e10vq
Table of Contents

 
 
FORM 10-Q
UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549
     
þ   QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
For the quarterly period ended SEPTEMBER 30, 2008
     
o   TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
For the transition period from                      to                     
Commission file number 1-10816
MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
     
WISCONSIN   39-1486475
(State or other jurisdiction of   (I.R.S. Employer
incorporation or organization)   Identification No.)
     
250 E. KILBOURN AVENUE   53202
MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN   (Zip Code)
(Address of principal executive offices)    
(414) 347-6480
(Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days.
YES þ      NO o
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, or a smaller reporting company. See the definitions of “large accelerated filer,” “accelerated filer” and “smaller reporting company” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act. (Check one):
             
Large accelerated filer þ    Accelerated filer o    Non-accelerated filer   o
(Do not check if a smaller reporting company)
  Smaller reporting company o 
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act).
YES o      NO þ
Indicate the number of shares outstanding of each of the issuer’s classes of common stock, as of the latest practicable date.
             
CLASS OF STOCK   PAR VALUE   DATE   NUMBER OF SHARES
Common stock   $1.00   10/31/08   125,068,464
 
 

 


TABLE OF CONTENTS

PART I. FINANCIAL INFORMATION
ITEM 1. FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
ITEM 3. QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK
ITEM 4. CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES
PART II. OTHER INFORMATION
Item 1. Legal Proceedings
Item 1 A. Risk Factors
ITEM 6. EXHIBITS
SIGNATURES
INDEX TO EXHIBITS
EX-11
EX-31.1
EX-31.2
EX-32
EX-99


Table of Contents

PART I. FINANCIAL INFORMATION
ITEM 1. FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
September 30, 2008 (Unaudited) and December 31, 2007
                 
    September 30,     December 31,  
    2008     2007  
    (In thousands of dollars)  
ASSETS
               
Investment portfolio (note 7):
               
Securities, available-for-sale, at fair value:
               
Fixed maturities (amortized cost, 2008-$6,810,664; 2007-$5,791,562)
  $ 6,637,243     $ 5,893,591  
Equity securities (cost, 2008-$2,754; 2007-$2,689)
    2,600       2,642  
 
           
 
               
Total investment portfolio
    6,639,843       5,896,233  
 
               
Cash and cash equivalents
    1,088,034       288,933  
Accrued investment income
    93,132       72,829  
Reinsurance recoverable on loss reserves
    324,373       35,244  
Prepaid reinsurance premiums
    7,550       8,715  
Premiums receivable
    100,708       107,333  
Home office and equipment, net
    32,417       34,603  
Deferred insurance policy acquisition costs
    12,451       11,168  
Investments in joint ventures
    10,484       155,430  
Income taxes recoverable
    414,303       865,665  
Other assets
    229,830       240,208  
 
           
Total assets
  $ 8,953,125     $ 7,716,361  
 
           
 
               
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY
               
Liabilities:
               
Loss reserves
  $ 4,013,251     $ 2,642,479  
Premium deficiency reserves
    583,922       1,210,841  
Unearned premiums
    336,084       272,233  
Short- and long-term debt (note 2)
    698,427       798,250  
Convertible debentures (note 3)
    374,746        
Other liabilities
    318,069       198,215  
 
           
 
               
Total liabilities
    6,324,499       5,122,018  
 
           
 
               
Contingencies (note 5)
               
 
               
Shareholders’ equity (note 11):
               
Common stock, $1 par value, shares authorized 460,000,000; shares issued,
9/30/08 — 130,118,744 12/31/07 — 123,067,426; shares outstanding, 9/30/08 — 125,068,464 12/31/07 — 81,793,185
    130,119       123,067  
Paid-in capital
    363,649       316,649  
Treasury stock (shares at cost, 9/30/08 — 5,050,280 12/31/07 — 41,274,241)
    (276,873 )     (2,266,364 )
Accumulated other comprehensive (loss) income, net of tax
    (115,292 )     70,675  
Retained earnings
    2,527,023       4,350,316  
 
           
 
               
Total shareholders’ equity
    2,628,626       2,594,343  
 
           
 
               
Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity
  $ 8,953,125     $ 7,716,361  
 
           
See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.

2


Table of Contents

MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS
Three Months and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2008 and 2007
(Unaudited)
                                 
    Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
    September 30,     September 30,  
    2008     2007     2008     2007  
    (In thousands of dollars, except per share data)  
Revenues:
                               
Premiums written:
                               
Direct
  $ 416,094     $ 384,281     $ 1,260,406     $ 1,084,647  
Assumed
    3,315       947       9,317       2,388  
Ceded
    (54,367 )     (44,984 )     (164,430 )     (121,769 )
 
                       
 
                               
Net premiums written
    365,042       340,244       1,105,293       965,266  
Increase in unearned premiums, net
    (22,730 )     (19,278 )     (67,201 )     (38,828 )
 
                       
 
                               
Net premiums earned
    342,312       320,966       1,038,092       926,438  
Investment income, net of expenses
    78,612       64,777       228,076       189,674  
Realized investment gains, net
    27,913       164,995       16,456       152,156  
Other revenue
    12,795       4,702       27,416       25,853  
 
                       
 
                               
Total revenues
    461,632       555,440       1,310,040       1,294,121  
 
                       
 
                               
Losses and expenses:
                               
Losses incurred, net
    788,272       602,274       2,168,063       1,019,258  
Change in premium deficiency reserves
    (204,240 )           (626,919 )      
Underwriting and other expenses, net
    62,424       86,325       207,646       236,727  
Reinsurance fee (note 4)
    607             970        
Interest expense
    20,119       10,926       50,924       30,479  
 
                       
 
                               
Total losses and expenses
    667,182       699,525       1,800,684       1,286,464  
 
                       
 
                               
(Loss) income before tax and joint ventures
    (205,550 )     (144,085 )     (490,644 )     7,657  
Credit for income tax
    (88,924 )     (62,235 )     (220,591 )     (33,619 )
Income (loss) from joint ventures, net of tax
    3,352       (290,619 )     24,486       (244,667 )
 
                       
 
                               
Net loss
  $ (113,274 )   $ (372,469 )   $ (245,567 )   $ (203,391 )
 
                       
 
                               
Loss per share (note 6):
                               
Basic
  $ (0.91 )   $ (4.61 )   $ (2.22 )   $ (2.50 )
 
                       
Diluted
  $ (0.91 )   $ (4.61 )   $ (2.22 )   $ (2.50 )
 
                       
 
                               
Weighted average common shares outstanding — diluted (shares in thousands, note 6)
    123,834       80,786       110,647       81,480  
 
                       
 
                               
Dividends per share
  $ 0.025     $ 0.25     $ 0.075     $ 0.75  
 
                       
See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.

3


Table of Contents

MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY
Year Ended December 31, 2007 and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2008 (unaudited)
                                                 
                            Accumulated              
                            other              
    Common     Paid-in     Treasury     comprehensive     Retained     Comprehensive  
    stock     capital     stock     income (loss)     earnings     (loss) income  
    (In thousands of dollars)  
Balance, December 31, 2006
  $ 123,029     $ 310,394     $ (2,201,966 )   $ 65,789     $ 5,998,631          
 
                                               
Net loss
                            (1,670,018 )   $ (1,670,018 )
Change in unrealized investment gains and losses, net
                      (17,767 )           (17,767 )
Dividends declared
                            (63,819 )        
Common stock shares issued
    38       2,205                            
Repurchase of outstanding common shares
                (75,659 )                    
Reissuance of treasury stock
          (14,187 )     11,261                      
Equity compensation
          18,237                            
Defined benefit plan adjustments, net
                      14,561             14,561  
Change in the liability for unrecognized tax benefits
                            85,522          
Unrealized foreign currency translation adjustment
                      8,456             8,456  
Other
                      (364 )           (364 )
 
                                             
Comprehensive loss
                                $ (1,665,132 )
 
                                   
 
                                               
Balance, December 31, 2007
  $ 123,067     $ 316,649     $ (2,266,364 )   $ 70,675     $ 4,350,316          
 
                                     
 
                                               
Net loss
                            (245,567 )   $ (245,567 )
Change in unrealized investment gains and losses, net
                      (178,293 )           (178,293 )
Dividends declared
                            (8,159 )        
Common stock shares issued (note 11)
    7,052       68,706                            
Repurchase of outstanding common shares
                                     
Reissuance of treasury stock (note 11)
          (41,686 )     1,989,491             (1,569,567 )        
Equity compensation
          16,155                            
Unrealized foreign currency translation adjustment
                      (7,761 )           (7,761 )
Other
          3,825             87             87  
 
                                             
Comprehensive loss
                                $ (431,534 )
 
                                   
 
                                               
Balance, September 30, 2008
  $ 130,119     $ 363,649     $ (276,873 )   $ (115,292 )   $ 2,527,023          
 
                                     
See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements

4


Table of Contents

MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS
Nine Months Ended September 30, 2008 and 2007
(Unaudited)
                 
    Nine Months Ended  
    September 30,  
    2008     2007  
    (In thousands of dollars)  
Cash flows from operating activities:
               
Net loss
  $ (245,567 )   $ (203,391 )
Adjustments to reconcile net loss to net cash provided by operating activities:
               
Amortization of deferred insurance policy acquisition costs
    7,736       8,556  
Increase in deferred insurance policy acquisition costs
    (9,019 )     (7,562 )
Depreciation and amortization
    23,058       20,801  
Increase in accrued investment income
    (20,303 )     (3,410 )
Increase in reinsurance recoverable on loss reserves
    (289,129 )     (2,787 )
Decrease in prepaid reinsurance premiums
    1,165       1,064  
Decrease (increase) in premium receivable
    6,625       (14,797 )
Decrease (increase) in real estate acquired
    95,755       (25,522 )
Increase in loss reserves
    1,370,772       435,896  
Decrease in premium deficiency reserve
    (626,919 )      
Increase in unearned premiums
    63,851       37,999  
Decrease (increase) in income taxes recoverable
    451,362       (310,010 )
Equity (earnings) losses in joint ventures
    (33,794 )     384,158  
Distributions from joint ventures
    22,195       51,512  
Realized gains
    (16,456 )     (152,156 )
Other
    91,637       33,734  
 
           
 
               
Net cash provided by operating activities
    892,969       254,085  
 
           
 
               
Cash flows from investing activities:
               
Purchase of fixed maturities
    (2,703,798 )     (1,934,503 )
Purchase of equity securities
    (65 )     (67 )
Additional investment in joint ventures
    (546 )     (4,098 )
Sale of investment in joint ventures
    150,316       240,800  
Note receivable from joint ventures
          (50,000 )
Proceeds from sale of fixed maturities
    1,287,236       1,452,200  
Proceeds from maturity of fixed maturities
    324,093       261,162  
Other
    120,139       20,713  
 
           
 
               
Net cash used in investing activities
    (822,625 )     (13,793 )
 
           
 
               
Cash flows from financing activities:
               
Dividends paid to shareholders
    (8,159 )     (62,041 )
(Repayment of) proceeds from note payable
    (100,000 )     300,000  
Repayment of long-term debt
          (200,000 )
Net repayment of short-term debt
          (82,110 )
Net proceeds from convertible debentures
    377,199        
Reissuance of treasury stock
    383,959       1,484  
Repurchase of common stock
          (75,659 )
Common stock issued
    75,758       2,098  
 
           
 
               
Net cash provided by (used in) financing activities
    728,757       (116,228 )
 
           
 
               
Net increase in cash and cash equivalents
    799,101       124,064  
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of period
    288,933       293,738  
 
           
Cash and cash equivalents at end of period
  $ 1,088,034     $ 417,802  
 
           
See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.

5


Table of Contents

MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
September 30, 2008
(Unaudited)
Note 1 — Basis of presentation and summary of certain significant accounting policies
The accompanying unaudited consolidated financial statements of MGIC Investment Corporation and its wholly-owned subsidiaries have been prepared in accordance with the instructions to Form 10-Q as prescribed by the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) for interim reporting and do not include all of the other information and disclosures required by accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America. These statements should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements and notes thereto for the year ended December 31, 2007 included in our Annual Report on Form 10-K.
In the opinion of management such financial statements include all adjustments, consisting primarily of normal recurring accruals, necessary to fairly present our financial position and results of operations for the periods indicated. The results of operations for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 may not be indicative of the results that may be expected for the year ending December 31, 2008.
New Accounting Standards
In October 2008, the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) issued FASB Staff Position (FSP) FAS 157-3 “Determining the Fair Value of a Financial Asset When the Market for That Asset is Not Active.” The FSP clarifies the application of FASB Statement No. 157 “Fair Value Measurements” in a market that is not active and provides an example to illustrate key considerations in determining the fair value of a financial asset when the market for that financial asset is not active. Our fair value policies are consistent with the guidance in this FSP.
In June 2008 the FASB issued FSP EITF 03-6-1 “Determining Whether Instruments Granted in Share-Based Payment Transactions Are Participating Securities.” This FSP clarifies that share-based payment awards that entitle holders to receive nonforfeitable dividends before vesting should be considered participating securities. As participating securities, these instruments should be included in the calculation of basic earnings per share. The FSP is effective for financial statements issued for fiscal years beginning after December 15, 2008, and interim periods within those years. We are currently evaluating the provisions of this FSP and do not believe it will have a material impact on our calculations of basic and diluted earnings per share.
In May 2008, the FASB issued FSP APB 14-1 “Accounting for Convertible Debt Instruments That May Be Settled in Cash upon Conversion (Including Partial Cash Settlement).” FSP APB 14-1 requires the issuer of certain convertible debt instruments that may be settled in cash (or other assets) on conversion to separately account for the liability (debt) and equity (conversion option) components of the instrument in a manner that reflects the issuer’s non-convertible debt borrowing rate. FSP APB 14-1 is effective for fiscal years beginning after December 15, 2008 on a retroactive basis. We are currently evaluating the impact of the adoption of FSP APB 14-1 on our financial position, results of operations and cash flows. At

6


Table of Contents

this time, we believe the adoption will result in a net-of-tax increase to our shareholders’ equity of approximately $63 million on January 1, 2009 and will result in a net-of-tax increase to interest expense of approximately $11 million for the year ended December 31, 2008 and $15 million annually thereafter, through April 1, 2013. These increases result from our Convertible Junior Subordinated Debentures discussed in Note 3.
In March 2008 the FASB issued SFAS No. 161, “Disclosures about Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities.” The new standard is intended to improve financial reporting about derivative instruments and hedging activities by requiring enhanced disclosures to enable investors to better understand their effects on an entity’s financial position, financial performance, and cash flows. It is effective for financial statements issued for fiscal years and interim periods beginning after November 15, 2008. We are currently evaluating the provisions of this statement and the impact, if any, this statement will have on our disclosures.
In February 2008, the FASB issued FSP FAS 157-2. This statement defers the effective date of FAS 157 for all non-financial assets and non-financial liabilities measured on a non-recurring basis to fiscal years beginning after November 15, 2008, and interim periods within those fiscal years. We are currently evaluating the requirements of this statement and the impact, if any, this statement will have on our financial position and results of operations.
Fair Value Measurements
Effective January 1, 2008, we adopted the fair value measurement provisions of SFAS No. 157, “Fair Value Measurements.” SFAS No. 157 provides enhanced guidance for using fair value to measure assets and liabilities. This statement defines fair value, expands disclosure requirements about fair value and specifies a hierarchy of valuation techniques based on whether the inputs to those valuation techniques are observable or unobservable. Observable inputs reflect market data obtained from independent sources, while unobservable inputs reflect a company’s market assumptions. Fair value is used on a recurring basis for assets and liabilities in which fair value is the primary basis of accounting (i.e., available-for-sale securities). Additionally, fair value is used on a nonrecurring basis to evaluate assets or liabilities for impairment or for disclosure purposes.
Fair value is defined as the price that would be received in a sale of an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date. Depending on the nature of the asset or liability, we use various valuation techniques and assumptions when estimating fair value. In accordance with SFAS No. 157, we applied the following fair value hierarchy in order to measure fair value for assets and liabilities:
Level 1 — Quoted prices for identical instruments in active markets that we have the ability to access. Financial assets utilizing Level 1 inputs include certain U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of the U.S. government.
Level 2 — Quoted prices for similar instruments in active markets; quoted prices for identical or similar instruments in markets that are not active; and inputs, other than quoted prices, that are observable in the marketplace for the financial instrument. The observable inputs are used in valuation models to calculate the fair value of the financial instruments. Financial assets utilizing Level 2 inputs include certain municipal and corporate bonds.

