ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

1 Oversold Stock Primed to Rebound and 2 to Ignore

TNDM Cover Image

The past year hasn't been kind to the stocks featured in this article. Each has tumbled to their lowest points in 12 months, leaving investors to decide whether they're witnessing fire sales or falling knives.

While market timing can be an extremely profitable strategy, it has burned many investors and requires rigorous analysis - something we specialize in at StockStory. That said, here is one stock poised to prove the bears wrong and two where the skepticism is well-placed.

Two HealthcareStocks to Sell:

Tandem Diabetes (TNDM)

One-Month Return: -22.2%

With technology that automatically adjusts insulin delivery based on continuous glucose monitoring data, Tandem Diabetes Care (NASDAQ: TNDM) develops and manufactures automated insulin delivery systems that help people with diabetes manage their blood glucose levels.

Why Are We Out on TNDM?

  1. Disappointing pump shipments over the past two years suggest it might have to lower prices to accelerate growth
  2. Earnings per share fell by 37.4% annually over the last five years while its revenue grew, showing its incremental sales were much less profitable
  3. Depletion of cash reserves could lead to a fundraising event that triggers shareholder dilution

Tandem Diabetes’s stock price of $15.59 implies a valuation ratio of 26.7x forward EV-to-EBITDA. If you’re considering TNDM for your portfolio, see our FREE research report to learn more.

Chemed (CHE)

One-Month Return: -16.7%

With a unique business model combining end-of-life care and household services, Chemed (NYSE: CHE) operates two distinct businesses: VITAS, which provides hospice care for terminally ill patients, and Roto-Rooter, which offers plumbing and water restoration services.

Why Does CHE Worry Us?

  1. Muted 4.6% annual revenue growth over the last five years shows its demand lagged behind its healthcare peers
  2. Free cash flow margin shrank by 8.9 percentage points over the last five years, suggesting the company is consuming more capital to stay competitive
  3. Diminishing returns on capital suggest its earlier profit pools are drying up

Chemed is trading at $459.91 per share, or 17.8x forward P/E. To fully understand why you should be careful with CHE, check out our full research report (it’s free).

One Healthcare Stock to Buy:

Molina Healthcare (MOH)

One-Month Return: -23.7%

Founded in 1980 as a provider for underserved communities in Southern California, Molina Healthcare (NYSE: MOH) provides managed healthcare services primarily to low-income individuals through Medicaid, Medicare, and Marketplace insurance programs across 21 states.

Why Is MOH a Good Business?

  1. Market share has increased this cycle as its 19.4% annual revenue growth over the last five years was exceptional
  2. Scale advantages are evident in its $41.87 billion revenue base, which provides operating leverage when demand is strong
  3. Earnings per share grew by 14.5% annually over the last five years and trumped its peers

At $221.39 per share, Molina Healthcare trades at 8.6x forward P/E. Is now the time to initiate a position? Find out in our full research report, it’s free.

High-Quality Stocks for All Market Conditions

The market surged in 2024 and reached record highs after Donald Trump’s presidential victory in November, but questions about new economic policies are adding much uncertainty for 2025.

While the crowd speculates what might happen next, we’re homing in on the companies that can succeed regardless of the political or macroeconomic environment. Put yourself in the driver’s seat and build a durable portfolio by checking out our Top 9 Market-Beating Stocks. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 183% over the last five years (as of March 31st 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,545% between March 2020 and March 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-micro-cap company Kadant (+351% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today for free. Find your next big winner with StockStory today. Find your next big winner with StockStory today

StockStory is growing and hiring equity analyst and marketing roles. Are you a 0 to 1 builder passionate about the markets and AI? See the open roles here.

Recent Quotes

View More
Symbol Price Change (%)
AMZN  229.53
+0.42 (0.18%)
AAPL  278.78
-1.92 (-0.68%)
AMD  217.97
+1.99 (0.92%)
BAC  53.95
+0.07 (0.13%)
GOOG  322.09
+3.70 (1.16%)
META  673.42
+11.89 (1.80%)
MSFT  483.16
+2.32 (0.48%)
NVDA  182.41
-0.97 (-0.53%)
ORCL  217.58
+3.25 (1.52%)
TSLA  455.00
+0.47 (0.10%)
Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.