense reserves and have an adverse effect on our results of operations and financial condition. Furthermore, the timing, frequency and extent of adjustments to our insurance subsidiaries’ estimated future liabilities cannot be predicted, since the historical conditions and events that serve as a basis for our insurance subsidiaries’ estimates of ultimate claim costs may change. As is the case for substantially all property and casualty insurance companies, our insurance subsidiaries have found it necessary in the past to increase their estimated future liabilities for losses and loss expenses in certain periods, and in other periods their estimates have exceeded their actual liabilities. Further adjustments could be required in the future. However, on the basis of our insurance subsidiaries’ internal procedures, which analyze, among other things, their prior assumptions, their experience with similar cases and historical trends such as reserving patterns, loss payments, pending levels of unpaid claims and product mix, as well as court decisions, economic conditions and public attitudes, we believe that our insurance subsidiaries have made adequate provision for their liability for losses and loss expenses.

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     Excluding the impact of isolated catastrophic weather events, our insurance subsidiaries have noted slight downward trends in the number of claims incurred and the number of claims outstanding at period ends relative to their premium base in recent years across most of their lines of business. However, the amount of the average claim outstanding has increased gradually over the past several years as the property and casualty insurance industry has experienced increased litigation trends, periods in which economic conditions extended the estimated length of disabilities, increased medical loss cost trends and a general slowing of settlement rates in litigated claims.
     Because of Atlantic States’ participation in the pool with Donegal Mutual, Atlantic States is exposed to adverse loss development on the business of Donegal Mutual included in the pool. However, pooled business represents the predominant percentage of the net underwriting activity of both companies, and Donegal Mutual and Atlantic States would proportionately share any adverse risk development of the pooled business. The business in the pool is homogenous, i.e., Atlantic States has a 70% share of the entire pool and Donegal Mutual has a 30% share of the entire pool. Since substantially all of the business of Atlantic States and Donegal Mutual is pooled and the results shared by each company according to its participation level under the terms of the pooling agreement, the underwriting pool is intended to produce a more uniform and stable underwriting result from year to year for each company than either would experience individually and to spread the risk of loss among each company.
     Our insurance subsidiaries’ liability for losses and loss expenses by major line of business as of September 30, 2007 and December 31, 2006 consisted of the following:
                 
    September 30,     December 31,  
    2007     2006  
(dollars in thousands)                
Commercial lines:
               
Automobile
  $ 22,064     $ 23,406  
Workers’ compensation
    38,351       39,563  
Commercial multi-peril
    24,322       25,994  
Other
    2,443       2,633  
 
           
Total commercial lines
    87,180       91,596  
 
           
 
               
Personal lines:
               
Automobile
    55,385       59,657  
Homeowners
    9,657       10,360  
Other
    1,489       1,699  
 
           
Total personal lines
    66,531       71,716  
 
           
 
               
Total commercial and personal lines
    153,711       163,312  
Plus reinsurance recoverable
    88,289       95,710  
 
           
Total liability for losses and loss expenses
  $ 242,000     $ 259,022  
 
           
     We have evaluated the effect on our insurance subsidiaries’ loss and loss expense reserves and our stockholders’ equity in the event of reasonably likely changes in the variables considered in establishing loss and loss expense reserves. We established the range of reasonably likely changes based on a review of changes in accident year development by line of business and applied to our insurance subsidiaries’ loss reserves as a whole. The selected range does not necessarily indicate what could be the potential best or worst case or likely scenario. The following table sets forth the effect on our insurance subsidiaries’ loss and loss expense reserves and our stockholders’ equity in the event of reasonably likely changes in the variables considered in establishing loss and loss expense reserves:

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    Adjusted Loss and       Adjusted Loss and    
    Loss Expense       Loss Expense   Percentage
Change in Loss   Reserves Net of   Percentage Change   Reserves Net of   Change
and Loss Expense   Reinsurance as of   in Equity as of   Reinsurance as of   in Equity as of
Reserves Net of   September 30,   September 30,   December 31,   December 31,
Reinsurance   2007   2007(1)   2006   2006(1)
(dollars in thousands)
(10.0)%
  $138,340       2.9%   $146,981       3.3%
(7.5)
  142,183   2.2   151,064   2.5
(5.0)
  146,025   1.5   155,146   1.7
(2.5)
  149,868   0.7   159,229   0.8
Base
  153,711     163,312  
2.5
  157,554   -0.7   167,395   -0.8
5.0
  161,397   -1.5   171,478   -1.7
7.5
  165,239   -2.2   175,560   -2.5
10.0
  169,082   -2.9   179,643   -3.3
 