7


Table of Contents

Level 3 — Valuations derived from valuation techniques in which one or more significant inputs or value drivers are unobservable. Level 3 inputs reflect our own assumptions about the assumptions a market participant would use in pricing an asset or liability. Financial assets utilizing Level 3 inputs include certain state, corporate and mortgage-backed securities. Non-financial assets which utilize Level 3 inputs include real estate acquired through claim settlement. Additionally, financial liabilities utilizing Level 3 inputs consist of derivative financial instruments.
The adoption of SFAS No. 157 resulted in no changes to January 1, 2008 retained earnings. (See note 7.)
Fair Value Option
In conjunction with the adoption of SFAS No. 157, we have adopted SFAS No. 159, “The Fair Value Option for Financial Assets and Financial Liabilities.” This statement provides companies with an option to report selected financial assets and liabilities at fair value on an instrument-by-instrument basis. After the initial adoption, the election to report a financial asset or liability at fair value is made at the time of acquisition and it generally may not be revoked. The objective of this statement is to reduce both complexity in accounting for financial instruments and the volatility in earnings caused by measuring related assets and liabilities differently. The adoption of SFAS No. 159 resulted in no changes to January 1, 2008 retained earnings as we elected not to apply the fair value option to financial instruments not currently carried at fair value.
Reclassifications
Certain reclassifications have been made in the accompanying financial statements to 2007 amounts to conform to 2008 presentation.
Note 2 — Short- and long-term debt
We have a $300 million bank revolving credit facility, expiring in March 2010 that was amended in June 2008. In the third quarter of 2007, we drew the entire amount available under this facility. In July 2008, we repaid $100 million borrowed under this facility. The amount that we repaid remains available for re-borrowing pursuant to the terms of our credit agreement. At September 30, 2008 and December 31, 2007 $200 million and $300 million, respectively, was outstanding under this facility.
The credit facility, as amended in June 2008, effective July 1, 2008, requires us to maintain Consolidated Net Worth of no less than $2.00 billion at all times. However, if as of June 30, 2009, Consolidated Net Worth equals or exceeds $2.75 billion, then the minimum Consolidated Net Worth under the facility will be increased to $2.25 billion at all times from and after June 30, 2009. Consolidated Net Worth is generally defined in our credit agreement as the sum of our consolidated shareholders’ equity plus the aggregate outstanding principal amount of our 9% Convertible Junior Subordinated Debentures due 2063, currently $390 million. The credit facility also requires Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corporation (“MGIC”) to maintain a statutory risk-to-capital ratio of not more than 22:1 and maintain policyholders’ position (which includes MGIC’s statutory surplus and its contingency reserve) of not less than

8


Table of Contents

the amount required by Wisconsin insurance regulations (“MPP”). At September 30, 2008, these requirements were met. Our Consolidated Net Worth at September 30, 2008 was approximately $3.0 billion. At September 30, 2008 MGIC’s risk-to-capital was 12.3:1 and MGIC exceeded MPP by more than $1.6 billion. Risk-to-capital is expected to increase materially and both Consolidated Net Worth and the excess above MPP are expected to decline materially.
At September 30, 2008 and December 31, 2007 we had $200 million, 5.625% Senior Notes due in September 2011 and $300 million, 5.375% Senior Notes due in November 2015. Covenants in the Senior Notes include the requirement that there be no liens on the stock of the designated subsidiaries unless the Senior Notes are equally and ratably secured; that there be no disposition of the stock of designated subsidiaries unless all of the stock is disposed of for consideration equal to the fair market value of the stock; and that we and the designated subsidiaries preserve their corporate existence, rights and franchises unless we or such subsidiary determines that such preservation is no longer necessary in the conduct of its business and that the loss thereof is not disadvantageous to the Senior Notes. A designated subsidiary is any of our consolidated subsidiaries which has shareholder’s equity of at least 15% of our consolidated shareholders equity.
The credit facility is filed as an exhibit to our March 31, 2005 Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q and the Indenture governing the Senior Notes is filed as an exhibit to our Current Report on Form 8-K filed on October 19, 2000. The description of these instruments above is qualified by these exhibits. At September 30, 2008 and December 31, 2007, the fair value of the amount outstanding under the credit facility and Senior Notes was $529.7 million and $772.0 million, respectively.
Interest payments on all long-term and short-term debt were $29.8 million and $29.9 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007, respectively.
If (i) we fail to maintain any of the requirements under the credit facility discussed above, (ii) we fail to make a payment of principal when due under the credit facility or a payment of interest within five days after due under the credit facility, (iii)  we fail to make an interest payment when due under either series of our Senior Notes or (iv) our payment obligations under our Senior Notes are declared due and payable (including for one of the reasons noted in the following paragraph) and we are not successful in obtaining an agreement from banks holding a majority of the debt outstanding under the facility to change (or waive) the applicable requirement, then banks holding a majority of the debt outstanding under the facility would have the right to declare the entire amount of the outstanding debt due and payable.
If (i) we fail to meet any of the covenants of the Senior Notes discussed above, (ii) we fail to make a payment of principal of the Senior Notes when due or a payment of interest on the Senior Notes within thirty days after due or (iii) the debt under our bank facility is declared due and payable (including for one of the reasons noted in the previous paragraph) and we are not successful in obtaining an agreement from holders of a majority of the applicable series of Senior Notes to change (or waive) the applicable requirement or payment default, then the holders of 25% or more of either series of our Senior Notes each would have the right to accelerate the maturity of that debt. In addition, the Trustee of these two issues of Senior Notes, which is also a lender under our bank credit facility, could, independent of any action by holders of Senior Notes, accelerate the maturity of the Senior Notes.
Note 3 — Convertible debentures and related derivatives

9


Table of Contents

In March 2008 we completed the sale of $365 million principal amount of 9% Convertible Junior Subordinated Debentures due in 2063. In April 2008, the initial purchasers exercised an option to purchase an additional $25 million aggregate principal amount of these debentures. The debentures were sold in private placements to qualified institutional buyers pursuant to Rule 144A under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended. Interest on the debentures will be payable semi-annually in arrears on April 1 and October 1 of each year, beginning on October 1, 2008. As long as no event of default with respect to the debentures has occurred and is continuing, we may defer interest, under an optional deferral provision, for one or more consecutive interest periods up to ten years without giving rise to an event of default. Deferred interest will accrue additional interest at the rate then applicable to the debentures. Violations of the covenants under the Indenture governing the debentures, including covenants to provide certain documents to the trustee, are not events of default under the Indenture and would not allow the acceleration of amounts that we owe under the debentures. Similarly, events of default under, or acceleration of, any of our other obligations, including those described in “Note 2 — Short- and long-term debt” would not allow the acceleration of amounts that we owe under the debentures. However, violations of the events of default under the Indenture, including a failure to pay principal when due under the debentures and certain events of bankruptcy, insolvency or receivership involving our holding company would allow acceleration of amounts that we owe under the debentures.
The debentures rank junior to all of our existing and future senior indebtedness. The net proceeds of the debentures were approximately $377 million. A portion of the net proceeds of the debentures and a concurrent offering of common stock (see Note 11) was used to increase the capital of MGIC, our principal insurance subsidiary, in order to enable us to expand the volume of our new insurance written, and a portion will also be used for our general corporate purposes. Debt issuance costs are being amortized over the expected life of five years to interest expense.
We may redeem the debentures prior to April 6, 2013, in whole but not in part, only in the event of a specified tax or rating agency event, as defined in the indenture. In any such event, the redemption price will be equal to the greater of (1) 100% of the principal amount of the debentures being redeemed and (2) the applicable make-whole amount, as defined in the indenture, in each case plus any accrued but unpaid interest. On or after April 6, 2013, we may redeem the debentures in whole or in part from time to time, at our option, at a redemption price equal to 100% of the principal amount of the debentures being redeemed plus any accrued and unpaid interest if the closing sale price of our common stock exceeds 130% of the then prevailing conversion price of the debentures for at least 20 of the 30 trading days preceding notice of the redemption. We will not be able to redeem the debentures, other than in the event of a specified tax event or rating agency event, during an optional deferral period.
The debentures are currently convertible, at the holder’s option, at an initial conversion rate, which is subject to adjustment, of 74.0741 common shares per $1,000 principal amount of debentures at any time prior to the maturity date. This represents an initial conversion price of approximately $13.50 per share. The initial conversion price represents a 20% conversion premium based on the $11.25 per share price to the public in our concurrent common stock offering. (See Note 11.)
In lieu of issuing shares of common stock upon conversion of the debentures occurring after April 6, 2013, we may, at our option, make a cash payment to converting holders equal to the value of all or some of the shares of our common stock otherwise issuable upon conversion.

10


Table of Contents

Our common stock is listed on the New York Stock Exchange, or NYSE. One of the NYSE’s rules limits the number of shares of our common stock that the convertible debentures may be converted into to less than 20% of the number of shares outstanding immediately before the issuance of the convertible debentures unless shareholders approve the issuance of the shares that would exceed the limit. We closed a sale of our common stock immediately prior to the sale of the convertible debentures, which resulted in approximately 124.9 million shares of our common stock outstanding prior to the debentures being issued. At the initial conversion rate the outstanding debentures are convertible into approximately 23.1% of our common stock outstanding, 3.9 million shares above the NYSE limit. At a special shareholders’ meeting held in June 2008, we received shareholder approval on the issuance of shares of our common stock sufficient to convert all of the convertible debentures.
At issuance approximately $52.8 million in face value of the convertible debentures could not be settled in our common shares without prior shareholder approval and thus required bifurcation of the embedded derivative related to those convertible debentures. The derivative value of $16.9 million was determined using the Black-Scholes model, and is treated as a discount on issuance of the convertible debentures and amortized over the expected life of five years to interest expense. Prior to shareholder approval, changes in the fair value of the derivative were reflected in our results of operations. Since the changes in fair value corresponded to changes in our stock price, a decrease in our stock price resulted in a decrease in the derivative liability. On the date of shareholder approval, June 27, 2008, the value of the derivative had decreased to $5.9 million. On this date the amount was re-classified from a liability to shareholders’ equity on the consolidated balance sheet, and subsequent changes in the fair value of the derivative will not be reflected on our financial statements. The change in fair value of the derivative from issuance to shareholder approval of approximately $11.0 million is included in other revenue on our statement of operations for the nine months ended September 30, 2008.
The Indenture governing the Convertible Debentures is filed as an exhibit to our March 31, 2008 Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q. The description of this Indenture is qualified by this exhibit. The fair value of the convertible debentures was approximately $291.6 million at September 30, 2008.
Note 4 — Reinsurance
In June 2008 we entered into a reinsurance agreement with an affiliate of HCC Insurance Holdings, Inc. (“HCC”). The reinsurance agreement is effective on the risk associated with up to $50 billion of qualifying new insurance written each calendar year. The term of the reinsurance agreement begins April 1, 2008 and ends on December 31, 2010, subject to two one-year extensions that may be exercised by HCC.
The reinsurance agreement is expected to provide claims-paying resources in catastrophic loss environments for new insurance written beginning April 1, 2008.
The agreement is accounted for under deposit accounting rather than reinsurance accounting, because under the guidance of SFAS 113 “Accounting for Reinsurance Contracts”, we concluded that the reinsurance agreement does not result in the reasonable possibility that the reinsurer will suffer a significant loss. The premium ceded to the reinsurer and the brokerage commission paid to an affiliate of the reinsurer, net of a profit commission to us, is recorded as reinsurance fee expense on our statement of operations. In non-catastrophic loss

11


Table of Contents

environments, we expect the net expense will be approximately 5% of net premiums earned on business covered by the agreement. The reinsurance fee for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2008 was approximately $0.6 million and $1.0 million, respectively.
Note 5 — Litigation and contingencies
We are involved in litigation in the ordinary course of business that is not further described in this footnote. In our opinion, the ultimate resolution of this pending litigation will not have a material adverse effect on our financial position or results of operations. However, we are unable to predict the outcome of these cases or estimate our associated expenses or possible losses.
Consumers are bringing a growing number of lawsuits against home mortgage lenders and settlement service providers. In recent years, seven mortgage insurers, including MGIC, have been involved in litigation alleging violations of the anti-referral fee provisions of the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act, which is commonly known as RESPA, and the notice provisions of the Fair Credit Reporting Act, which is commonly known as FCRA. MGIC’s settlement of class action litigation against it under RESPA became final in October 2003. MGIC settled the named plaintiffs’ claims in litigation against it under FCRA in late December 2004 following denial of class certification in June 2004. Since December 2006, class action litigation was separately brought against a number of large lenders alleging that their captive mortgage reinsurance arrangements violated RESPA. While we are not a defendant in any of these cases, there can be no assurance that we will not be subject to future litigation under RESPA or FCRA or that the outcome of any such litigation would not have a material adverse effect on us.
In June 2005, in response to a letter from the New York Insurance Department, we provided information regarding captive mortgage reinsurance arrangements and other types of arrangements in which lenders receive compensation. In February 2006, the New York Insurance Department requested MGIC to review its premium rates in New York and to file adjusted rates based on recent years’ experience or to explain why such experience would not alter rates. In March 2006, MGIC advised the New York Insurance Department that it believes its premium rates are reasonable and that, given the nature of mortgage insurance risk, premium rates should not be determined only by the experience of recent years. In February 2006, in response to an administrative subpoena from the Minnesota Department of Commerce, which regulates insurance, we provided the Department with information about captive mortgage reinsurance and certain other matters. We subsequently provided additional information to the Minnesota Department of Commerce, and beginning in March 2008 that Department has sought additional information as well as answers to questions regarding captive mortgage reinsurance on several occasions. In June 2008, we received a subpoena from the Department of Housing and Urban Development, commonly referred to as HUD, seeking information about captive mortgage reinsurance similar to that requested by the Minnesota Department of Commerce, but not limited in scope to the state of Minnesota. Other insurance departments or other officials, including attorneys general, may also seek information about or investigate captive mortgage reinsurance.
The anti-referral fee provisions of RESPA provide that the Department of Housing and Urban Development as well as the insurance commissioner or attorney general of any state may bring an action to enjoin violations of these provisions of RESPA. The insurance law provisions of many states prohibit paying for the referral of insurance business and provide various mechanisms to enforce this prohibition. While we believe our captive reinsurance

12


Table of Contents

arrangements are in conformity with applicable laws and regulations, it is not possible to predict the outcome of any such reviews or investigations nor is it possible to predict their effect on us or the mortgage insurance industry.
In October 2007, the Division of Enforcement of the Securities and Exchange Commission requested that we voluntarily furnish documents and information primarily relating to C-BASS, the now-terminated merger with Radian and the subprime mortgage assets “in the Company’s various lines of business.” We are in the process of providing responsive documents and information to the Securities and Exchange Commission. As part of its initial information request, the SEC staff informed us that this investigation should not be construed as an indication by the SEC or its staff that any violation of the securities laws has occurred, or as a reflection upon any person, entity or security.
In the second, third and fourth quarters of 2008, complaints in five separate purported stockholder class action lawsuits were filed against us, several of our officers and an officer of C-BASS. The allegations in the complaints are generally that through these individuals we violated the federal securities laws by failing to disclose or misrepresenting C-BASS’s liquidity, the impairment of our investment in C-BASS, the inadequacy of our loss reserves and that we were not adequately capitalized. The collective time period covered by these lawsuits begins on October 12, 2006 and ends on February 12, 2008. The complaints seek damages based on purchases of our stock during this time period at prices that were allegedly inflated as a result of the purported misstatements and omissions. With limited exceptions, our bylaws provide that our officers are entitled to indemnification from us for claims against them of the type alleged in the complaints. We believe, among other things, that the allegations in the complaints are not sufficient to prevent their dismissal and intend to defend against them vigorously. However, we are unable to predict the outcome of these cases or estimate our associated expenses or possible losses.
Two law firms have issued press releases to the effect that they are investigating whether the fiduciaries of our 401(k) plan breached their fiduciary duties regarding the plan’s investment in or holding of our common stock. With limited exceptions, our bylaws provide that the plan fiduciaries are entitled to indemnification from us for claims against them. We intend to defend vigorously any proceedings that may result from these investigations.
On June 1, 2007, as a result of an examination by the Internal Revenue Service (“IRS”) for taxable years 2000 through 2004, we received a Revenue Agent Report (“RAR”). The adjustments reported on the RAR substantially increase taxable income for those tax years and resulted in the issuance of an assessment for unpaid taxes totaling $189.5 million in taxes and accuracy-related penalties, plus applicable interest. We have agreed with the IRS on certain issues and paid $10.5 million in additional taxes and interest. The remaining open issue relates to our treatment of the flow through income and loss from an investment in a portfolio of residual interests of Real Estate Mortgage Investment Conduits (“REMICS”). The IRS has indicated that it does not believe that, for various reasons, we have established sufficient tax basis in the REMIC residual interests to deduct the losses from taxable income. We disagree with this conclusion and believe that the flow through income and loss from these investments was properly reported on our federal income tax returns in accordance with applicable tax laws and regulations in effect during the periods involved and have appealed these adjustments. The appeals process may take some time and a final resolution may not be reached until a date many months or years into the future. On July 2, 2007, we made a payment of $65.2 million to the United States Department of the Treasury to eliminate

13


Table of Contents

the further accrual of interest. Although the resolution of this issue is uncertain, we believe that sufficient provisions for income taxes have been made for potential liabilities that may result. If the resolution of this matter differs materially from our estimates, it could have a material impact on our effective tax rate, results of operations and cash flows.
Under our contract underwriting agreements, we may be required to provide certain remedies to our customers if certain standards relating to the quality of our underwriting work are not met. The cost of remedies provided by us to customers for failing to meet these standards has not been material to our financial position or results of operations for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007.
Note 6 — Earnings per share
Our basic and diluted earnings per share (“EPS”) have been calculated in accordance with SFAS No. 128, “Earnings Per Share”. Basic EPS is based on the weighted average number of common shares outstanding. Typically, diluted EPS is based on the weighted average number of common shares outstanding plus common stock equivalents which include stock awards, stock options and the dilutive effect of our convertible debentures. In accordance with SFAS 128, if we report a net loss from continuing operations then our diluted EPS is computed in the same manner as the basic EPS. For the three and nine months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007, our net loss is the same for both basic and diluted EPS. The following is a reconciliation of the weighted average number of shares; however for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007 common stock equivalents of 29.4 million and 21.0 million, 0.2 million and 0.4 million, respectively, were not included because they were anti-dilutive.
                                 
    Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
    September 30,     September 30,  
    2008     2007     2008     2007  
    (in thousands)  
Weighted-average shares — Basic
    123,834       80,786       110,647       81,480  
Common stock equivalents
                       
 
                       
 
                               
Weighted-average shares — Diluted
    123,834       80,786       110,647       81,480  
 
                       
Note 7 — Fair value measurements
As discussed in Note 1, we adopted SFAS No. 157 and SFAS No. 159 effective January 1, 2008. Both standards address aspects of the expanding application of fair-value accounting. SFAS No. 157 defines fair value, establishes a consistent framework for measuring fair value and expands disclosure requirements regarding fair-value measurements. SFAS No. 159 provides companies with an option to report selected financial assets and liabilities at fair value with changes in fair value reported in earnings. The option to account for selected financial assets and liabilities at fair value is made on an instrument-by-instrument basis at the time of acquisition. For the three and nine month periods ended September 30, 2008, we did not elect the fair value option for any financial instruments acquired for which the primary basis of accounting is not fair value.

14


Table of Contents

In accordance with SFAS No. 157, we applied the following fair value hierarchy in order to measure fair value for assets and liabilities:
Level 1 — Quoted prices for identical instruments in active markets that we have the ability to access. Financial assets utilizing Level 1 inputs include certain U.S. Treasury securities and obligations of the U.S. government.
Level 2 — Quoted prices for similar instruments in active markets; quoted prices for identical or similar instruments in markets that are not active; and inputs, other than quoted prices, that are observable in the marketplace for the financial instrument. The observable inputs are used in valuation models to calculate the fair value of the financial instruments. Financial assets utilizing Level 2 inputs include certain municipal and corporate bonds.
Level 3 — Valuations derived from valuation techniques in which one or more significant inputs or value drivers are unobservable. Level 3 inputs reflect our own assumptions about the assumptions a market participant would use in pricing an asset or liability. Financial assets utilizing Level 3 inputs include certain state, corporate and mortgage-backed securities. Non-financial assets which utilize Level 3 inputs include real estate acquired through claim settlement. Additionally, financial liabilities utilizing Level 3 inputs consist of derivative financial instruments.
To determine the fair value of securities available-for-sale in Level 1 and Level 2 of the fair value hierarchy a variety of inputs are utilized including benchmark yields, reported trades, broker/dealer quotes, issuer spreads, two sided markets, benchmark securities, bids, offers and reference data including market research publications. Inputs may be weighted differently for any security, and not all inputs are used for each security evaluation. Market indicators, industry and economic events are also considered. This information is evaluated using a multidimensional pricing model. Quality controls are performed throughout this process which includes reviewing tolerance reports, trading information and data changes, and directional moves compared to market moves. This model combines all inputs to arrive at a value assigned to each security.
The values generated by this model are also reviewed for reasonableness and, in some cases, further analyzed for accuracy, which includes the review of other publicly available information. Securities whose fair value is primarily based on the use of our multidimensional pricing model are classified in Level 2 and include certain municipal and corporate bonds.
Assets and liabilities classified as Level 3 are as follows:
    Securities available-for-sale classified in Level 3 are not readily marketable and are valued using internally developed models based on the present value of expected cash flows utilizing data provided by the trustees.
 
