ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

Petco (NASDAQ:WOOF) Posts Q3 CY2025 Sales In Line With Estimates, Stock Soars

WOOF Cover Image

Pet-focused retailer Petco (NASDAQ: WOOF) met Wall Streets revenue expectations in Q3 CY2025, but sales fell by 3.1% year on year to $1.46 billion. Its GAAP profit of $0.03 per share was significantly above analysts’ consensus estimates.

Is now the time to buy Petco? Find out by accessing our full research report, it’s free for active Edge members.

Petco (WOOF) Q3 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $1.46 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.47 billion (3.1% year-on-year decline, in line)
  • EPS (GAAP): $0.03 vs analyst estimates of -$0.01 (significant beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $98.56 million vs analyst estimates of $94.81 million (6.7% margin, 4% beat)
  • EBITDA guidance for the full year is $396 million at the midpoint, in line with analyst expectations
  • Operating Margin: 2%, up from 0.3% in the same quarter last year
  • Free Cash Flow was $60.65 million, up from -$10.29 million in the same quarter last year
  • Same-Store Sales fell 2.2% year on year (1.8% in the same quarter last year)
  • Market Capitalization: $781.9 million

"Once again, we delivered on Petco's profitability goals as we continue to execute on our multi-phased transformation," said Joel Anderson, Petco's Chief Executive Officer.

Company Overview

Historically known for its window displays of pets for sale or adoption, Petco (NASDAQ: WOOF) is a specialty retailer of pet food and supplies as well as a provider of services such as wellness checks and grooming.

Revenue Growth

A company’s long-term sales performance can indicate its overall quality. Any business can have short-term success, but a top-tier one grows for years.

With $6 billion in revenue over the past 12 months, Petco is a mid-sized retailer, which sometimes brings disadvantages compared to larger competitors benefiting from better economies of scale.

As you can see below, Petco struggled to increase demand as its $6 billion of sales for the trailing 12 months was close to its revenue three years ago (we compare to 2019 to normalize for COVID-19 impacts). This was mainly because it closed stores.

Petco Quarterly Revenue

This quarter, Petco reported a rather uninspiring 3.1% year-on-year revenue decline to $1.46 billion of revenue, in line with Wall Street’s estimates.

Looking ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to remain flat over the next 12 months. This projection is underwhelming and implies its newer products will not accelerate its top-line performance yet.

While Wall Street chases Nvidia at all-time highs, an under-the-radar semiconductor supplier is dominating a critical AI component these giants can’t build without. Click here to access our free report one of our favorites growth stories.

Store Performance

Number of Stores

A retailer’s store count influences how much it can sell and how quickly revenue can grow.

Petco has generally closed its stores over the last two years, averaging 1.2% annual declines.

When a retailer shutters stores, it usually means that brick-and-mortar demand is less than supply, and it is responding by closing underperforming locations to improve profitability.

Note that Petco reports its store count intermittently, so some data points are missing in the chart below.

Petco Operating Locations

Same-Store Sales

A company's store base only paints one part of the picture. When demand is high, it makes sense to open more. But when demand is low, it’s prudent to close some locations and use the money in other ways. Same-store sales is an industry measure of whether revenue is growing at those existing stores and is driven by customer visits (often called traffic) and the average spending per customer (ticket).

Petco’s demand within its existing locations has barely increased over the last two years as its same-store sales were flat. This performance isn’t ideal, and Petco is attempting to boost same-store sales by closing stores (fewer locations sometimes lead to higher same-store sales).

Petco Same-Store Sales Growth

In the latest quarter, Petco’s same-store sales fell by 2.2% year on year. This decrease represents a further deceleration from its historical levels. We hope the business can get back on track.

Key Takeaways from Petco’s Q3 Results

It was good to see Petco beat analysts’ EPS expectations this quarter. We were also glad its EBITDA outperformed Wall Street’s estimates. On the other hand, its EBITDA guidance for next quarter missed. Zooming out, we think this was a mixed quarter. The stock traded up 7.3% to $3.17 immediately after reporting.

Should you buy the stock or not? When making that decision, it’s important to consider its valuation, business qualities, as well as what has happened in the latest quarter. We cover that in our actionable full research report which you can read here, it’s free for active Edge members.

Recent Quotes

View More
Symbol Price Change (%)
AMZN  233.88
+0.66 (0.28%)
AAPL  283.10
+4.25 (1.52%)
AMD  219.76
+2.23 (1.03%)
BAC  53.24
-0.41 (-0.76%)
GOOG  315.12
-5.00 (-1.56%)
META  640.87
-7.08 (-1.09%)
MSFT  486.74
-5.27 (-1.07%)
NVDA  179.92
+2.92 (1.65%)
ORCL  200.94
-1.01 (-0.50%)
TSLA  430.14
-0.03 (-0.01%)
Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.