UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549

Form 10-K

 

 

Commission file number 1-9371

 

ALLEGHANY CORPORATION

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

 

 

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code:

212/752-1356

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

 

 

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(g) of the Act:

Not applicable

 

Indicate by check mark if the registrant is a well-known seasoned issuer, as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act.  Yes þ     No o

 

Indicate by check mark if the registrant is not required to file reports pursuant to Section 13 or Section 15(d) of the Act.  Yes o     No þ

 

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days.  Yes þ     No o

 

Indicate by check mark if disclosure of delinquent filers pursuant to Item 405 of Regulation S-K is not contained herein, and will not be contained, to the best of registrant’s knowledge, in definitive proxy or information statements incorporated by reference in Part III of this Form 10-K or any amendment to this Form 10-K.  o

 

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, or a smaller reporting company. See the definitions of “large accelerated filer,” “accelerated filer” and “smaller reporting company” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act. (Check One):

 

 

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company.  Yes o     No þ

 

As of June 30, 2007, the aggregate market value (based upon the closing price of these shares on the New York Stock Exchange) of the shares of Common Stock of Alleghany Corporation held by non-affiliates was $2,586,573,728.

 

As of February 25, 2008, 8,159,306 shares of Common Stock were outstanding.

 

DOCUMENTS INCORPORATED BY REFERENCE

 

Portions of the Proxy Statement relating to the Annual Meeting of Stockholders of Alleghany Corporation to be held on April 25, 2008 are incorporated into Part III of this Form 10-K Report.

 

 

ALLEGHANY CORPORATION

 

Form 10-K Report

For The Year Ended December 31, 2007

 

Table of Contents

 

Description

 

 

References in this Form 10-K Report to the “Company,” “Alleghany,” “we,” “us” and “our” refer to Alleghany Corporation and its consolidated subsidiaries, unless the context otherwise requires. In addition, unless the context otherwise requires, references to

 

 

Business Overview

 

We were incorporated in 1984 under the laws of the State of Delaware. In December 1986, we succeeded to the business of our parent company, Alleghany Corporation, a Maryland corporation incorporated in 1929, upon its liquidation. We are engaged, through AIHL and its subsidiaries RSUI, CATA, Darwin and EDC, in the property and casualty and surety insurance business. We also own and manage properties in the Sacramento, California region through our subsidiary Alleghany Properties. In June 2006, we established AIHL Re as a captive reinsurance subsidiary of AIHL, and AIHL Re is available to provide reinsurance to our insurance operating units and affiliates.

 

We were engaged in the industrial minerals business through World Minerals, Inc. and its subsidiaries, or “World Minerals,” until July 14, 2005, when we sold that business to Imerys USA, Inc. We were also engaged, through our subsidiary Heads & Threads International LLC, or “Heads & Threads,” in the steel fastener importing and distribution business until December 31, 2004 when Heads & Threads was merged with an acquisition vehicle formed by a private investor group led by Heads & Threads management and Capital Partners, Inc. As a result of our disposition of World Minerals and Heads & Threads, these businesses have been classified as discontinued operations in this Form 10-K Report, and we no longer have any foreign operations.

 

On July 1, 2003, AIHL completed the acquisition of Resurgens Specialty Underwriting, Inc., or “Resurgens Specialty,” a specialty wholesale underwriting agency, from Royal Group, Inc., a subsidiary of Royal & SunAlliance Insurance Group plc, or “R&SA,” for cash consideration, including capitalized expenditures, of approximately $116.0 million. Resurgens Specialty became a subsidiary of RSUI. In connection with the acquisition of Resurgens Specialty, on June 30, 2003, RSUI acquired RSUI Indemnity Company, or “RIC,” to write admitted business underwritten by Resurgens Specialty, from Swiss Re America Holding Corporation for consideration of approximately $19.7 million, $13.2 million of which represented consideration for RIC’s investment portfolio and the balance of which represented consideration for licenses. On September 2, 2003, RIC purchased Landmark American Insurance Company, or “Landmark,” to write non-admitted business underwritten by Resurgens Specialty, from R&SA for cash consideration of $33.9 million, $30.4 million of which represented consideration for Landmark’s investment portfolio and the balance of which represented consideration for licenses. R&SA provided loss reserve guarantees for all of the loss and loss adjustment expense liabilities of Landmark that existed at the time of the sale. RIC and Landmark were further capitalized by us in an aggregate amount of approximately $520.0 million.

On May 3, 2004, AIHL acquired Darwin National Assurance Company, or “DNA,” an admitted insurance company domiciled in Delaware, for cash consideration of approximately $20.4 million, $17.1 million of which represented consideration for DNA’s investment portfolio and the balance of which represented consideration for licenses.

 

On May 2, 2005, DNA purchased Darwin Select Insurance Company, or “Darwin Select,” an insurance company domiciled in Arkansas, from Ulico Casualty Company to support future business underwritten by Darwin for cash consideration of $25.3 million, $22.3 million of which represented consideration for Darwin Select’s investment portfolio and $3.0 million of which represented consideration for licenses.

 

On December 29, 2006, AIHL invested approximately $120.0 million in Homesite Group Incorporated, or “Homesite,” a national, full-service, mono-line provider of homeowners insurance. As consideration for its $120.0 million investment, Alleghany received shares of common stock of Homesite representing approximately 32.9 percent of Homesite’s outstanding common stock.

 

On July 18, 2007, AIHL acquired EDC, the holding company of Employers Direct Insurance Company, a workers’ compensation insurance company domiciled in California, for a purchase price of approximately $198.1 million, including approximately $5.6 million of incurred acquisition costs. AIHL owns approximately 98.4 percent of the common stock of EDC with EDC senior management owning the remainder.

 

In 2007, we studied a number of potential acquisitions in addition to EDC. We intend to continue to expand our operations through internal growth at our subsidiaries, as well as through possible operating company acquisitions and investments. At December 31, 2007, we had 951 employees, with 935 at our subsidiaries and 16 at the parent level, including employees of Alleghany Capital Partners LLC, our recently established asset management subsidiary, primarily responsible for managing the equity portfolios of our insurance operating units. Our principal executive offices are located in leased office space of approximately 14,200 square feet at 7 Times Square Tower, New York, New York 10036, and our telephone number is (212) 752-1356.

 

Our annual reports on Form 10-K, quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, current reports on Form 8-K and amendments to those reports filed or furnished pursuant to Section 13(a) or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or the “Exchange Act,” are available, free of charge, on our website at www.alleghany.com, as soon as reasonably practicable after we electronically file or furnish this material to the Securities and Exchange Commission, or “SEC.” Our Financial Personnel Code of Ethics, Code of Business Conduct and Ethics, Corporate Governance Guidelines and the charters for our Audit, Compensation and Nominating and Governance Committees are also available on our website. In addition, you may obtain, free of charge, copies of any of the above reports or documents upon request to the Secretary of Alleghany.

 

We refer you to Items 7 and 8 of this Form 10-K Report for further information about our business in 2007. Our consolidated financial statements are set forth in Item 8 of this Form 10-K Report and include our accounts and the accounts of our subsidiaries for all periods presented.

 

Property and Casualty and Surety Insurance Businesses

 

General Description of Business

 

AIHL is our holding company for our property and casualty and surety insurance operations, which are conducted through RSUI, headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia, CATA, headquartered in Middleton, Wisconsin, Darwin, headquartered in Farmington, Connecticut, and EDC, headquartered in Agoura Hills, California. Surety operations are conducted through CATA. AIHL Re, our Vermont-domiciled captive reinsurance company, is available to provide reinsurance to our insurance operating units and affiliates. Since December 31, 2006, AIHL has also owned an approximately 32.9 percent stake in Homesite, a national, full-service, mono-line provider of homeowners insurance. Unless we state otherwise, references to AIHL include the operations of RSUI, CATA, Darwin, EDC and AIHL Re.

 

In general, property insurance protects an insured against financial loss arising out of loss of property or its use caused by an insured peril. Casualty insurance protects the insured against financial loss arising out of

the insured’s obligation to others for loss or damage to persons, including, with respect to workers’ compensation insurance, persons who are employees, or property. In 2007, property insurance accounted for approximately 36.3 percent and casualty insurance accounted for approximately 60.7 percent of AIHL’s gross premiums written. Surety bonds, both commercial and contract, are three-party agreements in which the issuer of the bond (the surety) joins with a second party (the principal) in guaranteeing to a third party (the owner/obligee) the fulfillment of some obligation on the part of the principal to the owner/obligee. In 2007, surety bonds accounted for approximately 3.0 percent of AIHL’s gross premiums written.

 

RSUI

 

General.  RSUI, which includes the operations of its operating subsidiaries RIC and Landmark, underwrites specialty insurance coverages in the property, umbrella/excess, general liability, directors and officers liability, or “D&O,” and professional liability lines of business. RSUI writes business on an admitted basis primarily through RIC in the 47 states and the District of Columbia where RIC is licensed and subject to form and rate regulations. RSUI writes business on an approved, non-admitted basis primarily through Landmark, which, as a non-admitted company, is not subject to state form and rate regulations and thus has more flexibility in its rates and coverages for specialized or hard-to-place risks. As of December 31, 2007, Landmark was approved to write business on a non-admitted basis in 49 states and on an admitted basis in Oklahoma. On September 28, 2007, RSUI formed Covington Specialty Insurance Company, a New Hampshire domiciled insurer, to support future non-admitted business written primarily by RSUI’s binding authority department, which writes small, specialized coverages pursuant to underwriting authority arrangements with managing general agents.

 

RIC and Landmark entered into a quota share arrangement, effective as of September 1, 2003, whereby Landmark cedes 90 percent of all premiums and losses, net of third-party reinsurance, to RIC. As of December 31, 2007, the statutory surplus of RIC was approximately $1,084.0 million and the statutory surplus of Landmark was $133.5 million. RIC is rated A (Excellent) by A.M. Best Company, Inc., or “A.M. Best,” an independent organization that analyzes the insurance industry, and Landmark is rated A (Excellent) on a reinsured basis by A.M. Best. RSUI leases approximately 133,000 square feet of office space in Atlanta, Georgia for its headquarters and approximately 34,000 square feet of office space in Sherman Oaks, California.

 

Distribution.  At December 31, 2007, RSUI conducted its insurance business through approximately 151 independent wholesale insurance brokers located throughout the United States and nineteen managing general agents. RSUI’s wholesale brokers are appointed on an individual basis based on management’s appraisal of expertise and experience, and only specific locations of a wholesale broker’s operations may be appointed to distribute RSUI’s products. Producer agreements which stipulate premium collection, payment terms and commission arrangements are in place with each wholesale broker. No wholesale broker holds underwriting, claims or reinsurance authority, with the exception of underwriting authority arrangements with nineteen managing general agents for small, specialized coverages. RSUI’s top five producing wholesale brokers accounted for approximately 50 percent of gross premiums written by RSUI in 2007. RSUI’s top two producing wholesale brokers, Swett & Crawford Group and CRC Insurance Services, each accounted for approximately 30 percent of AIHL’s gross premiums written in 2007.

 

Underwriting.  RSUI’s underwriting philosophy is based on handling only product lines in which its underwriters have strong underwriting expertise. RSUI generally focuses on higher severity, lower frequency specialty risks that can be effectively “desk underwritten” without the need for inspection or engineering reviews. RSUI tracks underwriting results for each of its underwriters and believes that the underwriting systems and applications it has in place facilitate efficient underwriting and high productivity levels. Underwriting authority is delegated on a “top-down” basis ultimately to individual underwriters based on experience and expertise. This authority is in writing and addresses maximum limits, excluded classes and coverages and premium size referral. Referral to a product line manager is required for risks exceeding an underwriter’s authority.

