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EXHIBITS
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1.
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Reply Declaration of Dr. Mark A. Israel
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2.
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Reply Declaration of Dr. Gregory L. Rosston and Dr. Michael D. Topper
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3.
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Declaration of Dr. Dennis W. Carlton
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4.
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Declaration of Kevin McElearney
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5.
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Declaration of Dr. Constantine Dovrolis
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6.
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Comcast’s Leading Track Record on Diversity and Community Involvement and Citizenship
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7.
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Select Comcast-NBCUniversal Diversity and Inclusions Awards (2010-2014)
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8.
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Select Comcast-NBCUniversal Community Investment Awards (2010-2014)
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I.
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INTRODUCTION AND SUMMARY
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In this proceeding, Applicants have demonstrated that the license transfers from the Comcast Corporation (“Comcast”) and Time Warner Cable Inc. (“TWC”) transaction and related exchange of systems with Charter Communications, Inc. (“Charter”) (collectively, the “Transaction”) will produce substantial, verifiable public interest benefits that advance core Commission objectives. The Transaction will greatly expand the quality of communications services available to millions of additional consumers and businesses. It will also provide the combined company with the greater scale and synergies essential to continue to invest in and upgrade its networks, innovate, and compete more effectively against the growing number of communications, media, and technology providers with national and global scale. This, in turn, will spur greater competition, investment, and innovation by other providers.
Specifically, Applicants have demonstrated that the Transaction will result in the following substantial benefits for millions more American consumers and businesses, and not a single opponent or commenter demonstrates otherwise:
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accelerated deployment of higher broadband speeds and enhanced broadband services;
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greater availability of advanced video and voice services and technologies;
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accelerated digital upgrades for the acquired systems, which will enhance network reliability and security and foster next-generation services;
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greater choice in video offerings (including the most advanced and robust video-on-demand (“VOD”) and TV Everywhere (“TVE”) experience);
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greater scale and scope efficiencies leading to more investment and innovation;
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increased business service and wireless backhaul competition resulting in lower prices and enhanced service offerings;
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deployment of a more robust and expansive Wi-Fi network;
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development and deployment of dynamic ad insertion (“DAI”) and addressable technologies for more effective advertising, particularly in VOD and online content; and
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geographic rationalization-related efficiencies leading to other enhanced service offerings, better performance, and more competition.
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Comcast has pledged to make substantial incremental investments – hundreds of millions of dollars annually – to TWC’s planned upgrades and enhancements over the next three years to accelerate improvements to TWC’s plant and facilities. Based on the information Comcast has obtained so far, it projects that the acquired customers in each market will have access to all of Comcast’s products and services within 36 months of the closing date of the Transaction, although some markets will be fully transitioned within a period as short as 12 months or even sooner. Together, these investments will help realize the many transaction-specific consumer and competition-related benefits throughout the combined company’s expanded footprint.
Even more significant, when Comcast invests, it incentivizes competitors to invest too, fueling the virtuous cycle of investment and reinvestment referenced by Chairman Wheeler in his recent remarks on broadband competition, and benefiting even more Americans. As AT&T’s CEO Randall Stephenson observed, the Transaction “puts a heightened sense of urgency” on competitors to “very, very aggressive[ly]” invest capital in their networks and improve the quality of their services – including, for example, AT&T’s recent announcement to expand its Project VIP, 1 Gig service to up to 100 new cities. Such competitive investment is a highly desirable outcome for consumers and for the national economy.
Beyond these substantial benefits to the quality and growth of our nation’s advanced communications infrastructure and services, the Transaction will provide other important public interest benefits. Notably, it will extend Comcast’s acclaimed broadband adoption program, Internet Essentials, to millions of additional low-income families throughout the acquired systems. Comcast has already connected over 1.4 million low-income Americans to the Internet, far more than any other program of its kind. And Comcast will extend many other public interest benefits from the NBCUniversal transaction to the acquired TWC and Charter systems – including Comcast’s commitments to standalone broadband offerings, diversity, accessibility, and the protections of the Commission’s 2010 Open Internet rules.
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These many transaction-specific benefits are precisely the kind of verifiable, non-speculative benefits that the Commission has long recognized as satisfying its public interest standard. Indeed, most of these benefits are substantially similar to ones that Comcast has previously committed to deliver in prior cable transactions approved by the Commission. And the record shows that, in each prior case, Comcast has met and often far exceeded those commitments. It will do the same here.
These benefits are also confirmed by the comprehensive expert declarations previously submitted by Dr. Mark Israel of Compass Lexecon and Drs. Gregory Rosston of Stanford University and Michael Topper of Cornerstone Research. As part of this Opposition and Response, Applicants provide additional evidence and econometric analyses that further demonstrate the benefits that will derive from the Transaction, and also comprehensively rebut the assertions in each of the economic and other reports filed by opponents. Applicants’ additional submissions include:
(1) Further economic and econometric analyses in reply declarations by (i) Dr. Dennis W. Carlton of Compass Lexecon, (ii) Dr. Israel, and (iii) Drs. Rosston and Topper;
(2) A declaration by Kevin McElearney, Senior Vice President, Network Engineering for Comcast Cable, setting out the accurate facts relating to Comcast’s traffic exchange practices and experience and dealings with Cogent, Netflix, and other partners; and
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(3) A declaration by Dr. Constantine Dovrolis, a professor of Computer Science and Engineering at Georgia Institute of Technology and an expert on Internet peering and transit, providing the overall technical and economic context of Internet interconnection and responding to misrepresentations made in the declarations submitted by Netflix and Cogent regarding these issues.
The record evidence that Applicants have provided demonstrating the significant public interest benefits from the Transaction is further bolstered by over 500 substantive, supportive comments and letters filed by third parties. These supporters of the Transaction span a wide range of individuals and entities, including business development and community organizations, diversity groups, advertisers, programmers, schools and universities, elected officials and other policymakers, and private citizens. Each commenter’s support is based on first-hand experiences with Applicants, and powerfully reinforces that the Transaction is pro-consumer, pro-competitive, and strongly in the public interest.
State and local elected officials representing diverse populations from New York to California, including urban and rural districts in both Comcast and TWC areas, have underscored the significant benefits this Transaction will provide for their constituents. These officials understand better than anyone their local needs and attest to the greater investment, innovation, and quality of services that the Transaction will bring to their communities.
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For example, a joint filing of more than 50 mayors – Republicans and Democrats, from Comcast and TWC cities – notes that “[c]ities joining the Comcast service area will benefit from increased network investment, faster Internet speeds, improved video options and leading community development programs to help us tackle important community challenges like the digital divide.”
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Rahm Emanuel, Mayor of Chicago, writes that “we are optimistic that the increased resources of the combined corporation will lead to more investment in local network infrastructure and faster Internet speeds.”
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Governor Peter Shumlin of Vermont writes that “I am pleased to report that Comcast has delivered on the promise [to expand broadband to some of our most rural areas] and has invested nearly $128 million in our state. . . . I look forward to Comcast’s continued investment in my state and expect that [the Commission’s] approval of this transaction would enhance Comcast’s commitment to continue working to bring services to low-income and rural Americans.”
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Over 100 chambers of commerce and business organizations across the country have similarly voiced their strong support for the Transaction. These include national minority business organizations, such as the National Black Chamber of Commerce, Latinos in Information Sciences and Technology Association, the National Puerto Rican Chamber of Commerce, and the U.S. Pan Asian American Chamber of Commerce Education Foundation. Each organization attests to Comcast’s proven commitment to providing high quality services and recognizes the competitive benefits a geographically larger and stronger Comcast could bring to business of all sizes (including minority-owned businesses).
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For example, the California Hispanic Chamber of Commerce notes that “our members will have more choices of providers for high-end services, and our larger business members with locations in both the northern and southern parts of the state will be able to better integrate their operations, thus increasing efficiency and lowering operating costs.”
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The Redwood City-San Mateo County Chamber of Commerce observes that the “entry of Comcast’s business offerings into more markets where our members operate will create new competition for telecom services. As a result, our members will have more choices of providers for high-end services, and our larger business members with locations in both the northern and southern parts of the state will be able to better integrate their operations, thus increasing efficiency and lowering operating costs.”
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The Fort Worth Chamber of Commerce states that “[t]he businesses and consumers of Fort Worth would benefit from access to these top-of-the-line services, and by approving the proposed transaction, the FCC could allow Fort Worth to catch up to current Comcast markets.”
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The Associated Industries of Massachusetts also recognizes that the Transaction “will ramp up competition among communication companies for customers among small and medium businesses and consumers. The result will mean innovation and cutting edge products and services for our consumers and businesses.”
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Likewise, industry innovators, such as Cisco, TiVo, Broadcom, and Arris, understand the relevant competitive dynamics and investment incentives at play, and are confident that the Transaction will produce benefits for consumers. These companies attest to Comcast’s long history of investing in next-generation technologies and partnering to bring best-in-class products and services to its customers.
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Cisco writes that the combined company’s greater scale will “enabl[e] it to increase its investments in cutting-edge technologies and services and spread the costs across a larger customer base” and “allow Comcast and Charter to better rationalize their geographic footprints, producing efficiencies that will provide more room for investment and innovation.”
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Broadcom states that the Transaction “will give Comcast the scale required to build on its industry leading technology initiatives and to invest in further innovation in video and broadband services. This investment will benefit consumers by accelerating the deployment of all-digital cable systems that offer higher broadband speeds, more advanced services and a more robust and secure network.”
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And TiVo observes that, “[b]ased on Comcast’s history of working with TiVo to facilitate innovation, . . . the [transaction] should benefit consumers that wish to use retail devices to access their pay-TV programming as we would expect Comcast’s leadership and supportive policies to continue and expand.”
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A host of start-ups, like Maker’s Row, Nextdoor, Quantifind, Shuddle, Inc., SundaySky, and Versa, similarly support the Transaction. These commenters vouch for Comcast’s commitment to supporting new and innovative businesses, and recognize that the Transaction will provide greater scale and efficiencies that enable the combined company to increase those kinds of investments. And they rebut – with real-world practicality – any assertion that the Transaction would be harmful for start-up companies or budding entrepreneurial businesses.
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A substantial and diverse group of programmers, including independent programmers, further attest to Comcast’s commitment to carry diverse, quality programming – regardless of affiliation – that meets the needs and interests of its customers. These programmers all support the Transaction without qualification and include, among others, Access La Porte County, BabyFirst Americas, Bedford Community Television, Berks Community Television, Cape Cod Community Media Center, Condista, Crossings TV, El Rey, Hallmark, INSP, JTV, New England Sports Network (“NESN”), Outside TV, Ovation, PBS Hawaii, REELZ, REVOLT, Rutland Region Community Television, Starz, Television Korea 24, and UnionTV34.
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Ovation states, for example, that “Comcast has the best record of any pay-TV provider in launching independent networks like Ovation, as well as many minority-owned channels, such as TV One.”
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INSP adds that the Transaction “will be a great development for independent networks.”
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NESN confirms that “Comcast has a strong record of supporting independent sports networks—even those that compete with Comcast’s own CSN.”
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BabyFirst America reports that “Comcast’s support for our network over the last two years demonstrates how great Comcast is in supporting diversity and independent channels.”
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Outside Television shows that “[a]lthough Comcast already carried a wide variety of sports programming, including NBC SportsNet and regional sports networks, Comcast saw that Outside Television could serve an untapped niche with tremendous upside.”
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Crossings TV affirms that “[w]ithout Comcast there would have been no Crossings TV.”
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These programmers are among the more than 160 purely independent networks (over 100 networks focused on diverse programming) that Comcast carries today; and, since the NBCUniversal transaction, Comcast has expanded its carriage of 141 independent programmers by 217 million customers, collectively. Their direct experiences with Comcast reinforce the new opportunities that the Transaction will provide to programmers throughout the country by significantly expanding Comcast’s distribution network.
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And while a handful of commenters have tried to suggest that the advertising market could be harmed by this Transaction, the only advertisers participating in the proceeding disagree. Major advertising agencies like GroupM, Horizon Media, and MediaVest – which represent top advertisers across the globe and place tens of billions of dollars in advertising annually in the U.S. alone – filed in support of the Transaction, attesting to the significant benefits it will bring to the advertising industry, including the accelerated development and deployment of next-generation technologies like DAI and addressable advertising.
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GroupM, for instance, notes that the Transaction will enable the combined company to offer DAI across its expanded footprint, and that “deploying it at such scale would help make it an industry standard, thereby reinstating advertiser confidence that their ads are being viewed.”
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Horizon Media echoes that, to date, “[a]ddressable advertising has largely been difficult to achieve because of lack of reach,” but that “[t]hrough the merger, the combined entity would deliver the kind of scale required to make such hyper-targeting a viable option, [thereby] allow[ing] clients to more effectively and strategically reach their target consumer.”
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The record further reflects widespread enthusiasm for Comcast’s promise to extend its strong commitment to diversity and diversity and inclusion practices to the legacy TWC and Charter markets, and to improve on and integrate the best of those companies’ practices. Over 150 diversity groups and community partners endorse the Transaction, representing African American, Asian American, Hispanic, LGBT, People with Disabilities, and Native American communities. These commenters attest to Comcast’s proven commitment to promoting diversity across all of its corporate operations, from governance, workforce recruitment and retention, procurement, programming, and philanthropy to community investment.
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The NAACP observes that “Comcast has played a large, positive role in African American hiring in the networking space [and] Comcast’s demonstrated record in diverse hiring practices makes [us] confident that the result will be positive for our members and for communities of color throughout the country.”
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The African American Mayors Association notes that Comcast has consistently been ranked among the top places to work for minorities and women and concludes that, “[w]hile many companies struggle with inclusion, at Comcast people of color account for 40% of the employee population.”
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The National Foundation for Women Legislators states that “[Comcast’s] work toward increasing diversity in the workplace has been recognized throughout the industry.”
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The United States Hispanic Leadership Institute adds that “Comcast is the nation’s most extensive provider of Spanish-language networks, having invested in the development of independent channels like El Rey and BabyFirst Americas.”
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MANA, a national Latina organization, emphasizes that Comcast has launched a package containing 50-60 Spanish language channels in major Hispanic markets, increased the amount of Spanish language programming available on their On-Demand service, and made continued investments in Telemundo, allowing for more Spanish language programming news broadcasts.
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The California Asian Pacific Chamber of Commerce cites “Comcast’s efforts to support small and minority owned businesses [as] exemplary, and according to the company’s own disclosures, business with minority-owned suppliers has totaled over $4 billion since 2010.”
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The United States Hispanic Chamber of Commerce recognizes “[o]ne of the ways that Comcast was able to keep its commitment to diversity was by implementing a new method for recruitment as well as leadership training programs aimed at cultivating a robust pipeline.”
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The DC Chamber of Commerce states that “Comcast’s inclusive practices, when it comes to awarding supplier contracts to women and minority-owned businesses, is a model for other employers.”
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The Graham Memorial Community Church notes “Comcast’s commitment to promoting diversity and providing opportunities for minorities in our community. It is a fact that African-American neighborhoods are often left behind when it comes to technology and infrastructure investments, but Comcast has long demonstrated its commitment to our community by making meaningful investments to ensure our citizens have access to the highest quality services.”
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Community and non-profit organizations and political leaders across the country confirm Comcast’s longstanding commitment to supporting local communities in a variety of important ways. These commenters include, among others, Big Brothers Big Sisters, Boys & Girls Club, United Way, Urban League chapters, By the Hand Club for Kids, City Year, and La Voz Latina. Educators from Colorado, Massachusetts, Missouri, and Hawaii also attest to the importance of Comcast’s community investment and community service initiatives, including Comcast Cares Day, the nation’s largest single-day corporate volunteer effort.
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Governor Markel of Delaware states that “Comcast’s corporate citizenship doesn’t operate from 9 to 5. We see their sustained partnerships everywhere we look in our communities. Comcast employees fully participate in making our towns and cities better places to live through corporate programs like Comcast Cares Day and United Way contributions, which drew nearly 1,000 volunteers and 1,000 pledges in 2013 alone, respectively.”
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The American Association of People with Disabilities, The Arc, and Easter Seals applaud Comcast’s proven commitment to, and innovation in, making its products and services accessible for all consumers. As Easter Seals states, “Accessible TV navigation options like voice command, closed captioning across platforms, and adaptation of mobile and web applications are among some of the things Comcast is offering or piloting to enrich user experience for all. Through a union with Time Warner Cable, many Americans living with disabilities would have newly gained access to these game changing technologies.”
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Cape Cod Community Media Center observes that “[o]ften times large companies’ community investment can be seen as half-hearted ‘window dressing.’ That is absolutely not the case with Comcast. Comcast is a true and genuine community leader. Beyond our partnership, Comcast has shown it is dedicated to bettering our community.”
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The Virginia Holocaust Museum notes that “Comcast has consistently supported programs here in the vital areas of diversity and citizenship training, math and science and literacy development, and tolerance in a democratic society. Comcast puts their money where only the mouths of others are in community endeavors. They were the first corporate sponsor at the founding of this Museum seventeen years ago, and have supported it in all the years since.”
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Big Brothers and Big Sisters “partnered with Comcast [to] develop[] the Beyond School Walls program, which is currently the nation’s largest workplace mentoring program for young people. Last school year, some 300 ‘Littles’ participated in the mentoring program in 13 Comcast offices nationwide, each paired with a Comcast ‘Big’ whose time and guidance has led program participants to earn higher grades, post lower truancy rates, and increase graduation rates. I am impressed with Comcast’s commitment to this program and their desire to see a meaningful outcome for each child.”
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The Middlesex United Way credits partnering with Comcast for helping “to build our first ‘Born Learning Trail.’ . . . This trail gives children a chance to experience outdoor learning that would otherwise be inaccessible to them, thus furthering our goal of improving the education of the children in our community. The trail offers a variety of activities that help to lay the foundation for developing problem solving, critical thinking, leadership and team building by encouraging children to talk, listen, read, think, imagine and create.”
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The Savannah Chamber of Commerce recognizes “Comcast’s commitment to education . . . evidenced through its signature scholarship program, Leaders and Achievers. The program rewards young people for getting involved in their schools and making positive change in their communities. Since its inception in 2001, numerous Savannah area students have been recognized as Comcast Leaders and Achievers. . . . To date, Comcast has awarded close to $20 million to nearly 20,000 Leaders and Achievers Scholarship winners throughout the country.”
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Similarly, hundreds of commenters extol Comcast’s commitment to bridging the digital divide through its Internet Essentials program, effectively rebutting the unsupported and inaccurate criticisms of the program by a couple of commenters with their own agendas independent of the Transaction.
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As the Democratic Governors Association explains, “Comcast’s Internet Essentials program closes the gap in access between rich and poor by offering affordable Internet and computer literacy partnerships to families across the country.”
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The Cuban American National Council further observes that “Internet Essentials addresses virtually all the leading obstacles to broadband adoption that experts have identified. If we are going to truly close the digital divide in this country, we need to expand these efforts, as Comcast proposes to do through this transaction.”
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The National Hispanic Caucus of State Legislators describes Internet Essentials as “a lifeline to underserved communities,” and emphasizes “the possibilities for empowerment if the program is extended to some of our largest Latino centers, like Los Angeles and New York City.”
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And the Boys & Girls Club of America observes that “Data on Internet Essentials suggests that 59% of participating families believe Internet access helped at least one person in their household to find a job – a reminder that Comcast’s program is stimulating economic growth in its communities.”
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The comments quoted above are only a small subset of the hundreds of similar comments attesting to the many significant and wide-ranging benefits that this Transaction will bring to individuals, businesses, institutions, and community organizations across the nation. Taken as a whole, therefore, the record amply demonstrates that the Transaction will serve the public interest, convenience, and necessity in specific, verifiable ways – including many that the Commission has already found meet its public interest standard in prior license transfer review proceedings. Remarkably, there is, in fact, little dispute as to these transaction-specific benefits. There is almost no attempt by opposing commenters to rebut the significant public interest benefits demonstrated by Applicants. And the handful of feeble efforts to question certain elements of the public interest benefit case fail for lack of factual support.
The record also confirms that granting the license transfer applications will not result in any harms to the public interest. The Transaction involves no horizontal consolidation in any relevant market. After the Transaction closes, customers in the Comcast and former TWC and Charter markets at issue will have at least as many providers to choose from – for Internet, video, voice, and business services, and advertising – as they have today. No customer in any of these markets will lose a single competitive choice as a result of the Transaction. Nor does the Transaction raise any vertical concerns. The record shows robust and increasing competition for all of these services in each of the relevant markets in which the combined company will operate. And, together with well-established antitrust laws and Commission rules, various conditions adopted in the NBCUniversal Order will extend to the acquired systems and provide an additional safeguard against any vertical harms.
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In contrast to the strong record established by Applicants and others in support of the license transfer applications, opponents (referred to herein variously as “petitioners” and “commenters”) have failed to demonstrate that granting those applications will disserve the public interest in any material respect.
The majority of arguments and allegations raised by petitioners are not transaction-specific and, therefore, are irrelevant to the Commission’s analysis in this proceeding. To be sure, there are extended riffs on a generalized “big is bad” theme, but this is symptomatic of the overheated rhetoric that large transactions always evoke. Consider the following quotations:
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“What is at stake here is nothing less than the future of the Internet, and whether the future Internet will be open or closed to independent and diverse voices and viewpoints . . . . Will consumers retain the freedom to access any website, as they could when government policies were in place that ensured nondiscriminatory access, or will they be restricted to visiting sites approved by – or in business with – the ‘gatekeeper’ that provides high speed Internet access? By definition, approval of this transaction cannot be in the public interest.”
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“It is quite clear that as the commercial value of the Internet grows, these huge communications corporations are more than willing to destroy its fundamental openness . . . . Competition and open communications would suffer a disastrous setback.”
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“Comcast and Time Warner are the nation’s dominant residential broadband providers . . . Increasing their national and regional concentration will permit them to block both [broadband-based providers] and potential video programming rivals, such as TiVo/Netflix.”
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“Offering Internet service under the closed cable TV system model will, quite literally, change the character of the Internet as an engine of creative technological and marketplace innovation, open entry, economic growth, and free expression.”
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Tellingly, the above “doom and gloom” predictions – while reflective of the petitions and certain comments in this proceeding – were, in fact, submitted in opposition to prior cable and other transactions approved by the Commission as far back as 1998.1 These naysayers began their apocalyptic forewarnings ages ago – when most of us were connecting to the Internet at 14 or 28 thousands of bits per second, and a few had begun to use 56k modems. That’s when cable really “rolled the dice” – not on a way to control the Internet, but on a risky new technology to create a service that Americans had no idea they would even want. Yet, as soon as cable modem technology started to work, and even more so with every attempt by any two parties to get together to enhance their competitive footprint and capabilities, the doomsayers predicted calamity resulting from cable’s alleged “bottleneck power.” The sky, they claim, has been falling ever since.
Except that it hasn’t. Telcos rolled out DSL; cable operators improved cable modem service; telcos then invested more in advanced DSL services and FTTP; many companies invested and explored other technologies like terrestrial microwave, satellite, and broadband over power lines; first 2G, then 3G, and now 4G wireless were invented and deployed. All told, hundreds of billions of dollars were invested; some things worked; others did not, but vastly more households started connecting. And as Internet networks developed, so did online video distributors (“OVDs”) – becoming a new part of the program buying marketplace and offering new competition to at least part of the established video provider business model. In turn, with this explosion of online video traffic, cable operators, telcos, and other providers continued rapidly upgrading their networks and their broadband speeds, thereby helping to catapult video streaming services even farther, and pushing OVD subscriber levels to 10, 20, 30 million and more. Today, the Internet is wide open and faster than ever before – thanks in large part to thoughtful regulatory policies that removed barriers to competitive entry, reduced regulation, and allowed this vibrant marketplace to grow and flourish.
1 The “doom and gloom” opposition quotes above are, respectively, from AT&T Inc. and BellSouth Corp. Application for Transfer of Control, Comments of Center for Creative Voices in Media, WC Docket No. 06-74, at 2 (Oct. 24, 2006); Application of America Online, Inc. and Time Warner, Inc. for Transfer of Control, Statement of Dr. Mark N. Cooper, Consumers Union, Consumer Federation of America, Media Access Project, and Center for Media Education before the En Banc Hearing, CS Docket No. 00-30, at 4 (July 27, 2000); Applications for the Consent to the Assignment and/or Transfer of Control of Licenses Adelphia Communications Corp. to Time Warner Cable Inc., Petition to Deny of Free Press et al., MB Docket No. 05-192, at 16 (July 21, 2005); Joint Application of AT&T Corp. and Tele-Communications, Inc. for Approval of Transfer of Control of Commission Licenses and Authorizations, CS Docket 98-178, Petition to Deny of Consumers Union et al., at 12 (Oct. 29, 1998). The same “doom and gloom” prophecies are repeated again in this proceeding. See, e.g., Consumer Federation of America et al. (“CFA et al.”) Petition to Deny at 63-64 (“Allowing firms that have been at the forefront of the industry-wide efforts to undermine competition to become a ‘fearsome Goliath’ that towers over the rest of the industry would deal a severe, if not a death blow to emerging competition.”); Free Press Petition to Deny at 7 (“This proposed transaction would create a telecommunications and pay-TV giant of unprecedented proportion. It would also bestow upon Comcast unprecedented and unchecked gatekeeper power over the Internet, in ways that eclipse the control once held by the monopoly Bell System.”).
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In short, investment, innovation, and competition are continuing – and, in fact, flourishing. Every morning we wake up to an Internet that is better in every respect than the one we had the night before.
Yet, every step of the way, we continue to hear cries of alarm about “bottlenecks” and “chokepoints” not only on the Internet, but also in the programming and video distribution marketplace, as well as the program buyers’ marketplace. In fact, all of these marketplace segments are more competitive today than they have ever been before. Nevertheless, opponents of this Transaction (e.g., Dish, Free Press, Consumer Federation, Consumers Union/Common Cause, Netflix) persist in making the same speculative and unsupported claims here that have been made for years in every major cable transaction. These claims are as unfounded today as they were when the Commission rightly and repeatedly rejected them in prior decades.
Indeed, their claims are even more unfounded here because many of them are being made only because Comcast refused to grant various self-interested requests that were made directly to Comcast soon after the Transaction was announced – almost always with an express or at least an implicit offer to support the Transaction (or stand down, at minimum) if the requester’s demands were met. These include requests for free backbone interconnection, requests for participation in advertising “interconnects,” requests to share advanced advertising technology that Comcast develops, requests for wholesale service arrangements, requests to make all of Comcast’s programming agreements with every single programmer renewable on the same date, requests to renegotiate program carriage arrangements that are not due to expire, requests to expand carriage or increase fees, and many requests to agree to carry networks that do not even exist yet – or that exist, but that are carried by no one. If just the programming asks alone were considered – and even then, only those that are concrete enough to estimate – these demands and related proposed conditions would cost Comcast upwards of $5 billion above any reasonable estimate of what its programming costs might be over the next several years, which would translate into increased costs for Comcast customers of more than $4 per month by 2019 and in perpetuity.
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The significance of this extortion lies in not just the sheer audacity of some of the demands, but also the fact that each of the entities making the “ask” has all but conceded that if its individual business interests are met, then it has no concern whatsoever about the state of the industry, supposed market power going forward, or harm to consumers, competitors, or new entrants. The Commission should take heed of this, because, while the Transaction is perceived as an opportunity for so many to leverage their individual interests, none has been able to make a fact-based, compelling argument that the Transaction would actually harm the public interest.
Instead, many petitioners press nothing more than a host of individualized business interests and disputes – from the reasonableness of commercially negotiated agreements (e.g., Netflix, Cogent), to self-interested program carriage demands (e.g., Discovery, TheBlaze, Back9, RFD-TV, Veria Living, Herring Broadcasting, Weather Nation, etc.), to concerns over how enhanced competition might affect a particular firm (e.g., COMPTEL, Dish, RCN et al.), and to other issues that have no bearing on the license transfer applications (e.g., CenturyLink, Viamedia). Other petitioners raise industry-wide issues, such as open Internet policies, interconnection practices, and similar matters of general interest that are properly addressed (and largely being addressed) in other Commission proceedings (e.g., Netflix, Cogent, Dish).
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For example, in addition to the well-worn “doom and gloom” prophecies from consumer groups, such as Common Cause, Consumers Union, Consumer Federation of America, and their allies, other more egregious misuses of this license transfer review process include the following:
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Netflix recycles prior claims about its interconnection agreement with Comcast – something that is plainly not transaction-specific, since it predates this proceeding by months, features in Netflix's nearly identical advocacy in the Commission’s unrelated Open Internet proceeding, and mirrors Netflix’s incessant complaints about its agreements with other ISPs. What its comments and trumped-up economic theories here show is that Netflix will use any proceeding, in any context, to try to shift the costs for carrying its content onto the backs of others – a great business result for Netflix, but one that would increase prices to consumers and disserve the public interest. As the biggest edge provider and OVD in the country (with over 35 million U.S. subscribers – more than Comcast post-transaction), one would expect Netflix to act responsibly on the Internet, but instead, Netflix deliberately sent its traffic on routes that could not support it, and ignored other routes that could easily have handled it. The robust capacity on those routes is a complete answer to Netflix’s various arguments: Netflix was never forced to choose the routes it used, and Comcast certainly did not compel a direct relationship. Rather, as Netflix’s CEO acknowledged right after the agreement was reached: “We found middle ground on our issues that worked well for both of us for the long term, and works great for consumers.” The agreement is a “great” deal for consumers, and there could be no clearer evidence that Netflix’s expedient change of heart reflects nothing more than a base attempt to gain additional commercial advantages over Comcast through a regulatory condition that is unjustified and would be anything but “great” for consumers.
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Cogent peddles many of the same economic arguments about the Transaction as Netflix, but for a different self-interested agenda. Cogent makes its money by charging edge providers for transit costs and is desperate to prevent Comcast from competing with it in this space – including by helping to lower transit costs for edge providers through direct interconnection agreements, which, as Netflix has acknowledged, is “great for consumers.” Cogent’s alleged concerns are no more transaction-related than Netflix’s, and Cogent’s economic arguments are easily refuted. The bottom line is that the transit market is vibrantly competitive, and that fundamental reality refutes both Cogent’s and Netflix’s theoretical harms from the Transaction. Cogent has a long history of bare-knuckled disputes in the industry, with Comcast being only one in a long line of companies involved in such disputes; dressing it up as a transaction-related argument here is just a new tactic.
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Dish claims that the Transaction will create three potential “chokepoints” in the combined company’s broadband services. Dish is wrong on each count.
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Dish’s first theory that Comcast might prioritize its own services on the “last mile” of its network before other competitors is easily disproved. Comcast’s commitment to abide by the Commission’s 2010 Open Internet Order, coupled with any new rules the Commission promulgates, eliminates any plausible concern that Comcast might block, degrade, or otherwise discriminate against any content that is delivered over the Internet to its customers post-transaction, whether from Dish or anyone else.
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Dish’s second theory that Comcast might “choke” interconnection points in the separate marketplace “where competitors’ video services enter the Comcast broadband network” is also demonstrably wrong. For the nearly 20 years that Comcast has provided Internet access services, it has worked cooperatively with other companies to interconnect its networks in mutually beneficial ways. Comcast has over 40 settlement-free peering agreements and many more paid connection arrangements with ISPs, CDNs, and others. Any content provider can reach Comcast’s network through multiple routes without having a direct business relationship (paid or otherwise) with Comcast, and those routes have significant available capacity today for any provider’s traffic. In all events, these interconnection issues are not transaction-specific and are already being examined by the Commission’s industry-wide inquiry into Internet traffic exchange.
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Dish’s third theory that Comcast might create “fast lanes” for its own “managed” or “specialized services” and slow other unaffiliated content is idle speculation. Comcast does not offer any such services or so-called “fast lanes.” Questions about its ability or incentive to deploy them – let alone do so anticompetitively – are thus entirely theoretical and deserve no weight here. Plus, Comcast already is subject to two stringent conditions on the offering of specialized services from the NBCUniversal transaction.
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Discovery, like many other programmers, is improperly using this proceeding to promote its own financial interests. In fact, Discovery demanded unwarranted business concessions from Comcast as a condition of Discovery’s non-opposition to the Transaction. Such extortionate demands are patently improper. As the self-proclaimed “#1 Pay-TV Programmer in the World,” Discovery does not need additional regulatory help to succeed in the marketplace. Its claims are baseless and should be rejected.
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Viamedia is likewise seeking business advantages here that it cannot obtain in the marketplace. Viamedia competes with Comcast to sell and place local cable advertising, and theorizes various harms to advertising markets from the Transaction. Its claims boil down to requests for (a) mandatory access to Comcast’s advertising interconnects, and (b) regulatory constraints on Comcast’s ability to compete with Viamedia in the advertising representation business. While Viamedia tries to make this about the impact on advertisers, not a single advertiser shares those concerns. Rather, several of the largest media agencies in the industry – which, as noted, together place tens of billions of dollars in advertising each year in the U.S. alone – strongly support the Transaction, recognizing that it will benefit advertisers and consumers by accelerating the availability of advanced advertising capabilities across the combined company’s expanded footprint. Viamedia’s concerns are not transaction-specific and are only designed to protect and advance its own business interests.
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Further, while a handful of petitioners submitted economic analyses purporting to show potential harms, these analyses lack empirical evidence, rest on assumptions that do not apply in this case, or, when properly applied, actually support the Transaction, as Drs. Israel, Rosston, Topper, and Carlton explain in their attached declarations.
For example, Netflix, Cogent, and Dish propose artificially defining a “national broadband market” that not only excludes DSL, wireless, and other technologies, but also increases the baseline broadband speed by several multiples of the current baseline. These changes would effectively exclude from the Commission’s analysis services and speeds that are successfully used today by tens of millions of customers, including customers who use them to access Netflix’s service. This proposed definition bears no resemblance to marketplace realities and ignores established principles of economic analysis – but would nicely advance the parochial interests of these three companies.
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First, there is no such national market. As Dr. Israel’s analysis makes clear, broadband is a local market in which Comcast and TWC do not compete. The AT&T-MediaOne case cited by these parties is inapposite. Neither the Commission nor DOJ identified a national broadband market in AT&T-MediaOne; rather, that case, unlike here, involved a horizontal merger of competitors in the portal market – a market segment quite distinct from the broadband Internet access market. In contrast, in cases where the Commission has actually analyzed the broadband market, it has consistently found that the relevant market is local, that the broadband market is competitive, and that where there is little or no geographic overlap among broadband providers that seek to combine, there is no cause for competitive concern.
Second, it makes no sense, when defining a “market” for competitive purposes, to exclude either technologies or speeds that tens of millions of broadband customers use today and will still use tomorrow. No one disputes the importance of encouraging more broadband providers to deploy speeds of and above 25 Mbps; to the contrary, Applicants applaud the Commission’s (and the Chairman’s) efforts to promote this goal. But that is a separate and fundamentally different proposition from whether consumers who use ISP services below that speed today should be excluded from the competitive analysis of this Transaction. The answer to that question is clear: they do count and it would be wrong to exclude them. There are many such competitive broadband options that consumers currently have and use in the local markets where the combined company will operate, including the DSL and wireless services that some petitioners would blithely have the Commission assume away. Consider the following:
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Twenty of the 60 providers on Netflix’s August 2014 speed index are DSL providers, and the average speed of many of these DSL providers is greater than the average speed offered by some cable providers.
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A 4 Mbps connection has been found to be sufficient to handle streaming of HD video. The fastest ISP on Netflix’s speed rankings averaged 3.11 Mbps down.
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The growth rate in DSL subscribership exceeded the growth rate in cable subscribership between June 2009 and June 2013 (30.7 percent for DSL versus 17.9 percent for cable). At 10 Mbps, the difference in annual growth rates is even more pronounced: 150.6 percent for DSL versus 52.8 percent for cable.
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Sixty-one percent (61%) of households in the U.S. have only one or two occupants and, therefore, are well below the five simultaneous users per household that these commenters postulate in an attempt to justify 25 Mbps as the baseline speed.
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According to NTIA, the percentage of U.S. population with access to a mobile wireless provider offering broadband speeds of at least 10 Mbps downstream increased from 7.9 percent in December 2010 to 97.5 percent in June 2013.
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Video is the largest and fastest growing segment of mobile data traffic, and is forecasted to account for over 50 percent of all global mobile data traffic by 2019.
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Continuing recent trends of declining prices to consumers, wireless providers’ costs are expected to fall precipitously over the next several years, which will further reduce consumer prices.
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In a recent survey of over 1,000 broadband users conducted by Global Strategy Group (“GSG”), 42 percent of respondents indicated that they use wireless broadband at least as much as wired broadband for high bandwidth activities, and 60 percent or more use wireless broadband at least as much as wired broadband for low bandwidth activities.
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Indeed, even customers who have opted for higher speeds would see DSL and wireless as a serious alternative if their current broadband provider were to degrade their service by blocking or slowing an edge provider's service. The GSG Survey shows that over 70 percent of cable and phone companies’ broadband subscribers would likely switch broadband providers – including to a DSL or wireless provider, or even to an ISP with slower speeds – if their ISP blocked or degraded access to Internet content. These findings are similar to a recent survey by Consumer Reports on the same issue.
Some commenters further try to dismiss existing competitive options based on the assumption that consumers cannot switch because of high switching costs and inconvenience. This may be true in some circumstances, and, if so, it is a valid consideration. But the empirical evidence shows that switching costs and inconvenience do not appear to constrain many broadband customers from switching. Consumers will – and regularly do – switch broadband providers when dissatisfied with their services:
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The GSG survey also found that consumers frequently switch broadband providers – one-third of survey respondents switched providers in at least the past two years, and nearly one-half switched providers within the past four years.
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These results are consistent with the results of a survey commissioned by the Commission in 2010, finding that over the prior three years 36 percent of Internet users indicated that they had switched their ISP.
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And these results are further confirmed by Comcast’s churn data, which indicate that, over the course of a single year, a significant portion of Comcast’s broadband subscribers switch from its service.
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The conclusions to be drawn from this data go beyond the fact that subscribers can and will switch providers, and also indicate that existing broadband choices in local markets provide important discipline to providers. Thus, as Dr. Israel concludes, this research:
implies that, to define today’s local broadband markets, one should use a speed no higher than 10 Mbps, and likely closer to the current 3 Mbps definition [for data collection purposes (4Mbps otherwise)]. This conclusion follows from the adequacy of slower speeds for many uses, including many video applications, and the fact that the marginal customers who would discipline a price increase would likely consider providers offering such lower speeds. Higher speeds (such as 25 Mbps) would miss important current competitive constraints.
In short, the record evidence demonstrates that the existing local broadband market is competitive and that the Transaction will accelerate even more broadband investment and competition, thereby helping to achieve the shared goal of faster Internet speeds for more Americans. But even if one were to ignore this record evidence, and disregard established economic principles that properly focus on consumer choices in local markets for competitive analysis, the Transaction still would present no issues because it would not lead to any meaningful increase in Comcast’s share of a presumed national “market” at 25 Mbps downstream or higher. TWC has very few customers at 25 Mbps or higher; thus, Dr. Israel shows that the combined company’s broadband share under this scenario would increase by less than one percent.
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For these and other reasons, after having reviewed the petitions and associated economic declarations filed in this proceeding, Dr. Israel concludes:
[T]he large and mostly unchallenged consumer benefits from the transaction easily swamp any potential competitive harms from the transaction, particularly given that Commenters have made no attempt to quantify any harms and that, as shown throughout this report, such harms are unsupported by theoretical or economic evidence and are likely to be extremely small if they occur at all.
Drs. Rosston and Topper agree, concluding that the Transaction “will not cause competitive harm” (based on econometric analyses using the Commission’s own methodologies and real-world data) and “will lead to transaction-specific efficiencies that will benefit residential consumers, businesses, and advertisers.”
Similarly, Dr. Carlton concludes that:
[T]he evidence cited by the Commenters [for their concerns about the Transaction] in fact supports exactly the reverse of their conclusion – namely the evidence they cite in fact shows that the magnitude of any harm, even if real, is likely to be tiny. The overall conclusion that emerges is that the benefits of the proposed transaction are large relative to the key harms that the Commenters have identified. Thus, the proposed transaction is in the public interest.
Finally, no petitioner plausibly asserts that approval of the license transfers would effect a per se violation of the Act or any Commission rule – and it plainly would not. Nor does any petitioner credibly dispute that Comcast, as transferee, is fully qualified to hold the licenses at issue. Comcast both meets the requisite qualifications and has a strong compliance history – including, most recently, in connection with the more than 150 conditions that the Commission adopted in the Comcast-NBCUniversal transaction.
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As further discussed in our Opposition below, the facts and record evidence in this case are clear. In contrast to the idle speculation, non-transaction-specific demands, and well-worn predictions of doom and gloom offered by the Transaction’s opponents, Applicants have provided relevant marketplace data, economic and econometric analyses, and specific commitments demonstrating substantial benefits for consumers and competition that are merger-specific, verifiable, and non-speculative. Moreover, these benefits are ones that the Commission has consistently recognized as satisfying its public interest standard under well-established precedent.
Section II of the Opposition sets out the applicable standard of review the Commission applies in license transfer proceedings and shows that Applicants have met their burden under this standard and opponents have not.
In Section III, buttressed by the accompanying economic declarations from Dr. Israel, Drs. Rosston and Topper, and Dr. Carlton, Applicants further confirm the substantial public interest benefits this Transaction will generate and rebut assertions to the contrary.
Section IV answers in detail the various allegations of competitive and consumer harm that have been raised, and both this section and the aforementioned economic and engineering declarations demonstrate the fallacies of the various horizontal, vertical, and other harms theorized by opponents and their economic experts.
Finally, Section V responds to various other non-transaction-specific issues, self-serving demands and proposed conditions, and miscellaneous matters raised by certain parties that should be given no weight in the Commission’s review of the applications.
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For these reasons, Applicants have conclusively demonstrated that the Transaction will serve the public interest, convenience, and necessity. Accordingly, Applicants respectfully urge the Commission to approve the license transfer applications expeditiously.
Under Sections 214(a) and 310(d) of the Communications Act, the Commission will approve a proposed transfer of control so long as (1) the transaction itself does not violate a statute or rule, and (2) “on balance,” the transfer “serves the public interest, convenience and necessity.”2 A petition to deny must meet two separate requirements: “(1) [it] must contain specific allegations of fact that, taken as true, make out a prima facie case that grant of the application would not serve the public interest; and (2) the allegations, taken together with any opposing evidence before the Commission, must still raise a substantial and material question of fact as to whether grant of the application would serve the public interest.”3
2 47 U.S.C. §§ 214(a), 310(d); see also, e.g., Applications of AT&T Inc. and Atl. Tele-Network, Inc. for Consent to Transfer Control of and Assign Licenses and Authorizations, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 28 FCC Rcd. 13670 ¶ 12 (2013) (“AT&T-ATN Order”); Applications Filed for the Transfer of Control of Insight Commc’ns Co. and Time Warner Cable Inc., Memorandum Opinion and Order, 27 FCC Rcd. 497 ¶ 7 (WCB 2012) (“Insight-TWC Order”); Applications Filed by Qwest Commc’ns Int’l Inc. and CenturyTel, Inc. d/b/a CenturyLink for Consent to Transfer of Control, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 26 FCC Rcd. 4194 ¶ 2 (2011) (“CenturyLink-Qwest Order”); AT&T Inc. and BellSouth Corp. Application for Transfer of Control, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 22 FCC Rcd. 5662 ¶ 2 (2007) (“AT&T-BellSouth Order”); Applications for Consent to the Assignment and/or Transfer of Control of Licenses of Adelphia Commc’ns Corp. (and Subsidiaries, Debtors-In-Possession), Assignors, to Time Warner Cable Inc. (Subsidiaries), Assignees, Adelphia Commc’ns Corp., (and Subsidiaries, Debtors-In-Possession), Assignors and Transferors, to Comcast Corp. (Subsidiaries), Assignees and Transferees, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 21 FCC Rcd. 8203 ¶ 23 (2006) (“Adelphia Order”).
3 Serafyn v. FCC, 149 F.3d 1213, 1216 (D.C. Cir. 1998); see also Astroline Commc’ns Co. v. FCC, 857 F.2d 1556, 1561 (D.C. Cir. 1988). Moreover, only where opponents raise genuine “substantial and material questions of fact” – circumstances not present here – may the Commission designate the matter for an adjudicatory hearing. 47 U.S.C. §§ 308, 309(a), (d), (e) & 310(d). Given the extensive record presented by both Applicants and third parties and the extensive requests for information the Commission has issued to Comcast, TWC, and Charter, there can be no plausible claim that the Commission lacks sufficient information to make an informed judgment here. The Commission may not (as some appear to wish) conduct an adjudicative hearing solely for the purpose of delaying the Transaction, see, e.g., Dish Network Corp. (“Dish”) Petition to Deny at 10-11, or delay its review altogether pending the outcome of a non-transaction-specific issue, see Sports Fans Coalition Petition to Deny at 35-36. Likewise, a hearing is not warranted where the disagreements among the parties are not genuinely factual, but “concern the appropriate public interest determination on the antitrust and communications issues.” United States v. FCC, 652 F.2d 72, 89 n.82 (D.C. Cir. 1980). The Commission has never before set for hearing a transaction between parties with no overlapping territories.
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A. Applicants Have Met Their Burden of Proof.
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The Commission’s General Counsel recently explained that the applicants bear the ultimate burden of proof in a license transfer review proceeding.4 Specifically, they must demonstrate, by a preponderance of the evidence, that the Transaction will on balance serve the public interest, convenience and necessity,5 based on evidence of merger-specific, verifiable, and non-speculative benefits.6
Applicants have clearly and convincingly met their burden of proof here.7 The record in this proceeding establishes “demonstrable and verifiable public interest benefits that could not be achieved if there were no merger.”8
4 See Jon Sallet, FCC Transaction Review: Competition and the Public Interest, Official FCC Blog (Aug. 12, 2014), http://www.fcc.gov/blog/fcc-transaction-review-competition-and-public-interest (“Sallet Blog”) (“Fundamental is the fact that applicants have the burden of demonstrating on the public record that their proposed transaction is in the public interest.”).
5 See generally AT&T-BellSouth Order ¶ 19; SBC Commc’ns Inc. and AT&T Corp. Applications for Approval of Transfer of Control, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 20 FCC Rcd. 18290 ¶ 16 (2005) (“SBC-AT&T Merger Order”); Application of EchoStar Commc’ns Corp., Gen. Motors Corp., and Hughes Elecs. Corp., Hearing Designation Order, 17 FCC Rcd. 20559 ¶ 25 (2002) (“EchoStar-DirecTV Merger Order”).
6 EchoStar-DirecTV Merger Order ¶¶ 189-190; Applications of NYNEX Corp. and Bell Atl. Corp. for Consent to Transfer Control of NYNEX Corp. and Its Subsidiaries, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 12 FCC Rcd. 19985 ¶ 158 (1997) (“Bell Atlantic-NYNEX Merger Order”); Applications of Ameritech Corp. and SBC Commc’ns Inc. for Consent to Transfer Control of Corporations Holding Commission Licenses and Lines Pursuant to Sections 214 and 310(d) of the Communications Act and Parts 5, 22, 24, 25, 63, 90, 95 and 101 of the Commission’s Rules, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 14 FCC Rcd. 14712 ¶ 255 (1999) (“SBC-Ameritech Merger Order”).
7 Charter Communications, Inc. and GreatLand Connections, the doing business name of what was SpinCo and is now Midwest LLC, are submitting a separate Opposition and Response to address their acquisition of legacy TWC and Comcast systems following the “Divestiture Transactions” between Comcast and Charter. See Letter from Kathryn A. Zachem, Senior Vice President, Regulatory and State Legislative Affairs, Comcast Corp., et al., to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, FCC, MB Docket No. 14-57, at 2-3 (June 5, 2014) (detailing the Divestiture Transactions). Applicants fully support this filing and Charter’s and GreatLand Connection’s acquisition of these legacy systems, which will lead to numerous public interest benefits.
8 See, e.g., Applications for Consent to the Transfer of Control of Licenses and Section 214 Authorizations from MediaOne Group, Inc., Transferor, to AT&T Corp., Transferee, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 15 FCC Rcd. 9816 ¶ 154 (2000) (“AT&T-MediaOne Order”) (emphasis added); see also Applications of Nextel Commc’ns, Inc. and Sprint Corp. For Consent to Transfer Control of Licenses and Authorizations, 20 FCC Rcd. 13967 ¶ 129 (2005) (“Sprint-Nextel Order”) (“We examine whether operation of the combined entity could yield consumer benefits unattainable absent a merger.”). Notably, the Commission’s review is confined to the transaction before it rather than the relative merit of any hypothetical alternative transactions. See, e.g., Application of Citadel Commc’ns Co., Ltd. and Act III Broad. of Buffalo, Inc. for Assignment of License of Television Station WUTV(TV) Buffalo, New York, 5 FCC Rcd. 3842 ¶ 16 (1990) (“Section 310(d) of the Act limits our consideration to the buyer proposed in an assignment application, and we cannot consider whether some other proposal might comparatively better serve the public interest.”).
