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PH Q3 Deep Dive: Aerospace, Aftermarket, and International Demand Boost Guidance

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Industrial machinery company Parker-Hannifin (NYSE: PH) reported revenue ahead of Wall Streets expectations in Q3 CY2025, with sales up 3.7% year on year to $5.08 billion. Its non-GAAP profit of $7.22 per share was 9% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

Is now the time to buy PH? Find out in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).

Parker-Hannifin (PH) Q3 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $5.08 billion vs analyst estimates of $4.94 billion (3.7% year-on-year growth, 2.9% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $7.22 vs analyst estimates of $6.62 (9% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $1.31 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.28 billion (25.8% margin, 2.2% beat)
  • Management raised its full-year Adjusted EPS guidance to $30 at the midpoint, a 3.8% increase
  • Operating Margin: 20.3%, in line with the same quarter last year
  • Organic Revenue rose 5% year on year vs analyst estimates of 2.1% growth (294.7 basis point beat)
  • Market Capitalization: $105.6 billion

StockStory’s Take

Parker-Hannifin’s third quarter performance drew a significant positive market reaction, reflecting broad-based momentum across its business segments. Key drivers included strong organic growth, with the company highlighting a return to positive territory in its North America industrial operations and continued strength in aerospace and defense. CEO Jennifer Parmentier emphasized the contribution from both commercial and aftermarket aerospace, as well as improved productivity and favorable mix in North America: “We had some project wins at attractive margins, and we're getting a margin mix benefit with the lower industrial OE and a very resilient aftermarket.” Management also attributed performance gains to disciplined cost controls and successful integration of recent acquisitions.

Looking ahead, Parker-Hannifin’s updated guidance is supported by its confidence in several secular and cyclical growth areas, especially aerospace and energy. Management raised expectations for full-year organic sales growth and non-GAAP earnings per share, citing robust demand in commercial aerospace, gradual recovery in industrial and construction, and increased strength in HVAC and filtration markets. CFO Todd Leombruno pointed to the integration of Curtis Instruments and increased capital expenditures focused on automation and capacity as setting up Parker-Hannifin for sustained margin expansion. Parmentier noted, “We expect solid growth for years to come [in power generation], working with all of the leading industry customers.”

Key Insights from Management’s Remarks

Management credited the quarter’s results to robust demand in aerospace, the resilience of aftermarket services, and improved execution in North America and international markets.

  • Aerospace demand sustained: The aerospace segment delivered its eleventh straight quarter of double-digit organic growth, driven by commercial OEM (Original Equipment Manufacturer) orders and a strong aftermarket business. Parmentier highlighted, “Commercial OEM is the strongest market segment growing 24% versus prior year.”

  • Aftermarket and margin mix: North American industrial businesses benefited from a favorable mix shift toward aftermarket sales, which tend to be higher margin compared to original equipment. New business wins and improved productivity also contributed to margin expansion in the region.

  • International orders rebounded: International sales were led by Asia Pacific, which saw strong electronics and semiconductor demand. Orders in EMEA (Europe, Middle East, and Africa) turned positive, although growth in the region remains modest due to lingering uncertainty and slow in-plant industrial recovery.

  • Acquisition of Curtis Instruments: The addition of Curtis Instruments, completed during the quarter, is expected to be slightly margin dilutive in the near term but accretive to earnings per share, and it enhances Parker-Hannifin’s technology portfolio for vehicle electrification and control solutions.

  • Strategic investments in automation: Management increased capital expenditures, prioritizing automation and capacity expansion to support growth in high-demand verticals such as data centers and energy. Leombruno noted that much of the higher capex is “going towards automation, safety-related items, capacity in certain regions where needed.”

Drivers of Future Performance

Management expects future performance to be supported by strong aerospace demand, gradual industrial recovery, and targeted investments in capacity and automation.

  • Aerospace and commercial growth: Management anticipates continued momentum in commercial aerospace and defense, with organic growth forecasts raised for these verticals. The robust multiyear backlog and strength in both OEM and aftermarket provide a foundation for sustained revenue and margin expansion.

  • Industrial recovery and selective CapEx: While some industrial and transportation markets remain challenged, gradual improvement is expected in construction and HVAC. Management sees selective customer capital expenditures and new filtration wins as key contributors to growth.

  • Capacity expansion and automation: Increased capital spending is aimed at automation and adding capacity in high-growth areas such as data centers and energy. These investments are intended to support scalability, improve operational efficiency, and mitigate labor constraints as demand ramps up.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

In the coming quarters, the StockStory team will be watching (1) the trajectory of aerospace and commercial OEM orders as a signal of sustained demand, (2) the pace of margin expansion as automation and productivity investments are absorbed, and (3) the realization of benefits from the Curtis Instruments acquisition and new filtration wins in energy and HVAC. These factors will be critical in assessing Parker-Hannifin’s ability to achieve its updated guidance and long-term margin targets.

Parker-Hannifin currently trades at $834.55, up from $774.22 just before the earnings. In the wake of this quarter, is it a buy or sell? See for yourself in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).

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