    Real estate acquired through claim settlement is fair valued at the lower of our acquisition cost or a percentage of appraised value. The percentage applied to appraised value is based upon our historical sales experience adjusted for current trends.

15


Table of Contents

    As discussed in Note 3 the derivative related to the outstanding debentures was valued using the Black-Scholes model. Remaining derivatives are valued internally, based on the present value of expected cash flows utilizing data provided by the trustees.
Fair value measurements for items measured at fair value included the following as of September 30, 2008:
                                 
            Quoted Prices in           Significant
            Active Markets for   Significant Other   Unobservable
            Identical Assets   Observable Inputs   Inputs
    Total   (Level 1)   (Level 2)   (Level 3)
    (In thousands of dollars)
Assets
   
Securities available-for-sale
  $ 6,639,843     $ 275,806     $ 6,335,273     $ 28,764  
Real estate acquired (1)
    49,443                   49,443  
 
                               
Liabilities
                               
Other liabilities (derivatives)
  $     $     $     $  
 
(1)   Real estate acquired through claim settlement, which is held for sale, is reported in Other Assets on the consolidated balance sheet.
For assets and liabilities measured at fair value using significant unobservable inputs (Level 3), a reconciliation of the beginning and ending balances for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2008 is as follows:
                         
    Securities        
    Available-   Real Estate   Other
    for-Sale   Acquired   Liabilities
     
    (In thousands of dollars)
Balance at June 30, 2008
  $ 37,348     $ 64,619     $ (22,157 )
Total realized/unrealized gains (losses):
                       
Included in earnings and reported as realized investment gains (losses), net
    (8,157 )            
Included in earnings and reported as other revenue
                 
Included in earnings and reported as losses incurred, net
          (837 )      
Included in other comprehensive income
    (750 )            
Purchases, issuances and settlements
    323       (14,339 )     22,157  
Transfers in/and or out of Level 3
                 
     
Balance at September 30, 2008
  $ 28,764     $ 49,443     $  
     
Amount of total gains (losses) included in earnings for the three months ended September 30, 2008 attributable to the change in unrealized gains (losses) on assets (liabilities) still held at September 30, 2008
  $ (6,278 )   $ (4,230 )   $  
     

16


Table of Contents

                         
    Securities        
    Available-   Real Estate   Other
    for-Sale   Acquired   Liabilities
     
    (In thousands of dollars)
Balance at January 1, 2008
  $ 37,195     $ 145,198     $ (12,132 )
Total realized/unrealized gains (losses):
                       
Included in earnings and reported as realized investment gains (losses), net
    (14,211 )            
Included in earnings and reported as other revenue
                (6,823 )
Included in earnings and reported as losses incurred, net
          (18,595 )      
Included in other comprehensive income
    2,793              
Purchases, issuances and settlements
    2,987       (77,160 )     18,955  
Transfers in/and or out of Level 3
                 
     
Balance at September 30, 2008
  $ 28,764     $ 49,443     $  
     
Amount of total gains (losses) included in earnings for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 attributable to the change in unrealized gains (losses) on assets (liabilities) still held at September 30, 2008
  $ (12,156 )   $ (12,388 )   $  
     
For the three and nine months ended September 30, 2008 we recognized “other than temporary” impairments on our investment portfolio of approximately $31.7 million and $40.2 million, respectively. There were no “other than temporary” impairments recognized in 2007.
Note 8 — Comprehensive income
Our total comprehensive income, as calculated per SFAS No. 130, Reporting Comprehensive Income, was as follows:

17


Table of Contents

                                 
    Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
    September 30,     September 30,  
    2008     2007     2008     2007  
    (In thousands of dollars)  
Net loss
  $ (113,274 )   $ (372,469 )   $ (245,567 )   $ (203,391 )
Other comprehensive (loss) income
    (126,219 )     33,216       (185,967 )     (21,498 )
 
                       
 
                               
Total comprehensive loss
  $ (239,493 )   $ (339,253 )   $ (431,534 )   $ (224,889 )
 
                       
 
                               
Other comprehensive (loss) income (net of tax):
                               
Change in unrealized gains and losses on investments
  $ (110,989 )   $ 30,325       (178,293 )     (29,253 )
Other
    (15,230 )     2,891       (7,674 )     7,755  
 
                       
 
                               
Other comprehensive (loss) income
  $ (126,219 )   $ 33,216     $ (185,967 )   $ (21,498 )
 
                       
At September 30, 2008, accumulated other comprehensive loss of ($115.3) million included ($112.4) million of net unrealized losses on investments, $0.3 million relating to a foreign currency translation adjustment, and ($3.2) million relating to defined benefit plans, all net of tax. At December 31, 2007, accumulated other comprehensive income of $70.7 million included $65.9 million of net unrealized gains on investments, ($3.2) million relating to defined benefit plans, $8.5 million relating to foreign currency translation adjustment and ($0.5) million relating to the accumulated other comprehensive loss of our joint venture investments.
Note 9 — Benefit Plans
The following table provides the components of net periodic benefit cost for the pension, supplemental executive retirement and other postretirement benefit plans:
                                 
    Three Months Ended  
    September 30,  
    Pension and Supplemental     Other Postretirement  
    Executive Retirement Plans     Benefits  
    2008     2007     2008     2007  
    (In thousands of dollars)  
Service cost
  $ 2,303     $ 2,527     $ 1,055     $ 753  
Interest cost
    3,643       3,137       1,304       683  
Expected return on plan assets
    (4,869 )     (4,479 )     (942 )     (844 )
Recognized net actuarial loss
    141       288             (52 )
Amortization of transition obligation
                70       70  
Amortization of prior service cost
    170       141              
 
                       
 
                               
Net periodic benefit cost
  $ 1,388     $ 1,614     $ 1,487     $ 610  
 
                       

18


Table of Contents

                                 
    Nine Months Ended  
    September 30,  
    Pension and Supplemental     Other Postretirement  
    Executive Retirement Plans     Benefits  
    2008     2007     2008     2007  
    (In thousands of dollars)  
Service cost
  $ 6,375     $ 7,535     $ 2,831     $ 2,533  
Interest cost
    10,307       9,169       3,662       2,907  
Expected return on plan assets
    (14,479 )     (13,219 )     (2,824 )     (2,452 )
Recognized net actuarial loss
    369       414              
Amortization of transition obligation
                212       212  
Amortization of prior service cost
    512       423              
 
                       
 
                               
Net periodic benefit cost
  $ 3,084     $ 4,322     $ 3,881     $ 3,200  
 
                       
In October 2008 we amended our postretirement benefit plan under which we provide both medical and dental benefits for our retired employees and their spouses. Under this plan retirees pay a premium for these benefits. The amendment, which is effective January 1, 2009, includes the termination of benefits provided to retirees once they reach the age of 65. This amendment will significantly reduce our accumulated postretirement benefit obligation. The amendment will also reduce our net periodic benefit cost in future periods beginning with calendar year 2009. (The 2008 net periodic benefits costs in the tables above are not affected by the amendment.) We previously disclosed in our financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2007 that we expected to contribute approximately $9.3 million and $3.0 million, respectively, to our pension and postretirement plans in 2008. Since the amendment to the postretirement plan will reduce our accumulated benefit obligation we will not be funding that plan in 2008. In October 2008 we contributed approximately $15 million to the pension plan.
Note 10 — Joint Ventures
In August 2008 we sold our entire interest in Sherman Financial Group LLC (“Sherman”) to Sherman. Our interest sold represented approximately 24.25% of Sherman’s equity. The sale price paid was $124.5 million in cash and by delivery of Sherman’s unsecured promissory note in the principal amount of $85 million (the “Note”). The scheduled maturity of the Note is February 13, 2011 and it bears interest, payable monthly, at the annual rate equal to three-month LIBOR plus 500 basis points. The Note is issued under a Credit Agreement, dated August 13, 2008, between Sherman and MGIC.
At the time of sale the note had a fair value of $69.5 million (18.25% discount to par). The fair value was determined by comparing the terms of the Note to the discounts and yields on comparable bonds. The fair value was also discounted for illiquidity and lack of ratings. The discount will be amortized to interest income over the life of the Note. The gain recognized on the sale was $62.8 million, and is included in realized investment gains on the statement of operations for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2008.

19


Table of Contents

As a result of the sale we are entitled to an additional cash payment if by approximately early March 2009 Sherman or certain of its management affiliates enter into a definitive agreement covering a transaction involving the sale or purchase of interests in Sherman in which the fair value of the consideration reflects a value of Sherman over $1 billion plus an additional amount. The additional amount is $33 million if a definitive agreement had been entered into by early September 2008 and increases by $11 million for each monthly period that elapses after early September 2008 until a monthly period beginning in early February 2009, when the additional amount is $100 million. A qualifying purchase or sale transaction must close for us to be entitled to an additional payment.
In connection with the sale we waived, effective at the time at which the Note is paid in full, our right to any contingent consideration for the sale of the interests in Sherman that we sold in September 2007 to an entity owned by the management of Sherman. Under that sale, we are entitled to an additional cash payment if the purchaser’s after-tax rate of return on the interests purchased exceeds a threshold that equates to an annual return of 16%.
For additional information regarding the sale of our interest please refer to our Current Report on Form 8-K filed on August 14, 2008.
Note 11 — Shareholders’ equity
In March 2008 we completed the public offering and sale of 42,933,333 shares of our common stock at a price of $11.25 per share. We received net proceeds of approximately $460 million, after deducting underwriting discount and estimated offering expenses. The number of shares and proceeds reflect the exercise in full of the underwriters’ option to purchase additional shares of common stock. Of the 42.9 million shares of common stock sold, 7.1 million were newly issued shares and 35.8 million were common shares issued out of treasury. The cost of the treasury shares issued exceeded the proceeds from the sale by approximately $1.6 billion, which resulted in a deficiency. The deficiency was charged to paid-in capital related to previous treasury share transactions, and the remainder was charged to retained earnings.
A portion of the net proceeds of the offering along with the net proceeds of the debentures (see Note 3) was used to increase the capital of MGIC, our principal insurance subsidiary, in order to enable us to expand the volume of our new insurance written and a portion will also be used for our general corporate purposes.
In June 2008 our shareholders approved an amendment to our Articles of Incorporation that increased the number of authorized shares of common stock from 300 million to 460 million.

20


Table of Contents

ITEM 2.   MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
Overview
     Through our subsidiary MGIC, we are the leading provider of private mortgage insurance in the United States to the home mortgage lending industry. Our principal products are primary mortgage insurance and pool mortgage insurance. Primary mortgage insurance may be written through the flow market channel, in which loans are insured in individual, loan-by-loan transactions. Primary mortgage insurance may also be written through the bulk market channel, in which portfolios of loans are individually insured in single, bulk transactions.
     As used below, “we” and “our” refer to MGIC Investment Corporation’s consolidated operations. The discussion below should be read in conjunction with “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007. We refer to this Discussion as the “10-K MD&A.” In the discussion below, we classify, in accordance with industry practice, as “full documentation” loans approved by GSE and other automated underwriting systems under “doc waiver” programs that do not require verification of borrower income. For additional information about such loans, see footnote (3) to the delinquency table under “Results of Consolidated Operations-Losses-Losses Incurred”. The discussion of our business in this document generally does not apply to our international operations which began in 2007, are conducted only in Australia and are immaterial. The results of our operations in Australia are included in the consolidated results disclosed. For additional information about our Australian operations, see “We may not be able to realize benefits from our international initiative” in Exhibit 99 to this Report.
Forward Looking Statements
     As discussed under “Forward Looking Statements and Risk Factors” below, actual results may differ materially from the results contemplated by forward looking statements. We are not undertaking any obligation to update any forward looking statements or other statements we may make in the following discussion or elsewhere in this document even though these statements may be affected by events or circumstances occurring after the forward looking statements or other statements were made. Therefore no reader of this document should rely on these statements being accurate as of any time other than the time at which this document was filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
Outlook
     We believe the mortgage insurance industry will experience material losses on the 2006 and 2007 books. The ultimate amount of these losses will depend in part on the direction of home prices in California, Florida and other distressed markets, which in turn will be influenced by general economic conditions and other factors. Because we cannot predict future home prices or general economic conditions with confidence, we cannot predict with confidence what our ultimate losses will be on our 2006 and 2007 books. Our current expectation, however, is that these books will continue to generate material incurred and paid losses for a number of years. Our view of potential losses on these books has trended upward since the first quarter of 2008, including since the time at which we finalized our Form 10-Q for the second quarter of this year.

21


Table of Contents

     The Office of the Commissioner of Insurance of Wisconsin is MGIC’s principal insurance regulator. To assess a mortgage guaranty insurer’s capital adequacy, Wisconsin’s insurance regulations require that a mortgage guaranty insurance company maintain “policyholders position” of not less than a minimum computed under a formula. Policyholders position is the insurer’s net worth, contingency reserve and a portion of the reserves for unearned premiums, with credit given for authorized reinsurance. The minimum required by the formula (“MPP”) depends on the insurance in force and whether the loans insured are primary insurance or pool insurance and further depends on the LTV ratio of the individual loans and their coverage percentage (and in the case of pool insurance, the amount of any deductible). If a mortgage guaranty insurer does not meet MPP it cannot write new business until its policyholders position meets the minimum.
     Some states that regulate us have provisions that limit the risk-to-capital ratio (see “Liquidity and Capital Resources—Risk to Capital”) of a mortgage guaranty insurance company to 25:1. If an insurance company’s risk-to-capital ratio exceeds the limit applicable in a state, it may be prohibited from writing new business in that state until its risk-to-capital ratio falls below the limit.
     At September 30, 2008, MGIC exceeded MPP by more than $1.6 billion, and we exceeded MPP by $1.8 billion on a combined basis. At September 30, 2008 MGIC’s risk-to-capital was 12.3:1 and our risk-to-capital was 13.9:1 on a combined basis. (The combined figures give effect to reinsurance with subsidiaries of our holding company.)
     Because the factors that will affect our future losses are subject to significant uncertainty, we cannot predict with confidence the level of our future losses. However, if recent loss trends continue MGIC’s policyholders position would decline and its risk-to-capital would increase beyond the levels necessary to meet regulatory requirements. Depending on the level of future losses, this could occur before the end of 2009.
     Our estimated loss reserves reflect loss mitigation from rescissions using only the rate at which we have rescinded claims during recent periods, as discussed under “Results of Consolidated Operations—Losses—Losses Incurred". In light of the number of claims investigations we are pursuing, we expect our current rescission rate to increase materially, although if the insured disputes our right to rescind a claim, whether the requirements to rescind are met ultimately would be determined by arbitration or judicial proceedings. Our estimated loss reserves also do not take account of the effect of potential benefits that might be realized from loan modification programs. Our MPP and risk-to-capital have historically been computed based on risk in force that is not reduced for loss reserves established for known delinquencies even though our policyholders position is reduced for those delinquencies. See “Liquidity and Capital Resources—Risk to Capital.” To the extent our risk in force could be reduced for such loss reserves and the reduction were consistent with regulatory requirements, we may be able to defer the time at which we would not meet regulatory levels of MPP or risk-to-capital. While these items, if they in fact occur, would reduce the amount by which MPP and risk-to-capital would not meet regulatory requirements, we have not quantified their effect and cannot determine the amount of any such reduction.
     We are considering options to obtain additional capital, which could occur through the sale of equity or debt securities and/or reinsurance. We cannot predict whether we will be successful in raising additional capital from any source but any sale of additional securities could dilute substantially the interest of existing shareholders.

22


Table of Contents

     An inability to write new business does not mean that we do not have sufficient resources to pay claims. We believe we have more than adequate resources to pay claims on our insurance in force, even in scenarios in which losses materially exceed those that would result in not meeting MPP and risk-to-capital requirements. Our claims paying resources principally consist of our investment portfolio, captive reinsurance trust funds and future premiums on our insurance in force, net of premiums ceded to captive and other reinsurers.
     At October 31, 2008, we had approximately $391 million in short-term investments at our holding company. Our holding company’s obligations include $1.090 billion in indebtedness. See Notes 2 and 3 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements contained elsewhere in this Form 10-Q for additional information about this indebtedness. See “Liquidity and Capital Resources — Holding Company Capital Resources” for information about restrictions on MGIC’s payment of dividends to our holding company. Historically, these dividends have been the principal source of our holding company’s cash inflow.
Housing Legislation
     In late July the Housing and Economic Recovery Act of 2008 was enacted. Included in this legislation is the HOPE for Homeowners Act of 2008 which creates a new, temporary, voluntary program within FHA to back FHA-insured mortgages to distressed borrowers. The new mortgages offered by FHA-approved lenders will refinance the loans of distressed owner-occupants at risk of losing their homes to foreclosure at significant discounts to the original value of the home. Also included in the Act is the Federal Housing Finance Regulatory Reform Act of 2008 which establishes a new, independent, “world class” regulator for Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the Federal Home Loan Banks. This regulator has been given broad authority to ensure the safety and soundness of these entities, including the ability to establish new capital standards, restrict asset growth, establish standards for portfolio risk management, and review and approve new product offerings. There can be no assurance that any changes resulting from the implementation of this new regulatory regime will not alter our relationship or ability to conduct business with the GSEs in a materially adverse manner.
     In September the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008 (“EESA”) was enacted. Included in this legislation is the Troubled Assets Relief Program (“TARP”) which, among other provisions, allows mortgage assets to be purchased by the federal government from financial institutions. To the extent assets are acquired or controlled by a government agency such agency must implement a plan that seeks to maximize assistance to homeowners to minimize foreclosures. Some lenders have agreed to modify certain loans that are currently delinquent or are at risk to become delinquent. There can be no assurance that current, or future, legislation or agreements to modify loans, should they occur, will materially reduce the level of delinquencies and claims we are currently experiencing or could experience in the future.
Factors Affecting Our Results
Our results of operations are affected by:
    Premiums written and earned
 
      Premiums written and earned in a year are influenced by:

23


Table of Contents

    New insurance written, which increases the size of the in force book of insurance, is the aggregate principal amount of the mortgages that are insured during a period. Many factors affect new insurance written, including the volume of low down payment home mortgage originations and competition to provide credit enhancement on those mortgages, including competition from other mortgage insurers and alternatives to mortgage insurance.
 
    Cancellations, which reduce the size of the in force book of insurance that generates premiums. Cancellations due to refinancings are affected by the level of current mortgage interest rates compared to the mortgage coupon rates throughout the in force book, as well as by current home values compared to values when the loans in the in force book became insured.
 