(1)   Net of income tax effect.
Investments
     We present our investments in available-for-sale fixed maturity and equity securities at estimated fair value, which generally represents quoted market prices.
     We held fixed maturities and equity securities with unrealized losses representing declines that we considered temporary at September 30, 2007 as follows:
                                 
    Less than 12 months     12 months or longer  
    Fair     Unrealized     Fair     Unrealized  
    Value     Losses     Value     Losses  
    ($ in thousands)  
U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of U.S. government corporations and agencies
  $     $     $ 71,933     $ 685  
Obligations of states and political subdivisions
    50,076       399       46,357       447  
Corporate securities
    3,461       47       6,017       145  
Mortgage-backed securities
    14,981       135       32,949       795  
Equity securities
    10,418       1,189       583       103  
 
                       
Totals
  $ 78,936     $ 1,770     $ 157,839     $ 2,175  
 
                       
     Of the total fixed maturity securities with an unrealized loss at September 30, 2007, we classified securities with a fair value of $136.9 million and an unrealized loss of $1.5 million as available for sale and carried them at fair value on our balance sheet, while we classified securities with a fair value of $88.9 million and an unrealized loss of $1.2 million as held to maturity on our balance sheet and carried them at amortized cost.
     We have no direct exposure to sub-prime residential mortgage-backed securities and hold no collateralized debt obligations. Substantially all of the unrealized losses within our fixed maturity investment portfolio resulted from increases in market interest rates and the related impact on our fixed maturity investment valuations. When determining possible impairment of our debt securities, we consider unrealized losses that are due to the impact of higher market interest rates to be temporary in nature because we have the ability and intent to hold our debt securities to maturity.
     We make estimates concerning the valuation of our investments and the recognition of other than temporary declines in the value of our investments. When we consider the decline in value of an individual investment to be other than temporary, we write down the investment to its estimated net realizable value, and the amount of the write-down is reflected as a realized loss in our results of operations. We individually monitor all investments for other than temporary declines in value. Generally, if an individual equity security has depreciated in value by more than 20% of original cost, and has been in an unrealized loss position for

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more than six months, we assume there has been an other than temporary decline in value.  We held 51 equity securities that were in an unrealized loss position at September 30, 2007. All of these securities have declined in value by less than 20% of original cost or have been in an unrealized loss position for less than six months, and we considered these declines in value to be temporary. With respect to debt securities, we assume there has been an other than temporary decline in value if it is probable that we will not receive contractual payments. In addition, we may write down securities in an unrealized loss position based on a number of other factors, including the fair value of the investment being significantly below its cost, the deteriorating financial condition of the issuer of a security and the occurrence of industry, company and geographic events that have negatively impacted the value of a security or rating agency downgrades. We determined that certain investments trading below cost had declined on an other than temporary basis during the first nine months of 2007 and 2006. Losses of $295,500 and $47,538 were included in net realized investment gains for these investments in the first nine months of 2007 and 2006, respectively.
Policy Acquisition Costs
     We defer policy acquisition costs, consisting primarily of commissions, premium taxes and certain other underwriting costs that vary with and are directly related to the production of business, and amortize them over the period in which our insurance subsidiaries earn the premiums. The method followed in computing deferred policy acquisition costs limits the amount of such deferred costs to their estimated realizable value, which gives effect to the premiums to be earned, related investment income, losses and loss expenses and certain other costs we expect to incur as our insurance subsidiaries earn the premiums. Estimates in the calculation of policy acquisition costs have not shown material variability because of uncertainties in applying accounting principles or as a result of sensitivities to changes in key assumptions.
Results of Operations — Three Months Ended September 30, 2007 Compared to Three Months Ended September 30, 2006
     Net Premiums Written. Net premiums written for the three months ended September 30, 2007 were $79.9 million, relatively unchanged from the $80.4 million of net premiums written for the comparable period in 2006. Personal lines net premiums written increased $2.1 million, or 3.9%, in the third quarter of 2007 compared to the comparable period in 2006. We benefited during the third quarter of 2007 from the addition of new business related to increased agent utilization of our WritePro automated underwriting and policy issuance system. Commercial lines net premiums written decreased $2.4 million, or 8.8%, in the third quarter of 2007 compared to the comparable period in 2006 due to competitive market conditions.
     Net Premiums Earned. Net premiums earned increased to $77.6 million for the third quarter of 2007, an increase of $1.9 million, or 2.5%, over the third quarter of 2006. Our insurance subsidiaries earn premiums and recognize them as revenue over the terms of their policies, which are one year or less in duration. Therefore, increases or decreases in net premiums earned generally reflect increases or decreases in net premiums written in the preceding twelve-month period compared to the comparable period one year earlier.
     Investment Income. For the three months ended September 30, 2007, our net investment income increased 7.4% to $5.8 million, compared to $5.4 million for the comparable period one year ago. An increase in average invested assets from $570.8 million in the third quarter of 2006 to $593.2 million in the third quarter of 2007 and an increase in the annualized average rate of return on investments from 3.8% for the third quarter of 2006 to 3.9% for the third quarter of 2007 accounted for the increase in net investment income. The increase in our annualized average rate of return on investments was primarily due to improved yields generated from the reinvestment of maturity proceeds of lower-yielding bonds, offset in part by decreases in our annualized average rate of return due to our increased holdings of tax-exempt fixed maturities in our investment portfolio during the third quarter of 2007 compared to the comparable period a year earlier. The increased holdings of tax-exempt fixed maturities in 2007 resulted from a continuing shift from taxable to tax-exempt fixed maturities in order to obtain more favorable after-tax yields.
     Net Realized Investment Gains. Net realized investment gains in the third quarter of 2007 were $488,226, compared to $152,694 for the comparable period in 2006. During the third quarter of 2007 and 2006, impairment losses of $197,500 and $0, respectively, were included in net realized investment gains. The remaining net realized investment gains and losses in both periods resulted from normal turnover within our investment portfolio.

