WaFd Bank (WAFD): Buy, Sell, or Hold Post Q3 Earnings?

WAFD Cover Image

WaFd Bank trades at $32.18 and has moved in lockstep with the market. Its shares have returned 13.3% over the last six months while the S&P 500 has gained 15.4%.

Is now the time to buy WaFd Bank, or should you be careful about including it in your portfolio? Get the full breakdown from our expert analysts, itโ€™s free for active Edge members.

Why Do We Think WaFd Bank Will Underperform?

We're cautious about WaFd Bank. Here are three reasons we avoid WAFD and a stock we'd rather own.

1. Net Interest Income Points to Soft Demand

Net interest income commands greater market attention due to its reliability and consistency, whereas one-time fees are often seen as lower-quality revenue that lacks the same dependable characteristics.

WaFd Bankโ€™s net interest income has grown at a 6.9% annualized rate over the last five years, worse than the broader banking industry and in line with its total revenue.

WaFd Bank Trailing 12-Month Net Interest Income

2. Net Interest Margin Dropping

Net interest margin (NIM) represents how much a bank earns in relation to its outstanding loans. It's one of the most important metrics to track because it shows how a bank's loans are performing and whether it has the ability to command higher premiums for its services.

Over the past two years, WaFd Bankโ€™s net interest margin averaged 2.6%. Its margin also contracted by 76 basis points (100 basis points = 1 percentage point) over that period.

This decline was a headwind for its net interest income. While prevailing rates are a major determinant of net interest margin changes over time, the decline could mean that WaFd Bank either faced competition for loans and deposits or experienced a negative mix shift in its balance sheet composition.

WaFd Bank Trailing 12-Month Net Interest Margin

3. EPS Barely Growing

Analyzing the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) shows whether a company's incremental sales were profitable โ€“ for example, revenue could be inflated through excessive spending on advertising and promotions.

WaFd Bankโ€™s EPS grew at an unimpressive 9% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years. On the bright side, this performance was better than its 6.7% annualized revenue growth and tells us the company became more profitable on a per-share basis as it expanded.

WaFd Bank Trailing 12-Month EPS (Non-GAAP)

Final Judgment

We cheer for all companies supporting the economy, but in the case of WaFd Bank, weโ€™ll be cheering from the sidelines. That said, the stock currently trades at 0.9ร— forward P/B (or $32.18 per share). This valuation tells us a lot of optimism is priced in - you can find more timely opportunities elsewhere. Weโ€™d suggest looking at a fast-growing restaurant franchise with an A+ ranch dressing sauce.

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