    Premium rates, which are affected by the risk characteristics of the loans insured and the percentage of coverage on the loans.
 
    Premiums ceded to reinsurance subsidiaries of certain mortgage lenders (“captives”) and risk sharing arrangements with the GSEs.
     Premiums are generated by the insurance that is in force during all or a portion of the period. Hence, changes in the average insurance in force in the current period compared to an earlier period is a factor that will increase (when the average in force is higher) or reduce (when it is lower) premiums written and earned in the current period, although this effect may be enhanced (or mitigated) by differences in the average premium rate between the two periods as well as by premiums that are ceded to captives. Also, new insurance written and cancellations during a period will generally have a greater effect on premiums written and earned in subsequent periods than in the period in which these events occur.
    Investment income
     Our investment portfolio is comprised almost entirely of fixed income securities rated “A” or higher. The principal factors that influence investment income are the size of the portfolio and its yield. As measured by amortized cost (which excludes changes in fair market value, such as from changes in interest rates), the size of the investment portfolio is mainly a function of cash generated from (or used in) operations, such as investment earnings and claim payments, less cash used for non-operating activities, such as share repurchases. Realized gains and losses are a function of the difference between the amount received on sale of a security and the security’s amortized cost. The amount received on sale of fixed income securities is affected by the coupon rate of the security compared to the yield of comparable securities at the time of sale.
    Losses incurred
     Losses incurred are the current expense that reflects estimated payments that will ultimately be made as a result of delinquencies on insured loans. As explained under “Critical Accounting Policies,” in the 10-K MD&A, except in the case of premium deficiency reserves, we recognize an estimate of this expense only for delinquent loans. Losses incurred are generally affected by:

24


Table of Contents

    The state of the economy and housing values, each of which affects the likelihood that loans will become delinquent and whether loans that are delinquent cure their delinquency. The level of delinquencies has historically followed a seasonal pattern, with a reduction in delinquencies in the first part of the year, followed by an increase in the latter part of the year. However, although this pattern has continued, the default inventory has increased each quarter since the second quarter of 2007 because the seasonal pattern has been more than offset by the development of the 2006 and 2007 books of business.
 
    The product mix of the in force book, with loans having higher risk characteristics generally resulting in higher delinquencies and claims.
 
    The size of loans insured. Higher average loan amounts tend to increase losses incurred.
 
    The percentage of coverage on insured loans. Deeper average coverage tends to increase incurred losses.
 
    Changes in housing values, which affect our ability to mitigate our losses through sales of properties with delinquent mortgages as well as borrower willingness to continue to make mortgage payments when the value of the home is below the mortgage balance.
 
    The distribution of claims over the life of a book. Historically, the first two years after a loan is originated are a period of relatively low claims, with claims increasing substantially for several years subsequent and then declining, although persistency, the condition of the economy and other factors can affect this pattern.
    Changes in premium deficiency reserves
     Each quarter, we re-estimate the premium deficiency reserve on the remaining Wall Street bulk insurance in force. The premium deficiency reserve primarily changes from quarter to quarter as a result of two factors. First, it changes as the actual premiums, losses and expenses that were previously estimated are recognized. Each period such items are reflected in our financial statements as earned premium, losses incurred and expenses. The difference between the amount and timing of actual earned premiums, losses incurred and expenses and our previous estimates used to establish the premium deficiency reserves has an effect (either positive or negative) on that period’s results. Second, the premium deficiency reserve changes as our assumptions relating to the present value of expected future premiums, losses and expenses on the remaining Wall Street bulk insurance in force change. Changes to these assumptions also have an effect on that period’s results.
    Underwriting and other expenses
     The majority of our operating expenses are fixed, with some variability due to contract underwriting volume. Contract underwriting generates fee income included in “Other revenue.”
    Interest expense

25


Table of Contents

     Interest expense reflects the interest associated with our debt obligations. Our long-term debt obligations at September 30, 2008 include our $300 million of 5.375% Senior Notes due in November 2015, $200 million of 5.625% Senior Notes due in September 2011, $200 million outstanding under a credit facility expiring in March 2010 and $390 million in convertible debentures due in 2063, as discussed in “Note 2. Short- and long-term debt” and “Note 3. Convertible debentures and related derivatives” to our consolidated financial statements and under “Liquidity and Capital Resources” below.
    Income (loss) from joint ventures
     Our results of operations are also affected by the results of our joint ventures, which are accounted for under the equity method. Historically, joint venture income principally consisted of the aggregate results of our investment in two less than majority owned joint ventures, Credit-Based Asset Servicing and Securitization LLC, C-BASS, and Sherman Financial Group LLC. In 2007, joint venture losses included an impairment charge equal to our entire equity interest in C-BASS, as well as equity losses incurred by C-BASS in the fourth quarter that reduced the carrying value of our $50 million note from C-BASS to zero. As a result, beginning in the first quarter of 2008, our joint venture income principally consisted of income from Sherman. In the third quarter of 2008, we sold our entire interest in Sherman to Sherman. As a result, beginning in the fourth quarter of 2008, we expect that our joint venture income will be less material to our results of operations. Our income (loss) from joint ventures also includes certain tax credit investments, accounted for in accordance with the equity method of accounting, of an immaterial amount.
     Please refer to our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the Quarter Ended June 30, 2008 for a description of the historical business activities of Sherman.
     In 2007, C-BASS ceased its operations and is managing its portfolio pursuant to a consensual, non-bankruptcy restructuring, under which its assets are to be paid out over time to its secured and unsecured creditors.
Mortgage Insurance Earnings and Cash Flow Cycle
     In our industry, a “book” is the group of loans that a mortgage insurer insures in a particular calendar year. In general, the majority of any underwriting profit (premium revenue minus losses) that a book generates occurs in the early years of the book, with the largest portion of any underwriting profit realized in the first year. Subsequent years of a book generally result in modest underwriting profit or underwriting losses. This pattern of results typically occurs because relatively few of the claims that a book will ultimately experience typically occur in the first few years of the book, when premium revenue is highest, while subsequent years are affected by declining premium revenues, as the number of insured loans decreases (primarily due to loan prepayments), and losses increase.
     2008 Third Quarter Results
     Our results of operations in the third quarter of 2008 were principally affected by:

26


Table of Contents

  Premiums written and earned
     Premiums written and earned during the third quarter of 2008 increased compared to the same period in 2007. The increase in premiums resulted from the continued increase in the average insurance in force; however the effect of the higher in force has been somewhat offset by lower average premium yields due to a shift in the mix of new writings to loans with lower loan-to-value ratios, higher FICO scores and full documentation, which carry lower premium rates.
  Investment income
     Investment income in the third quarter of 2008 was higher when compared to the same period in 2007 due to an increase in the average amortized cost of invested assets, offset by a decrease in the pre-tax yield.
  Realized gains
     Realized gains for the third quarter of 2008 included $62.8 million from the sale of our remaining interest in Sherman, which was offset by “other than temporary” impairments on our investment portfolio of approximately $31.7 million and realized losses on sales of investments of $3.2 million. Realized gains in the third quarter of 2007 included a $162.9 million pre-tax gain on the sale of a portion our interest in Sherman.
  Losses incurred
     Losses incurred for the third quarter of 2008 significantly increased compared to the same period in 2007 primarily due to a significant increase in the default inventory, offset by a smaller increase in the estimates regarding how much will be paid on claims, or severity, and a decrease in the estimates regarding how many delinquencies will result in a claim, or claim rate, when compared to the same period in 2007. The default inventory increased by approximately 23,700 delinquencies in the third quarter of 2008, compared to an increase of approximately 10,200 in the third quarter of 2007. The continued increase in estimated severity was primarily the result of the default inventory containing higher loan exposures with expected higher average claim payments as well as our inability to mitigate losses through the sale of properties due to slowing home price appreciation or home price declines in some areas. The decrease in estimated claim rate for the quarter was primarily due to an increase in mitigation from rescissions and denials for misrepresentation, ineligibility and policy exclusions.
  Premium deficiency
     During the third quarter of 2008 the premium deficiency reserve on Wall Street bulk transactions declined by $204 million from $788 million, as of June 30, 2008, to $584 million as of September 30, 2008. The $584 million premium deficiency reserve as of September 30, 2008 reflects the present value of expected future losses and expenses that exceeded the present value of expected future premium and already established loss reserves.
  Underwriting and other expenses

27


Table of Contents

     Underwriting and other expenses for the third quarter of 2008 decreased when compared to the same period in 2007. The decrease reflects our lower volumes of new insurance written as well as a focus on expenses in difficult market conditions. Also, the third quarter of 2007 included $11.3 million in one-time expenses associated with a terminated merger.
  Interest expense
     Interest expense for the third quarter of 2008 increased when compared to the same period in 2007. The increase reflects the issuance of our convertible debentures in March and April of 2008.
  Income from joint ventures
     Income from joint ventures, net of tax, was $3.3 million compared to a loss from joint ventures, net of tax, of $290.6 million for the same period last year. The loss from joint venture in the third quarter of 2007 was due primarily to the impairment of our investment in C-BASS. In the third quarter of 2008 we sold our remaining interest in Sherman. The gain on the sale of our interest is included in realized gains on our statements of operations.

28


Table of Contents

Results of Consolidated Operations
New insurance written
     The amount of our primary new insurance written during the three and nine months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007 was as follows:
                                 
    Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
    September 30,     September 30,  
    2008     2007     2008     2007  
    ($ billions)  
NIW — Flow Channel
  $ 9.7     $ 19.7     $ 41.2     $ 47.3  
NIW — Bulk Channel
          1.4       1.6       5.5  
 
                       
 
                               
Total Primary NIW
  $ 9.7     $ 21.1     $ 42.8     $ 52.8  
 
                       
 
                               
Refinance volume as a % of primary flow NIW
    12 %     21 %     27 %     23 %
     The decrease in new insurance written on a flow basis in the third quarter and first nine months of 2008, compared to the same periods in 2007, was primarily due to changes in our underwriting guidelines discussed below, as well as a decrease in the total mortgage origination market and greater usage of FHA insurance programs as an alternative to mortgage insurance. For a discussion of new insurance written through the bulk channel, see “Bulk transactions” below.
     We anticipate our flow new insurance written for the full year 2008 to be significantly below the level written in 2007, due to changes in our underwriting guidelines discussed below as well as premium rate increases implemented during 2008. We also anticipate that our flow new insurance written in the fourth quarter of 2008 will be below the level in the third quarter of 2008 for these same reasons. Our level of new insurance written could also be affected by other items, as noted in our Risk Factors, which are an integral part of this Management’s Discussion and Analysis.
     As we had disclosed for some time in our Risk Factors, the percentage of our volume written on a flow basis that includes segments we view as having a higher probability of claim continued to increase through 2007. In particular, the percentage of our flow new insurance written with loan-to-value ratios greater than 95% grew to 42% in 2007, compared to 34% in 2006. For the third quarter of 2008 the percentage of our flow new insurance written with loan-to-value ratios greater than 95% declined to 7%, compared to 44% for the same period a year ago. For the first nine months of 2008 the percentage with loan-to-value ratios greater than 95% was 20%, compared to 43% for the same period in 2007.
     We continue to implement changes to our underwriting guidelines that are designed to improve the credit risk profile of our new insurance written. The changes primarily affect borrowers who have multiple risk factors such as a high loan-to-value ratio, a lower FICO score and limited documentation or are financing a home in a market we categorize as higher risk. We are also implementing premium rate increases. Several underwriting guidelines and

29


Table of Contents

premium rate changes were implemented during 2008, although a significant portion of our new business in the first quarter of 2008 was committed to prior to the effective date of these changes.
Cancellations and insurance in force
     New insurance written and cancellations of primary insurance in force during the three and nine months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007 were as follows:
                                 
    Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
    September 30,     September 30,  
    2008     2007     2008     2007  
    ($ billions)  
NIW
  $ 9.7     $ 21.1     $ 42.8     $ 52.8  
Cancellations
    (7.9 )     (10.6 )     (26.3 )     (32.7 )
 
                       
 
                               
Change in primary insurance in force
  $ 1.8     $ 10.5     $ 16.5     $ 20.1  
 
                       
     Direct primary insurance in force was $228.2 billion at September 30, 2008 compared to $211.7 billion at December 31, 2007 and $196.6 billion at September 30, 2007.
     Cancellation activity has historically been affected by the level of mortgage interest rates and the level of home price appreciation. Cancellations generally move inversely to the change in the direction of interest rates, although they generally lag a change in direction. Our persistency rate (percentage of insurance remaining in force from one year prior) was 82.1% at September 30, 2008, an increase from 76.4% at December 31, 2007 and 74.0% at September 30, 2007. These persistency rate improvements reflect the more restrictive credit policies of lenders (which make it more difficult to refinance loans), as well as the declining rate of home price appreciation in some markets and declines in housing values in other markets.
Bulk transactions
     New insurance written for bulk transactions was zero and $1.6 billion, respectively, for the third quarter and first nine months of 2008 compared to $1.4 billion and $5.5 billion, respectively, for the third quarter and first nine months of 2007. The decrease in bulk writings was primarily due to our decision in the fourth quarter of 2007 to stop insuring Wall Street bulk transactions. The majority of the bulk business in 2008 was lender paid transactions that included high quality prime loans and the remainder was bulk business with the GSEs, which also included prime loans. We expect new insurance written for bulk transactions in 2008 and thereafter to be significantly lower than the $16.0 billion average volume written through the bulk channel during the previous three years. Wall Street bulk transactions represented approximately 41%, 66% and 89% of our new insurance written for bulk transactions during 2007, 2006 and 2005, respectively, and at September 30, 2008 included approximately

30


Table of Contents

122,700 loans with insurance in force of approximately $20.7 billion and risk in force of approximately $6.1 billion, which is approximately 64% of our bulk risk in force.
Pool insurance
     In addition to providing primary insurance coverage, we also insure pools of mortgage loans. New pool risk written during the three months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007 was $41 million and $64 million, respectively. Our direct pool risk in force was $2.2 billion, $2.8 billion and $3.0 billion at September 30, 2008, December 31, 2007 and September 30, 2007, respectively. These risk amounts represent pools of loans with contractual aggregate loss limits and in some cases those without these limits. For pools of loans without these limits, risk is estimated based on the amount that would credit enhance the loans in the pool to a “AA” level based on a rating agency model. Under this model, at September 30, 2008, December 31, 2007 and September 30, 2007, for $2.7 billion, $4.1 billion and $4.2 billion, respectively, of risk without these limits, risk in force is calculated at $306 million, $475 million and $474 million, respectively. For the three months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007 for $1 million and $9 million, respectively, of risk without contractual aggregate loss limits, new risk written under this model was $0.1 million and $0.5 million, respectively.
     New pool risk written during the nine months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007 was $142 million and $151 million, respectively. Under the model described above, for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007 for $23 million and $24 million, respectively, of risk without contractual aggregate loss limits, new risk written during those periods was calculated at $1 million and $1 million, respectively.
Net premiums written and earned
     Net premiums written and earned during the third quarter and first nine months of 2008 increased compared to the same periods in 2007. The average insurance in force continued to increase, however the effect of the higher in force has been somewhat offset by lower average premium yields due to a shift in the mix of new writings to loans with lower loan-to-value ratios, higher FICO scores and full documentation, which carry lower premium rates. We expect our average insurance in force to continue to be higher in 2008, compared to 2007, with our insurance in force balance to begin to stabilize or decrease slightly through the remainder of 2008. The decrease in the total mortgage origination market has also been coupled with greater usage of FHA insurance programs as an alternative to mortgage insurance.
     Despite our premium rate increases, we expect our premium yields to continue to be lower in 2008, compared to 2007, due to the fact that we are no longer insuring Wall Street Bulk transactions and, as a result of our underwriting changes, we will be insuring fewer loans with loan-to-value ratios greater than 95%, loans classified as A-minus and reduced documentation loans, which carry higher premium rates.
Risk sharing arrangements
     For the three months ended June 30, 2008, approximately 34.3% of our flow new insurance written was subject to arrangements with captives or risk sharing arrangements

31


Table of Contents

with the GSEs compared to 47.7% for the year ended December 31, 2007 and 46.7% for the three months ended June 30, 2007. The percentage of new insurance written covered by these arrangements is shown only for the period ended June 30, 2008 because this percentage normally increases after the end of a quarter. Such increases can be caused by, among other things, the transfer of a loan in the secondary market, which can result in a mortgage insured during a quarter becoming part of a risk sharing arrangement in a subsequent quarter. New insurance written through the bulk channel is not subject to risk sharing arrangements. Premiums ceded in these arrangements are reported in the period in which they are ceded regardless of when the mortgage was insured.
     On February 14, 2008 Freddie Mac announced that effective on and after June 1, 2008, Freddie Mac-approved private mortgage insurers, including MGIC, may not cede new risk if the gross risk or gross premium ceded to captive reinsurers is greater than 25%. Freddie Mac stated that it made this change to allow mortgage insurers to retain more insurance premiums to pay current claims and rebuild their capital bases. Fannie Mae informed us on February 26, 2008 that it was making similar changes to its requirements. Effective June 1, 2008, we have made the appropriate changes to the terms of our arrangements with those captives that had exceeded the 25% limit.
     In September 2008 we announced that effective January 1, 2009 we will no longer cede new business under excess of loss reinsurance treaties with lender captive reinsurers. Loans reinsured through December 31, 2008 will run off pursuant to the terms of the particular captive arrangement. Quota share reinsurance arrangements are not affected by this announcement. During 2008, a number of our captive arrangements have either been terminated (in a termination, the arrangement is cancelled, with no future premium ceded and funds for any incurred but unpaid losses transferred to MGIC) or placed into run-off (in a run-off, no new loans are reinsured by the captive but loans previously reinsured continue to be covered, with premium and losses continuing to be ceded on those loans).
     See discussion under “-Losses” regarding losses assumed by captives.
     In June 2008 we entered into a reinsurance agreement with an affiliate of HCC Insurance Holdings, Inc. The reinsurance agreement is effective on the risk associated with up to $50 billion of qualifying new insurance written each calendar year. The term of the reinsurance agreement begins April 1, 2008 and ends on December 31, 2010, subject to two one-year extensions that may be exercised by HCC. We believe that substantially all of our insurance written subsequent to April 1, 2008 will qualify under the reinsurance agreement.
     The reinsurance agreement is expected to provide claims-paying resources in catastrophic loss environments for insurance written beginning April 1, 2008.
     The agreement is accounted for under deposit accounting rather than reinsurance accounting, because under the guidance of SFAS 113 “Accounting for Reinsurance Contracts”, we concluded that the reinsurance agreement does not result in the reasonable possibility that the reinsurer will suffer a significant loss. The premium ceded to the reinsurer and the brokerage commission paid to an affiliate of the reinsurer, net of a profit commission to us, is recorded as reinsurance fee expense on our statement of operations. In non-catastrophic loss environments, we expect the net expense will be approximately 5% of net premiums earned on business covered by the agreement. The reinsurance fee for the third quarter and first nine months of 2008 is separately shown in the statements of operations.

