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•	rating agency action, including a ratings downgrade, a change in outlook, the placement of ratings on watch for downgrade, or a change in rating criteria, at any time, of AGL or any of its subsidiaries, and/or of any securities AGL or any of its subsidiaries have issued, and/or of transactions that AGL’s subsidiaries have insured;

•	reduction in the amount of available insurance opportunities and/or in the demand for Assured Guaranty's insurance;

•	developments in the world’s financial and capital markets that adversely affect obligors’ payment rates, Assured Guaranty’s loss experience, or its exposure to refinancing risk in transactions (which could result in substantial liquidity claims on its guarantees);

•	the possibility that budget or pension shortfalls or other factors will result in credit losses or impairments on obligations of state, territorial and local governments and their related authorities and public corporations that Assured Guaranty insures or reinsures;

•	the failure of Assured Guaranty to realize loss recoveries that are assumed in its expected loss estimates;

•	deterioration in the financial condition of Assured Guaranty’s reinsurers, the amount and timing of reinsurance recoverables actually received and the risk that reinsurers may dispute amounts owed to Assured Guaranty under its reinsurance agreements;

•	increased competition, including from new entrants into the financial guaranty industry;

•	rating agency action on obligors, including sovereign debtors, resulting in a reduction in the value of securities in Assured Guaranty's investment portfolio and in collateral posted by and to Assured Guaranty;

•	the inability of Assured Guaranty to access external sources of capital on acceptable terms;

•	changes in the world’s credit markets, segments thereof, interest rates or general economic conditions;

•	the impact of market volatility on the mark-to-market of Assured Guaranty’s contracts written in credit default swap form;

•	changes in applicable accounting policies or practices;

•	changes in applicable laws or regulations, including insurance, bankruptcy and tax laws, or other governmental actions;

•	difficulties with the execution of Assured Guaranty’s business strategy;

•	loss of key personnel;

•	the effects of mergers, acquisitions and divestitures;

•	natural or man-made catastrophes;

•	other risks and uncertainties that have not been identified at this time;

•	management’s response to these factors; and

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•	other risk factors identified in AGL’s filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”).

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ITEM 1.	BUSINESS

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Sustained low interest rate environment in the U.S. Over the last several years, interest rates generally have been lower than historical norms. In 2015, average daily 30-year municipal interest rates, as reflected by the benchmark AAA 30-year Municipal Market Data index published by Thomson Reuters ("MMD Index"), were approximately 35 basis points lower than their levels in 2014, a year in which rates were already low by historical standards. As a result, the difference in yield (or the credit spread) between a bond insured by Assured Guaranty and an uninsured bond has provided comparatively little room for issuer savings and insurance premium, and Assured Guaranty has seen a lower demand for its financial guaranty insurance from issuers over the past several years than it saw historically.

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Increased competition. The Company estimates, based on third party industry compilations, that of the insured U.S. public finance bonds issued in the primary market in 2015, the Company insured approximately 60% of the par, while Build America Mutual Assurance Company ("BAM"), insured 38% of the par. National Public Finance Guarantee Corporation ("National"), an affiliate of MBIA Insurance Corporation ("MBIA"), insured the remaining 2% of the balance. The continued presence in the market of BAM affects the Company's insured volume as well as the amount of premium the Company is able to charge.

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Portfolio Risk Management Committee—This committee establishes company-wide credit policy for the Company's direct and assumed business. It implements specific underwriting procedures and limits for the Company and allocates underwriting capacity among the Company's subsidiaries. The Portfolio Risk Management Committee focuses on measuring and managing credit, market and liquidity risk for the overall company. All transactions in new asset classes or new jurisdictions must be approved by this committee.

•	U.S. Management Committee—This committee establishes strategic policy and reviews the implementation of strategic initiatives and general business progress in the U.S. The U.S. Management Committee approves risk policy at the U.S. operating company level.

•	Risk Management Committees—The U.S., U.K. and AG Re risk management committees conduct an in-depth review of the insured portfolios of the relevant subsidiaries, focusing on varying portions of the portfolio at each meeting. They assign internal ratings of the insured transactions and review sector reports, monthly product line surveillance reports and compliance reports.

•	Workout Committee—This committee receives reports from Surveillance and Workout personnel on transactions that might benefit from active loss mitigation or risk reduction, and approves loss mitigation or risk reduction strategies for such transactions.

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Reserve Committees—Oversight of reserving risk is vested in the U.S. Reserve Committee, the AG Re Reserve Committee and the U.K. Reserve Committee. The committees review the reserve methodology and assumptions for each major asset class or significant BIG transaction, as well as the loss projection scenarios used and the probability weights assigned to those scenarios. The reserve committees establish reserves for the relevant subsidiaries, taking into consideration supporting information provided by Surveillance personnel.

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Instability of Rating Criteria and Methodologies. Rating agencies purport to issue ratings pursuant to published rating criteria and methodologies. In recent years, the rating agencies have made material changes to their rating criteria and methodologies applicable to financial guaranty insurers, sometimes through formal changes and other times through ad hoc adjustments to the conclusions reached by existing criteria. Furthermore, these criteria and methodology changes are typically implemented without any transition period, making it difficult for an insurer to comply quickly with new standards.

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Instability of Severe Stress Case Loss Assumptions. A major component in arriving at a financial guaranty insurer's rating has been the rating agency’s assessment of the insurer’s capital adequacy, with each rating agency employing its own proprietary model. These capital adequacy approaches include “stress case” loss assumptions for various risks or risk categories. Since the financial crisis, the rating agencies have at various times materially increased stress case loss assumptions for various risks or risk categories, in some cases later reducing such stress case losses. This approach has made predicting the amount of capital required to maintain or attain a certain rating more difficult.

•

More Reliance on Qualitative Rating Criteria. In prior years, the financial strength ratings of the Company’s insurance company subsidiaries were largely consistent with the rating agency’s assessment of the insurers’ capital adequacy, such that a rating downgrade could generally be avoided by raising additional capital or otherwise improving capital adequacy under the rating agency’s model. In recent years, however, both S&P and Moody’s have applied other factors, some of which are subjective, such as the insurer's business strategy and franchise value or the anticipated future demand for its product, to justify ratings for the Company’s insurance company subsidiaries significantly below the ratings implied by their own capital adequacy models. Currently, for example, S&P has concluded that AGM has “AAA” capital adequacy under the S&P model (but subject to a downward adjustment due to a “large obligor test”) and Moody’s has concluded that AGM has “Aa” capital adequacy under the Moody’s model (offset by other factors including the rating agency’s assessment of competitive profile, future profitability and market share).

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•	AGM is a New York domiciled insurance company licensed to write financial guaranty insurance and reinsurance in 50 U.S. states, the District of Columbia, Guam, Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands.

•	MAC is a New York domiciled insurance company licensed to write financial guaranty insurance and reinsurance in 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. MAC will only insure U.S. public finance debt obligations, focusing on investment grade bonds in select sectors of that market.