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The Commission has stated its “deeply rooted preference” for “accelerating private sector deployment of advanced services,”9 as well as a preference for transactions that will improve the quality of communications services or result in the provision of new or additional services.10 This Transaction will serve these Commission objectives by greatly expanding the quality of communications services available to American consumers and businesses.11 The record demonstrates –without meaningful rebuttal – that the Transaction will result in accelerated deployment of higher broadband speeds and enhanced broadband services (including Wi-Fi); greater availability of advanced video and voice services and technologies; greater scale and scope efficiencies leading to more investment and innovation; increased business service and wireless backhaul competition; and geographic rationalization-related efficiencies leading to enhanced service offerings, better performance, and more competition.
9 See Applications of SOFTBANK CORP., Starburst II, Inc., Sprint Nextel Corp., and Clearwire Corp. for Consent to Transfer Control of Licenses and Authorizations; Petitions for Reconsideration of Applications of Clearwire Corp. for Pro Forma Transfer of Control, Memorandum Opinion and Order, Declaratory Ruling, and Order on Reconsideration, 28 FCC Rcd. 9642 ¶ 24 (2013) (“Softbank-Sprint Order”); AT&T-ATN Order ¶ 13; Applications of AT&T Inc. and Centennial Commc’ns Corp. for Consent to the Transfer Control of Licenses, Authorizations, and Spectrum Leasing Arrangements, 24 FCC Rcd. 13915 ¶ 28 (2009) (“AT&T-Centennial Order”); CenturyLink-Qwest Order ¶ 8.
10 Applications of Comcast Corp., Gen. Elec. Co. and NBC Universal, Inc. for Consent to Assign Licenses and Transfer Control of Licenses, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 26 FCC Rcd. 4238 ¶ 23 (2011) (“Comcast-NBCUniversal Order”); see also Applications for Consent to the Transfer of Control of Licenses from Comcast Corp. & AT&T Corp., Transferors, to AT&T Comcast Corp., Transferee, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 17 FCC Rcd. 23246 ¶ 27 (2002) (“Comcast-AT&T Broadband Order”), aff’d sub nom. Consumer Fed’n of Am. v. FCC, 348 F.3d 1009 (D.C. Cir. 2003); Wavecom Solutions Corp., Transferor, & Hawaiian Telcom, Inc., Transferee, Applications for Consent to Transfer of Control, Memorandum Opinion and Order and Declaratory Ruling, 27 FCC Rcd. 16081 ¶ 8 (2012); Applications filed by Global Crossing Ltd. and Level 3 Commc’ns, Inc. for Consent to Transfer Control, Memorandum Opinion and Order and Declaratory Ruling, 26 FCC Rcd. 14056 ¶ 11 (2011) (“Global Crossing-Level 3 Order”); CenturyLink-Qwest Order ¶ 8; Remarks of Jonathan Sallet, Acting General Counsel, FCC, Conference on Competition and IP Policy in High-Technology Industries, Stanford, Cal. (Jan. 22, 2014), available at http://transition.fcc.gov/Daily_Releases/Daily_Business/2014/db0124/DOC-325267A1.pdf.
11 For ease of reference, and as noted above, the term “Transaction” includes the Comcast-TWC transaction and the acquisition of legacy Charter systems as part of the exchange with Charter pursuant to the Divestiture Transactions. See Charter-to-Comcast Public Interest Statement, Charter-to-Comcast Exchange Transaction, MB Docket No. 14-57 (June 4, 2014) (“Charter-to-Comcast Exchange Transaction”).
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The Commission has repeatedly found that these exact same benefits satisfy the public interest standard in prior license application review proceedings.
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Accelerated Deployment of Better Broadband and Wi-Fi Services. In every major cable TV transaction, the Commission has consistently found that the combined company’s ability to deliver more advanced broadband and other services, especially if on an accelerated basis, constitutes a substantial public interest benefit. For example, in the Comcast-AT&T Order, the Commission found that “the merged entity is likely to accelerate the deployment of broadband services in AT&T service areas .. . . Comcast appears to have a greater ‘ability to manage an accelerated program for upgrading its plant . . . .’ We believe that applying this expertise to the AT&T cable systems is likely to have a positive impact on the deployment of broadband to AT&T subscribers that currently do not have access to those services.”12 And in the Adelphia Order, the Commission likewise found that “accelerated deployment of high-speed Internet service . . . [is a] cognizable public interest benefit[].”13
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Advanced Video and Voice Services. Likewise, the Commission has consistently held that the deployment of advanced video and voice services is an important consumer benefit: “As the Commission has stated many times, the deployment of advanced video services is a recognized public interest benefit. In reviewing previous transactions, the Commission also has found that . . . the provision of competitive, facilities-based telephony service[s] are cognizable public interest benefits . . . . Although the Applicants have not given definitive time tables for initiating and completing the planned system upgrades and deployment of new and advanced services, we expect that Comcast and Time Warner have sufficient incentives to carry out the proposed improvements in a timely manner, because doing so serves the goal of maximizing revenues and competing effectively with LECs and DBS providers.”14
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Greater Scale and Scope Efficiencies/Greater Investment and Innovation. Further, the Commission has consistently found that the greater scale and scope efficiencies described by the parties in prior mergers would lead to substantial public interest benefits, including increased investment, innovation, and competition. In the AT&T-BellSouth Order, for example, the Commission has noted “that the increase in scale and scope arising from the merger will help the merged entity to better spread the costs of, and internalize the benefits of, its R&D, thus increasing its incentives to invest.”15 And in the AT&T Broadband Order, the Commission further explained, “We also agree with the Applicants that the greater scale and scope of the merged entity is likely to spur new investment. The development and deployment of new technologies often entails a significant up-front, fixed investment. The merged company should have a greater ability to spread those fixed costs across a larger customer base, which should in turn foster incentives for investment by the merged entity, as well as other businesses that seek to sell equipment, technology, and services to the merged entity.”16
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12 Comcast-AT&T Broadband Order ¶ 183.
13 Adelphia Order ¶ 256.
14 Id. ¶ 256.
15 AT&T-BellSouth Order ¶ 214 n.594.
16 Comcast-AT&T Broadband Order ¶ 184; see also Applications Filed by Frontier Commc’ns Corp. and AT&T Inc. for the Assignment or Transfer of Control of the S. New Eng. Tel. Co. and SNET Am., Inc., Memorandum Opinion and Order, 29 FCC Rcd. 9203 ¶ 26 (WCB 2014).
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Greater Business Service Competition. In addition, the Commission has previously recognized that cable entry “foster[s] facilities-based competition in the enterprise market,” and that this promotes “a long-standing goal.”17 In the 2010 Order approving the acquisition of certain assets of CIMCO by Comcast Phone, et al, the Commission concluded that “Comcast’s acquisition of CIMCO’s assets and expertise will result in significant public interest benefits, in part because the transaction will foster facilities-based competition in the enterprise market, a long-standing goal of the Commission.”18 And in a 2011 decision approving the transfer of Insight to TWC, the Commission reiterated that “the proposed transaction likely will provide benefits to residential and business customers through the combined companies’ increased ability to compete with the incumbent LEC in the provision of voice service and service bundles.”19
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Enhanced Geographic Rationalization. As stated in the Adelphia Order, “[t]he Commission also has found that the potential benefits from clustering, including marketing efficiencies and the deployment of facilities-based telephony and Internet access services, outweigh any potential anticompetitive effects of clustering on competition in product markets such as local programming or advertising. In addition, the Commission has noted that clustering can increase economies of scale and size, and thus enable cable operators to offer an increased variety of broadband services at reduced prices to customers in geographic areas that are larger than single cable franchise areas. Therefore, the Commission concluded that clustering can make cable operators more effective competitors to LECs whose local service areas are usually much larger than a single cable franchise area. The Commission also has stated that clustering can provide a means of improving efficiency, reducing costs, and attracting increased advertising.”20
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17 Applications Filed for the Acquisition of Certain Assets of CIMCO Commc’ns, Inc. by Comcast Phone LLC, Comcast Phone of Mich., LLC and Comcast Bus. Commc’ns, LLC, Memorandum Opinion and Order and Order on Reconsideration, 25 FCC Rcd. 3401 ¶ 4 (2010) (“CIMCO Order”).
18 Id.
19 Insight-TWC Order ¶ 23.
20 Adelphia Order ¶ 271; see also Annual Assessment of the Status of Competition in the Market for the Delivery of Video Programming, Thirteenth Annual Report, 24 FCC Rcd. 542 ¶ 180 (2009) (recognizing that contiguous regional service areas, among other benefits, can enable cable operators to offer an increased variety of broadband services at reduced prices).
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Comcast has delivered – and often over-delivered – on its promises to provide these and other public interest benefits in past transactions. It will do the same here.
The Transaction also “complies with the specific provisions of the Communications Act, other applicable statutes, and the Commission’s rules.”21 In fact, not a single petition or commenter alleges that the Transaction will result in a violation of the Communications Act or other applicable statutes or the Commission’s rules. In addition, Applicants possess the requisite “character” qualifications to hold Commission licenses.22
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B. Petitioners Have Not Met Their Burden.
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In contrast to the strong record established by Applicants in support of the Transaction, petitioners have failed to demonstrate that granting the license transfer applications will disserve the public interest in any material respect.
As explained by the Commission’s General Counsel, the relevant “public interest” analysis is akin to the analysis undertaken by the Department of Justice or the Federal Trade Commission under Section 7 of the Clayton Act, but differs from the traditional antitrust analysis insofar as the Commission examines both potential anticompetitive effects and whether the transaction will serve the public interest more generally.23 To that end, the Commission limits its consideration to whether the proposed transaction “could result in public interest harms by substantially frustrating or impairing the objectives or implementation of the [Communications] Act or related statutes.”24 The Commission’s public interest review is not unbounded, and does not entail the all-encompassing reach advocated by several commenters.25
21 AT&T-BellSouth Order ¶ 19.
22 See Comcast-NBCUniversal Order ¶ 276; AT&T-BellSouth Order ¶ 194; SBC-AT&T Merger Order ¶¶ 175-176. Greenlining’s challenge to Comcast’s character and fitness to hold Commission licenses due to the inadvertent disclosure of certain unlisted telephone numbers assigned to subscribers to Comcast Xfinity Voice Service is patently absurd as explained in Section V.F. infra.
23 See Sallet Blog; see also AT&T-MediaOne Order ¶ 9; Gen. Motors Corp. & Hughes Elec. Corp., Transferors, and The News Corp. Ltd., Transferee, for Authority to Transfer Control, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 19 FCC Rcd. 473 ¶ 16 (2004); United States v. FCC, 652 F.2d at 88 (quoting N. Natural Gas Co. v. FPC, 399 F.2d 953, 959 (D.C. Cir. 1968)).
24 Comcast-NBCUniversal Order ¶ 22; see also AT&T-BellSouth Order ¶ 19; SBC-AT&T Merger Order ¶ 16.
25 See, e.g., Dish Petition to Deny at 6-9; Netflix, Inc. (“Netflix”) Petition to Deny at 3; Free Press Petition to Deny at 10-12, 21; Sinclair Broadcast Group, Inc. (“Sinclair”) Petition to Deny at 1; American Antitrust Institute (“AAI”) Comments at 34. Unless otherwise noted, all citations to comments, petitions, or letters herein are those filed in MB Docket No. 14-57 on or around August 25, 2014.
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Moreover, as the D.C. Circuit has held, petitions to deny that set forth only generalized and unsupported criticisms of the proposed transaction “manifestly do not contain ‘specific allegations of fact sufficient to show that . . . a grant of the application would be prima facie inconsistent’ with the public interest standard” and thus cannot form the basis for adverse action on an application.26 The Commission will not engage in or condone idle and unsupported speculation regarding hypothetical harms that may follow from a particular transaction. In the Commission’s words, “[m]ere possibilities are not of decisive significance in competitive analysis.”27
Further, because the Commission’s public interest analysis is informed by relevant antitrust principles,28 its duty is “to protect . . . competition, not competitors.”29 Proposed transactions raise concern only if “they reduce the availability of substitute choices (i.e., increase market concentration) to the point that the acquiring firm has a significant incentive and ability to engage in anticompetitive actions such as raising prices or reducing output.”30 The mere fact that a transaction may have a negative impact on certain participants in a market is insufficient (especially when those parochial negative impacts may increase consumer welfare); the competitive impact must be on the market as a whole.31 Thus, as the Commission’s General Counsel has made clear, the “FCC’s actions should be informed by competition principles. These principles look to the impact of practices on consumers and the public interest, not just on competitors. They are designed to be fact-based and data-driven.”32
26 United States v. FCC, 652 F.2d at 90 (emphasis added).
27 Bell Atl. Mobile Sys., Inc. & NYNEX Mobile Commc’ns Co., 12 FCC Rcd. 22280 ¶ 9 (1997) (“Bell Atlantic-NYNEX Order”); see also SBC Commc’ns Inc. v. FCC, 56 F.3d 1484, 1494 (D.C. Cir. 1995) (quoting United States v. FCC, 652 F.2d at 92).
28 AT&T-BellSouth Order ¶ 24 nn.85-86; SBC-AT&T Merger Order ¶ 21 nn.83-84; Sprint-Nextel Order ¶¶ 39, 51.
29 AT&T-BellSouth Order ¶ 195 (emphasis added); Bell Atlantic-NYNEX Order ¶ 16 (emphasis added).
30 Adelphia Order ¶ 59.
31 SBC-AT&T Merger Order ¶ 151. In this regard, the Commission has never failed to approve a transaction between parties that do not directly compete – as is the case here – including AT&T-Comcast and AT&T-TWC-Adelphia when the video and broadband markets were less competitive than they are today.
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Nor can the Commission prohibit a strong firm from entering promising new markets merely out of concern that they might succeed in competing in those markets.33 As the D.C. Circuit has instructed, such a proposition “turns the purpose of the antitrust laws on its head.”34 But even aside from this limiting principle, the rapid changes in technology and the Commission’s own plans to spur even more investment and innovation in the relevant communications segments make it impossible to predict market outcomes. Under these circumstances, any assumptions about potential market dominance would be conjectural at best. And previous such assumptions in this dynamic industry have proven to be manifestly wrong.35
33 United States v. FCC, 652 F.2d at 103.
34 Id.
35 See, e.g., Section IV.A.1.a infra discussing DOJ’s ordered divestiture of an interest in an Internet content portal business – Excite@Home – in connection with the AT&T-MediaOne merger. This business model did not prove particularly compelling after all. By October 2001, Excite@Home filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection. Similarly, it is instructive that the merger of AOL and Time Warner was delayed while the Commission considered consumer advocates’ insistent pleas that a condition be adopted to prevent some wholly imaginary and anticipated harm with regard to “advanced [instant-messaging]-based applications.” Applications for Consent to the Transfer of Control of Licenses and Section 214 Authorizations by Time Warner Inc. and America Online, Inc., Transferors, to AOL Time Warner Inc., Transferee, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 16 FCC Rcd. 6547 ¶ 18 (2001) (“AOL-Time Warner Order”). Less than two years later, the condition was quietly abandoned, with nary a word from any of the consumer advocates who deemed it so essential. See Applications for Consent to the Transfer of Control of Licenses and Section 214 Authorizations by Time Warner Inc. and America Online, Inc., Transferors, to AOL Time Warner Inc., Transferee; Petition of AOL Time Warner Inc. for Relief From the Condition Restricting Streaming Video AIHS, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 18 FCC Rcd. 16835 ¶ 1 (2003).
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The Commission has also made clear that its public interest analysis is limited to transaction-specific harms. There is a “temptation and tendency for parties to use the license transfer review proceeding as a forum to address or influence various disputes with one or the other of the applicants that have little if any relationship to the transaction or to the policies and objectives of the Communications Act.”36 Parties also commonly misuse these proceedings to raise matters affecting industry-wide policies.37 Such efforts are inappropriate and irrelevant to the license transfer review process. The Commission will not entertain arguments that “are better addressed in other Commission proceedings, or other legal fora, including the [courts] and the Congress.”38 Nor will the Commission consider extraneous disputes regarding an applicant’s compliance with particular Commission rules.39
36 See, e.g., AOL-Time Warner Order ¶ 6.
37 See, e.g., AT&T-Centennial Order ¶ 141 (“We find that the proposed conditions prohibiting exclusive handset arrangements are not narrowly tailored to prevent a transaction-specific harm, but apply broadly across the industry and are more appropriate for a Commission proceeding where all interested industry parties have an opportunity to file comments. RCA filed a petition asking the Commission to review exclusive handset agreements on an industry-wide basis, and the Commission will be able to develop a comprehensive approach on handset exclusivity based on a full record in that proceeding.”) (internal citations omitted); Applications of Cellco P’ship d/b/a Verizon Wireless and Spectrum Co LLC and Cox TMI, LLC For Consent To Assign AWS-1 Licenses; Applications of Verizon Wireless and Leap for Consent to Exchange Lower 700 MHz, AWS-A, and PCS Licenses; Applications of T-Mobile License LLC and Cellco P’ship d/b/a Verizon Wireless for Consent to Assign Licenses, Memorandum Opinion and Order and Declaratory Ruling, 27 FCC Rcd. 10698 ¶ 89 (2012) (“We also find that any issues of interoperability in the Lower 700 MHz band raised by commenters are not transaction-related. The interoperability issues in the Lower 700 MHz band long predate these transactions. Further, the Commission has already initiated a rulemaking proceeding earlier this year to address these issues on an industry-wide basis.”); AT&T-BellSouth Order ¶ 56 n.154 (“To the extent commenters allege that . . . contracts of the type used by AT&T and BellSouth are anticompetitive in general, this is not a merger-specific harm, but rather is an issue that has been raised, and is better addressed, in the Commission’s pending special access rulemaking.”); AOL-Time Warner Order ¶ 6 (“It is important to emphasize that the Commission’s review focuses on the potential for harms and benefits to the policies of the Communications Act that flow from the proposed transaction – i.e., harms and benefits that are ‘merger-specific.’ The Commission recognizes and discourages the temptation and tendency for parties to use the license transfer review proceeding as a forum to address or influence various disputes with one or the other of the applicants that have little if any relationship to the transaction or to the policies and objectives of the Communications Act.”); see also Softbank-Sprint Order ¶¶ 54, 56; Global Crossing-Level 3 Order ¶ 13.
38 Applications of Craig O. McCaw, Transferor, & Am. Tel. & Tel. Co., Transferee, for the Consent to the Transfer of Control of McCaw Cellular Commc’ns, Inc. and its Subsidiaries, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 9 FCC Rcd. 5836 ¶ 123 (1994); see, e.g., Bell Atlantic-NYNEX Order ¶ 15; Applications for Consent to the Transfer of Control of Licenses and Section 214 Authorizations from S. New Eng. Telecomm. Corp., Transferor, to SBC Commc’ns, Inc., Transferee, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 13 FCC Rcd. 21292 ¶ 29 (1998).
39 See Application of WorldCom, Inc. and MCI Commc’ns Corp. for Transfer of Control of MCI Commc’ns Corp. to WorldCom, Inc., Memorandum Opinion and Order, 13 FCC Rcd. 18025 ¶ 215 (1998) (“these unadjudicated matters [regarding payphone providers’ choice of long distance carrier] are not a sufficient basis to conclude that the merger is not in the public interest, and we decline to condition approval of the transfer of control applications on resolution of this dispute”); id. ¶ 215 n.628 (noting that commenters could seek recourse against alleged anticompetitive restrictions on payphone providers’ choice of long distance carrier from the Commission under Section 208 of the Act); AT&T-MediaOne Order ¶ 81 n.255 (commenters could file a program access complaint under 47 C.F.R. § 76.1003); Applications of Pac. Telesis Grp., Transferor, & SBC Commc’ns, Inc., Transferee for Consent to Transfer Control of Pac. Telesis Grp. and its Subsidiaries, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 12 FCC Rcd. 2624 ¶ 38 (1997) (refusing to consider extraneous allegations of market power-preserving conduct in the license transfer proceeding, and instead relying on “the specific enforcement tools that Congress” had given the Commission and the tools available to state commissions); News Corp. and The DirecTV Grp., Inc., Transferors, and Liberty Media Corp., Transferee, for Authority to Transfer Control, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 23 FCC Rcd. 3265 ¶ 161 (2008) (dismissing argument concerning license transfer applicant’s alleged violation of FCC rules governing over-the-air reception devices because it was not transaction-specific); see also Qwest Commc’ns Int’l, Inc. and US WEST, Inc. Applications for Transfer of Control of Domestic and International Sections 214 and 310 Authorizations and Application to Transfer Control of a Submarine Cable Landing Lease, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 15 FCC Rcd. 5376 ¶ 28 (2000); Bell Atl. Mobile Sys., Inc. and NYNEX Mobile Commc’ns Co. Application for Transfer of Control of Eighty-two Cellular Radio Licenses to Cellco P’ship, Order, 10 FCC Rcd. 13368 ¶ 37 (1995).
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Even if the Commission identifies potential public interest harms, it must weigh those potential harms “against the potential public interest benefits” to determine whether the proposed transaction as a whole will serve the public interest.40 When warranted, the Commission may impose “narrowly-tailored, transaction-specific conditions to ensure the public interest is served,” rather than deny the application.41
In this proceeding, the petitions to deny and other opposing commenters fall far short of demonstrating any specific, factually supported grounds that approving the license-transfer applications will disserve the public interest. The majority of arguments and allegations raised by petitioners are not transaction-specific and/or are being addressed in other industry-wide or state-specific proceedings and, therefore, are irrelevant to the Commission’s analysis here. Nevertheless, in the interest of facilitating the Commission’s review process, Applicants briefly respond to these issues in Section V below. Moreover, as further detailed in Section IV below, petitioners do not establish any viable horizontal, vertical, or other harm to competition or consumers resulting from the Transaction. Nor do they credibly dispute the substantial efficiencies and related consumer and business services benefits that will flow from the Transaction, as described in Sections III.A-E below. And there is likewise no serious question that the Transaction will extend other important public interest benefits to millions of additional consumers, such as Comcast’s broadband adoption, diversity, and accessibility efforts, as well as its wide-ranging support for local communities and organizations, as described in Section III.F below.
40 Comcast-NBCUniversal Order ¶ 22; AT&T-BellSouth Order ¶ 19; SBC-AT&T Merger Order ¶ 16.
41 Insight-TWC Order ¶ 10; see also AT&T-ATN Order ¶ 14; Softbank-Sprint Order ¶ 25; Global Crossing-Level 3 Order ¶ 13.
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As Dr. Carlton concludes, “[t]he evidence presented in this proceeding supports the conclusion that the large benefits from the proposed transaction outweigh whatever potential harms may exist.”42 Accordingly, based on the Commission’s established standards and extensive, well-settled precedent, the petitions to deny and all other comments opposing the Transaction should be rejected, and the license transfer applications should be granted.
42
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Declaration of Dr. Dennis W. Carlton (“Carlton Decl.”) ¶ 16, attached as Exhibit 3.
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III.
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THE TRANSACTION WILL PROVIDE SUBSTANTIAL PUBLIC INTEREST BENEFITS, AND CHALLENGES TO THESE BENEFITS ARE WITHOUT MERIT.
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A. The Transaction Will Accelerate the Deployment of Advanced Broadband Services, Increase Broadband Competition and Innovation, and Expand Broadband Adoption.
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Applicants showed in the Public Interest Statement, and hundreds of supporting letters and comments now confirm, that the Transaction will bring substantial broadband-related benefits throughout the combined company’s footprint, especially in the areas acquired from TWC and Charter. Specifically, these benefits include: (1) the accelerated deployment of an upgraded broadband network, faster broadband speeds, innovative broadband technologies, and a more robust Wi-Fi network; (2) increased competition and innovation throughout the broadband ecosystem; and (3) the expansion of Comcast’s acclaimed Internet Essentials broadband adoption program. As the mayors of 52 cities emphasize, the “[c]ities joining the Comcast service area will benefit from increased network investment, faster Internet speeds, . . . and [a] leading community development program to help us tackle important community challenges like the digital divide.”43 In addition, the newly acquired TWC and Charter customers will benefit from Comcast’s singular, legally-binding commitment to an open Internet. There are no credible rebuttals of these principal benefits from any commenters.
43 Letter from 52 Mayors to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 21, 2014).
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1.
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The Transaction Will Accelerate the Deployment of Advanced Broadband Services to the Acquired Systems.
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A Fully Upgraded Network That Delivers Faster Broadband Speeds. Comcast has invested billions of dollars to upgrade its network to deploy DOCSIS 3.0 and transition its systems to all-digital. This hard work and substantial investment has paid off.44 Today, Comcast delivers some of the industry’s fastest broadband speeds and has increased broadband speeds 13 times in 12 years, offering speeds of up to 505 Mbps in most markets.45 The average broadband speed enjoyed by Comcast subscribers is about [[ ]] Mbps versus about [[ ]] Mbps for TWC subscribers.46 And Comcast recently increased several tiers of broadband speeds in a number of its regions, effectively doubling the download speed for its flagship tier of service from 25 Mbps to 50 Mbps, increasing the download speed for its Blast tier of service from 50 Mbps to 105 Mbps, and increasing the download speed for its Extreme tier of service from 105 Mbps to 150 Mbps.47 Following the Transaction, customers in the acquired TWC and Charter systems will benefit from faster broadband speeds and a fully upgraded, more reliable, and more secure network.48 As Dr. Israel observes, “each one Mbps increase in average speed spread across all TWC customers would be worth approximately $95 million per year to consumers. Given the gap between the Comcast and TWC networks and Comcast’s commitment to bring TWC up to Comcast levels, speed increases of several Mbps for TWC customers seem likely, meaning that this source of consumer benefits alone is worth hundreds of millions of dollars.”49 The Commission has recognized that Comcast consistently delivers more than its advertised speed, even during peak hours.50
44 Consumer Federation of America (“CFA”) wrongly accuses Comcast of being a “laggard” in capital expenditures, asserting that Comcast “invests the lowest percentage of its free cash flow in capital expenditures (CapEx) than any of the large video and Internet access providers [and] takes more capital out through depreciation and amortization than it puts in with CapEx.” CFA et al. Petition to Deny at 2; see id. at 46-48. CFA is simply wrong. Comcast has been – and remains – one of the leaders in capital spending within the cable, telecommunications, and Internet sectors, with total capital expenditures over the past three years of $19.9 billion, ahead of all companies other than the much larger Apple, Verizon, and AT&T (based on a review of SEC filings for Amazon, Apple, AT&T, Comcast, Facebook, Google, Netflix, Microsoft, TWC, and Verizon). Comcast’s substantial commitment to and history of capital investment and innovation is further illustrated by the fact that Comcast is in the absolute top tier of firms (i.e., third in 2013 behind Facebook and AT&T from among the above-mentioned companies) with respect to “capital intensity” – i.e., the ratio of a company’s capital expenditures to its revenues – the industry standard method for calculating this metric. CFA’s methodology and calculations are flawed at a very basic level. First, CFA’s use of ratios measuring capital expenditures to free cash flow and net income is not analytically sound. Free cash flow and net income are subject to a number of variables that are not related to the size of the company (e.g., taxes, interest expense, and the like). As such, these measures do not provide any reliable basis for measuring capital expenditures relative to the size of any particular company. For this reason, neither of these ratios is a generally accepted metric used by companies or financial analysts. CFA’s comparison of capital expenditures to depreciation is similarly flawed. Perversely, this measure penalizes companies such as Comcast that have made substantial capital expenditures over a long period of time (and thus have high depreciation expense) and rewards companies that do not have a history of substantial capital expenditures (and thus have low depreciation expense). Beyond this, CFA cites data that is either incorrect or misleading. For example, its assertion that Comcast’s 2013 capital expenditures were approximately 25% of 2013 free cash flow is false. CFA et al. Petition to Deny at 47. Comcast’s 2013 capital expenditures were approximately $7.4 billion, or approximately 88% of total 2013 free cash flow of approximately $8.5 billion. Furthermore, CFA appears to have added research and development expense to the capital expenditure totals for the Internet companies it cites, even though, consistent with recognized practice, those companies themselves do not treat R&D expense as a capital expenditure. In sum, CFA’s argument is based on flawed and distorted data and analysis and misrepresents Comcast’s proven record of investment and innovation.
45 Press Release, Comcast Corp., Comcast Increases Internet Speeds for 13th Time in 12 Years (Apr. 9, 2014), http://corporate.comcast.com/news-information/news-feed/comcast-xfinity-internet-speed-increase.
46 See Reply Declaration of Dr. Mark A. Israel (“Israel Reply Decl.”) ¶ 220, attached as Exhibit 1 (“Today, the average broadband speed enjoyed by Comcast subscribers is at least [[ ]] Mbps versus at least [[ ]] Mbps for TWC subscribers.”).
47 Press Release, Comcast Corp., Comcast Revs Up Internet Speeds Across Four States (July 31, 2014), http://corporate.comcast.com/news-information/news-feed/comcast-increases-internet-speeds-in-california-kansas-missouri-and-texas. And as broadband speeds have increased again and again, Comcast has consistently reduced the average price Comcast’s customers pay on a per-Megabit basis.
48 See Letter from Kathryn A. Zachem, Senior Vice President, Regulatory and State Legislative Affairs, Comcast Corp., to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, FCC, Response to Request No. 88 (Sept. 11, 2014) (attaching Comcast’s Response to the Commission’s Information and Data request) (“Comcast Information Request Response”). Based on the information Comcast has obtained so far about the systems, Comcast projects that the acquired customers in all of the markets will have access to all of Comcast’s products within 36 months of the closing date of the Transaction and Divestiture Transactions, although some market will be fully transitioned within a period as short as 12 months or even sooner. See id.
49
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Israel Reply Decl. ¶ 221.
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50 See Measuring Broadband America Fixed Broadband Report: A Report on Consumer Fixed Broadband Performance in the U.S., Office of Eng’g & Tech. & Consumer & Governmental Affairs Bureau, FCC (June 2014), http://data.fcc.gov/download/measuring-broadband-america/2014/2014-Fixed-Measuring-Broadband-America-Report.pdf (“Measuring Broadband 2014 Report”).
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Some commenters attempt to discredit these clear benefits by arguing that TWC has already announced plans to upgrade a portion of its systems to all-digital and increase broadband speeds.51 However, as Applicants have said (and multiple commenters recognize),52 the Transaction will enable the combined company to surpass and accelerate existing TWC deployment plans and to upgrade the entire TWC service footprint, and Comcast has the experience and expertise to deliver these upgrades faster and more efficiently.53 The record shows that Comcast migrated its systems to all-digital ahead of schedule and with minimal customer disruption. This has allowed Comcast to reclaim additional bandwidth and provide faster broadband speeds. Comcast is well-positioned to deliver these same benefits to the acquired systems in this Transaction. As Drs. Rosston and Topper explain:
51 See Consumers Union and Common Cause (“Consumers Union et al.”) Petition to Deny at 39; Writers Guild of America West, Inc. and Future of Music Coalition (“WGAW et al.”) Petition to Deny at 63-65; AAI Comments at 27-28; Senator Franken Comments at 15.
52 See, e.g., ARRIS Group, Inc. (“ARRIS”) Comments at 2; Free State Foundation Comments at 14; Institute for Policy Innovation Comments at 5; see also Letter from David Williams, President, Taxpayers Protection Alliance, to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 25, 2014) (“[T]he deal means a faster upgrade of broadband communications facilities for consumers.”).
53 As such, the requirements to compete in specific areas that have been proposed by some commenters are unnecessary. See Central Coast Broadband Consortium Comments at 3. Comcast intends to compete vigorously in all markets and invest in network upgrades.
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Comcast will be able to apply its specialized knowledge about these and other best practices to make the transition faster and more efficiently than TWC could on its own. Consumers in turn will benefit from having access to all-digital systems sooner and with less disruption to their service.54
Ironically, other petitioners criticize the Transaction on the theory that Comcast will upgrade the acquired systems too quickly and thoroughly for competitors to match.55 These concerns, of course, fatally undermine the concerns above, and are likewise baseless. The Commission should – as it has done in the past – see through these thinly veiled attempts to protect competitors rather than competition.
54 See Reply Declaration of Dr. Gregory L. Rosston and Dr. Michael D. Topper (“Rosston/Topper Reply Decl.”) ¶ 37, attached as Exhibit 2; see also id. ¶¶ 35-36.
55 See Letter from Pantelis Michalopoulos and Stephanie A. Roy, Steptoe & Johnson, Counsel for Dish, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, FCC (Aug. 25, 2014) (attaching supplemental market share calculations prepared by Professor Sappington (“Sappington Decl.”) that assume Comcast’s planned upgrades of the TWC systems had already occurred).
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Beyond accelerating the benefits of an all-digital network for customers in the acquired systems, the Transaction will also enable Comcast to deploy other network enhancements that support future broadband needs for all of the combined company’s customers.56 The Commission has previously recognized that cost savings from a transaction can better enable a company to invest in broadband infrastructure, which ultimately benefits consumers.57 Hance Haney of the Discovery Institute underscores this benefit here, observing that “[b]roadband services involve ‘very substantial fixed’ costs and are subject to ‘large economies of scale’ . . . . [A] larger firm can place itself in a better position to promote innovation and competition that will yield more choices and ultimately lower prices for consumers.”58 For example, Comcast has already upgraded its entire network to be compliant with IPv6, a critical new standard that is essential to the future growth and enhanced functionality of the Internet.59 These same upgrades will be made to the acquired systems. In addition, Comcast intends to deploy broadband technologies like Converged Cable Access Platform and DOCSIS 3.1 throughout its service area, including the acquired systems, to deliver even faster broadband speeds and improved service.60
56 See Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 34-36; see also id., Exhibit 4, Declaration of Michael J. Angelakis (“Angelakis Decl.”) ¶¶ 23-24; id., Exhibit 6, Declaration of Mark A. Israel (“Israel Decl.”) ¶¶ 187-188; id., Exhibit 5, Declaration of Dr. Gregory L. Rosston and Michael D. Topper (“Rosston/Topper Decl.”) ¶ 60.
57 See Applications Filed by Frontier Commc’ns Corp. and AT&T Inc., Memorandum Opinion and Order, 29 FCC Rcd. 9203 ¶ 28 (WCB, WTB, IB 2014) (finding it likely that Frontier would achieve cost savings over $200 million following a transaction, and that these savings would enable it to increase its infrastructure investment, including infrastructure supporting broadband services); see also Comcast-AT&T Broadband Order ¶ 183 (finding that the transaction would accelerate the deployment of broadband services); Adelphia Order ¶ 256 (same).
58 Hance Haney Comments at 4; see also Competitive Enterprise Institute (“CEI”) Comments at 24 (“The deal will thus create a company that enjoys greater scale in the residential broadband market than any existing wireline provider. This scale will likely translate into an advantageous cost structure for the merged company and, in turn, more competitive service offerings in terms of price and throughput.”).
59 See Press Release, Comcast Corp. Comcast Reaches Key Milestone in Launch of IPv6 Broadband Network (July 22, 2014), http://corporate.comcast.com/comcast-voices/comcast-reaches-key-milestone-in-launch-of-ipv6-broadband-network. By contrast, TWC has implemented IPv6 to a much lower percentage of its network.
60 Thus, Los Angeles County’s suggestion that network upgrades and enhanced broadband technologies will benefit only a few select service areas is baseless. See Los Angeles County, Cal.; Montgomery County, Md.; City of Portland, Or.; and Ramsey-Washington Counties (MN) Suburban Cable Communications Commission (“Los Angeles County et al.”) Petition to Deny at 15-16. As noted, Comcast has upgraded and deployed these technologies throughout its entire footprint and will bring this same approach to the acquired systems.
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Better and More Convenient Wi-Fi Inside and Outside the Home. The Transaction will also support further deployment of advanced in-home Wi-Fi equipment and more robust, ubiquitous Wi-Fi networks across the combined company’s footprint.61 Customers in the acquired TWC and Charter systems will gain access to the fastest in-home Wi-Fi gateways (capable of speeds of up to 270 Mbps – over three times as fast as the prior-generation technology), which millions of Comcast customers already enjoy. And, just a few weeks ago, Comcast announced the launch of the latest Xfinity Wireless Gateway that is capable of delivering in-home Wi-Fi speeds of more than 700 Mbps (more than two times faster than the current model and seven times faster than similar devices available from Verizon and AT&T).62 TWC and Charter customers in the acquired systems will benefit from this latest innovation, as well.
They will also benefit from greater access to public Wi-Fi hotspots. Comcast has made Wi-Fi deployment a priority and is building the most expansive and robust Wi-Fi network in the country, providing convenient, on-the-go Internet access to qualified Xfinity customers at no additional charge. To date, Comcast has deployed over three million hotspots nationwide,63 and plans to reach eight million hotspots by early next year. Comcast also recently announced an arrangement with Liberty Global that will give qualified Xfinity Internet customers access to millions of new Wi-Fi access points across Europe by next year.64
61 See Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 38-39.
62 Allion USA, Internet Service Provider Wireless Gateway Competitive Analysis 4 (2014); see also Eric Schaefer, Introducing the Industry’s Fastest Wireless Gateway, Comcast Voices (Sept. 8, 2014), http://corporate.comcast.com/comcast-voices/introducing-the-industrys-fastest-wireless-gateway.
63 This includes Neighborhood Hotspots, which are residential Wi-Fi gateways that offer a supplemental public pathway for other Xfinity users. See Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 40.
64 Press Release, Comcast Corp., Comcast and Liberty Global Announce Agreement to Connect U.S. and European Wi-Fi Networks (Sept. 11, 2014), http://corporate.comcast.com/news-information/news-feed/comcast-and-liberty-global-announce-agreement-to-connect-u-s-and-european-wi-fi-networks.
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Consumers and businesses alike will benefit from greater Wi-Fi connectivity.65 As Dana Connors, President of the Maine Chamber of Commerce, observes, “Comcast has invested in wi-fi technology which enables businesses to offer encrypted secure networks as well as publicly available wi-fi . . . . Wi-fi is becoming an ancillary service which customers expect and Comcast’s investments in wi-fi is offering businesses a simple turn-key service which greatly improves our [customers’] experience.”66 Wayne Niederhauser, President of Utah’s Senate, similarly notes, “Comcast’s 280,000 subscribers in our state have seen [Comcast’s] investment pay off every day. The Xfinity Hotspots Program enables customers and businesses to connect on the go, without worrying about long-term or fixed-location subscriptions. Comcast has ensured that Utah’s continued demand for services is supported by continued technological capacity and growth.”67 Cisco likewise praises these efforts: “Comcast’s dedication to innovation . . . is evident in its efforts to expand Wi-Fi connectivity.”68 And as Cisco adds, “Led by post-transaction Comcast, accelerated deployment of Wi-Fi will drive the introduction of new services in the new unlicensed spectrum made available at 5 GHz, leading to more efficient use of that spectrum and significant consumer welfare gains.”69
65 As President Obama recognized, “[e]xpanded wireless broadband access will trigger the creation of innovative new businesses, provide cost-effective connections in rural areas, increase productivity, improve public safety, and allow for the development of mobile telemedicine, telework, distance learning, and other new applications that will transform Americans’ lives.” Barack Obama, Presidential Memorandum: Unleashing the Wireless Broadband Revolution (June 28, 2010), available at http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/presidential-memorandum-unleashing-wireless-broadband-revolution.
66 Letter from Dana Connors, President, Maine State Chamber of Commerce, to Chairman Wheeler, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 21, 2014).
67 Letter from Wayne Niederhauser, President, Utah State Senate, to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 1-2 (Aug. 22, 2014).
68 Cisco Systems, Inc. (“Cisco”) Comments at 5.
69 Id.
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Some commenters question whether the Wi-Fi benefits are transaction-specific since Comcast and TWC participate in the Cable WiFi consortium.70 But, in contrast to Comcast, TWC has deployed only 29,000 Wi-Fi access points in its footprint to date.71 And there is no equivalent public Wi-Fi deployment in the Charter systems today, so these customers stand to enjoy entirely new benefits from the Transaction. Moreover, as Drs. Rosston and Topper explain, “[w]ith additional service areas, Comcast will internalize the benefits to additional customers in those areas and, therefore, will have an even stronger incentive to add Wi-Fi access points.”72 This increased incentive is directly tied to the expanded geographic reach the Transaction will provide (and increased geographic rationalization from the Divestiture Transactions between Comcast and Charter).
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2.
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The Transaction Will Foster Greater Broadband Competition and the Virtuous Cycle of Innovation.
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The Transaction will in turn spur other broadband providers to invest in and improve their networks and broadband offerings.73 Indeed, the pendency of the Transaction has already triggered such responses from other providers. These competitive forces will benefit consumers and edge providers alike and foster the virtuous cycle of innovation.
Broadband Competition. As Applicants have shown, today’s broadband market is highly competitive and dynamic, with both wireline and wireless providers offering consumers a variety of broadband choices.74 Most consumers can choose from – and are using – a host of existing DSL, wireless, and other broadband services to meet their Internet requirements today. Key characteristics of this competitive marketplace include the following:
70 See Consumers Union et al. Petition to Deny at 37; Office of the Mayor of the City of Los Angeles (“City of Los Angeles”) Comments at 3; Los Angeles County et al. Petition to Deny at 16. The Cable WiFi initiative allows Comcast and TWC customers to use certain hotpots in each other’s respective markets.
71 See Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 40-41.
72 See Rosston/Topper Decl. ¶¶ 96-99; Israel Decl. ¶¶ 191-192.
73 Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 56-59.
74
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See Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 42-56; Israel Decl. ¶¶ 40-68.
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According to the Commission’s most recent Internet Access Services report, approximately 78 percent of households are located in census tracts where at least three or more fixed broadband providers reported offering at least 3 Mbps downstream and 768 kbps upstream.
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Even at a higher speed threshold, approximately 92 percent of households are located in census tracts where two or more fixed providers reported offering at least 10 Mbps downstream and at least 1.5 Mbps upstream.75
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Mobile broadband provides even more options for consumers. Approximately 99 percent of households are located in census tracts where three or more fixed or mobile broadband providers reported offering at least 3 Mbps downstream and 768 kbps upstream, and approximately 98 percent are located in census tracts where two or more fixed or mobile providers reported offering at least 10 Mbps downstream and at least 1.5 Mbps upstream.76
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Following the Transaction, customers will have a choice between Comcast and one or more top 10 ILEC competitors in 98.5 percent of the combined company’s footprint.77 Based on today’s estimates, the combined company would be overlapped by telco fiber-based broadband services in [[ ]] percent of its territory.78
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When 4G LTE wireless broadband providers are included with the top 10 ILECs, there are virtually no areas of the combined company’s footprint where customers will not have at least one of these options.79
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75 Internet Access Services: Status as of June 30, 2013, Industry Analysis and Technology Division, Wireline Competition Bureau, FCC, at 9, fig.5(a) (June 2014) (“Internet Access Services Report as of June 2013”) , https://apps.fcc.gov/edocs_public/attachmatch/DOC-327829A1.pdf. NTIA data indicate that the extent of broadband availability is not uniform within each census tract. See National Broadband Map, http://www.broadbandmap.gov/speed (last visited Sept. 22, 2014). Nonetheless, because Applicants’ broadband networks serve different local markets and do not overlap each other, the Transaction will not affect the current state of broadband competition in any location, whether one uses census tracts or other geographic metrics in the analysis. For the same reason, applying different Internet speed metrics (e.g., 10 Mbps or 25 Mbps), as some commenters have proposed, will not affect the competitive analysis either. See Israel Reply Decl. ¶¶ 27-28, 34-35.
76 Israel Reply Decl. ¶ 65.
77 Letter from Kathryn A. Zachem, Comcast, and Steven Teplitz, TWC, to Marlene H. Dortch, FCC, at 4 (June 4, 2014) (“Comcast-TWC Supplement Letter”).
78 Letter from Kathryn A. Zachem, Senior Vice President, Regulatory and State Legislative Affairs, Comcast Corp., to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, FCC, at 4-5 (June 24, 2014).
79 Id.
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Netflix’s theory that the Transaction may inhibit broadband investment and deployment80 is based on unsupported conjecture and is squarely at odds with the 20-year history of the Internet and the realities of today’s marketplace. The broadband industry has grown through competitors leapfrogging each other and inciting competitive responses.81 Chairman Wheeler recently recounted this history:
The path from narrowband, to broadband, to high-speed broadband, was forged by competition. In order to meet the competitive threat of satellite services, cable TV companies upgraded their facilities. When the Internet went mainstream, they found themselves in the enviable position of having greater network capacity than telephone companies. Confronted by such competition, the telcos upgraded to DSL, and in some places deployed all-fiber, or fiber-and-copper networks. Cable companies further responded to this competition by improving their own broadband performance. All this investment was a very good thing. The simple lesson of history is that competition drives deployment and network innovation.82
The announcement of this Transaction has already spurred these and other broadband providers to accelerate their investment plans. For example, AT&T revealed plans to expand the rollout of its high-speed fiber network, capable of 1 Gbps speeds, to as many as 100 cities, many of which will overlap with the combined Comcast-TWC service areas.83 Following AT&T’s announcement, Chairman Wheeler praised this initiative, and stated that he sees this development “as a challenge to the cable industry similar to the advent of DBS” and is “hopeful [that the cable industry] will respond competitively once again.”84 The Transaction will better position the combined company to respond to that challenge – and the dynamic cycle will continue.
80 See Netflix Petition to Deny at 93-94.
81 Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 45-46; Israel Decl. ¶ 166.
82 Remarks of Tom Wheeler, Chairman, FCC, The Facts and Future of Broadband Competition, 1776 Headquarters, at 3 (Sept. 4, 2014), available at http://transition.fcc.gov/Daily_Releases/Daily_Business/2014/db0904/DOC-329161A1.pdf. Commissioner O’Rielly similarly stated that “[t]he growth in Internet usage has been remarkable. . . . These gains are made possible by the billions of dollars invested in broadband infrastructure. Since 1996, broadband providers have invested more than $1.2 trillion in wireless and wireline broadband, spending $73 billion annually. Wireline providers account for more than half of this total investment . . . . The result of this investment has been increased access and competition.” Remarks of Michael O’Rielly, Commissioner, FCC, LinkIDAHO 2014 Broadband Summit, at 2 (Aug. 19, 2014), available at http://transition.fcc.gov/Daily_Releases/Daily_Business/2014/db0902/DOC-329118A1.pdf.
83 Press Release, AT&T Corp., AT&T Eyes 100 U.S. Cities and Municipalities for Its Ultra-Fast Fiber Network (Apr. 21, 2014), http://about.att.com/story/att_eyes_100_u_s_cities_and_
municipalities_for_its_ultra_fast_fiber_network.html. CenturyLink also announced that it would expand its gigabit fiber network and more than double the number of eligible homes by the end of this year. Mike Robuck, Cox Heads to Starting Blocks for 1-Gig Service; CenturyLink Expands 1-Gig in Vegas, CED Magazine (May 23, 2014), http://www.cedmagazine.com/news/2014/05/cox-heads-to-starting-blocks-for-1-gig-service-centurylink-expands-1-gig-in-vegas.
84 Remarks of Tom Wheeler, Chairman, FCC, at the National Cable & Telecommunications Association, at 5 (Apr. 30, 2014), available at https://apps.fcc.gov/edocs_public/attachmatch/DOC-326852A1.pdf.
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These recent competitive developments demonstrate once again what the history of the Internet itself has taught; namely, that broadband is not a static market. Certainly the critics who predicted the end of Internet investment and competition during the Adelphia transaction could never have predicted nine years later a recommitment to broadband deployment by AT&T, network entry by Google, and speeds of 1 Gbps and even more becoming commercially viable. It is no less certain that today’s marketplace will likely bear little resemblance to the market ten, five, or even two years from now.
In all events, as the record here makes clear, Applicants do not compete with one other for broadband customers anywhere. Every consumer will have the same number of choices among broadband providers after the Transaction as before. Thus, whether one is satisfied with the robust state of broadband competition today or concerned about an absence of broadband competition in certain areas, this Transaction will simply not have a negative effect on the current state of broadband competition in America. To the contrary, the Transaction will accelerate and encourage even more investments in R&D, innovation, and infrastructure – all of which will be good for broadband investment, good for broadband competition, and good for consumers.