32


Table of Contents

Investment income
     Investment income for the third quarter and first nine months of 2008 increased when compared to the same periods in 2007 due to an increase in the average amortized cost of invested assets, offset by a decrease in the average investment yield. The portfolio’s average pre-tax investment yield was 4.05% at September 30, 2008 and 4.70% at September 30, 2007. The portfolio’s average after-tax investment yield was 3.61% at September 30, 2008 and 4.15% at September 30, 2007. Assuming shorter-term yields remain at their current levels, we expect the investment yield will continue to decline because we are investing available funds in shorter maturities so that they will be available for claim payments without the need to obtain the necessary funds through sales of our fixed income investments.
Realized gains
     Realized gains for the third quarter of 2008 included $62.8 million from the sale of our remaining interest in Sherman, which was offset by realized losses and “other than temporary” impairment charges of $34.9 million on our fixed income investments including Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Lehman Brothers and AIG. Realized gains for the third quarter of 2007 included $162.9 million from the sale of a portion of our interest in Sherman.
     Realized gains for the first nine months of 2008 included $62.8 million from the sale of our remaining interest in Sherman, which was offset by “other than temporary” impairments on our investment portfolio of approximately $40.2 million and realized losses on sales of investments. Realized gains for the first nine months of 2007 included $162.9 million from the sale of a portion of our interest in Sherman offset by realized losses. There were no “other than temporary” impairments in the first nine months of 2007.
Other revenue
     Other revenue for the third quarter of 2008 increased when compared to the same period in 2007. The increase in other revenue was primarily the result of other non-insurance operations. Other revenue for the first nine months of 2008 increased slightly compared to the same period in 2007. The increase was primarily due to a slight increase in contract underwriting fees.
Losses
     As discussed in “—Critical Accounting Policies” in the 10-K MD&A, and consistent with industry practices, we establish loss reserves for future claims only for loans that are currently delinquent. The terms “delinquent” and “default” are used interchangeably by us and are defined as an insured loan with a mortgage payment that is 45 days or more past due. Loss reserves are established by our estimate of the number of loans in our inventory of delinquent loans that will not cure their delinquency and thus result in a claim, which is referred to as the claim rate (historically, a substantial majority of delinquent loans have eventually cured), and further estimating the amount that we will pay in claims on the loans that do not cure, which is referred to as claim severity.

33


Table of Contents

     Estimation of losses that we will pay in the future is inherently judgmental. The conditions that affect the claim rate and claim severity include the current and future state of the domestic economy and the current and future strength of local housing markets. Current conditions in the housing and mortgage industries make these assumptions more volatile than they would otherwise be. The actual amount of the claim payments may be substantially different than our loss reserve estimates. Our estimates could be adversely affected by several factors, including a deterioration of regional or national economic conditions leading to a reduction in borrowers’ income and thus their ability to make mortgage payments, and a drop in housing values that could adversely affect the ability of borrowers to cure their defaults through the sale of their homes or influence the willingness of borrowers who have resources to cure their defaults to do so. Changes to our estimates could result in a material impact to our results of operations, even in a stable economic environment.
     Our estimates could also be positively affected by government efforts to assist current borrowers in refinancing to new loan instruments, assisting delinquent borrowers and lenders in modifying their mortgage notes into something more affordable, and forestalling foreclosures. In addition private company efforts such as the HOPE NOW program, the Bank of America (Countrywide) settlement and JP Morgan Chase loan modification program may have a positive impact on our loss development. However, all of these efforts are in their early stages and therefore we are unsure of their magnitude or the benefit to us or our industry, and as a result they are not factored into our current reserving.
Losses incurred
     Losses incurred for the third quarter of 2008 significantly increased compared to the same period in 2007 primarily due to a significant increase in the default inventory offset by a smaller increase in estimated severity, as well as a decrease in estimated claim rate, when each are compared to the same period in 2007. The default inventory increased by approximately 23,700 delinquencies in the third quarter of 2008, compared to an increase of approximately 10,200 in the third quarter of 2007. The continued increase in estimated severity was primarily the result of the default inventory containing higher loan exposures with expected higher average claim payments as well as our inability to mitigate losses through the sale of properties due to slowing home price appreciation or home price declines in some areas. The increase was less substantial than the increase experienced during the third quarter of 2007. The decrease in estimated claim rate for the quarter was primarily due to an increase in mitigation from rescissions and denials for misrepresentation, ineligibility and policy exclusions. This decrease in estimated claim rate is based on recent historical experience and does not take into account any potential benefits of mitigation programs that are in their early stages for which we have no data on historical performance.
     Losses incurred for the first nine months of 2008 significantly increased compared to the same period in 2007 primarily due to increases in the default inventory, offset by a slight decrease in the claim rate, when each of these items is compared to the same period in 2007. The default inventory increased by approximately 44,800 delinquencies in the first nine months of 2008, compared to an increase of approximately 12,200 in the first nine months of 2007.

34


Table of Contents

     Our loss estimates are established based upon historical experience. We continue to experience increases in delinquencies in certain markets with higher than average loan balances, such as Florida and California. In California we have experienced an increase in delinquencies, from 6,900 as of December 31, 2007 to 8,500 as of March 31, 2008, 10,200 as of June 30, 2008 and 12,000 as of September 30, 2008. Our Florida delinquencies increased from 12,500 as of December 31, 2007 to 15,600 as of March 31, 2008, 19,400 as of June 30, 2008 and 23,800 as of September 30, 2008. The average claim paid on California loans was more than twice as high as the average claim paid for the remainder of the country.
     We believe that the foregoing trends will likely continue in the fourth quarter of 2008, resulting in a higher level of incurred losses in 2008, compared to 2007. These trends may also continue beyond 2008.
     As discussed under “—Risk Sharing Arrangements”, a portion of our flow new insurance written is subject to reinsurance arrangements with captives. The majority of these reinsurance arrangements are aggregate excess of loss reinsurance agreements, and the remainder are quota share agreements. As discussed under “Risk Sharing Arrangements” effective January 1, 2009 we will no longer cede new business under excess of loss reinsurance treaties with lender captive reinsurers. Loans reinsured through December 31, 2008 will run off pursuant to the terms of the particular captive arrangement. Under the aggregate excess of loss agreements, we are responsible for the first aggregate layer of loss, which is typically between 4% and 5%, the captives are responsible for the second aggregate layer of loss, which is typically 5% or 10%, and we are responsible for any remaining loss. The layers are typically expressed as a percentage of the original risk on an annual book of business reinsured by the captive. The premium cessions on these agreements typically ranged from 25% to 40% of the direct premium. Under a quota share arrangement premiums and losses are shared on a pro-rata basis between us and the captives, with the captives’ portion of both premiums and losses typically ranging from 25% to 50%. As noted under “Risk Sharing Arrangements” based on changes to the GSE requirements, beginning June 1, 2008 our captive arrangements, both aggregate excess of loss and quota share, are limited to a 25% cede rate.
     Under these agreements the captives are required to maintain a separate trust account, of which we are the sole beneficiary. Premiums ceded to a captive are deposited in the applicable trust account to support the captive’s layer of insured risk. These amounts are held in the trust account and are available to pay reinsured losses. The captive’s ultimate liability is limited to the assets in the trust account. When specific time periods are met and the individual trust account balance has reached a required level, then the individual captive may make authorized withdrawals from its applicable trust account. In most cases, the captives are also allowed to withdraw funds from the trust account to pay verifiable federal income taxes and operational expenses. Conversely, if the account balance falls below certain thresholds, the individual captive may be required to contribute funds to the trust account. However, in most cases, our sole remedy if a captive does not contribute such funds is to put the captive into run-off, in which case no new business would be ceded to the captive. In the event that the captives’ incurred but unpaid losses exceed the funds in the trust account, and the captive does not deposit adequate funds, we intend to terminate the captive agreement, assume the captives obligations, transfer the amount in the trust accounts to us, and retain all future premium payments. However, if the captive would challenge our right to do so, the matter would be determined by arbitration. The total fair value of the trust fund assets under these agreements at September 30, 2008 exceeded $790 million.

35


Table of Contents

     In the third quarter and first nine months of 2008 the captive arrangements reduced our losses incurred by approximately $157 million and $306 million, respectively. We anticipate that the reduction in losses incurred will continue at this level in the fourth quarter of 2008.
     Information about the composition of the primary insurance default inventory at September 30, 2008, December 31, 2007 and September 30, 2007 appears in the table below.
                         
    September 30,   December 31,   September 30,
    2008 2007   2007
Total loans delinquent (1)
    151,908       107,120       90,829  
Percentage of loans delinquent (default rate)
    10.20 %     7.45 %     6.63 %
 
                       
Prime loans delinquent (2)
    76,110       49,333       41,412  
Percentage of prime loans delinquent (default rate)
    6.25 %     4.33 %     3.86 %
 
                       
A-minus loans delinquent (2)
    28,384       22,863       19,918  
Percentage of A-minus loans delinquent (default rate)
    25.93 %     19.20 %     17.35 %
 
                       
Subprime credit loans delinquent (2)
    12,705       12,915       12,186  
Percentage of subprime credit loans delinquent (default rate)
    39.62 %     34.08 %     30.65 %
 
                       
Reduced documentation loans delinquent (3)
    34,709       22,009       17,313  
Percentage of reduced doc loans delinquent (default rate)
    26.75 %     15.48 %     12.14 %
 
(1)   At September 30, 2008 and December 31, 2007, 42,899 and 39,704 loans in default, respectively, related to Wall Street bulk transactions.
 
(2)   We define prime loans as those having FICO credit scores of 620 or greater, A-minus loans as those having FICO credit scores of 575-619, and subprime credit loans as those having FICO credit scores of less than 575, all as reported to us at the time a commitment to insure is issued. Most A-minus and subprime credit loans were written through the bulk channel.
 
(3)   In accordance with industry practice, loans approved by GSE and other automated underwriting (AU) systems under “doc waiver” programs that do not require verification of borrower income are classified by MGIC as “full documentation.” Based in part on information provided by the GSEs, MGIC estimates full documentation loans of this type were approximately 4% of 2007 NIW. Information for other periods is not available. MGIC understands these AU systems grant such doc waivers for loans they judge to have higher credit quality. To the extent the percentage of loans judged to have higher credit quality increases, the percentage of such doc waivers would also be expected to increase.
     In the second quarter of 2008 a large servicer changed their methodology for reporting delinquencies to us and the industry for loans greater than 12 months old. Under the new methodology this servicer is now reporting delinquencies to us sooner than they had historically and is now reporting consistent with substantially all other servicers. As a result of this change the servicer reported approximately 4,400 more delinquencies to us in the second quarter, which represented 30% of our total increase in delinquencies for that quarter. Because our reserves for estimated losses include loans that are delinquent but not yet reported to us by servicers within our incurred but not reported, or IBNR reserves, this change by the servicer did not have any effect on our overall loss reserves.

36


Table of Contents

     The pool notice inventory increased from 25,224 at December 31, 2007 to 29,916 at September 30, 2008; the pool notice inventory was 22,031 at September 30, 2007.
     The average primary claim paid for the third quarter of 2008 was $53,930 compared to $39,021 for the same period in 2007. The average primary claim paid for the first nine months of 2008 was $52,737 compared to $34,541 for the same period in 2007. We expect the average primary claim paid to continue to increase in the fourth quarter of 2008 and beyond. We expect these increases will be driven by our higher average insured loan sizes as well as decreases in our ability to mitigate losses through the sale of properties in some geographical regions, as certain housing markets, like California and Florida, continue to be weak.
     The average claim paid for the top 5 states (based on 2008 losses paid) for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007 appears in the table below.
Average claim paid
                                 
    Three months ended     Nine months ended  
    September 30,     September 30,  
    2008     2007     2008     2007  
California
  $ 116,058     $ 96,817     $ 116,641     $ 85,103  
Florida
    68,810       59,412       69,886       47,481  
Michigan
    36,067       36,287       36,918       35,212  
Ohio
    30,733       31,955       33,098       31,493  
Arizona
    64,170       59,984       69,900       50,123  
Other states
    43,850       35,116       43,022       32,147  
 
                       
 
                               
All states
  $ 53,930     $ 39,021     $ 52,737     $ 34,541  
     The average loan size of our insurance in force at September 30, 2008, December 31, 2007 and September 30, 2007 appears in the table below.
                         
    September 30,   December 31,   September 30,
Average loan size   2008   2007   2007
Total insurance in force
  $ 153,290     $ 147,308     $ 143,460  
Prime (FICO 620 & >)
    150,040       141,690       136,740  
A-Minus (FICO 575-619)
    133,090       133,460       131,580  
Subprime (FICO < 575)
    121,990       124,530       125,030  
Reduced doc (All FICOs)
    208,660       209,990       208,690  
     The average loan size of our insurance in force at September 30, 2008, December 31, 2007 and September 30, 2007 for the top 5 states (based on 2008 losses paid) appears in the table below.

37


Table of Contents

                         
    September 30,   December 31,   September 30,
Average loan size   2008   2007   2007
California
  $ 293,425     $ 291,578     $ 284,361  
Florida
    180,475       178,063       174,635  
Michigan
    120,982       119,428       118,577  
Ohio
    115,779       113,276       112,156  
Arizona
    190,673       185,518       179,870  
All other states
    147,699       141,297       146,642  
     Information about net paid claims during the three and nine months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007 appears in the table below.
                                 
    Three months ended     Nine months ended  
    September 30,     September 30,  
Net paid claims ($ millions)   2008     2007     2008     2007  
Prime (FICO 620 & >)
  $ 131     $ 87     $ 412     $ 229  
A-Minus (FICO 575-619)
    54       43       195       113  
Subprime (FICO < 575)
    32       26       108       68  
Reduced doc (All FICOs)
    94       54       317       112  
Other
      23       24       72       72  
 
                       
Direct losses paid
    334       234       1,104       594  
Reinsurance
    (4 )     (2 )     (18 )     (8 )
 
                       
Net losses paid
  $ 330     $ 232     $ 1,086     $ 586  
 
                       
     Primary claims paid for the top 15 states (based on 2008 losses paid) and all other states for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007 appear in the table below.

38


Table of Contents

                                 
    Three months ended     Nine months ended  
    September 30,     September 30,  
Paid claims by state ($ millions)   2008     2007     2008     2007  
California
  $ 81.9     $ 26.1     $ 256.1     $ 38.6  
Florida
    32.6       10.0       98.6       16.9  
Michigan
    20.8       25.7       77.3       71.8  
Ohio
    12.2       18.6       47.6       55.1  
Arizona
    15.9       3.0       45.3       4.4  
Illinois
    11.9       10.1       39.3       24.6  
Georgia
    8.9       8.0       38.3       25.3  
Texas
    10.9       12.1       37.6       37.8  
Nevada
    12.0       3.7       34.8       6.2  
Minnesota
    8.6       9.7       34.4       23.2  
Colorado
    6.4       7.9       26.0       23.2  
Virginia
    7.9       3.4       24.9       6.9  
Massachusetts
    5.9       8.0       23.0       15.5  
Indiana
    5.7       8.8       20.0       25.1  
Maryland
    5.1       1.9       17.9       3.0  
Other states
      64.3       53.0       210.9       144.4  
 
                       
 
    311.0       210.0       1,032.0       522.0  
Other (Pool, LAE, Reinsurance)
      19.0       22.0       54.0       64.0  
 
                       
 
  $ 330.0     $ 232.0     $ 1,086.0     $ 586.0  
 
                       

39


Table of Contents

     The default inventory in those same states at September 30, 2008, December 31, 2007 and September 30, 2007 appears in the table below.
                         
    September 30,     December 31,     September 30,  
Default inventory by state   2008     2007     2007  
California
    12,037       6,925       5,314  
Florida
    23,799       12,548       8,733  
Michigan
    8,672       7,304       6,755  
Ohio
    7,637       6,901       6,289  
Arizona
    4,776       2,170       1,508  
Illinois
    7,586       5,435       4,593  
Georgia
    6,283       4,623       3,883  
Texas
    8,634       7,103       6,287  
Nevada
    2,865       1,338       918  
Minnesota
    3,205       2,478       2,183  
Colorado
    1,996       1,534       1,392  
Virginia
    2,782       1,760       1,390  
Massachusetts
    2,260       1,596       1,381  
Indiana
    4,832       3,763       3,483  
Maryland
    2,624       1,595       1,213  
Other states
    51,920       40,047       35,507  
 
                 
 
    151,908       107,120       90,829  
 
                 
     The rate at which claims are received and paid has slowed due to various state and lender foreclosure moratoriums, servicing delays, fraud investigations by us, our pursuit of mitigation opportunities and a lack of capacity in the court systems. We anticipate that net paid claims for 2008 will approximate $1.5 billion, which is below our previously disclosed range of $1.8 billion to $2.0 billion due to the slower rate at which claims are currently being received and paid.
     As of September 30, 2008, 77% of our primary insurance in force was written subsequent to December 31, 2004. On our flow business, the highest claim frequency years have typically been the third and fourth year after the year of loan origination. However, the pattern of claims frequency can be affected by many factors, including low persistency and deteriorating economic conditions. Low persistency can have the effect of accelerating the period in the life of a book during which the highest claim frequency occurs. Deteriorating economic conditions can result in increasing claims following a period of declining claims. On our bulk business, the period of highest claims frequency has generally occurred earlier than in the historical pattern on our flow business.
Premium deficiency
     During the third quarter of 2008 the premium deficiency reserve on Wall Street bulk transactions declined by $204 million from $788 million, as of June 30, 2008, to $584 million as of September 30, 2008. During the first nine months of 2008 the premium deficiency reserve on Wall Street bulk transaction declined by $627 million from $1,211 million as of December 31, 2007. The $584 million premium deficiency reserve as of September 30, 2008

40


Table of Contents

reflects the present value of expected future losses and expenses that exceeded the present value of expected future premium and already established loss reserves.
     The components of the premium deficiency reserve at December 31, 2007, June 30, 2008 and September 30, 2008 appears in the table below.
                         