•	AGC is a Maryland domiciled insurance company licensed to write financial guaranty insurance and reinsurance in 50 U.S. states, the District of Columbia and Puerto Rico.

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•	with respect to policies written prior to July 1, 1989, in an amount equal to 50% of earned premiums less permitted reductions; and

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with respect to policies written on and after July 1, 1989, quarterly on a pro rata basis over a period of 20 years for municipal bonds and 15 years for all other obligations, in an amount equal to the greater of 50% of premiums written for the relevant category of insurance or a percentage of the principal guaranteed, varying from 0.55% to 2.50%, depending on the type of obligation guaranteed, until the contingency reserve amount for the category equals the applicable percentage of net unpaid principal. The contingency reserve is then taken down over the same period of time that it was established.

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•	the insured average annual debt service for a single risk, net of qualifying reinsurance and collateral, or

•	the insured unpaid principal (reduced by the extent to which the unpaid principal of the supporting assets exceeds the insured unpaid principal) divided by nine, net of qualifying reinsurance and collateral, may not exceed 10% of the sum of the insurer's policyholders' surplus and contingency reserves, subject to certain conditions.

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•	The minimum share capital must be always issued and outstanding and cannot be reduced. For AG Re, which is registered as a Class 3B insurer, the minimum share capital is $120,000. For AGRO, which is registered both as a Class 3A and a Class C long-term insurer, the minimum share capital is $370,000.

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•	With respect to the distribution (including repurchase of shares) of any share capital, contributed surplus or other statutory capital:

(a)	any such distribution that would reduce AG Re's or AGRO's total statutory capital by 15% or more of their respective total statutory capital as set out in their previous year's financial statements requires the prior approval of the Authority. Any application for such approval must include an affidavit stating that the company will continue to meet the required margins; and

(b)	as a Class C long-term insurer, AGRO may not use the funds allocated to its long-term business fund, directly or indirectly, for any purpose other than a purpose of its long-term business except in so far as such payment can be made out of any surplus certified by AGRO's approved actuary to be available for distribution otherwise than to policyholders;

•	With respect to the declaration and payment of dividends:

(a)

each of AG Re and AGRO is prohibited from declaring or paying any dividends during any financial year if it is in breach of its solvency margin, minimum liquidity ratio or enhanced capital requirement, or if the declaration or payment of such dividends would cause such a breach (if it has failed to meet its minimum solvency margin or minimum liquidity ratio on the last day of any financial year, the insurer will be prohibited, without the approval of the Authority, from declaring or paying any dividends during the next financial year). Dividends, are paid out of each insurer's statutory surplus and, therefore, dividends cannot exceed such surplus. See "—Minimum Solvency Margin and Enhanced Capital Requirements" above and "—Minimum Liquidity Ratio" below;

(b)

an insurer which at any time fails to meet its minimum solvency margin or comply with the enhanced capital requirement may not declare or pay any dividend until the failure is rectified, and also in such circumstances the insurer must report, within 14 days after becoming aware of its failure or having reason to believe that such failure has occurred, to the Authority in writing giving particulars of the circumstances leading to the failure and giving a plan detailing the manner, specific actions to be taken and time frame in which the insurer intends to rectify the failure. A failure to comply with the enhanced capital requirement will also result in the insurer furnishing certain other information to the Authority within 45 days after becoming aware of its failure or having reason to believe that such failure has occurred;

(c)

each of AG Re and AGRO is prohibited from declaring or paying in any financial year dividends of more than 25% of its total statutory capital and surplus (as shown on its previous financial year's statutory balance sheet) unless it files (at least seven days before payments of such dividends) with the Authority an affidavit signed by at least 2 directors (one of whom must be a Bermuda resident director if any of the insurer's directors are resident in Bermuda) and the principal representative stating that it will continue to meet its solvency margin and minimum liquidity ratio. Where such an affidavit is filed, it shall be available for public inspection at the offices of the Authority; and

(d)

as a Class C long-term insurer, AGRO may not declare or pay a dividend to any person other than a policyholder unless the value of the assets of its long-term business fund, as certified by AGRO's approved actuary, exceeds the extent (as so certified) of the liabilities of AGRO's long-term business, and the amount of any such dividend shall not exceed the aggregate of (1) that excess; and (2) any other funds properly available for the payment of dividends being funds arising out of AGRO's business other than its long-term business.

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•	the PRA, a part of the Bank of England, is responsible for prudential regulation of key systemically important firms (which includes insurance companies, among others), and

•	the FCA is responsible for the conduct of business regulation of all firms and the regulation of market conduct and the prudential regulation of all non-PRA firms.

•	an insurer's head office, and in particular its mind and management, must be in the United Kingdom if it is incorporated in the United Kingdom;

•	an insurer's business must be conducted in a prudent manner — in particular, the insurer must maintain appropriate financial and non-financial resources;

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•	the insurer must be fit and proper, and be appropriately staffed; and

•	the insurer and its group must be capable of being effectively supervised.

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•	assets and liabilities are generally to be valued at their market value;

•	the amount of required economic capital is intended to ensure, with a probability of 99.5%, that regulated firms are able to meet their obligations to policyholders and beneficiaries over the following 12 months; and

•	reinsurance recoveries will be treated as a separate asset (rather than being netted against the underlying insurance liabilities).

•	have in place an effective system of governance that provides for the sound and prudent management of its business;

•	establish effective risk-management systems; and

•	take a comprehensive approach to considering their risks through an Own Risk and Solvency Assessment (“ORSA”) as proportionate to the nature, scale and complexity of the risks inherent in their business.

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ITEM 1A.	RISK FACTORS

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For approximately $3.6 billion of such contracts, AGC has negotiated caps such that the posting requirement cannot exceed a certain fixed amount, regardless of the mark-to-market valuation of the exposure or the financial strength ratings of AGC. For such contracts, AGC need not post on a cash basis more than $575 million, although the value of the collateral posted may exceed such fixed amount depending on the advance rate agreed with the counterparty for the particular type of collateral posted.

•	For the remaining approximately $221 million of such contracts, AGC could be required from time to time to post additional collateral without such cap based on movements in the mark-to-market valuation of the underlying exposure.

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•	the Company is 25% or more owned directly, indirectly through foreign entities or by attribution by U.S. Persons;

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the gross RPII of AG Re or any other AGL foreign subsidiary engaged in the insurance business that has not made an election under section 953(d) of the Code to be treated as a U.S. corporation for all U.S. tax purposes or are CFCs owned directly or indirectly by AGUS (each, with AG Re, a "Foreign Insurance Subsidiary") were to equal or exceed 20% of such Foreign Insurance Subsidiary's gross insurance income in any taxable year; and

•	direct or indirect insureds (and persons related to such insureds) own (or are treated as owning directly or indirectly through entities) 20% or more of the voting power or value of the Company's shares.

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•	With respect to income, the dividends that AGL receives from its subsidiaries should be exempt from U.K. corporation tax under the exemption contained in section 931D of the Corporation Tax Act 2009.