CATA

 

General.  CATA, primarily through its wholly-owned subsidiaries Capitol Indemnity Corporation, or “Capitol Indemnity,” and Capitol Specialty Insurance Corporation, or “CSIC,” operates in 50 states and the District of Columbia, with a geographic concentration in the Midwestern and Plains states. Capitol Indemnity conducts its property and casualty insurance business on an admitted basis except in California where it operates as an approved, non-admitted insurer. Capitol Indemnity also writes surety products such as commercial surety bonds and contract surety bonds on a national basis. Commercial surety bonds include all surety bonds other than contract surety bonds and cover obligations typically required by law or regulation, such as license and permit coverage. Capitol Indemnity offers contract surety bonds in the non-construction segment of the market which secure performance under supply, service and maintenance contracts and developer subdivision bonds. CSIC conducts substantially all of its business on an approved, non-admitted basis and writes primarily specialty lines of property and casualty insurance for certain types of businesses or activities, including barber and beauty shops, bowling alleys, contractors, restaurants and taverns. Platte River is licensed in 50 states and the District of Columbia and operates in conjunction with Capitol Indemnity primarily by providing surety products and offering pricing flexibility in those jurisdictions where both Capitol Indemnity and Platte River are licensed. The property and casualty business of CATA accounted for approximately 74 percent of its gross premiums written in 2007, while the surety business accounted for the remainder.

 

As of December 31, 2007, the statutory surplus of Capitol Indemnity was approximately $210.1 million, the statutory surplus of CSIC was $31.9 million, and the statutory surplus of Platte River was approximately $40.2 million. Capitol Indemnity, CSIC and Platte River are rated A (Excellent) on a reinsured basis by A.M. Best. CATA leases approximately 55,000 square feet of office space in Middleton, Wisconsin for its and Platte River’s headquarters.

 

Distribution.  CATA conducts its insurance business through independent and general insurance agents located throughout the United States, with a concentration in the Midwestern and Plains states. At December 31, 2007, CATA had approximately 309 independent agents and 60 general agents licensed to write property and casualty and surety coverages, as well as approximately 289 independent agents licensed only to write surety coverages. The general agents write very little surety business and have full quoting and binding authority within the parameters of their agency contracts with respect to the property and casualty business that they write. Certain independent agents have binding authority for specific business owner policy products, including property and liability coverages, and non-contract surety products. No agent of CATA had writings in excess of 10 percent of AIHL’s gross premiums written in 2007.

 

Underwriting.  CATA’s underwriting strategy emphasizes underwriting profitability. Key elements of this strategy are prudent risk selection, appropriate pricing and coverage customization. All accounts are reviewed on an individual basis to determine underwriting acceptability. CATA is a subscriber to the Insurance Service Organization, or “ISO,” and the Surety and Fidelity Association of America, or “SFAA,” insurance reference resources recognized by the insurance industry. Underwriting procedures, rates and contractual coverage obligations are based on procedures and data developed by the ISO for property and casualty lines and by the SFAA for surety lines. Underwriting acceptability is determined by type of business, claims experience, length of time in business and business experience, age and condition of premises occupied and financial stability. Information is obtained from, among other sources, agent applications, financial reports and on-site loss control surveys. If an account does not meet predetermined acceptability parameters, coverage is declined. If an in-force policy becomes unprofitable due to extraordinary claims activity or inadequate premium levels, a non-renewal notice is issued in accordance with individual state statutes and rules.

 

Darwin Professional Underwriters

 

General.  Darwin is a specialty property and casualty insurance group focused principally on three broad professional liability market lines of business: D&O, errors and omissions liability, or “E&O,” and medical malpractice liability. In 2007, Darwin began writing general liability, or “GL,” policies, with a small book of short-line railroad liability business. Darwin was initially formed in March 2003 as an underwriting manager

for CATA. As of December 31, 2007, DNA was licensed or authorized to write business in 49 states and the District of Columbia, and Darwin Select was licensed on an admitted basis to write business in its state of domicile and authorized to write business on a surplus lines basis in 47 additional states. At December 31, 2007, DNA’s statutory surplus was approximately $217.4 million and Darwin Select’s statutory surplus was approximately $45.6 million. DNA and Darwin Select are rated A- (Excellent) on a reinsured basis by A.M. Best. Darwin leases approximately 25,000 square feet of office space in Farmington, Connecticut for its headquarters.

 

On May 24, 2006, Darwin closed the initial public offering of its common stock and used all of the proceeds to reduce Alleghany’s equity interests in Darwin by redeeming Darwin preferred stock held by Alleghany. Alleghany continues to own approximately 55 percent of the total outstanding shares of common stock of Darwin, with no preferred stock outstanding.

 

Distribution.  Darwin is selective in establishing relationships with distribution partners. Its business development staff is responsible for selecting brokers and agents, training them to market and sell Darwin’s products and monitoring their operations to ensure compliance with Darwin’s production and profitability standards. Currently, Darwin sells its products through approximately 180 distribution partners, including brokers, agents and five program administrators, one in Darwin’s municipal entity and public officials E&O class of business, one in Darwin’s psychiatrists medical malpractice liability class of business, one in Darwin’s GL program for short-line railroads and the remaining two in select E&O classes of business. Darwin’s selection criteria for distribution partners and program administrators include profitability, reputation, and shared values with Darwin. Authority to bind policies is delegated carefully, audits by Darwin are regular and Darwin retains responsibility for claims administration. Darwin’s distribution partners produce business through traditional channels as well as through “i-bind,” its web-based underwriting system. No Darwin distribution partner had writings in excess of 10 percent of AIHL’s gross premiums written in 2007.

 

Underwriting.  Darwin’s underwriting approach focuses on disciplined analysis, appropriate pricing based on the actual risk and attachment level and the granting of appropriate coverage, accompanied by underwriting and actuarial reviews of accounts. Formal rating strategies and plans have been adopted for each line of business. Darwin determines underwriting acceptability by type of business, company experience, claims experience, experience of the insured’s management team, financial stability and other relevant factors. Information is obtained from, among other sources, application forms, underlying insurance coverage (if any), company policies and procedures, loss experience, financial condition, public disclosures and interviews with the insured’s management team. If an account does not meet acceptability parameters, coverage is declined. In connection with renewal, claims activity is reviewed to ensure that profitability assessments were correct and the information obtained during the prior underwriting of the insured is updated.

 

Employers Direct Corporation

 

General.  EDC’s main business is workers’ compensation insurance, which is conducted on a direct basis through its wholly-owned subsidiary Employers Direct Insurance Company, or “EDIC.” EDIC was granted its Certificate of Authority by the California Department of Insurance and began writing workers’ compensation insurance on January 1, 2003. In 2007, EDIC was also licensed by the states of Arizona and Nevada, but its sales effort is almost exclusively focused in California. Workers’ compensation insurance provides coverage for the statutorily prescribed benefits that employers are obligated to provide for their employees who are injured in the course of employment. In 2007, EDC formed eDirect Insurance Services, Inc. which does business as Plenary Insurance Services, or “Plenary.” Plenary is a commercial retail intermediary insurance brokerage and consulting company which specializes in the marketing and cross-selling to current EDIC policyholders of employee benefits and health and welfare plans, executive benefits, and voluntary benefits, which are employee benefit programs where the employee pays, generally through payroll deductions, 100 percent of the cost of benefits.

 

As of December 31, 2007, the statutory surplus of EDIC was approximately $182.8 million. EDIC is rated A- (Excellent) by A.M. Best. EDC leases approximately 66,000 square feet of office space in Agoura Hills, California.

Distribution.  EDIC markets and sells its products through a direct sales force, which it believes has several important advantages over the independent agent-broker system by significantly reducing policy acquisition expenses, providing greater control over the risk selection process, leading to a high persistency rate, and accelerating premium collection lead times.

 

Underwriting.  EDIC employs a broad-based and strict underwriting process, with underwriting standards that contain minimum sizes, retention levels and prohibited risk classes. Aggregate exposures are limited with respect to risk classifications and any individual insured. Exposure is managed by generally avoiding industries and businesses considered to involve the potential for severe losses or high exposure to multiple injuries resulting from a single occurrence. Target employers include those who have a firm commitment to safety, returning injured workers to modified duty, and a genuine interest in lowering their insurance costs by partnering with EDIC.

 

EDIC develops individual pricing plans and customizes loss control and claims programs to help its customers achieve EDIC’s targeted loss ratio. The underwriting process focuses on each individual risk involving a detailed and disciplined analysis. Each potential insured is evaluated for its acceptability, risk and loss exposures, and EDIC’s ability to offer a competitive price consistent with its targeted loss ratio. The underwriting department monitors the performance of each account throughout the coverage period, and upon renewal, the profitability of each account is reviewed and integrated into the terms and conditions of any coverage going forward.

 

AIHL Re LLC

 

AIHL Re was formed in June 2006 as a captive reinsurance subsidiary of AIHL to provide catastrophe reinsurance coverage for RSUI. AIHL Re and RSUI entered into a reinsurance agreement, effective July 1, 2006, whereby AIHL Re, in exchange for market-based premiums, took that portion of RSUI’s catastrophe reinsurance program not covered by third-party reinsurers. This reinsurance coverage expired on April 30, 2007 and AIHL Re is not participating in RSUI’s catastrophe reinsurance program for the 2007-2008 period. The cumulative premiums ceded from RSUI to AIHL Re under this agreement for the coverage period was $59.1 million, which reflects a $1.1 million premium adjustment recorded during the second quarter of 2007. In connection with the expiration of the reinsurance agreement, the trust funds established to secure AIHL Re’s obligations to make payments to RSUI under such reinsurance agreement were dissolved and the $208.0 million in such funds was disbursed to AIHL.

 

AIHL Re and Homesite entered into a reinsurance agreement, effective April 1, 2007, whereby AIHL Re, in exchange for an annual premium of approximately $2.0 million, provides $20.0 million of excess-of-loss reinsurance coverage to Homesite under its catastrophe reinsurance program. Homesite’s catastrophe exposure is concentrated in the Northeast region of the United States. To secure AIHL Re’s obligations to make payments to Homesite under the April 1, 2007 agreement, a deposit of $20.0 million was made into a trust fund established for the benefit of Homesite.

 

AIHL Re had no employees at December 31, 2007.

 

Changes in Historical Net Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense Reserves

 

The following table shows changes in historical net loss and loss adjustment expense, or “LAE,” reserves for AIHL for each year since 2002. The first line of the upper portion of the table shows the net reserves at December 31 of each of the indicated years, representing the estimated amounts of net outstanding losses and loss adjustment expenses for claims arising during that year and in all prior years that are unpaid, including losses that have been incurred but not yet reported to AIHL’s insurance operating units. The upper (paid) portion of the table shows the cumulative net amounts paid as of December 31 of successive years with respect to the net reserve liability for each year. The lower portion of the table shows the re-estimated amount of the previously recorded net reserves for each year based on experience as of the end of each succeeding year. The estimate changes as more information becomes known about claims for individual years. In evaluating the information in the table, it should be noted that a reserve amount reported in any period includes the effect of any subsequent change in such reserve amount. For example, if a loss was first reserved

in 2002 at $100,000 and was determined in 2003 to be $150,000, the $50,000 deficiency would be included in the Cumulative (Deficiency) Redundancy row shown below for each of the years 2002 through 2006.

 

Conditions and trends that have affected the development of the net reserve liability in the past may not necessarily occur in the future. Accordingly, it is not appropriate to extrapolate future redundancies or deficiencies based on this table.

 

Changes in Historical Net Reserves for Losses and LAE

 

 

The significant net cumulative deficiency in 2002 principally reflects strengthening of CATA’s asbestos and environmental reserves. Information with respect to these reserves is set forth on pages 16 to 18 of this Form 10-K Report. The net cumulative redundancies in 2004, 2005 and 2006 primarily reflect net reserve releases by CATA, RSUI and Darwin which are discussed on pages 35 and 36 and pages 42 through 45 of this Form 10-K Report, partially offset by catastrophe related net reserve increases by RSUI in 2006 and 2007. RSUI’s 2006 and 2007 reserving actions primarily reflect increases in estimated ultimate losses related to Hurricane Katrina, partially offset by reserve releases related to RSUI’s casualty lines of business, as discussed on pages 42 and 43 of this Form 10-K Report.