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Benefits to Internet Edge Providers. The Transaction will also benefit Internet edge providers. As the combined company continues to enhance its broadband services, edge providers will be able to innovate and improve their services as well, increasing the value of broadband for all end-users. This, in turn, will create additional incentives for other ISPs to improve their own broadband services.85
Thus, far from harming edge providers, as Netflix and others contend,86 the Transaction will help facilitate the further growth of the Internet and be a boon for OVDs and others. As Matthew Burnett and Tanya Menendez, Co-Founders of Maker’s Row, observe, “this transaction will produce benefits for us and other innovative web-based companies. Combined with TWC, Comcast will have added scale to innovate further in the broadband services market and all the other related technologies, making the company a key platform for online start-ups like us for years to come.”87 Nick Allen, Co-Founder of Shuddle, Inc., similarly observes that “[as] an app-based company, our business plan relies on ubiquitous, fast, and reliable broadband service . . . . The continued growth and pervasiveness of broadband will boost the operating environment for web-based businesses like Shuddle.”88
85 Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 56-59; Israel Decl. ¶¶ 163-166.
86 See, e.g., Netflix Petition to Deny at 75-89; Cogent Communications Group, Inc. (“Cogent”) Petition to Deny at 13, 37-38.
87 Letter from Matthew Burnett et al., Co-Founder, Maker’s Row, to Chairman Wheeler, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 25, 2014).
88 Letter from Nick Allen, Co-Founder, Shuddle, Inc., to Chairman Wheeler, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 25, 2014).
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Ironically, while Netflix and Dish acknowledge that higher-speed broadband is a key driver of their businesses,89 they simply ignore that this Transaction is already spurring greater availability of these higher-speed services. They likewise ignore that the Transaction will extend Comcast’s Open Internet commitment, including application of the now-vacated no-blocking and non-discrimination rules in the Commission’s 2010 Open Internet Order, to millions of additional customers in the acquired systems. This will further benefit edge providers, promote continued growth of the broadband ecosystem, and allay any reasonable concern that Comcast might use the Transaction to thwart future online offerings.90
Finally, while Netflix, Dish, and certain other commenters91 insist that allowing ISPs to charge edge providers or their transit partners for arrangements that offer dedicated direct connection to their networks will somehow trigger the demise of the Internet as we know it, economic and marketplace realities refute that claim. Such arrangements have been in place for years, and, if anything, have helped the Internet’s expansion.
In particular, Netflix’s self-serving proposal that the government should mandate free direct interconnection for Netflix or others is squarely inconsistent with the well-established economic principle of two-sided markets that has prevailed on the Internet since day one: Network and edge providers all contributed through various paid transport arrangements and other mutual exchanges of value, and customers contributed through broadband service charges. As Dr. Israel explains, eliminating the former would, through what is known as the “seesaw” principle, either increase prices for broadband consumers or, as noted by Dr. Dovrolis – an expert in Internet network architecture and interconnection – leave the Internet without the critical funding it needs to continue developing.92 As Dr. Dovrolis further explains, “interfering with the efficient operation of the Internet interconnection marketplace and shifting the bulk of the costs to end-users is likely to disrupt the massive flow of new investment necessary to ensure a robust backbone and ever-expanding Internet facilities. This raises serious concerns about the Internet’s evolution.”93
89 See Netflix Petition to Deny at 10-12 (stating that “content-rich edge services increasingly require a consistently robust high-speed broadband connection”); Dish Petition to Deny at 13-14 (noting that their OTT services and other broadband-enables services like Hopper, Dish Anywhere require a high-speed, high-quality broadband connection”).
90 See discussion infra Section III.F.2.
91 See, e.g., Netflix Petition to Deny at 46-49; Cogent Petition to Deny at 31-33; Dish Petition to Deny at 54-61.
92 See Israel Reply Decl. ¶ 183; Declaration Dr. Constantine Dovrolis (“Dovrolis Decl.”) at 23, attached as Exhibit 5.
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Dr. Israel and Dr. Dovrolis both note, as well, that charges to edge providers that choose to enter into dedicated interconnection arrangements would actually be beneficial, because requiring edge providers to pay a greater share of the incremental cost of the traffic their services consume would cause them to make efficient decisions about how to provide the service.94 Dr. Dovrolis further explains:
[P]aid-peering (and transit) arrangements create incentives for efficiency – these arrangements provide senders of Internet traffic reasons to invest in compression technologies and other ways to reduce their traffic loads. When everything is “free” to the sender, those incentives disappear, so bandwidth demands will increase rapidly – with the access networks presumably tasked with the endless job of maintaining sufficient bandwidth for all possible needs. This will simply increase the strain on the Internet and on the consumers who use it.95
In fact, as Dr. Israel notes, the theoretical model of two-sided pricing presented by Cogent’s expert, Dr. Joseph Farrell, supports many of these conclusions, as do the many prior writings of Netflix’s expert, Dr. David Evans, on two-sided markets.96
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3.
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Expansion of Internet Essentials to Many New Communities Will Increase Broadband Adoption and Reduce the Digital Divide.
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The Transaction will enable Comcast to do even more to help close the digital divide and encourage broadband adoption. What began as a voluntary three-year commitment in 2011 has grown beyond what Comcast initially envisioned, far beyond what the NBCUniversal Order required,97 and has surpassed all expectations at the launch of the program in August 2011. Since Comcast launched Internet Essentials during the 2011 back-to-school season, it has connected more than 1.4 million Americans, from 350,000 families, to the power of the Internet. Comcast has not only extended Internet Essentials indefinitely, but also has consistently improved it, as described in subpart b, below. By expanding Internet Essentials to the acquired territories and fine-tuning its approach, Comcast will connect many more low-income households to today’s high-speed Internet.
94
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Israel Reply Decl. ¶¶ 186-188. See infra Section IV.C.1.c.v.
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96
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Israel Reply Decl. ¶¶ 193-201; see infra Section IV.C.1.c.i.
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97 See Comcast-NBCUniversal Order, App. A, § XVI.2.
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a.
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Commenters Overwhelmingly Endorse Internet Essentials as a Leading Program for Bridging the Digital Divide.
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Internet Essentials already is having a profound impact in Comcast communities across the country. Nearly 300 stakeholders, including national and local civic organizations, state and local government officials, and school organizations, wrote letters to the Commission supporting the Transaction and highlighting the important benefits that expanding Internet Essentials to new communities will provide. Many of these stakeholders describe the significant impact the program is already having for their constituents. By way of example only:
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Boys & Girls Clubs of America: “[We] encourage our Club members to participate in Internet Essentials to ensure that the knowledge they develop in the Clubs transfers to the home. Data on Internet Essentials suggests that 59 percent of participating families believe Internet access helped at least one person in their household to find a job – a reminder that Comcast’s program is stimulating economic growth in its communities.”98
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League of United Latin American Citizens (“LULAC”): “LULAC can attest to the great impact of the Internet Essentials broadband adoption program and the benefit this program would bring to communities in the [TWC] footprint.”99
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98 Letter from James L. Clark, President & CEO, Boys & Girls Clubs of America, to Chairman Wheeler, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 25, 2014).
99 Letter from Brent Wilkes, Executive Director, League of United Latin American Citizens, to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 2 (Aug. 25, 2014).
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National Council of Negro Women: “The company’s Internet Essentials program is the gold standard for broadband adoption . . . . Educational opportunities simply cannot be equal in this country if poor children do not have ready access to the Internet . . . . And Internet Essentials is critical to leveling the playing field for disadvantaged kids.”100
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The National Urban League: “The National Urban League and many of our 93 affiliates in more than 300 communities across the country have worked hand-in-hand with Comcast to promote broadband adoption and advance policies that will deliver jobs, economic empowerment and social justice to African Americans and other communities of color nationwide.”101
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OCA – Asian Pacific American Advocates: “Comcast’s Internet Essentials program has been one of the primary vehicles for low-income families with children who receive free or reduced-price school lunches to access affordable broadband Internet, particularly in the [Asian Pacific American] communities.”102
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As these and scores of other comments make clear, there is “no denying that the program has helped many families with school-aged children obtain badly needed broadband service.”103
Towns, cities, and states within Comcast’s footprint also affirm the importance of Internet Essentials. For instance, in Fulton County, Georgia, policymakers “can see a brighter future across the County for many . . . low-income families.”104 In Boston, “many of the children . . . wouldn’t have Internet access or a computer in their homes without help from Comcast.”105 Chicago is “making progress toward closing the digital divide with over 33,000 households enrolled in Internet Essentials.”106 In California, there are “over 35,000 newly empowered families”107 that have “gain[ed] access to the 21st Century broadband technology” because of Internet Essentials.108 In southern New Jersey, stakeholders predict that “increased Internet adoption [due to Internet Essentials] will lead to better educational performance from [their] students and a stronger economic base in the future.”109
100 Letter from Ingrid Saunders Jones, Chairwoman, National Council of Negro Women, at 1 (Aug. 25, 2014).
101 Letter from Marc Morial, President & CEO, National Urban League, to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 2 (Aug. 25, 2014).
102 Letter from Sharon Wong, National President, OCA Asian Pacific American Advocates, to Chairman Wheeler, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 25, 2014).
103 National Association of Telecommunications Officers and Advisors (“NATOA”) Comments at 6.
104 Letter from John H. Eaves, Chairman, Fulton County Commission, to Chairman Wheeler, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 22, 2014).
105 Letter from Karrie Ann Jean, Executive Director, Mattapan/Greater Boston Technology Learning Center, Inc., to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 16, 2014).
106 Letter from Howard B. Brookins, Jr., Alderman, Chicago City Council, to Chairman Wheeler, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 25, 2014).
107 Letter from Adam C. Gray, Assemblymember, California, to Chairman Wheeler, FCC, at 2 (Aug. 25, 2014).
108 Letter from Cecilia Zamora, President, Hispanic Chamber of Commerce of Marin, to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 2 (Aug. 25, 2014).
109 Letter from Raymond L. Lamboy, President & CEO, Latin American Economic Development Association, to Chairman Wheeler, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 20, 2014). Additional examples of local success abound. In Colorado, the program “connects more than 14,000 low-income Colorado families to the broadband Internet and provides these families with the digital literacy training that is critical to their education and professional advancement in the 21st century economy.” Letter from Governor John W. Hickenlooper, Colorado, to Chairman Wheeler, FCC, at 2 (Aug. 25, 2014). In Virginia, “Comcast helped many of [Virginia’s] school families get Internet service at home” with “more than 17,000 people [that] were able to have a home broadband connection and buy a computer at drastically reduced prices.” Letter from Michel Zajur, President & CEO, Virginia Hispanic Chamber of Commerce, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 25, 2014). And in Arkansas, Comcast has “double[d] down on [its] commitment” to improve the community, “connect[ing] over 1,000 families” in the state. Letter from Terry Hartwick, President & CEO, Chamber of Commerce of North Little Rock, at 1 (Aug. 20, 2014).
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Given these significant proven benefits, it is no surprise that policymakers and local organizations in other areas are very enthusiastic about the expansion of Internet Essentials to their communities.110 There is no equivalent program in any of the acquired systems, and thus no question that this would be a significant advancement of the public interest. For example, commenters emphasize that the Transaction will “bring more families in Missouri and beyond into the communications age”;111 offer a “huge step in the right direction towards giving families [in Southern California] the support and resources they need to become strong, resilient, and self-reliant members of society”;112 and “bring . . . needed service from the mainland to [the] shores” of Hawaii.113 Comcast looks forward to working with local community partners and elected officials to extend Internet Essentials to help low-income Americans in these communities overcome the obstacles to broadband adoption.
110 See, e.g., Letter from State Senator Jason R. Holsman, Missouri, to Chairman Wheeler, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 21, 2014) (“One specific benefit that I would like to see available throughout my district is “Internet Essentials.”); Letter from State Representative Johnny W. Shaw, Tennessee, to Chairman Wheeler, FCC, at 2 (Aug. 25, 2014) (“[D]isadvantaged children in Tennessee and across the country deserve to have the same educational resources as children whose families are better off. Comcast has committed to expand the Internet Essentials program to areas now served by [TWC]. That is just one of many reasons I urge you to approve the Comcast and [TWC] transaction.”); Letter from Richard L. Zaldivar, Executive Director/Founder, The Wall Las Memorias Project, to Chairman Wheeler, FCC, at 2 (Aug. 25, 2014) (“Citizens here in Los Angeles, as well as in New York and Dallas, are yet to receive [the] same opportunities” afforded by Internet Essentials. Commission “approval will open doors for eligible low-income families in our area.”).
111 Letter from Lewis Walker, Executive Director, Black Family Technology Awareness Association, to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 22, 2014).
112 Letter from Deborah Villar, Senior Vice President, Bienvenidos Children’s Center, to Chairman Wheeler, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 25, 2014).
113 Letter from Governor Neil Abercrombie, Hawaii, to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 1-2 (Aug. 22, 2014).
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b.
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Petitioners’ Complaints About Internet Essentials Are Over-stated, Unfounded, and Often Self-Serving.
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CETF and a few other petitioners criticize certain aspects of Internet Essentials and seek a laundry list of unnecessary and counterproductive conditions.114 Their claims are, first and foremost, irrelevant. Comcast has never claimed that Internet Essentials is the only choice for a broadband adoption program, or that there are no aspects of it that could be improved, as Comcast has consistently done. But these criticisms in no way detract from the substantial benefits that Internet Essentials provides to low-income families and students. Moreover, Comcast has been improving and expanding Internet Essentials from day one, and it is unquestionably the most successful broadband adoption program that has ever been offered in this country by any entity. Even if the litany of its alleged defects were taken as true, the essential fact would remain: Internet Essentials is a “worthy and ambitious project unmatched by any other major broadband provider,” as CETF itself acknowledges.115 Indeed, the number of families that are benefitting from Comcast’s Internet Essentials program eclipses by several orders of magnitude the results with similar public or private broadband adoption efforts which collectively have not been able to reach even a quarter of the households that have subscribed to Internet Essentials.116 The question at hand is whether the Transaction serves the public interest, and the answer as it relates to Internet Essentials is, quite simply, yes. CETF’s arguments are thus a sideshow, at best.
114 See California Emerging Technology Fund (“CETF”) Comments at 11-17; CFA et al. Petition to Deny at 38 n.31; Greenlining Institute (“Greenlining”) Petition to Deny at 11-12; Common Cause Comments at 5-6; NATOA Comments at 7; Open Media and Information Companies Initiative (“Open Media et al.”) Comments at 4. Stop the Cap! Comments at 20-23; The Stride Center Comments at 2. Several critics appear to rely almost exclusively on CETF’s and other entities’ false and unfounded claims to suggest that the program is flawed. See, e.g., Los Angeles County et al. Petition to Deny at 21-23; City of Los Angeles Comments at 5-7; New Jersey Division of Rate Counsel and National Association of State Utility Consumer Advocates (“NJDRC et al.”) Comments at 24 n.59; Chicana Latina Foundation at 1-2; Comments of Delaine Eastin at 1-2. Other critics that suggest the program has been unsuccessful provide neither evidence nor reasoning to back up such an assertion. See, e.g., Public Knowledge and Open Technology Institute (“Public Knowledge et al.”) Petition to Deny at 57.
115 CETF Comments at 8 (emphasis added).
116 See, e.g., Press Release, Cox, Cox Communications Closes Digital Divide with Connect2Compete Broadband Adoption Program (Aug. 19, 2014), http://cox.mediaroom.com/index.php?s=43&item=778 (reporting that 15,000 low-income families have signed after approximately two years); CenturyLink Broadband Adoption Program Semi-Annual Report, WC Docket No. 10-110 (Apr. 15, 2014), http://apps.fcc.gov/ecfs/document/view?id=7521098352 (reporting 51,353 qualifying customers have purchased broadband under discount from Oct. 1, 2011 through Mar. 31, 2014). The Connect to Compete program, sponsored by the FCC itself, did not leave the trial phase in the few TWC areas where it was launched. In fact, Connect to Compete has never reported any signup data.
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Although Comcast is always interested in ways to improve Internet Essentials, many of the criticisms of the program in the docket are unfounded or patently unreasonable (many of these comments are based on inaccurate press reports):
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Claims that Comcast makes the sign-up process long and cumbersome are untrue.117 The sign-up process for Internet Essentials reflects the fact that the program was designed to be based on the National School Lunch Program (“NSLP”) eligibility, which was chosen because it was the easiest eligibility test to administer. Even then, from the start, Comcast has sought to simplify the process by, for example, creating an instant approval process for families whose children attend schools with 70 percent or more NSLP participation. This enhancement serves a majority of current applicants.118 Comcast also goes to great lengths to ensure eligible customers can easily enroll in the program by working with local partners to facilitate the process, distributing program materials in a wide variety of languages, staffing a call center that is dedicated to the program, and conducting on-site registrations. Contrary to some claims,119 Comcast does not perform credit checks as part of the application process.120 And Comcast continues to review and improve the functionality of the online application to ensure the best user-experience. Today, the sign up process – from application to shipment of self-install kits – takes only [[ ]] days under the instant approval process and only [[ ]] days under the traditional process.
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117 See CETF Comments at 11-12; Common Cause Comments at 5; CFA et al. Petition to Deny at 38; Greenlining Petition to Deny at 10; Public Knowledge et al. Petition to Deny at 57.
118 In addition, in July 2014, Comcast instituted a new feature whereby an online registrant who is not able to provide the required eligibility information receives a message explaining the nature of the information needed (rather than a simple error message) and requesting that the applicant call the toll-free Internet Essentials number.
119 See CETF Comments at 13.
120 See id. at 12-13. Recently, technical changes to the Comcast West Division’s billing system caused an automated process to incorrectly trigger credit checks for a small number of Internet Essentials applicants. Comcast corrected this error as soon as it was discovered, apologized to affected customers, and worked with credit reporting bureaus to reverse the credit checks.
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Claims regarding the asserted “low” adoption rate are unfounded.121 Critics complain that only 13 percent of the eligible low-income population in the United States has been connected through Internet Essentials. But experts agree that the program’s success has exceeded all reasonable expectations.122 Surveys about the program’s progress further confirm its success and effectiveness.123 As Dr. Horrigan noted in his comments, “[a]pproximately one-quarter of the overall broadband adoption growth rate for low-income families with children since 2009 can be credited to Internet Essentials.”124 The unconnected population is difficult to reach, and closing the digital divide is a long-term project. To put the program’s achievement in proper perspective, after almost twenty years of offering and intensely marketing all tiers of its Internet access service, Comcast has achieved less than 40 percent penetration of the service across its footprint.125 An average success rate of 13 percent of the eligible low income population – with rates of over 20 percent in at least one city – is simply remarkable.
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Claims that eligibility requirements are too restrictive ignore the program’s intent and significantly underestimate the tremendous amount of collaboration and partnership required to work.126 Comcast designed Internet Essentials to serve families with children eligible for the NSLP. Comcast’s main goal, for now, is to serve Internet Essential’s target population better and more broadly. To that end, Comcast has expanded the original eligibility criteria for Internet Essentials twice, first by extending it to families with children eligible to receive reduced price school lunches, and then by offering it to parochial, private, cyberschool, and homeschooled students. As a result, nearly 2.6 million families are now eligible for Internet Essentials, an increase of approximately 30 percent from the original eligible base. And Comcast recently (1) included up to six months of complimentary service for any new family approved prior to September 20 – an offer that was recently extended until September 30 – that had not yet applied for Internet Essentials; and (2) created an amnesty program for certain low-income families who otherwise qualify for Internet Essentials but have a past due balance.127 More generally, a program of this size and importance cannot be executed well and expanded successfully without a tremendous amount of cooperation among the large web of nonprofit and government partnerships that Comcast has created and integrated in order to increase awareness of the program and to attack the digital literacy barrier to broadband adoption. Extending the program to other populations would be a large and complex undertaking, because an entirely new web of nonprofit and governmental partnerships would have to be created and integrated in order to ensure the same levels of success and effectiveness of Internet Essentials for these new populations.128
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121 See, e.g., CETF Comments at 2-3; Common Cause Comments at 5; Greenlining Petition to Deny at 11; Public Knowledge et al. Petition to Deny at 57; Stop the Cap! Comments at 21; National Hispanic Media Coalition (“NHMC”) Comments at 11-12; Radio Bilingue Comments at 1-2.
122 See, e.g., Marguerite Reardon, Comcast Extends ‘Internet Essentials’ Program Indefinitely, CNET (Mar. 3, 2014), http://www.cnet.com/news/comcast-extends-internet-essentials-program-indefinitely/ (“Comcast is not the only company that is working toward more Internet adoption . . . . But so far, Comcast’s program is the largest such effort. According to new research, it’s also been among the most successful.”) (citing Dr. John B. Horrigan, The Essentials of Creativity (Mar. 2014)).
123 See Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 64-65 (citing surveys finding, among other things, that “[o]verall, 90 percent of Internet Essentials customers in the survey were “highly satisfied” with the service, and 98 percent said that they would recommend Internet Essentials to others.”).
124
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125 Certain petitioners falsely claim that the modems Comcast provides to Internet Essentials customers restrict the number of users at one time and are incompatible with some devices, such as certain tablets or laptops. See CETF Comments at 17; Office of the Mayor of the City of Boston (“City of Boston”) Comments at 5; California Public Utility Commission (“CPUC”) Comments at 9-10. These modems, however, are compatible with a variety of computing devices, including Wi-Fi routers that enable the use of tablets and other wireless devices, and Comcast does not restrict Internet Essentials customers from attaching such devices.
126 See, e.g., Minnesota Association of Community Telecommunications Administrators (“MACTA”) Comments at 4 (arguing that the program should be expanded to senior citizens and individuals with disabilities, among others); Seattle City Council Member Nick Licata Comments at 2 (same); Office of the Mayor of the City of New York (“City of New York”) Comments at 3-4 (same); see also Los Angeles County et al. Petition to Deny at 28 (arguing that the program should be expanded to all low-income homes and low-income seniors, people with disabilities, and veterans); City of Boston Comments at 2; City of Los Angeles Comments at 5; Families in Schools Comments at 2.
127 See Press Release, Comcast Corp., Comcast Offers Complimentary Internet Service and an Amnesty Program for Low-Income Families (Aug. 4, 2014), http://corporate.comcast.com/news-information/news-feed/comcast-offers-up-to-six-months-of-complimentary-internet-service-and-an-amnesty-program-for-low-income-families; David L. Cohen, Comcast Extends Internet Essentials Six Months Free Service Promotion Through Sept. 30, Comcast Voices (Sept. 18, 2014), http://corporate.comcast.com/comcast-voices/comcast-extends-internet-essentials-six-months-free-service-promotion-through-september-30th. Despite Comcast’s clear commitment to expanding and improving Internet Essentials, a few petitioners request certain oversight and performance standards. See CETF Comments at 17-18; Los Angeles County et al. Petition to Deny at 28-30; City of Boston Comments at 6. These requested conditions, however, would not do any more to advance the goal of broadband adoption than what Comcast already is doing through Internet Essentials.
128 For example, Comcast has conducted pilot adoption initiatives through the AARP Foundation and the Project to Get Older Adults Online (Project GOAL) to promote the adoption of broadband services by older adults.
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Claims that broadband speed under the program should be increased are unsupported.129 Comcast has increased the broadband speeds for Internet Essentials customers twice in less than two years. Internet Essentials now offers download speeds up to 5 Mbps, which is more than triple the speed offered at the beginning of the program and more than the Commission’s current definition of broadband.130 And this is more than sufficient to access educational videos, such as those available through Khan Academy, the “gold standard” of educational software sites.131 Families with Internet Essentials can use their service for all their core needs, which is the key objective of the program.
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Claims that Comcast seeks to limit eligible families’ access to the program are false.132 Families with NSLP-eligible children of any age may participate in the Internet Essentials program. The assertion that Comcast seeks to “enroll” the oldest eligible child in a family is just false – and makes no sense: families, not individual children, are enrolled in the program. Comcast does not even ask for the ages of children, and families may continue to participate so long as there is one child living in the household who is eligible to participate in the NSLP.133
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Claims that Comcast’s customer representatives do not know about the Internet Essentials program are overstated.134 Comcast has a dedicated group of specially trained Customer Account Executives (“CAEs”) to staff its dedicated Internet Essentials toll-free numbers – one in English and one in Spanish – and also trains and educates all of its CAEs on Internet Essentials basics. It is certainly possible that, as with any company, on occasion certain customer representatives may not be as knowledgeable as others about Internet Essentials or other of the many services and programs that Comcast offers. Comcast continues to work hard and to invest in improving the training of its CAEs, and the technological tools at their disposal, so that they can provide the best quality service to all customers and potential customers.
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129 See, e.g., City of New York Comments at 3; Maui County Community Television Comments at 2; City of Los Angeles Comments at 6.
130 As the FCC reports, 5 Mbps is sufficient for high-demand applications like streaming video, video conferencing, or online gaming. See Household Broadband Guide, FCC, http://www.fcc.gov/guides/broadband-speed-guide (last visited Sept. 20, 2014).
131 See Khan Academy Help Center, https://khanacademy.zendesk.com/hc/en-us/articles/202487500-Why-can-t-I-play-the-videos- (last visited Sept. 22, 2014).
132 See CETF Comments at 12.
133 Moreover, while Comcast reserves the right to audit Internet Essentials subscribers for eligibility, it has not done so to date. CETF also criticizes Comcast because Internet Essentials applicants at addresses with delinquent accounts have to prove they are a new resident, not the delinquent account holder. This is not unique to Internet Essentials applicants, but to all Comcast services, and thus irrelevant. See CETF Comments at 13.
134 See CETF Comments at 12.
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Claims that Comcast has not sufficiently promoted Internet Essentials are inaccurate.135 Comcast has distributed nearly 37 million Internet Essentials brochures to tens of thousands of partners for free, has mailed 1.7 million pieces of direct mail, has broadcast nearly 4 million PSAs about Internet Essentials in English and Spanish (valued at over $51 million), has spent millions of dollars on paid advertising for the program (including for tens of thousands of radio and print ads in local media), has held dozens of launch events across the country at the beginning of each school year and at other times that have generated over 3 billion earned media impressions for Internet Essentials, and produced and aired 49 “Comcast Newsmakers” public affairs segments in support of Internet Essentials. Comcast also continues to undertake significant efforts to spur enrollment by working closely with more than 8,000 partners to help educate eligible families about Internet Essentials, distribute promotional materials, and spread the word about the benefits of broadband adoption.136
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Comcast will continue to explore new broadband adoption measures and programs, and remains open to discussing them. But there is no question that expansion of Internet Essentials to the acquired TWC and Charter areas will be a substantial benefit of the Transaction – and there is no reasonable basis to condition the Transaction’s approval on altering Internet Essentials or adopting a different – and unproven – broadband adoption program.137
135 See CETF Comments at 11-12, 18.
136 Third Annual Compliance Report on Internet Essentials, the Comcast Broadband Opportunity Program, MB Docket No. 10-56, at 7, 16 (July 31, 2014), available at http://corporate.comcast.com/images/MB-10-56-Comcast-Internet-Essentials-Annual-Report-2014-07-31.pdf. Contrary to CETF’s claim that Comcast does not direct sufficient resources to promoting this program, see CETF Comments at 19, Comcast utilizes a team of nearly 1,300 employees who act as Internet Essentials Ambassadors and work with Comcast’s Government Affairs representatives to connect with schools, community organizations, and religious institutions. Comcast’s educational, nonprofit, and government partners, working side-by-side with Comcast employees, have given countless hours to bringing Internet Essentials to life in our communities. Moreover, Comcast sends letters to the principals of auto-approved schools to make sure that they are aware of their schools’ status.
137 Indeed, several requested conditions ultimately would risk the viability of Internet Essentials altogether. For example, CETF asks the Commission to require Comcast to capitalize an independently-managed fund within states that have adopted plans to close the digital divide and establish a national oversight committee. See CETF Comments at 20-21 (recommending a fund of $298 million for California alone). These suggestions should be rejected by the Commission. There is no basis to justify such funding obligations on Comcast. Moreover, by seeking to create an entirely new program independent from Internet Essentials, such funding obligations would divert attention and resources away from, and thereby diminish the effectiveness of, Internet Essentials.
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B. The Transaction Will Acclerate the Deployment of Advanced Video Products and Services.
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Following the Transaction, millions of additional consumers will enjoy more advanced video services, including a fully upgraded all-digital network, more programming choices, and Comcast’s award-winning video technologies. Certain petitioners, like Dish and Netflix, attempt to cast this as a competitive harm, perhaps because it presents competitive challenges to them; but, in fact, there is no doubt that these are pro-consumer benefits that will be an improvement over the current offerings and technologies in the acquired TWC and Charter areas.138 And, with the added scale necessary to further invest in and innovate the next generation of video services, the combined company will be better positioned to retain and win back customers in the face of robust – and increasing – competition for video subscribers throughout its expanded service area.139 It is understandable why Comcast competitors would prefer for Comcast to be less competitive with their businesses, but the public interest strongly supports this Transaction precisely because of this enhanced ability for Comcast to compete and offer better products and services to its customers.
138 See Dish Petition to Deny at 22-24, 76-80; Netflix Petition to Deny at 32-33. As a related comment, Senator Franken contends that Comcast cannot claim the Transaction benefits of deployment of advanced products and services, because it should “prove” its services are superior by entering TWC markets and competing for subscribers, and the fact that it is not cost-prohibitive for competitors like Google, AT&T, and Verizon to expand into areas with existing cable providers means that Comcast must follow through with a similar expansion. See Senator Franken Comments at 14. This invented requirement that Comcast must somehow validate a benefit by first building out systems and competing head-to-head with TWC is entirely outside of the scope of what is required as a part of the Transaction review – and, in any event, Comcast has shown, and explains again in this section, that access to Comcast products and services will benefit TWC subscribers.
139
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See Rosston/Topper Decl. ¶¶ 80-83.
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Accelerated Transition to All-Digital. TWC and Charter customers in the acquired systems will enjoy numerous significant benefits from the migration of their current systems to all-digital.140 Comcast has already converted its entire network to all-digital, while TWC has completed the transition in only 17 percent of its footprint and is currently planning to reach only 75 percent by 2016. The results of Comcast’s digital transition, along with other technological improvements including the faster deployment of DOCSIS 3.0-capable modems and CCAP technology, are reflected in the fact that [[ ]] as many Comcast customers are in downstream speed tiers of 25 Mbps or greater as TWC customers.141 As noted above, and as many commenters acknowledge,142 Comcast is well poised to do the same for the acquired systems. In fact, Comcast upgraded its network to all-digital two years ahead of schedule, and 90 percent of those upgrades were implemented through highly efficient self-installations.143 Comcast will use its proven expertise and the synergies resulting from the Transaction to accelerate the transition of the acquired systems to all-digital, and do so more smoothly and with less customer disruption.144
140 Although Charter is in the process of migrating its systems to all-digital, a number of the systems Comcast will acquire from Charter will not be all-digital. As Applicants previously explained, Comcast undertook a five-year effort to reclaim bandwidth devoted to analog delivery and completed its transition to an all-digital transition ahead of schedule in 2012. See id. Comcast provided Digital Transport Adapter (“DTA”) service at no additional charge (for a year or more) to non-basic-only customers to ease the transition to all-digital for its customers, and now provides the service for a low monthly charge. Likewise, Comcast has provided, and continues to provide, up to three DTAs at no additional charge to basic-only customers. Comcast’s DBS and telco competitors do not provide a similar device alternative, and, contrary to the claims of Stop the Cap!, see Stop the Cap! Comments at 4-5, Comcast’s DTA pricing policies are more generous than any other cable operator using these devices. Thus, this policy in no way undermines the benefits of all-digital, as Stop the Cap! contends.
141
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See Israel Reply Decl. ¶ 214.
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142 ARRIS Comments at 2 (“The transactions will also help accelerate the migration of acquired systems to all-digital service, thereby enabling the reclamation of analog bandwidth for more video offerings, faster Internet and other services.”); National Taxpayers Union Comments at 2 (“Comcast’s strong emphasis on providing digital services to its customer base will likely accrue first to its new subscribers following the merger.”).
143 See Israel Reply Decl. ¶ 218.
144 See Rosston-Topper Reply Decl. ¶ 35 (The Transaction “will allow those upgrades to occur faster and more efficiently because the combined company will be able to leverage Comcast’s experience.”); see also Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 71-72. More specifically, Comcast will be able to apply the experience it has in integrating acquired systems following the Adelphia and AT&T Broadband transactions, including the various planning and implementation tools and procedures it has developed to ensure that this set of acquisitions goes smoothly and entails minimal customer disruption to existing customers. And as discussed further in Section III.F, there is no merit to the claim that the network upgrades, including the transition to all-digital, is not a transaction-specific benefit. See WGAW et al. Petition to Deny at 62-64.
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More Programming Choices. Conversion of the acquired systems to all-digital will reclaim bandwidth necessary to support more programming and VOD choices, improved picture quality, and rollout advanced video features. In addition, Comcast has been able to secure more extensive programming rights and a significantly broader VOD and online catalog than other operators, including TWC. Once Comcast upgrades and integrates the acquired systems, customers will have access to significantly more programming choices and options for when, where, and how they want to watch content.145 These options include Comcast’s approximately 55,000 VOD programming choices (compared to TWC’s 15,000-20,000 and Charter’s 10,000-12,000 in the systems to be acquired), including all of Nielsen’s top 100 cable and broadcast shows and the most sought-after movies, and over 80 percent of these are available free of charge.146 Customers will also have access to over 350,000 streaming choices over the Internet, including over 50 live TV channels, on XfinityTV.com. These live channels and over 25,000 on-demand choices are available on the Xfinity TV Go app, as well, enabling customers to download certain shows and movies to watch offline later.147 And Comcast has recently expanded access to the Xfinity TV Go app to include access via any U.S. cellular network.148
145
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See Rosston/Topper Decl. ¶¶ 105-106.
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146 Id.; Andy Hunter, American Families Love Their TV, Comcast Voices (June 20, 2014), http://corporate.comcast.com/comcast-voices/american-families-love-their-tv; see also Press Release, Comcast Corp., Xfinity on Demand Now Home to Top 100 Nielson Rated Shows (June 12, 2014), http://corporate.comcast.com/news-information/news-feed/xfinity-on-demand-now-home-to-top-100-nielsen-rated-tv-shows. Comcast also launched the Xfinity Digital Store in November 2013 – a service not currently offered by TWC – giving customers the ability to purchase films and TV shows for download or streaming anywhere, anytime, on any device. Press Release, Comcast Corp., Everything is Awesome: The Lego Movie Breaks Records on the Xfinity Digital Store (May 30, 2014), http://corporate.comcast.com/comcast-voices/everything-is-awesome-the-lego-movie-breaks-records-on-the-xfinity-digital-store; see Joe Flint, Comcast’s Digital Movie Sales Off to Solid Start, L.A. Times, Dec. 5, 2013, available at http://www.latimes.com/entertainment/envelope/cotown/la-et-ct-comcast-digital-sell-through-20131205-story.html#axzz2wSjkjzYS (noting that the Xfinity platform had been the number one seller of several movies within weeks of its launch).
147 See Press Release, Comcast Corp., Xfinity TV Go Network Roster Tops 50 with Latest Update (Mar. 19, 2014), http://corporate.comcast.com/news-information/news-feed/comcast-customers-can-now-stream-more-than-50-live-channels-anytime-anywhere.
148 Jeff Baumgartner, Comcast Opens TV Everywhere App To All Cellular Networks, Multichannel News (Sept. 2, 2014), http://www.multichannel.com/news/tv-everywhere/comcast-opens-tv-everywhere-app-cellular-networks/383484.
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One commenter wrongly contends that the expansion of VOD and programming choices is not a transaction-related benefit because TWC already offers these kinds of options.149 In fact, the combined company will be able to deliver significantly more of the programming options that consumers want and demand than TWC and Charter offer to their customers today.150 The Commission recognized the benefits of expanded VOD and programming in the NBCUniversal transaction, and adopted a condition to ensure Comcast would increase these offerings post-transaction – and Comcast has delivered on that commitment.151 For example, Comcast recently used the expanded capabilities of its VOD platform to support “Watchathon Week,” during which customers could “catch up” on their favorite shows at no additional charge. During this seven-day period, Comcast customers watched over 61 million pieces of Xfinity On Demand content.152 And Comcast recently announced the return of Xfinity Freeview Latino, a two week all-access pass to more than 3,500 programs and 2,500 hours of Latino On Demand programming for Xfinity TV digital customers.153 Neither TWC nor Charter has any comparable offerings.
149 See Los Angeles County et al. Petition to Deny at 17-18.
150 For example, TWC’s TV Everywhere offering is more limited; it provides less content and less flexibility for accessing this content outside the home, with up to just 29 live TV channels and 6,500 hours of video content.
151 See Comcast-NBCUniversal Order, App. B, §§ X.3, XI.6, XIII.1.
152 Press Release, Comcast Corp., Watchathon Week: Shattering Viewing Records & Driving Live TV Ratings (Apr. 17, 2014), http://corporate.comcast.com/comcast-voices/watchathon-week-shattering-viewing-records-driving-live-tv-ratings.
153 Press Release, Comcast Corp., Xfinity Freeview Latino: The Biggest Hispanic On Demand Event Returns (Sept. 16, 2014), http://corporate.comcast.com/news-information/news-feed/freeview-latino-2014.
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Further, increasing VOD assets is not just a function of obtaining expanded content rights. Many TWC systems do not have the capacity to handle a vastly increased VOD library, which could strain the company’s VOD servers and the channel capacity dedicated to VOD. And it is not clear that TWC’s user interface could readily handle a substantially larger asset library, either. The post-transaction integration will remove these network impediments and provide the same expanded programming options for TWC and Charter customers that Comcast customers already enjoy. Similarly, Comcast’s offering is based not only on a broad catalogue of rights, but also on sophisticated, easy-to-use technology that leads the industry. This year, the Sochi Winter Olympics and World Cup saw record-breaking numbers of subscribers viewing live streams of sports on digital platforms.154 During the recent World Cup series, Comcast subscribers watched 13 million live streams of soccer matches – or about 90,000 streams for every hour of match coverage – exceeding by 55 percent the number of streams that Comcast served during the Sochi Olympics.155
154 Vito Forlenza, World Cup Raises the Bar for the Future of Live Streaming, Comcast Voices (July 2, 2014), http://corporate.comcast.com/comcast-voices/world-cup-raises-the-bar-for-the-future-of-live-streaming (noting that the Sochi Olympics saw 7.8 million streams from Xfinity TV customers, and 683,000 live streams of the USA v. Germany match during the world cup); Press Release, Comcast Corp., SEC Network on Xfinity Gives Fans College Football Anywhere They Want (Aug. 28, 2014), http://corporate.comcast.com/comcast-voices/sec-network-on-xfinity-gives-fans-college-football-anywhere-they-want (highlighting record-breaking numbers of fans live streaming the Sochi Olympics, March Madness, and the World Cup).
155 Jeff Bercovici, World Cup Streaming Boosts Comcast’s TV Everywhere Push, Forbes, July 16, 2014, available at http://www.forbes.com/sites/jeffbercovici/2014/07/16/world-cup-streaming-boosts-comcasts-tv-everywhere-push/.
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Enhanced Video Technologies. The Transaction will likewise bring Comcast’s best-in-class X1 platform and IP cable technology to the acquired systems – benefitting customers and programmers alike. The X1 platform provides a state-of-the-art cloud-based user interface that includes integrated search (across TV, Xfinity On Demand, and DVR) with instant play; access to the Internet and apps like Facebook and Pandora; cross-product integration, including access to voicemail from the TV; enhanced personalization and recommendations; and a “Last 9” feature that enables customers to easily access the last nine channels, VOD programs, and apps that they viewed or used.156 Praise for the value and innovation of the X1 platform has been widespread.157 And the Television Academy recently honored Comcast with an Emmy Award for the X1’s user experience and visual design.158
156 Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 79-82. Though there is a one-time “platform activation fee” for the X1, the cost of X1-capable equipment is comparable to what a consumer would pay for DVR service on a conventional set-top box, contrary to suggestion made by Stop the Cap!. See Stop the Cap! Comments at 5-6. And customers receive tremendous value from the X1 over conventional devices.
157 See, e.g., Todd Bishop, Xfinity X1: How Comcast Roped Me Back in to Cable, GeekWire, Aug. 22, 2013, http://www.geekwire.com/2013/xfinity-x1/ (“I have been testing this sleek black cable box for the past three weeks, but to call it a cable box really doesn’t do it justice. It is a nice blend of Internet content, live television, apps, a multi-tuner DVR and on-demand programming, in one of the cleanest user interfaces that you’ll find from a cable company.”); Tim Carmody, Comcast’s New X1 UI Integrates Real-time and Streaming TV with News and Social Apps, The Verge, May 21, 2012, http://www.theverge.com/2012/5/21/3033972/comcast-ui-platforms-video-news-social-apps (“[X1] feels like a genuinely 21st-century way to use a widescreen television set – like a smart TV inside your cable box.”); John McDuling, The American Cable Industry’s Cunning Plan to Save Itself: Make TV Work Like It Should, Quartz, Feb. 4, 2014, http://qz.com/172533/the-american-cable-industrys-cunning-plan-to-save-itself-make-tv-work-like-it-should/ (quoting Netflix CEO Reed Hastings describing the X1 as a “great product.”).
158 J.T. Ramsay, Comcast Wins Emmy for X1’s User Experience and Visual Design, Comcast Voices (Aug.14, 2014), http://corporate.comcast.com/comcast-voices/comcast-wins-emmy-for-x1-entertainment-operating-system.
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Dozens of commenters have cited these clear video benefits in supporting the Transaction.159 For example, as Ovation observes, “Comcast’s merger with TWC means a robust video experience for more Americans. TWC customers will benefit from Comcast’s industry-leading X1 platform, which provides unprecedented choice, control, and access to content on a wide array of IP-connected devices.”160 And, as Starz notes, “Starz Networks will directly gain from these advancements in Comcast services because they will allow millions of additional subscribers to have access to better, more reliable platforms on which to access our programs.”161 Even Discovery Communications, while raising various self-serving concerns about the Transaction with the Commission,162 just last week acknowledged to its investors that the Transaction benefits programmers: “[T]o the degree that [Comcast and AT&T are] bigger, have more access to investing in TV Everywhere and VOD offerings, a stronger ecosystem and a strong affiliate offering is good for us . . . . I do like [distributors] being stronger and I do like their being able to preserve the ecosystem more successfully . . . .”163
159 See, e.g., Letter from State Representative Ron Ryckman, Jr., Kansas, to Chairman Wheeler, FCC, at 1 (Aug, 25, 2014) (“Comcast is really changing the game for innovative TV and Internet services. They have set a high industry standard, yet continue to push the envelope on new technologies. The X-1 platform allows me to stream video content anywhere, on various devices, showing that Comcast cares about making their services available to their customers when and how they want them.”); Letter from Mark Kleinschmidt, President, New Castle County Chamber of Commerce, to Chairman Wheeler, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 22, 2014) (“Comcast is one of the most dynamic technology companies currently operating in Delaware. Some of its latest developments are incredible advancements in the world of home entertainment and broadband. The new X1 operating system is just one example . . . .”); American Commitment Comments at 3 (“[The transaction will give consumers] accelerated deployment of advanced technology and development of new and innovative products and services such as Comcast[‘s] newly launched x1DVR and its X1 Entertainment Operating System, and Comcast’s video-on-demand platform.”).
160 Letter from Brad Samuels, Executive Vice President, Ovation, to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, at 1 (Aug. 25, 2014).
161 Letter from David Weil, Executive Vice President & General Counsel, Starz Networks, to Chairman Wheeler, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 25, 2014).
162
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See discussion infra Section IV.B.2.a.
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163 Remarks of Andy Warren, CFO & Senior EVP, Discovery, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Media, Communications and Entertainment Conference, Beverly Hill, CA, Tr. at 3 (Sept. 16, 2014).
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TWC and Charter customers will similarly benefit from Comcast’s investments in IP streaming technology, which allows customers with the X1 platform to access essentially their full cable linear line-up, including national networks, public, educational, and government access (“PEG”), and must-carry channels, on personal computers and mobile devices throughout the home and without the need to lease or purchase additional set-top boxes.164 With the launch of Comcast’s new X1 DVR with cloud technology, the combined company’s customers will also be able to record more shows; access them in their homes on multiple TVs, computers, and other devices; and download their recordings to mobile devices for later viewing away from home.165 Critically, the Transaction will allow Comcast to spread the costs of developing and deploying the X1 platform and future-related technology among more Comcast-owned systems, helping to support future innovation.166
164 TWC has also invested in the transition to IP cable and has created IP “simulcast” feeds of most national linear networks, which enables customers to access this programming on a variety of retail devices. Comcast will build on TWC’s strengths and experiences to further accelerate the IP cable transition for the benefit of the combined company’s customers.
165 Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 79-80. The Transaction presents the opportunity for Comcast to spread the costs of developing and deploying the X1 platform among more Comcast-owned systems, which will help facilitate future innovation. See Rosston/Topper Decl. ¶ 93.
166 See Rosston/Topper Decl. ¶¶ 85-86.
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C. The Transaction Will Promote Greater Voice Competition and Services.
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The Transaction will allow Comcast to offer more advanced voice services to customers in the acquired areas, making the combined company a more effective competitor to ILECs and others.167 No commenter questions the transaction-specific benefits for the voice services marketplace in any meaningful way. Some commenters express concern that the Transaction will adversely affect Lifeline services, but that is simply not true.168 Following the Transaction, the TWC operating entities that currently provide Lifeline service today will remain in place and will retain their status as regulated telephone utilities and designations as eligible telecommunications carriers (“ETCs”). Moreover, any changes in this regard would be addressed by the state agencies with direct responsibility for this issue, which has no relevance here.
167 For example, Comcast’s Xfinity Voice includes an array of enhanced features, including newer features like “Voice 2go” – which allows users to place calls over a Wi-Fi or data connection using an app installed on a mobile device – and Readable Voicemail. The Transaction will enable the Applicants to combine the best features of their respective services to create best-in-class voice service offerings, building on the strong foundation that already exists. See Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 83-85 & n.205 (citations omitted).
168 Greenlining Petition to Deny at 7-9; CPUC Comments at 7; NJDRC et al. Comments at 25.
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Nor is there any basis for concern that the Transaction may harm consumers by disrupting voice interconnection arrangements or derailing the transition of the public switched telephone network (“PSTN”) to IP delivery.169 Contrary to Public Knowledge’s speculative assertions, Comcast will not be able to leverage any market power to obtain favorable interconnection terms. Comcast does not have market power in voice today, and this Transaction will not eliminate a voice competitor in any market.170 As Public Knowledge well knows, Comcast is an insurgent competitor in the voice market and a leader in the transition to IP technology, with over 20 privately negotiated VoIP interconnection agreements with all types of providers. In fact, over half of Comcast voice traffic relies upon IP interconnection today. While Comcast firmly believes the marketplace is evolving on its own without the need for government intervention, Comcast shares Public Knowledge’s support for the PSTN’s IP transition, and clearly has no interest in “derailing” it.
In short, the benefits to voice competition and innovation from the Transaction are substantial, well supported in the record, and should be given significant weight in the Commission’s public interest analysis.
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D. The Transaction Will Enhance Competition and Choice for Businesses of All Sizes.
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Applicants have further demonstrated that the Transaction will inject much-needed competition into the business services market and will bring about new, competitive choices for businesses of all sizes – small- and medium-sized business, regional and super-regional businesses, and enterprise businesses. There is substantial support in the record for these important competition-enhancing benefits, and no meaningful opposition.
169 Public Knowledge et al. Petition to Deny at 50-53.
170 See infra at IV.B.5. Indeed, as of the Q2 2014, Comcast had approximately 11 million voice subscribers, whereas both AT&T and Verizon had over approximately 20 million voice subscribers. AT&T Inc., Quarterly Report (Form 10-Q), at 29 (Aug. 1, 2014); Verizon Commc’ns Inc., Quarterly Report (Form 10-Q), at 33 (July 29, 2014).
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Comcast and Time Warner Cable have each made some inroads in serving business customers within their existing footprints, focusing primarily on serving small- and medium-sized businesses. Comcast, for its part, continues to improve its offerings and has expanded its fiber network to make high-speed Ethernet services capable of speeds up to 10 Gbps available to more businesses, including recent expansions in Connecticut, Texas, Vermont, and Washington.171 Comcast has won several awards for its achievements in serving small businesses,172 and a number of Comcast Business customers and business organizations strongly support the Transaction.173 Brent Wilkes, Executive Director of the League of United Latin American Citizens, notes that when his organization became a Comcast Business customer, “our Internet speeds increased 10 fold and our bill dropped in half.”174 These offerings have evoked a competitive response from incumbent providers. Comcast and TWC have introduced aggressive price competition in the small and medium-sized business segments, with a 2013 research report noting that new entry decreased Ethernet pricing for business by 10 percent or more per year.175 Legacy providers are also responding by expanding fiber to businesses and have improved their offerings to bundle new data and voice features with basic network features, thereby adding value for customers.176
171 Press Release, Comcast Business, Comcast Business Extends Fiber Network to Bring Ethernet Services to Rutland, County, Vermont (May 15, 2014), http://business.comcast.com/resource-library/press-releases/details/2014/05/15/comcast-business-extends-fiber-network-to-bring-ethernet-services-to-rutland-county-vermont?NewsItemID=74264047-2963-62fe-b0b5-ff0000efc36d&IsPremium=False; Press Release, Comcast Business, Comcast Business Extends Fiber Network to Bring Multi-Gigabit Ethernet Services to Four New Haven County Communities (Aug. 13, 2014), http://business.comcast.com/resource-library/press-releases/details/2014/08/13/comcast-business-extends-fiber-network-to-bring-multi-gigabit-ethernet-services-to-four-new-haven-county-communities?NewsItemID=bc7f4747-2963-62fe-b0b5-ff0600efc36d&IsPremium=False; Press Release, Comcast Business Brings Multi-Gigabit Ethernet to Underserved Commercial Areas in Kent, Washington (Aug.13, 2013), http://www.businesswire.com/news/seattlepi/20140813006202/en; Erin Mulvaney, Comcast Expands Fiber-Optic Network to Baytown Industrial Park, Houston Chron., June 16, 2014, http://www.houstonchronicle.com/business/technology/article/Comcast-expands-fiber-optic-network-to-sprawling-5556850.php#/0.