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     Losses and Loss Expenses. The loss ratio of our insurance subsidiaries, which is the ratio of incurred losses and loss expenses to premiums earned, for the third quarter of 2007 was 52.8%, compared to 56.2% for the third quarter of 2006. The commercial lines loss ratio increased to 49.1% for the third quarter of 2007, compared to 43.8% for the third quarter of 2006, primarily due to increases in the commercial mutli-peril, and workers compensation loss ratios as a result of increases in claim severity in those lines of business. The personal lines loss ratio decreased from 64.0% for the third quarter of 2006 to 55.2% for the third quarter of 2007 due to a decrease in the private passenger loss ratio primarily related to decreases in claim frequency and severity in that line of business. Net losses incurred during the quarter benefited from a continuation of favorable prior accident year reserve development resulting from the settlements of open claims.
     Underwriting Expenses. The expense ratio, which is the ratio of policy acquisition costs and other underwriting expenses to premiums earned, for the third quarter of 2007 and 2006 was 35.0% and 32.6%, respectively. The increased expense ratio reflected additional expenses incurred for increased new business acquisition costs and increased underwriting-based incentive compensation costs. The increase in underwriting-based incentive compensation costs was directly related to the significant improvement in underwriting results during the third quarter of 2007 compared to those posted in the first six months of 2007.
     Combined Ratio. The combined ratio of our insurance subsidiaries was 88.3% and 89.5 for the three months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively. The combined ratio represents the sum of the loss ratio, expense ratio and dividend ratio, which is the ratio of workers’ compensation policy dividends incurred to premiums earned.
     Interest Expense. Interest expense for the third quarter of 2007 was $733,558, compared to $725,994 for the third quarter of 2006, and reflected an increase in average interest rates on our subordinated debentures in the third quarter of 2007 compared to the comparable period in 2006.
     Income Taxes. Income tax expense was $4.5 million for the third quarter of 2007, representing an effective tax rate of 28.6%, compared to $3.8 million for the third quarter of 2006, representing an effective tax rate of 27.9%. The change in effective tax rates is primarily due to tax-exempt interest income representing a lesser proportion of net income before taxes in the 2007 period compared to the 2006 period.
     Net Income and Earnings Per Share. Our net income for the third quarter of 2007 was $11.2 million, or $.45 per share of Class A common stock and $.41 per share of Class B common stock on a diluted basis, an increase of 14.3% over net income of $9.8 million, or $.39 per share of Class A common stock and $.36 per share of Class B common stock on a diluted basis, reported for the third quarter of 2006. Our fully diluted Class A shares outstanding for the third quarter of 2007 decreased to 19.9 million, compared to 20.1 million for the third quarter of 2006, as a result of our repurchase of outstanding stock. Our Class B shares outstanding were unchanged at 5.6 million.
Results of Operations — Nine Months Ended September 30, 2007 Compared to Nine Months Ended September 30, 2006
     Net Premiums Written. Net premiums written for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 were $242.9 million, an increase of $6.2 million, or 2.6%, over the comparable period in 2006. Personal lines net premiums written increased $7.3 million, or 5.0%, in the first nine months of 2007 compared to the comparable period in 2006. Commercial lines net premiums written decreased $1.1 million, or 1.2%, in the first nine months of 2007 compared to the comparable period in 2006 due to competitive market conditions.
     Net Premiums Earned. Net premiums earned increased to $231.9 million for the first nine months of 2007, an increase of $6.6 million, or 2.9%, over the first nine months of 2006. Premiums are earned, or recognized as revenue, over the terms of our policies, which are one year or less in duration. Therefore, increases or decreases in net premiums earned generally reflect increases or decreases in net premiums written in the preceding twelve-month period compared to the comparable period one year earlier.
     Investment Income. For the nine months ended September 30, 2007, our net investment income increased 9.4% to $16.9 million, compared to $15.4 million for the comparable period one year ago. An increase in average invested assets from $564.0 million in the first nine months of 2006 to $594.1 million in the first nine months of 2007 and an increase in the annualized average rate of return on investments from 3.6% for the first nine months of 2006 to 3.8% for the first nine months of 2007 accounted for the increase in