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With respect to capital gains, if AGL were to dispose of shares in its direct subsidiaries or if it were deemed to have done so, it may realize a chargeable gain for U.K. tax purposes. Any tax charge would be based on AGL’s original acquisition cost. It is anticipated that any such future gain should qualify for exemption under the substantial shareholding exemption in Schedule 7AC to the Taxation of Chargeable Gains Act 1992. However, the availability of such exemption would depend on facts at the time of disposal, in particular the “trading” nature of the activities of the Assured Guaranty group and of the relevant subsidiary. There is no statutory definition of what constitutes “trading” activities for this purpose and in practice reliance is placed on the published guidance of HMRC.

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•	investor perceptions of the Company, its prospects and that of the financial guaranty industry and the markets in which the Company operates;

•	the Company's operating and financial performance;

•	the Company's access to financial and capital markets to raise additional capital, refinance its debt or replace existing senior secured credit and receivables-backed facilities;

•	the Company's ability to repay debt;

•	the Company's dividend policy;

•	future sales of equity or equity-related securities;

•	changes in earnings estimates or buy/sell recommendations by analysts; and

•	general financial, economic and other market conditions.

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ITEM 1B.	UNRESOLVED STAFF COMMENTS

ITEM 2.	PROPERTIES

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ITEM 3.	LEGAL PROCEEDINGS

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ITEM 4.	MINE SAFETY DISCLOSURES

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ITEM 5.	MARKET FOR REGISTRANT'S COMMON EQUITY, RELATED STOCKHOLDER MATTERS AND ISSUER PURCHASES OF EQUITY SECURITIES

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(1)

After giving effect to repurchases since the beginning of 2013 through February 9, 2016, the Company has repurchased a total of 60.2 million common shares for approximately $1,464 million, excluding commissions, at an average price of $24.33 per share. On February 24, 2016, the Company's Board of Directors approved a $250 million share repurchase authorization; as of the filing date, the Company has not repurchased any common shares under this authorization.

(2)	Excludes commissions.

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ITEM 6.	SELECTED FINANCIAL DATA

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(1)	Accounting guidance restricting the types and amounts of financial guaranty insurance contract acquisition costs that may be deferred was adopted and retrospectively applied effective January 1, 2012.

(2)	Accounting guidance (a) requiring that debt issuance costs related to a recognized debt liability be presented in the balance sheet as a direct deduction from the carrying amount of that debt liability and (b) resulting in reclassification of its debt issuance costs from other assets to long-term debt, was adopted and retrospectively applied effective December 31, 2015.

(3)

Prepared in accordance with accounting practices prescribed or permitted by U.S. insurance regulatory authorities, for all insurance subsidiaries. Claims-paying resources is calculated as the sum of statutory policyholders' surplus, statutory contingency reserve, statutory unearned premium reserves, statutory loss and LAE reserves, present value of installment premium on financial guaranty and credit derivatives, discounted at 6%, and standby lines of credit/stop loss. Total claims-paying resources is used by the Company to evaluate the adequacy of capital resources. The December 31, 2015 amount includes an aggregate $360 million excess-of-loss reinsurance facility for the benefit of AGC, AGM and MAC, which became effective January 1, 2016. The facility terminates on January 1, 2018 unless AGC, AGM and MAC choose to extend it. The December 31, 2014 amount includes an aggregate $450 million excess-of-loss reinsurance facility for the benefit of AGC, AGM and MAC. The December 31, 2013, 2012 and 2011 amounts include an aggregate $435 million excess-of-loss reinsurance facility for the benefit of AGC and AGM.

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ITEM 7.	MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

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(1)	Please refer to “—Non-GAAP Financial Measures” for a definition of the financial measures that were not determined in accordance with GAAP and a reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measure to the most directly comparable GAAP measure, if available.

(2)	Please refer to "Key Business Strategies – Capital Management" below for information on common share repurchases.

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•	New business production

•	Capital management

•	Alternative strategies to create value, including through acquisitions and commutations

•	Loss mitigation

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(1)	PVP represents the present value of estimated future earnings primarily on new financial guaranty contracts written in the period, before consideration of cessions to reinsurers. PVP and Gross Par Written in the table above are based on "close date," when the transaction settles. See “– Non-GAAP Financial Measures – PVP or Present Value of New Business Production.”

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(1)	Cumulative repurchases since the beginning of 2013.

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(1)	Reflects the unscheduled refunding or termination of the insurance on an insured obligation as well as changes in scheduled earnings due to changes in the expected lives of the insured obligations.

(2)	Excludes $21 million, $32 million and $60 million for 2015, 2014 and 2013, respectively, on consolidated FG VIEs.

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(1)	Net investment income excludes $32 million for 2015 and $11 million for 2014 and $13 million in 2013, related to consolidated FG VIEs.

(1)	Excludes realized gains (losses) related to fixed maturity securities purchased in the investment portfolio that were issued by consolidated FG VIEs of $(10) million for 2015, $5 million for 2014 and $(2) million for 2013.

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(1)	As of December 31, 2015, the remaining estimated benefit for recoveries for breaches of R&W are subject to contractual settlement agreements. The Company is no longer actively pursuing any R&W providers for breaches.

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(1)	Economic loss development includes the effects of changes in assumptions based on observed market trends, changes in discount rates, accretion of discount and the economic effects of loss mitigation efforts.

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•	updated the liquidation rates it uses on delinquent loans based on observations and on an assumption that loan modifications (which improve liquidation rates) would over the next year be less frequent than they were over the most recent year

•	updated the liquidation rate it uses for loans reported as current but that had been reported as modified over the previous twelve months, based on observed data

•	established a liquidation rate assumption for loans reported as current and not modified in the past twelve months but that had been reported as delinquent in the previous twelve months

•	established loss severity assumptions by vintage category as well as product type, rather than just product type as done previously

•	beginning with the third quarter 2014, each quarter shortened by three months the period it is projecting it will take in the base case to reach the final CDR

•	reflect increased recoveries on newly defaulted loans as well as previously defaulted loans

•	project incremental defaults associated with increased monthly payments that occur when interest-only periods end

•	increase the assumed final conditional prepayment rate from 10% to 15%

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•	established a liquidation rate assumption for loans reported as current but that had been reported as modified in the previous 12 months

•	assumed that currently delinquent loans that did not roll to liquidation would behave like modified loans, and so applied the modified loan liquidation rate to them

•	increased from two to three years the period over which it calculates the initial CDR based on assumed liquidations of non-performing loans and modified loans, to account for the longer period modified loans will take to default

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•	increased the period it assumes the transactions will experience the initial loss severity assumption before it improves and the period during which the transaction will experience low voluntary prepayment rates

•	established an assumption for servicers not to advance loan payments on all delinquent loans

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(1)	Excludes credit derivative loss expense of $22 million for 2015 and credit derivative benefit of $77 million and $1 million for 2014 and 2013, respectively, which are included in non-GAAP loss expense.

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(1)	Net expected loss to be expensed for GAAP reported income is different than operating income, a non-GAAP financial measure, by the amount related to consolidated FG VIEs and credit derivatives.