172 In addition to the many awards Comcast received for its small business services previously noted, see Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 87, Comcast Business jumped to sixth position in Vertical Systems Group U.S. Ethernet LEADERBOARD in the first half of 2014, see Mike Tighe, Comcast Business Jumps Up Ethernet Market Leaderboard, Comcast Voices (Aug. 20, 2014), http://corporate.comcast.com/comcast-voices/comcast-business-jumps-up-ethernet-market-leaderboard.
173 See, e.g., Letter from Michael Paris, President and CEO, Council for Quality Growth, to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 25, 2014). (“Thanks to Comcast’s state-of-the-art network, Comcast Business offers advanced communications solutions for small to mid-sized companies that increase productivity, offering speeds of up to 10 Gbps.”); Letter from Howard Tullman, CEO, 1871, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 22, 2014) (“Comcast was one of the first corporate companies we sought to work with in order to provide business class service to drive technology innovation at our start-up hub. We currently serve over 250 companies in our 75,000 square foot workspace, with additional plans underway to expand our center to encourage more growth in the Chicago business community. Fortunately, Comcast business services has provided critical services to keep work and innovation flowing.”); Letter from Justin Massa, Founder and CEO, Food Genius, at 1 (Aug. 22, 2014) (“High speed Internet, reliable connections, and 24/7 support are just a few of the benefits my company has received as a Comcast Business Class customer. . . . In fact, Comcast’s support is an important component in our ability to expand. Its technology – especially the opportunity to scale the services we support and need – is critical to growing our business.”).
174 Letter from Brent Wilkes, Executive Director, League of United Latin American Citizens, to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 2 (Aug. 25, 2014).
175 Insight Research Corp., US Carriers and Ethernet Services, 2013-2018, at 5 (Aug. 2013); see also TeleGeography, Global Enterprise Networks: Enterprise Service Pricing, at 16 (Jan. 2013) (“Median Ethernet market prices remain volatile, fluctuating considerably year to year. . . . With this said however, the long-term price trend is clearly down.”); id. at 20 (“As a growing number of carriers offer the service, [Virtual Private LAN Service] prices continue to decline.”); Craig Galbraith, CableCos Gain Ground in Ethernet, But AT&T, Verizon Still Lead, Channel Partners, Feb. 12, 2014, http://www.channelpartnersonline.com/news/2014/02/cablecos-gain-ground-in-ethernet-but-at-tverizon.aspx (“Cable companies have developed a winning formula for the U.S. business Ethernet market. They are successfully leveraging their on-net fiber footprints to offer aggressive pricing and rapid service provisioning.”); see also Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 87-88; Rosston/Topper Decl. ¶¶ 119-120; Israel Decl. ¶¶ 159-160.
176 See Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 87-88; Rosston/Topper Decl. ¶¶ 119-120; Israel Decl. ¶¶ 159-160.
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Despite these inroads, Comcast and TWC are currently constrained by geographic limitations and lack of scale from competing more effectively against incumbent providers. In 2013, Comcast and TWC had a combined share of only approximately 10-15 percent of the market segment for small- and medium-sized businesses in their footprints, and a de minimis share of regional and enterprise businesses.177 Because larger businesses and enterprise customers have locations spanning multiple areas and cable footprints, Comcast, TWC, and other cable companies have been unable to offer seamless business service options – or meaningful competition against incumbent providers – across these different locations.178 As a result, as Allen Gutierrez of The Latino Coalition observes, “[c]ompetition in the market for technology and communications services for businesses is sorely needed in many markets today.”179
177 See Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 87.
178 For such customers to date, the only alternative to an ILEC is to rely on an “aggregator” that cobbles together multiple providers’ offerings across many regions. However, this approach can create coordination problems given technical differences among different providers’ networks, as well as other issues associated with multiple points of contact for customer service and technical assistance. See Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 90-92.
179 Letter from Allen Gutierrez, Executive Director, The Latino Coalition, to Chairman Wheeler, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 25, 2014) (emphasis added).
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The Transaction will help create this “sorely needed” competition by providing Comcast with the greater geographic scope necessary to offer seamless service options to more large and regional businesses and enterprise customers across its expanded network.180 Greater scale will also allow the combined company to drive fiber and other high-capacity technology deeper into its network, further enhancing the services it can offer to these business customers. Drs. Rosston and Topper explain that the Transaction will enable the combined company to undertake network infrastructure investments that would not occur absent the Transaction.181
In short, because it changes both the economic rationale and the company’s capabilities to build out the network to serve these businesses, the Transaction will transform the competitive landscape of the business services market by creating a new competitor that can stand toe-to-toe with the incumbent telcos that dominate the market, and can offer business customers uniform, high-quality communications solutions at lower prices. As one Comcast executive explains, “[f]ootprint . . . is the key to bringing Ethernet to more businesses.”182 Drs. Rosston and Topper have concluded that, by significantly expanding Comcast’s geographic scope and by rationalizing Comcast’s service areas through the Divestiture Transactions, the Transaction will likely reduce service prices for businesses within the combined company’s new footprint by reducing costs, eliminating double marginalization, and creating a viable new service provider in this space.183 And they affirm that “the benefits of geographic reach are transaction specific, and joint sales are not a viable means of realizing the same benefits.”184
180 Following the Divestiture Transactions, as Drs. Rosston and Topper previously explained, the combined company’s expanded regional presence in California and New England, for example, will allow the company to serve more businesses with locations concentrated in these regions “on net.” Rosston/Topper Supplemental Decl. ¶¶ 15-17; see also id. ¶¶ 24-26.
181 See Rosston/Topper Reply Decl. ¶ 26; see also Israel Reply Decl. ¶ 217.
182 Mike Tighe, Comcast Business Discusses the Future of Ethernet, Comcast Voices (Jan. 7, 2014), http://corporate.comcast.com/comcast-voices/comcast-business-discusses-the-future-of-ethernet.
183 Rosston/Topper Decl. ¶ 129; see also Israel Decl. ¶ 153; Rosston/Topper Reply Decl. ¶ 25.
184 Rosston/Topper Reply Decl. ¶ 27. While Comcast and TWC have pursued some joint opportunities, these efforts have borne only modest fruit and have encountered friction. See id.
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In addition, the Transaction will bring together the best of Comcast’s and TWC’s innovations in businesses services, including, for example, Comcast’s Business Voice Edge and the cloud-based business solutions TWC offers through its NaviSite subsidiary.185 Further, products developed for the national, regional, and enterprise business customers often can be offered to or repackaged for small businesses, and even to consumers. And, of course, network investments and upgrades undertaken to serve larger businesses will ultimately redound to the benefit of small businesses and residential customers as well.
Besides benefiting businesses of all sizes, the Transaction will also spur greater competition for wireless backhaul services. The additional network investments, fiber buildout, and greater reach resulting from the Transaction will better position the combined company to offer wireless backhaul services to wireless carriers – adding much-needed capacity and competition in this space.186
185 See Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 96-97; see also Rosston/Topper Decl. ¶ 139; Rosston/Topper Reply Decl. ¶¶ 25-26.
186 Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 97-98.
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Notably, no party seriously challenges these substantial benefits – ones that the Commission has squarely recognized in the past as key benefits justifying transactions before the agency.187 As Dr. Carlton concludes:
Dr. Israel also shows how these significant efficiency gains will bring more competition and more reliable services to business customers, especially those with multiple offices throughout the combined company’s region. The Commission should welcome the strengthening of competition in this sector.188
The few opponents that address these business benefits at all either casually dismiss them with no analysis189 or seek wholesale access conditions that make no sense to impose on a new, emerging entrant.190
In contrast, over 100 chambers of commerce and other business organizations have voiced their strong support for the Transaction, highlighting in particular the benefits to competition that it will bring to business customers:191 The Coachella Valley Economic Partnership states that “Comcast’s entry will increase competition for communications services for all businesses in our region no matter what their specific needs, which has great potential for lowering costs and increasing quality. The enhanced services, like hosted voice and cloud collaboration applications, that Comcast provides in other markets will enable businesses to be more efficient and will free smaller outfits from the burdens of large capital outlays for their own phone systems and large file storage facilities.”192 R.J. Lehman of The R Street Institute observes that “[o]ne under-appreciated consumer benefit of a combined Comcast-TWC is the role the larger company could play in the business services sector.” He further explains:
187 See CIMCO Order ¶ 4; TWC-Insight Order ¶ 23; Applications Granted for the Transfer of Control of PAETEC Holding Corp. to Windstream Corp., Public Notice, 26 FCC Rcd. 16078, 16079 (2011) (“[W]e find that the transaction poses no significant competitive harms and should provide benefits to residential and business customers resulting from Windstream offering a broader range of competitive services[.]”).
189 See City of Los Angeles Comments at 3 (making merely cursory claims that the benefit to businesses is “not obvious” because TWC already states that it offers world class voice and data services for businesses).
190 See COMPTEL Petition to Deny at 10-13; TEXALTEL Comments at 1-2.
191 See, e.g., Letter from Harry C. Alford, President & CEO, National Black Chamber of Commerce, to Chairman Wheeler, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 22, 2014) (“Comcast consistently makes and upholds commitments made to improve the quality of life in the communities it serves by enhancing opportunities for minority-owned businesses and employees of color . . . I can say with full confidence that this proposed deal offers several real public interest benefits for minority-owned businesses and for the communities that Comcast intends to serve post approval.”); Letter from Justin Vélez-Hagan, Executive Director, National Puerto Rican Chamber of Commerce, to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 1-2 (Aug. 25, 2014) (“It is our sincere opinion that Comcast’s entrance into Los Angeles and New York City would be a boon to Hispanic and minority-owned enterprises in those markets. Between 2010 through 2013, Comcast increased spending on Hispanic-owned suppliers by 24%. This growth has the potential to support both increased financial stability and employment among Hispanics in these new cities, who suffer from disproportionately high levels of unemployment. In addition, by expanding its investments into more advanced broadband services, small businesses and entrepreneurs will have greater access to the technologies needed to compete in today’s increasingly global marketplace.”); Letter from Richard Armstrong, Director of Corporate and Institutional Relations, Boston Ballet, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 25, 2014) (“The success my organization has had using Comcast Business makes me confident that small businesses and non-profit organizations in Comcast’s new markets will benefit from a successful transaction.”); Letter from Peter DelGreco, President & CEO, Maine & Company, to Chairman Wheeler, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 21, 2014) (“Combining these networks will allow businesses and consumers to have access to all the benefits of the larger network. Such benefits as login authentication and consistent access provide a tremendous benefit and reduce personal and professional hassles.”); Letter from Peter S. Ho, Chairman, President & CEO, Bank of Hawaii, to Chairman Wheeler, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 21, 2014); Letter from Earl “Skip” Cooper, II, President & CEO, Black Business Association, to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 25, 2014) (“Comcast’s business model, which values supplier diversity, would be a great addition to our community, especially to the growth and success of minority-owned service companies, suppliers and programmers.”).
192 Letter from Thomas Flavin, President & CEO, Coachella Valley Economic Partnership, to Chairman Wheeler, at 1 (Aug. 22, 2014). Similarly, the Redwood City-San Mateo County Chamber of Commerce wrote that “[t]he entry of Comcast’s business offerings into more markets where our members operate will create new competition for telecom services. As a result, our members will have more choices of providers for high-end services, and our larger business members with locations in both the northern and southern parts of the state will be able to better integrate their operations, thus increasing efficiency and lowering operating costs.” Letter from Amy Buckmaster, President & CEO, Redwood City-San Mateo County Chamber of Commerce, to Chairman Wheeler, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 22, 2014).
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While both Comcast and TWC have a modest presence in the market to provide broadband and voice service to small businesses, the firms are only marginal players in the market to serve large commercial enterprises. Because of the need for a large national service footprint, the business services market traditionally has been dominated by telecoms like Verizon and AT&T. A combined Comcast-TWC . . . could for the first time become competitive, with benefits redounding to business services customers.193
193 Letter from Eli Lehrer, President, and R.J. Lehmann, Senior Fellow, The R Street Institute, to FCC Commissioners, at 2 (Aug. 21, 2014).
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In sum, the evidence in the record is clear and demonstrates the significant benefits that the Transaction will foster in the business services market.
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E. The Transaction Will Accelerate the Deployment and Adoption of Next-Generation Cable Advertising Technologies.
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Comcast and TWC have each experimented with new cable advertising technologies that respond to the needs of advertisers in today’s changing media landscape.194 The Transaction will provide the combined company with the expanded customer base and greater geographic reach necessary to further invest in and accelerate the deployment of next-generation advertising technologies, such as DAI and addressable advertising, and interest advertisers in using them. As shown below, this will benefit advertisers, promote the adoption of new technologies,195 and create added benefits for content providers and consumers alike. These advertising benefits, which are not credibly challenged by any commenter, further support the public interest analysis here. It is, therefore, not surprising that the only advertisers who have submitted comments in the docket for this Transaction all enthusiastically support the Transaction and its advertising benefits.
Dynamic Ad Insertion. DAI technology can transform advertising on VOD and other platforms by inserting ads in real time separate from the programming stream. DAI enables the replacement of what traditionally have been stale, static ads with timely, tailored messages on these platforms, allowing advertisers to connect more effectively with the increasingly large segment of consumers who engage in time-shifted viewing of shows or view content using IP-enabled devices.196 As MediaVest – a division of one the world’s largest media agencies – notes, advertisers “face increasing challenges in efficiently reaching consumers as they move across devices and consume content in a myriad of ways.”197 DAI helps to address those challenges.
194 See Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 100-101; Rosston/Topper Decl. ¶¶ 145, 155.
195 See Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 100-101; Rosston/Topper Decl. ¶¶ 142-143.
196 See Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 100-01.
197 Letter from Brian Terkelsen, CEO, MediaVest, to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 9, 2014).
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The Transaction will enable the combined company to spread the costs of DAI over an expanded customer base, and further deploy and enhance this technology across multiple platforms,198 and across the combined company’s expanded footprint, including major markets like New York and Los Angeles.199 This will increase the incentives for advertisers and ratings agencies to invest in the development of common audience measurements and effectiveness tools for these new advertising platforms. To date, the lack of viewer measurement tools has created significant barriers for widespread adoption and deployment of new advertising technologies.200 As Drs. Rosston and Topper have explained, “[t]he increased scale from the transaction may help the industry overcome one of the biggest hurdles to realizing the significant potential of dynamic VOD advertising: measurement of viewing[.]”201 A common measurement metric is key to the development of DAI. According to Drs. Rosston and Topper:
If DAI on VOD can be measured so that advertisers pursue it more enthusiastically, content providers and consumers would also benefit. One of the biggest issues faced by content providers is the growing use of DVR viewing, which leads to ad skipping and reduced revenues. DAI in VOD offers an opportunity for content providers to enable the time-shifted viewing that consumers increasingly demand along with better monetization than DVR. [Improved measurement] could create significant incremental revenue for content providers and, as a result, potentially increase free content for consumers.202
198 Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 101; Rosston/Topper Decl. ¶¶ 145, 149.
199 Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 102; Rosston/Topper Decl. ¶¶ 145, 153. As Drs. Rosston and Topper further explain in their Response, Comcast’s efforts to date to develop its own audience measurement tools for VOD programming have fallen short, and the company “has encountered difficulties gaining industry acceptance of this technology with its current scale and reach.” Rosston/Topper Reply Decl. ¶ 19; see also id. ¶¶ 20-22.
200 Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 101-02; Rosston/Topper Decl. ¶¶ 144-145.
201 Rosston/Topper Decl. ¶ 144.
202 Rosston/Topper Reply Decl. ¶¶ 18, 22.
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Addressable Advertising. The Transaction will likewise accelerate the deployment and adoption of addressable advertising, which allows marketers to replace geographic zone targeting (i.e., advertising targeted at specific zip codes or neighborhoods) with advertising based on demographics and other characteristics.203 This technology enables advertisers to improve the efficiency and cost-effectiveness of their marketing efforts, and will provide a new option for advertisers who might not have previously considered cable advertising to reach very targeted markets.204 As one commenter observes, this will enable the combined company to “offer businesses the ability to market to customers with the highest levels of precision, whether the business is a taqueria on 26th Street or a Fortune 500 company.”205
The Transaction will extend Comcast’s addressable advertising technology and development plans to the acquired systems.206 The combined company’s increased geographic reach and scale, in turn, will enhance the value of addressability to advertisers by significantly expanding the potential pool of desired viewers – i.e., with a bigger starting audience, a larger number of desired households can be targeted using Comcast’s addressable advertising services.207 Bill Koenigsberg, founder of Horizon Media, the largest privately held media agency in the world, notes that “[a]ddressable advertising has largely been difficult to achieve because of lack of reach,” which is one of the reasons he strongly supports the Transaction.208 “Through the merger, the combined company would deliver the kind of scale required to make such hyper-targeting a viable advertising option.”209
203 Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 103-04; Rosston/Topper Decl. ¶¶ 150-152, 154-156.
204 Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 103; Rosston/Topper Decl. ¶ 156.
205 Letter from Jaime di Paulo, Executive Director, Little Village Chamber of Commerce, to Chairman Wheeler, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 22, 2014).
206 Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 104-05; Rosston/Topper Decl. ¶¶ 154-156 (noting that TWC has not deployed addressable advertising on its cable platform).
207 Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 105; Rosston/ Topper Decl. ¶¶ 149, 150-152. Drs. Rosston and Topper also point out that, given Comcast’s scale, the Transaction may also lead to other MVPDs adopting next-generation advertising technologies, thereby allowing these capabilities to be offered more broadly on a uniform basis. Rosston/Topper Decl. ¶¶ 149-152.
208 Letter from Bill Koenigsberg, President & CEO, Horizon Media, to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 2 (Aug. 12, 2014).
209 Id.
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Several other leading media agencies representing many of the nation’s top advertisers have voiced their support for the Transaction and the benefits that it will bring to the advertising industry. GroupM, the world’s largest public media investment company with over $104 billion in ad billings last year,210 believes that these next-generation advertising technologies, along with the necessary scale and geographic reach resulting from the Transaction, will “reinstat[e] advertiser confidence that their ads are being viewed” and make cable television “a much more attractive platform for advertisers currently shifting dollars to alternatives that are perceived to be more accountable than linear TV.”211 Given that local cable television advertising today accounts for only approximately 7 percent of all local advertising spending,212 attracting even a small percentage more advertising to cable could introduce some new competition to this already diverse marketplace. MediaVest agrees that the “advertising industry as a whole will benefit” from the next-generation advertising technologies that the transaction will promote.213
210
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See GroupM, www.groupm.com (last visited Sept. 22, 2014) (citing RECMA 2013 data).
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211 Letter from Irwin Gotlieb, Chairman, GroupM, to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 2 (Aug, 22, 2014).
212 See Rosston/Topper Reply Decl. ¶ 218.
213 Letter from Brian Terkelsen, CEO, MediaVest, to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 1-2 (Aug. 9, 2014).
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Although these next-generation advertising technologies may be of most interest to advertisers, Applicants have shown that the increased deployment and adoption of innovative advertising options like DAI and addressable ads will likely benefit content providers and consumers as well. Specifically, DAI will allow content providers to better monetize programming on VOD and other platforms, thereby providing a new revenue source to support high-quality programming and possibly even reducing pressure on affiliate licensing fees.214 As Drs. Rosston and Topper explain:
Content providers are willing to provide more VOD content, e.g., entire seasons of popular shows, to Comcast (and other MVPDs) if they are able to monetize it — and consumers are then often able to enjoy this additional content with no additional charges. The availability of more, free VOD has also proven to be self-reinforcing for content providers’ business, as it allows viewers to catch up on previous episodes, and increases the live and total audience size for current shows by helping build momentum as a season progresses.215
In fact, Drs. Rosston and Topper concluded that advanced advertising services and the added scale from the Transaction could lead to consumers receiving discounted or free access to some of the same content they currently purchase elsewhere for $8-12 per month.216 And addressable advertising can reduce the number of entirely irrelevant ads that now encumber the consumer’s video watching experience.
While certain commenters, such as Viamedia, RCN, CenturyLink, and ACA claim that the Transaction will create harms for cable spot advertising or for cable advertising representation services, as explained in Section IV.D below, these claims amount to little more than attempts by disgruntled competitors and their customers to advance their own parochial business interests – with no real nexus to the deal – by limiting competition and benefits to the advertising market as a whole. They should, therefore, be rejected by the Commission, particularly in light of the overwhelming support of advertisers for the Transaction.
214 See Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 103; Rosston/Topper Decl. ¶ 147; Rosston/Topper Reply Decl. ¶ 22.
215 Rosston/Topper Repl. Decl. ¶ 22.
216 See Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 103; Rosston/Topper Decl. ¶ 147.
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F. Other Transaction Benefits
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1.
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The Transaction Will Generate Key Efficiencies That Will Drive the Public Interest Benefits.
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As Applicants previously detailed, the Transaction will create economies of scale at the national and regional levels, an expanded geographic reach, and a greater ability to share technologies and services. As numerous commenters recognize, these efficiencies will drive the many public interest benefits of the Transaction for residential customers, businesses, and advertisers. For example, as Cisco observes, “[w]ith the proposed transactions, Comcast would of course gain greater scale, enabling it to increase its investments in cutting-edge technologies and services and spread the costs across a larger customer base. In addition, the transactions would allow Comcast and Charter to better rationalize their geographic footprints, producing efficiencies that will provide more room for investment and innovation.”217 Broadcom similarly states that it “believe[s] the proposed Comcast/TWC transaction will give Comcast the scale required to build on its industry leading technology initiatives and to invest in further innovation in video and broadband services.”218
Some commenters wrongly suggest that these efficiencies are not transaction-specific, will not be realized, or will not lead to the claimed public interest benefits. These claims either misunderstand or mischaracterize the demonstrated efficiencies (or both), and provide no facts or viable economic theory refuting the procompetitive benefits that these efficiencies will create.
217 Cisco Comments at 7.
218 Broadcom Corp. (“Broadcom”) Comments at 3.
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In particular, some commenters allege that Comcast and TWC could realize the same economies of scale or geographic reach by expanding within their current footprints or into each other’s territories.219 But as Drs. Rosston and Topper explain, this is not the case:
While it is true that Comcast could gain scale by winning more customers within its current footprint (and it continues to aggressively compete for these customers), the transactions allow for additional scale through an expanded footprint and the ability to compete for a larger universe of otherwise unavailable potential customers; such growth cannot be obtained organically within Comcast’s existing footprint.
* * *
As we described in our April Report, Comcast and TWC have not found it profitable to build new cable systems outside their existing geographic footprints or make the major investment necessary to successfully enter as an out-of-footprint OVD. It would be cost prohibitive for Comcast or TWC to build new cable systems throughout each other’s geographic footprint, and we have seen no evidence that either firm has considered doing so.220
Dr. Israel agrees, concluding that “[g]iven that the parties have decided that footprint expansion is cost-prohibitive, and given the unchallenged fact from the original Israel Declaration that cross-operator partnerships have proven quite unsuccessful in this industry, unlocking the profitability of these investments by scaling them to more territories is a transaction-specific benefit.”221
Other parties claim that Comcast and TWC already have sufficient scale, such that any added economies of scale will be negligible,222 or contend that the value of economies of scale must reach a certain threshold in order to yield benefits for consumers.223 The analysis of Drs. Rosston and Topper again shows otherwise. In their April declaration, they provide concrete examples of investments and projects that Comcast failed to undertake, or undertake as quickly, due to lack of sufficient scale, notwithstanding its size relative to other cable companies.224
219 See, e.g., Free Press Petition to Deny at 78; WGAW et al. Petition to Deny at 62-64; Cogent Petition to Deny, Declaration of Joseph Farrell (“Farrell Decl.”) ¶ 102.
220 Rosston/Topper Reply Decl. ¶¶ 11, 33 (emphasis added).
221 Israel Reply Decl. ¶ 211.
222 Consumers Union et al. Petition to Deny at 38-39; AAI Comments at 23-36; Los Angeles County et al. Petition to Deny at 6-8; Senator Franken Comments at 10-11.
223 Netflix Petition to Deny, Declaration of David Evans (“Evans Decl.”) ¶ 37 n.12; WGAW et al. Petition to Deny, Testimony of William Comanor (“Comanor Test.”) at 22. Nor is there any merit to the claim that the synergies and efficiencies must directly translate into a reduction in cable prices in order to be a benefit. See Senator Franken Comments at 22. As discussed in Section III.B, these synergies and efficiencies will lead to tangible benefits to customers in acquired systems, like accelerated upgrades to all-digital, more reliable services, and customer service innovations, among others.
224 See Rosston/Topper Decl. ¶¶ 87, 90, 93, 136; see also Rosston/Topper Reply Decl. ¶ 9. This evidence also rebuts the claim made by Stop the Cap! that the benefits and efficiencies of the transaction are vague. See Stop the Cap! Comments at 1-2.
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In addition, Drs. Rosston and Topper set out specific examples of how economies of scale in prior transactions (e.g., Adelphia and AT&T Broadband) enabled Comcast to undertake larger fixed cost investment in infrastructure and in providing advanced services, showing that such efficiencies are not merely theoretical.225 And, as Comcast increasingly competes in various segments of its business against national or even global competitors like Apple, Google, Netflix, and others, its size relative to other cable companies becomes an even less relevant measure. Drs. Rosston and Topper also make clear that the benefits of increased investment due to economies of scale will accrue to customers, regardless of the proportion of increased investment to total costs or the proportion of increased investment to the size of the company.226 This evidence refutes the contrary – and factually unsupported – claims advanced by Professors Comanor and Evans, respectively.227
225 See Rosston/Topper Reply Decl. ¶¶ 12, 14, 16. As Vermont Governor Peter Shumlin recounts, since Comcast acquired the Adelphia systems in Vermont in 2006, it has invested nearly $128 million on broadband infrastructure in the state and extended broadband connectivity across the state. See Letter from Governor Peter Shumlin, Vermont, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 20, 2014).
226 See Rosston/Topper Reply Decl. ¶¶ 13-14.
227 See Netflix Petition to Deny, Evans Decl. ¶ 37 n.12; WGAW et al. Petition to Deny, Comanor Test. at 22.
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Finally, Consumers Union and Common Cause contend that deploying common technologies and services across the combined the Comcast and TWC systems would involve integration difficulties to the detriment of customers. But, as Drs. Rosston and Topper explain, this is idle speculation:
[W]hile there are certain to be some costs related to integrating Comcast and TWC systems, if the costs were so high that they would lead to increased prices or lower quality service, Comcast would not choose to make those service changes. After all, Comcast has the option of leaving current TWC technologies in place if they are a more efficient way of meeting customer demand than an alternative Comcast technology.228
Comcast has proven in past transactions (e.g., Adelphia and AT&T Broadband) that it can integrate newly acquired systems in ways that benefit consumers through better, more reliable networks and enhanced, industry-leading video, broadband, and voice services.229 It will do the same following this Transaction.
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2.
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The Extension of Commitments and Conditions from the Comcast-NBCUniversal Order Will Further Enhance the Public Interest.
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Numerous commenters support the Transaction because they have experienced firsthand Comcast’s fulfillment of – and, in many cases, over-delivery on – commitments and conditions from the NBCUniversal transaction. Specifically, these supporters recognize and strongly embrace the extension of the following benefits to the acquired TWC and Charter systems (among others): (1) various pre-existing obligations and other commitments developed in connection with the NBCUniversal transaction, and (2) Comcast’s best-in-class diversity and community investment programs.
228 Rosston/Topper Reply Decl. ¶ 39.
229 See Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 36-38, Exhibit 9 (Promises Made, Promises Kept).
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As explained in the Public Interest Statement, the Comcast-NBCUniversal Order contained more than 150 conditions, many with multiple subparts. Comcast consistently has met, and often exceeded, all of its commitments and obligations.230 Indeed, even when no longer mandated or required, many of these conditions and commitments have become part of Comcast’s core business ethic and operations. Commenters who suggest Comcast has failed to live up to its obligations, or overstated its voluntary commitments,231 simply mischaracterize the facts. Comcast submits comprehensive and publicly available annual transaction compliance reports,232 as well as annual compliance reports on Internet Essentials,233 with the Commission.234 Neither the Commission nor any other party has seriously questioned Comcast’s documented compliance efforts. And those that claim that the expansion of these commitments to the acquired systems is merely a legal obligation, not a public interest benefit,235 overlook the fact that millions of additional customers in the acquired systems will now benefit from protections, offerings, and opportunities that they did not enjoy before and would not have received otherwise. The Transaction is unquestionably the “but-for” source of these benefits. Further, it bears stressing that Comcast has voluntarily extended certain commitments even after they expired under the NBCUniversal Order, and has overdelivered broadly on its requirements, making the question whether “legal obligations” can constitute a cognizable benefit not only silly, but irrelevant.
230 In one instance (addressed through a voluntary consent decree), the Commission took issue with certain elements of how Comcast marketed and advertised its standalone broadband Internet service. See id. at 106-07 & n.273 (discussing the two Commission proceedings related to the conditions that involved interpretative issues – neither of which resulted in the Commission finding or even suggesting noncompliance).
231 It is not accurate or constructive to make broad, general statements that the NBCUniversal conditions have been unsuccessful or that parties intended to be protected by them have prevailed only after long delays and large expenses. See Dish Petition to Deny at 88-93; ITTA Petition to Deny at 13-15. As explained in the Public Interest Statement, see Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 149, 170, and further below, Comcast and NBCUniversal have broadly licensed content and significantly expanded carriage of independent programs, all on reasonable and market-based terms. So it is hard to take seriously claims that the conditions or the marketplace have not worked when all the evidence in the record demonstrates the exact opposite. Nor should Comcast’s compliance be called into question based on hyperbole and anecdotal evidence, at best. For example, the New Jersey Division of Rate Counsel and NASUCA argue that “Comcast has a poor track record when it comes to fulfilling the commitments it negotiated to gain approval of its takeover of NBC.” NJ Division of Rate Counsel and NASUCA Comments at 24. Yet for this sweeping proposition, they cite only a May 2014 Greenlining Institute filing before the California Public Utilities Commission that raises unsupported and false allegations regarding the efficacy of the Internet Essentials program.
232 See, e.g., David L. Cohen, Comcast and NBCUniversal File Third Annual Compliance Report on NBCUniversal Deal, Comcast Voices (Mar. 3, 2014), http://corporate.comcast.com/comcast-voices/comcast-and-nbcuniversal-file-third-annual-compliance-report-on-nbcuniversal-deal.
233 See Annual Compliance Report on Internet Essentials, the Comcast Broadband Opportunity Program (July 31, 2012), available at http://corporate.comcast.com/images/Internet-Essentials-Annual-Report_07312012_v3.pdf; Second Annual Compliance Report on Internet Essentials, the Comcast Broadband Opportunity Program (July 31, 2013), available at http://corporate.comcast.com/images/MB-10-56-Internet-Essentials-Annual-Compliance-Report-2013-07-31.pdf; Third Annual Compliance Report on Internet Essentials, the Comcast Broadband Opportunity Program (July 31, 2014), available at http://corporate.comcast.com/images/MB-10-56-Comcast-Internet-Essentials-Annual-Report-2014-07-31.pdf. Comcast has also voluntarily published Internet Essentials progress reports not required by the FCC. See Internet Essentials Launch Report (Jan. 31, 2012), available at http://corporate.comcast.com/images/InternetEssentialsfromComcast.pdf; Internet Essentials 2nd Annual Progress Report and New Enhancements (Mar. 5, 2013), available at http://corporate.comcast.com/images/IE-FCC_Trifold-2013-FNL_HRnoCrops.pdf; Internet Essentials Program Highlights at a Glance, Fall 2013 (Sept. 2013), available at https://www.internetessentials.com/sites/internetessentials.com/files/reports/ie-fcc_trifold-2013_fall_fnl.pdf; Year Three Internet Essentials Progress Report (Mar. 4, 2014), available at https://www.internetessentials.com/sites/internetessentials.com/files/reports/fcc_hi_res_no_crops_final_022814.pdf.
234 In May 2011, Free Press claimed that Comcast failed to describe each local program and included commercials in its calculation of local programming time in its localism compliance reports to the Commission. Free Press got its facts wrong. Nearly three years later, it is no surprise that the Commission has not acted on the claim. Not only has Comcast met the Commission’s condition, but is has far surpassed it. During 2013, the 10 NBC Owned Television Stations produced and aired approximately 2,500 hours of regularly scheduled local news programming over and above the amount required. This surpasses the Commission’s requirement to add 1,000 hours of new, local news programming by approximately 1,500 hours. Comcast’s Telemundo Station Group beat the Commission’s requirement to air 1,000 hours of regularly scheduled local news programming by approximately 1,300 hours.
235 See WGAW et al. Petition to Deny at 65-66; Netflix Petition to Deny at 97.
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Given this strong record, the Commission should give substantial weight in its public interest review to the following key benefits that will be extended to the acquired systems.236
Open Internet Commitment. As noted above, the Transaction will extend “Comcast’s ongoing commitment to a free and open Internet . . . to millions more cable customers,”237 so that “[a]ll post-merger broadband customers will enjoy the protections of the no-blocking and non-discrimination rules.”238 This will provide greater certainty for both consumers and edge providers as the Commission develops new, industry-wide rules.239
236 See Response to Request No. 51. It is Comcast’s intention to comply with the conditions and the commitments with respect to the acquired assets. However, because these conditions were in many cases tailored specifically to Comcast’s cable systems and technologies, compliance may in many instances require some transition time or clarifications relating to the integration of TWC or Charter systems and services. See id.
237 Letter from State Representative Brandon Phelps, Illinois, to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 1; see also Letter from James Santa Maria, President, Asian American Education Institute, to Chairman Wheeler, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 20, 2014).
238 Joint Academics and Experts Comments at 3.
239 Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 107. Stop the Cap! asserts that Comcast should be required to abide by the Commission’s original Open Internet rules “in perpetuity.” Stop the Cap! Comments at 24. This proposal is unnecessary and short-sighted. To be sure, Comcast is committed to an open Internet. But the purpose of Comcast’s Open Internet commitment in the NBCUniversal transaction was to give the Commission sufficient time, if necessary, to adopt new, legally enforceable rules applicable to the entire industry, not to saddle Comcast forever with burdens that do not apply to its competitors. The Commission is already engaged in a rulemaking to adopt new industry-wide rules that will ensure open Internet protections to all broadband users, not just Comcast customers.
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As one commenter notes, Comcast always has “been a strong supporter of a free and open Internet – which is critical to [] democracy and especially to online service organizations . . . . Expanding this commitment to Time Warner communities is another valuable public good that will make the Internet stronger and more open for all users if the two companies are permitted to combine.”240 The record contains no serious challenge to this commitment as a public interest benefit.241
Standalone Broadband Commitment. Although it originated as a commitment in the NBCUniversal transaction, offering consumers the option to procure their broadband service on a standalone basis has become a core feature of Comcast’s business.242 With the extension of this requirement to the acquired systems, customers will have the assured flexibility to mix and match any speed of broadband with the services of Comcast, another video provider, or no traditional video service at all. Although TWC and Charter offer standalone broadband services today, the Transaction will expand a long-term commitment to such offerings throughout the acquired systems.243 Contrary to some commenters’ concerns,244 there is no evidence to suggest that Comcast will limit the attractiveness of standalone broadband to its new customers.245 To the contrary, the NBCUniversal Order requires Comcast to offer such services on terms equivalent to those of its bundled offerings, and requires active marketing for such services. Indeed, the number of Comcast’s standalone broadband customers increased by over [[ ]], or approximately [[ ]] percent, between January 2012 and January 2014 to approximately [[ ]] million customers.
240 Letter from Sonia Lopez, President & CEO, Cuban American National Council, to Chairman Wheeler, FCC, at 2 (Aug. 21, 2014).
241 For example, Consumer Watchdog improperly conflates peering with net neutrality in alleging that Comcast’s arrangement with Netflix breaches its Open Internet commitment. Consumer Watchdog Comments at 1.
242 Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 107-08.
243 And contrary to some concerns, individuals with disabilities will have this option to purchase broadband-only service if appropriate for their needs. See, e.g., City of Boston Comments at 2.
244 See New York Public Service Commission (“NYPSC”) Comments at 9; Senator Franken Comments at 32-33; Dish Petition to Deny at 30.
245 Contrary to some opponents’ arguments, the Comcast standalone broadband Consent Decree does not illustrate a lack of commitment to such services. See Dish Petition to Deny at 94-95; WGAW et al. Petition to Deny at 67; Common Cause & Allies (“Common Cause et al.”) Comments at 2; Senator Franken Comments at 32-33; Public Knowledge et al. Petition to Deny at 56. The decree primarily involved concerns around the ordering system on Comcast’s website and training of its customer reps on a particular new standalone service tier (Performance Starter); it did not concern Comcast’s offering of standalone broadband or the terms of such offers. See In re Comcast Corp., Consent Decree, 27 FCC Rcd. 6983 (2012). Comcast in fact had made a good-faith effort to comply with the condition. See Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 106. When the Commission questioned the adequacy of Comcast’s initial implementation of the standalone broadband condition, Comcast promptly resolved the Commission’s concern and agreed to extend an element of this condition for an extra year. Id.
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Program Access Commitment. NBCUniversal will continue to make its programming available to MVPDs at fair market value and on non-discriminatory terms.246 NBCUniversal has successfully reached commercial agreements with multiple MVPD partners over the past three years. Specifically, since 2011, NBCUniversal has successfully negotiated comprehensive renewal agreements with, among others, Verizon, Cablevision, Charter, Dish Network, Suddenlink, Mediacom, and NCTC, and none has had to resort to arbitration to reach a deal with the company. Nonetheless, the MVPD arbitration condition in the NBCUniversal Order will extend to the small group of programming networks, including the Los Angeles Lakers RSN, TWC SportsNet, that Comcast will acquire as a result of the transaction, giving DirecTV, AT&T, and other MVPDs an efficient means to resolve any pricing disputes (and Comcast hopes that, after stepping into TWC’s shoes with respect to the Dodgers RSN, it would be able to facilitate distribution on fair terms for all parties). As distinguished academics and professors note, “[t]his means that the companies that purchase programming from TWC will actually be receiving more protections than they currently enjoy.”247
246 Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 108.
247 Joint Academics and Experts Comments at 4 (emphasis added).
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Certain commenters complain that the arbitration conditions are inadequate because they are too burdensome and costly to use, an argument they contend supports denial of the Transaction.248 But this logic is fundamentally flawed. There is relatively little new programming accruing to Comcast as a result of this Transaction, so these commenters’ concern hardly seems transaction-specific, and the Commission rejected their argument in the NBCUniversal Order, where it was at least relevant.249 In all events, as Drs. Rosston and Topper show using econometric analysis and the Commission’s own framework in the NBCUniversal proceeding, there is no basis to conclude that Comcast has discriminated against competing MVPDs by withholding affiliated programming and no reasonable basis to argue that the Transaction will give Comcast a basis to withhold programming going forward.250 And, finally none of the MVPDs that complain that arbitration is too costly has shown that the deals they have reached with NBCUniversal in the commercial marketplace are unfair or anticompetitive, which reinforces that the market is working as it should.251
248 See American Cable Association (“ACA”) Comments at 32-39; Hargray Communications Group (“Hargray”) Comments at 3-4; RCN Telecom Services, LLC, Grande Communications Networks, LLC, and Choice Cable TV of Puerto Rico (“RCN et al.”) Petition to Deny at 32-33; CenturyLink, Inc. (“CenturyLink”) Comments at 17-19; Horry Telephone Cooperative Petition to Condition at 7-8; Consumers Union et al. Petition to Deny at 47-48; Sports Fans Coalition Petition to Deny at 29-31.
249 See Comcast-NBCUniversal Order ¶¶ 49-59.
250
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See Rosston/Topper Reply Decl. ¶¶ 111-120.
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251 RCN, Grande Communications, and Choice Cable propose (a) extending the MVPD arbitration conditions in the Comcast-NBCUniversal Order for 10 years, and (b) making the arbitration process “more accessible,” including allowing NCTC to serve as a bargaining agent and making several individual cable networks subject to standalone arbitration. RCN et al. Petition to Deny at 31-33. Given that no MVPD has found it necessary to invoke these arbitration conditions since the NBCUniversal transaction, there is simply no basis for extending their term here. In addition, the Commission already adopted provisions specially tailored to enable small MVPDs (with 1.5 million or fewer subscribers) to use a bargaining agent to negotiate on their behalf and, if necessary, pursue arbitration. See Comcast-NBCUniversal Order, App. A, § VII.D.1-2. It even adopted a provision for smaller MVPDs (600,000 or fewer subscribers) to have Comcast pay their legal bills if they prevail in an arbitration. Id., § VII.D.7. Lastly, the Commission rejected similar requests to extend arbitration rights to individual cable networks in the NBCUniversal transaction, after concluding that doing so would require “the Commission to draw lines among various cable networks that would pose significant practical and constitutional concerns.” Id. ¶ 53. Drawing any such lines in this proceeding would pose the same significant concerns, with even less reason to do so than in the NBCUniversal transaction (given the minimal programming assets that Comcast is acquiring here).
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Online Video Commitment. Online video has grown substantially since the NBCUniversal transaction, and Comcast-NBCUniversal has been very supportive of that growth. Since 2011, NBCUniversal has widely licensed its programming to dozens of different OVDs (including Amazon, Netflix, YouTube, Vudu, and others), pursuing a variety of different business models on mutually agreeable and commercial terms. The Transaction will have no effect on this: OVDs have become, and will remain, an important part of the buyer market for NBCUniversal’s content.252 Indeed, NBCUniversal’s revenues from OVD deals have increased six-fold since 2009 and, in 2013 alone, were nearly {{ }}.253 Moreover, there has been only one OVD arbitration under the NBCUniversal conditions and, contrary to the assertions of the Consumer Federation of America, Dish, and others, that matter did not involve any improper withholding of NBCUniversal content. Rather, it primarily centered on determining the contractual rights of other NBCUniversal licensees to certain content, and the Media Bureau largely agreed with NBCUniversal’s position.254
252 See Response to Request No. 19(d) (identifying the many OVDs to whom Comcast-NBCUniversal has licensed video programming); see also discussion infra Section IV.C.1.b.
253
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See Response to Request No. 19, Exhibit 19.5(a).
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254 See CFA et al. Petition to Deny at 13; Dish Petition to Deny at 88-93; see also ITTA Petition to Deny at 15; Consumers Union et al. Petition to Deny at 47-48; AAI Comments at 30-32. This single arbitration involved a benchmark demand for content by a start-up company named Project Concord, pursuant to the Comcast-NBCUniversal Order. See Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 108-09. Project Concord’s benchmark request covered certain content that, under common and reasonable industry practices, is restricted from ad-supported exhibition for certain time periods under other NBCUniversal license agreements. The conditions include an express provision to ensure that no benchmark demand results in the violation of the rights of other NBCUniversal licensees, and the arbitration centered on parsing through these contract issues. The Media Bureau reviewed the arbitration order, including relevant provisions of affected contracts, and agreed with NBCUniversal on every contract issue. See Project Concord, Inc. v. NBCUniversal Media, LLC, Order on Review, 27 FCC Rcd. 15109 (MB 2012) (“Project Concord Order on Review”) (Commission review pending).
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Nevertheless, the NBCUniversal condition allowing OVDs to demand, and, if necessary, arbitrate over access to NBCUniversal programming networks in certain circumstances remains in place. In addition, TWC’s carriage agreements, to the extent they remain in place following the Transaction, would be subject to the NBCUniversal conditions’ prohibitions against practices that limit the provision of the acquired programming to OVDs.255
Broadband Adoption Commitment. As demonstrated throughout the record and in Section II.A. supra, Internet Essentials is a true success story of commitments from the NBCUniversal transaction.256 Although the condition was scheduled to expire, Comcast voluntarily announced it would indefinitely extend the program and has adopted additional enhancements, as detailed above, to further expand enrollment.257 Comcast also has made clear that, upon closing of the Transaction, it will expand Internet Essentials to the acquired territories, enhancing opportunities for low-income families across the combined company’s footprint. The record is overflowing with enthusiastic support for the extension of this commitment in these new cities and towns,258 and any critiques of the program are without foundation, as explained in Section II.A.
255 See Comcast-NBCUniversal Order, App. A.
256 Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 109.
257 See discussion supra Section III.A.3.
258 See, e.g., The Stride Center Comments; Letter from Ronald Blackburn Moreno et al., President & CEO, Aspira Association Inc., to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 19, 2014); Letter from Thomas A. Schatz, President, Citizens Against Government Waste, to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 1-2 (Aug. 22, 2014); Letter from Sonia Lopez, President and CEO, Cuban American National Council, Inc., to Chairman Wheeler, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 21, 2014).
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Broadcast Commitments. In connection with the NBCUniversal transaction, Comcast made several voluntary commitments to protect the future of free, over-the-air broadcast television, to protect broadcast affiliates from discrimination, and to preserve the strength of the NBC network-affiliate partnership.259 Comcast has scrupulously complied with those commitments, all of which remain in place, and the Transaction will do nothing to disturb that. To the contrary, the Transaction will bring the protections and assurances these commitments provide to the acquired markets and assets, affirmatively benefitting broadcasters.260
More generally, of course, Comcast has demonstrated an extraordinary commitment to the broadcast industry since acquiring NBCUniversal, including taking numerous steps that go far beyond any conditions or commitments. For example, Comcast has invested billions of dollars to extend NBCUniversal’s rights to the Olympics and the NFL’s Sunday Night Football far into the future; invested tens of millions of dollars in prime-time programming development, resulting in a first-place finish – in prime time, nightly news, and late night – for the NBC Television network in the key demographics for the first time in over a decade;261 and granted NBC affiliates and VOD dynamic advertising insertion rights.262 As these and other actions show, Comcast is more committed to the future of the broadcast business than any other broadcast network or cable company.263
259 See Comcast-NBCUniversal Order, App. A, § IX, App. F.
260 Specifically, the NBCUniversal broadcast conditions and commitments will continue in effect, ensuring the continued protection of over-the-air broadcast television and the continued availability of broadcast programming to consumers. In connection with the acquired systems, in accordance with the NBCUniversal conditions, Comcast will honor all existing non-duplication protections against the importation of another affiliate broadcast station signal into the local market of an NBC Local Affiliate. In addition, Comcast will be prohibited from receiving a direct linear feed of NBCUniversal network programming in the event of a retransmission dispute in any TWC or Charter system. In the NBCUniversal transaction, the Commission considered these protections to be key to ameliorating any potential harm to over-the-air broadcasting, and the extension of these conditions and commitments to the acquired systems will have the same effect here.
261 See Press Release, Comcast Corp., NBC Clinches First Full Season Win in 10 years (Sept. 16, 2014), http://corporate.comcast.com/news-information/news-feed/nbc-clinches-first-full-season-win-in-10-years.
262 See Press Release, Comcast Corp., IOC Awards Olympic Games Broadcast Rights to NBCUniversal Through to 2032 (May 7, 2014), http://corporate.comcast.com/news-information/news-feed/olympics-nbcuniversal-2032-agreement; Press Release, Comcast Corp., NBC Sports Adds NFL Divisional Playoff Game to Postseason Schedule (Apr. 22, 2014), http://corporate.comcast.com/comcast-voices/nbc-sports-adds-nfl-divisional-playoff-game-to-postseason-schedule; Press Release, Comcast Corp., Back on Top: NBC Wins the 2013-14 Season (May 20, 2014), http://corporate.comcast.com/news-information/news-feed/nbc-wins-the-2013-14-primetime-television-season; Press Release, Comcast Corp., Comcast and NBCUniversal Partner to Use Dynamic Ad Insertion for On Demand Programming (July 26, 2011), http://corporate.comcast.com/news-information/news-feed/comcast-and-nbcuniversal-partner-to-use-dynamic-ad-insertion-for-on-demand-programming.