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net investment income. The increase in our annualized average rate of return on investments was primarily due to improved yields generated from the reinvestment of maturity proceeds of lower-yielding bonds, offset in part by decreases in our annualized average rate of return on increased holdings of tax-exempt fixed maturities in our investment portfolio during the first nine months of 2007 compared to the comparable period a year earlier.
     Net Realized Investment Gains. Net realized investment gains in the first nine months of 2007 were $653,656, compared to $1.0 million for the comparable period in 2006. Impairment charges of $295,500 were recognized in the first nine months of 2007, compared to impairment charges of $47,538 recognized in the first nine months of 2006. The impairment charges for both periods were the result of declines in the market value of equity securities that we deemed to be other than temporary. The remaining net realized investment gains and losses in both periods resulted from normal turnover within our investment portfolio.
     Losses and Loss Expenses. Our loss ratio in the first nine months of 2007 was 57.0%, compared to 56.2% in the first nine months of 2006. The commercial lines loss ratio improved to 47.8% in the first nine months of 2007, compared to 48.9% in the first nine months of 2006, primarily due to improved experience in our worker’s compensation and commercial automobiles lines of business. The personal lines loss ratio increased from 61.1% in the first nine months of 2006 to 62.5% in the first nine months of 2007 due to increased claim frequency and severity in our homeowners’ line of business.
     Underwriting Expenses. Our expense ratio for the first nine months of 2007 was 34.2%, compared to 32.7% in the first nine months of 2006. The increase in the first nine months of 2007 expense ratio reflects additional costs incurred for increased new business acquisition costs and increased underwriting-based incentive compensation costs.
     Combined Ratio. Our combined ratio was 91.5% and 89.3% for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively. The combined ratio represents the sum of the loss ratio, expense ratio and dividend ratio. The increase in the combined ratio was attributable to the increases in our loss and expense ratios for the 2007 period compared to the 2006 period.
     Interest Expense. Interest expense for the first nine months of 2007 was $2.2 million, compared to $2.1 million for the first nine months of 2006, and reflected an increase in average interest rates on our subordinated debentures in the first nine months of 2007 compared to the comparable period in 2006.
     Income Taxes. Income tax expense was $10.3 million for the first nine months of 2007, representing an effective tax rate of 27.3%, compared to $11.7 million for the first nine months of 2006, representing an effective tax rate of 28.7%. The change in effective tax rates is primarily due to tax-exempt interest income representing a greater proportion of net income before taxes in the 2007 period compared to the 2006 period.
     Net Income and Earnings Per Share. Our net income for the first nine months of 2007 was $27.5 million, or $1.10 per share of Class A common stock and $1.00 per share of Class B common stock on a diluted basis, a decrease of 5.8% from our net income of $29.2 million, or $1.16 per share of Class A common stock and $1.08 per share of Class B common stock on a diluted basis, for the first nine months of 2006. Our fully diluted Class A shares outstanding for the first nine months of 2007 increased to 20.0 million, compared to 19.9 million for the first nine months of 2006. Our Class B shares outstanding were unchanged at 5.6 million.
Liquidity and Capital Resources
     Liquidity is a measure of an entity’s ability to secure enough cash to meet its contractual obligations and operating needs as they arise. Our major sources of funds from operations are the net cash flows generated from our insurance subsidiaries’ underwriting results, investment income and maturing investments.
     We have historically generated sufficient net positive cash flow from our operations to fund our commitments and build our investment portfolio, thereby increasing future investment returns. The impact of the pooling agreement with Donegal Mutual historically has been cash flow positive because of the historical underwriting profitability of the pool. The pool is settled monthly, thereby resulting in cash flows substantially similar to cash flows that would result from the underwriting of direct business. We have not experienced any unusual variations in the timing of claim payments associated with the loss reserves of our insurance subsidiaries. We maintain a high degree of liquidity in our investment portfolio in the form of readily marketable fixed maturities, equity securities and short-term investments. Our fixed-maturity investment portfolio is structured following a “laddering” approach, so that projected cash flows from investment income