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(1)	Includes realized gains and losses due to terminations of CDS contracts.

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(1)	Excludes $1.5 billion of loss mitigation securities insured and held by the Company as of December 31, 2015, which are primarily BIG.

(2)	The December 31, 2015 amounts include $10.9 billion of net par acquired from Radian Asset.

(1)	Excludes $1.3 billion of loss mitigation securities insured and held by the Company as of December 31, 2014, which are primarily BIG.

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(1)	On February 25, 2016, in connection with the sale of the membership interests in SCC, the various SCC obligations insured by the Company were retired. See Note 5, Expected Loss to be Paid for additional information.

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(1)	"AG Re" means Assured Guaranty Re Ltd.

(2)	Net par outstanding eliminations relate to second-to-pay policies under which an Assured Guaranty insurance subsidiary guarantees an obligation already insured by another Assured Guaranty insurance subsidiary.

(3)	On February 6, 2015, the U.S. District Court for the District of Puerto Rico ruled that the Recovery Act is preempted by the U.S. Bankruptcy Code and is therefore void. On July 6, 2015, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the First Circuit upheld that ruling, and on December 4, 2015, the U.S. Supreme Court granted petitions for writs of certiorari relating to that ruling.

(4)

Includes exposure to capital appreciation bonds with a current aggregate net par outstanding of $32 million and a fully accreted net par at maturity of $66 million. Of these amounts, current net par of $17 million and fully accreted net par at maturity of $50 million relate to the Puerto Rico Sales Tax Financing Corporation, current net par of $10 million and fully accreted net par at maturity of $11 million relate to the PRHTA, and current net par of $4 million and fully accreted net par at maturity of $5 million relate to the Commonwealth General Obligation Bonds.

(5)

The Governor issued executive orders on November 30, 2015 and December 8, 2015, directing the Puerto Rico Department of Treasury and the Puerto Rico Tourism Company to retain or transfer certain taxes and revenues pledged to secure the payment of bonds issued by PRHTA, PRIFA and PRCCDA. On January 7, 2016, the Company sued various Puerto Rico governmental officials in the United States District Court, District of Puerto Rico asserting that this attempt to “claw back” pledged taxes and revenues is unconstitutional, and demanding declaratory and injunctive relief.

(6)	On January 1, 2016 PRIFA defaulted on full payment of a portion of the interest due on its bonds on that date. For those PRIFA bonds the Company had insured, the Company paid approximately $451 thousand of claims for the interest payments on which PRIFA had defaulted.

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(1)	Includes par related to insured credit derivatives.

(2)	The total collateral posted by all non-affiliated reinsurers required or agreeing to post collateral as of December 31, 2015 was approximately $470 million.

(6)	National is rated AA+ by KBRA.

(7)	MBIA includes subsidiaries MBIA Insurance Corp. rated B by S&P and B3 by Moody's and MBIA U.K. Insurance Ltd. rated BB by S&P and Ba2 by Moody’s.

(8)	FGIC includes subsidiaries Financial Guaranty Insurance Company and FGIC UK Limited both of which had their ratings withdrawn by rating agencies.

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(1)

While the Company’s exposures are shown in U.S. dollars, the obligations the Company insures are in various currencies, primarily Euros. One of the residential mortgage-backed securities included in the table above includes residential mortgages in both Italy and Germany, and only the portion of the transaction equal to the portion of the original mortgage pool in Italian mortgages is shown in the tables.

(2)	The exposure shown in the "Non-infrastructure public finance" category is from transactions backed by receivable payments from sub-sovereigns in Italy, Spain and Portugal.

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(1)

On May 6, 2015, in continuation of the Company's capital management strategy of repurchasing its common shares, the Company's Board of Directors approved the repurchase of an incremental $400 million of common shares. On a settlement date basis, the remaining authorization for share repurchases was $55 million on December 31, 2015. After the repurchase of additional shares in 2016, the Company exhausted the share repurchase authorization on February 9, 2016. On February 24, 2016, the Board of Directors approved a $250 million share repurchase authorization.

(2)	On March 31, 2015, AGUS, as lender, provided $200 million to AGC, as borrower, from available funds to help fund the purchase of Radian Asset. AGC repaid that loan in full on April 14, 2015.

•	Under New York insurance law, AGM may only pay dividends out of "earned surplus," which is the portion of the company's surplus that represents the net earnings, gains or profits (after deduction of all losses) that have not

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Under Maryland's insurance law, AGC may, with prior notice to the Maryland Insurance Commissioner, pay an ordinary dividend that, together with all dividends paid in the prior 12 months, does not exceed the lesser of 10% of its policyholders' surplus (as of the prior December 31) or 100% of its adjusted net investment income during that period. The maximum amount available during 2016 for AGC to distribute as ordinary dividends will be approximately $79 million, of which approximately $9 million is available for distribution in the first quarter of 2016.

•	MAC is a New York domiciled insurance company subject to the same dividend limitations described above for AGM. The Company does not currently anticipate that MAC will distribute any dividends.

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For AG Re, any distribution (including repurchase of shares) of any share capital, contributed surplus or other statutory capital that would reduce its total statutory capital by 15% or more of its total statutory capital as set out in its previous year's financial statements requires the prior approval of the Bermuda Monetary Authority ("Authority"). Separately, dividends are paid out of an insurer's statutory surplus and cannot exceed that surplus. Further, annual dividends cannot exceed 25% of total statutory capital and surplus surplus as set out in its previous year's financial statements, which is $254 million, without AG Re certifying to the Authority that it will continue to meet required margins. Based on the foregoing limitations, in 2016 AG Re has the capacity to (i) make capital distributions in an aggregate amount up to $127 million without the prior approval of the Authority and (ii) declare and pay dividends in an aggregate amount up to the limit of its outstanding statutory surplus, which is $174 million. Such dividend capacity is further limited by the actual amount of AG Re’s unencumbered assets, which amount changes from time to time due in part to collateral posting requirements. As of December 31, 2015, AG Re had unencumbered assets of approximately $640 million.

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•	operating expenses,

•	claims on the insured portfolio,

•	posting of collateral in connection with credit derivatives and reinsurance transactions,

•	reinsurance premiums,

•	dividends to AGL, AGUS and/or AGMH, as applicable,

•	principal of and, where applicable, interest on surplus notes, and

•	capital investments in their own subsidiaries, where appropriate.

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(1)	Includes $21 million and $20 million paid in 2015 and 2014, and $189 million recovered in 2013, respectively, for consolidated FG VIEs. Claims recovered in 2013 include invested assets received as part of a restructuring.

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(1)	Claims paid on consolidated FG VIEs are presented in the consolidated cash flow statements as a component of paydowns on FG VIE liabilities in financing activities as opposed to operating activities.

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(1)	AGL fully and unconditionally guarantees these obligations

(2)	Guaranteed by AGL on a junior subordinated basis.