263 While Sinclair Broadcasting, the NBC Affiliates, and a few other commenters raise various issues and seek self-serving benefits as part of this review proceeding and order on the Transaction, none of these requests or proposed conditions is transaction-specific or otherwise warranted, as discussed in Section IV.C.3.a-b below.
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Diversity Commitments. As demonstrated in the Public Interest Statement and in Comcast’s diversity, social responsibility, and compliance reports,264 Comcast is strongly committed to diversity and inclusion. Comcast believes that promoting diversity and inclusion enhances efficiency, innovation, and competition, and provides additional value to customers, while contributing to the creation of jobs and building wealth within diverse communities. Comcast is recognized nationally for its comprehensive commitment to promoting diversity, and has received over 100 awards in the past three years for its leadership in this area from a wide array of organizations.265 Just last week, Comcast improved its ranking in Hispanic Business’s 2014 Report on “Best Companies for Diversity Practices” to No. 5, with high scores in workforce, supplier diversity, and community outreach. Comcast is also featured in this report as one of the “17 Stalwarts of Diversity,” meaning that it is one of the 17 companies nationally that have been on the Hispanic Business top company list since 2005.266
264 See Comcast-NBCUniversal, Diversity and Inclusion Progress Report (June 2, 2014), available at http://corporate.comcast.com/images/Comcast_Diversity_Report_060214.pdf; Comcast-NBCUniversal, Third Annual Report of Compliance with Transaction Conditions, MB Docket No. 10-56, at 23-27 (Feb. 28, 2014), available at http://corporate.comcast.com/images/MB-10-56-C-NBCU-Annual-Compliance-Report-2013-2014-02-28.pdf; Comcast-NBCUniversal, 2013 Corporate Social Responsibility Report, available at http://corporate.comcast.com/images/Comcast_NBCUniversal_CSR_2013.pdf; Comcast-NBCUniversal, Second Annual Report of Compliance with Transaction Conditions, MB Docket No. 10-56, at 22-26 (Feb. 28, 2013), available at http://corporate.comcast.com/images/C-NBCU-Annual-Report-2012-2013-02-28.pdf; Comcast-NBCUniversal, 2012 Corporate Social Responsibility Report, available at http://corporate.comcast.com/images/Comcast_NBCUniversal_CSR_2012.pdf; Comcast-NBCUniversal, Annual Report of Compliance with Transaction Conditions, MB Docket No. 10-56, at 33-42 (Feb. 28, 2012), available at http://corporate.comcast.com/images/C-NBCU-Annual-Report-to-the-FCC-02-28-2012-with-Appendices_sm.pdf; Comcast-NBCUniversal, 2011 Corporate Social Responsibility Report, available at http://corporate.comcast.com/images/Corporate-Social-Responsibility-Supplier-Diversity.pdf. In addition, Comcast corporate site’s Diversity & Inclusion section features the latest information on the company’s achievements. See Comcast, Diversity & Inclusion, http://corporate.comcast.com/our-values/diversity-inclusion (last visited Sept. 22, 2014). NBCUniversal also has a dedicated site featuring information about its diversity initiatives, including about its diversity development programs. See NBCUniversal, Diversity & Inclusion, http://diversity.nbcuni.com/ (last visited Sept. 22, 2014).
265 See Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 111; see also Exhibit 7 (attaching updated version of the list of “Select Comcast-NBCUniversal Diversity Awards (2010-2014)” that was included as Exhibit 11 to the Public Interest Statement).
266 See Hispanic Business Rankings, http://www.hispanicbusiness.com/research/best_companies/list.asp?page=1&listyear=2014 (last visited Sept. 22, 2014).
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Comcast’s progress and accomplishments in this important area are detailed in a recently-released Comcast-NBCUniversal Diversity and Inclusion Progress Report,267 the key aspects of which are set forth in Exhibit 6.
The vast support in the record affirms Comcast’s commitment to incorporating diversity and inclusion throughout its organization and its activities: The co-chair of Comcast’s National African American Diversity Advisory Council, part of Comcast’s Joint Diversity Advisory Council (“JDC”), and President and CEO of the National Urban League, “applaud[s] Comcast NBCUniversal for its work thus far to build a first-class American enterprise whose executives, employees, suppliers and practices mirror our country’s 21st century diversity.”268 At the company’s highest levels, Comcast’s “senior executive leadership has been fully engaged in [the JDC’s] discussions and have worked to embed diversity and inclusion in the company’s operating principles.”269 According to LULAC, “Comcast has delivered on every promise in the MOU and has worked with [LULAC] to go beyond the MOU commitments.”270
267 Comcast-NBCUniversal, Comcast-NBCUniversal Diversity and Inclusion Progress Report, at 3 (June 2, 2014), http://corporate.comcast.com/images/Comcast_Diversity_Report_060214.pdf (“Our Master Strategic Plan for Diversity and Inclusion is our comprehensive road map for achieving optimal diversity and inclusion across our organization. On the very first page of that plan, we assert: ‘At Comcast and NBCUniversal, our goal is to be the model company for diversity and inclusion.’”).
268 Letter from Marc Morial, President & CEO, National Urban League, to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 1-2 (Aug. 25, 2014).
269 Id. at 1.
270 Letter from Brent Wilkes, National Executive Director, League of United Latin American Citizens, to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 25, 2014) (emphasis added). LULAC believes “the MOU has been an outstanding success[,] and it [has] become the standard that [LULAC] has used in discussions with other companies ever since.” Id.
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Other commenters praise Comcast for “establish[ing] a best-in-class supplier diversity program to create sustainable relationships and economic opportunities for diverse suppliers, including members of the [U.S. Hispanic Chamber of Commerce].”271 Still others highlight Comcast’s “impress[ive]” commitment “to promoting diversity and providing opportunities for minorities in our community,” stressing the fact that “African-American neighborhoods are often left behind when it comes to technology and infrastructure investments, but Comcast has long demonstrated its commitment to [the African-American] community by making meaningful investments to ensure our citizens have access to the highest quality service.”272 And many agree that “Comcast’s inclusive practices, when it comes to awarding supplier contracts to women and minority-owned businesses, [are] a model for other employers.”273
271 Letter from Marc Rodriguez, Chairman of the Board, and Javier Palomarez, President & CEO, U.S. Hispanic Chamber of Commerce, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 25, 2014).
272 Letter from Patrick L. Demmer, Superintendent, Graham Memorial Community Church of God in Christ, to Chairman Wheeler, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 20, 2014).
273 See, e.g., Letter from Harry Wingo, President and CEO, DC Chamber of Commerce, to Chairman Wheeler, FCC, at 2 (Aug. 25, 2014).
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Comcast will extend this best-in-class diversity program to the acquired systems and will incorporate the best elements of TWC programs into its own programs. This will provide significant diversity benefits to hundreds of additional communities. As LULAC notes, “Comcast’s intention to build on its record by extending the benefits of its MOU commitments to Time Warner Cable markets should not be overlooked by the Commission.”274 OCA Asian Pacific “cannot foresee any negative effects to the [diversity] community because of the [instant] merger, given that Comcast has fulfilled all mandates indicated in the MOU signed during the Comcast and NBCUniversal merger. As such, the proposed merger brings more opportunities for improved community service and access than any potential negative consequences.”275 The “expanded impact of Comcast’s commitments will be felt in key [Asian American Pacific Islander] communities upon approval of the transaction, from AAPI-plurality Hawaii to the vibrant Chinatowns, Koreatowns, and Japantowns of the New York and Los Angeles areas.”276 “By expanding Comcast’s reach to additional cities and towns . . . Comcast will extend contract and job-related opportunities to even more Pan Asian businesses and professionals.”277
274 Letter from Brent Wilkes, National Executive Director, League of United Latin American Citizens, to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 25, 2014).
275 Letter from Sharon Wong, National President, OCA Asian Pacific American Advocates, to Chairman Wheeler, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 25, 2014).
276 Letter from Sachi Koto, Founder, Who’s Who in Asian American Communities Alliance Foundation, Inc., to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 24, 2014).
277 Susan Au Allen, National President & CEO, US Pan Asian American Chamber of Commerce Education Foundation, to Chairman Wheeler, FCC, at 2 (Aug. 25, 2014).
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In contrast to this overwhelming record support, a few opponents challenge the success of Comcast’s diversity efforts and how much of a benefit they provide to individuals and communities Comcast serves.278 These allegations are baseless. For example, with little explanation or support, Greenlining Institute refers to Comcast’s efforts as “lackluster” and urges the Commission to deny the applications based on alleged harms to diversity.279 These allegations are a discredit to the efforts of all the individuals – both inside and outside of Comcast – who have helped make the company’s diversity initiatives a model for the industry and for corporate America.
Support for Diverse and Small Independent Programmers. Claims by certain commenters that the Transaction will reduce the diversity in programming or impair small independent programmers are equally baseless.280 In fact, numerous independent programmers attest that Comcast is “an industry leader in the carriage of independent programming”281 and relay their real-world experience with Comcast in developing early-stage independent networks, encouraging a wide array of diverse content, increasing carriage, and engaging in reasonable market practices.282 The record shows that Comcast carries more than 100 cable networks that provide programming of interest to Hispanic/Latino, African-American, Asian-American, and female audiences.283 These currently include dozens of cable networks geared toward the Hispanic/Latino community, 14 cable networks geared toward the African-American community, 28 cable networks geared toward the Asian-American community, and 22 cable networks focused on women.284 As one independent programmer observes, Comcast’s acquisition of Time Warner Cable “will be a great development for independent networks … usher[ing] in a new, exciting era for our industry and the American viewing public.”285
278 See Greenlining Petition to Deny at 16; Common Cause et al. Comments at 2 (claiming that the Transaction will substantially decrease or eliminate the supply of diversely-sourced programming).
279 Greenlining Petition to Deny at 16.
280 See, e.g., Common Cause et al. Comments at 2; WGAW et al. Petition to Deny at 11-12, 27-28. Moreover, a few programmers, disappointed that their own programming is not carried (or is not carried more widely) on Comcast’s systems for a host of reasons (see Back9 Network, Inc. (“Back9”) Comments at 16; RFD-TV Comments at 10; The Tennis Channel, Inc. (“Tennis Channel”) Comments at 11-12; Veria Living Comments at 1, allege that the Transaction will harm program diversity and carriage of independent programmers. Applicants respond to these individual allegations in part below and more specifically in Section IV.C.3.
281 Letter from Mark Burchill, CEO, Outside Television, to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 2 (Aug. 25, 2014).
282 See id.; Letter from David Cerullo, Chairman & CEO, INSP, LLC, to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 2 (Aug. 21, 2014); Letter from Robert Rodriguez, Founder, El Rey Network, to Chairman Wheeler, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 25, 2014); REELZChannel, LLC (“REELZChannel”) Comments at 3-5; Letter from David Weil, Executive Vice President & General Counsel, Starz Networks, to Chairman Wheeler, FCC, at 1-2 (Aug. 25, 2014); Letter from Eric Yoon, Founder & CEO of Television Korea 24, Inc., to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 22, 2014); Tower of Babel, LLC (“Crossings TV”) Comments at 3-4; Letter from Constantino Schwarz, CEO, BabyFirst Americas, to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 18, 2014); Letter from Brad Samuels, Executive Vice President, Ovation, to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 22, 2014); Letter from William Abbott, President & CEO, Crown Media Family Networks, to Chairman Wheeler, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 25, 2014); Letter from Jorge Fiterre, Founder & Partner, Condista Networks, to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 1-2 (Aug. 25, 2014); Letter from Sean McGrail, President & CEO, New England Sports Network, to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 22, 2014).
283 Comcast-NBCUniversal, Comcast-NBCUniversal Diversity and Inclusion Progress Report, at 31 (June 2, 2014), http://corporate.comcast.com/images/Comcast_Diversity_Report_060214.pdf; see also Exhibit 6, highlighting these diverse programming services.
284 As discussed in more detail in Section IV.B.2.a, the Transaction will not harm diverse programmers such as Entravision and TVC United States, Inc. See Entravision Communications Corp. (“Entravision”) Comments at 1; TVC United States, Inc. (“TVC”) Petition to Deny at 5.
285 Letter from David Cerullo, Chairman & CEO, INSP, LLC, to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 2 (Aug. 21, 2014).
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Indeed, Comcast has been recognized as a “trusted partner” dedicated to expanding diverse programming that meets the needs and interests of its customers. For example, as BabyFirst Americas explains, “Comcast’s support of BabyFirst Americas demonstrates the collective commitment of both Comcast and the network to bilingual education and entertainment, as well as to viewers seeking content in both English and Spanish.”286 Condista Networks adds, “Comcast employees at all levels – whether at the local systems, regions, or corporate offices – have worked with our company to expand the number of independent, Spanish-language networks available on its systems.”287
286 Letter from Constantino Schwarz, CEO, BabyFirst Americas, to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 18, 2014). BabyFirst America is but one example that should put to rest any concerns about whether the Transaction would affect minority communities’ access to educational programming. See TVC Petition to Deny at 1. The comments made by newly launched networks also belie claims that Comcast has “done only the minimum” in meeting the independent program network commitment from the NBCUniversal transaction. Tennis Channel Comments at 12.
287 Letter from Jorge Fiterre, Founder and Partner, Networks, to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 25, 2014). Comcast’s record of support for and encouragement of Latino-oriented program networks like El Rey, BabyFirst Americas and Condista shows that worries about the ability of programmers to gain access to the Latino market are unfounded. See, e.g., NHMC Comments at 3-5; Entravision Comments at 8-10.
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All told, Comcast carries over 160 independent networks today, including many small, diverse, and international ones, accounting for the vast majority of content distributed on Comcast cable systems.288 Indeed, six of every seven networks carried by Comcast are unaffiliated with the company.289 Between January 2011 and the end of 2013, Comcast added 20 independent networks, and as part of the company’s commitments in the NBCUniversal Order, Comcast has launched several new independent networks on its Digital Basic tier, including four independent networks with African-American (ASPiRE and REVOLT) or Hispanic-American (BabyFirst Americas and El Rey) ownership.290 Further, since 2011, Comcast expanded carriage of over 141 independent networks by more than 217 million customers, including expanded carriage of networks tailored to ethnic minority and women audiences such as The Africa Channel (by more than two million) Mnet, a South Korean-based music television channel (by more than four million), TV One (more than 600,000), and seven Hispanic programming services (by more than 14 million).291 In the last three years, Comcast also expanded its On Demand programming hours of content designed for African-American, Asian-American, Hispanic-American, and LGBT audiences by 262 percent and its online programming hours of such content by 168 percent.
288 Certain commenters seek conditions providing for mandatory a la carte offerings. See Citizens Utility Board Comments at 1; NJDRC et al. Comments at 25; Parents Television Council et al. Comments at 7. However, numerous independent studies have demonstrated that an a la carte regime would lead to decreased consumer choice and increased consumer costs. See Congressional Research Service, The FCC’s ‘a la carte’ Reports (Mar. 30, 2006) (finding that the migration of even a small percentage of households to a la carte pricing would undermine the economic feasibility of large tiers and the broad array of channel choices they provide and further that any benefits of a la carte would go only to households that watch a small number of networks and prefer general interest programming); U.S. Government Accountability Office, Issues Related to Competition and Subscriber Rates in the Cable Television Industry, at 34 (Oct. 2003) (finding that an a la carte requirement could result in increased cable rates for most consumers). Furthermore, a mandatory a la carte regime would severely disadvantage independent and diverse programming. Hilary Shelton, Senior VP Advocacy & Policy, NAACP, The Trouble With A La Carte, NAACP.org (May 14, 2013), http://www.naacp.org/blog/entry/the-trouble-with-a-la-carte (A la carte . . . is aimed squarely a[t] squelching new and emerging voices on television that represent the proud and diverse fabric that is America”); David Honig, Why ‘A La Carte’ Video Would Eviscerate Diversity and Minority Participation in Cable, Minority Media and Telecommunications Council (May 14, 2013) http://broadbandandsocialjustice.org/2013/05/why-a-la-carte-video-would-eviscerate-diversity-and-minority-participation-in-cable/ (“[A] la carte would be the death knell for program diversity.”). Indeed, many smaller programming networks, including and especially newer services, depend on access to the large subscriber base that is a key feature of the tiered programming system. See Chad E. Gutstein, COO of Ovation, Pay-Per-Channel Pricing Costs Cable, Satellite TV Users More, San Jose Mercury News, July 8, 2013, available at http://www.mercurynews.com/ci_23621224/pay-per-channel-pricing-costs-cablesatellite-tv (“[T]iered programming combines smaller, independent networks [like Ovation] with larger well-established ones (like ESPN) and thereby allows all programmers – big and small – to build a larger audience from the bigger universe of viewers of the entire tier . . . . This huge exposure that a network gets from being grouped on a tier helps offset the growing costs of producing programming . . . . Take away the tier, and these costs are inexorably shifted to the consumer”).
289 See Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 172-73. California Black Media (“CBM”) makes several baseless assertions. For example, CBM wrongly claims that Comcast’s launch of ASPiRE and REVOLT show that “African American carriage with [Comcast] requires it to have substantial ownership and control of the networks.” CBM Petition to Deny at 4-5. That is simply not true. Consistent with Comcast’s commitments in the NBCUniversal transaction, both of these African-American networks are independently owned and operated, and Comcast carries them broadly on its Digital Basic Tier. CBM further suggests that Hulu, Netflix, and other OVDs “are not adequate sources of independent and diverse programming because a significant portion of minorities do not own the devices to view such programming.” Id. at 7-8. Whatever the basis of that claim, it is plainly not transaction-specific and may, in any event, be addressed by the expansion of Internet Essentials. CBM next contends that Comcast should be required to create a minority-owned company instead of SpinCo, as part of the Divestiture Transactions. Id. at 10. Although Comcast considered different ownership options for the divested systems, including minority owners, the transaction was ultimately structured between Charter and SpinCo (as opposed to a straight sale transaction) to create substantial tax efficiencies and savings that will directly benefit their respective shareholders and customers. Finally, CBM contends that Comcast should be required to make all of its program carriage decisions reviewable by the Commission, apparently putting the agency in charge of Comcast’s business. Id. at 11. Nothing in the record supports that implausible, and unprecedented, suggestion, which contravenes constitutional values and the American economic system. The Commission has well-established program carriage rules that will continue to apply post-transaction to all vertically-integrated MVPDs, not just Comcast.
290 Allegations that Comcast is not in compliance with its independent programming commitment are without merit. Contrary to allegations by Back9 and Veria, Comcast does not have an equity position in any of the networks launched pursuant to this commitment. Back9 Comments at 16-17; Veria Living Comments at 1. (Comcast has provided production assistance for ASPiRE and REVOLT.) Likewise, the complaint that these independent networks feature sitcom reruns and music videos rather than significant amounts of original content, Veria Living Comments at 1, is entirely without merit. Setting to one side that inaccurate caricature of these networks, the condition does not prescribe the type of content to be carried on these independent networks, and, in any event, each of these services further illustrates Comcast’s commitment to launch and support a wide array of diverse programming for our customers. Finally, RFD-TV’s complaint that Comcast launched new networks rather that expanding carriage of existing networks, RFD-TV Comments at 10, contradicts the very terms of the condition, which addressed the launch of independent networks that, among other things, “are not carried by Comcast” – thus precluding networks like RFD-TV that already had carriage on Comcast systems. Comcast-NBCUniversal Order, App. A, § III.3. It is worth noting that even a critical independent programmer acknowledges that “Comcast has met its near term obligation to launch 10 independent networks under the Comcast-NBCUniversal transaction conditions.” TheBlaze Comments at 11-12.
291 David L. Cohen, Comments on Comcast Time Warner Cable Transaction Due Today at FCC, Comcast Voices (Aug. 25, 2014), http://corporate.comcast.com/comcast-voices/comments-on-comcast-time-warner-cable-transaction-due-today-at-fcc.
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Beyond providing and expanding carriage of diverse networks, Comcast promotes and helps drive viewer interest in such programming through a variety of innovative ways that many of these networks, particularly smaller ones, could not do on their own. Specifically, between 2011 and 2013, Comcast created Xfinity “microsites” tailored for African-American, Asian-American, Hispanic-American, and LGBT audiences.292 Comcast has also invested heavily to develop and deploy the first-of-its-kind Xfinity Latino Entertainment Channel, a linear, interactive “barker” channel available to over 20 million subscribers that promotes curated, Latino-relevant content. In 2013, Comcast launched Xfinity Freeview Latino, the biggest Hispanic On Demand event ever, giving customers a two-week all-access pass to discover and view more than 1,000 hours of the best Latino entertainment available in the United States, totaling over 2,500 programs on Xfinity On Demand. Comcast is repeating the promotion in 2014, this time with access to more than 3,500 programs and 2,500 hours of Latino On Demand programming for Xfinity TV digital customers.293
292 See http://xfinity.com/celebrateblacktv; http://xfinity.com/asia; http://xfinity.com/latino; http://xfinity.com/lgbt. Each of these microsites brings together culturally relevant entertainment from a variety of sources in a central, easy-to-navigate location. In 2013 alone, the sites achieved more than three million visitors. Moreover, Comcast offers special multicultural programming collections that inform and entertain, in both the On Demand and Online platforms. These collections include: Black History Month and Black Music Month, Asian-Pacific American Heritage Month, LGBT Pride Month, Hispanic Heritage Month, Disability Awareness Month, Veteran’s Day, and Native American Heritage Month. Each special collection supplements Comcast’s permanent On Demand and Online offerings, providing customers with access to hundreds of additional diverse content hours and choices throughout the year.
293 Press Release, Comcast Corp., Xfinity Freeview Latino: The Biggest Hispanic On Demand Event Returns (Sept. 16, 2014), http://corporate.comcast.com/news-information/news-feed/freeview-latino-2014.
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As Ovation observes, “Comcast has the best record of any pay-TV provider in launching independent networks like Ovation, as well as many minority-owned channels, such as TV One.”294 Other programmers describe Comcast’s early support as crucial to their development. Similarly, Comcast’s work with start-up programmer El Rey “has helped to ensure we can deliver on our strategic vision to make El Rey Network the home of great entertainment for a young, ever changing, demographically and culturally rich country.”295 CrossingsTV observes, “the very inspiration for Crossings TV came from Comcast. . . . Quite simply, without Comcast there would have been no Crossings TV. . . . [T]he experience and understanding shown by Comcast with Crossings TV might be extrapolated to the broader case for how it will conduct its treatment of independent programmers.”296 Moreover, other independent programmers have gone on record to commend Comcast for working cooperatively with them to expand carriage.297
294 Letter from Brad Samuels, Executive Vice President, Ovation, to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 2 (Aug. 22, 2014).
295 Letter from Robert Rodriguez, Founder, El Rey Network, to Chairman Wheeler, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 25, 2014).
296 Crossings TV Comments at 1, 3.
297 See Letter from Jorge Fiterre, Founder & Partner, Condista Networks, to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 25, 2014); Crossings TV Comments at 2; Letter from Brad Samuels, Executive Vice President, Ovation, to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 22, 2014); REELZChannel Comments at 5.
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This commitment to independent programming extends to a wide variety of content. As INSP observes, “Comcast recognizes that family-oriented entertainment is an essential part of the American media and cultural landscape, and that such content helps distributors attract and retain subscribers in an increasingly competitive consumer marketplace.”298 Outside Television recounts, “[a]lthough Comcast already carried a wide variety of sports programming, including NBC SportsNet and regional sports networks, Comcast saw that Outside Television could serve an untapped niche with tremendous upside.”299 The Hallmark Channel similarly emphasizes that “[o]ne need only look at Comcast’s programming schedule to recognize that it similarly distributes other independent channels with diverse programming, whether family-friendly, minority-owned or programmed, or presented in foreign languages.”300
298 Letter from David Cerullo, Chairman & CEO, INSP, LLC, to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 2 (Aug. 21, 2014).
299 Letter from Mark Burchill, CEO, Outside Television, to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 2 (Aug. 25, 2014).
300 Letter from William Abbott, President & CEO, Crown Media Family Networks, to Chairman Wheeler, FCC, at 2 (Aug. 25, 2014).
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Moreover, several independent programmers attest that Comcast stands out among MVPDs as a fair and collaborative business partner. For instance, REELZChannel states that “Comcast has proven, through its actions, that it is readily willing to recognize the achievements of independent channels and treat them equitably, without discrimination compared to more established channels, or even to those to which Comcast may be affiliated.”301 NESN adds, “Comcast has never discriminated against NESN in favor of Comcast affiliated programming. On the contrary, Comcast is a good competitor and negotiates fairly with NESN as to both rates and carriage.”302 Ovation finds that Comcast “negotiates fairly” and “pays competitive rates to independent programmers like us, and [is] willing to grow distribution when warranted.”303 And INSP states that Comcast “has rightfully gained the reputation as a leading supporter of independent programming for which there is an audience.”304
For these reasons, the vast majority of independent programmer commenters recognize that the Transaction “will be a positive development,”305 “allow[ing] for even further growth of . . . programming providers,”306 and providing “new distribution opportunities for independent programmers who target smaller but passionate niche audiences.”307 As the CEO of Ovation emphasized shortly after the Transaction was announced: “Comcast has been a good friend and ally to the independent programming community, bringing unique content to an underserved audience. . . . This merger will be a boon for unique, independent programmers.”308 Leo Hindery, former CEO of Telecommunications, Inc., Liberty Media, and AT&T Broadband, and currently a major investor in independent programming, recently called on the Commission to approve the Transaction:
301 REELZChannel Comments at 6.
302 Letter from Sean McGrail, President & CEO, New England Sports Network, to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 22, 2014). Programmers are not always satisfied with Comcast’s carriage decisions, see RFD-TV Comments at 5; Veria Living Comments at 1, but as REELZChannel and NESN attest, Comcast has a strong track record of treating programmers equitably, notwithstanding the claims of some dissatisfied programmers.
303 Letter from Brad Samuels, Executive Vice President, Ovation, to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 2 (Aug. 22, 2014).
304 Letter from David Cerullo, Chairman & CEO, INSP, LLC, to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 2 (Aug. 21, 2014).
305 Letter from William Abbott, President & CEO, Crown Media Family Networks, to Chairman Wheeler, FCC, at 2 (Aug. 25, 2014).
306 Letter from David Weil, Executive Vice President & General Counsel, Starz Networks, to Chairman Wheeler, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 25, 2014).
307 Letter from Mark Burchill, CEO, Outside Television, to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 25, 2014).
308 Charles Segars, Letter to the Editor, L.A. Times, Feb. 16, 2014, available at http://www.latimes.com/opinion/la-le-0216-sunday-comcast-time-warner-20140216-story.html. Numerous independent programmers echo this sentiment. Letter from William Abbott, President & CEO, Crown Media Family Networks, to Chairman Wheeler, FCC, at 2 (Aug. 25, 2014) (“Comcast's wide-spread distribution of the Hallmark Channel and Hallmark Movies & Mysteries reflects a genuine commitment to programming diversity and to family programming because we do not have other leverage (such as retransmission consent) to force such carriage.”); see also Letter from Constantino Schwarz, CEO, BabyFirst Americas, to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 18, 2014); Letter from Jorge Fiterre, Founder and Partner, Condista, to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 2 (Aug. 25, 2014).
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[T]he U.S. now has the most robust television industry in the world thanks to the operating efficiencies these mergers have afforded. Broadband deployment is near-ubiquitous, and though it’s hard for some to admit it, the pricing models have never been fairer. Viewers, employees and shareholders have all benefited. . . . The two proposed distribution company mergers – Comcast and Time Warner, and AT&T and DirecTV – are appropriate next steps. These mergers will likely produce the same positive effects for consumers. And the deals would do no harm provided that the approving government agencies require Comcast and AT&T, and other major content distributors, to treat fairly independent channels that are not aligned with one of the six dominant TV-content producers. This safeguard should be part of the FCC and Justice approvals. . . . None of [the] objection is valid, if again, Justice and the FCC properly do their jobs. This mostly means protection, but not overprotecting independent programmers and assuring Internet neutrality.309
Mr. Hindery was even more adamant in rebutting claims that the Transaction somehow harms independent programming:
The confidential contentions by many of the biggest entertainment companies that these mergers, especially the Comcast merger, might also diminish the amount of quality content being produced is even more absurd. Content companies are all about producing ever more and better content, not about reducing production or devaluing programming. And looking ahead, nothing can curtail the proliferation of Internet content.310
309 Leo Hindery, Jr., Op-Ed., The Absurd Opposition to Media Mergers, Wall St. J., Sept. 8, 2014, http://online.wsj.com/articles/leo-hindery-the-absurd-opposition-to-media-mergers-1410218261.
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In short, Comcast’s industry-leading track record as a supporter of diverse and small independent programmers, the continuing application of the NBCUniversal conditions on programming, and the inexorable increase in competition and investment that characterizes this highly dynamic industry will ensure that the Transaction significantly benefits diverse and independent programming, just as Mr. Hindery expects.
Philanthropy and Community Investment. In 2010, Comcast and NBCUniversal committed to increase aggregate cash support to minority-led and minority-serving (“MLMS”) organizations by 10 percent per year in 2011, 2012, and 2013. The company significantly exceeded this commitment, increasing its cash spending to MLMS organizations by more than 100 percent over the three-year period.311 In addition, Comcast has a number of signature programs, such as Comcast Cares Day (the nation’s largest corporate volunteer day of service), Comcast Leaders and Achievers (college scholarship program), and Digital Connectors (an intensive, after school digital literacy program), that showcase the company’s deep community roots. Comcast has received numerous awards for its community investment achievements312 and will extend its community-focused ethos and programs to all acquired markets, while also honoring and building on existing partnerships and programs.
311 Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 117.
312 See Exhibit 8 – Selected Comcast-NBCUniversal Community Investment Awards (2010-2014).
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In this proceeding to date, more than 150 community-based organizations have registered their support for the Transaction, describing the wide variety of positive impacts Comcast has made on their communities and would bring to the acquired markets. Beyond Comcast’s “vision of an inclusive future [that] shines forth in its efforts to close the digital divide in Internet access between rich and poor,”313 the company’s “dedication and commitment to communities served” is shown through “community investment programs [that] are national models.”314 The record is filled with such testaments: Comcast is a “genuine partner” to community-based organizations,315 “a proven community supporter” that “is continually seeking ways it can help our kids,”316 and “an exemplary corporate representative who engages with the community.”317 The Transaction will extend Comcast’s very deep community-oriented approach throughout the acquired systems to thousands of new communities – something the Commission should consider as part of its public interest analysis.
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The Transaction Will Extend Comcast’s Leading Accessibility Initiatives and Innovations to the Acquired Systems.
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The Transaction will also generate significant public interest benefits for persons with disabilities.318 In particular, the Transaction will enhance Comcast’s ongoing commitment to inclusion and accessibility, allowing the combined company to “reach a new level of innovation for customers with disabilities.”319 As an industry leader in this area, Comcast’s goal is a “Smart Home for Everyone,” where accessibility is enabled across products and services, regardless of platform. To help achieve this goal, Comcast has a dedicated full-time office to coordinate accessibility efforts throughout the company and with the disability community,320 as well as a dedicated customer support team of 22 agents in the new Comcast Accessibility Center of Excellence.321
313 Letter from Jose Perez, Publisher, Latino Journal, to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 2 (Aug. 25, 2014).
314 Letter from Lieutenant Governors, to Chairman Wheeler, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 27, 2014).
315 Letter from Lina Smith, Director of Refugee Services, Refugee & Immigrant Center, Asian Association of Utah, to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 25, 2014).
316 Letter from F. J. Mike Hepler, President & CEO, Boys & Girls Clubs of Western Pennsylvania, to Marlene Dortch, Secretary, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 18, 2014).
317 Letter from Judith M. Gall, Executive Director, Alternatives, Inc., to Chairman Wheeler, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 25, 2014).
318 See Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 120-24.
319 Letter from Mark Perriello, President & CEO, American Association of People with Disabilities, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, FCC, at 3 (July 8, 2014).
320 A key facilitator of innovation at the company is the Comcast Accessibility Lab. This is a working lab at the Comcast Center in Philadelphia specifically designed for the development and testing of accessible solutions. The Lab is used by Comcast’s product development teams to incorporate assistive technologies into new products and services. It also is utilized for focus groups and usability testing with consumers and to help educate Comcast’s employees about accessibility.
321 See Press Release, Comcast Corp., Comcast Debuts Accessibility Support Team and Product Lab (Oct. 28, 2013), http://corporate.comcast.com/news-information/news-feed/comcast-debuts-new-accessibility-offerings-during-national-disability-awareness-month; Comcast Corp., Accessibility Services for Customers with Disabilities, http://customer.comcast.com/help-and-support/account/accessibility-services#Help (last updated Sept. 18, 2014).
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In addition, Comcast has invested heavily in new technologies and initiatives for accessibility. Among other things, it is leveraging the X1 cloud-based platform to deliver the first “talking guide” in the MVPD industry. The remote control for the X1 platform – known as the XR2 – also includes “soft keys” that a customer will be able to configure to enable quick access to the talking guide and other accessibility features, such as closed captioning and video description. Comcast has also deployed a Readable Voicemail service, which converts voicemail audio into text and aids hearing-impaired customers in accessing voicemail. And our Xfinity Connect Mobile App, which enables access to email, text, and other online services on tablets and smartphones, is screen reader-enabled for blind and low-vision users.322
The record is replete with commenters attesting to Comcast’s industry-leading commitment to accessibility (and there are literally no opposing comments to the contrary).323 For example, the American Association of People with Disabilities reports that “Comcast has shown a fine commitment to devoting resources towards developing accessibility features for their customers with disabilities.”324 The Arc notes that Comcast has gone “above and beyond in including people with disabilities in their technology initiatives.”325 And the Miracle League of Northampton Township, PA confirms that “the philosophies of inclusion and accessibility [are] embraced at Comcast.”326
322 In addition, Comcast is deploying a number of innovative solutions aimed at ensuring that the accessibility features of its equipment work properly. For example, Comcast has adopted a caption compliance testing program for set-top boxes that has shortened quality control testing cycles for new box models from several weeks to a matter of days. It has also started deploying a first-of-its-kind network monitoring tool that detects remotely when cable program streams are non-compliant with industry standards for closed captioning and video description, giving Comcast the ability to proactively troubleshoot these issues and quickly mitigate closed captioning and video description impairments and service interruptions. These equipment testing and monitoring activities will be expanded to TWC and Charter systems as those systems are integrated into Comcast’s network.
323 See, e.g., Letter from Anthony Kennedy Shriver, Best Buddies International, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 25, 2014); Letter from State Representative Ron Ryckman, Jr., Kansas, to Chairman Wheeler, FCC, at 1-2 (Aug. 24, 2014); Letter from State Senator Becky Duncan Massey, Tennessee, to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 18, 2014); Letter from James E. Williams, Jr., President & CEO, Easter Seals, Inc., to Chairman Wheeler, FCC, at 1-2 (Aug. 18, 2014); Letter from Mary Partin, CEO, The Dan Marino Foundation, to Chairman Wheeler, FCC, at 1-2 (Aug. 15, 2014); Letter from Diane Weaver Dunne, Connecticut Radio Information System, Inc., to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, FCC, at 1-2 (Aug. 13, 2014).
324 Letter from Mark Perriello, President & CEO, American Association of People with Disabilities, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, FCC, at 1 (July 8, 2014).
325 Letter from Peter V. Berns, CEO, The Arc, to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 1-2 (Aug. 20, 2014).
326 Letter from Joseph P. Hand III, President, Miracle League of Northampton Township, to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 2 (Aug. 21, 2014) (describing Comcast’s support of baseball leagues serving disabled children).
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The extension of Comcast’s commitment to and investment in accessibility to the acquired systems is an unassailable public interest benefit of the Transaction – one no commenter questioned. It will advance the interests of thousands of additional persons with disabilities across the combined company’s new footprint.
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The Transaction Will Produce Other Consumer and Competition Benefits by Increasing the Contiguous Service Areas of Systems Owned by Comcast, Charter, and GreatLand Connections.
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As detailed in the Public Interest Statements for Comcast’s acquisition of TWC and the subsequent Exchange Transactions, the Transaction will provide the combined company with a more cohesive, more contiguous service area that facilitates the following key benefits: (1) accelerated deployment of innovative services and improvements in network reliability; (2) improved Wi-Fi access; (3) better, more efficient customer service for consumers, and (4) enhanced ability to pursue the company’s business services aspirations, offering competition in the market for regional, super-regional, and enterprise businesses located in these markets.327
327 See Charter-to-Comcast Exchange Public Interest Statement at 4-10; Rosston/Topper Supplemental Decl. ¶¶ 7-19; see also Broadcom Comments at 3 (“This investment will benefit consumers by accelerating the deployment of all-digital cable systems that offer higher broadband speeds, more advanced services and a more robust and secure network.”); CEI Comments at 2 (“The deal will . . . create a company that enjoys greater scale in the residential broadband market than any existing wireline provider. This scale will likely translate into an advantageous cost structure for the merged company and, in turn, more competitive service offerings in terms of price and throughput.”).
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Cisco, among other commenters, notes that “the transactions would allow Comcast and Charter to better rationalize their geographic footprints, producing efficiencies that will provide more room for investment and innovation.”328 Moreover, both the Commission329 and the FTC330 have repeatedly recognized the efficiencies and benefits to innovation and competition that contiguous regional service areas can produce.
328 Cisco Comments at 7; see also Douglas Holtz-Eakin and Will Rinehart Comments at 6-7; Everett M. Ehrlich Comments at 4; TechFreedom Comments at 6.
329 Annual Assessment of the Status of Competition in the Market for the Delivery of Video Programming, Thirteenth Annual Report, 24 FCC Rcd. 542 ¶ 180 (2009) (recognizing that system clustering will (1) “increase economies of scale and size, and thus enable cable operators to offer an increased variety of broadband services at reduced prices to customers in geographic areas that are larger than single cable franchise areas”; (2) “make cable operators more effective competitors to LECs whose local service areas are usually much larger than a single [cable] franchise area”; and (3) “provide a means of improving efficiency, reducing costs, and attracting increased advertising.”); see also Insight-TWC Order ¶ 24; Adelphia Order ¶¶ 271, 276 (“[T]o the extent that the transactions, through clustering or through the proposed upgrades and deployment schedules, result in the addition of competitive, facilities-based telephony service in Adelphia service areas or to unserved areas where Applicants currently operate cable systems, we find that consumers could benefit.”); Annual Assessment of the Status of Competition in the Market for the Delivery of Video Programming, Eighth Annual Report, 17 FCC Rcd. 1244 ¶ 14 (2002); Annual Assessment of the Status of Competition in the Market for the Delivery of Video Programming, Seventh Annual Report, 16 FCC Rcd. 6005 ¶ 153 (2001).
330 Sports Programming and Cable Distribution: The Comcast/Time Warner/Adelphia Transaction: Hearing Before the S. Comm. on the Judiciary, 109th Cong. (2006) (statement of Michael Salinger, Dir. Bureau of Economics, FTC, at 4), available at http://www.ftc.gov/sites/default/files/documents/public_statements/prepared-statement-federal-trade-commission-sports-programming-and-cable-distribution/p052103sportsprogrammingandcabledistributiontestimonysenate12062006.pdf (recognizing that clustering will “enable[] cable firms to realize economies of scale associated with providing cable service in contiguous areas,” “compete with local telephone companies and other providers in the delivery of video and telephone service.” and “lower several categories of costs, such as management, administrative and marketing costs, as well as the expense of providing system upgrades”).
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Nevertheless, some commenters argue that increased regional concentration may threaten existing competition and deter future overbuilders.331 However, those arguments are not accompanied by any factual or economic theoretical support and disregard the Commission’s repeated recognition of the efficiency of clustering and footprint rationalization. Contrary to Los Angeles County’s arguments, “[t]he Commission . . . has found that the potential benefits from clustering . . . outweigh any potential anticompetitive effects of clustering on competition in product markets such as local programming or advertising.”332 Los Angeles County also is incorrect that “[t]he Commission has recognized that clustering reduces the likelihood that overbuilders will enter a market.”333 In fact, the Commission merely observed that “clustering can present a barrier to entry for the most likely potential overbuilder (i.e., an adjacent cable operator).”334 But Los Angeles County’s assertion that Comcast, TWC, and Charter are each other’s “most readily available competitive entrants” is inaccurate and fully rebutted by the record.335
331 See Los Angeles County et al. Petition to Deny at 8 (observing that the company gains from geographic clustering do not guarantee a public benefit); COMPTEL Petition to Deny at 41 (asserting that the benefits of clustering may also create higher entry barriers); ITTA Petition to Deny at 7-8, 17 (claiming that the system swaps will solidify regional dominance); CFA et al. Petition to Deny at 34 (arguing that Comcast’s acquisition of subscribers in regions where it is the dominant provider will reinforce its regional dominance); Sinclair Petition to Deny at 3 (speculating that geographic clustering and efficiencies of the Transaction could enhance Comcast’s control over key markets).
332 Adelphia Order ¶ 271; see also Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 26-27, 92-94 (describing public interest benefits resulting from geographic rationalization); Charter-to-Comcast Exchange Public Interest Statement at 6-12; Rosston/Topper Supplemental Decl. ¶¶ 8-14, 16-18.
333 Los Angeles County et al. Petition to Deny at 9-10 (citing Adelphia Order ¶ 271). In addition, Los Angeles County et al. confusingly state that cable companies “distribute programming terrestrially and extract exclusivity deals from independent programmers.” These assertions are factually inaccurate. Los Angeles County et al. Petition to Deny at 1. As a preliminary matter, Los Angeles County et al. rely on ten-year old testimony for this assertion and disregards the fact that the Commission closed the so-called “terrestrial loophole” years ago. See Review of the Commission’s Program Access Rules and Examination of Program Tying Arrangements, First Report and Order, 25 FCC Rcd. 746 (2010). Moreover, the Commission should disregard Los Angeles County’s calls to revisit exclusive marketing arrangements in multiple dwelling units (“MDUs”), a practice that the Commission found four years ago to be permissible and one that may benefit consumers. Exclusive Service Contracts for Provision of Video Services in Multiple Dwelling Units and Other Real Estate Developments, 25 FCC Rcd. 2460 ¶¶ 29-34 (2010).
334 Adelphia Order ¶ 271.
335 COMPTEL likewise offers no support for its claim that clustering may create higher barriers to entry for overbuilders and other smaller competitors, relying instead on vague allusions to the alleged anticompetitive effects of “level playing field” franchise agreements. See COMPTEL Petition to Deny at 41-42. COMPTEL also asserts, again without any support, that clustering likely increases incentives to “obfuscate” the Commission’s prohibition of exclusive access arrangements for MDUs. Id. at 42 n.136. These vague and unproven assertions do not overcome the well-established, pro-competitive benefits of geographic clustering (as the Commission has consistently found in prior cases) and should therefore be rejected.
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Sinclair, ITTA, and CFA similarly assert that contiguous service areas may in some way strengthen or reinforce Comcast’s alleged “dominance.”336 These allegations are likewise baseless. As an initial matter, Comcast hardly can be considered dominant in any market it serves, as it faces effective competition for every service it offers from a variety of competitors. Rather than reinforcing Comcast’s dominance, as the Commission and other regulators have previously determined, the increase in contiguous service areas and associated efficiencies resulting from the Transaction will make Comcast a more effective competitor, especially with respect to incumbent local exchange carriers and various providers that have a national and even global presence. Moreover, Applicants have shown that increasing Comcast’s and Charter’s respective contiguous service areas does not deny or otherwise restrict the availability of inputs to overbuilders or other potential entrants.337 Far from creating market “dominance,” the Transaction will spur greater competition that benefits both residential and business customers.338
336 See Sinclair Petition to Deny at 2-3; ITTA Petition to Deny at 7; CFA et al. Petition to Deny at 28-29, 31-34.
337 See Charter-to-Comcast Exchange Public Interest Statement at 13-15; Rosston/Topper Supplemental Decl. ¶¶ 22-49.
338 See, e.g., Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 26-27, 92-94; Israel Decl. ¶¶ 107-109; Charter-to-Comcast Exchange Public Interest Statement at 6-12.
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5.
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The Transaction Will Create a More Reliable and More Secure Network for More Homes and Businesses.
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The Transaction will enable the combined company to invest additional resources (a) to improve network reliability and enhance cybersecurity and (b) to extend Comcast’s industry-leading practices in these areas to TWC and Charter systems, thereby providing higher-quality services and better security protections to millions of additional consumers and businesses.339 The record strongly supports these important public interest benefits. For example, Kazem Kazerounian, Dean of the School of Engineering at the University of Connecticut, states that “[t]he national scale created by [Comcast’s] proposed merger with Time Warner Cable will enable Comcast to continue to invest in research and development, and ultimately enhance network security for millions more residential and business customers.”340 No party challenged these benefits, and so the Commission should recognize them as providing further support for why this Transaction is strongly in the public interest.
339 See Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 71, 124-26.
340 Letter from Kazem Kazerounian, Dean of Engineering, School of Engineering, University of Connecticut, to Chairman Wheeler and Commissioners, FCC, at 2 (Aug. 12, 2014); see also American Commitment Comments at 3 (“[T]he merger between Comcast and TWC will benefit consumers by providing improved reliability of service.”); Letter from David Weil, Executive Vice President & General Counsel, Starz Networks, to Chairman Wheeler, FCC, at 1 (Aug. 25, 2014) (“Starz Networks will directly gain from these advancements in Comcast services [resulting from the Transaction] because they will allow millions of additional subscribers to have access to better, more reliable platforms on which to access our programs.”); Letter from Dana Connors, President, Maine State Chamber of Commerce, to Chairman Wheeler, FCC, at 2 (Aug. 22, 2014) (“[T]he merger of Comcast and Time Warner [Cable] companies in Maine has great benefits because having a common interconnected network with greater redundancy improves redundancy and dependability for Maine’s business community.”).
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To be sure, notwithstanding the enhanced reliability and service benefits the Transaction will bring to the combined company, Comcast recognizes that there is more to be done now, and post-transaction, to improve customer service. Comcast is investing significant time and resources in this effort. As Comcast Cable President and CEO Neil Smit has made clear, improving customer service is his “top priority.”341 This issue is more fully discussed in Section V.A, infra.
* * *
For all of these reasons, the record conclusively demonstrates that approval of the Transaction will lead to substantial, verifiable, merger-specific benefits for millions of American consumers and businesses. And as Dr. Israel, as well as Dr. Carlton and Drs. Rosston and Topper, observe, opponents of the Transaction either completely ignore or offer no analytically grounded challenges to these substantial benefits. Indeed, commenters do not challenge the benefits of the Transaction to consumers in any substantive way. Although commenters make general predictions that the benefits from the Transaction will not come to pass, they offer no detailed facts or economic refutation of the extensive discussion of broadband benefits in the Israel Declaration or the Rosston/Topper Declaration. Nor does a single commenter refute the significant benefits to business customers. And there is also no refutation of the fact that such business benefits would be a catalyst for network expansion and hardening, which would also benefit residential subscribers.342
Applicants thus respectfully urge the Commission to recognize these benefits as weighing heavily and decisively in favor of its public interest determination.
341 Billy Gallagher, Comcast CEO Neil Smit Says Improving Customer Service is His Top Priority, Tech Crunch (May 6, 2014), http://techcrunch.com/2014/05/06/comcast-ceo-neil-smit-says-improving-customer-service-is-his-top-priority/.
342 Israel Reply Decl. ¶¶ 15, 217; see also Rosston/Topper Reply Decl. ¶ 6 (“Commenters ignore many of the clearly demonstrated benefits of the transactions and mischaracterize others, leading them to mistakenly conclude that there will not be transaction-specific benefits and that any benefits will not be passed on to consumers. We show that business, residential, and advertising customers all stand to benefit from the identified transaction-specific efficiencies.”); Carlton Decl. ¶ 8 (“Commenters have not refuted, or even addressed, any of the specific efficiencies that Drs. Israel and others have identified beyond vague statements that such efficiency claims are ‘speculative.’ These unrefuted efficiencies must be taken into account in order to reach sound conclusions about the net impact of the proposed transaction on consumer welfare. Any sensible policy decision must consider the magnitude of these potential efficiencies.”) (citations omitted).
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IV.
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THE TRANSACTION WILL NOT HARM COMPETITION OR THE PUBLIC INTEREST.
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The sections below address and refute claims by petitioners and commenters that the Transaction will cause various harms. In Section IV.A, Applicants first rebut various misguided attempts to modify the appropriately defined geographic and product markets for broadband and video in this proceeding. Applicants then demonstrate in Section IV.B that the Transaction will not produce any horizontal competitive harms in any relevant market, including the markets for broadband service, video programming (both buying and selling), customer equipment, and voice service. Applicants next show in Section IV.C that the Transaction will not create any vertical harms, including (i) no vertical foreclosure of OVDs on the broadband network, (ii) no foreclosure in the distribution of Comcast and NBCUniversal programming to rival MVPDs or OVDs (i.e., program access issues), and (iii) no foreclosure with respect to Comcast’s carriage of unaffiliated programmers (i.e., program carriage issues).