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and principal maturities are evenly distributed from a timing perspective, thereby providing an additional measure of liquidity to meet our obligations should an unexpected variation occur in the future. Net cash flows provided by operating activities in the first nine months of 2007 and 2006 were $25.1 million and $30.0 million, respectively.
     On November 25, 2003, we entered into a credit agreement with Manufacturers and Traders Trust Company (“M&T”) relating to a four-year $35.0 million unsecured, revolving line of credit. On July 20, 2006, we amended the agreement with M&T to extend the credit agreement for four years from the date of amendment on substantially the same terms. As of September 30, 2007, we have the ability to borrow $35.0 million at interest rates equal to M&T’s current prime rate or the then current LIBOR rate plus between 1.50% and 1.75%, depending on our leverage ratio. In addition, we pay a fee of 0.15% per annum on the loan commitment amount, regardless of usage. The credit agreement requires our compliance with certain covenants, which include minimum levels of our net worth, leverage ratio and statutory surplus and A.M. Best ratings of our insurance subsidiaries. During the nine months ended September 30, 2007, we had no borrowings outstanding under the credit agreement, and we were in compliance with all requirements of the credit agreement.
     The following table shows our expected payments for significant contractual obligations as of September 30, 2007.
                                         
            Less                    
            than 1     1-3     4-5     After 5  
($ in thousands)   Total     year     years     years     years  
Net liability for unpaid losses and loss expenses of our insurance subsidiaries
  $ 153,711     $ 67,545     $ 68,636     $ 7,954     $ 9,576  
Subordinated debentures
    30,929                         30,929  
 
                             
 
Total contractual obligations
  $ 184,640     $ 67,545     $ 68,636     $ 7,954     $ 40,505  
 
                             
     We estimate the timing of the amounts for the net liability for unpaid losses and loss expenses of our insurance subsidiaries based on historical experience and expectations of future payment patterns. The liability is shown net of reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses and loss expenses to reflect expected future cash flows related to such liability. Amounts assumed by Atlantic States from the pooling agreement with Donegal Mutual represent a substantial portion of our insurance subsidiaries’ gross liability for unpaid losses and loss expenses, and amounts ceded by Atlantic States to the pooling agreement represent a substantial portion of our insurance subsidiaries’ reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses and loss expenses. Future cash settlement of Atlantic States’ assumed liability from the pool will be included in monthly settlements of pooled activity, wherein amounts ceded to and assumed from the pool are netted. Although Donegal Mutual and we do not anticipate any changes in the pool participation levels in the foreseeable future, any such change would be prospective in nature and therefore would not impact the timing of expected payments for Atlantic States’ proportionate liability for pooled losses occurring in periods prior to the effective date of such change.
     The timing of the amounts for the subordinated debentures is based on their contractual maturities. The debentures are redeemable at our option, at par, after five years from their issuance dates as discussed in Note 6 — Subordinated Debentures. Our subordinated debentures carry interest rates that vary based upon the three-month LIBOR rate and adjust quarterly. Based upon the interest rates in effect as of September 30, 2007, our annual interest cost associated with our subordinated debentures is approximately $2.8 million. For every 1% change in the three-month LIBOR rate, the effect on our annual interest cost would be approximately $300,000.
     On March 7, 2007, our board of directors authorized a share repurchase program, pursuant to which we may purchase up to 500,000 shares of our Class A common stock at market prices prevailing from time to time in the open market subject to the provisions of SEC Rule 10b-18 and in privately negotiated transactions. During the first nine months of 2007, we purchased 165,727 shares of our Class A common stock under this program.
     On October 18, 2007, our board of directors declared quarterly cash dividends of 9.0 cents per share for our Class A common stock and 7.75 cents per share for our Class B common stock, payable