    December 31,     June 30,     September 30,  
    2007     2008     2008  
            ($ millions)          
Present value of expected future premium
  $ 901     $ 829     $ 724  
 
                       
Present value of expected future paid losses and expenses
    (3,561 )     (3,263 )     (3,116 )
 
                 
 
                       
Net present value of future cash flows
    (2,660 )     (2,434 )     (2,392 )
 
                       
Established loss reserves
    1,449       1,646       1,808  
 
                 
 
                       
Net deficiency
  $ (1,211 )   $ (788 )   $ (584 )
 
                 
     Each quarter, we re-estimate the premium deficiency reserve on the remaining Wall Street bulk insurance in force. The premium deficiency reserve primarily changes from quarter to quarter as a result of two factors. First, it changes as the actual premiums, losses and expenses that were previously estimated are recognized. Each period such items are reflected in our financial statements as earned premium, losses incurred and expenses. The difference between the amount and timing of actual earned premiums, losses incurred and expenses and our previous estimates used to establish the premium deficiency reserves has an effect (either positive or negative) on that period’s results. Second, the premium deficiency reserve changes as our assumptions relating to the present value of expected future premiums, losses and expenses on the remaining Wall Street bulk insurance in force change. Changes to these assumptions also have an effect on that period’s results. The decrease in the premium deficiency reserve for the three months ended September 30, 2008 was $204 million, which represents the net result of actual premiums, losses and expenses offset by $85 million change in assumptions primarily related to lower estimated ultimate premiums. The decrease in the premium deficiency reserve for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 was $627 million, which represents the net result of actual premiums, losses and expenses offset by $115 million change in assumptions primarily related to lower estimated ultimate premiums and higher estimated ultimate losses.
     After the end of the third quarter, we performed a premium deficiency analysis on the portion of our book of business not covered by the premium deficiency reserve described above. That analysis concluded that, as of September 30, 2008, there was no premium deficiency on such portion of our book of business. For the reasons discussed below, our analysis of any potential deficiency reserve is subject to inherent uncertainty and requires significant judgment by management. To the extent, in a future period, expected losses are higher or expected premiums are lower than the assumptions we used in our analysis, we could be required to record a premium deficiency reserve on this portion of our book of business in such period.
     The calculation of premium deficiency reserves requires the use of significant judgments and estimates to determine the present value of future premium and present value of expected losses and expenses on our business. The present value of future premium relies on, among other things, assumptions about persistency and repayment patterns on underlying loans. The present value of expected losses and expenses depends on assumptions relating to severity of claims and claim rates on current defaults, and expected defaults in future periods. Assumptions used in calculating the deficiency reserves can be affected by volatility in the current housing and mortgage lending industries. To the extent premium patterns and actual loss experience differ from the assumptions used in calculating the premium deficiency

41


Table of Contents

reserves, the differences between the actual results and our estimate will affect future period earnings.
     As is the case with our loss reserves (See ‘Critical Accounting Policies’ in our 10-K MD&A), the severity of claims and claim rates, as well as persistency for the premium deficiency calculation, are likely to be affected by external events, including actual economic conditions. However, our estimation process does not include a correlation between these economic conditions and our assumptions because it is our experience that an analysis of that nature would not produce reliable results. In considering the potential sensitivity of the factors underlying management’s best estimate of premium deficiency reserves, it is possible that even a relatively small change in estimated claim rate or a relatively small percentage change in estimated claim amount could have a significant impact on the premium deficiency reserve and, correspondingly, on our results of operations. For example, a $1,000 change in the average severity combined with a 1% change in the average claim rate could change the Wall Street bulk premium deficiency reserve amount by approximately $130 million. Additionally, a 5% change in the persistency of the underlying loans could change the Wall Street bulk premium deficiency reserve amount by approximately $24 million. We do not anticipate changes in the discount rate will be significant enough as to result in material changes in the calculation.
     The establishment of premium deficiency reserves is subject to inherent uncertainty and requires judgment by management. The actual amount of claim payments and premium collections may vary significantly from the premium deficiency reserve estimates. Similar to our loss reserve estimates, our estimates for premium deficiency reserves could be adversely affected by several factors, including a deterioration of regional or economic conditions leading to a reduction in borrowers’ income and thus their ability to make mortgage payments, and a drop in housing values that could expose us to greater losses. Changes to our estimates could result in material changes in our operations, even in a stable economic environment. Adjustments to premium deficiency reserves estimates are reflected in the financial statements in the years in which the adjustments are made.
Underwriting and other expenses
     Underwriting and other expenses for the third quarter and first nine months of 2008 decreased when compared to the same periods in 2007. The decrease reflects our lower volumes of new insurance written as well as a focus on expenses in difficult market conditions. Also, the third quarter and first nine months of 2007 included $11.3 million in one-time expenses associated with the terminated merger.

42


Table of Contents

Ratios
     The table below presents our loss, expense and combined ratios for our combined insurance operations for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007.
                                 
    Three months ended     Nine months ended  
    September 30,     September 30,  
    2008     2007     2008     2007  
Loss ratio
    230.3 %     187.6 %     208.8 %     110.0 %
Expense ratio  
    13.5 %     15.4 %     14.5 %     16.6 %
 
                       
Combined ratio  
    243.8 %     203.0 %     223.3 %     126.6 %
 
                       
     The loss ratio is the ratio, expressed as a percentage, of the sum of incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses to net premiums earned. The loss ratio does not reflect any effects due to premium deficiency. The increase in the loss ratio in the third quarter and first nine months of 2008, compared to the same periods in 2007, is due to an increase in losses incurred, partially offset by an increase in premiums earned. The expense ratio is the ratio, expressed as a percentage, of underwriting expenses to net premiums written. The decrease in the third quarter and first nine months of 2008, compared to the same periods in 2007, is due to a decrease in underwriting and other expenses as well as an increase in premiums written. The combined ratio is the sum of the loss ratio and the expense ratio.
Interest expense
     Interest expense for the third quarter and first nine months of 2008 increased compared to the same periods in 2007. The increase reflects the issuance of the $390 million of convertible debentures in March and April of 2008.
Income taxes
     The effective tax rate on our pre-tax loss was 43.3% in the third quarter of 2008, compared to 43.2% in the third quarter of 2007. During those periods, the rate reflected the benefits recognized from tax-preferenced investments. Our tax-preferenced investments that impact the effective tax rate consist almost entirely of tax-exempt municipal bonds.
     The effective tax rate on our pre-tax loss was 45.0% in the first nine months of 2008, compared to an effective tax rate on our pre-tax income of (439.1%) in the first nine months of 2007. The difference in the rate was primarily the result of a pre-tax loss during the first nine months of 2008, compared to pre-tax income during the first nine months of 2007.
Joint ventures
     Our equity in the earnings from Sherman and C-BASS and certain other joint ventures and investments, accounted for in accordance with the equity method of accounting, is shown separately, net of tax, on our consolidated statement of operations. Income from joint

43


Table of Contents

ventures, net of tax, was $3.3 million in the third quarter of 2008 compared to a loss from joint ventures, net of tax, of $290.6 million for the same period last year. The loss from joint venture in the third quarter of 2007 was due primarily to the impairment of our investment in C-BASS. See discussion regarding C-BASS below. In the third quarter of 2008, we sold our remaining interest in Sherman to Sherman. As a result, beginning in the fourth quarter of 2008, we expect that our joint venture income will be less material to our results of operations. Our income (loss) from joint ventures also includes certain tax credit investments, accounted for in accordance with the equity method of accounting, of an immaterial amount.
     Income from joint ventures, net of tax, was $24.5 million in the first nine months of 2008 compared to a loss from joint ventures, net of tax, of $244.7 million for the same period last year. The loss from joint venture in 2007 was due primarily to the impairment of our investment in C-BASS.
C-BASS
     Beginning in February 2007 and continuing through approximately the end of March 2007, the subprime mortgage market experienced significant turmoil. After a period of relative stability that persisted during April, May and through approximately late June, market dislocations recurred and then accelerated to unprecedented levels beginning in approximately mid-July 2007. As noted in the section titled “C-BASS Impairment” in our 10-K MD&A, in the third quarter of 2007, we concluded that our total equity interest in C-BASS was impaired. In addition, during the fourth quarter of 2007 due to additional losses incurred by C-BASS, we reduced the carrying value of our $50 million note from C-BASS to zero under equity method accounting.
Sherman
     In August 2008 we sold our entire interest in Sherman to Sherman. Our interest sold represented approximately 24.25% of Sherman’s equity. The sale price was paid $124.5 million in cash and by delivery of Sherman’s unsecured promissory note in the principal amount of $85 million. The scheduled maturity of the Note is February 13, 2011 and it bears interest, payable monthly, at the annual rate equal to three-month LIBOR plus 500 basis points. The Note is issued under a Credit Agreement, dated August 13, 2008, between Sherman and MGIC.
     At the time of sale the note had a fair value of $69.5 million (18.25% discount to par). The fair value was determined by comparing the terms of the note to the discounts and yields on comparable bonds. The value was also discounted for illiquidity and lack of ratings. The discount will be amortized to interest income over the life of the note. The gain recognized on the sale was $62.8 million, and is included in realized investment gains on the statement of operations for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2008.
     As a result of the sale we are entitled to an additional cash payment if by approximately early March 2009 Sherman or certain of its management affiliates enter into a definitive agreement covering a transaction involving the sale or purchase of interests in Sherman in which the fair value of the consideration reflects a value of Sherman over $1 billion plus an additional amount. The additional amount is $33 million if a definitive agreement is entered into by approximately early September 2008 and increases by $11 million for each monthly

44


Table of Contents

period that elapses after approximately early September 2008 until a monthly period beginning in early February 2009, when the additional amount is $100 million. A qualifying purchase or sale transaction must close for us to be entitled to an additional payment.
     In connection with the sale we waived, effective at the time at which the Note is paid in full, our right to any contingent consideration for the sale of the interests in Sherman that we sold in September 2007 to an entity owned by the management of Sherman. Under that sale, we are entitled to an additional cash payment if the purchaser’s after-tax rate of return on the interests purchased exceeds a threshold that equates to an annual return of 16%.
     For additional information regarding the sale of our interest please refer to our Current Report on Form 8-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on August 14, 2008.
     Summary Sherman income statements for the periods indicated appear below. The third quarter and first nine months of 2008 only reflect Sherman’s results and our share of income from Sherman through July 31, 2008 as a result of the sale of our interest in August 2008. Prior to the sale of our interest, we did not consolidate Sherman with us for financial reporting purposes, and we did not control Sherman. Sherman’s internal controls over its financial reporting were not part of our internal controls over our financial reporting. However, our internal controls over our financial reporting include processes to assess the effectiveness of our financial reporting as it pertains to Sherman. We believe those processes are effective in the context of our overall internal controls.
Sherman Summary Income Statement:
                                 
    Three months ended *     Nine months ended *  
    September 30,     September 30,  
    2008     2007     2008     2007  
    ($ millions)  
Revenues from receivable portfolios
  $ 86.6     $ 273.8     $ 660.3     $ 832.9  
Portfolio amortization  
    30.9       135.5       264.8       398.0  
 
                       
Revenues, net of amortization
    55.7       138.3       395.5       434.9  
 
                               
Credit card interest income and fees
    66.7       161.5       475.6       422.7  
Other revenue
    1.1       (1.4 )     35.3       29.7  
 
                       
 
                               
Total revenues
    123.5       298.4       906.4       887.3  
 
                               
Total expenses  
    101.3       238.2       740.1       674.3  
 
                       
 
                               
Income before tax
  $ 22.2     $ 60.2     $ 166.3     $ 213.0  
 
                       
 
                               
Company’s income from Sherman
  $ 4.5     $ 18.1     $ 35.6     $ 70.5  
 
                       
 
*   The three and nine months ended September 30, 2008 only reflect Sherman’s results and our income from Sherman through July 31, 2008 as a result of the sale of our remaining interest in August 2008.
     In September 2007 we sold a portion of our interest in Sherman to an entity owned by Sherman’s senior management. The interest sold by us represented approximately 16% of Sherman’s equity. We received a cash payment of $240.8 million in the sale and recorded a

45


Table of Contents

$162.9 million pre-tax gain, which is reflected in our results of operations for 2007 as a realized gain.
     The “Company’s income from Sherman” line item in the table above includes $0.4 million and $3.6 million of additional amortization expense in the third quarter and first nine months of 2008, respectively, and $3.6 and $13.9 million in the third quarter and first nine months of 2007 above Sherman’s actual amortization expense, related to additional interests in Sherman that we purchased during the third quarter of 2006 at a price in excess of book value.
Financial Condition
     As of September 30, 2008, 77% of our investment portfolio was invested in tax-preferenced securities. In addition, at September 30, 2008, based on book value, approximately 95% of our fixed income securities were invested in ‘A’ rated and above, readily marketable securities, concentrated in maturities of less than 15 years. Approximately 26% of our investment portfolio is covered by the financial guaranty industry. We evaluate the credit risk of securities through analysis of the underlying fundamentals of each issuer. A breakdown of the portion of our investment portfolio covered by the financial guaranty industry by credit rating, including the rating without the guarantee is shown below.
                                         
    Guarantor Rating
    AAA   AA   A   B   All
     
    ($ millions)
Underlying Rating
AAA
  $ 2     $ 52     $ 5     $     $ 59  
AA
    262       144       234       203       843  
A
    169       248       188       129       734  
BBB
    11       30       20       29       90  
     
 
  $ 444     $ 474     $ 447     $ 361     $ 1,726  
     If all of the companies in the financial guaranty industry lose their ‘AAA’ ratings, the percentage of our fixed income portfolio rated ‘A’ or better will decline by 1% to 94% ‘A’ or better. No individual guarantor is responsible for the guarantee of more than 10% of our portfolio.
     At September 30, 2008, derivative financial instruments in our investment portfolio were immaterial. We primarily place our investments in instruments that meet high credit quality standards, as specified in our investment policy guidelines. The policy also limits the amount of our credit exposure to any one issue, issuer and type of instrument. At September 30, 2008, the modified duration of our fixed income investment portfolio was 4.6 years, which means that an instantaneous parallel shift in the yield curve of 100 basis points would result in a change of 4.6% in the market value of our fixed income portfolio. For an upward shift in the yield curve, the market value of our portfolio would decrease and for a downward shift in the yield curve, the market value would increase.
     At September 30, 2008, our total assets included $1.1 billion of cash and cash equivalents as shown on our consolidated balance sheet. In addition, included in “Other assets” on our consolidated balance sheet at September 30, 2008 is $49.4 million in real estate acquired as

46


Table of Contents

part of the claim settlement process. The properties, which are held for sale, are carried at fair value. Also included in “Other assets” is $62.7 million representing the overfunded status of our pension plan, which is measured annually as of December 31, and $70.6 million of note and interest receivable related to the sale of our remaining interest in Sherman.
     At September 30, 2008 we had $200 million, 5.625% Senior Notes due in September 2011 and $300 million, 5.375% Senior Notes due in November 2015, as well as $200 million outstanding under a credit facility, with a total market value of $529.7 million. The credit facility is scheduled to expire in March 2010. This credit facility is discussed under “Liquidity and Capital Resources” below.
     At September 30, 2008, we also had $390 million principal amount of 9% Convertible Junior Subordinated Debentures due in 2063. At issuance, within the $390 million principal amount was an embedded derivative with a value of $16.9 million. The amount of the derivative is treated as a discount on issuance and is being amortized over the expected life of five years to interest expense. The fair value of the convertible debentures was approximately $291.6 million at September 30, 2008.
     The total amount of unrecognized tax benefits as of September 30, 2008 is $87.5 million. Included in that total are $75.7 million in benefits that would affect our effective tax rate. We recognize interest accrued and penalties related to unrecognized tax benefits in income taxes. We have accrued $21.1 million for the payment of interest as of September 30, 2008. The establishment of this liability required estimates of potential outcomes of various issues and required significant judgment. Although the resolutions of these issues are uncertain, we believe that sufficient provisions for income taxes have been made for potential liabilities that may result. If the resolutions of these matters differ materially from these estimates, it could have a material impact on our effective tax rate, results of operations and cash flows.
     On June 1, 2007, as a result of an examination by the Internal Revenue Service (“IRS”) for taxable years 2000 through 2004, we received a Revenue Agent Report (“RAR”). The adjustments reported on the RAR substantially increase taxable income for those tax years and resulted in the issuance of an assessment for unpaid taxes totaling $189.5 million in taxes and accuracy-related penalties, plus applicable interest. We have agreed with the IRS on certain issues and paid $10.5 million in additional taxes and interest. The remaining open issue relates to our treatment of the flow through income and loss from an investment in a portfolio of residual interests of Real Estate Mortgage Investment Conduits (“REMICS”). The IRS has indicated that it does not believe that, for various reasons, we have established sufficient tax basis in the REMIC residual interests to deduct the losses from taxable income. We disagree with this conclusion and believe that the flow through income and loss from these investments was properly reported on our federal income tax returns in accordance with applicable tax laws and regulations in effect during the periods involved and have appealed these adjustments. The appeals process may take some time and a final resolution may not be reached until a date many months or years into the future. On July 2, 2007, we made a payment of $65.2 million with the United States Department of the Treasury to eliminate the further accrual of interest. Although the resolution of this issue is uncertain, we believe that sufficient provisions for income taxes have been made for potential liabilities that may result. If the resolution of this matter differs materially from our estimates, it could have a material impact on our effective tax rate, results of operations and cash flows.