In these discussions, the economic declarations of Dr. Israel, Drs. Rosston and Topper, and Dr. Carlton present substantial evidence and new econometric analyses to refute various economic theories espoused by opponents’ experts and to demonstrate that the Transaction will not cause any of the harms alleged. And the engineering declarations of Kevin McElearney and Dr. Dovrolis make clear that there is no market failure in traffic exchange – nor anything remotely anticompetitive or harmful to consumers about the direct interconnection agreement with Comcast which Netflix signed – that calls for the kind of radical government intervention that Netflix, Cogent, and Dish, among others, seek here.
Finally, in Subsection IV.D, Applicants respond to the meritless and self-serving complaints by a few other commenters who seek to misuse the regulatory process simply to gain a competitive advantage in the advertising market.
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A. Petitioners Erroneously Define Certain “Relevant Markets.”
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Several claims about the Transaction rest, explicitly or implicitly, on unsustainable definitions of the “relevant market.” For example, certain commenters claim that the broadband market should be defined as a national market that excludes all DSL, wireless, and satellite providers, and further claim that, if the Commission so defines the market, the Transaction will result in a combined company with a problematic level of market power under antitrust precedent and guidelines. As set forth in Applicants’ Public Interest Statement and the attached declarations of Dr. Israel and Dr. Carlton, however, the proposed market definitions advanced by such commenters – particularly in the broadband space – have no real-world or economic relevance or prior Commission support. As explained below: (i) the proper geographic market for broadband is local, and the Transaction does not change competition at the local level; (ii) in all events, based on marketplace realities and trends, the Commission cannot reasonably exclude all DSL, wireless, and other technologies from the relevant broadband market; and (iii) homes passed is not a relevant metric here for assessing market concentration or competitive issues for any service.
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1.
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Broadband Market Definition
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A number of commenters (including Netflix, Dish, Cogent, Public Knowledge, and New America Foundation) argue with some variation that (i) the relevant geographic market for broadband is national; and (ii) DSL and wireless mobile should not be part of the relevant broadband product market, because the high-speed Internet access market requires sustained speeds of 10 Mbps for individuals and at least 25 Mbps for households.343 They advance these outcome-determinative definitions in the hope that the Commission will find that the Transaction will cause an increase in the concentration of a national broadband “market” that will result in competitive harms.
343 See, e.g., Netflix Petition to Deny at 8-13; Dish Petition to Deny at 30-38, 42-51; Cogent Petition to Deny at 14-17, 19-20; Public Knowledge et al. Petition to Deny at 7-8, 10-13, 27-28; Sports Fans Coalition Petition to Deny at 30.
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But there is no basis in economic theory, factual reality, or Commission precedent for the strained market definitions urged by those commenters. Most notably, the market that Netflix and others label the “national market for high-speed broadband distribution of edge provider content”344 has been fabricated from whole cloth. As explained in Applicants’ Public Interest Statement,345 in cases where the Commission has analyzed the broadband ISP market, it has consistently found that the relevant market is local, that the broadband market is competitive, and that where there is little or no geographic overlap among broadband providers that seek to combine, there is no cause for competitive concern.346
344 See Netflix Petition to Deny at 8-9; see also Dish Petition to Deny at 30-38; Cogent Petition to Deny at 14-17; Public Knowledge et al. Petition to Deny at 7-8, 10-13, 27-28; TheBlaze Comments at 20-21.
345 See Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 134-35 & nn.339-40.
346 See, e.g., Applications for Consent to the Transfer of Control of Licenses and Section 214 Authorizations by Time Warner Inc. and America Online, Inc., Transferors, to AOL Time Warner Inc., Transferee, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 16 FCC Rcd. 6547 ¶ 74 (2001) (“The relevant geographic markets for residential high-speed Internet access services are local. That is, a consumer’s choices are limited to those companies that offer high-speed Internet access services in his or her area, and the only way to obtain different choices is to move. While high-speed ISPs other than cable operators may offer service over different local areas (e.g., DSL or wireless), or may offer service over much wider areas, even nationally (e.g., satellite), a consumer’s choices are dictated by what is offered in his or her locality.”) (emphasis added); Comcast-AT&T Broadband Order ¶ 153, (“Comcast and AT&T Broadband largely compete in separate geographic markets, and, to the extent their service areas overlap, we find no material increase in concentration that would raise the potential of competitive harm.”) (emphasis added), aff’d sub nom. Consumer Fed’n of Am v. FCC, 348 F.3d 1009 (D.C. Cir. 2003); Comcast-AT&T Broadband Order ¶ 128 (concluding that a consumer’s choice of ISP is “limited to those companies that offer high-speed Internet access services in his or her area”) (emphasis added); AT&T Inc. and BellSouth Corporation Application for Transfer of Control, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 22 FCC Rcd. 5662 ¶ 114 (2007) (“As the Commission has previously found, high-speed Internet access services, as distinct from narrowband services, constitute a relevant product market for purposes of determining the effects of a proposed merger on the public interest. The Commission also has found previously that the relevant geographic markets for residential high-speed Internet access services are local. We believe that both of these market definitions remain appropriate for the purpose of our public interest analysis.”) (emphasis added).
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a.
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The Broadband Market Is Local, Not National.
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As Dr. Israel has previously explained, the correct geographic market for broadband services is local, not national or even regional:
[I]t is inappropriate to assess broadband competition at the regional or national level because competition depends on the choices available to each household in each local area. . . . Defining a national geographic market would suggest that Comcast and TWC are direct competitors despite the fact that they do not serve as substitutes for any consumers, but rather serve different, geographically distinct footprints. Put simply, the transaction will not change the number of broadband choices available to consumers.347
In his attached reply declaration, Dr. Israel further expounds on why this is so and why claims to the contrary are misguided:
The lack of support for a national market in the present case is made clear by considering the Horizontal Merger Guidelines (“Guidelines”). . . . The Guidelines are also clear that “the same principles apply” to geographic market definition and that the market may be “geographically bounded if geography limits some customers’ willingness or ability to substitute to some products, or some suppliers’ willingness or ability to serve some customers.” In the present case, the market is clearly geographically bounded by individual providers’ local service areas. Broadband providers do not make sales to broadband customers outside their geographically limited footprints and thus there is no cross-region substitution.348
Dr. Israel thus concludes, “In short, there is no meaningful national broadband market in which Comcast and TWC constrain one another today. Hence, national market shares lose the value they would have if there were a national market.”349
347 Israel Decl. ¶¶ 21, 42.
348 Israel Reply Decl. ¶¶ 18-19 (emphasis in original).
349 Id. ¶ 26.
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Certain commenters nonetheless insist that there is a “national market for broadband content distribution.” For example, Netflix claims that the relevant geographic market for broadband should be national because the market for content distribution by edge providers is national in scope.350 Dr. Israel explains why this is an incorrect way to analyze this market:
One could posit that Comcast and TWC are both buyers of content from edge providers and thus both participate in a national market for content purchases. However, this analogy does not withstand scrutiny. One way to see this is to note that, in actuality, ISPs are not generally buyers of services from edge providers, but rather edge providers (or their agents) negotiate to interconnect with ISP networks, and the networks of Comcast and TWC are not substitutes but rather geographically separate, as explained above. However, even if one continues to rely on the analogy of ISPs to buyers of content (like MVPDs buying from cable networks), the same conclusion derives from the fact that content is not a “rival” input in the sense that there are not units of content—like widgets—that are sold to a particular buyer in a market. Rather, once the content is created, it can be accessed by an unlimited number of viewers, and what is sold to MVPDs are rights to view the content. When dealing with MVPDs with separate footprints, those rights cover distinct footprints and thus are not substitutes for one another.351
And to the extent commenters’ claims are rooted in an effort to analogize edge providers’ relationships with ISPs to national cable networks selling to MVPDs, this argument fares no better. On this point, Dr. Israel again makes clear:
Notably, because national cable networks operate on a nationwide basis and some of the MVPDs buying content have national footprints, it may be most convenient to talk about a national market for sale of national cable networks, and this language may be tempting to apply to edge providers. However, even if one were to adopt this language, this would be purely a semantic change with no substantive effect on merger analysis. Instead of defining separate local markets for Comcast and TWC, one would have defined a national market in which there is no diversion between Comcast and TWC and thus no competitive interaction between the two firms and thus no transaction-related effect on the ability for consumers to divert to competing ISPs. This conclusion is confirmed by the Comcast-NBCUniversal analysis where a national market for national cable markets was used but where no competitive effects were found on non-overlapping cable providers.352
350 Netflix Petition to Deny at 24-27; see also Public Knowledge et al. Petition to Deny at 10-11.
351 Israel Reply Decl. ¶ 21; see also id. ¶ 22 (“Again, the Horizontal Merger Guidelines are on point. They indicate that in defining relevant markets for mergers of buyers, ‘the Agencies focus on the alternatives available to sellers in the face of a decrease in the price paid by a hypothetical monopsonist.’ Continuing with the analogy to MVPDs as buyers of content, if Comcast were to reduce the price paid for content (or not take the content at all), selling it to TWC would not be a meaningful ‘alternative.’ Presumably the content provider would already have a deal with TWC regarding access to the content for TWC’s subscribers and, more generally, a deal with TWC would not replace the subscribers lost to the content provider if no deal with Comcast were reached. Rather, the alternatives for the content provider to reach Comcast’s customers would be deals with other MVPDs covering the Comcast footprint, some of which may have national footprints (e.g.,. DBS providers), others of which may have distinct but overlapping geographic footprints (e.g., telco providers), but none of which would be cable providers with non-overlapping footprints.”) (citations omitted).
352 Israel Reply Decl. ¶ 24 (emphasis in original) (citations omitted).
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Commenters arguing for a national broadband market rely solely on the DOJ’s decision in the AT&T-MediaOne case.353 But their reliance on AT&T-MediaOne is entirely misplaced. Neither the Commission nor DOJ identified a national broadband market in AT&T-MediaOne. To the extent the case has any relevance, it supports Applicants’ position on broadband market definition and approval of the Transaction as in the public interest.
DOJ’s focus in reviewing the AT&T-MediaOne merger was not the market for residential Internet access service. Instead, it focused on a different, upstream market for providing “portal service” to ISPs, which it defined as the market “for aggregation, promotion and distribution of broadband content and services.”354 AT&T’s acquisition of MediaOne would have combined ownership of two Internet portals: (1) Excite@Home (a joint venture in which AT&T had a controlling interest) and (2) Road Runner (a joint venture in which MediaOne had an interest). Neither firm was an ISP in the current sense of that term. Instead, Excite@Home and Road Runner each contracted with cable operators to be the exclusive provider of an Internet “portal” through which the cable operators’ subscribers accessed broadband content over the cable operators’ own networks.355 DOJ noted that other competitive portal firms included Yahoo and Lycos, confirming clearly that it was not focused on the residential broadband business.356
353 See Netflix Petition to Deny at 25; Dish Petition to Deny at 42-43; Free Press Petition to Deny at 14.
354 Am. Compl. ¶ 25, United States v. AT&T Corp., No. 1:00-cv-01176 (D.D.C. May 26, 2000).
355 See AT&T-MediaOne Order ¶¶ 21, 27. The DOJ’s description of such an ISP “portal” from 2000 is truly a blast from the past:
A portal generally is an Internet site containing a “first page” as well as several subsequent pages, that users see with a high degree of frequency. These pages aggregate links to a variety of types of content and services, and facilitate users’ efforts to find content and services by providing search engines, “tree and branch” indexes, and prominent links to Internet content and services, as well as proprietary content and services. Most ISPs, including Excite@Home and Road Runner, include the first page of their portal as the default “start page” (i.e., the first screen a user sees upon access). . . . A large number of customers access content providers through portals and therefore content providers seek prominent links by which to promote their content and draw users to their sites. The more favorable the placement of a link (e.g., “first page” rather than subsequent pages, a link that includes a larger share of the screen, etc.), the greater the content provider’s likely audience, advertising revenues, and profitability.
Am. Compl. ¶ 25, United States v. AT&T Corp., No. 1:00-cv-01176 (D.D.C. May 26, 2000).
356 Am. Compl. ¶ 25, United States v. AT&T Corp., No. 1:00-cv-01176 (D.D.C. May 26, 2000).
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Indeed, DOJ did not challenge broadband ISP service at all, allowing AT&T to acquire MediaOne’s residential broadband business and “to retain Road Runner assets used exclusively to provide . . . broadband service to MediaOne customers.”357 That is the aspect of the AT&T-MediaOne transaction that is most analogous and relevant to the current Transaction. The fact that DOJ made no effort even to calculate the national market share of residential broadband customers served by the combined AT&T/MediaOne confirms that that metric is simply irrelevant to the competitive analysis. In short, AT&T-MediaOne provides no support for (and in fact refutes) those advocating for a national market definition of the ISP market. To the extent this case says anything about the broadband market itself, it reinforces that this is a competitive market with which regulators should not interfere: In its own review, the Commission found no competitive harms in the broadband market, because “consumers can choose among various alternative broadband access providers, such as DSL, wireless, and satellite,”358 and it deliberately decided not to interfere with that dynamic marketplace.
357 Press Release, U.S. Dep’t of Justice, Justice Department Requires AT&T to Divest MediaOne’s Interest in Road Runner Broadband Internet Access Service, at 2 (May 25, 2000), http://www.justice.gov/atr/public/press_releases/2000/4829.htm.
358 AT&T-MediaOne Order ¶ 116.
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Ironically, though, the DOJ decision does illustrate the folly of making long-term determinations in an evolving, dynamic marketplace: The linked ISP/“portal” business model that DOJ was concerned about did not turn out to be how the Internet evolved – Excite@Home filed for bankruptcy a year after entry of the consent decree order (in 2001), largely because those types of ISP loading page portals did not prove to be a compelling business model.359 DOJ’s concerns and the protections it imposed proved entirely unnecessary, illustrating the difficulty of predicting the future dynamics of the fast-evolving technology industry – a concern that economist Dr. Carl Shapiro, former chief economist of the Antitrust Division of DOJ, has rightly highlighted.360
Another way in which the AT&T-MediaOne precedent may be instructive in the current context is if the Commission follows the same course pursued by then-Chairman Kennard, whose separate statement accompanying that order has proved to be particularly prescient:
Some parties have urged us to impose an “open access” condition on the merged entity. We have declined to do so here. As I have noted previously, the development and deployment of high-speed, broadband Internet access is vitally important to the nation as it will deliver the next generation of Internet services to Americans. Consumers should have a choice among alternative broadband providers. I believe that there are powerful marketplace incentives to ensure that consumers have such choices. Therefore, I have consistently advocated that we allow the nascent broadband marketplace a chance to develop before imposing a government-ordered regime.361
359 See Ben Heskett & Rachel Konrad, Excite@Home Files for Bankruptcy, CNET News, Oct. 1, 2001, http://news.cnet.com/2100-1033-273689.html.
360 Carl Shapiro, Competition Policy and Innovation, OECD Directorate for Science, Technology & Industry No. 2002/11, at 21 (2002), http://faculty.haas.berkeley.edu/shapiro/oecd.pdf (“high-tech industries accentuate the usual problems associated with predicting future market conditions (either with or without a proposed merger). Historical market shares are likely to be less meaningful in rapidly changing markets than in more stable markets.”). Dr. Israel agrees that the AT&T-MediaOne case is inapposite: “[T]hat case is not comparable to the present one, as has been noted by careful observers of the debate. In the AT&T-MediaOne matter, the merging parties were the two largest providers in a national market for the provision of portals for accessing and interacting with the Internet, and they could compete to be the exclusive portal on unaffiliated cable systems.” Israel Reply Decl. ¶ 26 n.22 (citing Paul de Sa et al., Comcast/Time Warner Cable: How Persuasive Are Arguments Against the Merger?, Bernstein Research (Sept. 2, 2014). “The fact that providers of exclusive portals to the Internet competed in a national market has no bearing on whether broadband providers with non-overlapping footprints compete in a national market or whether interactions between national edge providers and regional broadband providers give rise to a national broadband market.” Id.
361 AT&T-MediaOne Order, 15 FCC Rcd. at 9907 (Statement of Chairman William E. Kennard).
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In short, arguments about the combined company’s increased “shares” of the “national” broadband market are nonsensical because there is no such market. And in the local broadband market, the Transaction changes nothing, simply substituting Comcast for TWC or Charter in the relevant systems. As Dr. Carlton concludes:
The transaction creates no additional market power over consumers of broadband. . . . Commenters spend many pages establishing that Comcast or Time Warner may currently have market power over their consumers. That may or may not be so for some consumers. But such claims have nothing to do with an evaluation of how the proposed transaction alters the available sources of supply to consumers, a central question in any merger analysis. The answer to that question is that the proposed transaction does not alter the supply alternatives to consumers of broadband.362
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b.
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The Relevant Broadband Product Market Must Consider DSL, Wireless, and Other Technologies.
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Petitioners Netflix, Cogent, and Dish propose that the Commission define a broadband product market that not only excludes DSL, wireless, and other technologies, but also increases the baseline broadband speed to 10 or even 25 Mbps.363 Although Applicants share the goal of promoting enhanced broadband services, including faster Internet speeds, for more consumers, the “market” definitions urged by these petitioners improperly ignore current marketplace realities, including the many competitive broadband choices that consumers currently have and use in the local markets where the combined company will operate. Under well-established competitive analysis principles, the Transaction should be reviewed based on the current regulatory landscape, in which the Commission has defined broadband as 4 Mbps. For current purposes, 4 Mbps is within the mainstream of broadband connections in the country. A 4 Mbps connection has been found to be more than “sufficient to handle HD video,” such as Netflix streaming.364 This is consistent with the fact that Hulu’s website recommends a speed of 3 Mbps for high-definition videos and 1.5 Mbps for standard-definition video, and Amazon Prime’s website recommends a speed of 3.5 Mbps for high-definition videos and 900 Kbps for standard-definition videos.365 Thus, it appears to be only Netflix, among these top online video providers, that claims users need 5 Mbps for HD – which is, in any event, far short of 25 Mbps.366
363 Netflix Petition to Deny at 16; see also Dish Petition to Deny at 26 (“The relevant product market . . . only includes wireline broadband access services capable of consistent, actual download speeds of 25 Mbps or more.”); Cogent Petition to Deny at 19-20; cf. Free Press Petition to Deny at 19 (“[I]f the future of the American broadband market is advanced broadband connectivity at a level of 25 Mbps or more, Comcast would control nearly half of all such subscribers . . . .”).
364 National Cable & Telecommunications Association Comments, GN Docket No. 14-126, at 5 (Sept. 4, 2014) (citing NetForecast report); see also AT&T Comments, GN Docket No. 14-126 (Sept. 4, 2014) (“that consumers need 7 Mbps to access high quality video is unsupported and inconsistent with the public positions of major streaming video providers that tell their customers that less is required”).
365 See Streaming Issues With Hulu Plus on Your TV, Help Center, Hulu, http://www.hulu.com/help/articles/20196801 (last visited Sept. 22, 2014); System Requirements for Streaming on Your Computer, Help & Customer Service, Amazon, http://www.amazon.com/gp/help/customer/display.html?nodeId=201422810 (last visited Sept. 22, 2014).
366 See Internet Connection Speed Recommendations, Help Center, Netflix, https://help.netflix.com/en/node/306 (last visited Sept. 22, 2014). Netflix’s own conduct demonstrates that this threshold is somewhat arbitrary. In response to widespread adoption of usage-based billing in Canada, for example, Netflix adjusted its service to “use 2/3 less data on average, with minimal impact to video quality.” Netflix Lowers Data Usage by 2/3 for Members in Canada, Netflix US & Canada Blog (Mar. 28, 2011), http://blog.netflix.com/2011/03/netflix-lowers-data-usage-by-23-for.html; AT&T Comments, GN Docket No. 14-126, at 3 (Sept. 4, 2014) (“[Any] assumption that the full bandwidth amounts would be continuously needed is incorrect, and it would be arbitrary to establish a new definition of advanced telecommunications capabilities based on simple addition of . . . abstract (and arbitrarily chosen) bandwidth estimates.”).
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While certain commenters have suggested that 25 Mbps would be needed to accommodate six users in a household each using their own device,367 that is no reason to suggest that the entire market should be redefined for purposes of competitive analysis to include only 25 Mbps service. After all, the Commission has estimated that a speed of 4 Mbps would be sufficient for a “light use” broadband household engaged in up to four Internet-related activities, a speed of 7.9 Mbps would be sufficient for a “moderate use” household engaged in up to four Internet-related activities, and a speed of 10 Mbps would be sufficient for a “high use” household engaged in up to four Internet-related activities.368 Further, as NCTA has pointed out, the majority (61 percent) of households in the United States have only one or two occupants and, therefore, are well below the five to six simultaneous users per household that these commenters postulate.369 Surely, all these customers are still within the “broadband market.” As NCTA points out, for example:
367 See Netflix Petition to Deny at 16; Dish Petition to Deny at 26-29; Public Knowledge et al. Petition to Deny at 8; see also Press Release, FCC, FCC Chairman Tom Wheeler: More Competition Needed in High-Speed Broadband Marketplace, at 1 (Sept. 4, 2014), available at http://transition.fcc.gov/Daily_Releases/Daily_Business/2014/db0904/DOC-329160A1.pdf (“The average U.S. Internet-connected homes have six connected devices–televisions, desktops, laptops, tablets, smartphones, etc. When those devices are in use at the same time, it’s not difficult to strain the capacity of a 25 Mbps connection, and completely overwhelm a 4 Mbps connection.”); Remarks of Tom Wheeler, Chairman, FCC, The Facts and Future of Broadband Competition, at 2 (Sept. 4, 2014), available at http://transition.fcc.gov/Daily_Releases/Daily_Business/2014/db0904/DOC-329161A1.pdf (“It’s not uncommon for a U.S. Internet-connected household to have six or more connected devices–including televisions, desktops, laptops, tablets, and smartphones. When these devices are used at the same time, as they often are in the evenings, it’s not hard to overwhelm 10 Mbps of bandwidth.”).
368 Inquiry Concerning the Deployment of Advanced Telecommunications Capability to All Americans in a Reasonable and Timely Fashion, and Possible Steps to Accelerate Such Deployment Pursuant to Section 706 of the Telecommunications Act of 1996, as Amended by the Broadband Data Improvement Act, Tenth Broadband Progress Notice of Inquiry, 29 FCC Rcd. 9747 ¶ 11, tbl.1 (2014). The four activities for each type of household include: one user watching a standard definition (SD) movie, one user making a high quality voice call, one user browsing on the web, and syncing of email, alerts, an weather information taking place in the background (low use); one user watching a high definition (HD) movie, one user taking an online education course, one user browsing on the web, and syncing of email, alerts, an weather information taking place in the background (moderate use); one user watching a super high definition (SHD) movie, one user making a HD video call, one user saving files to and from the cloud, and syncing of email, alerts, an weather information taking place in the background (high use).
369 See National Cable & Telecommunications Association Comments, GN Docket No. 14-126, at 6 (Sept. 4, 2014).
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[I]f an agency were trying to count the number of cars in use, it would be irrational to define the term “car” as only including four-door sedans or larger vehicles just because those are the types of vehicles that meet the needs of a “typical” household. Just as a two-door compact is still a car even if it may not be fully functional for large families, an Internet connection should still be considered a broadband connection even if it does not meet the needs of some households.370
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Finally, as Dr. Israel observes, “to exclude all broadband services below 25 Mbps would miss important competitive constraints . . . and thus produce an overly narrow market definition.”371
Certain commenters similarly try to shrink the market by arguing that DSL, wireless, and satellite broadband are not part of a so-called “high-speed broadband distribution of edge provider content” market, because they simply do not provide sufficient levels of speed required today to meet the needs of broadband users.372 While these recommended exclusions of all but cable and fiber broadband may give Netflix and others convenient “market share” percentages to use in theorizing potential harms, as shown below, these proposals are unhinged from marketplace realities and should be rejected.
DSL
Despite Netflix’s proposal to exclude DSL from the broadband market, a significant share of Netflix’s subscribers today use DSL. In fact, Netflix’s own speed index results show that one-third of the 60 ISPs it ranks are DSL providers, with some of these DSL providers performing better than cable providers.373 This means, necessarily, that today at least some Netflix subscribers see DSL as a potential “substitute” for other wireline broadband, putting those technologies in the same market. Indeed, Netflix admits that it “has engineered its service to work on DSL systems in standard definition.”374 Netflix argues that DSL cannot support “multiple devices in a household,”375 but that complaint ignores the ability of edge providers to invest in compression technologies.376
371 Israel Reply Decl. ¶ 29.
372 Netflix Petition to Deny at 12-14; Dish Petition to Deny at 36-38; RCN et al. Petition to Deny at 38; Cogent Petition to Deny at 19-20; WGAW et al. Petition to Deny at 15-16, 43-47; CFA et al. Petition to Deny at 54; Free Press Petition to Deny at 24-26; Public Knowledge et al. Petition to Deny at 7-8, 12-13, 27-28; Stop the Cap! Comments at 23; Senator Franken Comments at 16-17.
373 USA ISP Speed Index: August 2014, Netflix, http://ispspeedindex.netflix.com/usa (last visited Sept. 17, 2014).
374 Netflix Petition to Deny at 12.
375 Id.; see also Cogent Petition to Deny at 19-20, Kilmer Decl.¶¶ 47-49.
376 See supra note 367 (describing Netflix’s compression in Canada).
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It also ignores the fact that continuing investments in DSL technology – including fiber-to-the-node (“FTTN”), IP-DSLAM, VDSL2, and pair bonding – have allowed upgraded DSL technologies to compete effectively against cable broadband.377 For example, the Commission’s “Measuring Broadband America” report shows AT&T performing very well at 18 Mbps downstream – about the same as both Cox and Comcast at equivalent speeds. At 24 Mbps, AT&T performed about the same as both TWC and Cox at equivalent speeds. AT&T uses a variety of upgraded DSL technologies, including FTTN DSL for its rapidly growing U-verse broadband service, which reaches speeds of 45 Mbps (advanced DSL technologies like VDSL offer speeds up to 100 Mbps).378 Similarly, Qwest (now owned by CenturyLink) performs as well as TWC at 20 Mbps. Like AT&T, Qwest’s service at these speeds generally uses FTTN DSL technology.379 In addition, Qwest performs well at 40 Mbps – about the same as Cox and TWC at equivalent speeds.380
377 DSL encompasses a broad range of technologies. In its Measuring Broadband 2014 Report, the Commission uses “DSL” broadly to encompass all broadband services that rely on DSL technology in some way. However, grouping all forms of DSL into one undifferentiated category glosses over important developments in the broadband marketplace, including significant upgrades to traditional DSL technology that have taken place over the past several years and are ongoing.
378 See Sean Buckley, AT&T Plays Cable Catch-up Game with 45 Mbps Broadband Market Expansion, FierceTelecom, Aug. 29, 2013, http://www.fiercetelecom.com/story/att-plays-cable-catch-game-45-mbps-broadband-market-expansion/2013-08-29.
379 See Measuring Broadband 2014 Report, Chart 9.4: Average Peak Period Sustained Download Speeds as a Percentage of Advertised, by Provider (18-25 Mbps Tier)—September 2013 Test Data.
380 See id., Chart 9.5: Average Peak Period Sustained Download Speeds as a Percentage of Advertised, by Provider (30-75 Mbps Tier)—September 2013 Test Data.
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The higher speeds offered by these companies prove what Applicants demonstrated in the Public Interest Statement: DSL technology is capable of offering the higher speeds necessary to offer robust competition to cable and fiber broadband, and will increasingly do so as that technology develops and proliferates. In fact, as the table below illustrates, DSL-based broadband connections grew at a faster pace than cable broadband connections between June 2009 and June 2013; subscriber rates increased 30.7 percent annually for DSL compared to 17.9 percent for cable.381
AT&T (Comcast’s largest wireline broadband competitor) in particular has made significant investments in upgrading its DSL infrastructure and has plans to continue to do so, as AT&T announced in response to the Transaction and as it confirmed in its recent filings concerning its proposed DirecTV acquisition.382 AT&T’s mostly DSL-based U-verse broadband service alone increased by 2.7 million subscribers in 2013.383
381 Israel Reply Decl. ¶ 76.
382 See Applications of AT&T Inc. and DIRECTV for Consent to Assign or Transfer Control of Licenses and Authorizations, Description of Transaction, Public Interest Showing, and Related Demonstrations, MB Docket No. 14-90, at 39-45 (June 11, 2014) (describing effects of Project VIP and investments from cost savings achieved in transaction to cover 70 million customer locations with AT&T’s high-speed fixed broadband networks).
383 Press Release, AT&T Inc., AT&T Reports 20 Percent Adjusted EPS Growth, Record-Low Fourth-Quarter Postpaid Churn, Solid Smartphone Gains and Continued Strong U-verse Momentum in Fourth-Quarter Results (Jan. 28, 2014), http://www.att.com/gen/press-room?pid=25228&cdvn=news&newsarticleid=37405&mapcode.
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Dr. Israel agrees that “DSL remains a highly relevant competitor to cable broadband today.”384 He points out that “nearly 65 percent of the population has access to a DSL provider offering speeds of 10 Mbps or more, and over 18 percent of the population has access to a DSL provider offering speeds of 25 Mbps or more.”385 He notes that the difference in annual growth rates between DSL and cable during 2009-2013 is even more pronounced than the table above when a 10 Mbps downstream definition of broadband is used: 150.6 percent for DSL versus 52.8 percent for cable.386 In short, Dr. Israel concludes, “DSL remains a significant competitive threat to cable broadband.”387 Dr. Israel also responds to commenters who claim that DSL can not be in the same market as cable broadband because of DSL’s lower price, observing that:
Differences in prices do not necessarily mean that products are not substitutes or are not in the same market. To the contrary, in cases like the present one where one product (DSL) may be of lower quality than some other products, the price differences often serve to make up for the quality gap, making quality-adjusted prices more similar and thus generating more substitution among the products. Hence, the pricing of DSL provides a mechanism for telco providers to make DSL more attractive to customers, further enhancing DSL’s role as an important part of telco providers’ overall broadband strategy and an important competitive constraint on cable ISPs.388
384 Israel Reply Decl. ¶ 75.
386 Id. ¶ 80 (emphasis in original).
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Wireless Broadband
Mobile wireless broadband is also primed to become a formidable competitor, delivering speeds well over 50 Mbps (and averaging in the double digits).389 Powerful players, including Comcast’s competitors, recognize the marketplace opportunity for wireless broadband. AT&T, for example, plans to deploy LTE-based fixed wireless local loop services to approximately 13 million customers across 48 states, including rural communities, at download speeds of 15-20 Mbps.390 Verizon is keenly focused on streaming video over wireless, and expects to launch a wireless TV streaming video service by early next year.391 And, while Dish self-servingly claims in its petition here that wireless broadband cannot compete with wireline,392 it is already trialing a fixed wireless broadband service in the marketplace that, during initial tests last year, had speeds ranging from 20 Mbps to 50 Mbps.393
389 See Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 55; see also Israel Decl. ¶¶ 64-65.
390 Applications of AT&T Inc. and DIRECTV for Consent to Assign or Transfer Control of Licenses and Authorizations, Description of Transaction, Public Interest Showing, and Related Demonstrations, MB Docket No. 14-90, at 42-44 (June 11, 2014). In addition, Masayoshi Son, Chairman and CEO of Softbank, the parent of Sprint, stated that he envisions Sprint offering mobile broadband speeds of 200 Mbps. Masayoshi Son, CEO, Softbank Corp.¸ The Promise of Mobile Internet in Driving American Innovation, the Economy and Education, Tr. at 12 (Mar. 11, 2014), http://webcast.softbank.co.jp/en/press/20140311/pdf/press_20140311_02.pdf.
391 Todd Spangler, Verizon to Join “Virtual MSO” Fray in Mid-2015 with Wireless TV Service, Variety, Sept. 11, 2014, available at http://variety.com/2014/digital/news/verizon-to-join-virtual-mso-fray-in-mid-2015-with-wireless-tv-service-1201303707/.
392 See Dish Petition to Deny at 37-38.
393 Press Release, Dish, Dish and nTelos Launch Fixed Wireless Broadband Pilot (June 13, 2013), http://about.dish.com/press-release/corporate/dish-and-ntelos-launch-fixed-wireless-broadband-pilot (“[A] fixed wireless solution delivering true broadband speeds will bring improved broadband options to potentially millions of consumers.”).
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As Dr. Israel notes, “industry analysts recognize that mobile is the number one growth area for Netflix itself: ‘[M]ost Netflix content is still watched on TV screens, but . . . mobile [separate and apart from Wi-Fi] is seeing the biggest growth, in part because of the way phones have been changing.’”394 Netflix itself has also trumpeted to its investors that it is “pioneering the use of tablets and smartphones as second-screen choosing devices for TV viewing.”395 And continuing recent trends of declining prices to consumers, wireless providers’ costs are expected to fall roughly [[ ]] percent over the next several years which will further reduce consumer prices.396
In fact, a survey of over 1,000 broadband users conducted by GSG at Comcast’s request specifically found that for many consumers, wireless is already a viable substitute for fixed broadband:397
394 Israel Reply Decl. ¶ 82 (citing Janko Roettgers, Netflix May Add Short-form Content to Increase Mobile Usage, GIGAOM, September 5, 2014, available at http://gigaom.com/2014/09/05/netflix-short-clips/?utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=socialflow&utm_source=twitter&utm_content=netflix-short-clips_870690 last visited Sept. 11, 2014 (“As screen sizes are becoming bigger, watching content on phones becomes more natural.”)).
395 Netflix, Inc., Annual Report (Form 10-K), at 3 (Feb. 1, 2013). Similarly, Netflix advertised in a recent blog posting that it “will continue to make Netflix the best possible place to enjoy entertainment across all the devices our members own – from Smart TVs to mobile phones.” A Quick Update on Our Streaming Plans and Prices, Netflix US & Canada Blog (May 9, 2014), http://blog.netflix.com/2014/05/a-quick-update-on-our-streaming-plans.html.
396 Israel Reply Decl. ¶ 85.
397 The complete survey results and the underlying survey response data have been produced in response to Request No. 74(e), as is a declaration by Jeffrey Pollock, President of Global Strategies Group. See Response to Request No. 74, Exhibits 74.2, 74.3. In his declaration, Mr. Pollock explains that the survey sample was selected to be statistically representative of the population under study, which is adults in households that subscribe to non-DSL broadband service offered by a cable company or telephone company and who are decision-makers as to that service. The survey has a margin of error of 3.1%.
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A full 10 percent of the survey respondents use wireless as a substitute for fixed broadband service today, answering that they always opt to use their wireless or mobile broadband service, even for accessing high-bandwidth streaming services like Netflix, YouTube, and Hulu (slightly more always use wireless service for low-bandwidth activities).398 Moreover, 17 percent use wireless service for high-bandwidth activities either all the time or most of the time (23 percent do so for low-bandwidth activities); 399 even more use wireless broadband an equal amount as they used fixed broadband (36 percent for low-bandwidth activities, and 25 percent for high-bandwidth activities).400 In sum, the survey found that 59 percent of cable broadband consumers use wireless or mobile broadband either as frequently or more frequently than they use cable broadband service for low-bandwidth activities, and 41 percent use wireless or mobile broadband either as frequently as or more frequently than they use cable broadband for high-bandwidth activities. These results confirm that a significant share of broadband consumers already view wireless to be a satisfactory alternative to fixed broadband services.401
399 Due to rounding, the 10 percent and 6 percent noted in the table above add to 17 percent. See id.
400 Id. Notably, for purposes of this answer, the respondents who indicated that they use wireless were instructed that wireless does not include cable Wi-Fi accessible on mobile devices – i.e., they were indicating usage of a wireless data plan.
401 Contrary to Dish’s statements, Comcast has never claimed that wireless is a perfect and complete substitute for all uses, only that wireless should not be excluded entirely. See Dish Petition to Deny at 37-38.
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Thus, any assessment of broadband availability in today’s marketplace would also “need to consider wireless,” as Verizon has emphasized, noting that the NTIA’s Broadband Map includes wireless broadband and the Commission’s own most recent data shows that (a) over 98 percent of Americans have access to wireless broadband exceeding 3 Mbps; and (b) 97.5 percent of Americans have access to wireless broadband speeds exceeding 10 Mbps.402 Given this competitive landscape, it would be unreasonable to exclude these services in any analysis of the Internet access choices currently available to consumers in the local markets where the combined company will operate.
Satellite, Google, and Others
Google is also deploying a competitive 1 Gbps fiber network, with plans to launch in many more cities that the combined company will serve.403 And Comcast and TWC face robust competition from other ISPs, including satellite broadband providers,404 cable overbuilders, and fixed wireless broadband services.405
402 Verizon Comments, GN Docket No. 14-126, at 1 (Sept. 4, 2014).
403 See Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 50-51; Jon Brodkin, Google Fiber Chooses Nine Metro Areas for Possible Expansion, Ars Technica, Feb. 19, 2014, http://arstechnica.com/business/2014/02/google-fiber-chooses-nine-metro-areas-for-possible-expansion/.
404 Tom Soroka of USTelecom indicated that satellite download capabilities have gotten very good and the technology is improving. Communications Daily, Apr. 3, 2014. Satellite broadband is 12 Mbps and faster, and well-suited for streaming video. See Measuring Broadband 2014 Report at 26, 29 & Chart 9.3 (finding ViaSat satellite broadband delivered 139 percent of its advertised 12 Mbps download speed); id. at 17 (“The results published in this Report suggest that video streaming will work across all technologies tested,” including satellite broadband.). Indeed, Hughes recently announced that it had surpassed 1 million active satellite broadband users in North America (including individuals). See Press Release, Hughes Network Systems, Hughes Becomes First Satellite Internet Provider to Surpass One Million Active Users (Sept. 8, 2014), http://www.hughes.com/resources/hughes-becomes-first-satellite-internet-provider-to-surpass-one-million-active-users-1.
405 See Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 50; see also Israel Decl. ¶ 68.
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Dr. Israel sums up these various competitive dynamics as follows:
[C]ommenters significantly understate the strength of competitive alternatives available to Comcast customers. In fact, the competitive threat to Comcast’s broadband service, particularly from the full set of options provided by powerful telco competitors, is large and growing. Commenters attempt to downplay this telco competition via a double standard that downplays DSL—which remains highly relevant today—due to claims that its competitive significance is declining, while ignoring the fact that the competitive significance of wireless—while more limited today—is growing rapidly. Together, these options, combined with fiber-to-the-premises (FTTP) options—which AT&T, CenturyLink, and others are committed to expanding, in part as a competitive response to this transaction—form an overall strategy by which the telco providers will remain a highly relevant competitive threat.406
Given these realities, calls for the Commission to define the broadband market to narrowly include only cable and certain other wireline technologies – and excluding others based on misconceptions of their current abilities and future potential – are misguided and just plain wrong. Every indication points to DSL providers continuing to improve in order to preserve the value of their extensive sunk investment and their substantial customer base. And although wireless broadband may not be fully competitive with the fastest wireline broadband speeds today, it is unquestionably already a partial substitute for many consumers (and a full substitute for some) and is experiencing skyrocketing demand.407 It will indisputably provide even more competition in the future.408 Thus, as Professor Yoo wisely cautions:
406 Israel Reply Decl. ¶ 10.
407 See discussion supra Section IV.A.1.b; see also Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 51-56; Israel Decl. ¶¶ 61-62.
408 In fact, Chairman Wheeler noted that “[t]he mobile industry has proven that competition drives capital investment” and “there have been significant changes in the mobile marketplace since 2010.” Remarks of Tom Wheeler, Chairman, FCC, 2014 CTIA Show, at 3-4 (Sept. 9, 2014), http://transition.fcc.gov/Daily_Releases/Daily_Business/2014/db0909/DOC-329271A1.pdf.
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When evaluating a merger, antitrust law counsels in favor of focusing on what the world will look like in the future rather than what the world looks like today . . . . [W]e are seeing waves of investment driven by the competitive incentive to outdo one another. Those who have attempted to [write] off DSL, FTTH, and LTE as meaningful competitors to cable have done so without any empirical foundation. Indeed, observers have been writing off DSL for years only to be proven wrong time after time . . . . The real lesson is that the future is hard to predict and innovation has thrived most when no one has attempted to impose remedies based on any particular prediction of which technologies will succeed or fail.”409
Cogent’s own economic expert, Dr. Joseph Farrell, as well as another leading economist, Dr. Carl Shapiro, concur with this flexible approach, arguing that rigid market definitions – i.e., attempts “to make a sharp distinction between products ‘in’ and ‘out’ of the market” – can be “clumsy and inaccurate” and often misleading.410 Many markets contain multiple potential substitutes that exert different degrees of competitive pressure on merging firms’ products under different circumstances. Inflexible market definitions can overstate the importance of products “in” the market and understate the importance of products “out” of the market.411 For that matter, “in many differentiated-product industries, there is no clearly right way to draw boundaries that are inevitably somewhat arbitrary.”412
409 Christopher S. Yoo Comments at 12.
410 Carl Shapiro, Mergers with Differentiated Products, 10 Antitrust 23, 28 (Spring 1996); Joseph Farrell & Carl Shapiro, Antitrust Evaluation of Horizontal Mergers: An Economic Alternative to Market Definition, 10 B.E. J. Theoretical Econ. 1 (2010).
411 See United States v. Oracle Corp., 331 F. Supp. 2d 1098, 1120 (N.D. Cal. 2004) (citing Carl Shapiro, Mergers with Differentiated Products, 10 Antitrust 23, 28 (Spring 1996)).
412 Farrell & Shapiro, An Economic Alternative to Market Definition, at 4 n.11.
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Besides technological developments, there are trade-offs among product attributes that may swing customers to consider a service more or less “substitutable.” For example, it is difficult to imagine how DSL and even wireless would not become significantly more attractive alternatives to Comcast’s broadband service if Comcast were to degrade its broadband product by blocking or slowing content.
In fact, the GSG survey illustrates the degree to which these technologies would suddenly become attractive substitutes if a faster broadband provider degraded access to Internet content. As the survey results set out below show, consumers overwhelmingly expressed their willingness to switch ISPs in the event of adverse action even where the alternative provider was not an equally fast fixed broadband ISP:
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These findings strongly substantiate Dr. Israel’s hypothesis that the “absence of (or limitations on) particular edge providers would be more important to consumers than speed differences.”413 Thus, as Dr. Israel has explained, many alternative broadband providers, which offer service using a range of technologies and with different attributes, serve as viable competitive alternatives to Comcast; consumers can and would switch to those providers if Comcast were to block or degrade access to content the consumer wished to reach.414 Said another way – whether or not a service is a “substitute” may depend on many attributes, not just speed.415 Thus, Dr. Israel concludes “the availability of alternative broadband providers, even those providing slower speeds, places an important competitive constraint on the behavior of Comcast or other broadband providers toward edge providers.” 416
413 Presentation by Dr. Mark A. Israel to FCC Staff, at 9 (May 6, 2014) (“Israel Presentation”); Israel Decl. ¶ 40.
414 Israel Presentation at 9; Israel Decl. ¶ 40.
415 See Israel Decl. ¶ 40. Thus, contrary to some claims, if Comcast’s alleged “market power” is based on being the only provider “fast enough” to carry meaningful over-the-top video, it could not degrade or block such video – the source of its supposed advantage – without weakening its market position.
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To be sure, certain commenters argue that customers’ ability to switch to other broadband providers is limited by, for example, putative high switching costs. Indeed, Chairman Wheeler recently echoed his concern that high switching costs could be an impediment to stronger broadband competition. Applicants appreciate these concerns, and Comcast is aware that a few unfortunate incidents with its own customer service agents over the past year illustrated occasional customer service failures that complicate switching requests. However, the reality is that most broadband customers can and do switch their ISP for various reasons. The GSG survey found, for example, that degradation would cause 70 percent or more of consumers to switch. Further, one-third of survey respondents actually had switched providers in at least the past two years, and nearly half (49 percent) switched providers within the past four years.417 These results are in line with the results of a survey undertaken by the Commission in 2010. In the Commission’s survey, over the prior three years, 36 percent of Internet users indicated that they had switched their provider, with 13 percent of users switching providers more than once, and almost one-third of those who had not switched providers having considered doing so.418 Both in the present GSG survey and in the Commission’s 2010 survey, consumers cited better speed or performance from an alternative provider, better pricing from an alternative provider, moving residences, and the availability of other services, as the primary reasons for switching.419
418 FCC, Broadband Decisions: What Drives Consumers to Switch—Or Stick With—Their Broadband Internet Provider, at 2-3 (FCC Working Paper, Dec. 2010) (“2010 FCC Survey”).
419 Survey at 6; 2010 FCC Survey at 9.
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Moreover, Comcast’s policies do not make it difficult for a disgruntled customer to switch to another ISP. For example, less than [[ ]] percent of Comcast’s current residential broadband subscribers are subject to a contractual commitment. Thus, over [[ ]] percent of these customers would face no early termination fees for switching. Indeed, many of Comcast’s customers avail themselves of the opportunity to switch – Comcast’s monthly broadband churn rate for broadband subscribers has been in the {{ }} percent range for several years. Said another way, over the course of a single year, approximately {{ }} of Comcast’s broadband subscribers switch.420 In short, no customer is “captive” to Comcast, meaning an attractive alternative could easily capture share, particularly if Comcast did not provide a high-quality Internet experience.
As these empirical data show, consumers not only consider various technologies to be an alternative to cable broadband service, but also are likely to take advantage of those alternatives. For all these reasons, DSL, wireless (at least to some degree), and the other technologies noted above must be considered to be part of the relevant broadband product market, at least for many customers for many uses, which is the relevant legal and economic test.
420 Comcast is aware of and has apologized for the recent actions of a Comcast representative in his communication with a customer seeking to cancel Comcast service. This customer’s experience does not reflect the experience of the millions of customers who churn each year, and this representative’s actions were not consistent with how Comcast trains its customer service representatives.
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2.
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MVPD Market Definition
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Several commenters make the incredible argument that services offered by DBS providers should not be included in the MVPD market because there supposedly is little demand for standalone video.421 Instead, those commenters argue, the market should be defined as bundled video and broadband offerings. As shown below, these arguments not only belie reality, but are also squarely at odds with longstanding Commission precedent.
As an initial matter, these arguments are irrelevant to the analysis of the effect of this Transaction, which will not reduce competition in any properly defined relevant market even if DBS providers were excluded. Comcast and TWC do not compete for customers, but rather offer services in separate local markets. There is no nationwide market for MVPD video, Internet, or voice services, and no viable theory of competitive harm based on the combined firm having a higher share of the total number of customers nationwide who purchase video services.
That is true even if the market were deemed to include only providers that offer bundled video products: following this Transaction, consumers will have the same number of choices for bundles in every relevant market. In many of those local markets, competitive bundles are also offered by telco companies on their own and/or in partnerships with DBS providers. Post-transaction, consumers will be able to choose among the same competitive options for video, broadband Internet, and voice – on a standalone or bundled basis – as they did before (Dish, DirecTV, Comcast, telcos, not to mention OVD offerings). Further, the efficiencies from the Transaction will facilitate innovation and investment allowing Comcast to offer improved services, including on a bundled basis. Those forthcoming improvements already have prompted competitive responses.
421 See RCN et al. Petition to Deny at 11-13; Hawaiian Telcom Servs. Co. (“Hawaiian Telcom”) Comments at 8-9; WGAW et al. Petition to Deny, Comanor Test. at 13-14.
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But in any event, it would plainly be improper to exclude standalone video services from the relevant product market. The Commission has previously stated that, for video programming, “the relevant product market is all MVPD services,” including MVPD services offered by DBS providers.422 In doing so, it rejected arguments by commentators that DBS should not be considered a substitute for cable because DBS cannot “offer the ‘triple play’ bundle of services consumers are seeking.”423 It is absurd to suggest that the relevant product market should now change on the theory that DBS providers cannot compete with cable providers’ bundles. That theory is simply belied by the marketplace facts. DBS providers and other video providers have been enormously successful in competing with cable providers. In fact, DBS providers added over 9 million customers between 2004 and 2013, while cable providers have lost over 7 million customers since 2009.424
DBS providers now have approximately 34 million customers who take multichannel video from them and voice and/or data from someone else.425 Indeed, because Comcast offers broadband on a standalone basis, DBS customers can create their own bundle using Comcast’s Internet and voice services and DBS video service. In addition, DBS providers have entered into partnerships with incumbent LECs to provide double-play (video and broadband) bundles and triple-play (video, broadband, and telephone) bundles, and these compete aggressively with cable-based double-play and triple-play offerings.426 Dish video service is bundled with Internet and voice services from Frontier, among others.427 DirecTV video service is bundled with Internet and voice services from AT&T, CenturyLink, Verizon, Mediacom, and others.428 Last year, the CFO of DirecTV stated that his company has “proven that we can be competitive against the [triple-play] bundle.”429 He further observed that DBS providers “have gotten very comfortable with . . . customers connecting our boxes to somebody else’s broadband service . . . [W]e look at being able to offer the consumer everything that a triple play supplier can do.”430 In addition, assuming AT&T’s acquisition of DirecTV is approved, then Comcast will face even more competition for video, Internet, and voice services offered on a bundled basis.