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November 15, 2007 to stockholders of record as of the close of business on November 1, 2007. There are no regulatory restrictions on the payment of dividends to our stockholders, although there are state law restrictions on the payment of dividends from our insurance subsidiaries to us. Our insurance subsidiaries are required by law to maintain certain minimum surplus on a statutory basis, and are subject to regulations under which payment of dividends from statutory surplus is restricted and may require prior approval of the applicable domiciliary insurance regulatory authorities. Our insurance subsidiaries are subject to risk-based capital (RBC) requirements. At December 31, 2006, our insurance subsidiaries’ capital levels were each substantially above RBC requirements. At January 1, 2007, amounts available for distribution as dividends to us from our insurance subsidiaries without prior approval of their domiciliary insurance regulatory authorities were $26.7 million from Atlantic States, $5.9 million from Southern, $2.5 million from Le Mars and $3.3 million from Peninsula, all of which remained available at September 30, 2007.
     As of September 30, 2007, we had no material commitments for capital expenditures.
Equity Price Risk
     Our portfolio of marketable equity securities, which is carried on our consolidated balance sheets at estimated fair value, has exposure to the risk of loss resulting from an adverse change in prices. We manage this risk by performing an analysis of prospective investments and through regular reviews of our portfolio by our investment staff.
Credit Risk
     Our portfolio of fixed-maturity securities and, to a lesser extent, our portfolio of short-term investments is subject to credit risk. This risk is defined as the potential loss in market value resulting from adverse changes in the borrower’s ability to repay the debt. We manage this risk by performing an analysis of prospective investments and through regular reviews of our portfolio by our investment staff. We also limit the percentage and amount of our total investment portfolio that can be invested in the securities of any one issuer.
     Our insurance subsidiaries provide property and liability insurance coverages through independent insurance agencies located throughout our operating area. The majority of this business is billed directly to the insured, although a portion of the commercial business is billed through agents to whom our insurance subsidiaries extend credit in the normal course of business.
     Because the pooling agreement does not relieve Atlantic States of primary liability as the originating insurer, Atlantic States is subject to a concentration of credit risk arising from business ceded to Donegal Mutual. Our insurance subsidiaries maintain reinsurance agreements in place with Donegal Mutual and with a number of other major unaffiliated authorized reinsurers.
Impact of Inflation
     Property and casualty insurance premium rates are established before the amount of losses and loss settlement expenses, or the extent to which inflation may impact such expenses, are known. Consequently, our insurance subsidiaries attempt, in establishing rates, to anticipate the potential impact of inflation.
Risk Factors
     The business, results of operations and financial condition, and therefore the value of our common stock, are subject to a number of risks. For a description of certain risks, reference is made to our 2006 annual report on Form 10-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on March 13, 2007.