 

The reconciliation between the aggregate net loss and LAE reserves of AIHL reported in the annual statements filed with state insurance departments prepared in accordance with statutory accounting practices, or “SAP,” and those reported in AIHL’s consolidated financial statements prepared in accordance with

generally accepted accounting principles in the United States of America, or “GAAP,” for the last three years is shown below (in thousands):

 

Reconciliation of Reserves for Losses and LAE from SAP Basis to GAAP Basis

 

 

 

 

The reconciliation of beginning and ending aggregate reserves for unpaid losses and LAE of AIHL for the last three years is shown below (in thousands):

 

Reconciliation of Reserves for Losses and LAE

 

 

 

 

Asbestos and Environmental Impairment Reserves

 

AIHL’s reserves for losses and LAE include amounts for various liability coverages related to asbestos and environmental impairment claims that arose from reinsurance of certain general liability and commercial

multiple peril coverages assumed by Capitol Indemnity between 1969 and 1976. Capitol Indemnity exited this business in 1976. Promptly after we acquired CATA in January 2002, CATA’s management commenced a program to settle, or position for commutation, Capitol Indemnity’s assumed reinsurance treaties and make appropriate payments on a timely basis when deemed necessary. From January 2002 through December 2004, Capitol Indemnity experienced an increase in paid losses on its assumed reinsurance runoff related to such treaties, which was initially attributed to this change in CATA’s settlement philosophy. Upon completion in 2003 of an actuarial study undertaken by management, it was determined that the increase in paid losses related to the treaties reflected developments in the underlying claims environment, particularly with respect to asbestos related claims, and, accordingly, CATA strengthened its reserves related to such assumed reinsurance coverages in the amount of $20.7 million.

 

For the year ended December 31, 2007, the aggregate gross loss and LAE payments for asbestos and environmental impairment claims of CATA were $1.0 million, compared with $1.9 million in 2006. As of December 31, 2007, reserves of CATA totaled approximately $16.7 million for asbestos liabilities and approximately $6.2 million for environmental liabilities, resulting in aggregate asbestos and environmental reserves of $22.9 million. At December 31, 2007, the reserves for asbestos liabilities were approximately 15.8 times the average paid claims for the prior three-year period, compared with 14.5 times at December 31, 2006, and the reserves for environmental impairment liabilities were approximately 32.5 times the average paid claims for the prior three-year period, compared with 22.1 times at December 31, 2006. Additional information regarding the policies that CATA uses to set reserves for these asbestos and environmental claims can be found on page 36 of this Form 10-K Report.

 

The reconciliation of the beginning and ending aggregate reserves for unpaid losses and LAE related to asbestos and environmental impairment claims of AIHL for the years 2005 through 2007 is shown below (in thousands):

 

Reconciliation of Asbestos-Related Claims Reserves for Losses and LAE

 

 

 

 

Reconciliation of Environmental Impairment Claims Reserves for Losses and LAE

 

 

Catastrophe Risk Management

 

AIHL’s insurance operating units expose AIHL to losses on claims arising out of natural or man-made catastrophes, including hurricanes, other windstorms, earthquakes and floods, as well as terrorist activities. The incidence and severity of catastrophes in any short period of time are inherently unpredictable. The extent of losses from a catastrophe is a function of both the total amount of insured exposure in the area affected by the event and the severity of the event. Most catastrophes are restricted to small geographic areas; however, hurricanes, other windstorms, earthquakes and floods may produce significant damage in areas that are heavily populated. The geographic distribution of AIHL’s insurance operating units subjects them to catastrophe exposure in the United States from hurricanes in the Gulf coast regions, Florida, the Mid-Atlantic, and Northeast, from other windstorms in the Midwest and Southern regions, and earthquakes in California, the Pacific Northwest region and along the New Madrid fault line in the Midwest region.

 

AIHL’s insurance operating units use underwriting controls and systems, including third-party catastrophe modeling software, to help model potential losses. The operating units use modeled loss scenarios to set risk retention levels and help structure their reinsurance programs, in an effort to ensure that the aggregate amount of catastrophe exposures conform to established risk tolerances and fit within the existing exposure portfolio. RSUI also relies on reinsurance to limit its exposure to catastrophes, which is discussed in more detail under “Reinsurance” below. Additional information regarding the risks faced by AIHL’s insurance operating units, particularly RSUI, with respect to managing their catastrophe exposure risk can be found on pages 25 and 26 of this Form 10-K Report.

 

Information regarding our insurance operating units’ coverage for terrorism and the impact of the Terrorism Act on our insurance operating units can be found on page 20 of this Form 10-K Report.

 

Reinsurance

 

AIHL’s insurance operating units reinsure a significant portion of the risks they underwrite in order to mitigate their exposure to losses, manage capacity and protect capital resources. In general, the insurance operating units obtain reinsurance on a treaty and facultative basis. Treaty reinsurance is based on a contract between a primary insurer or “cedent” and a reinsurer and covers certain classes of risk specified in the treaty. Under most treaties, the cedent is obligated to offer, and the reinsurer is obligated to accept, a specified portion of a class of risk underwritten by the cedent. Alternatively, facultative reinsurance is the reinsurance of individual risks, whereby a reinsurer separately rates and underwrites each risk and is free to accept or reject each risk offered by the cedent. Facultative reinsurance is normally purchased for risks not otherwise covered or covered only in part by reinsurance treaties, and for unusual or large risks. Treaty and facultative reinsurance can be written on a quota share, surplus share or excess of loss basis. Under a quota share reinsurance treaty, the cedent and reinsurer share the premiums as well as the losses and expenses of any single risk, or an entire group of risks. Under a surplus share reinsurance treaty, the cedent may transfer, and the reinsurer is required to accept, the part of every risk that exceeds a predetermined amount (commonly referred to as the cedent’s “retention”), with the reinsurer sharing premiums and losses in the same proportion

as it shares in the total policy limits of the risk written by the cedent. Under an excess of loss reinsurance treaty, a reinsurer agrees to reimburse the cedent for all or part of any losses in excess of the cedent’s retention, generally up to a predetermined limit, at which point the risk of loss is assumed by another reinsurer or reverts to the cedent.

 

In 2007, RSUI ceded 40.6 percent of its gross premiums written to reinsurers. Although the net amount of loss exposure retained by RSUI varies by line of business, in general, as of December 31, 2007, RSUI retained a maximum net exposure for any single property risk of $10.0 million and any single casualty risk of $9.75 million, with the exception of losses arising from acts of foreign terrorism.

 

RSUI reinsures its property lines of business through a program consisting of surplus share treaties, facultative placements, a per risk program and catastrophe excess of loss treaties. Under its surplus share treaties, which generally provide coverage on a risk attaching basis (the treaties cover policies which become effective during the treaty coverage period) from January 1 to December 31, RSUI is indemnified on a pro rata basis against covered property losses. The amount indemnified is based on the proportionate share of risk ceded after consideration of a stipulated dollar amount of “line” for RSUI to retain in relation to the entire limit written. RSUI ceded approximately 30 percent of its property gross premiums written in 2007 under these surplus share treaties. Under RSUI’s per risk reinsurance program, which generally provides coverage on an annual basis for losses occurring from May 1 to the following April 30, RSUI is reinsured for $90.0 million in excess of a $10.0 million net retention per risk after the application of the surplus share treaties and facultative reinsurance.

 

RSUI’s catastrophe reinsurance program (which covers catastrophe risks including, among others, windstorms and earthquakes) and per risk reinsurance program run on an annual basis from May 1 to the following April 30. RSUI, due to its reduction in exposed limits since May 1, 2006, sought a lesser amount of catastrophe reinsurance at its 2007 renewal. In this regard, RSUI’s catastrophe reinsurance program for 2007-2008 covers $400.0 million of losses, before a 17.5 percent co-participation by RSUI, in excess of a $100.0 million net retention after application of the surplus share treaties, facultative reinsurance and per risk covers, compared with coverage for $675.0 million of losses, before a 5.0 percent co-participation by RSUI, in excess of a $75.0 million net retention under the expired program. As discussed below, because AIHL Re, a wholly-owned subsidiary of AIHL, provided coverage under this program, there was no net reduction in Alleghany’s catastrophe exposure on a consolidated basis as a result of RSUI’s arrangement with AIHL Re. RSUI’s property per risk reinsurance program for the 2007-2008 period provides RSUI with reinsurance for $90.0 million of losses in excess of $10.0 million net retention per risk after application of the surplus share treaties and facultative reinsurance, which is substantially similar to the expired program.

 

RSUI reinsures its other lines of business through quota share treaties. RSUI’s Professional Liability quota share reinsurance treaty, which expired on April 1, 2007, provided reinsurance for policies with limits up to $10.0 million, with RSUI ceding 25 percent of the premiums and losses for policies with limits up to $1.0 million, and 50 percent of the premiums and losses on policies with limits greater than $1.0 million up to $10.0 million. This treaty was not renewed by RSUI, as management decided to retain all of this business. RSUI’s quota share treaty for umbrella/excess renewed on June 1, 2007 and provides reinsurance for policies with limits up to $30.0 million, with RSUI ceding 35 percent of the premium and loss for policies with limits up to $15.0 million and ceding 67.5 percent of the premium and loss for policies with limits in excess of $15.0 million up to $30.0 million. RSUI’s D&O liability line treaty renewed on July 1, 2007 and provides reinsurance for policies with limits up to $20.0 million, with RSUI ceding 35 percent of the premium and loss for all policies with limits up to $10.0 million and ceding 60 percent of the premium and loss for policies with limits in excess of $10.0 million up to $20.0 million.

 

AIHL Re was formed in June 2006 as a captive reinsurance subsidiary of AIHL to provide catastrophe reinsurance coverage for RSUI. AIHL Re and RSUI entered into a reinsurance agreement for the 2006-2007 coverage period, whereby AIHL Re, in exchange for market-based premiums, took 64 percent of non-earthquake losses and 49 percent of earthquake losses, including a 5 percent co-participation by RSUI, not covered by third-party reinsurers under RSUI’s catastrophe reinsurance program. Because AIHL Re is a wholly-owned subsidiary of AIHL, there was no net reduction in Alleghany’s catastrophe exposure on a

consolidated basis as a result of RSUI’s arrangement with AIHL Re. RSUI’s reinsurance coverage with AIHL Re expired on April 30, 2007, and AIHL Re did not participate in RSUI’s catastrophe reinsurance program for the 2007-2008 period.

 

With respect to potential losses at our insurance operating units arising from acts of terrorism, the Terrorism Risk Insurance Act of 2002, as extended and amended by the Terrorism Risk Insurance Extension Act of 2005 and the Terrorism Risk Insurance Program Reauthorization Act of 2007, which we collectively refer to as the “Terrorism Act,” established a program under which the federal government will reimburse insurers for losses arising from certain acts of terrorism. The Terrorism Act is administered by the Secretary of the Treasury and is effective through December 31, 2014, at which time it will automatically expire. The intent of the Terrorism Act is to provide federal assistance to the insurance industry in order to allow it to meet the needs of commercial insurance policyholders with potential exposure for losses due to acts of terrorism. The Terrorism Act applies to U.S. risks only, whether it be foreign or domestic terrorism on U.S. soil or on U.S. interests abroad. In return for requiring insurers writing certain lines of property and casualty insurance to offer coverage against certain acts of terrorism, the law requires the federal government to indemnify such insurers for 85 percent of insured losses during a program year resulting from covered acts of terrorism, subject to certain premium-based deductibles. AIHL’s deductible under the Terrorism Act in 2008 will be 20 percent of its subsidiaries’ direct premiums earned in 2007, or approximately $360.0 million. In addition, federal compensation will only be paid under the Terrorism Act if the aggregate industry insured losses resulting from the covered act of terrorism exceed $100.0 million for insured losses occurring in 2008 but no payment shall be made for the portion of aggregate industry insured losses that exceed $100.0 billion in 2008.

 

AIHL’s terrorism exposure is substantially attributable to RSUI. In general, RSUI’s casualty reinsurance programs provide coverage for domestic and foreign acts of terrorism, while RSUI’s property reinsurance programs provide coverage only for domestic acts of terrorism. The cost of property reinsurance in the marketplace has increased significantly in recent years, and reinsurance capacity for terrorism exposures is limited and expensive. As a result, RSUI would be liable for these exposures on a net basis, subject to the Terrorism Act coverage, for property policies containing foreign terrorism coverage. Approximately 6.0 percent of all policies, and approximately 17.8 percent of all property policies, written by RSUI in 2007 contained coverage for domestic and foreign acts of terrorism. RSUI uses various underwriting strategies to mitigate its exposure to terrorism losses.