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•	a maximum debt-to-capital ratio of 30%; and

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a minimum net worth of 75% of consolidated net worth as of July 1, 2009, plus, beginning June 30, 2015 and on each anniversary of such date, an amount equal to the product of (i) 25% of the aggregate consolidated net income (or loss) for the period beginning July 2, 2009 and ending on June 30, 2014 and (ii) a fraction, the numerator of which is the commitment amount as of the relevant calculation date and the denominator of which is $1 billion.

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(1)	Operating lease obligations exclude escalations in building operating costs and real estate taxes.

(2)

Financial guaranty claim payments represent estimated undiscounted expected cash outflows under direct and assumed financial guaranty contracts, whether accounted for as insurance or credit derivatives, including claim payments under contracts in consolidated FG VIEs. The amounts presented are not reduced for cessions under reinsurance contracts. Amounts include any benefit anticipated from excess spread or other recoveries within the contracts but do not reflect any benefit for recoveries under breaches of R&W.

(3)

Amount excludes approximately $55 million of liabilities under various supplemental retirement plans, which are fair valued and payable at the time of termination of employment by either employer or employee. Amount also excludes approximately $70 million of liabilities under AGL 2004 long term incentive plan, which are fair valued and payable at the time of vesting or termination of employment by either employer or employee. Given the nature of these awards, we are unable to determine the year in which they will be paid.

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(1)	Government-agency obligations were approximately 54% of mortgage backed securities as of December 31, 2015 and 44% as of December 31, 2014, based on fair value.

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(1)	The number of securities does not add across because lots of the same securities have been purchased at different times and appear in both categories above (i.e., Less than 12 months and 12 months or more). If a security appears in both categories, it is counted only once in the Total column.

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(1)	Comprised primarily of loss mitigation and other risk management assets. See Note 10, Investments and Cash, of the Financial Statements and Supplementary Data.

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ITEM 7A.	QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK

•	The fair value of credit derivatives within the financial guaranty portfolio of insured obligations which fluctuate based on changes in credit spreads of the underlying obligations and the Company's own credit spreads.

•	The Investment Portfolio's fair value is primarily driven by changes in interest rates and also affected by changes in credit spreads.

•	The Investment Portfolio also contains foreign denominated securities whose value fluctuates based on changes in foreign exchange rates.

•	Premiums receivable include foreign denominated receivables whose carrying value fluctuates based on changes in foreign exchange rates.

•	The fair value of the assets and liabilities of consolidated FG VIE's may fluctuate based on changes in prepayment spreads, default rates, interest rates, and house price depreciation/appreciation.

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(1)	Includes the effects of spreads on both the underlying asset classes and the Company's own credit spread.

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1.	Business and Basis of Presentation

•	Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. ("AGM"), domiciled in New York;

•	Municipal Assurance Corp. ("MAC"), domiciled in New York;

•	Assured Guaranty Corp. ("AGC"), domiciled in Maryland;

•	Assured Guaranty (Europe) Ltd. ("AGE"), organized in the United Kingdom; and

•	Assured Guaranty Re Ltd. (“AG Re”), domiciled in Bermuda.

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2.	Acquisition of Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

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(1)	The cash purchase price of $804 million was the cash transferred for the acquisition which was allocated as follows: (1) $987 million for the purchase of net assets of $1,042 million, and (2) the settlement of pre-existing relationships between Radian Asset and Assured Guaranty at a fair value of $(183) million.

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3.	Rating Actions

•	On March 18, 2014, S&P upgraded the financial strength ratings of all of AGL's insurance subsidiaries to AA (stable outlook) from AA- (stable outlook); it most recently affirmed such ratings in a credit analysis issued on June 29, 2015.

•	On July 2, 2014, Moody's affirmed the ratings of AGL’s insurance subsidiaries, but changed to negative the outlook of the insurance financial strength ratings of AGC and its subsidiary Assured Guaranty (UK) Ltd. ("AGUK"). Moody's

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•	On June 22, 2013, KBRA assigned a financial strength rating of AA+ (stable outlook) to MAC, and affirmed that rating on August 3, 2015. On November 13, 2014, KBRA assigned a financial strength rating of AA+ (stable outlook) to AGM, and affirmed that rating on December 10, 2015.

•	On May 5, 2015, Best assigned to AGRO a financial strength rating of A+ (Stable), which is their second highest rating.

•	Note 6, Financial Guaranty Insurance

•	Note 8, Financial Guaranty Contracts Accounted for as Credit Derivatives

•	Note 13, Reinsurance and Other Monoline Exposures

•	Note 16, Long-Term Debt and Credit Facilities

4.	Outstanding Exposure

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•	BIG Category 1: Below-investment-grade transactions showing sufficient deterioration to make future losses possible, but for which none are currently expected.

•	BIG Category 2: Below-investment-grade transactions for which future losses are expected but for which no claims (other than liquidity claims, which is a claim that the Company expects to be reimbursed within one year) have yet been paid.

•	BIG Category 3: Below-investment-grade transactions for which future losses are expected and on which claims (other than liquidity claims) have been paid.

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(1)	Excludes $1.5 billion of loss mitigation securities insured and held by the Company as of December 31, 2015, which are primarily BIG.

(2)	The December 31, 2015 amounts include $10.9 billion of net par acquired from Radian Asset.

(1)	Excludes $1.3 billion of loss mitigation securities insured and held by the Company as of December 31, 2014, which are primarily BIG.

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(2)	A risk represents the aggregate of the financial guaranty policies that share the same revenue source for purposes of making Debt Service payments.

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(1)	On February 6, 2015, the U.S. District Court for the District of Puerto Rico ruled that the Recovery Act is preempted by the U.S. Bankruptcy Code and is therefore void. On July 6, 2015, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the First Circuit upheld that ruling, and on December 4, 2015, the U.S. Supreme Court granted petitions for writs of certiorari relating to that ruling.

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(1)	As of December 31, 2015, the Company's Puerto Rico net exposures increased due to (1) net par of $385 million acquired in the Radian Asset Acquisition, of which $21 million was of PREPA and $166 million of PRHTA, and (2) a commutation of previously ceded Puerto Rico exposures.

(2)

The Governor issued executive orders on November 30, 2015, and December 8, 2015, directing the Puerto Rico Department of Treasury and the Puerto Rico Tourism Company to retain or transfer certain taxes and revenues pledged to secure the payment of bonds issued by PRHTA, PRIFA and PRCCDA. On January 7, 2016 the Company sued various Puerto Rico governmental officials in the United States District Court, District of Puerto Rico asserting that this attempt to “claw back” pledged taxes and revenues is unconstitutional, and demanding declaratory and injunctive relief.

(3)	On January 1, 2016 PRIFA defaulted on full payment of a portion of the interest due on its bonds on that date. For those PRIFA bonds the Company had insured, the Company paid approximately $451 thousand of claims for the interest payments on which PRIFA had defaulted.

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(1)	While the Company’s exposures are shown in U.S. dollars, the obligations the Company insures are in various currencies, primarily Euros. One of the RMBS included in the table above includes residential mortgages in both Italy and Germany, and only the portion of the transaction equal to the portion of the original mortgage pool in Italian mortgages is shown in the table.

