Business Insurance

Login  |  Register Subscribe



Expert sees 8.0% downside in S&P 500 despite PCE data today

By: Invezz
core pce data today jpmorgan analyst spx view

S&P 500 opened in the green today after the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis said the core personal consumption expenditures price index rose in line with expectations in October.

Lakos-Bukas shares his view on S&P 500

For the month, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge popped 0.2% versus a wider 0.3% increase in September.

Still, Dubravko Lakos-Bujas – chief global equity strategist of JPMorgan does not expect the coming year to be an exciting one for U.S. equities. He recently told clients in a research note:

Equities are now richly valued with volatility near the historical low, while geopolitical and political risks remain elevated.

Versus last year, the said index jumped 3.5% in October – also in line with Dow Jones estimates. Note that the S&P 500 has gained nearly 11% since the start of this month.

Watch here: https://www.youtube.com/embed/LSsmYQDdX1o?feature=oembedJPMorgan analyst is bullish on utilities stocks

Lakos-Bujas currently recommends sticking only to high-quality stocks that are trading at a reasonable price. In particular, he sees the utilities space in somewhat of a “sweet spot” for now.

On Thursday, headline PCE was reported up 3.0% on a year-over-year basis for October. The Bureau also said that personal income as well as spending climbed in line with expectations month-over-month (0.2% each).

Still, the JPMorgan expert forecasts “softening consumer trends” to restrict profit growth in S&P 500 at up to 3.0% in 2024. All in all, he sees the benchmark index closing next year at 4,200 – down about 8.0% from here.

RBC Capital Markets has projected a bullish outlook for the S&P 500, forecasting that the index will hit a record high in 2024. pic.twitter.com/kuFfEnS35c

— Benzinga (@Benzinga) November 27, 2023

Last week, Warren Pies – the Founder of 3Fourteen Research also said bonds were a better investment than stocks in the current environment as Invezz reported here.

The post Expert sees 8.0% downside in S&P 500 despite PCE data today appeared first on Invezz

Data & News supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Stock quotes supplied by Barchart
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the following
Privacy Policy and Terms and Conditions.

Business Insurance Webinars & Webcasts

August 12: "Get Retrofit: Insurance Savings from Property Upgrades"

August 7: "Friends & Foes: Best Practices for Social Media Risk Management"

August 17: "Supply Chain Crisis?Navigating Business Interruption Coverage and Claims After the Japanese Earthquakes"

September 8: "Dormant Dangers: Protecting Key Corporate Assets from Cyber Attacks"

View all webcasts & webinars


Business Insurance Upcoming Issues

Aug. 22/29: Industry Financials: First-Half Results
Health Care Reform: Impact on Firms

September 5: Special Report: Alternative Risks

September 12: Workers Comp & Safety Management

View editorial calendar
Subscribe to Business Insurance