 

CATA uses reinsurance to protect against severity losses. In 2007, CATA reinsured individual property and casualty and contract surety risks in excess of $1.5 million with various reinsurers. The commercial surety line was reinsured for individual losses above $1.25 million. In addition, CATA purchases facultative reinsurance coverage for risks in excess of $6.0 million on property and casualty and $15.0 million on commercial surety.

 

In general, Darwin purchases excess of loss reinsurance on a treaty basis to limit its loss from a single occurrence on any one coverage part of any one policy. With respect to Darwin’s medical lines of business, Darwin’s reinsurance program provides coverage for $10.0 million of losses, before a 15 percent co-participation by Darwin, in excess of a $1.0 million net retention, with ceding commissions varying depending upon profitability. For Darwin’s non-medical lines of business, Darwin’s reinsurance program provides coverage in layers. The first layer applies to all lines, other than commercial and healthcare D&O and financial institutions and managed care E&O, and provides coverage for $1.0 million of losses, before a 25 percent Darwin co-participation, in excess of a $1.0 million retention. The next layer, for all professional, managed care and shortline railroad liability lines, covers $3.0 million of losses, before a 25 percent co-participation by Darwin, in excess of a $2.0 million net retention. The third layer provides coverage for up to $10.0 million of losses, before a 15 percent co-participation by Darwin, in excess of $5.0 million of losses for non-publicly traded D&O liability (other than Side-A only liability) and primary insurance agents E&O liability and for $5.0 million of losses for other non-medical lines, before a 15.0 percent co-participation by Darwin, in excess of $5.0 million of losses. The last layer provides coverage for $5.0 million of losses for Darwin’s Side-A only D&O liability, before a 10 percent co-participation by Darwin, in excess of $15.0 million of losses, and for $10.0 million of losses for managed care E&O, before a 10 percent co-participation by Darwin, in excess of $10.0 million of losses. As with Darwin’s medical reinsurance program, premiums do not vary depending on profitability, but ceding commissions may vary.

EDC uses reinsurance to protect against catastrophe losses. In 2007, EDC retained the first $1.0 million of loss per occurrence and bought reinsurance with various reinsurers for $149.0 million above that level. Any loss above $150.0 million would be the sole responsibility of EDC. EDC uses various catastrophe models to assist it in determining the amount of reinsurance to purchase. All of EDC’s 2007 reinsurance includes foreign and domestic terrorism coverage, although nuclear, chemical, biological and radiological events are excluded. By law, EDC cannot exclude any form of terrorism from its workers’ compensation policies.

 

AIHL Re and Homesite entered into a reinsurance agreement, effective April 1, 2007, whereby AIHL Re, in exchange for an annual premium of approximately $2.0 million, provides $20.0 million of excess-of-loss reinsurance coverage to Homesite under its catastrophe reinsurance program. Homesite’s wind catastrophe exposure is concentrated in the Northeast region of the United States.

 

At December 31, 2007, AIHL had total reinsurance recoverables of $1.0 billion, consisting of $0.9 billion of ceded outstanding losses and loss adjustment expenses and $0.1 billion of recoverables on paid losses. The reinsurance purchased by AIHL’s insurance operating units does not relieve them from their obligations to their policyholders, and therefore, the financial strength of their reinsurers is important. Approximately 91.6 percent of AIHL’s reinsurance recoverables balance at December 31, 2007 was due from reinsurers having an A.M. Best financial strength rating of A (Excellent) or higher. AIHL had no allowance for uncollectible reinsurance as of December 31, 2007. Additional information regarding the risks faced by AIHL’s insurance operating units with respect to their use of reinsurance can be found on pages 26 and 27 of this Form 10-K Report. AIHL’s Reinsurance Security Committee, which includes certain of our officers and the chief financial officers of each of AIHL’s insurance operating units, meets to track, analyze and manage the use of reinsurance by AIHL’s insurance operating units. The Reinsurance Security Committee considers the limits on the maximum amount of unsecured reinsurance recoverables that should be outstanding from any particular reinsurer, the lines of business that should be ceded to a particular reinsurer and, where applicable, the types of collateral that should be posted by reinsurers. Information related to concentration of reinsurance recoverables can be found in Note 5 to our consolidated financial statements set forth in Item 8 of this Form 10-K Report.

 

Based on reviews by management, all of the current reinsurance contracts used by AIHL’s insurance operating units provide for sufficient transfer of insurance risk to qualify for reinsurance accounting treatment under GAAP. As such, AIHL’s insurance operating units have no reinsurance contracts accounted for under the deposit method.

 

Investments

 

The investment portfolios of RSUI, CATA, Darwin and EDC are managed by AIHL. For a discussion of AIHL investment results, please see pages 47 to 51 of this Form 10-K Report.

 

Competition

 

The property and casualty businesses of RSUI and Darwin, as well as the surety business of CATA, compete on a national basis. CATA’s property and casualty businesses compete on a regional basis with a primary focus on the Midwestern and Plains states. EDC competes in the State of California. Our insurance operating units compete with a large number of other companies in their selected lines of business. They compete, and will continue to compete, with major U.S. and non-U.S. insurers, other regional companies, mutual companies, specialty insurance companies, underwriting agencies and diversified financial services companies. Many competitors have considerably greater financial resources and greater experience in the insurance industry and offer a broader line of insurance products than do AIHL’s insurance operating units. Except for regulatory considerations, there are virtually no barriers to entry into the insurance industry. Competition may be domestic or foreign, and competitors are not necessarily required to be licensed by various state insurance departments. Competition in the businesses of our insurance operating units is based on many factors, including the perceived financial strength of the company, premium charges, other terms and conditions offered, services provided, commissions paid to producers, ratings assigned by independent rating agencies, speed of claims payment and reputation and experience in the lines to be written.

Historically, insurers have experienced significant fluctuations in operating results due to competition, frequency or severity of catastrophic and other loss events, levels of capacity, general economic and social conditions and other factors. The supply of insurance is related to prevailing prices, the level of insured losses and the level of industry capital which, in turn, may fluctuate in response to changes in rates of return on investments being earned in the insurance industry. As a result, the insurance business historically has been a cyclical business characterized by periods of intense price competition due to excessive underwriting capacity as well as periods when shortages of capacity permitted favorable price levels. A discussion of the risks faced by our insurance operating units due to competition within, and the cyclicality of, the insurance business can be found on pages 24 and 25 of this Form 10-K Report.

 

Regulation

 

AIHL is subject to the insurance holding company laws of several states. In addition, dividends and distributions by an insurance subsidiary are subject to approval by the insurance regulators of the domiciliary state of a subsidiary. Other significant transactions between an insurance subsidiary and its holding company or other subsidiaries of the holding company may require approval by insurance regulators in the domiciliary state of each of the insurance subsidiaries participating in these transactions. AIHL’s insurance operating units are subject to regulation in their domiciliary states as well as in the other states in which they do business. This regulation pertains to matters such as approving policy forms and various premium rates, licensing agents, granting and revoking licenses to transact business and regulating trade practices. In addition, some of AIHL’s insurance operating units are in states requiring prior approval by regulators before proposed rates for property or casualty or surety insurance policies may be implemented. Insurance regulatory authorities perform periodic examinations of an insurer’s market conduct and other affairs.

 

Insurance companies are required to report their financial condition and results of operations in accordance with statutory accounting principles prescribed or permitted by state insurance regulators in conjunction with the National Association of Insurance Commissioners, or “NAIC.” State insurance regulators also prescribe the form and content of statutory financial statements, perform periodic financial examinations of insurers, set minimum reserve and loss ratio requirements, establish standards for permissible types and amounts of investments, and require minimum capital and surplus levels. These statutory capital and surplus requirements include risk-based capital, or “RBC,” rules promulgated by the NAIC. These RBC standards are intended to assess the level of risk inherent in an insurance company’s business and consider items such as asset risk, credit risk, underwriting risk and other business risks relevant to its operations. In accordance with RBC formulas, a company’s RBC requirements are calculated and compared to its total adjusted capital to determine whether regulatory intervention is warranted. At December 31, 2007, the total adjusted capital of each of AIHL’s insurance subsidiaries exceeded the minimum levels required under RBC rules and each had excess capacity to write additional premiums in relation to these requirements.

 

The NAIC annually calculates certain statutory financial ratios for most insurance companies in the United States. These calculations are known as the Insurance Regulatory Information System, or “IRIS,” ratios. There presently are twelve IRIS ratios, with each ratio having an established “usual range” of results. The IRIS ratios assist state insurance departments in executing their statutory mandate to oversee the financial condition of insurance companies. A ratio falling outside the usual range is not considered a failing result; rather, unusual values are viewed as part of the regulatory early monitoring system. Furthermore, in some years, it may not be unusual for financially sound companies to have several ratios with results outside the usual ranges. The NAIC reports the ratios to state insurance departments who may then contact a company if four or more of its ratios fall outside the NAIC’s usual ranges. Based upon calculations as of December 31, 2007, each of DNA, CSIC, EDC and Platte River had one of its ratios, and Darwin Select and Landmark had two of their ratios, falling outside the usual ranges. In the case of DNA, the unusual range was due to DNA’s inter-company reinsurance relationship with subsidiaries of CATA. In the case of CSIC and Platte River, the unusual range was due to growth in net premiums written due to a change in their pooling agreements with CIC. In the case of EDIC, the unusual range was primarily due to a capital contribution from EDC and an increase in EDIC’s 2007 net income. In the case of Darwin Select, the two unusual ranges were due to significant growth in direct writings as well as growth in Darwin Select’s policyholders’ surplus due to a

year-end capital contribution from DNA. In the case of Landmark, the two unusual ranges were due to Landmark’s inter-company reinsurance relationship with RIC.

 

AIHL’s insurance operating units are required under the guaranty fund laws of most states in which they transact business to pay assessments up to prescribed limits to fund policyholder losses or liabilities of insolvent insurance companies. AIHL’s insurance operating units also are required to participate in various involuntary pools, principally involving workers’ compensation and windstorms. In most states, the involuntary pool participation of AIHL’s insurance operating units is in proportion to their voluntary writings of related lines of business in such states.

 

In addition to the regulatory requirements described above, a number of current and pending legislative and regulatory measures may significantly affect the insurance business in a variety of ways. These measures include, among other things, tort reform, consumer privacy requirements and financial services deregulation initiatives.

 

Employees

 

AIHL’s insurance operating units employed 931 persons as of December 31, 2007, 368 of whom were at RSUI and its subsidiaries, 217 of whom were at CATA and its subsidiaries, 142 of whom were at Darwin and its subsidiaries, and 204 of whom were at EDC and its subsidiaries.

 

Corporate Activities

 

Real Estate Business

 

Headquartered in Sacramento, California, Alleghany Properties owns and manages properties in the Sacramento region of California. These properties include improved and unimproved commercial land and residential lots. The majority of these properties are located in the City of Sacramento in the planned community of North Natomas. A considerable amount of activity from developers has occurred in the North Natomas area since 1998, including the construction of more than 13,150 single family homes, 3,900 apartment units, 910,000 square feet of office buildings and 2.3 million square feet of retail. Participating in this growth, Alleghany Properties has sold over 387 acres of residential land and 92 acres of commercial property through December 31, 2007. It is expected that development activity within North Natomas will be halted in December 2008 as a result of new flood insurance maps proposed by the Federal Emergency Management Agency for the area which revoke the area’s previously certified 100-year flood protection. Such action would limit most types of development activity until levee improvements to restore the 100-year protection are completed and certified, which is expected to occur in early 2010. At December 31, 2007, Alleghany Properties owned approximately 315 acres of property in various land use categories ranging from multifamily residential to commercial. Alleghany Properties had 4 employees at December 31, 2007.

 

Parent Company Operations

 

We conduct corporate investment and other activities at the parent level, including the holding of strategic equity investments which are available to support the internal growth of subsidiaries and for acquisitions of, and substantial investments in, operating companies. At the parent level, our objective is to seek out attractive investment opportunities, delegate responsibilities to competent and motivated managers at the operating business level, define risk parameters, set management goals for our operating businesses, ensure that operating business managers are provided with incentives to meet these goals and monitor their progress. At December 31, 2007, we had 16 employees at the parent level.