(2)	The exposure shown in the “Non-infrastructure public finance” category is from transactions backed by receivable payments from sub-sovereigns in Italy, Spain and Portugal. Sub-sovereign debt is debt issued by a governmental entity or government backed entity, or supported by such an entity, that is other than direct sovereign debt of the ultimate governing body of the country.

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5.	Expected Loss to be Paid

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(1)	Net of ceded paid losses, whether or not such amounts have been settled with reinsurers. Ceded paid losses are typically settled 45 days after the end of the reporting period. Such amounts are recorded in reinsurance recoverable on paid losses included in other assets. The Company paid $25 million and $37 million in LAE for the years ended December 31, 2015 and 2014, respectively.

(2)	Includes expected LAE to be paid of $12 million as of December 31, 2015 and $16 million as of December 31, 2014.

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(1)	See the section "Breaches of Representations and Warranties" below for eligible assets held in trust.

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•	updated the liquidation rates it uses on delinquent loans based on observations and on an assumption that loan modifications (which improve liquidation rates) would over the next year be less frequent than they were over the most recent year

•	updated the liquidation rate it uses for loans reported as current but that had been reported as modified over the previous twelve months, based on observed data

•	established a liquidation rate assumption for loans reported as current and not modified in the past twelve months but that had been reported as delinquent in the previous twelve months

•	established loss severity assumptions by vintage category as well as product type, rather than just product type as done previously

•	beginning with the third quarter 2014, each quarter shortened by three months the period it is projecting it will take in the base case to reach the final CDR

•	reflect increased recoveries on newly defaulted loans as well as previously defaulted loans

•	project incremental defaults associated with increased monthly payments that occur when interest-only periods end

•	increase the assumed final conditional prepayment rate ("CPR") from 10% to 15%

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(2)	For transactions where the initial CPR is higher than the final CPR, the initial CPR is held constant and the final CPR is not used.

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(1)	Represents variables for most heavily weighted scenario (the “base case”).

(2)	For transactions where the initial CPR is higher than the final CPR, the initial CPR is held constant and the final CPR is not used.

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Bank of America. Under the Company's agreement with Bank of America Corporation and certain of its subsidiaries (“Bank of America”), Bank of America agreed to reimburse the Company for 80% of claims on the first lien transactions covered by the agreement that the Company pays in the future, until the aggregate lifetime collateral losses (not insurance losses or claims) on those transactions reach $6.6 billion. As of December 31, 2015 aggregate

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•

Deutsche Bank. Under the Company's May 2012 agreement with Deutsche Bank AG and certain of its affiliates (collectively, “Deutsche Bank”), Deutsche Bank agreed to reimburse the Company for certain claims it pays in the future on eight first and second lien transactions, including 80% of claims it pays on those transactions until the aggregate lifetime claims (before reimbursement) reach $319 million. As of December 31, 2015, the Company was projecting in its base case that such aggregate lifetime claims would remain below $319 million. In the event aggregate lifetime claims paid exceed $389 million, Deutsche Bank must reimburse the Company for 85% of such claims paid (in excess of $389 million) until such claims paid reach $600 million. Deutsche Bank’s reimbursement obligation is secured by $71 million of collateral held in trust for the Company’s benefit.

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UBS. On May 6, 2013, the Company entered into an agreement with UBS Real Estate Securities Inc. and affiliates ("UBS") and a third party resolving the Company’s claims and liabilities related to specified RMBS transactions that were issued, underwritten or sponsored by UBS and insured by AGM or AGC under financial guaranty insurance policies. Under the agreement, UBS agreed to reimburse the Company for 85% of future losses on three first lien RMBS transactions, and such reimbursement obligation is secured by $54 million of collateral held in trust for the Company's benefit.

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6.	Financial Guaranty Insurance

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•	For premiums received upfront on financial guaranty insurance contracts that were originally underwritten by the Company, deferred premium revenue is equal to the amount of cash received. Upfront premiums typically relate to public finance transactions.

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For premiums received in installments on financial guaranty insurance contracts that were originally underwritten by the Company, deferred premium revenue is the present value of either (1) contractual premiums due or (2) in cases where the underlying collateral is comprised of homogeneous pools of assets, the expected premiums to be collected over the life of the contract. To be considered a homogeneous pool of assets, prepayments must be contractually prepayable, the amount of prepayments must be probable, and the timing and amount of prepayments must be reasonably estimable. When the Company adjusts prepayment assumptions or expected premium collections, an adjustment is recorded to the deferred premium revenue, with a corresponding adjustment to the premium receivable, and prospective changes are recognized in premium revenues. Premiums receivable are discounted at the risk-free rate at inception and such discount rate is updated only when changes to prepayment assumptions are made that change the expected date of final maturity. Installment premiums typically relate to structured finance transactions, where the insurance premium rate is determined at the inception of the contract but the insured par is subject to prepayment throughout the life of the transaction.

•

For financial guaranty insurance contracts acquired in a business combination, deferred premium revenue is equal to the fair value of the Company's stand-ready obligation portion of the insurance contract at the date of acquisition based on what a hypothetical similarly rated financial guaranty insurer would have charged for the contract at that date and not the actual cash flows under the insurance contract. The amount of deferred premium revenue may differ significantly from cash collections due primarily to fair value adjustments recorded in connection with a business combination.

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(1)	Reflects the unscheduled refunding or termination of the insurance on an insured obligation as well as changes in scheduled earnings due to changes in the expected lives of the insured obligations.

(2)	Excludes $21 million, $32 million and $60 million for the year ended December 31, 2015, 2014 and 2013, respectively, related to consolidated FG VIEs.

(1)	Excludes $110 million and $125 million of deferred premium revenue and $30 million and $42 million of contra-paid related to FG VIEs as of December 31, 2015 and December 31, 2014, respectively.

(2)	See "Financial Guaranty Insurance Losses – Insurance Contracts' Loss Information" below for an explanation of "contra-paid".

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(1)	Excludes $17 million, $19 million and $21 million as of December 31, 2015 , 2014 and 2013, respectively, related to consolidated FG VIEs.

(1)	Excludes expected cash collections on FG VIEs of $22 million.

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(1)	Excludes scheduled net earned premiums on consolidated FG VIEs of $110 million.

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•	a reduction in the corresponding loss and LAE reserve with a benefit to the income statement,

•	no entry recorded, if “total loss” is not in excess of deferred premium revenue, or

•	the recording of a salvage asset with a benefit to the income statement if the transaction is in a net recovery position at the reporting date.

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(1)	Excludes $77 million as of December 31, 2015 related to consolidated FG VIEs.

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(1)	A risk represents the aggregate of the financial guaranty policies that share the same revenue source for purposes of making Debt Service payments. The ceded number of risks represents the number of risks for which the Company ceded a portion of its exposure.

(2)	Includes BIG amounts related to FG VIEs.

(3)	Includes excess spread and draws on HELOCs.