47


Table of Contents

     Our principal exposure to loss is our obligation to pay claims under MGIC’s mortgage guaranty insurance policies. At September 30, 2008, MGIC’s direct (before any reinsurance) primary and pool risk in force, which is the unpaid principal balance of insured loans as reflected in our records multiplied by the coverage percentage, and taking account of any loss limit, was approximately $64.0 billion. In addition, as part of our contract underwriting activities, we are responsible for the quality of our underwriting decisions in accordance with the terms of the contract underwriting agreements with customers. Through September 30, 2008, the cost of remedies provided by us to customers for failing to meet the standards of the contracts has not been material. However, a generally positive economic environment for residential real estate that continued until 2007 may have mitigated the effect of some of these costs, the claims for which may lag deterioration in the economic environment for residential real estate. There can be no assurance that contract underwriting remedies will not be material in the future.
Liquidity and Capital Resources
Overview
     Our sources of funds consist primarily of:
    our investment portfolio (which is discussed in “Financial Condition” above), and interest income on the portfolio,
 
    premiums that we will receive from our existing insurance in force as well as policies that we write in the future,
 
    amounts, if any, remaining available under our credit facility expiring in March 2010,
 
    amounts received from the redemption of U.S. government non-interest bearing tax and loss bonds,
 
    amounts that we expect to recover from captives (which is discussed in “Results of Consolidated Operations — Risk-Sharing Arrangements” and “Results of Consolidated Operations — Losses — Losses Incurred” above) and
 
    amounts we may recover under our reinsurance agreement with HCC (which is discussed in “Results of Consolidated Operations — Risk-Sharing Arrangements” above).
     Our obligations consist primarily of:
    claims payments under MGIC’s mortgage guaranty insurance policies,
 
    the amount outstanding under our credit facility expiring in March 2010,
 
    our $200 million of 5.625% Senior Notes due in September 2011,
 
    our $300 million of 5.375% Senior Notes due in November 2015,

48


Table of Contents

    our $390 million of convertible debentures due in 2063,
 
    interest on the foregoing debt instruments and
 
    the other costs and operating expenses of our business.
     Historically cash inflows from premiums have exceeded claim payments. When this is the case, we invest positive cash flows pending future payments of claims and other expenses. However, we anticipate that in future periods claim payments will exceed premiums received. In addition, our Wall Street bulk insurance in force will generate cash flow shortfalls beyond 2008 as this insurance runs off. (See “Losses — Premium deficiency”). When we experience cash shortfalls, we can fund them through sales of short-term investments and other investment portfolio securities, subject to insurance regulatory requirements regarding the payment of dividends to the extent funds were required by an entity other than the seller. Substantially all of the investment portfolio securities are held by our insurance subsidiaries.
     To increase our capital position, in the first quarter of 2008, we raised proceeds of approximately $815 million through the sale of our common stock and junior convertible debentures. We also raised an additional approximately $25 million in April 2008 through the sale of additional debentures. In the second quarter of 2008, we further enhanced our capital resources by entering into the reinsurance agreement with HCC discussed under “Results of Consolidated Operations-Risk sharing arrangements.” In the third quarter of 2008 we sold our remaining interest in Sherman and recognized a gain of $62.8 million. See the Risk Factor titled “Because our policyholders position could decline and our risk-to-capital could increase beyond the levels necessary to meet regulatory requirements we are considering options to obtain additional capital.”
Debt at Our Holding Company
     For information about debt at our holding company, see Notes 2 and 3 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements contained elsewhere in this Form 10-Q. You should review “Overview—Outlook” in this Management’s Discussion in connection with such Notes.
Holding Company Capital Resources
     The credit facility, senior notes and convertible debentures are obligations of MGIC Investment Corporation and not of its subsidiaries. We are a holding company and the payment of dividends from our insurance subsidiaries, which historically has been the principal source of our holding company cash inflow, is restricted by insurance regulation. MGIC is the principal source of dividend-paying capacity. During 2008, MGIC paid three quarterly dividends of $15 million each to our holding company, which increased the cash resources of our holding company. As has been the case for the past several years, as a result of extraordinary dividends paid, MGIC cannot currently pay any dividends without regulatory approval. In light of the matters discussed under “Overview—Outlook,” we do not anticipate seeking approval for any additional dividends from MGIC that would increase our holding company’s cash resources.

49


Table of Contents

     As of October 31, 2008, we had a total of approximately $391 million in short-term investments at our holding company. Our use of funds at the holding company includes interest payments on our Senior Notes, credit facility and junior convertible debentures. In October 2008 we eliminated the dividend on our common stock. On an annual basis, in aggregate, these uses total approximately $72 million, based on the current rate in effect on our credit facility and assuming a full year of interest on the entire $390 million of debentures.
Risk-to-Capital
     We consider our risk-to-capital ratio an important indicator of our financial strength and our ability to write new business. This ratio is computed on a statutory basis for our combined insurance operations and is our net risk in force divided by our policyholders’ position. Policyholders’ position consists primarily of statutory policyholders’ surplus (which increases as a result of statutory net income and decreases as a result of statutory net loss and dividends paid), plus the statutory contingency reserve. The statutory contingency reserve is reported as a liability on the statutory balance sheet. A mortgage insurance company is required to make annual contributions to the contingency reserve of approximately 50% of net earned premiums. These contributions must generally be maintained for a period of ten years. However, with regulatory approval a mortgage insurance company may make early withdrawals from the contingency reserve when incurred losses exceed 35% of net earned premium in a calendar year.
     The premium deficiency reserve discussed under “Results of Operations — Losses — Premium deficiency” above is not recorded as a liability on the statutory balance sheet and is not a component of statutory net income. The present value of expected future premiums and already established loss reserves and statutory contingency reserves, exceeds the present value of expected future losses and expenses, so no deficiency is recorded on a statutory basis.
     Our combined insurance companies’ risk-to-capital calculation appears in the table below.
                 
    September 30,     December 31,  
    2008     2007  
    ($ in millions)  
Risk in force — net of reinsurance
  $ 60,524     $ 57,527  
   
Statutory policyholders’ surplus
  $ 1,528     $ 1,351  
Statutory contingency reserve
    2,811       3,464  
 
           
   
Statutory policyholders’ position
  $ 4,339     $ 4,815  
 
               
Risk-to-capital:
    13.9:1       11.9:1  
Statutory policyholders’ surplus is reduced for loss reserves established for known delinquencies. Risk in force — net of reinsurance includes approximately $7.0 billion of delinquent risk in force that has existing loss reserves established.

50


Table of Contents

     The increase in risk-to-capital during the first nine months of 2008 is the result of an increase in net risk in force as well as a decrease in statutory policyholders’ position. Our net risk in force increased as a result of new business written. Statutory policyholders’ position decreased during the first nine months of 2008, primarily due to losses incurred, offset by a capital contribution to our subsidiary, MGIC, from the proceeds raised by the sale of our common stock and the convertible debentures. If our insurance in force continues to grow, our risk in force would also grow. To the extent our statutory policyholders’ position does not increase at the same rate as our growth in risk in force, our risk-to-capital ratio will increase. Similarly, if our statutory policyholders’ position decreases at a greater rate than our risk in force, then our risk-to-capital ratio will increase.
     We expect that our risk-to-capital ratio will increase above its level at September 30, 2008. See further discussion under “Management’s Discussion and Analysis-Overview-Outlook” above as well as our Risk Factor titled “Because our policyholders position could decline and our risk-to-capital could increase beyond the levels necessary to meet regulatory requirements we are considering options to obtain additional capital” in Item 1A.
Financial Strength Ratings
     Standard & Poor’s Rating Services’ insurer financial strength rating of MGIC, our principal mortgage insurance subsidiary, is A with a negative outlook. The financial strength of MGIC is rated A1 by Moody’s Investors Service and is currently under review. The financial strength of MGIC is rated A- by Fitch Ratings with a negative outlook.
     For further information about the importance of MGIC’s ratings, see our Risk Factor titled “Our financial strength rating has been downgraded below Aa3/AA-, which could reduce the volume of our new business writings” in Item 1A.
Contractual Obligations
          At September 30, 2008, the approximate future payments under our contractual obligations of the type described in the table below are as follows:
                                         
            Less than                     More than  
Contractual Obligations ($ millions):   Total     1 year     1-3 years     3-5 years     5 years  
Long-term debt obligations
  $ 3,166     $ 72     $ 530     $ 102     $ 2,462  
Operating lease obligations
    20       7       10       3        
Purchase obligations
                             
Pension, SERP and other post-retirement benefit plans
    131       6       16       22       87  
Other long-term liabilities
      4,013       2,207       1,726       80        
 
                             
 
                                       
Total
  $ 7,330     $ 2,292     $ 2,282     $ 207     $ 2,549  
 
                             

51


Table of Contents

     Our long-term debt obligations at September 30, 2008 include our $300 million of 5.375% Senior Notes due in November 2015, $200 million of 5.625% Senior Notes due in September 2011, $200 million outstanding under a credit facility expiring in March 2010 and $390 million in convertible debentures due in 2063, including related interest, as discussed in “Note 2. Short- and long-term debt” and “Note 3. Convertible debentures and related derivative” to our consolidated financial statements and under “Liquidity and Capital Resources” above. For discussions related to our debt covenants see “-Liquidity and Capital Resources” and our Risk Factor titled “The amounts that we owe under our revolving credit facility and Senior Notes could be accelerated.” Our operating lease obligations include operating leases on certain office space, data processing equipment and autos, as discussed in Note 12 to our consolidated financial statements in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007. See Note 9 to our consolidated financial statement in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007 for discussion of expected benefit payments under our benefit plans.
     Our other long-term liabilities represent the loss reserves established to recognize the liability for losses and loss adjustment expenses related to defaults on insured mortgage loans. The establishment of loss reserves is subject to inherent uncertainty and requires significant judgment by management. The future loss payment periods are estimated based on historical experience, and could emerge significantly different than this estimate. See “Note 6. Loss reserves” to our consolidated financial statements and “-Critical Accounting Policies”, both in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007. In accordance with GAAP for the mortgage insurance industry, we establish loss reserves only for loans in default. Because our reserving method does not take account of the impact of future losses that could occur from loans that are not delinquent, our obligation for ultimate losses that we expect to occur under our policies in force at any period end is not reflected in our financial statements or in the table above.
     The table above does not reflect the liability for unrecognized tax benefits due to uncertainties in the timing of the effective settlement of tax positions. We can not make a reasonably reliable estimate of the timing of payment for the liability for unrecognized tax benefits, net of payments on account, of $19.3 million. See Note 10 to our consolidated financial statement in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007 for additional discussion on unrecognized tax benefits.
Forward-Looking Statements and Risk Factors
     General: Our revenues and losses could be affected by the risk factors referred to under “Location of Risk Factors” below. These risk factors are an integral part of Management’s Discussion and Analysis.
     These factors may also cause actual results to differ materially from the results contemplated by forward looking statements that we may make. Forward looking statements consist of statements which relate to matters other than historical fact. Among others, statements that include words such as we “believe”, “anticipate” or “expect”, or words of similar import, are forward looking statements. We are not undertaking any obligation to update any forward looking statements we may make even though these statements may be affected by events or circumstances occurring after the forward looking statements were made. Therefore no reader of this document should rely on these statements being accurate

52


Table of Contents

as of any time other than the time at which this document was filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
     Location of Risk Factors: The risk factors are in Item 1 A of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007, as supplemented by Part II, Item 1 A of our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the Quarters Ended March 31, 2008 and June 30, 2008 and in Part II, Item 1 A of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q. The risk factors in the 10-K, as supplemented by those 10-Qs and through updating of various statistical and other information, are reproduced in Exhibit 99 to this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q.
ITEM 3. QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK
     At September 30, 2008, the derivative financial instruments in our investment portfolio were immaterial. We place our investments in instruments that meet high credit quality standards, as specified in our investment policy guidelines; the policy also limits the amount of credit exposure to any one issue, issuer and type of instrument. At September 30, 2008, the modified duration of our fixed income investment portfolio was 4.6 years, which means that an instantaneous parallel shift in the yield curve of 100 basis points would result in a change of 4.6% in the market value of our fixed income portfolio. For an upward shift in the yield curve, the market value of our portfolio would decrease and for a downward shift in the yield curve, the market value would increase.
     The interest rate on our $300 million credit facility is variable and is based on, at our option, LIBOR plus a margin that varies with MGIC’s financial strength rating or a base rate specified in the credit agreement. For each 100 basis point change in LIBOR or the base rate, our interest cost, expressed on an annual basis, would change by 1%. Based on the amount outstanding under our credit facility as of September 30, 2008, this would result in a change of $2 million.
ITEM 4. CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES
     Our management, with the participation of our principal executive officer and principal financial officer, has evaluated our disclosure controls and procedures (as defined in Rule 13a-15(e) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended), as of the end of the period covered by this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q. Based on such evaluation, our principal executive officer and principal financial officer concluded that such controls and procedures were effective as of the end of such period. There was no change in our internal control over financial reporting that occurred during the third quarter of 2008 that materially affected, or is reasonably likely to materially affect, our internal control over financial reporting.

53


Table of Contents

PART II. OTHER INFORMATION
Item 1. Legal Proceedings
     On October 28, 2008, a purported stockholder class action lawsuit, Fulton County Employees’ Retirement System v. MGIC Investment Corporation, was filed against us, several of our officers and an officer of Credit-Based Asset Servicing and Securitization LLC in the U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of Wisconsin. The allegations in the complaint are generally that through the individuals named in the complaint, we violated the federal securities laws by failing to disclose or misrepresenting C-BASS’s business and our business, including information about our underwriting and exposure to subprime mortgages and delinquencies. The time period covered by this lawsuit begins on October 12, 2006 and ends on February 12, 2008. The complaint seeks damages based on purchases of our stock during this time period at prices that were allegedly inflated as a result of the purported misstatements and omissions. Four other purported stockholder class action lawsuits are described in our Form 10-Q for the period ended June 30, 2008. With limited exceptions, our bylaws provide that our officers are entitled to indemnification from us for claims against them of the type alleged in the complaints in all of these lawsuits. We believe, among other things, that the allegations in these complaints are not sufficient to prevent their dismissal and intend to defend against them vigorously. However, we are unable to predict the outcome of these cases or estimate our associated expenses or possible losses.
     In addition to the above litigation, we face other litigation and regulatory risks. For additional information about such other litigation and regulatory risks you should review our Risk Factor titled “We are subject to the risk of private litigation and regulatory proceedings.”
Item 1 A. Risk Factors
     With the exception of the changes described and set forth below, there have been no material changes in our risk factors from the risk factors disclosed in the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007 as supplemented by Part II, Item 1 A of our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the Quarters Ended March 31, 2008 and June 30, 2008. The risk factors in the 10-K, as supplemented by these 10-Qs and through updating of various statistical and other information, are reproduced in their entirety in Exhibit 99 to this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q.
     As a result of the sale of our remaining interest in Sherman, we have eliminated the risk factor titled “Our income from our Sherman joint venture could be adversely affected by uncertain economic factors impacting the consumer sector and by lenders reducing the availability of credit or increasing its cost” that was included in our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the Quarter Ended June 30, 2008.
     The following risk factors were added or changed since the filing of our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the Quarter ended June 30, 2008:
Because our policyholders position could decline and our risk-to-capital could increase beyond the levels necessary to meet regulatory requirements we are considering options to obtain additional capital.

54


Table of Contents

The Office of the Commissioner of Insurance of Wisconsin is our principal insurance regulator. To assess a mortgage guaranty insurer’s capital adequacy, Wisconsin’s insurance regulations require that a mortgage guaranty insurance company maintain “policyholders position” of not less than a minimum computed under a formula. If a mortgage guaranty insurer does not meet the minimum required by the formula it cannot write new business until its policyholders position meets the minimum. Some other states that regulate our mortgage guaranty insurance companies have similar regulations.
Some states that regulate us have provisions that limit the risk-to-capital ratio of a mortgage guaranty insurance company to 25:1. If an insurance company’s risk-to-capital ratio exceeds the limit applicable in a state, it may be prohibited from writing new business in that state until its risk-to-capital ratio falls below the limit.
We believe the mortgage insurance industry will experience material losses on the 2006 and 2007 books. The ultimate amount of these losses will depend in part on the direction of home prices in California, Florida and other distressed markets, which in turn will be influenced by general economic conditions and other factors. Because we cannot predict future home prices or general economic conditions with confidence, we cannot predict with confidence what our ultimate losses will be on our 2006 and 2007 books. Our current expectation, however, is that these books will continue to generate material incurred and paid losses for a number of years. Our view of potential losses on these books has trended upward since the first quarter of 2008, including since the time at which we finalized our Form 10-Q for the second quarter of this year. If recent loss trends continue, MGIC’s policyholders position could decline and its risk-to-capital could increase beyond the levels necessary to meet these regulatory requirements and this could occur before the end of 2009. As a result, we are considering options to obtain additional capital, which could occur through the sale of equity or debt securities and/or reinsurance. We cannot predict whether we will be successful in raising additional capital from any source but any sale of additional securities could dilute substantially the interest of existing shareholders.
A downturn in the domestic economy or a decline in the value of borrowers’ homes from their value at the time their loans closed may result in more homeowners defaulting and our losses increasing.
Losses result from events that reduce a borrower’s ability to continue to make mortgage payments, such as unemployment, and whether the home of a borrower who defaults on his mortgage can be sold for an amount that will cover unpaid principal and interest and the expenses of the sale. In general, favorable economic conditions reduce the likelihood that borrowers will lack sufficient income to pay their mortgages and also favorably affect the value of homes, thereby reducing and in some cases even eliminating a loss from a mortgage default. A deterioration in economic conditions generally increases the likelihood that borrowers will not have sufficient income to pay their mortgages and can also adversely affect housing values, which in turn can influence the willingness of borrowers with sufficient resources to make mortgage payments to do so when the mortgage balance exceeds the value of the home. Housing values may decline even absent a deterioration in economic conditions due to declines in demand for homes, which in turn may result from changes in buyers’ perceptions of the potential for future appreciation, restrictions on mortgage credit due to more stringent underwriting standards, liquidity issues affecting lenders or other factors. The residential mortgage market in the United States has for some time experienced a variety of worsening economic conditions and housing values in many areas continue to decline. The

55


Table of Contents

credit crisis that began in September 2008 may result in further deterioration in economic conditions and home values.
The mix of business we write also affects the likelihood of losses occurring.
Even when housing values are stable or rising, certain types of mortgages have higher probabilities of claims. These segments include loans with loan-to-value ratios over 95% (including loans with 100% loan-to-value ratios or in certain markets that have experienced declining housing values, over 90%), FICO credit scores below 620, limited underwriting, including limited borrower documentation, or total debt-to-income ratios of 38% or higher, as well as loans having combinations of higher risk factors. As of September 30, 2008, approximately 59.5% of our primary risk in force consisted of loans with loan-to-value ratios equal to or greater than 95%, 9.6% had FICO credit scores below 620, and 14.0% had limited underwriting, including limited borrower documentation. (In accordance with industry practice, loans approved by Government Sponsored Entities and other automated underwriting systems under “doc waiver” programs that do not require verification of borrower income are classified by us as “full documentation.” For additional information about such loans, see footnote (3) to the delinquency table under “Management’s Discussion and Analysis-Results of Consolidated Operation-Losses-Losses Incurred.”)
A material portion of these loans were written in 2005 — 2007 and through the first quarter of 2008. Beginning in the fourth quarter of 2007 we made a series of changes to our underwriting guidelines in an effort to improve the risk profile of the business we are writing, including guideline changes that have not yet become effective. Requirements imposed by new guidelines, however, only affect business written under commitments to insure loans that are issued after those guidelines become effective. Business for which commitments are issued after new guidelines are announced and before they become effective is insured by us in accordance with the guidelines in effect at time of the commitment even if that business would not meet the new guidelines. For commitments we issue for loans that close and are insured by us, a period longer than a calendar quarter can elapse between the time we issue a commitment to insure a loan and the time we receive the payment of the first premium and report the loan in our risk in force, although this period is generally shorter.
As of September 30, 2008, approximately 3.8% of our primary risk in force written through the flow channel, and 46.2% of our primary risk in force written through the bulk channel, consisted of adjustable rate mortgages in which the initial interest rate may be adjusted during the five years after the mortgage closing (“ARMs”). We classify as fixed rate loans adjustable rate mortgages in which the initial interest rate is fixed during the five years after the mortgage closing. We believe that when the reset interest rate significantly exceeds the interest rate at loan origination, claims on ARMs would be substantially higher than for fixed rate loans. Moreover, even if interest rates remain unchanged, claims on ARMs with a “teaser rate” (an initial interest rate that does not fully reflect the index which determines subsequent rates) may also be substantially higher because of the increase in the mortgage payment that will occur when the fully indexed rate becomes effective. In addition, we believe the volume of “interest-only” loans, which may also be ARMs, and loans with negative amortization features, such as pay option ARMs, increased in 2005 and 2006 and remained at these levels during the first half of 2007, before beginning to decline in the second half of 2007. Because interest-only loans and pay option ARMs are a relatively recent development, we have no meaningful data on their historical performance. We believe claim rates on certain of these loans will be substantially higher than on loans without scheduled payment increases that are made to borrowers of comparable credit quality.