 

 

We face risks from our property and casualty and surety insurance businesses and our investments in debt and equity securities. Some of what we believe are our more significant risks are discussed below; however, they are not the only risks that we face. Our businesses may also be adversely affected by risks and uncertainties not currently known to us or that we currently consider immaterial.

The reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses of our insurance operating units are estimates and may not be adequate, which would require our insurance operating units to establish additional reserves.

 

Gross reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses reported on our balance sheet as of December 31, 2007 were approximately $2.6 billion. These loss and loss adjustment expense reserves reflect our best estimates of the cost of settling all claims and related expenses with respect to insured events that have occurred. Reserves do not represent an exact calculation of liability, but rather an estimate of what management expects the ultimate settlement and claims administration will cost for claims that have occurred, whether known or unknown. The major assumptions about anticipated loss emergence patterns are subject to unanticipated fluctuation. These reserve estimates, which generally involve actuarial projections, are based on management’s assessment of facts and circumstances currently known and expected future trends in claims severity and frequency, inflation, judicial theories of liability, reinsurance coverage, legislative changes and other factors.

 

The inherent uncertainties of estimating reserves are greater for certain types of liabilities, where long periods of time elapse before a definitive determination of liability is made and settlement is reached. In periods with increased economic volatility, it becomes more difficult to accurately predict claim costs. Reserve estimates are continually refined in an ongoing process as experience develops and further claims are reported and settled. Adjustments to reserves are reflected in the results of the periods in which the adjustments are made. Because setting reserves is inherently uncertain, we cannot assure you that our current reserves will prove adequate in light of subsequent events. Should our insurance operating units need to increase their reserves, our pre-tax income for the period would decrease by a corresponding amount. Although current reserves reflect our best estimate of the costs of settling claims, we cannot assure you that our reserve estimates will not need to be increased in the future.

 

Our results may fluctuate as a result of many factors, including cyclical changes in the insurance and reinsurance industry.

 

Historically, the financial performance of the property and casualty insurance industry has tended to fluctuate in cyclical periods of price competition and excess underwriting capacity, followed by periods of high premium rates and shortages of underwriting capacity. Although an individual insurance company’s financial performance is dependent on its own specific business characteristics, the profitability of most property and casualty insurance companies tends to follow this cyclical market pattern. Further, this cyclical market pattern can be more pronounced in the excess and surplus market in which RSUI and Darwin primarily compete, than in the admitted insurance market. When premium rates are high and there is a shortage of capacity in the admitted insurance market, the same factors are present in the excess and surplus market, and growth in the excess and surplus market can be significantly more rapid than growth in the standard insurance market. Similarly, when there is price competition and excess underwriting capacity in the standard insurance market, many customers that were previously driven into the excess and surplus market may return to the admitted insurance market, exacerbating the effects of price competition. Since cyclicality is due in large part to the actions of our insurance operating units’ competitors and general economic factors, we cannot predict the timing or duration of changes in the market cycle. These cyclical patterns cause our revenues and net income to fluctuate.

 

The adequacy of premium rates is affected mainly by the severity and frequency of claims, which are influenced by many factors, including natural disasters, regulatory measures and court decisions that define and expand the extent of coverage and the effects of economic inflation on the amount of compensation due for injuries or losses. These factors can have a significant impact on ultimate profitability because a property casualty insurance policy is priced before its costs are known. These factors could produce results that would have a negative impact on our results of operations and financial condition.

Our insurance operating units face significant competitive pressures which may reduce premium rates and prevent them from pricing their products at attractive rates.

 

Our insurance operating units compete with a large number of other companies in their selected lines of business. They compete, and will continue to compete, with major U.S. and non-U.S. insurers, other regional companies, as well as mutual companies, specialty insurance companies, underwriting agencies and diversified financial services companies. Many competitors have considerably greater financial resources and greater experience in the insurance industry and offer a broader line of insurance products than do AIHL’s insurance operating units. Except for regulatory considerations, there are virtually no barriers to entry into the insurance industry. Competition may be domestic or foreign, and competitors are not necessarily required to be licensed by various state insurance departments. Competition in the businesses of our insurance operating units is based on many factors, including the perceived financial strength of the company, premium charges, other terms and conditions offered, services provided, commissions paid to producers, ratings assigned by independent rating agencies, speed of claims payment and reputation and experience in the lines to be written. Such competition could cause the supply and/or demand for insurance to change, which could affect the ability of our insurance operating units to price their products at attractive rates.

 

Because our insurance operating units are property and casualty insurers, we face losses from natural and human-made catastrophes.

 

Property and casualty insurers are subject to claims arising out of catastrophes that may have a significant effect on their results of operations, liquidity and financial condition. Catastrophe losses, or the absence thereof, have had a significant impact on our results. For example, pre-tax catastrophe losses, net of reinsurance and reinsurance reinstatement premiums, at our insurance operating units were $48.9 million in 2007, $18.0 million in 2006 and $330.8 million in 2005. RSUI’s 2005 results were impacted by $313.4 million of pre-tax losses from the 2005 hurricanes, net of reinsurance recoverables and reinsurance reinstatement premiums. Several states, or underwriting organizations of which our insurance operating units are required to be members, may increase their mandatory assessments as a result of these recent catastrophes and other events, and we may not be able to fully recoup these increased costs.

 

Catastrophes can be caused by various events, including hurricanes, other windstorms, earthquakes and floods, as well as terrorist activities. The incidence and severity of catastrophes in any short period of time are inherently unpredictable. The extent of losses from a catastrophe is a function of both the total amount of insured exposure in the area affected by the event and the severity of the event. Most catastrophes are restricted to small geographic areas; however, hurricanes, other windstorms, earthquakes and floods may produce significant damage in areas that are heavily populated. The geographic distribution of AIHL’s insurance operating units subjects them to catastrophe exposure in the United States principally from hurricanes in the Gulf coast regions, Florida, the Mid-Atlantic, and Northeast, from other windstorms in the Midwest and Southern regions, and earthquakes in California, the Pacific Northwest region and along the New Madrid fault line in the Midwest region. Catastrophes can cause losses in a variety of our property and casualty lines, and most of our past catastrophe-related claims have resulted from severe storms. It is therefore possible that a catastrophic event or multiple catastrophic events could produce significant losses and have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations.

 

With respect to terrorism, to the extent that reinsurers have excluded coverage for certain terrorist acts or have priced this coverage at rates that are not practical, our insurance operating units would not have reinsurance protection and would be exposed to potential losses as a result of any terrorist acts. To the extent an act of terrorism is certified by the U.S. Secretary of Treasury, we may be covered under the Terrorism Act. Information regarding the Terrorism Act and its impact on our insurance operating units can be found on page 20 of this Form 10-K Report.

RSUI attempts to manage its exposure to catastrophe risk partially through the use of catastrophe modeling software. The failure of this software to accurately gauge the catastrophe-exposed risks RSUI writes could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations.

 

As part of its approach to managing catastrophe risk, RSUI has historically used a number of tools, including third-party catastrophe modeling software, to help model potential losses. RSUI has used modeled loss scenarios to set its level of risk retention and help structure its reinsurance programs. Modeled loss estimates, however, have not accurately predicted RSUI’s ultimate losses with respect to recent hurricane activity. In the case of Hurricane Katrina, the modeled estimates significantly underestimated RSUI’s current estimate of ultimate losses due to a number of factors, the most significant of which was higher than expected damage to inland located risks. Accordingly, in an effort to better manage its accumulations of risk such that its loss exposure conforms to its established risk tolerances and fits within its reinsurance programs, RSUI reviewed its catastrophe exposure management approach, resulting in the implementation of new monitoring tools and a revision of its underwriting guidelines and procedures. However, these efforts may not be successful in sufficiently mitigating risk exposures and losses resulting from future catastrophes.

 

If market conditions cause reinsurance to be more costly or unavailable, our insurance operating units may be required to bear increased risks or reduce the level of their underwriting commitments.

 

As part of our overall risk and capacity management strategy, our insurance operating units purchase reinsurance for certain amounts of risk underwritten by them, especially catastrophe risks. The reinsurance programs purchased by our insurance operating units are generally subject to annual renewal. Market conditions beyond their control determine the availability and cost of the reinsurance protection they purchase, which may affect the level of their businesses and profitability. If our insurance operating units are unable to renew their expiring facilities or to obtain new reinsurance facilities, either their net exposures would increase, which could increase the volatility of their results or, if they are unwilling to bear an increase in net exposures, they would have to reduce the level of their underwriting commitments, especially catastrophe-exposed risks, which may reduce their revenues and net income.

 

Generally, under reinsurance contracts, an insured, to the extent it exhausts its original coverage under a reinsurance contract during a single coverage period (typically a single twelve-month period), can pay a reinsurance reinstatement premium to restore coverage during such coverage period. If our insurance operating units exhaust their original and reinstated coverage under their third-party catastrophic reinsurance contracts during a single coverage period, they will not have any reinsurance coverage available for losses incurred as a result of additional catastrophic events during that coverage period.

 

We cannot guarantee that the reinsurers used by our insurance operating units will pay in a timely fashion, if at all, and, as a result, we could experience losses even if reinsured.

 

Our insurance operating units purchase reinsurance by transferring, or ceding, part of the risk that they have underwritten to a reinsurance company in exchange for part of the premium received by our insurance operating units in connection with that risk. Although reinsurance makes the reinsurer liable to our insurance operating units to the extent the risk is transferred or ceded to the reinsurer, it does not relieve our insurance operating units of their liability to their policyholders. Reinsurers may not pay the reinsurance recoverables that they owe to our insurance operating units or they may not pay these recoverables on a timely basis. This risk may increase significantly if these reinsurers experience financial difficulties as a result of natural catastrophes and other events. Underwriting results and investment returns of some of the reinsurers used by our insurance operating units may affect their future ability to pay claims. Accordingly, we bear credit risk with respect to our insurance operating units’ reinsurers, and if they fail to pay, our financial results would be adversely affected. As of December 31, 2007, the amount due from reinsurers reported on our balance sheet was $1.0 billion, with $0.8 billion attributable to RSUI’s reinsurers.

Based on RSUI’s current estimate of Hurricane Katrina losses, RSUI does not have reinsurance coverage for additional losses in excess of such current estimate.

 

Based on RSUI’s current estimate of losses related to Hurricane Katrina, RSUI has exhausted its catastrophe reinsurance protection with respect to this event, meaning that it has no further catastrophe reinsurance coverage available for any additional Hurricane Katrina losses in excess of its current estimate.

 

Our insurance operating units are rated by A.M. Best and a decline in these ratings could affect the standing of our insurance operating units in the insurance industry and cause their premium volume and earnings to decrease.

 

Ratings have become an increasingly important factor in establishing the competitive position of insurance companies. Some of our insurance operating unit companies are rated by A.M. Best, an independent organization that analyzes the insurance industry. A.M. Best’s ratings reflect its opinion of an insurance company’s financial strength, operating performance, strategic position and ability to meet its obligations to policyholders. These ratings are subject to periodic review, and we cannot assure you that any of our insurance operating unit companies will be able to retain those ratings. If the ratings of our insurance operating unit companies are reduced from their current levels by A.M. Best, their competitive positions in the insurance industry could suffer and it would be more difficult for them to market their products. A significant downgrade could result in a substantial loss of business as policyholders move to other companies with higher claims-paying and financial strength ratings.

 

A significant amount of our assets is invested in debt securities and is subject to market fluctuations.

 

Our investment portfolio consists substantially of debt securities. As of December 31, 2007, our investment in debt securities was approximately $3,010.4 million, or 62.6 percent of our total investment portfolio. The fair market value of these assets and the investment income from these assets fluctuate depending on general economic and market conditions. The fair market value of debt securities generally decreases as interest rates rise but investment income earned from future investments in debt securities will be higher. Conversely, if interest rates decline, investment income earned from future investments in debt securities will be lower but fair market value of current debt securities will generally rise. In addition, some debt securities, such as mortgage-backed and other asset-backed securities, carry prepayment risk, or the risk that principal will be returned more rapidly or slowly than expected, as a result of interest rate fluctuations. Based upon the composition and duration of our investment portfolio at December 31, 2007, a 100 basis point increase in interest rates would result in a decrease in the fair value of our debt security investments of approximately $129.3 million.