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7.	Fair Value Measurement

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•	reviews methodologies, any model updates and inputs and compares such information to management’s own market information and, where applicable, the internal models,

•	reviews internally developed analytic packages that highlight, at a CUSIP level, price changes from the previous quarter to the current quarter, and evaluates, documents, and resolves any significant pricing differences with the assistance of the third party pricing source, and

•	compares prices received from different third party pricing sources, and evaluates, documents the rationale for, and resolves any significant pricing differences.

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•	Gross spread.

•	The allocation of gross spread among:

◦	the profit the originator, usually an investment bank, realizes for putting the deal together and funding the transaction (“bank profit”);

◦	premiums paid to the Company for the Company’s credit protection provided (“net spread”); and

◦	the cost of CDS protection purchased by the originator to hedge their counterparty credit risk exposure to the Company (“hedge cost”).

•	The weighted average life which is based on Debt Service schedules.

•	Actual collateral specific credit spreads (if up-to-date and reliable market-based spreads are available).

•	Deals priced or closed during a specific quarter within a specific asset class and specific rating. No transactions closed during the periods presented.

•	Credit spreads interpolated based upon market indices.

•	Credit spreads provided by the counterparty of the CDS.

•	Credit spreads extrapolated based upon transactions of similar asset classes, similar ratings, and similar time to maturity.

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•	The model takes into account the transaction structure and the key drivers of market value. The transaction structure includes par insured, weighted average life, level of subordination and composition of collateral.

•	The model maximizes the use of market-driven inputs whenever they are available. The key inputs to the model are market-based spreads for the collateral, and the credit rating of referenced entities. These are viewed by the Company to be the key parameters that affect fair value of the transaction.

•	The model is a consistent approach to valuing positions. The Company has developed a hierarchy for market-based spread inputs that helps mitigate the degree of subjectivity during periods of high illiquidity.

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•	There is no exit market or actual exit transactions. Therefore the Company’s exit market is a hypothetical one based on the Company’s entry market.

•	There is a very limited market in which to validate the reasonableness of the fair values developed by the Company’s model.

•	At December 31, 2015 and 2014, the markets for the inputs to the model were highly illiquid, which impacts their reliability.

•	Due to the non-standard terms under which the Company enters into derivative contracts, the fair value of its credit derivatives may not reflect the same prices observed in an actively traded market of credit derivatives that do not contain terms and conditions similar to those observed in the financial guaranty market.

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(1)	Excluded from the table above are investments funds of $45 million and $76 million as of December 31, 2015 and December 31, 2014, respectively, measured using NAV per share practical expedient. Includes Level 3 mortgage loans that are recorded at fair value on a non-recurring basis.

(2)	Excludes restricted cash.

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(1)	Realized and unrealized gains (losses) from changes in values of Level 3 financial instruments represent gains (losses) from changes in values of those financial instruments only for the periods in which the instruments were classified as Level 3.

(2)	Included in net realized investment gains (losses) and net investment income.

(3)	Included in fair value gains (losses) on FG VIEs.

(4)	Recorded in fair value gains (losses) on CCS, net realized investment gains (losses) and net investment income.

(5)	Represents net position of credit derivatives. The consolidated balance sheet presents gross assets and liabilities based on net counterparty exposure.

(6)	Reported in net change in fair value of credit derivatives.

(7)	Primarily non-cash transaction.

(8)	Includes CCS and other invested assets.

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(1)	Discounted cash flow is used as valuation technique for all financial instruments.

(2)	Excludes several investments recorded in other invested assets with fair value of $7 million.

(3)	Excludes obligations of state and political subdivisions investments with fair value of $8 million.

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(1)	Discounted cash flow is used as valuation technique for all financial instruments.

(1)	Includes investments not carried at fair value with a carrying value of $93 million. Excludes investments carried under the equity method.

(2)	Carrying amount includes the assets and liabilities related to financial guaranty insurance contract premiums, losses, and salvage and subrogation and other recoverables net of reinsurance.

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8.	Financial Guaranty Contracts Accounted for as Credit Derivatives

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(1)	Represents the sum of subordinate tranches and over-collateralization and does not include any benefit from excess interest collections that may be used to absorb losses.

(2)	The December 31, 2015 total amount includes $3.5 billion net par outstanding of credit derivatives acquired from Radian Asset.

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(1)	The December 31, 2015 BIG amount includes $125 million net par outstanding of credit derivatives acquired from Radian Asset.

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(1)	December 31, 2015 amount includes $44 million of net fair value loss of credit derivatives acquired from Radian Asset.

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(1)	Includes R&W benefit of $0.4 million as of December 31, 2015 and $86 million as of December 31, 2014.

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For approximately $3.6 billion of such contracts, AGC has negotiated caps such that the posting requirement cannot exceed a certain fixed amount, regardless of the mark-to-market valuation of the exposure or the financial strength ratings of AGC. For such contracts, AGC need not post on a cash basis an aggregate of more than $575 million, although the value of the collateral posted may exceed such fixed amount depending on the advance rate agreed with the counterparty for the particular type of collateral posted.

•	For the remaining approximately $221 million of such contracts, AGC could be required from time to time to post additional collateral without such cap based on movements in the mark-to-market valuation of the underlying exposure.

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(1)	Includes the effects of spreads on both the underlying asset classes and the Company’s own credit spread.

9.	Consolidated Variable Interest Entities

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(1)	Net loss on consolidation was $26 million in 2015. Net gain on deconsolidation was $120 million and net loss on consolidation was $26 million in 2014. Net loss on consolidation and deconsolidation was $7 million in 2013.

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(1)	The December 31, 2015 amounts include $111 million of FG VIE assets and $107 million of FG VIE liabilities acquired from Radian Asset.

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10.	Investments and Cash

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•	guaranteed investment contracts, which are carried at amortized cost plus accrued interest,

•	preferred stocks, which are carried at fair value with changes in unrealized gains and losses recorded in OCI,

•	a 50% equity investment acquired in a restructuring of an insured CDS carried at its proportionate share of the underlying entity's U.S. GAAP equity value.

•	a decline in the market value of a security by 20% or more below amortized cost for a continuous period of at least six months;

•	a decline in the market value of a security for a continuous period of 12 months;

•	recent credit downgrades of the applicable security or the issuer by rating agencies;

•	the financial condition of the applicable issuer;

•	whether loss of investment principal is anticipated;

•	the impact of foreign exchange rates; and

•	whether scheduled interest payments are past due.

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(1)	Based on amortized cost.

(2)	Accumulated OCI. See also Note 20, Other Comprehensive Income.

(3)	Ratings in the tables above represent the lower of the Moody’s and S&P classifications except for bonds purchased for loss mitigation or risk management strategies, which use internal ratings classifications. The Company’s portfolio consists primarily of high-quality, liquid instruments.

(4)	Government-agency obligations were approximately 54% of mortgage backed securities as of December 31, 2015 and 44% as of December 31, 2014 based on fair value.