422 Adelphia Order ¶ 63; see also AT&T-Broadband Order ¶ 89 (defining video programming market in context of cable merger as including MVPD service distributed by all MVPDs).
423 Adelphia Order ¶ 62. Although the Commission attempted to take a different approach in the cable cap litigation, arguing that DBS providers are not significant competitors to cable providers because of a supposed disadvantage concerning bundled offerings, the D.C. Circuit rejected that assertion because it found that the Commission had no evidence to substantiate it. Indeed, the court observed that the FCC did “not point to any evidence” showing that there was a significant set of bundle customers who would not switch to DBS to support the theory that a cable operator could acquire bottleneck power over programming. See Comcast Corp. v. FCC, 579 F.3d 1, 7 (D.C. Cir. 2009).
424 See Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 67.
425 See Annual Assessment of the Status of Competition in the Market for the Delivery of Video Programming, Fifteenth Report, 28 FCC Rcd. 10496 ¶ 27 (2013) (“Fifteenth Video Competition Report”).
426 See Bundle With Dish & Save, Dish Network, http://www.dish.com/entertainment/internet-phone/ (last visited Sept. 11, 2014); DirecTV Bundles, DirecTV, http://www.directv.com/DTVAPP/content/packages/internet (last visited Sept. 11, 2014).
427 See Frontier Communications chooses DISH Network as its Video Partner, Frontier Communications, http://investor.frontier.com/releasedetail.cfm?ReleaseID=646751 (last visited Sept. 21, 2014).
428 See, e.g., DirecTV Bundles, DirecTV, http://www.directv.com/DTVAPP/content/packages/internet (last visited Sept. 11, 2014); see also, e.g., DIRECTV Annual Report (Form 10-K), at 6 (Feb. 24, 2014) (“To better serve the segment of consumers who are attracted to the convenience and value of bundle offerings, we have agreements in place with most of the major telco companies nationwide to offer digital subscriber line, or DSL, and fiber bundles which include the DIRECTV service.”). Customers purchasing these bundled offerings typically receive a single bill. See, e.g., www.att.com/shop/help/billing-payments/billing-options.html (“You must combine your AT&T and DIRECTV billing on your AT&T bill.”) (last visited Sept. 17, 2014).
429 Remarks of Patrick Doyle, CFO, DirecTV, JPMorgan Global Technology, Media and Telecom Conference (May 15, 2013).
430 Remarks of Patrick Doyle, CFO, DirecTV, Deutsche Bank Securities Access Media, Internet & Telecom Conference (Mar. 6, 2013).
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Further, regulators have never recognized double- and triple-play bundles offered by a single provider as a relevant product market, separate from bundles created by separate providers or consumers.431 Antitrust regulators have approved many transactions by cable companies in the past and have never identified a distinct market for bundled services that would exclude DBS from the product market. When defining a relevant product market, regulators focus on consumer demand substitution: the ability to choose one product over another in response to an increase in price or reduction in quality.432 Antitrust regulators primarily define product markets by looking for products that are close enough substitutes in consumers’ eyes that consumers would switch to the other when the price of one product increases by a small but significant amount.433 Video, Internet access, and voice are distinct services, and consumers have different preferences for each. Every one of these relevant services is offered on a standalone basis so consumers are free to – and regularly do – substitute standalone services for bundles. Bundles are, therefore, inappropriate product markets because such markets leave out viable substitutes; namely, standalone video, Internet, and telephone services purchased from separate providers.
431 As noted, the Commission has rejected such arguments. In addition, a 2008 report from a DOJ symposium on video, broadband, and telephone services noted that there was “no consensus whether bundled products constitute a separate product market.” U.S. Dep’t of Justice, Voice, Video and Broadband: The Changing Competitive Landscape and Its Impact on Consumers, at 60 (Nov. 2008), available at www.justice.gov/atr/public/reports/239284.pdf.
432
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See Horizontal Merger Guidelines § 4.1.
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Notably, in an economic analysis filed with the Commission on behalf of AT&T in the proposed AT&T-DirecTV transaction, AT&T’s economic experts Steve Berry and Phil Haile likewise conclude that “competitors’ standalone products are substitutes for merged firm’s standalone and bundled products (and for cable bundles).”434 Those experts also concluded that the AT&T-DirecTV transaction will increase competition with standalone and bundled products offered by cable providers.435
Despite the overwhelming market evidence that standalone MVPD offerings substitute for bundled offerings, some commenters assert that Comcast will limit the attractiveness of standalone products.436 Some opponents of the NBCUniversal transaction made the same argument, and the Commission has already addressed any potential issue by imposing a condition requiring Comcast to continue to offer all its broadband services on a standalone basis at “reasonable market-based prices” for the full term of the NBCUniversal conditions.437 The Commission found that this condition would have “minimal” impact on Comcast because, it recognized, Comcast has always offered standalone broadband at reasonable rates.438 Comcast’s sale of standalone broadband has grown to the point that the aggregate number of standalone broadband lines constitutes more than [[ ]] percent of Comcast’s total residential broadband subscribers.439 There are approximately [[ ]] million standalone broadband subscribers, an increase of about [[ ]] percent between January 2012 and January 2014. And though TWC and Charter likewise sell standalone broadband services, bringing Comcast’s commitment to those markets will provide certainty about the availability of standalone offerings for several years to come. As Drs. Rosston and Topper explain:
434 Letter from Maureen R. Jeffreys, Counsel for AT&T Inc., to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, FCC, MB Docket No. 14-90, at Attachment at 9 (July 17, 2014).
435 Id., Attachment at 8.
436 See NYPSC Comments at 7-9; Dish Petition to Deny, Lynch Declaration ¶ 77; WGAW et al. Petition to Deny at 18. One must also remember that bundled discounts generally benefit consumers, who get more value for less money. Carl Shapiro, “Exclusionary Conduct Testimony Before the Antitrust Modernization Commission” (Sept. 29, 2005), http://faculty.haas.berkeley.edu/shapiro/amcexclusion.pdf (“Multi-product discounts are generally pro-competitive.”).
437 Comcast-NBCUniversal Order ¶ 103.
438 The Commission also required Comcast to offer a 6 Mbps downstream Internet access service for $49.95 per month. Id., App. A, § IV.D. Comcast responded by rolling out its Performance Starter offering in just one month – the fastest Comcast has ever deployed a brand new service simultaneously throughout its footprint.
439 See id. at 107 n.276.
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Some commenters have made market share and market concentration calculations that assume Comcast and Time Warner compete with each other, but do not compete with DBS providers. That is simply wrong. DBS providers have been able to compete effectively, increasing their share of MVPD subscribers from 29% to 34% in the past decade alone.440
In sum, Commission and antitrust precedent and the record evidence make clear that DBS video offerings must be included in any relevant product market, and that bundled offerings are not a market themselves.
440 Rosston/Topper Reply Decl. ¶ 44.
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3.
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“Homes Passed” Is Not a Relevant Metric for Any Service.
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The assertion by Free Press and Netflix that the combined company will pass almost two-thirds of U.S. households is beside the point.441 The number of homes passed has no validity in the assessment of the potential for horizontal harms. The Commission long ago rejected a homes passed measurement in the subscription video market as an appropriate test for assessing a cable company’s size or relative market power in favor of measuring share of actual MVPD subscribers.442 In an industry where companies compete for paying end user customers, customer share undoubtedly is a more accurate picture of a company’s position in the marketplace relative to its competitors.443 Likewise, the antitrust agencies do not focus on an MVPD’s or broadband provider’s reach but on its customer share.444 If “reach” were the appropriate measure of asserted market position, then the companies to be most concerned about would be DirecTV, Dish, and the national wireless broadband providers (AT&T, Verizon, and others) that have close to 100 percent reach. Indeed, Netflix and other OVDs have the ability to reach nearly 100 percent of U.S. households.
441 Free Press Petition to Deny at 19; Netflix Petition to Deny at 9-10.
442 See Implementation of Section 11(c) of the Cable Television Consumer Protection and Competition Act of 1992; Horizontal Ownership Limits, Third Report and Order, 14 FCC Rcd. 19098 ¶¶ 20-25 (1999) (“While an operator may pass a large number of homes in its franchise area, the operator could have a low penetration rate in that area due to competition from other MVPDs or other factors, thereby rendering the number of homes passed an inaccurate indicator of the operator’s market power.”), rev’d on other grounds, Time Warner Entm’t Co. v. FCC, 240 F.3d 1126 (D.C. Cir. 2001).
443 The FCC’s broadcast horizontal ownership test measures homes passed (reach) because that is a more accurate (or perhaps the only) measure that works in an industry that does not have paying end user customers but whose business model is predicated on reach for advertisers.
444 See Competitive Impact Statement, United States v. Comcast Corp., 1:11-cv-00106 (D.D.C. Jan. 18, 2011) (focusing on Comcast’s share of subscribers within various local franchise areas in describing Comcast’s share of local MVPD markets).
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But even if homes passed were a meaningful metric, it has no relevance to the Transaction, which will not reduce the number of competitive video, broadband, voice, or other service alternatives that are available to any home.445
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B. No Horizontal Harms: The Transaction Presents No Threat of Horizontal Harm in Any Relevant Market.
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Applicants have demonstrated that the Transaction presents no horizontal competitive concerns because neither TWC nor Charter currently constrains Comcast as a competitor or potential competitor in any relevant market. This is true because each firm serves different geographic areas, and no commenter seriously disputes that fact. Thus, no consumer will face a reduction in the number and quality of choices of services as a result of the Transaction, and the Transaction will not result in higher prices or lower quality. To the contrary, as discussed above, the Transaction will generate substantial efficiencies and other consumer benefits.
It is, therefore, not surprising that none of the commenters’ arguments in opposition to the Transaction is based on any reduction in horizontal competition. Instead, commenters have sought to conjure up theories and calculations designed to find some means of hypothesizing harm. But those are not only unhinged from properly defined relevant markets, they are also unsustainable under any viable economic theory. In the end, the Commission cannot find harm to competition on this record.
445 It is possible that both Comcast and TWC pass a de minimis number of homes. See Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 128 n.307.
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1.
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No Harm to Broadband Services Competition
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a.
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National “Market” Share Figures Are a Red Herring.
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As noted above, the retail broadband market is local, and Comcast and TWC (and Charter), all of which offer broadband service in discrete, non-overlapping local markets, do not compete and do not constrain one another’s retail broadband pricing.446 As Dr. Israel explains:
[C]ommenters have not advanced any direct evidence of a competitive constraint imposed by one of the merging parties on the other, or any indirect evidence of substitution between the merging parties on any dimension (either acting as sellers or buyers). As such, there is no evidence for the standard horizontal theories of harm, in which constraints imposed by one merging party prevent the other from profitably taking an action unilaterally, or taking an action in coordination with other competitors, with this constraint relaxed due to the transaction.447
The Transaction thus clearly has no impact on the local retail broadband market: no commenter has shown otherwise.
Instead, as noted above, various commenters have concocted an argument about the Transaction’s impact on the alleged national broadband “market,” arguing that it produces problematic share levels on a nationwide basis. As just discussed, however, there is no relevant national market for broadband access.448 Therefore, commenters’ various calculations of combined national “market” shares are not relevant to analysis of the Transaction’s competitive effects – either as a matter of economic theory or in the real world.
446 Given that there are no harms to broadband service competition, the broadband-related conditions proposed by some parties are unwarranted. City of New York Comments at 6-7; Los Angeles County et al. Petition to Deny at 25-26.
447 Israel Reply Decl. ¶ 37; see also Carlton Decl. ¶ 9.
448 See supra Section IV.A.1.a .
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Regardless, commenters’ calculations of Comcast’s post-transaction national share are significantly inflated – hardly a surprise given the ends-based approach of the analyses proffered. Commenters such as Netflix, Cogent, Dish, Free Press, and Public Knowledge contend that Comcast’s post-transaction national share will approach 50 percent.449 As noted above, those figures are derived from various machinations designed to reduce the broadband denominator. In fact, however, Comcast’s post-transaction share of the putative national “market” will be nowhere near that high, regardless of whether the figure is calculated based only on fixed broadband connections or, alternatively, on both fixed and wireless broadband connections. Using the most recent Commission data and the Commission’s currently applicable definition of broadband service, Comcast’s post-transaction share of fixed broadband connections will be 35.5 percent, and if wireless broadband connections are considered, its share will be as low as 15.3 percent.450 Even if the denominator is arbitrarily limited to reflect only connections with download speeds of 10 Mbps or more, Comcast’s post-transaction share will be 40 percent of fixed connections and as low as 22.5 percent of fixed and wireless connections.451
These figures represent a decline from the shares calculated based on data from only six months earlier, reflecting the rapid growth in the speeds available over both fixed and wireless broadband connections.452 And that decline also demonstrates the degree to which any estimated share number would be, at best, a static snapshot of a market that is moving faster than the data can keep up with.
449 See, e.g., Netflix Petition to Deny at 9; Dish Petition to Deny at 39-40; Free Press Petition to Deny at 19; Public Knowledge et al. Petition to Deny at 12-13; Cogent Petition to Deny at 15 n.41 (“a reasonable approximation of Comcast’s share is greater than 40%”).
450 This figure is calculated from data in the Commission’s latest Internet Access Services Report as of June 2013 and from the Applicants’ corresponding Form 477 data. A Comcast ex parte letter filed August 13 incorrectly said 15.5%; the correct number is 15.3%. See Letter from Kathryn A. Zachem, Comcast, et al., to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, FCC, at 5, MB Docket No. 14-57 (June 27, 2014).
451 As previously noted, NTIA data suggest that the availability of competitive broadband services to consumers in a local market may be more spotty than census track data indicate. However, because Applicants do not compete for broadband services in any local market, the Transaction will not affect consumer choices even at this more granular level.
452 A computation using the most recent data that was available in February 2014 yields a post-transaction nationwide share of 37.1% of fixed connections and 18.6% of fixed and wireless connections. (These figures are lower than post-transaction share figures actually calculated at the time, which assumed that 3.0 million subscribers would be divested, rather than the approximately 3.9 million subscribers that actually will be divested.) If the 10 Mbps speed threshold is used to calculate Comcast’s share post-transaction using the older data (and based on divestiture of 3.9 million subscribers), the post-transaction figures are 43.3% (fixed only) and 37.1% (fixed and wireless).
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And, as noted, switching to the 25 Mbps standard that some commenters have proposed would mostly define TWC out of the broadband business entirely and thus virtually eliminate any alleged increase in national “market” share from the Transaction about which these commenters complain, i.e., the combined company’s share of the national broadband “market” would increase by less than one percent.453 In other words, the Transaction would have only a de minimis impact on Comcast’s “national share,” rendering this argument non-transaction specific.
The bottom line remains that those numbers – which have consumed the press and which feature repeatedly in commenters’ critiques of the Transaction – have no meaning. National broadband “market” share calculations are not relevant, because the relevant market for residential high-speed Internet access service is local.
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b.
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There Will Be No Anticompetitive Concentration of Internet Backbone Services.
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No commenter suggests that the combination of Comcast and TWC’s backbone network facilities itself creates any horizontal concerns.454 Commenters appear to recognize that the Internet backbone marketplace will remain highly competitive after TWC’s limited backbone facilities are combined with Comcast’s backbone.455 Indeed, the Commission found in the Global Crossing-Level 3 transaction just three years ago that “there may be as many as 38 providers that sell transit or offer peering on a nationwide basis.”456 And in part because of this intense competition and the proliferation of different transit options offered, transit prices have dropped by over 99 percent since 1998 on a cost-per-megabit basis.457 For the foregoing reasons, the Transaction will not create any horizontal harms in the broadband market. As Dr. Carlton observes:
453 Israel Reply Decl. ¶¶ 6, 27-35 (noting, among other things, that TWC currently has fewer than one million broadband subscribers today with speeds at 25 Mbps or higher while Comcast has more than 12 million such customers). With a broadband definition set at 25 Mbps, Comcast’s share without mobile broadband increases only slightly from 54.2% to 54.9% post-Transaction, and increases only from 41.7% to 42.3% with mobile broadband included). Netflix’s claim that Dr. Israel presents unreliable data about national broadband shares is ironic, given that Netflix itself cannot decide what the proper universe of broadband subscribers should be. See Netflix Petition to Deny at 19. In Dr. Evans’ Table 7, the total number of broadband subscribers is presented as {{ }} million. Yet, in Netflix’s Petition to Deny, at 82 n.278, what is presented as Table 7 from Dr. Evans’ Declaration provides a dramatically different picture, with a total universe of broadband subscribers of {{ }} million. Netflix offers no explanation for this disparity of more than 20 million customers between its own two contemporaneous portrayals of the same marketplace.
454 Though Netflix does not allege any anticompetitive concentration of Comcast and TWC’s backbone services, it references the DOJ’s WorldCom/Sprint complaint (from 14 years ago) and the Commission’s analysis in Verizon/MCI (from nine years ago) to imply that the Transaction poses harms to the Internet backbone market. Netflix Petition to Deny at 61 n.226, 79 n.267. Those references are inapposite because the Commission just three years ago left no doubt that the Internet backbone market is highly competitive and that this competition provides sufficient protection from alleged potential harms. Global Crossing-Level 3 Order ¶¶ 25-29.
455 Cogent emphasizes that, in AT&T-MediaOne, the DOJ was concerned with the horizontal concentration of “caching” services provided to edge providers, Cogent Petition to Deny at 16, but this does not suggest any anticompetitive concern with this Transaction. The DOJ noted that caching “stores a content provider’s content at various locations throughout the country, closer to end users, thereby improving speed and performance,” and it believed that content providers needed caching services from Excite@Home and Roadrunner to ensure efficient distribution of their content. Am. Compl. ¶¶ 27-29, United States v. AT&T Corp., No. 1:00-cv-01176 (D.D.C. Sept. 27, 2000). In contrast to the situation of 14 years ago, today there is a robustly competitive field of third-party CDNs and other providers that offer caching services to content providers, and no commenter claims that the Transaction would anticompetitively reduce content providers’ choice of caching service providers.
456 Global Crossing-Level 3 Order ¶ 29.
457
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See Declaration of Kevin McElearney (“McElearney Decl.”) ¶ 3, attached as Exhibit 4.
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Because the market areas of Comcast and Time Warner do not overlap, the proposed [T]ransaction raises none of the traditional horizontal concerns from mergers in which competitors merge and gain greater pricing over consumers who are faced with elimination of one of their sources of supply.458
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2.
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No Harm to Video Programming
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a.
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Comcast’s Increased Scale as a Buyer of Programming Will Not Give Rise to Any Competitive Harm.
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Although a predictable group of parties raise predictable concerns about Comcast’s post-transaction power as a buyer of programming, none of their arguments is persuasive. Some of these parties have raised these exact same arguments in every substantial cable transaction since the last century. Most of the program buying arguments come from parties who expressly admit their own self-interested agendas, via explicit demands for carriage conditions designed to force Comcast to buy their programming, on their terms, or gain some non-market-based negotiation advantage.
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The degree to which the requests are self-serving in this instance are perhaps most starkly illustrated by the fact that soon after the Transaction was announced, many of these very programmers and several others lodged new and extravagant carriage demands directly to Comcast – demands to prematurely renegotiate existing contracts to provide more carriage and/or higher fees (even when long-term affiliation agreements remain in place), to launch channels that do not even exist or that no distributor has launched, to increase distribution of channels, to increase license fees, and the like. Just counting the reasonably quantifiable carriage demands, contract negotiations, licensing fees, and other “asks” proposed in connection with the Transaction, the demands would cost Comcast upwards of $5 billion above any reasonable projection of its programming costs over the next few years – and could result in per-customer rate increases above $4 per month. Many of these asks came with a very specific quid pro quo: if Comcast were willing to grant the request, the programmer might support the deal or stay silent; if Comcast refused, the programmer would oppose the deal or at least make negative comments. Now, many of these disappointed programmers are before the Commission, seeking often the very same windfalls as part of the formal process. The Commission should forcefully reject these extortionate, anti-consumer efforts, which clearly have nothing to do with the public interest, given so many programmers’ willingness to abandon their requests if their individual contractual demands were met.
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Even those arguments that are dressed up in more intellectual terms are ultimately no more compelling, as they rely on theories that the courts have rejected expressly and that cannot be squared with marketplace realities or economic theory. Tellingly, only three parties presenting program buying concerns (WGAW, ACA, and Entravision) even attempt to buttress their claims with economic analysis, but their economists’ reports do not withstand scrutiny and are thoroughly rebutted by Drs. Rosston and Topper.
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i.
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The Transaction Will Not Give Comcast Horizontal Market Power in Purchasing Programming, or Change the Demand for, or Supply of, Programming.
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Monopsony Claims. Multiple commenters use the word “monopsony” to describe the harms they allege will follow from Comcast’s addition of approximately seven million more subscribers after the Transaction.459 But “monopsony” power is not a relevant concept here. It is sometimes used to describe a situation where a buyer possesses “too much” power and is able to drive the price of products below a competitive level, thereby reducing output.460 There is no basis in economics, Commission and judicial precedent, or current marketplace realities to conclude that the combined company will possess such power.
First, Comcast, TWC, and Charter do not compete today for programming, notwithstanding the unsubstantiated and inaccurate assertion made by WGAW’s economist, Dr. William Comanor.461 Notably, the Merger Guidelines are concerned about monopsony power where “the merger of competing buyers is likely to lessen competition in a manner harmful to sellers.” 462 But selling to TWC or Charter today does not preclude selling to Comcast, each of which serves distinct areas, so Comcast’s acquisition of former TWC and Charter systems will not result in the purchase of fewer total inputs. Post-transaction, former TWC and Charter customers who become Comcast customers will continue to receive AMC, Discovery, ESPN, FX, TNT, and hundreds of other channels, just like they do today.
459 See, e.g., RCN et al. Petition to Deny at 19-23; Hawaiian Telcom Comments at 12-15; Entravision Comments at 12; WGAW et al. Petition to Deny at 25; see also Common Cause Comments at 3.
460 See Rosston/Topper Reply Decl. ¶ 51.
461 WGAW et al. Petition to Deny, Comanor Test. at 5.
462 U.S. Department of Justice & Federal Trade Commission, Horizontal Merger Guidelines § 12 (2010) (emphasis added).
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Second, the monopsony theory relied on by Dr. Comanor requires suppliers to have increased marginal costs of selling to other buyers. As Drs. Rosston and Topper explain, programmers have virtually no marginal costs selling to Comcast, TWC, and Charter today. Thus, the combined company cannot reduce the supplier’s price by buying less programming than Comcast, TWC, and Charter would buy individually.463
Third, even assuming arguendo that there is still some monopsony power concern with the combination of buyers that do not compete to serve customers, that concern does not apply here, because content providers cannot currently play Comcast and TWC off one another in their negotiations with the two. As Drs. Rosston and Topper explain:
Consider, for example, a TWC customer in Los Angeles whom a content provider would like to reach. Even prior to the transaction, the content provider could not urge TWC to accept its terms to carry its network in order to serve and retain the customer based on any competitive threat of carriage by Comcast because Comcast could not serve that customer. TWC’s programming purchases do not affect the content provider’s opportunity cost of selling the same exact programming to Comcast and vice versa. This implies that the combination of Comcast and TWC will not change the content provider’s negotiating position.464
Finally, and critically, the combined company will be one of many buyers of video programming, which also include satellite providers, telcos, other MSOs, and, increasingly, OVDs. The D.C. Circuit has twice concluded – in eras when there was far less competition among MVPDs (and OVDs had yet to emerge) – that there is no basis to find that a single cable operator at that ownership level presents any competitive threat to programmers.465 As the D.C. Circuit found in 2009, “[c]able operators . . . no longer have the bottleneck power over programming that concerned the Congress in 1992.”466 And, on two prior occasions, when the MVPD market was considerably less competitive than it is today, the Commission approved transactions that took Comcast to approximately the same share of the MVPD marketplace as the current Transaction will – in the AT&T Broadband (2002) and Adelphia (2006) transactions.
463 See Rosston/Topper Reply Decl. ¶¶ 51-52.
465 See Comcast Corp. v. FCC, 579 F.3d at 8; see also Time Warner Entm’t Co. v. FCC, 240 F.3d 1126, 1136 (D.C. Cir. 2001).
466 See Comcast Corp. v. FCC, 579 F.3d at 8.
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Today’s marketplace realities confirm the wisdom of those decisions and demonstrate that there can be no question of Comcast dominating the market for buying programming. Simply put, the programming marketplace is very healthy and expanding, as it has been since the D.C. Circuit first rejected the Commission’s horizontal ownership cap in 2001. Retransmission consent fees have increased, as have the fees that MVPDs pay to cable programming networks, and advertising revenues are rebounding. And the recent explosion in distribution platforms brought about by the emergence of online video has led to new distribution opportunities for programmers.
Netflix alone is reportedly spending between $3 and $4 billion this year on content – much of that to obtain exclusive windows of broadcast and cable network programming. OVDs have not only created new platforms and windows for programming traditionally sold first to MVPDs, but they have also spurred the development of new programming.467 Amazon, Hulu, and Netflix have created dozens of new programming series between them.468 YouTube has invested heavily in launching channels with professional content.469 As the CEO of Rabbit TV recently described, not only are “diginets . . . who are looking for distribution” very interested in OTT distribution on the Rabbit TV platform, but Rabbit TV is “add[ing] our own channels where people are coming to us who are content creators – people who want to do the Beer Channel or the Quilter’s Channel. . . . [O]ne aspect of our business is going in at midtier channel development and interestingly enough, between the diginets and that, we’re seeing a lot [of] movement from people that have niche channels that they are trying to develop.”470 Nothing about the Transaction impairs these marketplace dynamics, and Comcast’s planned upgrades to the acquired systems – both on the video and broadband side – are likely to facilitate them.471
467 Samantha Bookman, A Closer Look at the Billions of Dollars Netflix, Amazon and Hulu Are Spending on Original Content, Fierce Online Video, June 4, 2014, http://www.fierceonlinevideo.com/special-reports/closer-look-billions-dollars-netflix-amazon-and-hulu-are-spending-original. Comcast just signed a deal to pay $2 million per episode for the exclusive online rights to syndicated distribution of The Blacklist.
468 See, e.g., Joan Solsman, Amazon Renews ‘Alpha House,’ Picks Up 6 Series, CNET, Mar. 31, 2014, http://www.cnet.com/news/amazon-renews-alpha-house-picks-up-6-new-series/; Meredith Blake, Hulu Expands Original Content, Boasts 6 Million Hulu Plus Subscribers, L.A. Times, Apr. 30, 2014, available at http://www.latimes.com/entertainment/tv/showtracker/la-et-st-hulu-upfront-originals-6-million-hulu-plus-subscribers-20140430-story.html; Lacey Rose, Netflix’s Original Content VP on Development Plans, Pilots, Late-Night and Rival HBO (Q&A), The Hollywood Reporter, June 18, 2014, available at http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/netflixsoriginal-content-vp-development-712293.
469 See A War To Watch: YouTube Takes On Television, NPR, Jan. 12, 2012, http://www.npr.org/2012/01/12/145099987/a-war-to-watch-youtube-takes-on-television.
470 Sarah Barry James, Rabbit TV Ready to Pay Retrans, Take OTT World by Storm, SNL Kagan, Aug. 25, 2014.
471 Nor is there any merit to Entravision’s claim that Comcast will be able to exercise monopsony power over Hispanic programming. Entravision’s economist, Dr. John Kwoka, submits a table of the top 20 DMAs with significant Hispanic households and claims that Comcast “will control fully 39.2 percent (on a weighted average basis) of subscribers in these DMAs that account for a large percentage of all Hispanic viewers throughout the country.” Entravision Comments, Kwoka Decl. at 14-15. As an initial matter, this calculation based on selective data bears no resemblance to national share calculations. Moreover, even if the combined company will serve more than 30 percent of US Hispanic MVPD households (a claim Dr. Kwoka does not make), there is no reason to conclude that the Commission’s horizontal ownership analysis (which was flawed on its own terms) can or should be applied on a population segment basis. In any event, as Drs. Rosston and Topper explain, national Hispanic cable networks appear to be viable with only a few million subscribers – well below the Commission’s own flawed old viability threshold of 19 million. Rosston/Topper Reply Decl. ¶¶ 63-66. There is no basis to conclude that the combined company could unilaterally drive a national Hispanic cable network from the market. And Dr. Kwoka’s analysis does not take into account the fact that much Hispanic programming is broadcast over the air.
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Failing to show as a matter of economics that Comcast will gain monopsony buying power post-transaction, WGAW and Dr. Comanor resort to the assertion that Comcast already exercises monopsony power – and try to show this with evidence that purportedly demonstrates that Comcast carries fewer programming networks than other MVPDs, ultimately harming programming producers. In their view, this shows that Comcast has already managed to force programmers to break their bundles and sell fewer channels to Comcast – a trend that they assert would spread to the TWC markets post-transaction.472
This contention is simply not true. Leaving aside all the theoretical flaws and the mischaracterization of Commission data,473 the plain fact is that, as Drs. Rosston and Topper conclusively demonstrate, Comcast carries more programming networks (including more independent networks) than TWC and other cable companies. Analyzing Rovi channel lineup data on a headend basis across MSOs, Drs. Rosston and Topper find that, among national cable networks tracked by SNL Kagan, Comcast carries 110 networks unaffiliated with NBCUniversal on average per headend, and 148 on any headend. Moreover, Comcast carries 38 independent networks tracked by SNL Kagan on average per headend, and 74 independent networks per headend.474 These numbers are all higher than any other MSO – hardly the hallmark of a monopsonist.475 Even applying Dr. Comanor’s simple channel count methodology to current data shows Comcast carries more channels than most other major MVPDs.476 In fact, Comcast’s medium-tier package is closest to Verizon’s in terms of total channel counts, and is slightly less expensive at that.477
472 WGAW et al. Petition to Deny, Comanor Test. at 17-18; see also Independent Film and Television Alliance (“IFTA”) Comments at 7.
473 In arguing that Comcast has reduced “quantity” as predicted by a traditional monopsony model, Dr. Comanor wrongfully measures quantity solely as the number of channels carried on medium-tier packages offered by Comcast and other wireline distributors. Mere channel counts are an improper measure of an MVPD’s output and fail to consider, among other factors, channel quality and the likelihood of pro-consumer efficiency tradeoffs, such as carrying fewer networks to devote more limited bandwidth to broadband or HD channels. Furthermore Dr. Comanor’s data do not take into account the fact that, according to the 2013 Video Competition Report he cites, Comcast offers a medium-tier package at a price significantly lower than TWC, Cox, Charter, Verizon and AT&T. See Rosston/Topper Reply Decl. ¶¶ 58-61.
474 Id. ¶ 86 & tbl.III.B.1.
475 The difference between this figure and the 160 independent cable network figure provided elsewhere herein is that Drs. Rosston and Topper limited their universe to networks tracked by SNL Kagan (which does not include many smaller networks reflected in Comcast’s own survey of its channel lineups).
476 Rosston/Topper Reply Decl. ¶ 62.
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Post-transaction, the combined company will face the same tremendous competitive pressures from MVPD and OVD rivals that Comcast, TWC, and Charter do today, and Comcast will need to continue to deliver high-quality programming to its customers. In other words, if current history is any guide, there is no reason to believe that Comcast, post-transaction, would suddenly be inclined to buy less programming, to the detriment of programming producers.478
Bargaining Power Claims. Other commenters have focused on bargaining power rather than monopsony power, e.g., the enhanced ability to negotiate lower programming prices, or better terms, without necessarily diminishing programming output.479 Conceptually, this is at least a relevant argument, but as Drs. Rosston and Topper show, the Transaction is unlikely to affect the relative bargaining position of Comcast and content companies in any material fashion: “Comcast’s larger size raises the stakes for both sides, but there is no gain of relative leverage for either side. And because content providers have a large open field to sell their programming, Comcast will not gain leverage through any bottleneck power in program buying.”480
478 Indeed, as noted, Comcast’s share of the MVPD market after the Transaction will be approximately the same as it was after the AT&T Broadband (2002) and Adelphia (2006) transactions, and below the Commission’s prior 30 percent cap. There certainly is no evidence that, at that size, Comcast began to buy less programming – or that its carriage decisions somehow depressed the overall programming supply. Thus, while WGAW acknowledges that the programming industry is experiencing a Golden Age, see WGAW et al. Petition to Deny at 29, it does not address the fact that the plethora of high-quality programming available on cable television today (including an explosion of scripted programs across numerous networks) has not been impaired in any way by Comcast’s size over the past twelve years. To the contrary, as a result of Comcast’s investments in video and network and substantial upgrades to the AT&T Broadband and Adelphia systems, Comcast has helped facilitate that Golden Age by carrying not only more networks generally, but more diverse and independent programming; more diverse sources of news programming; more Spanish-language and Latino programming; more multicultural and ethnic programming; more live sports programming; and more HD programming. If anything, Comcast’s planned upgrades to the acquired systems will once again unlock new opportunities for programmers.
479 See, e.g., ACA Comments at 24-25; AAI Comments at 20-21; CFA et al. Petition to Deny at 18-20; Dish Petition to Deny at 85-87; Entravision Comments at 11-12; Hargray Comments at 4.
480 Rosston/Topper Decl. ¶¶ 190-192; see also Rosston/Topper Reply Decl. ¶ 53.
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Some commenters wrongly assert that the modest programming cost savings that Comcast initially projected demonstrates that Comcast already exercises significant buyer power and will increase its bargaining power as a result of the Transaction.481 But these commenters miss three key facts. First, the programming costs savings over a three-year period that Comcast preliminarily estimated are very small, especially relative to the companies’ large programming budgets.482 Second, even if one were to ignore other ways in which this modest level of cost savings could be achieved – i.e., by ascribing it all to contract price differentials between Comcast and TWC, instead of to other potential differences in the companies’ programming cost profile – then, as Dr. Israel shows, this still implies that the “difference in average affiliate fee rates between Comcast and TWC is very small on a per customer per month per network basis.”483 As Drs. Rosston and Topper explain, TWC already qualifies as a large MVPD, and so it is not surprising that its rates are generally comparable to those of a larger MVPD.484 Third, and perhaps most important, Comcast did not predict any additional savings – that is, no incremental discounts from programmers due to enhanced bargaining leverage – from the Transaction.
481 See, e.g., AAI Comments at 20-21; ACA Comments at 24-25; CenturyLink Comments at 13-15; Cincinnati Bell Extended Territories LLC (“CBET”) Comments at 7-8; Cogent Petition to Deny at 60-66; Dish Petition to Deny at 83-85; Entravision Comments at 9; Frontier Communications Corp. (“Frontier”) Petition to Deny at 7-8; Hargray Comments at 4; Hawaiian Telcom Comments at 12-15; IFTA Comments at 3-4; ITTA Petition to Deny at 11-12; NTCA-The Rural Broadband Association (“NTCA”) Petition to Deny at 7-8; Public Knowledge et al. Petition to Deny at 40-41; RCN et al. Petition to Deny at 19-22; Sinclair Petition to Deny at 2-3; Public Knowledge et al. Petition to Deny at 6; Tennis Channel Comments at 13-15; WGAW et al. Petition to Deny at 35-37.
482 See Rosston/Topper Reply Decl. ¶ 55.
483 See Israel Reply Decl. ¶ 158.
484 See Rosston/Topper Reply Decl. ¶ 56.
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For these reasons, comparisons to the relative cost savings that AT&T projects it will enjoy when combining with DirecTV, to which some commenters point,485 are largely inapt. By acquiring DirecTV, AT&T will be increasing its subscriber total by more than 300 percent (i.e., going from approximately six million to approximately 26 million subscribers – just slightly smaller than Comcast will be).486 In contrast, Comcast’s post-transaction subscriber total will increase by approximately 32 percent (i.e., going from approximately 22 million to approximately 29 million subscribers). Notably, AT&T too does not predict any additional favorable pricing beyond what DirecTV already enjoys, as it has recently reaffirmed,487 which supports rather than undermines the conclusion that an already large MVPD (like Comcast or DirecTV) is unlikely to gain any significant bargaining power by getting somewhat larger – illustrating simply the law of diminishing returns.
As Drs. Rosston and Topper’s and Dr. Israel’s analyses show, the relative size differences between Comcast and TWC do not matter much in terms of ability to achieve favorable pricing.488 There may well be differences between smaller MVPDs and MVPDs the size of TWC, DirecTV, or Comcast, but major price differentials appear to be flattening out with the industry moving to more standard pricing. And this makes sense. In today’s highly competitive MVPD market, where switching is increasingly easy, it would not be advisable for a programmer to create too much differential between one MVPD’s prices and another’s in the same market, since that could drive subscribers to switch to the MVPD with lower wholesale pricing (and result in less revenue for the programmer), all else being equal.489
485 See CenturyLink Comments at 13-17; IFTA Comments at 3-4; Frontier Petition to Deny at 4.
486 Applications of AT&T Inc. and DirecTV for Consent to Assign or Transfer Control of Licenses and Authorizations MB Docket No. 14-90, at 13.
487 Remarks of John Stankey, Group President and Chief Strategy Officer, AT&T Inc., Bank of America Merrill Lynch Media, Communications and Entertainment Conference (Sept. 16, 2014), (“And that savings that we get in normalizing that 6 million subscriber base, re-rating those customers to a content structure that DirecTV has already achieved on their base, nothing more than that, it is just the 6 million AT&T subscribers re-rating them to the DirecTV base.”) (emphasis added).
488 Rosston/Topper Reply Decl. ¶ 56.
489 Id. Thus, there is no basis to claims that small MVPDs (and in particular, small rural MVPDs) are at a particular disadvantage with respect to programming costs and are uniquely vulnerable to competitive harm. See, e.g., Horry Telephone Cooperative Comments at 9-10; ACA Comments at 21-23; CenturyLink Comments at 17-19; COMPTEL Petition to Deny at 28-29; ITTA Petition to Deny at 11-12. To the extent these parties claim they face other competitive disadvantages as compared to larger MVPDs, these issues are not transaction-related and should not be considered in this proceeding. Moreover, the merits of such claims (or, more precisely, the lack thereof) have been fully ventilated in still-pending, industry-wide proceedings. See., e.g., Revision of the Commission’s Program Access Rules, Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, 27 FCC Rcd. 3413 (2012).
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WGAW’s expert, Dr. Comanor, asserts that programmers are worried about their leverage relative to distributors.490 It is natural to worry about maintaining and growing one’s revenue in any dynamic marketplace, but there is abundant evidence that programmers have gained and are continuing to gain bargaining leverage vis-à-vis MVPDs. As Professor Larry Downes observes: “For the most popular produced content, MVPDs have little leverage but to accept the terms offered. And while the FCC finds that overall the average price per channel has declined, the number of channels continues to expand, on average from 44 to 150 since 1995.”491 Comcast’s programming costs have risen by more than 10 percent annually, on average, over the past 10 years, while Comcast’s consumer pricing has increased at about half that rate.492 The CBS-TWC, Fox-Cablevision, and Disney-Dish disputes all showed fairly clearly which side appears to have the upper hand in negotiations.493 And Les Moonves, President and CEO of CBS, recently affirmed a bullish view of programmers’ bargaining position: “Nobody can exist without the CBS content on their air. Yes, Comcast is going to get bigger. AT&T is going to get bigger. We’re going to have to negotiate with both of them. They can’t live without our content. They can’t live without the NFL, they can’t live without The Big Bang Theory, they can’t live without NCIS.”494
490 WGAW et al. Petition to Deny, Comanor Test. at 16-17.
491 Larry Downes Comments at 7.
492 See Oversight Hearing on Competition in the Video and Broadband Markets: The Proposed Merger of Comcast and Time Warner Cable: Hearing Before the H. Comm. on the Judiciary, Subcommittee on Regulatory Reform, Commercial and Antitrust Law, 113th Cong. (May 8, 2014) (Testimony of David L. Cohen, Executive Vice President, Comcast, at 3124-3129).
493 See, e.g., Alex Sherman, Dish Extends Disney Deadline to Avoid ESPN, ABC Blackout, Bloomberg, Oct. 1, 2013, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-10-01/dish-reaches-extension-with-disney-avoiding-espn-abc-blackout.html; Bill Carter, CBS Returns, Triumphant, to Cable Box, N.Y. Times, Sept. 2, 2013, http://www.nytimes.com/2013/09/03/business/media/cbs-and-time-warner-cable-end-contract-dispute.html (“The outcome underscored the leverage that the owners of important television content . . . retain over distributors like cable systems. . . . Mr. Bank said that, if anything, the deal may make it easier for networks to press cable and other distributors like satellite systems to squeeze out more favorable fees.”); David Lieberman, NO DEAL! CBS And Showtime Go Dark on Time Warner Cable, Deadline, Aug. 2, 2013, http://deadline.com/2013/08/no-deal-cbs-goes-dark-on-time-warner-cable-555649/ (“TWC says ‘CBS has refused to have a productive discussion. It’s become clear that no matter how much time we give them, they’re not willing to come to reasonable terms.’”); Brian Stelter & Bill Carter, Fox-Cablevision Dispute May Obstruct Customers’ View of World Series, N.Y. Times, Oct. 24, 2010, http://www.nytimes.com/2010/10/25/business/media/25cable.html (“Cablevision . . . blamed News Corporation for trying to ‘extort unreasonable and unfair fee increases.’”).
494 Interview by David Farber, CNBC, with Les Moonves, President & CEO, CBS Corp. on “Closing Bell” (Sept. 10, 2014), available at http://www.cnbc.com/id/101989964#.
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Supposed Threat to “Independent Voices.” Some commenters, including TheBlaze, Entravision, Tennis Channel, Veria Living, and others,495 suggest that the Transaction will in particular threaten “independent voices” (to use Discovery Communications’ term, in a letter filed after the August 25 comment date).496 But as noted above, Comcast carries over 160 truly independent networks under the Commission’s own definition, including many small, diverse, and international ones, and six of every seven networks carried by Comcast are unaffiliated with the company. It is indisputable that Comcast has launched or expanded the carriage of over 120 independent networks since 2011.497
495 See TheBlaze Comments at 18-21; Entravision Comments at 2-3, 9-10; Tennis Channel Comments at 12-17; Veria Living Comments at 1-2; see also Parents Television Council et al. Comments at 5; AAI Comments at 16-19.
496 Discovery’s concerns were conveyed in the form of a September 4 ex parte letter disclosing a September 3 meeting with the Transaction Team. See Letter from Catherine Carroll, VP – Public Policy & Corporate/Government Affairs, Discovery Communications, to Marlene H. Dortch, Secretary, FCC, at 1 (Sept. 4. 2014).
497 See Response to Request No. 31 (listing the networks launched since January 2011); At a Tipping Point: Consumer Choice, Consolidation and the Future Video Marketplace: Hearing Before the S. Comm. on Commerce, Science & Transp., Draft Tr. 60:2-21 (July 16, 2014) (Testimony of David L. Cohen, Executive Vice President, Comcast Corp.).
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Other commenters voice concern about the combined company’s increased presence in markets serving African-American and Hispanic populations, claiming that Comcast will be “the only significant cable outlet in approximately 98 percent of all African-American communities in the country.”498 As detailed above in Section III.F.2, Comcast has served these populations extremely well to date, and welcomes the opportunity that the Transaction provides through added scale and increased geographic rationalization to serve them even more effectively. But there is no transaction-specific harm with Comcast increasing its presence in diverse communities. Two of Comcast’s major video rivals, DirecTV and Dish Network, will continue to serve virtually 100 percent of these populations, and Verizon and AT&T (especially if combined with DirecTV) will serve very significant portions as well. These and other MVPDs will impose substantial pressure on the combined company to compete vigorously for diverse customers’ loyalty.
498 My Christian TV, Eden, Inc. (“My Christian TV”) Petition to Deny at 1. This 98% calculation is not remotely reliable. Notably, Comcast has never served several markets with significant African-American populations such as St. Louis, Cleveland, and New Orleans, among many others, and after the Transaction, will no longer serve Detroit. Similarly, NHMC claims that Comcast will serve “up to 90 percent of Latino pay television subscribers.” NHMC Comments at 3. That too is overstated – Comcast estimates that after the Transaction, it will serve markets that include approximately 78 percent of the country’s Hispanic households (not counting Puerto Rico in the denominator), though of course many of those households will not be Comcast customers; see also discussion supra note 472.
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It is particularly ironic that Discovery has appointed itself to the role of tribune for “independent voices,” given its decidedly non-independent marketplace position as “The #1 Pay-TV Programmer in the World”499 and its longstanding affiliation with significant cable industry players including the Miron family and Dr. John Malone.500 Indeed, the letterhead on which Discovery filed its September 4 ex parte letter features icons of 47 distinct Discovery programming networks or Internet assets, and Discovery’s market capitalization at over $25 billion – growing by almost $10 billion in the last three years alone – hardly reflects that of an entity that is not enjoying programmers’ ascendant bargaining position.501 It is precisely that leverage – enhanced by the regulatory gamesmanship opportunities presented by the Transaction – that Discovery has brought to bear when it has repeatedly demanded in private that Comcast {{ }} – demands to which, Discovery warned, Comcast must acquiesce as the price for Discovery’s non-opposition to the Transaction. And Discovery’s repeated public forecasts that the Transaction review will still be ongoing in the Summer of 2015502 are no doubt influenced by the fact that, although Discovery’s carriage agreements with Comcast {{ }}. Discovery also has sought, in these private sessions, to pressure Comcast to agree to void Comcast’s contractual right {{ }} – which, if accepted by (or forced upon) Comcast, would frustrate Comcast’s ability to make rational decisions that are designed to best serve its customers rather than line Discovery’s pockets.
499 Discovery Communications, Discovery, http://corporate.discovery.com/ (last visited Sept. 17, 2014).
500 Robert Miron is the Chairman of Discovery’s board; and other board members include Dr. John Malone and Steven Miron. Discovery Communications, Discovery, http://corporate.discovery.com/leadership/ (last visited Sept. 17, 2014).
501 See SNL Kagan, Discovery Communications Company Profile (2014).
502 See Remarks of Andy Warren, CFO & Senior EVP, Discovery Communications, Inc., Bank of America Merrill Lynch Media, Communications and Entertainment Conference, Beverly Hills, CA (Sept. 16, 2014); Remarks of David Zaslav, President & CEO, Discovery Communications, Inc., Goldman Sachs Communacopia Conference, New York, NY (Sept. 10, 2014).
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Notably, in comments filed just over two years ago in which Discovery sought to downplay its multiple ties to the cable industry as any basis for heightened regulatory concern (and rightly so), Discovery warned against precisely what it is advocating for here, namely, “unwarranted . . . intrusion[s] into the program carriage marketplace.” Indeed, in the same comments, Discovery approvingly noted that “[t]he Commission should be wary of adopting additional unnecessary regulations because they will increase the likelihood of illegitimate litigation, inevitably distort marketplace negotiations, massively increase costs and burdens, and interfere with the editorial discretion of MVPDs.”503 These comments aptly highlight the self-serving nature of Discovery’s recent change of heart. Yet Discovery still cannot keep its story straight, telling the Commission a few weeks ago about Comcast’s “enhanced position to impose price, terms, and conditions on programmers that are overly favorable to MVPDs”504 – while telling investors just last week that Discovery has had “a lot of good and very healthy discussions with Comcast”; indeed, Discovery’s CFO allowed that Comcast is “obviously a hugely important distributor for us and I know that we’re a very, very important content provider for them. We’re very optimistic that something will come out of it that makes sense for both parties.”505 The “it” here, of course, should be private negotiations conducted between parties in search of marketplace agreements – not cynical and opportunistic use of the Commission’s resources in an effort to leverage a better deal.
503 Discovery Reply Comments, MB Docket Nos. 11-131 & 07-42 at 3 n.2 (citing and quoting Comments of Comcast).
504 Discovery Letter at 1. Discovery’s other menu of concerns about a post-Transaction Comcast – about MFNs, device and equipment issues, and advertising advantages – while they may all be important points for Discovery’s negotiations with Comcast, are equally meritless as transaction-specific policy issues, for reasons explained more fully below. See discussions infra Sections IV.B.2.a.iii (MFN discussion), IV.B.4 (device and equipment discussion), IV.D (advertising discussion).
505 Remarks of Andy Warren, CFO & Senior EVP, Discovery, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Media, Communications and Entertainment Conference, Beverly Hills, CA, Tr. at 10 (Sept. 16, 2014).