 

The value of our investments in debt securities, and particularly investments in debt securities that are non-rated or rated below Baa/BBB, is subject to impairment as a result of deterioration in the credit-worthiness of the issuer. Although we attempt to manage this risk by diversifying our portfolio and emphasizing preservation of principal, our investments are subject to losses as a result of a general decrease in commercial and economic activity for an industry sector in which we invest, as well as risks inherent in particular securities. We continually monitor the difference between cost and the estimated fair value of our investments in debt securities. If we believe a decline in the value of a particular debt security is temporary, we record the decline as an unrealized loss in common stockholders’ equity. If we believe the decline is other than temporary, such debt security is written down to the carrying value of the investment, and a realized loss, which may be material to our operating results, is recorded on our statement of earnings in the period such write down is taken.

 

We invest some of our assets in equity securities, which may decline in value.

 

We invest a portion of our investment portfolio in equity securities which are subject to fluctuations in market value. As of December 31, 2007, our investments in equity securities were approximately $1,180.1 million, or 24.5 percent of our investment portfolio. We hold our equity securities as available for sale, and any changes in the fair value of these securities, net of tax, would be reflected in our accumulated other comprehensive income as a

component of stockholders’ equity. If we believe a decline in the value of a particular equity security is temporary, we record the decline as an unrealized loss in common stockholders’ equity. If we believe the decline is other than temporary, such equity security is written down to the carrying value of the investment, and a realized loss, which may be material to our operating results, is recorded on our statement of earnings in the period such write down is taken.

 

As of December 31, 2007, our equity portfolio had investment concentrations in the common stock of Burlington Northern Santa Fe Corporation, or “Burlington Northern,” and in certain energy sector businesses. As of December 31, 2007, our Burlington Northern common stock holdings had a fair market value of $416.2 million, which represented 35.3 percent of our equity portfolio, and our energy sector equity holdings had an aggregate fair market value of $378.2 million, which represented 32.0 percent of our equity portfolio. These investment concentrations may lead to higher levels of short-term price volatility and variability in the level of unrealized investment gains or losses.

 

The businesses of our insurance operating units are heavily regulated, and changes in regulation may reduce their profitability and limit their growth.

 

Our insurance operating units are subject to extensive regulation and supervision in the jurisdictions in which they conduct business. This regulation is generally designed to protect the interests of policyholders, and not necessarily the interests of insurers, their shareholders or other investors. The regulation relates to authorization for lines of business, capital and surplus requirements, investment limitations, underwriting limitations, transactions with affiliates, dividend limitations, changes in control, premium rates and a variety of other financial and nonfinancial components of an insurance company’s business.

 

Virtually all states in which our insurance operating units conduct their business require them, together with other insurers licensed to do business in that state, to bear a portion of the loss suffered by some insureds as the result of impaired or insolvent insurance companies. In addition, in various states, our insurance operating units must participate in mandatory arrangements to provide various types of insurance coverage to individuals or other entities that otherwise are unable to purchase that coverage from private insurers. A few states require our insurance operating units to purchase reinsurance from a mandatory reinsurance fund. Such reinsurance funds can create a credit risk for insurers if not adequately funded by the state and, in some cases, the existence of a reinsurance fund could affect the prices charged for the policies issued by our insurance operating units. The effect of these and similar arrangements could reduce the profitability of our insurance operating units in any given period or limit the ability of our insurance operating units to grow their business.

 

In recent years, the state insurance regulatory framework has come under increased scrutiny, including scrutiny by federal officials, and some state legislatures have considered or enacted laws that may alter or increase state authority to regulate insurance companies and insurance holding companies. Further, the NAIC and state insurance regulators are continually reexamining existing laws and regulations, specifically focusing on modifications to statutory accounting principles, interpretations of existing laws and the development of new laws and regulations. Any proposed or future legislation or NAIC initiatives, if adopted, may be more restrictive on the ability of our insurance operating units to conduct business than current regulatory requirements or may result in higher costs.

 

Insurance regulations in the State of California, where EDC primarily operates, have caused and may continue to cause downward pressure on the rates charged by EDC.

 

EDC, as a mono-line workers’ compensation insurer writing substantially all of its business in the State of California, is required to take into account the workers’ compensation insurance regulatory regime of California in setting the rates for coverage. Since 2002, three key pieces of workers’ compensation regulation reform have been enacted which reformed medical determinations of injuries or illness, established medical fee schedules, allowed for the use of medical provider panels, modified benefit levels, changed the proof needed to file claims, and reformed many additional areas of the benefits and delivery system for workers’ compensation. These legislative reforms have reduced claim costs in California and, as a result, workers’ compensation insurers in California reduced their rates. Several attempts have been made to institute additional

forms of rate regulation in California; however, none of those attempts have been enacted as of December 31, 2007. The passage of any form of regulation in California which increases costs could impair EDC’s ability to operate profitably in California, and any such impairment could have a material adverse effect on EDC’s financial condition and results of operations.

 

EDC’s geographic concentration in California ties its performance to the business, economic, competitive and regulatory conditions in California. Any deterioration in these conditions in California could materially adversely affect EDC’s financial condition and results of operations.

 

EDC writes substantially all of its business in the State of California and thus is subject to business and economic conditions in California. If these conditions deteriorate and result in the departure of a significant number of businesses from California or their insolvency, EDC’s financial condition and results of operations could be adversely affected. In addition, EDC’s geographic concentration in California could subject EDC to pricing pressure as a result of competitive or regulatory forces. EDC has experienced such pressure in the past, and there is no assurance that EDC will not be subject to such pressure in California in the future.

 

 

There are no unresolved written comments that were received from the SEC staff 180 days or more before the end of our fiscal year relating to our periodic or current reports under the Exchange Act.

 

 

Our subsidiaries are parties to pending litigation and claims in connection with the ordinary course of their businesses. Each subsidiary makes provision on its books, in accordance with GAAP, for estimated losses to be incurred in these litigation and claims, including legal costs. In the opinion of management, this provision is adequate under GAAP as of December 31, 2007.

 

 

We did not submit any matter to a vote of security holders during the fourth quarter of 2007.

 

 

As of December 31, 2007, there were 1,117 holders of record of our common stock. The following table indicates quarterly high and low prices of our common stock in 2007 and 2006 on the New York Stock Exchange. Our ticker symbol is Y.

 

 

In 2007 and 2006, our Board of Directors declared, as our dividend on our common stock for that year, a stock dividend consisting of one share of our common stock for every fifty shares outstanding. Our credit agreement prohibits us from paying cash dividends at any time when a Default or Event of Default (the definitions of which are set forth on page 53 of this Form 10-K Report) has occurred and is continuing. At December 31, 2007, our credit agreement permitted us to pay cash dividends aggregating approximately $603.0 million.

 

We did not repurchase any shares of our common stock and we did not sell any unregistered shares of our common stock in the fourth quarter of 2007.

PERFORMANCE GRAPH

 

The following graph compares for the years 2003-2007 the cumulative total stockholder return on our common stock, the cumulative total return on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Stock Index, or the “S&P 500,” and the cumulative total return on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Property and Casualty Insurance Index, or the “P&C Index.” The graph shows the value at the end of each such year of $100 invested as of January 1, 2003 in our common stock, the S&P 500 and the P&C Index.

 

Comparison of Cumulative Five Year Total Return

 

 

 

 

This performance graph is based on the following assumptions: (i) cash dividends are reinvested on the ex-dividend date in respect of such dividend; and (ii) the two-percent stock dividends we have paid in each of the years 2003 through 2007 are included in the cumulative total stockholder return on our common stock.

 

Alleghany Corporation and Subsidiaries*

 

 

 

 

 

 

“Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” and “Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk” contain disclosures which are forward-looking statements as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements include all statements that do not relate solely to historical or current facts, and can be identified by the use

of words such as “may,” “will,” “expect,” “project,” “estimate,” “anticipate,” “plan,” “believe,” “potential,” “should,” “continue” or the negative versions of those words or other comparable words. These forward-looking statements are based upon our current plans or expectations and are subject to a number of uncertainties and risks that could significantly affect current plans, anticipated actions and our future financial condition and results. These statements are not guarantees of future performance, and we have no specific intention to update these statements. The uncertainties and risks include, but are not limited to, risks relating to our insurance operating units such as

 

 

Additional risks and uncertainties include general economic and political conditions, including the effects of a prolonged U.S. or global economic downturn or recession; changes in costs; variations in political, economic or other factors; risks relating to conducting operations in a competitive environment; effects of acquisition and disposition activities, inflation rates or recessionary or expansive trends; changes in interest rates; changes in market prices of our significant equity investments; extended labor disruptions, civil unrest or other external factors over which we have no control; and changes in our plans, strategies, objectives, expectations or intentions, which may happen at any time at our discretion. As a consequence, current plans, anticipated actions and future financial condition and results may differ from those expressed in any forward-looking statements made by us or on our behalf.

 

Critical Accounting Estimates

 

Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses

 

Overview.  Each of our insurance operating units establishes reserves on its balance sheet for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses related to its property and casualty insurance and surety contracts. As of any balance sheet date, historically there have been claims that have not yet been reported, and some claims may not be reported for many years after the date a loss occurs. As a result of this historical pattern, the liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses includes significant estimates for claims incurred but not yet reported, known as “IBNR.” Additionally, reported claims are in various stages of the settlement process. Each claim is settled individually based upon its merits, and certain claims may take years to settle, especially if legal action is involved. As a result, the liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses include significant judgments, assumptions and estimates made by management relating to the ultimate losses that will arise from the claims. Due to the inherent uncertainties in the process of establishing these liabilities, the actual ultimate loss from a claim is likely to differ, perhaps materially, from the liability initially recorded and could be material to the results of our operations. The accounting policies that our insurance operating units use in connection with the establishment of these liabilities include critical accounting estimates.

As noted above, as of any balance sheet date, not all claims that have occurred have been reported to our insurance operating units, and if reported may not have been settled. The time period between the occurrence of a loss and the time it is settled by the insurer is referred to as the “claim tail.” Property claims usually have a fairly short claim tail and, absent claim litigation, are reported and settled within no more than a few years of the date they are reported. For short-tail lines, loss reserves consist primarily of reserves for reported claims. The process of recording quarterly and annual liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses for short-tail lines is primarily focused on maintaining an appropriate reserve level for reported claims and IBNR, rather than determining an expected loss ratio for the current business only, and use of other actuarial methods discussed below for long-tail business such as casualty. Specifically, we assess the reserve adequacy of IBNR in light of such things as the current levels of reserves for reported claims and expectations with respect to reporting lags, historical data, legal developments, and economic conditions, including the effects of inflation. At December 31, 2007, the amount of IBNR for short-tail claims represented only approximately 1 percent, or $28.1 million of Alleghany’s total gross loss and loss adjustment expense liabilities of $2,580.1 million, and approximately 1 percent, or $20.1 million of Alleghany’s total net loss and loss adjustment expense liabilities of $1,664.7 million.

 

Our insurance operating units provide coverage on both a claims-made and occurrence basis. Claims-made policies generally require that claims occur and be reported during the coverage period of the policy. Occurrence policies allow claims which occur during a policy’s coverage period to be reported after the coverage period, and as a result, these claims can have a very long claim tail, occasionally extending for decades. In conformity with GAAP, our insurance operating units are not permitted to establish IBNR reserves for catastrophe losses that have not occurred. Therefore, losses related to a significant catastrophe or accumulation of catastrophes in any reporting period could have a material, negative impact on our results during that period. Casualty claims can have a very long claim tail, in certain situations extending for many years. In addition, casualty claims are more susceptible to litigation and the legal environment and can be significantly affected by changing contract interpretations, all of which contribute to extending the claim tail. For long-tail casualty lines of business, estimation of ultimate liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses is a more complex process and depends on a number of factors, including the line and volume of the business involved. For these reasons, AIHL’s insurance operating units will generally use actuarial projections in setting reserves for all casualty lines of business.

