What To Expect From TPG’s (TPG) Q3 Earnings

TPG Cover Image

Global alternative asset manager TPG (NASDAQ: TPG) will be reporting earnings this Tuesday before market open. Hereโ€™s what to look for.

TPG beat analystsโ€™ revenue expectations by 5.2% last quarter, reporting revenues of $489.4 million, up 5.3% year on year. It was an exceptional quarter for the company, with a beat of analystsโ€™ EPS estimates and a solid beat of analystsโ€™ revenue estimates.

Is TPG a buy or sell going into earnings? Read our full analysis here, itโ€™s free for active Edge members.

This quarter, analysts are expecting TPGโ€™s revenue to grow 9.2% year on year to $499.3 million, slowing from the 39.8% increase it recorded in the same quarter last year. Adjusted earnings are expected to come in at $0.57 per share.

TPG Total Revenue

Analysts covering the company have generally reconfirmed their estimates over the last 30 days, suggesting they anticipate the business to stay the course heading into earnings. TPG has missed Wall Streetโ€™s revenue estimates twice over the last two years.

Looking at TPGโ€™s peers in the capital markets segment, some have already reported their Q3 results, giving us a hint as to what we can expect. Blackstone delivered year-on-year revenue growth of 36.7%, beating analystsโ€™ expectations by 6.6%, and Artisan Partners reported revenues up 7.8%, falling short of estimates by 0.9%. Blackstone traded down 4.4% following the results while Artisan Partners was also down 1.3%.

Read our full analysis of Blackstoneโ€™s results here and Artisan Partnersโ€™s results here.

Debates around the economyโ€™s health and the impact of potential tariffs and corporate tax cuts have caused much uncertainty in 2025. While some of the capital markets stocks have shown solid performance in this choppy environment, the group has generally underperformed, with share prices down 2.8% on average over the last month. TPG is down 6% during the same time and is heading into earnings with an average analyst price target of $65.92 (compared to the current share price of $55.04).

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