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(1)	Excludes $1,078 million and $846 million as of December 31, 2015 and 2014, respectively, of pre-refunded bonds, at fair value. The credit ratings are based on the underlying ratings and do not include any benefit from bond insurance.

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(1)	The number of securities does not add across because lots of the same securities have been purchased at different times and appear in both categories above (i.e., Less than 12 months and 12 months or more). If a security appears in both categories, it is counted only once in the total column.

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11.	Insurance Company Regulatory Requirements

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•	upfront premiums are earned when related principal and interest have expired rather than earned over the expected period of coverage;

•	acquisition costs are charged to expense as incurred rather than over the period that related premiums are earned;

•	a contingency reserve is computed based on statutory requirements, whereas no such reserve is required under GAAP;

•	certain assets designated as “non-admitted assets” are charged directly to statutory surplus, rather than reflected as assets under GAAP;

•	investments in subsidiaries are carried on the balance sheet on the equity basis, to the extent admissible, rather than consolidated with the parent;

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the amount of deferred tax assets that may be admitted is subject to an adjusted surplus threshold and is generally limited to the lesser of those assets the Company expects to realize within three years of the balance sheet date or fifteen percent of the Company's adjusted surplus. This realization period and surplus percentage is subject to change based on the amount of adjusted surplus. Under GAAP there is no non-admitted asset determination, rather a valuation allowance is recorded to reduce the deferred tax asset to an amount that is more likely than not to be realized;

•	insured credit derivatives are accounted for as insurance contracts rather than as derivative contracts measured at fair value;

•	bonds are generally carried at amortized cost rather than fair value;

•	VIEs and refinancing vehicles are not consolidated;

•	surplus notes are recognized as surplus and each payment of principal and interest is recorded only upon approval of the insurance regulator rather than liabilities with periodic accrual of interest;

•	push-down acquisition accounting is not applicable under statutory accounting practices, as it is under GAAP;

•	expected losses are discounted at a rate of 4.0% or 5.0%, recorded when the loss is deemed probable and without consideration of the deferred premium revenue rather than discounted at the risk free rate at the end of each reporting period and only to the extent they exceed deferred premium revenue;

•	the present value of installment premiums and commissions are not recorded on the balance sheet as they are under GAAP;

•	mergers of acquired companies are treated as statutory mergers at historical balances and financial statements are retroactively revised assuming the merger occurred at the beginning of the prior year, rather than prospectively beginning with the date of acquisition at fair value under GAAP.

•	acquisition costs on upfront premiums are charged to operations as incurred, rather than over the period that related premiums are earned;

•	certain assets designated as “non-admitted assets” are charged directly to statutory surplus rather than reflected as assets under GAAP;

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•	insured credit derivatives are accounted for as insurance contracts (except that loss reserves on insured credit derivatives are not net of unearned premium reserve), rather than as derivative contracts measured at fair value;

•	Loss reserves on non derivative contracts are net of unearned premium, which is offset by deferred acquisition costs, rather than only unearned premium. Loss reserves include a statutory reserve which includes a discount safety margin and statutory catastrophe reserve.

(1)	Policyholders' surplus of AGM and AGC include their indirect share of MAC. AGM and AGC own approximately 61% and 39%, respectively, of the outstanding stock of Municipal Assurance Holdings Inc. ("MAC Holdings"), which owns 100% of the outstanding common stock of MAC.

(2)	As indicated in Note 2, Acquisition of Radian Asset Assurance Inc., AGC completed the acquisition of Radian Asset on April 1, 2015. Radian Asset was merged with and into AGC, with AGC as the surviving company of the merger. The impact to AGC's policyholders' surplus was approximately $333 million, on a statutory basis, as of April 1, 2015.

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12.	Income Taxes

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13.	Reinsurance and Other Monoline Exposures

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•	if the Company fails to meet certain financial and regulatory criteria and to maintain a specified minimum financial strength rating, or

•	upon certain changes of control of the Company.

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(1)	Negative assumed premiums written were due to changes in expected Debt Service schedules.

(2)	Positive ceded premiums written were due to commutations and changes in expected Debt Service schedules.

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(1)	Includes par related to insured credit derivatives.

(2)	The total collateral posted by all non-affiliated reinsurers required or agreeing to post collateral as of December 31, 2015, is approximately $470 million.

(6)	National is rated AA+ by KBRA.

(7)	MBIA includes subsidiaries MBIA Insurance Corp. rated B by S&P and B3 by Moody's and MBIA U.K. Insurance Ltd. rated BB by S&P and Ba2 by Moody’s.

(8)	FGIC includes subsidiaries Financial Guaranty Insurance Company and FGIC UK Limited both of which had their ratings withdrawn by rating agencies.

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(1)	Assured Guaranty’s internal rating.

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14.	Related Party Transactions

15.	Commitments and Contingencies

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16.	Long-Term Debt and Credit Facilities

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•	a maximum debt-to-capital ratio of 30%; and

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a minimum net worth of 75% of consolidated net worth as of July 1, 2009, plus, beginning June 30, 2015 and on each anniversary of such date, an amount equal to the product of (i) 25% of the aggregate consolidated net income (or loss) for the period beginning July 2, 2009 and ending on June 30, 2014 and (ii) a fraction, the numerator of which is the commitment amount as of the relevant calculation date and the denominator of which is $1 billion.

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17.	Earnings Per Share

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18.	Shareholders' Equity

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19.	Employee Benefit Plans

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(1)	No options were granted in 2015.

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(1)	No options were granted in neither 2015 nor 2014.

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20.	Other Comprehensive Income

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21.	Subsidiary Information

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22.	Quarterly Financial Information (Unaudited)

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(1)

Per share amounts for the quarters and the full years have each been calculated separately. Accordingly, quarterly amounts may not sum up to the annual amounts because of differences in the average common shares outstanding during each period and, with regard to diluted per share amounts only, because of the inclusion of the effect of potentially dilutive securities only in the periods in which such effect would have been dilutive.

ITEM 9.	CHANGES IN AND DISAGREEMENTS WITH ACCOUNTANTS ON ACCOUNTING AND FINANCIAL DISCLOSURE

ITEM 9A.	CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES

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ITEM 9B.	OTHER INFORMATION

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ITEM 10.	DIRECTORS, EXECUTIVE OFFICERS AND CORPORATE GOVERNANCE

ITEM 11.	EXECUTIVE COMPENSATION

ITEM 12.	SECURITY OWNERSHIP OF CERTAIN BENEFICIAL OWNERS AND MANAGEMENT AND RELATED STOCKHOLDER MATTERS

ITEM 13.	CERTAIN RELATIONSHIPS AND RELATED TRANSACTIONS, AND DIRECTOR INDEPENDENCE

ITEM 14.	PRINCIPAL ACCOUNTING FEES AND SERVICES

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ITEM 15.	EXHIBITS, FINANCIAL STATEMENT SCHEDULES

(a)	Financial Statements, Financial Statement Schedules and Exhibits

1.	Financial Statements

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*	Management contract or compensatory plan

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