 

Although we are unable at this time to determine whether additional reserves, which could have a material impact upon our financial condition, results of operations and cash flows, may be necessary in the future, we believe that the reserves for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses established by our insurance operating units are adequate as of December 31, 2007.

 

Methodologies and Assumptions.  Our insurance operating units use a variety of techniques that employ significant judgments and assumptions to establish the liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses recorded at the balance sheet date. These techniques include detailed statistical analyses of past claim reporting, settlement activity, claim frequency, internal loss experience, changes in pricing or coverages and severity data when sufficient information exists to lend statistical credibility to the analysis. More subjective techniques are used when statistical data is insufficient or unavailable. These liabilities also reflect implicit or explicit assumptions regarding the potential effects of future inflation, judicial decisions, changes in laws and recent trends in such factors as well as a number of actuarial assumptions that vary across our insurance operating units and across lines of business. This data is analyzed by line of business, coverage and accident year, as appropriate.

 

Our loss reserve review processes use actuarial methods that vary by insurance operating unit and line of business and produce point estimates for each class of business. The actuarial methods used by our insurance operating units include the following methods:

 

 

 

Each of these actuarial methods uses underlying assumptions that vary by insurance operating unit and line of business and produce point estimates for each class of business. The primary assumptions used by our insurance operating units include the following:

 

 

Sensitivity.  Loss frequency and severity are measures of loss activity that are considered in determining the key assumptions described above. Loss frequency is a measure of the number of claims per unit of insured exposure, and loss severity is a measure of the average size of claims. Factors affecting loss frequency include the effectiveness of loss controls and safety programs and changes in economic conditions or weather patterns. Factors affecting loss severity include changes in policy limits, retentions, rate of inflation and judicial interpretations. Another factor affecting estimates of loss frequency and severity is the loss reporting lag, which is the period of time between the occurrence of a loss and the date the loss is reported to our insurance operating units. The length of the loss reporting lag affects our ability to accurately predict loss frequency (loss frequencies are more predictable for lines with short reporting lags) as well as the amount of reserves needed for IBNR. If the actual level of loss frequency and severity is higher or lower than expected, the ultimate losses will be different than management’s estimate. A small percentage change in an estimate can result in a material effect on our reported earnings. The following table reflects the impact of changes, which could be favorable or unfavorable, in frequency and severity on our loss estimate for claims occurring in 2007 (dollars in thousands):

 

 

Our net reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses of $1.7 billion as of December 31, 2007 relate to multiple accident years. Therefore, the impact of changes in frequency or severity for more than one accident year could be higher or lower than the amounts reflected above. We believe the above analysis

provides a reasonable benchmark for sensitivity, as we believe it is within historical variation for our reserves, and currently, none of the scenarios is believed to be more likely than the other.

 

Prior Year Development.  Our insurance operating units continually evaluate the potential for changes, both positive and negative, in their estimates of loss and loss adjustment expense liabilities and use the results of these evaluations to adjust both recorded liabilities and underwriting criteria. With respect to liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses established in prior years, these liabilities are periodically analyzed and their expected ultimate cost adjusted, where necessary, to reflect positive or negative development in loss experience and new information, including, for certain catastrophic events, revised industry estimates of the magnitude of a catastrophe. Adjustments to previously recorded liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, both positive and negative, are reflected in our financial results in the periods in which these adjustments are made and are referred to as prior year reserve development. Each of RSUI, CATA, and Darwin adjusted its prior year loss and loss adjustment expense reserve estimate during 2007 based on current information that differed from previous assumptions made at the time such loss and loss adjustment expense reserves were previously estimated.

 

During 2007, RSUI increased its prior year reserves by $8.5 million, primarily reflecting a net increase in estimated losses and loss adjustment expenses related primarily to Hurricane Katrina in the amount of $43.2 million after reinsurance, partially offset by an aggregate net release of $34.7 million of prior year reserves principally for the professional liability and D&O liability lines of business. The increase in Hurricane Katrina reserves primarily reflect the results of reviews, completed during 2007, of Katrina loss and loss adjustment expense reserves in light of the current uncertain legal environment. RSUI reviews its reserves quarterly. In 2007, settlements of pending claims were larger than expected, which contributed to RSUI’s decision to increase reserves for its remaining pending Hurricane Katrina claims. The release of prior year reserves principally for the professional liability and D&O liability lines of business primarily reflects favorable loss emergence compared with loss emergence patterns assumed in earlier periods for such lines of business. Such reduction did not impact the assumptions used in estimating RSUI’s loss and loss adjustment expense liabilities for business earned in 2007.

 

During 2006, RSUI made a net reserve adjustment of $8.9 million. This net reserve adjustment primarily reflected a decrease in estimated reinsurance recoverables related to Hurricane Katrina due to a change in the composition of estimated ceded losses, partially offset by prior year reserve releases related to Hurricane Wilma and 2004 third quarter hurricanes. The reserving actions related to Hurricane Katrina reflected a review completed by RSUI during the 2006 fourth quarter of Hurricane Katrina reinsurance cessions that showed RSUI’s net retained losses would be slightly higher than previously estimated. With respect to the 2004 third quarter hurricanes, the reserve releases reflected a determination that paid losses for such hurricanes were at or close to ultimate expected losses.

 

During 2007, CATA had a net release of $14.4 million of prior year reserves, primarily in its liability and commercial surety lines of business. The reduction reflects favorable loss emergence compared with loss emergence patterns assumed in earlier periods for such lines of business. Such reduction did not impact the assumptions used in estimating CATA’s loss and loss adjustment expense liabilities for business earned in 2007. During 2006, CATA had a net release of $13.6 million of prior year reserves, primarily in its commercial surety, contract surety and commercial multiple peril lines of business. The reduction reflects favorable loss emergence compared with loss emergence patterns assumed in earlier periods for such lines of business.

 

During 2007, Darwin had a net release of $13.8 million of prior year reserves, and corresponding adjustments in ceded reinsurance premiums totaling $7.4 million. The reduction reflects favorable loss emergence compared with loss emergence patterns assumed in earlier periods for such lines of business due to continued favorable loss development. The reduction also reflects a change in reserving methodology to give greater weight to historical claims experience. Such reduction did not impact the assumptions used in estimating Darwin’s loss and loss adjustment expense liabilities for business earned in 2007. During 2006, Darwin made $4.0 million of prior year loss and loss adjustment expense reserve adjustments, consisting of $2.3 million of prior year loss reserve releases reflecting favorable loss emergence in the 2003 and 2004

accident years compared with loss emergence patterns assumed in earlier periods for such accident years, and a corresponding $1.7 million reduction in ceded premiums.

 

Until 2006, Darwin used industry data to estimate reserves as it lacked meaningful claims history due to its commencement of operations in March 2003. Beginning in 2006 and continuing into 2007, as industry data was gradually replaced with Darwin’s own claims experience, Darwin began to recognize favorable claims emergence on prior accident years.

 

During 2007, EDC had a net reserve release of workers’ compensation reserves of $9.7 million. This release consisted of an $18.8 million decrease for prior accident years, partially offset by a $9.1 million increase for the 2007 accident year through the date of the acquisition by AIHL. EDC’s reduction of prior year reserves reflects favorable loss emergence as compared with loss emergence patterns assumed in earlier periods for such line of business. The increase in reserves for the 2007 accident year through the date of acquisition reflects unfavorable loss emergence patterns, compared with loss emergence patterns assumed in the period prior to AIHL’s acquisition.

 

There were no significant assumptions made at December 31, 2007 in estimating Alleghany’s loss and loss adjustment expense liabilities that were inconsistent with historical loss development patterns.

 

Asbestos & Environmental.  Our reserve for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses includes $22.9 million and $22.7 million of gross and net reserves, respectively, at December 31, 2007, for various liability coverages related to asbestos and environmental impairment claims that arose from reinsurance assumed by a subsidiary of CATA between 1969 and 1976. The subsidiary exited this business in 1976. Reserves for asbestos and environmental impairment claims cannot be estimated with traditional loss reserving techniques because of uncertainties that are greater than those associated with other types of claims. Factors contributing to these uncertainties include a lack of historical data, the significant periods of time that often elapse between the occurrence of an insured loss and the reporting of that loss to the ceding company and the reinsurer, uncertainty as to the number and identity of insureds with potential exposure to these risks, unresolved legal issues regarding policy coverage and the extent and timing of any such contractual liability. Loss reserve estimates for these environmental impairment and asbestos exposures include case reserves, which also reflect reserves for legal and other loss adjustment expenses and IBNR reserves. IBNR reserves are determined based upon CATA’s historic general liability exposure base and policy language, previous environmental impairment loss experience and the assessment of current trends of environmental law, environmental cleanup costs, asbestos liability law and judgmental settlements of asbestos liabilities.

 

For both asbestos and environmental impairment reinsurance claims, CATA establishes case reserves by receiving case reserve amounts from its ceding companies and verifies these amounts against reinsurance contract terms, analyzing from the first dollar of loss incurred by the primary insurer. In establishing the liability for asbestos and environmental impairment claims, CATA considers facts currently known and the current state of the law and coverage litigation. Additionally, ceding companies often report potential losses on a precautionary basis to protect their rights under the reinsurance arrangement, which generally calls for prompt notice to the reinsurer. Ceding companies, at the time they report potential losses, advise CATA of the ceding companies’ current estimate of the extent of the loss. CATA’s claims department reviews each of the precautionary claims notices and, based upon current information, assesses the likelihood of loss to CATA. This assessment is one of the factors used in determining the adequacy of the recorded asbestos and environmental impairment reserves. Although we are unable at this time to determine whether additional reserves, which could have a material impact upon our results of operations, may be necessary in the future, we believe that CATA’s asbestos and environmental impairment reserves are adequate as of December 31, 2007.

 

Reinsurance.  Receivables recorded with respect to claims ceded by our insurance operating units to reinsurers under reinsurance contracts are predicated in large part on the estimates for unpaid losses and, therefore, are also subject to a significant degree of uncertainty. In addition to the factors cited above, reinsurance receivables may prove uncollectible if the reinsurer is unable to perform under the contract. Reinsurance contracts purchased by our insurance operating units do not relieve them of their obligations to

their own policyholders. Additional information regarding the use of, and risks related to, the use of reinsurance by our insurance operating units can be found on pages 26 and 27 of this Form 10-K Report.

 

Investments

 

We hold our equity and debt securities as available for sale, and as such, these securities are recorded at fair value. We continually monitor the difference between cost and the estimated fair value of our investments, which involves uncertainty as to whether declines in value are temporary in nature. If we believe a decline in the value of a particular investment is temporary, we record the decline as an unrealized loss in common stockholders’ equity. If we believe the decline is other than temporary, we write it down to the carrying value of the investment and record a realized loss on our statement of earnings. Management’s assessment of a decline in value includes, among other things,

 

 

A debt security is impaired if it is probable that we will not be able to collect all amounts due under the security’s contractual terms. An equity investment is impaired when it becomes apparent that we will not recover its cost over the expected holding period. Further, for securities expected to be sold, an other-than-temporary impairment charge is recognized if we do not expect the fair value of a security to recover its cost prior to the expected date of sale. If that judgment changes in the future, we may ultimately record a realized loss after having originally concluded that the decline in value was temporary. Risks and uncertainties are inherent in the methodology we use to assess other-than-temporary declines in value. Risks and uncertainties could include, but are not limited to, incorrect or overly optimistic assumptions about financial condition, liquidity or future prospects, inadequacy of any underlying collateral and unfavorable changes in economic or social conditions, interest rates or credit ratings.