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Discovery’s and others programmers’ publicly voiced concerns on this docket ring especially hollow when it is undisputed that programming costs are the single greatest cost-driver for MVPD service, and Comcast at its current size has been far from immune from this trend.506 But if Comcast were able to obtain slightly more favorable pricing or carriage terms from programmers relative to what Comcast and TWC each could do separately, this would enhance consumer welfare, contrary to what certain commenters claim.507 As Drs. Rosston and Topper explain: “[B]asic economics teaches that changes in marginal cost will be passed on in full or in part to consumers, even for a monopolist (which Comcast is not).”508
Indeed, it is hard to see the public interest harm that some commenters like RCN seek to draw from the claim that Comcast might achieve lower programming prices and thus discount its rates to consumers.509 To the contrary: in the unlikely event that the Transaction leads to a material dent in the pace of increase of Comcast’s programming costs, slowing or moderating the pace of increase of Comcast’s retail pricing would be an unequivocal consumer benefit.
506 See discussion infra Section V.B (noting that between 2004 and 2013, Comcast’s programming costs rose 120 percent, five times the rate of inflation, but that Comcast’s prices to customers during this same period rose at about half that rate).
507 See, e.g., RCN et al. Petition to Deny at 22. There is no credible claim that Comcast will engage in predatory pricing (classically defined as discounting below cost) in order to drive a competitor from the market – a strategy that, in any event, is illegal and that the Supreme Court has found would be highly unlikely to succeed. See, e.g., Brooke Group Ltd. v. Brown & Williamson Tobacco Corp., 509 U.S. 209, 227 (1993) (“remark[ing] upon the general implausibility of predatory pricing”); Matsushita Elec. Indus. Co., Ltd. v. Zenith Radio Corp., 475 U.S. 574, 588-90 (1986) (“[a] predatory pricing conspiracy is by nature speculative. . . . For this reason, there is consensus among commentators that predatory pricing schemes are rarely tried, and even more rarely successful. . . . These observations apply even to predatory pricing by a single firm seeking monopoly power.”) (emphasis in original).
508 Rosston/Topper Reply Decl. ¶ 70. And no MVPD in today’s marketplace is a monopolist.
509 See, e.g., RCN et al. Petition to Deny at 22; ACA Comments at 21-22; CenturyLink Comments at 21-23; Frontier Petition to Deny at 3; Hawaiian Telcom Comments at 12-15.
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Finally, some commenters advance the theory that any enhanced ability Comcast may have to secure lower prices from programmers will result in other MVPDs, ranging in size from Dish to Grande Communications, having to pay higher prices, as programmers seek to make up the loss.510 This argument defies logic, and it evaporates upon inspection.
As Drs. Rosston and Topper explain, there is no reason or basis in economics to conclude that, because a programmer makes additional price and terms concessions to one distributor, it will suddenly have the ability to extract more aggressive terms and conditions from other distributors. The fallacy here is that this argument assumes that programmers are leaving money on the table today when negotiating with MVPDs; it necessarily implies that programmers could have extracted higher prices from small MVPDs but chose not to do so because of the sums the larger MVPDs are paying. Like any good capitalists, programmers negotiate for the highest rates the market will bear from every single MVPD. Thus, even if Comcast were somehow able to negotiate lower programming rates, that would in no way shift up the price the rest of the market is willing to bear (i.e., that other MVPDs are willing to pay for such programming).
While ACA’s economic expert, Dr. Biglaiser, makes a half-hearted attempt to give this theory some heft with a new “market analysts” hypothesis – namely, that programmers need to meet the revenue expectations they predict to Wall Street – he advances no credible evidence or logical story to support this hypothesis. As Drs. Rosston and Topper show, among other defects, this theory “requires content providers not to want to exceed Wall Street expectations and not to maximize profits when there is an easy mechanism to do so.”511 That is clearly not how the market works. And, notwithstanding Dish’s vocal support for this argument, Dish’s economist is notably silent on the topic.512 Accordingly, this theory and these arguments should be given no weight – a conclusion that also applies generally to Dish’s newly minted and utterly meritless “choke point” theory.
510 See ACA Comments at 24-25; Dish Petition to Deny at 86; Hargray Comments at 4; RCN et al. Petition to Deny at 24; CBET Comments at 8; COMPTEL Petition to Deny at 31; Frontier Petition to Deny at 7-8; ITTA Petition to Deny at 11-12; NTCA Petition to Deny at 7.
511 Rosston/Topper Reply Decl. ¶ 80.
512 RCN merely parrots the allegation. See RCN et al. Petition to Deny at 24. RCN notes that programmers have the incentive now to maximize profit, and claims that as a basis for the theory that they will extract higher prices from smaller MVPDs, but RCN does not grasp the issue that this also explains the fact that these programmers are already acting in a profit-maximizing way with respect to smaller MVPDs.
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ii.
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Comcast Alone Cannot Determine the Viability of Programming Networks.
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Certain commenters claim that the combined company will be able to determine unilaterally the fate of programming networks. Professor Scott Hemphill of Columbia University states well the correct response:
[P]ost-merger Comcast lacks the requisite scale [to cause disproportionate negative consequences to a programmer]. If we take as a starting point the [FCC’s] previously expressed view on this subject, a video distributor must have more than 30% of traditional video subscribers to pose such a risk. But the FCC’s view was likely too cautious when it was reached in 2007; indeed, it was rejected by the D.C. Circuit for understating the degree of competition in video markets. It is surely too conservative today. Among other developments, the rise of online video provides opportunities for programmers to reach viewers without selling their content to a traditional distributor. This transaction, which results in a share of traditional video distribution slightly less than 30%, is therefore unlikely to be of a sufficient size to make a meaningful difference in this respect.513
As discussed above, programmers have many outlets, and that will remain true post-transaction. (In fact, after the Divestiture Transactions, programmers will have a new, substantial MVPD on which to seek carriage – GreatLand Connections – that will not be controlled or managed in any way by Comcast.). For MVPD distribution alone, programmers will have the opportunity to be distributed to more than 70 million MVPD households through MVPDs other than Comcast (using an approximate universe of 100 million total). As Drs. Rosston and Topper explain, the minimum viable scale for a network to succeed is likely much smaller than the minimum viable scale of 19 million MVPD subscribers (which is certainly too high, under current competitive dynamics) that the Commission calculated back in 2007. Drs. Rosston and Topper concluded that a programming network “would need to achieve a penetration rate of just 27 percent in the open field of 70 million households to reach the minimum viable scale of 19 million customers (27 percent = 19 million / 70 million) if it were not carried by Comcast.”514 There is no reason to conclude, even under the Commission’s theory, that minimum viable scale has increased since 2007. That is especially true in light of the significant marketplace developments since that time, including growth in the telco video business, and an explosion in the number, size, and viability of OVD platforms, which (as noted) creates an entirely new outlet for program launches and success.
513 C. Scott Hemphill (“Hemphill”) Comments at 4.
514 Rosston/Topper Decl. ¶ 187.
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Some commenters argue that, if Comcast stands in the shoes of TWC with respect to the services it provides to Bright House Networks (including program buying), that will increase programmers’ risk of harm from the Transaction by increasing the post-transaction company’s leverage even more.515 Even if one were to attribute Bright House’s subscribers to Comcast (after divesting approximately 3.9 million customers), this would result in the company having (at most) a 31 percent share of MVPD subscribers – an immaterial difference as compared to approximately 29 percent. If Comcast is attributed with approximately 31 million subscribers (at most), then using the Rosston/Topper methodology described above, a programmer would only need to achieve a penetration rate of 28 percent in the open field of approximately 68 million MVPD households (28 percent = 19 million / 69 million). Thus, an additional 2.1 million video subscribers served by Bright House does not change the competitive analysis.516
515 See, e.g., ACA Comments at 23-25; CenturyLink Comments at 24-56. CenturyLink’s concerns regarding Midcontinent Communications are likewise unjustified. See id. While Midcontinent has the right to purchase third-party programming under (and subject to the terms of) Comcast’s programming agreements, Comcast does not manage or control the Midcontinent systems; rather, they are controlled and managed by Midcontinent Communications Investor, LLC, which is a subsidiary of Midcontinent Media, Inc.
516 Herring Broadcasting’s AWE network (f/k/a WealthTV) is a case in point. Although Mr. Herring has previously been adjudicated to be not credible and unreliable as a witness in FCC proceedings, the viability of his network is not in question. See Herring Broad., Inc. d/b/a WealthTV v. Time Warner Cable, Inc, et al., Recommended Decision of Chief Administrative Law Judge Richard L. Sippel, 24 FCC Rcd. 12967 ¶ 44 n.179 (2009); Herring Broad., Inc. d/b/a WealthTV v. Time Warner Cable, Inc., et al., Memorandum Opinion and Order, 26 FCC Rcd. 8971 ¶ 30 (2011). Mr. Herring’s network survives – even thrives – despite not being carried on Comcast or TWC systems, or on DirecTV, Dish, Cox, or Cablevision. WealthTV has survived for ten years and counting – twice the time assumed by the FCC for its minimum viable scale model that formed the basis of the vacated 30% horizontal ownership cap. Comcast Corp. v. FCC, 579 F.3d at 4. In fact, WealthTV has benefited precisely from the growth of telcos since 2004 – something that the FCC did not even consider in its viability analysis in 2007. And WealthTV also demonstrates the alternative that programmers have – selling their programming “over the top” on an a la carte basis, and being streamed via Roku and other third-party devices. Herring Broadcasting filed four letters in MB Docket No. 14-57 commenting on the Transaction and proposing a variety of conditions, as discussed further below. Herring Broadcasting Comments (Letter 1) addressed Bright House; Herring Broadcasting Comments (Letter 2) addressed iN Demand; Herring Broadcasting Comments (Letter 3) addressed carriage of a national cable news network; and Herring Broadcasting Comments (Letter 4) addressed carriage of a national cable network.
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Other commenters try to make the viability argument with a local or regional focus, rather than a national one. But there is no reason to conclude that Comcast can shut out programming from reaching subscribers in particular local markets. While Comcast may have somewhat increased shares in certain local RSN markets as a result of the Transaction, the shares are not much higher relative to existing shares of the largest of Comcast, TWC, or Charter today and, therefore, the Transaction will not affect local or regional programmers’ ability to distribute their programming.517
There is equally no merit to the claim that the combined company’s presence in the top 10 or top 20 DMAs creates a bottleneck for national programmers, as Tennis Channel and others wrongly assert.518 Even assuming for the sake of argument that a national programming network like Tennis Channel needs carriage in a certain number of top 10 DMAs to remain viable – and improperly and artificially restricting the analysis to this narrow universe – Comcast’s post-transaction average penetration in the top 10 DMAs will be 39.9 percent (weighted proportional to population). In other words, there would be an open field of 60.1 percent available solely through other MVPDs even in just these top 10 DMAs. Tennis Channel – far from an independent network, since it is owned by both DirecTV and Dish Network – can occupy a significant amount of that shelf space simply by being carried on broadly penetrated tiers by its owners alone (including an enlarged AT&T-DirecTV, which will be almost the same size as a post-transaction Comcast). From the standpoint of the top 20 DMAs, following the Divestiture Transactions, Comcast will operate in 16 of the top 20 DMAs – the same number that Comcast operates in today (although the makeup of those DMAs will differ). Comcast will no longer have a presence in the Detroit, Minneapolis-St. Paul, or Cleveland DMAs. Thus, the open field is even wider here from this standpoint – at 65.7 percent weighted for population. In short, programmers will have significant other outlets in these DMAs. Dish and DirecTV are in all 20 of the top 20 DMAs, and each or both of Verizon and AT&T are in all 16 DMAs that the combined company will serve (as are other MVPDs, including overbuilders). And OVDs are emerging competitors everywhere.
517 Rosston/Topper Decl. ¶¶ 206-208; Rosston/Topper Supplemental Decl. ¶¶ 43-49.
518 See Tennis Channel Comments at 13-14; COMPTEL Petition to Deny at 17-18; Senator Franken Comments at 7-8; Sinclair Petition to Deny at 13-14. Contrary to some parties’ claims, DMAs are not relevant competitive markets for MVPD services; they are just Nielsen constructs for rating measurement purposes. Dr. Comanor’s claim that Comcast and TWC compete with one another in New York, Kansas City, and Louisville is inaccurate. Though the two companies operate in certain of the same DMAs, they serve distinct geographic areas.
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iii.
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The Transaction Will Not Give Comcast Greater Incentive or Ability to Impose Non-Market Based Contract Terms.
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Various commenters assert that the Transaction will give Comcast greater incentive and ability to impose MFN provisions and provisions restricting certain types of online distribution (the latter commonly referred to as “alternative distribution methods” or ADM provisions).519 These claims are meritless – and are a transparent attempt to avoid the normal functioning of market-based negotiations. As an initial matter, MFN provisions are procompetitve and pro-consumer, in that they guarantee that an MVPD’s customers will not be asked to pay more than the market price, or will not be deprived of additional opportunities – on fair market terms – to enjoy programming in new windows. MFNs also promote Comcast’s willingness to take a chance on new networks and to enter into long-term arrangements, thus providing both Comcast and these networks with some mutual contractual certainty. The Commission has recognized the public interest benefits of MFNs: “[T]he existence of [MFN] clauses in many programming contracts . . . eliminates cable operators’ ability to free ride on other MVPDs’ paying for the fixed costs of creating programming.”520 That is, “the ubiquity of so-called most-favored-nation clauses in programming contracts resolves this free-rider problem and protects the cable operator who initially purchases the programming from opportunism on the part of the programmer and other operators.” 521
519 See, e.g., Dish Petition to Deny at 85-86; TheBlaze Comments at 9-10, 13-15; AAI Comments at 16-19; Discovery Letter at 2.
520 Commission’s Cable Horizontal & Vertical Ownership Limits, Fourth Report & Order and Further Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, 23 FCC Rcd. 2134 ¶ 33 (2008).
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As to ADM provisions, even before the NBCUniversal transaction, Comcast ceased proposing provisions that broadly prevented programmers from distributing programming online.522 In the past four years, there is simply no marketplace evidence that restrictive ADM provisions from anyone – much less from Comcast – have materially hampered the willingness of programmers or the ability of OVDs to enter into licensing agreements. As discussed above, new OVD arrangements with programmers large and small are announced virtually every day, including increasingly arrangements for live linear programming feeds or programming typically on MVPDs. Notably, Netflix – the largest OVD – does not mention ADM (or MFN provisions) in its wide-ranging bill of particulars against Comcast. (It would be absurd for Netflix to suggest that it is unduly restricted from negotiating for programming by Comcast’s programming agreements; Comcast’s more recent experience has been that Netflix and other OVDs have locked up exclusive rights to certain programming, including from traditional cable networks, that Comcast is unable to obtain for its own customers.) Dish too makes a half-hearted argument about online restrictions;523 notably, Dish does not indicate whether it seeks ADM or MFN provisions in negotiations with programmers, including with respect to online distribution.524
522 See Comcast, Opposition and Response, MB Docket No. 10-56 (July. 21, 2010) at 188, n.642. Comcast also noted that, when asked by a content owner to modify the limitation, Comcast had agreed to do so. Id.
523 Dish Petition to Deny at 85-86.
524 Under Dish’s own theory, it has two reasons to be much more aggressive than Comcast concerning MFN and ADM provisions: first, because of Dish’s supposed inability to compete with wireline MVPDs to provide a bundle of video and broadband services (leading to concerns about being displaced by such services); and second, because of Dish’s plan to launch an OTT MVPD service (giving Dish an incentive to try to restrict others’ access to such services, or at least to guarantee itself the same access). One need not subscribe to these theories to reach the conclusion that Dish’s arguments are simply that of a competitor trying to protect its own competitive position, and nothing more.
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In any event, the Commission in the NBCUniversal Order already imposed certain clear limitations on Comcast’s ability to enter into certain MFNs as well as ADM provisions.525 Not only has Comcast complied with these limitations – no commenter credibly suggests otherwise526 – but Comcast also has acknowledged expressly that these limitations will apply to the acquired systems, which answers any transaction-specific theory of harm. In fact, to the degree that TWC has been a source of ADM provisions that go beyond the limitations applicable to Comcast, the Transaction should be viewed as giving programmers even more leeway to explore new offerings online.527
525 See Comcast-NBCUniversal Order, App. A, § IV.B.3.
526 In fact, TheBlaze’s Lynne Constantini has acknowledged that Comcast has not demanded ADM or MFN provisions that exceed the Commission’s express limitations. Shalini Ramachandran et al., Comcast Targeted by Entertainment Giants, Wall St. J., Aug. 29, 2014, available at http://online.wsj.com/articles/comcast-targeted-by-entertainment-giants-1409349791.
527 As to the claim by certain programmers, like TheBlaze, that Comcast incidentally benefits from ADM provisions imposed by other MVPDs, there is obviously no transaction-specific harm to be addressed here. See TheBlaze Comments at 13-15.
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The Commission did not prohibit all ADM and MFN provisions in the NBCUniversal Order. It prohibited only such provisions that “forbid[], limit[] or create[] incentives to limit a broadcast network or cable programmer’s provision of its Video Programming to one or more OVDs.”528 With respect to MFN provisions in particular, the Commission expressly allowed Comcast to seek MFNs guaranteeing that Comcast Cable “is treated in material parity” with other distributors “with respect to price and non-price terms.”529 This reflected a considered decision on the Commission’s part that MFNs can be procompetitive, and that it was important for consumers that Comcast continue to be able to engage in normal (and vigorous) negotiations with programmers.530 And that is just as true and perhaps even more important today, given the substantial leverage that programmers have gained in the past four years. Any further restriction on MFNs would not be transaction-specific, and would only have negative collateral effects, harming the interests of Comcast’s customers.
528 Comcast-NBCUniversal Order, App. A, § IV.B.3. This prohibition is already quite broad without being unduly broad, as the Commission stated in imposing it. Id. ¶ 73 & n.157.
529
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Id., App. A, § IV.B.3.c.
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530 As the Department of Justice stated in connection with the same conditions in the Consent Decree, “The proposed Final Judgment strikes a balance by allowing reasonable and customary exclusivity provisions that enhance competition while prohibiting those provisions that, without any offsetting procompetitive benefits, hinder the development of effective competition from OVDs.” Competitive Impact Statement, United States v. Comcast Corp., 1:11-cv-00106, at 35 (D.D.C. Jan. 18, 2011). MFNs are generally thought to be procompetitive to the extent they allow buyers to obtain better prices or terms from sellers. See Ocean State Physicians Health Plan, Inc. v. Blue Cross & Blue Shield of R.I., 883 F.2d 1101, 1110 (1st Cir. 1989); Blue Cross & Blue Shield United of Wis. v. Marshfield Clinic, 65 F.3d 1406, 1415 (7th Cir. 1995). Recent cases that have challenged MFNs have found them to be problematic only with aggravating circumstances not remotely present here. See Compl., United States v. Blue Cross & Blue Shield of Mich., No. 2:10-cv-14155-DPH – MKM (E.D. Mich. Oct. 18, 2010) (turning in part on “MFN-plus” provisions requiring other parties to pay more and settled before a decision on the merits); United States v. Apple, Inc., 889 F. Supp. 2d 623 (S.D.N.Y. 2012) (consent decree forbidding use of MFNs that allegedly were a means to conspire to raise prices).
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b.
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Comcast’s Increased Programming Assets Will Be Minimal and Will Not Give Rise to Any Competitive Harm with RSNs or Local News.
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The Transaction will not materially increase the amount of programming controlled by the combined company.531 Despite this, some commenters argue that, because NBC O&O stations in Los Angeles overlap with TWC RSNs, the Transaction will reduce competition for video programming in Los Angeles and cause prices to rise.532 This argument has no merit.
There would only be a transaction-specific concern if RSNs and O&Os were substitutes for each other, as that in turn could lead to concentration in a market and harmful pricing effects. But, as Drs. Rosston and Topper explain, Comcast’s NBC O&O stations in Los Angeles are not a substitute for the TWC RSNs in Los Angeles.533 NBC O&O stations primarily show general entertainment and news, whereas the RSN shows live games and shoulder programming from local sports teams.534 These different types of programming are not considered close substitutes. In fact, the NBC O&Os and TWC-affiliated RSNs each have many other closer programming competitors, including a large number of other national and regional broadcast and cable networks with general entertainment and sports programming.
531 As detailed in Applicants’ Public Interest Statement, Comcast will acquire minimal new programming assets from TWC: one professional sport English-language RSN (Time Warner Cable SportsNet in Los Angeles); the distribution rights to another professional sport English-language RSN (SportsNet LA); three Spanish-language RSNs; and a small number of local news channels (including Time Warner Cable News NY1). Comcast also will add TWC’s minority interest in SportsNet New York to Comcast’s existing minority interest in that RSN, but Comcast will continue to be a minority owner. In addition, Comcast will acquire TWC’s interest in MLB Network and iN Demand, in which it already holds a small, non-controlling interests, which will remain the case after the Transaction.
532 See, e.g., ACA Comments at 13-15, Biglaiser Decl. at 16-18; CenturyLink Comments at 6-13; Dish Petition to Deny at 81-86. Commenters also argue that the Transaction will substantially increase Comcast’s control of “marquee” programming. As Applicants detailed in their Public Interest Statement, however, the only programming Comcast will acquire in the Transaction that could potentially be considered “marquee” are some of TWC’s RSNs, and TWC’s programming assets will provide only a modest contribution to Comcast’s sports programming. Even with the addition of TWC’s RSNs, the combined company will still control far fewer RSNs than Fox.
533 Rosston/Topper Reply Decl. ¶ 192.
534 Although the Transaction will result in common ownership of local TWC cable news stations with NBC O&Os in three DMAs (New York, Los Angeles and San Diego), the post-transaction landscape will include a wide variety of competing, diverse news sources in each of those areas.
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Empirical analysis undertaken by Drs. Rosston and Topper, who used the Commission’s own models, demonstrates that combining the ownership of an RSN and an NBC O&O will have no significant effect on prices.535 Specifically, they examined whether any of the Commission’s predicted price effects of combining Comcast’s RSNs with the NBC O&Os were realized; no price effects owing to this overlap are evident. As Drs. Rosston and Topper show, these models provide no support for the conclusion that overlap between Comcast RSNs and NBC O&O ownership led to increased RSN fees after the NBCUniversal transaction, which in turns rebuts unsubstantiated assertions that there would be any price effects in Los Angeles following the instant Transaction.536
This conclusion is unsurprising given the nature of NBC O&O retransmission consent deals. In general, NBCUniversal negotiates joint deals involving all NBC O&Os that fall within the footprint of the MVPD seeking programming, and those negotiations may or may not also involve Comcast-controlled RSNs. If negotiations for NBC O&Os and for TWC RSNs are conducted at different times, it would not be possible to extract increased fees from MVPDs for the carriage of both. Regardless, the Commission’s program access rules and the NBCUniversal conditions granting MVPDs the right to arbitrate retransmission and RSN license fee disputes on a standalone basis provide additional backstop protections for MVPDs. The fact that not a single MVPD has invoked standalone arbitration for NBCUniversal O&Os and Comcast RSNs only reinforces that the empirical reality that Comcast has made this valuable programming available on fair market terms.
535 Rosston/Topper Reply Decl. ¶¶ 196-205.
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Claims that the Transaction will lead to a concentration in sports programming are likewise unfounded.537 Comcast will be gaining ownership, through the Transaction, of only one major additional English-language RSN featuring major professional league sports – Time Warner Cable SportsNet (featuring the Lakers).538 With respect to the much-discussed Dodgers RSN, SportsNet LA, once Comcast steps into TWC’s shoes to provide certain distribution and other services to the network following the Transaction, Comcast would hope to facilitate the successful distribution of the network to willing MVPD buyers on fair market terms, so that Dodgers fans in Los Angeles can enjoy this valuable programming. As to claims that Comcast will control dozens of RSNs post-transaction,539 other TWC local channels that Comcast will acquire may technically qualify as RSNs under the Commission’s definition, but they do not feature marquee programming of the kind that distributors sometimes call “must-have.” Far from the Transaction affording Comcast a “dominant” position in RSN sports programming, Fox will continue to control many more major league professional RSNs across the country than Comcast.540
537 See, e.g., Sports Fans Coalition Petition to Deny at 10-19.
538 See Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 154.
539 See Sports Fans Coalition Petition to Deny at 2-3, 10; CFA et al. Petition to Deny at 1; Monumental Sports and Entertainment (“Monumental Sports”) Comments at 1.
540 Fox has controlling interests in 18 such RSNs. SNL Kagan (last visited Sept. 20, 2014).
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In any event, these claims misunderstand the licensing of regional sports programming. RSNs are generally distributed in a limited geographic area, i.e., the area in which there is likely to be substantial interest in the teams whose games are shown on the RSN.541 And there is no geographic overlap at all between the in-market footprints of TWC’s English-language RSNs and any of Comcast’s RSNs. Because of this lack of overlap and due to the regional nature of RSNs, the Transaction will not result in the combined company having a greater share of RSN programming than Comcast or TWC already has in any RSN footprint and, therefore, will not change the competitive dynamics relating to RSN distribution.542 In short, the Transaction simply does not create any reduction in competition for sports programming.
Nor is there any claim that Comcast’s acquisition of TWC local channels will harm independent news voices.543 These commenters provide no empirical or other evidence to substantiate these speculative concerns, and the Commission should disregard them. Although Comcast may be acquiring more existing news outlets in certain markets, the concept of a “greater news voice” suppressing viewpoints is anachronistic in today’s marketplace, where both traditional news providers and the Internet-driven explosion of electronic outlets assure the continued growth of a multiplicity of voices disseminating news, information, and commentary on all manner of events and developments.544
541 See Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 134, 154. Although RSNs may also license out-of-market feeds, such feeds generally do not show live sporting events of the most valuable teams and are licensed to MVPDs for relatively small fees.
542 This is so despite the Sports Fans Coalition’s naked assertion that Comcast will have a “44.3% market share” of RSN programming nationally following the Transaction. As the Commission has explained time and again, “with respect to regional sports networks (‘RSNs’) and other regional networks, we conclude . . . that the relevant geographic market is regional.” Adelphia Order ¶ 68.
543 Stop the Cap! Comments at 25-26; see also Consumers Union et al. Petition to Deny at 21; NYPSC Comments at 12-13. Stop the Cap attempts to tie its criticism of Comcast’s acquisition of TWC news outlets to the alleged deletion of a news report concerning filings in the Commission’s Open Internet docket from NewsOne.com, a news website owned by RadioOne, one of the nation’s largest radio companies primarily targeting African-American and urban listeners. Comcast holds an interest in NewsOne but has no control over its editorial policies and had no involvement in the alleged incident. This single incident, therefore, provides no support for Stop the Cap!’s idle speculation.
544 Other entities recently have made the same point, with considerable empirical support, in other proceedings. See Comments of the National Association of Broadcasters, 2014 Quadrennial Review – Review of the Commission’s Broadcast Ownership Rules and Other Rules Adopted Pursuant to Section 202 of the Telecommunications Act of 1996, MB Docket No. 14-50, 09-31 (filed Aug. 6, 2014) (detailing outlet growth in media marketplace, more complex “information flow,” and consequent erosion of concerns regarding traditional media agenda-setting or gatekeeping).
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For all of these reasons, the Transaction will not permit Comcast to extract higher fees from MVPDs in Los Angeles for either NBC O&Os or TWC-affiliated RSNs.
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3.
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No Harm to Video Distribution Services
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No commenter seriously challenges the Transaction on the grounds that it will reduce competition for video distribution service by MVPDs.545 Consistent with core antitrust principles, Commission precedent has established that the relevant geographic market for MVPD service is local.546 Comcast and TWC serve distinct local markets; therefore, they do not compete for MVPD subscribers and no consumer will have fewer MVPD choices post-transaction. Indeed, post-transaction, most consumers will continue to have the opportunity of choosing among three or more MVPD providers and enjoy an increasing number of online video consumption options.547
545 Nor does any commenter seriously argue that there will be any reduction in competition for phone service. The NYPSC argues that “Petitioners’ horizontal view of competition appears too narrow.” NYPSC Comments at 10. But NYPSC’s concern about “enhanced market power over programming and other upstream whole services” is a concern about vertical effects that we dispel below. See infra Section IV.C. And NYPSC’s concern about “increased capital and financial resources discouraging new entrants” is misplaced. Id. In fact, the announcement of this Transaction already has sparked competitors to respond by announcements of increased investment and entry. See Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 49-51.
546 See, e.g., Adelphia Order ¶ 81; SBC-AT&T Merger Order ¶ 97; see also supra Section IV.A.2.
547 See Fifteenth Video Competition Report ¶ 36 (as of 2011, over 35% of homes have access to at least four MVPDs and over 98% have access to at least three MVPDs).
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Nor is there any risk of elimination of potential competition in this market. Despite claims by certain commenters,548 Comcast and TWC have never had plans to expand into each other’s territory and overbuild each other.549 Indeed, no incumbent cable operator ever has. Some commenters alternatively claim that the Transaction will eliminate potential competition between Comcast and TWC to offer their own nationwide OVD services that compete with each other.550 But the notion that Comcast and TWC might have launched competing nationwide OVD services – or that even one would – is entirely speculative. Significant real-world factors have hindered out-of-footprint OTT deployment to date, including high subscriber acquisition costs for out-of-footprint customers, and the fact that there already has been significant entry into the OVD market by national brands (e.g.,Netflix, Amazon, Apple, Hulu, and Google). As Dr. Israel explains:
There is no evidence that Comcast and TWC have any plans to compete with one another either in the traditional MVPD or OVD space and thus no basis for a concern about potential competition. To the contrary, the relevant potential competitors are fiber-based broadband providers like Google and municipalities, as well as the growth of wireless broadband providers, all of which have established plans to expand into the merging parties’ territories and thus which place actual constraints on the merging parties’ behavior.551
Of course, for the same reason, the failure of Comcast or TWC to enter the OTT market hardly can be said to be a significant blow to competition in that vibrant marketplace. Nor does anything preclude other MPVDs from launching such services – as Verizon’s recent announcement vividly illustrates.552
548 See Senator Franken Comments at 14; ITTA Petition to Deny at 7; Los Angeles County et al. Petition to Deny at 8.
549 See Israel Decl. ¶ 115 (citing N.Y. Times interview with Brian Roberts); Israel Reply Decl. ¶¶ 14, 204-06.
550 See Dish Petition to Deny at 76-80.
551 Israel Reply Decl. ¶ 14; see also id. ¶¶ 95, 203-07.
552 See Todd Spangler, Verizon to Join “Virtual MSO” Fray in Mid-2015 with Wireless TV Service, Variety, Sept. 11, 2014, http://variety.com/2014/digital/news/verizon-to-join-virtual-mso-fray-in-mid-2015-with-wireless-tv-service-1201303707/.
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4.
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No Harm to the Equipment Marketplace
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A few commenters raise equipment-related issues, arguing that the Transaction (a) will allow the combined company to dominate the equipment market, limiting smaller providers’ choices; (b) deter consumer adoption of Internet-connected television devices because of Comcast’s allegedly insufficient authentication practices, (c) squelch or prevent competition from retail device manufacturers by preferring Comcast’s own devices; and (d) use the X1 platform to deter consumer use of Internet-connected television devices or over-the-top video. According to these commenters, Comcast intends to advantage Comcast-supplied equipment and Comcast-delivered services, to the detriment of competitors.553
As a preliminary matter, none of these claims is genuinely transaction-specific. Comcast is already a large provider today, and there is no evidence that other MVPDs are constrained in their equipment options today or that an additional seven million subscribers will tip the balance. And the other arguments advanced by opponents relate entirely to Comcast’s existing practices and equipment. Further, the claims regarding Comcast’s authentication practices and the X1 platform are entirely without merit. Comcast is focused on providing its customers with the best TV experience anywhere, whether on its own devices or on retail devices, and is expanding, not limiting, its customers’ device and video choices. The Transaction will not change that fact and, indeed, promises to enable customers to access more programming, in more places, on more devices, than ever before.554
553 See, e.g., Netflix Petition to Deny at 73-75; RCN et al. Petition to Deny at 25; COMPTEL Petition to Deny at 22-23; Consumers Union et al. Petition to Deny at 27-29; Public Knowledge et al. Petition to Deny at 36-37; WGAW et al. Petition to Deny at 58-59.
554 Notably, TiVo and other equipment manufacturers support the Transaction. See generally ARRIS Comments; Broadcom Comments; Cisco Comments; TiVo Inc. (“TiVo”) Comments.
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a.
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The Transaction Will Not Limit the Device Options for Other MVPDs.
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COMPTEL and RCN et al. raise concerns that the Transaction will give Comcast the incentive and ability to harm competing MVPDs by limiting their equipment options. For example, COMPTEL claims that Comcast’s practices impede development of third-party devices that smaller MVPDs might want to use to deliver their services and, consequently, have the effect of limiting device choices and raising device costs for these MVPDs.555 And RCN et al. assert that Comcast could demand that manufacturers give it “first, or even exclusive, rights to a critical emerging technology by threatening to take its business to another manufacturer[.]”556 These claims wrongly assume that Comcast can exercise buyer power in the marketplace for video and broadband equipment. That is not the case.
The marketplace for these devices is global in scope, characterized by a wide and growing array of manufacturers, substantial investment, and innovative new products.557 Comcast is just one purchaser, albeit a large one, within this global market of many competitors, and the structure of the market is such that there is no reasonable prospect that Comcast could “control” that market, even if it had the incentive to do so.
555 See COMPTEL Petition to Deny at 27. COMPTEL claims that Comcast’s alleged decision not to develop its own apps for certain third-party devices threatens the marketplace for these devices, which, in turn, could limit the availability of these devices as distribution platforms for smaller MVPDs. See id. (“For small operators, these third-party devices [such as Roku and Fan TV] may offer an opportunity to avoid significant research and manufacturing costs associated with deploying next-generation devices in order to provide consumers with the integrated MVPD/OVD experience they seek.”).
556 RCN et al. Petition to Deny at 30.
557 See, e.g., Thomas Campbell, Set-Top Box Market Remains Stable Despite Competition, IPTV News.com July 30, 2014, available at http://www.iptv-news.com/2014/07/despite-competition-set-top-box-market-remains-stable/ (“Global STB[] shipments in 2013 remained relatively stable, despite competition from other devices . . . . Emerging markets accounted for around 70% of global demand in units, with the Asia Pacific market making up 44% of this global demand.”). Liberty Global, for example, operates in 14 countries with over 24 million customers. About Liberty Global – Key Facts, Liberty Global, http://www.libertyglobal.com/about-us.html (last visited Sept. 18, 2014). Liberty Global has deployed the Horizon gateway, a state-of-the-art whole home gateway with six tuners, DOCSIS 3.0, and telephony services. Horizon – Experience TV Like Never Before, at 9 (Technical Specifications), available at http://www.libertyglobal.com/PDF/horizon/horizon-brochure-2012.pdf.
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For example, small MVPDs have an abundance of potential set-top box suppliers, including, among others: Arris, Cisco, Pace, Samsung, Panasonic, Technicolor, Humax, Evolution Digital, Sagem, EchoStar, LG, COSHIP, Kaon, ADB, Huawei, and TiVo.558 These manufacturers compete vigorously for market share here and abroad.559 This competition has enabled Comcast and other operators to diversify their base of set-top box suppliers over the years and generally resulted in lower-cost boxes across the industry. COMPTEL claims that Comcast’s alleged decision not to develop its own apps for certain Internet-connected devices threatens the marketplace for these devices, which, in turn, could limit the availability of these devices as distribution platforms for smaller MVPDs. 560 But the marketplace for these devices is global in scope and is thriving: it was just reported that 24 million of them have been deployed to date.561 Comcast’s authentication decisions, even if they were in question, are highly unlikely to derail that success. And the world of authenticated apps is in the earliest possible stage of development, with Comcast not having made any final decisions on the subject, but being in discussions with multiple third-party device manufacturers about authentication of Comcast apps. In any event, while Comcast is not aware of smaller MVPDs developing apps for these devices, there would be no impediment to their doing so, now or in the future.
558 Indeed, certain small operators, such as Atlantic Broadband, Grande Communications, RCN, and Suddenlink, lease TiVo devices to their customers. See Jeff Baumgartner, Atlantic Broadband Launches TiVo, Multichannel News (Oct. 30, 2013), http://www.multichannel.com/news/content/atlantic-broadband-launches-tivo/357118; Grande Communications, TiVo FAQ, http://mygrande.com/cable-tv/resources/tivo (last visited Sept. 19, 2014); RCN, What is the TiVo Experience, http://rcn.com/tivo/what-is-tivo/ (last visited Sept. 19, 2014).
559 The combined company post-transaction will account for a small fraction of the overall purchases of set-top boxes and thus will lack the necessary market share to exercise any buyer power. The combined company will serve approximately 29 million cable subscribers; that is approximately 5 percent of global cable subscribers and 3 percent of global MVPD subscribers. See Worldwide MVPD Subscribers to Pass 1.1 Billion in 2019, Radio & Television Business Report (Jan. 23, 2014) available at http://rbr.com/worldwide-mvpd-subscribers-to-pass-1-1-billion-in-2019/ (citing ABI Research study finding that there are 570.2 million cable subscribers worldwide and 903.3 million MVPD subscribers worldwide as of the end of 2013).
560 See COMPTEL Petition to Deny at 27 (“For small operators, these third-party devices [such as Roku and Fan TV] may offer an opportunity to avoid significant research and manufacturing costs associated with deploying next-generation devices in order to provide consumers with the integrated MVPD/OVD experience they seek.”).
561 See Quentin Fottrell, Cable Companies Should Be Afraid of This Trend, MarketWatch Sept. 3, 2014, available at http://www.marketwatch.com/story/cable-companies-should-be-afraid-of-this-trend-2014-09-03; see also TDG: Net-connected TV Penetration Tops 60% of Internet Households, Up 19% YOY, PRWeb, Feb. 13, 2014, available at http://www.prweb.com/releases/2014/02/prweb11582038.htm (over 60% of U.S. homes have at least one connected TV device); Aaron Bear, Good News, Roku, Streaming Media is Catching On, Marketing Daily, July 9, 2014, available at http://www.mediapost.com/publications/article/229652/good-news-roku-streaming-media-is-catching-on.html; Press Release, IHS, More Connected Than Ever: 6 Billion New Internet-Enabled Devices to be Produced This Year (Feb. 14, 2014), http://press.ihs.com/press-release/design-supply-chain/more-connected-ever-6-billion-new-internet-enabled-devices-be-prod; Streaming Media Player Market Growing, Roku Dominates U.S., Parks Assocs., July 10, 2014, available at http://www.parksassociates.com/blog/article/streaming-media-player-market-growing--roku-dominates-u-s-; Will Richmond, Roku Has Sold 10 Million Players as Connected TV Category Surges, VideoNuze, Sept. 16, 2014, available at http://www.videonuze.com/article/roku-has-sold-10-million-players-as-connected-tv-category-surges.
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RCN et al. suggest, in particular, that Comcast might restrict access to DOCSIS 3.1 technology.562 DOCSIS actually helps to underscore the fallacy of their claim. DOCSIS standards – which are not under the control of Comcast anyway – are publicly posted and freely available to equipment manufacturers, and the technology is deployed in broadband networks across the world.563 DOCSIS is an open platform, available to all. There are a large number of manufacturers of cable modems using DOCSIS standards,564 and several global manufacturers, including Cisco, Arris, and Huawei, build cable modem termination systems. Comcast has no ability to restrict access to that equipment, and RCN et al. presumably have had no difficulty buying and deploying such equipment. This is true for DOCSIS 3.0 equipment that RCN uses today, and will be true with respect to equipment using the new DOCSIS 3.1 standard. It also bears noting that Comcast would have no incentive to restrict the availability of DOCSIS technology, even if it had the ability to do so. As with set-top boxes, the greater the number of buyers for DOCSIS equipment, the lower the price for Comcast and other service providers.565
562 See RCN et al. Petition to Deny at 29-30.
563 For example, DOCSIS 3.1 is in the process of becoming an international standard through ETSI, and DOCSIS technology is used in Europe and China, among other places.
564 These include, among others, ARRIS, Cisco, Netgear, D-Link, Linksys, SCMNetworks, Technicolor, Ubee, Zoom, and ZyXEL.
565 RCN et al. claim that Comcast and TWC have “exerted their market power in the past to impede competitors’ efforts to negotiate acceptable contracts for the deployment of emerging technology,” and cite, by way of example, RCN’s alleged inability to license a programming guide product due to an exclusive contract between the vendor and Comcast. See RCN et al. Petition to Deny at 30 & n.101. RCN raised this concern in the 2002 transaction involving Comcast and AT&T, and the Commission rejected it. The Commission found that “[t]he record [did] not indicate that the merger will create or enhance Applicants’ incentive or ability to impede technological developments in the emerging [Interactive Television (“ITV”)] market. . . . [T]the merged entity will serve fewer than 30% of MVPD subscribers. We agree with Applicants that this would be too small a share to enable the merged entity to exercise market power in any ITV market and, contrary to RCN’s speculation, circumscribes its ability to negotiate exclusive arrangements with multiple vendors in multiple markets effectively locking out competitors.” Comcast-AT&T Broadband Order ¶ 165. These conclusions apply equally to the broadband and video device marketplaces today, where Comcast also does not possess buyer power. And if this were a serious, ongoing concern, one would think that RCN might have cited a more recent example of the alleged problem.
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Furthermore, contrary to the claims made by RCN et al. and COMPTEL, Comcast has helped accelerate, not retard, the introduction of new and innovative technologies by smaller operators. It is undeniable that Comcast’s existing scale has permitted it to make investments that have collateral benefits for the rest of the MVPD industry. For example, Comcast designed the digital transport adapter (“DTA”) for its conversion to all-digital service. Today, smaller operators are similarly using DTAs as a low-cost solution for their digital conversions, thereby piggy-backing on Comcast’s investment and innovation and enabling them to reclaim analog bandwidth for faster Internet and other services.566 Comcast estimates that over 5.5 million DTAs have been sold to small and mid-sized cable operators, at attractive pricing enabled by Comcast’s innovation and scale.
Likewise, Comcast played an instrumental role in the development of the Reference Design Kit (“RDK”), which is an integrated software bundle that can be used in a wide range of set-top boxes and other devices and provides a common platform for X1 and other innovative services. The RDK platform can help speed innovation by lowering the costs of software development, reducing development cycles, and easing the adoption of new technologies. Importantly, RDK allows flexibility for optional components selected by the operator, so the components that Comcast selects can and do differ from those selected by other operators. RDK has now been licensed to over 150 entities. Small cable operators are free to license the platform, but generally don’t need to – the broad licensing of the platform to set-top box vendors and other suppliers in the cable ecosystem means that smaller operators, like other operators, will get the benefits of the RDK platform, such as greater user interface choices, when they purchase RDK-enabled boxes.567
566 See, e.g., Baja Broadband Operating Co., LLC Request for Waiver of Section 76.1204(a)(10 of the Commission Rules, Memorandum Opinion and Order, 27 FCC Rcd. 6105 (2012) (noting plans to use HD DTAs for digital transition).
567 Moreover, contrary to Public Knowledge and Open Technology Institute’s claim, RDK licensees are not bound to use the X1 user interface. See Public Knowledge et al. Petition to Deny at 39-40. Rather, as with other components, the operator can use a different user interface, and, in any event, {{ }}. In addition, RDK is licensed on a royalty-free basis, and RDK community member companies can contribute software changes and enhancements to the RDK stack, so the insinuation that RDK is merely a vehicle to generate licensing revenues while suppressing innovation and customer choice, see id. at 40, is wildly inaccurate.
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Comcast Is Increasing, Not Restricting, Customer Access to TVE Services On Retail Devices.
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Certain commenters assert that Comcast threatens the development of a marketplace for Internet-connected television devices by not sufficiently supporting access to authenticated programming services on such devices.568 They argue that TWC has done this more aggressively than Comcast has, and that the Transaction will accordingly derail TWC’s more progressive approach.569 But as a preliminary matter, the disparity commenters try to paint mischaracterizes Comcast’s approach. Further, the combined company – just as it will in all other areas – will learn from each company’s practices and agreements, and will seek to adopt the best approach going forward.
Until now, while TWC has led in terms of authenticating various “TVE” services on different devices, Comcast has not been sitting idle. Today, Comcast provides authentication services for its customers on the websites and applications of [[ ]] different program networks on up to [[ ]] different device platforms. These numbers have been growing – this year alone, Comcast has already authenticated [[ ]] additional networks on [[ ]] different devices – and that trend will continue as more programmers pursue TVE authentication. For example, HBO Go is authenticated on the HBO website, the iPhone and iPad, Android smartphones and tablets, Kindle Fire, Xbox 360, Apple TV, and Samsung smart TV, and {{ }}.
568 See, e.g., Public Knowledge et al. Petition to Deny at 37-38; COMPTEL Petition to Deny at 23-24; WGAW et al. Petition to Deny at 58; Roku, Inc. (“Roku”) Comments at 8-12.
569 See, e.g., Public Knowledge et al. Petition to Deny at 38-39; COMPTEL Petition to Deny at 25-26; Roku Comments at 11-12.
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Meanwhile, Comcast has advanced beyond TWC in terms of making sure its customers have a robust TVE experience delivered by Comcast, over-the-top, on a host of devices, through Comcast’s own applications and websites. Comcast believes that customers value the ability to access a wide range of TVE content through one aggregated source, rather than having to jump from one programmer app to another, and Comcast’s TVE services aim to satisfy that demand. Comcast customers have access to 300,000-plus streaming choices, including over 50 live TV channels, via the XfinityTV.com website. The website can be accessed on personal computers and other device platforms using Internet Explorer, Firefox, Chrome, or Safari browsers. These live channels and over 25,000 on-demand choices are also available via the Xfinity TV Go app, which also allows customers to download certain shows and movies to watch offline later. The app is available on iPhone, the later generations of iPod touch, the iPad, Kindle Fire, and some Android phones and tablets.570 Comcast also is engaged in discussions with {{ }} to support the Xfinity TV Go app and programmer apps on those platforms.571 To be sure, TWC has its own TVE experience and has authenticated it on a range of devices – but that experience, as discussed in the Public Interest Statement, is far less advanced and has far less content than Comcast’s.572
570 The XfinityTV website and Xfinity TV Go app provide a path for online authentication for smaller programming networks that may not have the resources to create a website and/or application that can support video streaming and pay for back-office support for authentication and other services. This includes several small independent programmers that might otherwise not offer online TVE options.
571 Roku claims that MVPDs sunset authentication codes for programmer apps, but not for MVPD apps. See Roku Comments at 10. In Comcast’s case, each device has a specific TVE authentication session token that Comcast sets with the programmer and with its applicable solution (e.g., Adobe, Akamai, or custom), the length of which varies by device platform. These procedures help combat fraudulent access to authenticated content. With respect to Comcast’s own TVE services, Comcast addresses this concern in a different way. Comcast authorizes TVE users every time they attempt to play a video (i.e., Comcast checks to see if they are still a Comcast customer and that the network they are trying to watch is part of their video service).
572 See Comcast-TWC Public Interest Statement at 77. TWC also has provided access to its IP cable programming over the Xbox and Roku. This is not TVE, but an in-home substitute for a set-top box. Comcast’s practices in this regard are discussed below, and in any event, Comcast’s IP streaming cable service is also more robust and complete than TWC’s today.
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Comcast’s TVE services are popular with customers. There have been 6.4 million unique users of TVE services across Xfinity.com, Xfinity TV Go, and authenticated programmer applications so far this year, a 30 percent increase over the last year. Almost 30 percent of Comcast’s cable customers utilize these TVE platforms. Moreover, there has been a 63 percent increase in the hours of Comcast’s TVE services watched per viewer over the last year. Comcast is committed to meeting this increasing demand for TVE services by making these offerings as robust and accessible as possible. In this regard, Comcast is currently negotiating TVE rights with programmers covering an additional 40 different cable networks and broadcast stations.573
Comcast’s goal is always to create the best experience for its customers, and it will continue to look for ways to maximize device choices, including reviewing the best practices and options available following the integration of the two companies.574
573 Comcast will typically consider TVE rights in the context of a broader negotiation over an affiliation agreement that will often include a wide range of issues covering multiple platforms and services. Consequently, the gives-and-takes of each negotiation will be different, so the precise scope of TVE rights that are negotiated will vary from deal to deal.
574 COMPTEL alleges that Comcast is violating the no-blocking open Internet rule by not authenticating HBO Go on Roku or PlayStation3. See COMPTEL Petition to Deny at 25. COMPTEL misunderstands the rule, which entitles end users to connect and use any lawful device of their choice and has nothing to do with whether an MVPD agrees to authenticate that a particular user is a subscriber to its video service. See Preserving the Open Internet; Broadband Industry Practices, Report and Order, 25 FCC Rcd. 17905 ¶ 65 (2010) (“2010 Open Internet Order”). Comcast places no restrictions on the ability of a customer to connect and use Roku, PlayStation3, or other Internet-connected devices.
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