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Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk.
     Our market risk generally represents the risk of gain or loss that may result from the potential change in the fair value of our investment portfolio as a result of fluctuations in prices and interest rates and, to a lesser extent, our debt obligations. We attempt to manage our interest rate risk by maintaining an appropriate relationship between the average duration of our investment portfolio and the approximate duration of liabilities, i.e., policy claims of our insurance subsidiaries and debt obligations.
     Other than our continuing shift from taxable to tax-exempt fixed maturity investments, we have maintained approximately the same investment mix and duration of our investment portfolio to our liabilities from December 31, 2006 to September 30, 2007.
     There have been no material changes to our quantitative or qualitative market risk exposure from December 31, 2006 through September 30, 2007.
Item 4. Controls and Procedures.
Evaluation of Disclosure Controls and Procedures
     We conducted an evaluation, under the supervision and with the participation of our management, including our Chief Executive Officer and our Chief Financial Officer, of the effectiveness of the design and operation of our disclosure controls and procedures pursuant to Rule 13a-15(e) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, as of the end of the period covered by this report. Based upon that evaluation, our Chief Executive Officer and our Chief Financial Officer concluded that our disclosure controls and procedures are effective to ensure that information we (including our consolidated subsidiaries) are required to disclose in our periodic filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission is recorded, processed, summarized and reported within the time periods specified in the Securities and Exchange Commission’s rules and forms.
Changes in Internal Control Over Financial Reporting
     There has been no change in our internal control over financial reporting during the quarter covered by this report that has materially affected, or is reasonably likely to materially affect, our internal control over financial reporting.
Safe Harbor Statement Under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995
     Certain forward-looking statements contained herein involve risks and uncertainties. These statements include certain discussions relating to underwriting, premium and investment income volume, business strategies and our business activities during 2007 and beyond. In some cases, you can identify forward-looking statements by terms such as “may,” “will,” “should,” “could,” “would,” “expect,” “plan,” “intend,” “anticipate,” “believe,” “estimate,” “project,” “predict,” “potential” and similar expressions. These forward-looking statements reflect our current views about future events, are based on assumptions that reflect current conditions and are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties that may cause our actual results to differ materially from those anticipated by these forward-looking statements. Many of the factors that will determine future events or our future results of operations are beyond our ability to control or predict.

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Part II. Other Information
Item 1. Legal Proceedings.
     None.
Item 2. Changes in Securities, Use of Proceeds and Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities.
                                 
                            (d) Maximum
                            Number (or
                    (c) Total Number of   Approximate Dollar
                    Shares (or Units)   Value) of Shares (or
                    Purchased as Part   Units) that May Yet
    (a) Total Number   (b) Average   of Publicly   Be Purchased Under
    of Shares (or   Price Paid per   Announced Plans   the Plans or
Period   Units) Purchased   Share (or Unit)   or Programs   Programs
Month #1
  Class A –   9,000   Class A – $14.83   Class A –   9,000     (2 )
July 1-31, 2007
  Class B – 17,872   Class B – $19.00   Class B – 17,872     (1 )
Month #2
  Class A – 20,000   Class A – $15.08   Class A – 20,000     (2 )
August 1-31, 2007
  Class B – 21,477   Class B – $19.05   Class B – 21,477     (1 )
 
  Class A – 15,833   Class A – $15.61   Class A – 15,833     (1 )
Month #3
  Class A –   3,000   Class A – $17.06   Class A –   3,000     (2 )
September 1-30, 2007
  Class B – 31,434   Class B – $19.71   Class B – 31,434     (1 )
 
  Class A – 47,833   Class A – $15.20   Class A – 47,833        
Total
  Class B – 70,783   Class B – $19.33   Class B – 70,783        
 
(1)   Donegal Mutual purchased these shares pursuant to its announcement on August 17, 2004 that it will, at its discretion, purchase shares of our Class A common stock and Class B common stock at market prices prevailing from time to time in the open market subject to the provisions of SEC Rule 10b-18 and in privately negotiated transactions. Such announcement did not stipulate a maximum number of shares that may be purchased under this program.
 
(2)   We purchased these shares pursuant to our announcement on March 7, 2007 that we will purchase up to 500,000 shares of our Class A common stock at market prices prevailing from time to time in the open market subject to the provisions of SEC Rule 10b-18 and in privately negotiated transactions. We may purchase up to 334,273 additional shares of our Class A common stock under this program.
Item 3. Defaults upon Senior Securities.
     None.
Item 4. Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders.
     None.
Item 5. Other Information.
     None.

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Item 6. Exhibits.
     
Exhibit No.   Description
   
 
Exhibit 31.1  
Certification of Chief Executive Officer
   
 
Exhibit 31.2  
Certification of Chief Financial Officer
   
 
Exhibit 32.1  
Statement of Chief Executive Officer pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350 of Title 18 of the United States Code
   
 
Exhibit 32.2  
Statement of Chief Financial Officer pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350 of Title 18 of the United States Code

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Signatures
     Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.
         
  DONEGAL GROUP INC.
 
 
November 5, 2007  By:       /s/ Donald H. Nikolaus  
    Donald H. Nikolaus, President   
        and Chief Executive Officer   
 
     
November 5, 2007  By:       /s/ Jeffrey D. Miller    
    Jeffrey D. Miller, Senior Vice President  
        and Chief Financial Officer   

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