56


Table of Contents

Although we attempt to incorporate these higher expected claim rates into our underwriting and pricing models, there can be no assurance that the premiums earned and the associated investment income will prove adequate to compensate for actual losses even under our current underwriting guidelines. We do, however, believe that given the various changes in our underwriting guidelines that are effective in 2008, our 2008 book will generate underwriting profit.
Because loss reserve estimates are subject to uncertainties and based on assumptions that are currently very volatile, paid claims may be substantially different than our loss reserves.
We establish reserves using estimated claim rates and claim amounts in estimating the ultimate loss. The estimated claim rates and claim amounts represent what we believe best reflect the estimate of what will actually be paid on the loans in default as of the reserve date.
The establishment of loss reserves is subject to inherent uncertainty and requires judgment by management. Current conditions in the housing and mortgage industries make the assumptions that we use to establish loss reserves more volatile than they would otherwise be. The actual amount of the claim payments may be substantially different than our loss reserve estimates. Our estimates could be adversely affected by several factors, including a deterioration of regional or national economic conditions leading to a reduction in borrowers’ income and thus their ability to make mortgage payments, and a drop in housing values that could materially reduce our ability to mitigate potential loss through property acquisition and resale or expose us to greater loss on resale of properties obtained through the claim settlement process. Changes to our estimates could result in material impact to our results of operations, even in a stable economic environment, and there can be no assurance that actual claims paid by us will not be substantially different than our loss reserves.
The premiums we charge may not be adequate to compensate us for our liabilities for losses and as a result any inadequacy could materially affect our financial condition and results of operations.
We set premiums at the time a policy is issued based on our expectations regarding likely performance over the long-term. Generally, we cannot cancel the mortgage insurance coverage or adjust renewal premiums during the life of a mortgage insurance policy. As a result, higher than anticipated claims generally cannot be offset by premium increases on policies in force or mitigated by our non-renewal or cancellation of insurance coverage. The premiums we charge, and the associated investment income, may not be adequate to compensate us for the risks and costs associated with the insurance coverage provided to customers. An increase in the number or size of claims, compared to what we anticipate, could adversely affect our results of operations or financial condition.
On January 22, 2008, we announced that we had decided to stop writing the portion of our bulk business that insures loans which are included in Wall Street securitizations because the performance of loans included in such securitizations deteriorated materially in the fourth quarter of 2007 and this deterioration was materially worse than we experienced for loans insured through the flow channel or loans insured through the remainder of our bulk channel. On February 13, 2008, we announced that we had established a premium deficiency reserve of approximately $1.2 billion. As of September 30, 2008, the premium deficiency reserve was

57


Table of Contents

$584 million. This amount is the present value of expected future losses and expenses that exceeded the present value of expected future premium and already established loss reserves on these bulk transactions.
We believe the mortgage insurance industry will experience material losses on the 2006 and 2007 books. The ultimate amount of these losses will depend in part on the direction of home prices in California, Florida and other distressed markets, which in turn will be influenced by general economic conditions and other factors. Because we cannot predict future home prices or general economic conditions with confidence, we cannot predict with confidence what our ultimate losses will be on our 2006 and 2007 books. Our current expectation, however, is that these books will continue to generate material incurred and paid losses for a number of years. Our view of potential losses on these books has trended upward since the first quarter of 2008, including since the time at which we finalized our Form 10-Q for the second quarter of this year. There can be no assurance that additional premium deficiency reserves on Wall Street Bulk or on other portions of our insurance portfolio will not be required.
Changes in the business practices of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could reduce our revenues or increase our losses.
The majority of our insurance written through the flow channel is for loans sold to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, each of which is a government sponsored entity, or GSE. As a result, the business practices of the GSEs affect the entire relationship between them and mortgage insurers and include:
    the level of private mortgage insurance coverage, subject to the limitations of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac’s charters, when private mortgage insurance is used as the required credit enhancement on low down payment mortgages,
 
    whether Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac influence the mortgage lender’s selection of the mortgage insurer providing coverage and, if so, any transactions that are related to that selection,
 
    the underwriting standards that determine what loans are eligible for purchase by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac, which thereby affect the quality of the risk insured by the mortgage insurer and the availability of mortgage loans,
 
    the terms on which mortgage insurance coverage can be canceled before reaching the cancellation thresholds established by law, and
 
    the circumstances in which mortgage servicers must perform activities intended to avoid or mitigate loss on insured mortgages that are delinquent.
In September 2008, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (“FHFA”) was appointed as the conservator of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. As their conservator, FHFA controls and directs the operations of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The appointment of FHFA as conservator or our industry’s inability, due to capital constraints, to write sufficient business to meet the needs of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac may increase the likelihood that the business practices of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac change in ways that may have a material adverse effect on us. In addition, these factors may increase the likelihood that the charters of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are changed by new federal legislation. Such changes may

58


Table of Contents

allow Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to reduce or eliminate the level of private mortgage insurance coverage that they use as credit enhancement.
In addition, both Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have policies which provide guidelines on terms under which they can conduct business with mortgage insurers with financial strength ratings below Aa3/AA-. For information about how these policies could affect us, see the risk factor titled “Our financial strength rating has been downgraded below Aa3/AA-, which could reduce the volume of our new business writings.”
The amounts that we owe under our revolving credit facility and Senior Notes could be accelerated.
We have a $300 million bank revolving credit facility that matures in March 2010, under which $200 million is currently outstanding, $200 million of Senior Notes due in September 2011 and $300 million of Senior Notes due in November 2015.
Our revolving credit facility includes three financial covenants. First, it requires that we maintain Consolidated Net Worth of no less than $2.00 billion at all times. However, if as of June 30, 2009, our Consolidated Net Worth equals or exceeds $2.75 billion, then the minimum Consolidated Net Worth under the facility will be increased to $2.25 billion at all times from and after June 30, 2009. Consolidated Net Worth is generally defined in our credit agreement as the sum of our consolidated stockholders’ equity (determined in accordance with GAAP) plus the aggregate outstanding principal amount of our 9% Convertible Junior Subordinated Debentures due 2063. The current aggregate outstanding principal amount of our 9% Convertible Junior Subordinated Debentures due 2063 is $390 million.
At September 30, 2008, our Consolidated Net Worth was approximately $3.0 billion. We expect we will have a net loss in the remainder of 2008, with the result that we expect our Consolidated Net Worth to decline. Our current forecast of our 2008 net loss would result in our forecasted Consolidated Net Worth at December 31, 2008 being materially above the $2.0 billion minimum. There can be no assurance that our actual results will not be materially worse than our forecast or that losses in periods after 2008 will not reduce our Consolidated Net Worth below the minimum amount required.
In addition, regardless of our results of operations, our Consolidated Net Worth would be reduced to the extent the carrying value of our investment portfolio declines from its carrying value at September 30, 2008 due to market value adjustments and to the extent we pay dividends to our shareholders. At September 30, 2008, the modified duration of our fixed income portfolio was 4.6 years, which means that an instantaneous parallel upward shift in the yield curve of 100 basis points would result in a decline of 4.6% (approximately $344 million) in the market value of this portfolio. Market value adjustments could also occur as a result of changes in credit spreads.
The other two financial covenants require that MGIC’s risk-to-capital ratio not exceed 22:1 and that MGIC maintain policyholders position of not less than the amount required by Wisconsin insurance regulations. We discuss MGIC’s risk-to-capital ratio and its policyholders position in the risk factor titled “Because our policyholders position could decline and our risk-to-capital could increase beyond the levels necessary to meet regulatory requirements we are exploring options to obtain additional capital.

59


Table of Contents

Covenants in the Senior Notes include the requirement that there be no liens on the stock of the designated subsidiaries unless the Senior Notes are equally and ratably secured; that there be no disposition of the stock of designated subsidiaries unless all of the stock is disposed of for consideration equal to the fair market value of the stock; and that we and the designated subsidiaries preserve their corporate existence, rights and franchises unless we or such subsidiary determines that such preservation is no longer necessary in the conduct of its business and that the loss thereof is not disadvantageous to the Senior Notes. A designated subsidiary is any of our consolidated subsidiaries which has shareholder’s equity of at least 15% of our consolidated shareholders equity.
We currently have sufficient liquidity at our holding company to repay the amounts owed under our revolving credit facility. If (i) we fail to maintain any of the requirements under the credit facility discussed above, (ii) we fail to make a payment of principal when due under the credit facility or a payment of interest within five days after due under the credit facility, (iii)  we fail to make an interest payment when due under either series of our Senior Notes or (iv) our payment obligations under our Senior Notes are declared due and payable (including for one of the reasons noted in the following paragraph) and we are not successful in obtaining an agreement from banks holding a majority of the debt outstanding under the facility to change (or waive) the applicable requirement, then banks holding a majority of the debt outstanding under the facility would have the right to declare the entire amount of the outstanding debt due and payable.
If (i) we fail to meet any of the covenants of the Senior Notes discussed above, (ii) we fail to make a payment of principal of the Senior Notes when due or a payment of interest on the Senior Notes within thirty days after due or (iii) the debt under our bank facility is declared due and payable (including for one of the reasons noted in the previous paragraph) and we are not successful in obtaining an agreement from holders of a majority of the applicable series of Senior Notes to change (or waive) the applicable requirement or payment default, then the holders of 25% or more of either series of our Senior Notes each would have the right to accelerate the maturity of that debt. In addition, the Trustee of these two issues of Senior Notes, which is also a lender under our bank credit facility, could, independent of any action by holders of Senior Notes, accelerate the maturity of the Senior Notes.
In the event the amounts owing under our credit facility or Senior Notes are accelerated, we may not have sufficient funds to repay such amounts.
The amount of insurance we write could be adversely affected if lenders and investors select alternatives to private mortgage insurance.
These alternatives to private mortgage insurance include:
    lenders using government mortgage insurance programs, including those of the Federal Housing Administration and the Veterans Administration,
 
    lenders and other investors holding mortgages in portfolio and self-insuring,
 
    investors using credit enhancements other than private mortgage insurance, using other credit enhancements in conjunction with reduced levels of private mortgage insurance coverage, or accepting credit risk without credit enhancement, and

60


Table of Contents

    lenders originating mortgages using piggyback structures to avoid private mortgage insurance, such as a first mortgage with an 80% loan-to-value ratio and a second mortgage with a 10%, 15% or 20% loan-to- value ratio (referred to as 80-10-10, 80-15-5 or 80-20 loans, respectively) rather than a first mortgage with a 90%, 95% or 100% loan-to-value ratio that has private mortgage insurance.
We believe the Federal Housing Administration, which in recent years was not viewed by us as a significant competitor, has substantially increased its market share in 2008, including insuring a number of loans that would meet our current underwriting guidelines at a cost to the borrower that is lower than the cost of our insurance.
Our financial strength rating has been downgraded below Aa3/AA-, which could reduce the volume of our new business writings.
Standard & Poor’s Rating Services’ insurer financial strength rating of MGIC, our principal mortgage insurance subsidiary, is A with a negative outlook. The financial strength of MGIC is rated A1 by Moody’s Investors Service and is under review for a potential downgrade. The financial strength of MGIC is rated A- by Fitch Ratings with a negative outlook.
The private mortgage insurance industry has historically viewed a financial strength rating of at least Aa3/AA- as critical to writing new business. In part this view has resulted from the mortgage insurer eligibility requirements of the GSEs, which each year purchase the majority of loans insured by us and the rest of the private mortgage insurance industry. The eligibility requirements define the standards under which the GSEs will accept mortgage insurance as a credit enhancement on mortgages they acquire. These standards impose additional restrictions on insurers that do not have a financial strength rating of at least Aa3/AA-. These restrictions include not permitting such insurers to engage in captive reinsurance transactions with lenders. For many years, captive reinsurance has been an important means through which mortgage insurers compete for business from lenders, including lenders who sell a large volume of mortgages to the GSEs. In February 2008 Freddie Mac announced that it was temporarily suspending the portion of its eligibility requirements that impose additional restrictions on a mortgage insurer that is downgraded below Aa3/AA- if the affected insurer commits to submitting a complete remediation plan for its approval. In February 2008 Fannie Mae advised us that it would not automatically impose additional restrictions on a mortgage insurer that is downgraded below Aa3/AA- if the affected insurer submits a written remediation plan.
We have submitted written remediation plans to both Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae. Freddie Mac has publicly announced that our remediation plan is acceptable to it. We believe that Fannie Mae views its process of reviewing remediation plans as a process that should continue until the party submitting the remediation plan has regained a rating of at least Aa3/AA-. Our remediation plans include projections of our future financial performance. There can be no assurance that we will be able to successfully complete our remediation plans. In addition, there can be no assurance that Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae will continue the positions described above with respect to mortgage insurers that have been downgraded below Aa3/AA-.
Apart from the effect of the eligibility requirements of the GSEs, we believe lenders who hold mortgages in portfolio and choose to obtain mortgage insurance on the loans assess a mortgage insurer’s financial strength rating as one element of the process through which they

61


Table of Contents

select mortgage insurers. As a result of these considerations, including MGIC’s recent ratings downgrades, MGIC may be competitively disadvantaged.
Competition or changes in our relationships with our customers could reduce our revenues or increase our losses.
Competition for private mortgage insurance premiums occurs not only among private mortgage insurers but also with mortgage lenders through captive mortgage reinsurance transactions. In these transactions, a lender’s affiliate reinsures a portion of the insurance written by a private mortgage insurer on mortgages originated or serviced by the lender. As discussed under “- We are subject to risk from private litigation and regulatory proceedings” below, we provided information to the New York Insurance Department and the Minnesota Department of Commerce about captive mortgage reinsurance arrangements and the Department of Housing and Urban Development, commonly referred to as HUD, has recently issued a subpoena covering similar information. Other insurance departments or other officials, including attorneys general, may also seek information about or investigate captive mortgage reinsurance.
In recent years, the level of competition within the private mortgage insurance industry has been intense as many large mortgage lenders reduced the number of private mortgage insurers with whom they do business. At the same time, consolidation among mortgage lenders has increased the share of the mortgage lending market held by large lenders. Our private mortgage insurance competitors include:
    PMI Mortgage Insurance Company,
 
    Genworth Mortgage Insurance Corporation,
 
    United Guaranty Residential Insurance Company,
 
    Radian Guaranty Inc.,
 
    Republic Mortgage Insurance Company, whose parent, based on information filed with the SEC through November 1, 2008, is our largest shareholder, and
 
    CMG Mortgage Insurance Company.
Our relationships with our customers could be adversely affected by a variety of factors, including continued tightening of our underwriting guidelines, which have resulted in our declining to insure some of the loans originated by our customers, and our announcement that we plan to discontinue ceding new business under excess of loss reinsurance programs. We believe the Federal Housing Administration, which in recent years was not viewed by us as a significant competitor, has substantially increased its market share in 2008, including insuring a number of loans that would meet our current underwriting guidelines at a cost to the borrower that is lower than the cost of our insurance.
While the mortgage insurance industry has not had new entrants in many years, it is possible that the perceived increase in credit quality of loans that are being insured today combined with the deterioration of the financial strength ratings of the existing mortgage insurance companies could encourage the formation of start-up mortgage insurers.

62


Table of Contents

If the volume of low down payment home mortgage originations declines, the amount of insurance that we write could decline, which would reduce our revenues.
The factors that affect the volume of low-down-payment mortgage originations include:
    restrictions on mortgage credit due to more stringent underwriting standards and liquidity issues affecting lenders,
 
    the level of home mortgage interest rates,
 
    the health of the domestic economy as well as conditions in regional and local economies,
 
    housing affordability,
 
    population trends, including the rate of household formation,
 
    the rate of home price appreciation, which in times of heavy refinancing can affect whether refinance loans have loan-to-value ratios that require private mortgage insurance, and
 
    government housing policy encouraging loans to first-time homebuyers.
We are susceptible to disruptions in the servicing of mortgage loans that we insure.
We depend on reliable, consistent third-party servicing of the loans that we insure. A recent trend in the mortgage lending and mortgage loan servicing industry has been towards consolidation of loan servicers. This reduction in the number of servicers could lead to disruptions in the servicing of mortgage loans covered by our insurance policies. In addition, current housing market trends have led to significant increases in the number of delinquent mortgage loans requiring servicing. These increases have strained the resources of servicers, reducing their ability to undertake mitigation efforts that could help limit our losses. Future housing market conditions could lead to additional such increases. Managing a substantially higher volume of non-performing loans could lead to disruptions in the servicing of mortgage loans covered by our insurance policies. Disruptions in servicing, in turn, could contribute to a rise in delinquencies among those loans and could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and operating results.

63


Table of Contents

ITEM 6. EXHIBITS
     The accompanying Index to Exhibits is incorporated by reference in answer to this portion of this Item, and except as otherwise indicated in the next sentence, the Exhibits listed in such Index are filed as part of this Form 10-Q. Exhibit 32 is not filed as part of this Form 10-Q but accompanies this Form 10-Q.

64


Table of Contents

SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized, on November 10, 2008.
         
 
  MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION    
 
       
 
  \s\ J. Michael Lauer
 
J. Michael Lauer
   
 
  Executive Vice President and
   
 
  Chief Financial Officer    
 
       
 
  \s\ Joseph J. Komanecki
 
Joseph J. Komanecki
   
 
  Senior Vice President, Controller and
   
 
  Chief Accounting Officer    

65


Table of Contents

INDEX TO EXHIBITS
(Part II, Item 6)
     
Exhibit    
Number   Description of Exhibit
   
2.1
  Securities Repurchase Agreement, between Sherman Financial Group LLC and Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corporation, dated as of August 13, 2008. [Incorporated by reference to Exhibit 2.1 to the company’s Current Report on Form 8-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on August 14, 2008]
 
   
2.2
  Credit Agreement, between Sherman Financial Group LLC and Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corporation, dated as of August 13, 2008. [Incorporated by reference to Exhibit 2.1 to the company’s Current Report on Form 8-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on August 14, 2008]
 
   
11
  Statement Re Computation of Net Income Per Share
 
   
31.1
  Certification of CEO under Section 302 of Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002
 
   
31.2
  Certification of CFO under Section 302 of Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002
 
   
32
  Certification of CEO and CFO under Section 906 of Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 (as indicated in Item 6 of Part II, this Exhibit is not being “filed”)
 
   
99
  Risk Factors included in Item 1 A of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007, as supplemented by Part II, Item 1A of our Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q for the quarters ended March 31, June 30, and September 30, 2008 and through updating of various statistical and other information