 

Goodwill and Other Intangible Assets

 

Our consolidated balance sheet as of December 31, 2007 includes goodwill and other intangible assets, net of amortization, of approximately $215.0 million. This amount has been recorded as a result of business acquisitions. Goodwill and other intangible assets are tested annually for impairment. We completed the annual test for impairment during the fourth quarter of 2007 based upon results of operations through September 30, 2007 and determined that there was no indication of impairment. A significant amount of judgment is required in performing goodwill and other intangible assets impairment tests. These tests include estimating the fair value of our operating units and other intangible assets. With respect to goodwill, as required by Financial Accounting Standards Board Statement No. 142, or “SFAS 142,” we compare the estimated fair value of our operating units with their respective carrying amounts including goodwill. Under SFAS 142, fair value refers to the amount for which the entire operating unit may be bought or sold. Our methods for estimating operating unit values include asset and liability fair values and other valuation techniques, such as discounted cash flows and multiples of earnings or revenues. All of these methods involve significant estimates and assumptions.

 

Deferred Taxes

 

We file a consolidated federal income tax return with our subsidiaries, except for Darwin as a result of its initial public offering in May 2006. Deferred tax assets and liabilities are recognized for the future tax consequences attributable to differences between the financial statement carrying amount of existing assets and liabilities and their respective tax bases and operating loss and tax credit carry forwards. Deferred tax assets and liabilities are measured using enacted tax rates expected to apply to taxable income in the years in which those temporary differences are expected to be recovered or settled. The effect on deferred tax assets and liabilities of a change in tax rates is recognized in income in the period that includes the enactment date. At

December 31, 2007, a net deferred tax liability of $57.7 million was recorded, which included a valuation allowance of $13.9 million for certain deferred state tax assets which we believe may not be realized. A valuation allowance is provided when it is more likely than not that some portion of the deferred tax assets will not be realized. This determination is based upon a review of anticipated future earnings as well as all available evidence, both positive and negative.

 

In addition to the policies described above which contain critical accounting estimates, our other accounting policies are described in Note 1 to our consolidated financial statements set forth in Item 8 of this Form 10-K Report. The accounting policies described in Note 1 require us to make estimates and judgments that affect the reported amounts of assets, liabilities, revenues and expenses, and related disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities but do not meet the level of materiality required for a determination that the accounting policy includes critical accounting estimates. On an ongoing basis, we evaluate our estimates, including those related to the value of long-lived assets, deferred acquisition costs, incentive compensation, pension benefits, and contingencies and litigation. Our estimates are based on historical experience and on various other assumptions that are believed to be reasonable under the circumstances. Our actual results may differ from these estimates under different assumptions or conditions.

 

Consolidated Results of Operations

 

Overview

 

We are engaged, through AIHL and its subsidiaries, primarily in the property and casualty and surety insurance business. In addition, AIHL Re, a captive reinsurance subsidiary of AIHL, is available to provide reinsurance to our insurance operating units and affiliates. We also own and manage properties in the Sacramento, California region through our subsidiary Alleghany Properties and conduct corporate investment and other activities at the parent level, including the holding of strategic equity investments. Our primary sources of revenues and earnings are our insurance operations and investments.

 

The profitability of our insurance operating units, and as a result, our profitability, is primarily impacted by the adequacy of premium rates, as well as the cost of reinsurance, level of catastrophe losses, intensity of competition and investment returns. The ultimate adequacy of premium rates is not known with certainty at the time a property casualty insurance policy is issued because premiums are determined before claims are reported. The adequacy of premium rates is affected mainly by the severity and frequency of claims, which are influenced by many factors, including natural disasters, regulatory measures and court decisions that define and expand the extent of coverage and the effects of economic inflation on the amount of compensation due for injuries or losses.

 

With respect to reinsurance, as part of their overall risk and capacity management strategy, our insurance operating units purchase reinsurance for certain amounts of risk underwritten by them, especially catastrophe risks. The reinsurance programs purchased by our insurance operating units are generally subject to annual renewal. Market conditions beyond their control determine the availability and cost of the reinsurance protection they purchase, which may affect the level of businesses written and thus their profitability.

 

Catastrophe losses, or the absence thereof, have also had a significant impact on our results. For example, pre-tax catastrophe losses, net of reinsurance and reinsurance reinstatement premiums, at our insurance operating units were $48.9 million in 2007, $18.0 million in 2006 and $330.8 million in 2005. The incidence and severity of catastrophes in any short period of time are inherently unpredictable. Catastrophes can cause losses in a variety of our property and casualty lines, and most of our past catastrophe-related claims have resulted from severe storms. Although we experienced minimal catastrophe losses in 2007 and 2006, it is possible that a catastrophic event or multiple catastrophic events could produce significant losses and have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations in the future.

 

The profitability of our insurance operating units is impacted by price competition. Historically, the financial performance of the property and casualty insurance industry has tended to fluctuate in cyclical periods of price competition and excess underwriting capacity, known as a soft market, followed by periods of high premium rates and shortages of underwriting capacity. Although an individual insurance company’s

financial performance is dependent on its own specific business characteristics, the profitability of most property and casualty insurance companies tends to follow this cyclical market pattern. As discussed in more detail below, our insurance operating units experienced increased pricing competition in certain of their lines of business during 2006, and this competitive environment continued and increased during 2007, resulting in a decrease in pricing over that time. The impact of this price competition cannot be fully quantified in advance, but it is possible that this price competition, to the extent the loss costs of our insurance operating units exceed premiums, could have a material adverse effect on the results of our insurance operating units in the future.

 

Finally, profitability is also affected by our investment income. Our invested assets, which are derived primarily from our own capital and cash flow from our insurance operating units, are invested principally in fixed income securities, although we also invest in equity securities. The return on fixed income securities is primarily impacted by general interest rates and the credit quality and duration of the securities.

 

The following table summarizes our consolidated revenues, costs and expenses and earnings.

 

 

 

 

Operating Results

 

Our earnings before income taxes and minority interest in 2007 increased from 2006, reflecting increases in net premiums earned and substantially higher net realized capital gains, partially offset by an increase in loss and loss adjustment expenses and commissions, brokerage and other underwriting expenses. The increase in net premiums earned primarily reflects growth at RSUI, CATA and Darwin, and the inclusion of the results of EDC commencing in July 2007. The increase in net realized capital gains in 2007 primarily reflects the sale in 2007 of approximately 809,000 shares of common stock of Burlington Northern for a net realized capital gain of $55.9 million, as well as the sale of common stock holdings in the energy sector for a net realized capital gain of $28.5 million. The decrease in other income for 2007 reflects gains on sales of real property by Alleghany Properties of $14.7 million during 2007, compared with gains of $24.3 million in 2006.

 

The increase in loss and loss adjustment expenses and commissions, brokerage and other underwriting expenses primarily reflects the growth in net premiums earned at RSUI, CATA and Darwin, and the inclusion of the results of EDC commencing in July 2007. Other operating expenses increased in 2007 from 2006, primarily reflecting increased long-term incentive expense accruals at our insurance operating units. Interest expense decreased in 2007 from 2006, primarily reflecting the maturity of our $80.0 million of floating rate notes in January of 2007 of our financing subsidiary Alleghany Funding Corporation, or “Alleghany Funding.”

 

Our earnings from continuing operations before income taxes and minority interest in 2006 increased from 2005, primarily reflecting a significant decrease in net catastrophe losses incurred in 2006 compared with 2005, which included significant catastrophe losses attributable to Hurricanes Katrina and Rita. Pre-tax catastrophe losses were $18.0 million in 2006, compared with $330.8 million, including reinsurance reinstatement premiums, in 2005. 2006 results also reflect an increase in net premiums earned and net investment income, partially offset by lower net realized capital gains, higher non-catastrophe-related loss and loss adjustment expenses related to the increase in net premiums earned, and higher other income. The increase in net premiums earned in 2006 from 2005 primarily reflects growth at each of our insurance operating units. The increase in net investment income in 2006 from 2005 primarily reflects strong underwriting cash flow. The decrease in net realized capital gains in 2006 from 2005 primarily reflects $132.6 million of capital gains due to the sale of common stock of Burlington Northern and CIGNA in 2005. The increase in other income in 2006 from 2005 primarily reflects a $23.1 million gain on sale of 59 acres of real estate in May 2006 by Alleghany Properties.

 

The effective tax rate on earnings from continuing operations before income taxes was 33 percent in 2007, 29 percent in 2006, and 23 percent in 2005. The effective tax rate in 2007 reflects a net tax adjustment of $5.2 million in the fourth quarter of 2007 resulting primarily from the reduction of estimated deferred tax assets related to unused foreign tax credits. The unused foreign tax credits arose from our ownership of World Minerals prior to its sale in July 2005. The effective tax rate in 2006 reflects a tax benefit of $10.8 million in the first quarter of 2006 resulting from the release of a valuation allowance we held with respect to a portion of our deferred tax assets related to such unused foreign tax credits. The lower effective tax rate in 2005 relative to both 2007 and 2006 reflects the impact of significant catastrophe losses incurred during 2005.

 

Net earnings from continuing operations for 2007 and 2006 include the $5.2 million tax adjustment and $10.8 million tax benefit noted above. Net earnings from continuing operations for 2005 reflect a reduction in taxes as a result of the significant catastrophe losses incurred during the 2005 third quarter.

AIHL Operating Unit Pre-Tax Results

 

 

 

Discussion of individual AIHL operating unit results follows, and AIHL investment results are discussed below under “Investments.”

 

RSUI

 

The decrease in gross premiums written in 2007 from 2006 primarily reflects continuing and increasing pricing competition in RSUI’s general liability, umbrella and property lines of business. RSUI’s net premiums earned in both property and casualty lines of business increased in 2007 from 2006. The increase in property net premiums earned is due primarily to increased retentions and reduced reinsurance limits being purchased at lower rates for catastrophe and per risk coverage renewed at May 1, 2007. The increase in casualty net premiums earned primarily reflects the growth of RSUI’s binding authority line of business which writes small, specialized coverages pursuant to underwriting authority arrangements with managing general agents. The increase in net premiums earned in 2006 from 2005 primarily reflects volume increases in all casualty lines of business, due primarily to growth in gross premiums written. In addition, net premiums earned increased in property lines of business reflecting higher prices on catastrophe-exposed risks and increased retentions from reduced cessions under RSUI’s property surplus share reinsurance treaties, partially offset by higher per risk and catastrophe reinsurance costs and a decrease in exposed limits.

 

The slight decrease in loss and loss adjustment expenses in 2007 from 2006 primarily reflects continued favorable current accident year loss experience for property and to a lesser extent, D&O lines of business, partially offset by an $8.5 million net increase in reserves. This net reserve increase reflects a $43.2 million increase in estimated losses and loss adjustment expenses related to Hurricane Katrina, partially offset by a release of $34.7 million of prior year reserves principally for the professional liability and D&O lines of business. The increase in Hurricane Katrina reserves primarily reflect the results of reviews, completed during 2007, of Katrina loss and loss adjustment expense reserves in light of the current uncertain legal environment. RSUI reviews its reserves quarterly. In 2007, settlements of pending claims were larger than expected, which contributed to RSUI’s decision to increase reserves for its remaining pending Hurricane Katrina claims. Future

legal developments, to the extent adverse to the insurance industry, may result in additional adverse development in RSUI’s Hurricane Katrina loss and loss adjustment expense reserves. The release of prior year reserves for the professional liability and D&O liability lines of business reflects favorable loss emergence compared with loss emergence patterns assumed in earlier periods for such lines of business. The significant decrease in loss and loss adjustment expenses in 2006 from 2005 primarily reflects the absence in 2006 of significant catastrophe losses, compared with significant catastrophe losses in 2005.

 

The increase in underwriting expenses in 2007 from 2006 reflects higher salary and benefit expenses and lower ceding commissions earned by RSUI on its property surplus share reinsurance arrangements, which caused net commission expenses incurred to increase. The increase in underwriting expenses in 2006 from 2005 primarily reflects higher commissions and other acquisition-related expenses as a consequence of increased premium volumes in 2006 compared with 2005 and lower commissions paid to RSUI on ceded reinsurance.

 

RSUI’s underwriting profit for 2007 increased from 2006, primarily reflecting an increase in net premiums earned and lower than expected current accident year property losses, partially offset by higher underwriting expenses and the net reserve increase of $8.5 million, as discussed above. RSUI’s underwriting profit for 2006 increased from 2005, reflecting significantly lower net catastrophe losses, as noted above, partially offset by an $8.9 million net reserve adjustment. This net reserve adjustment primarily reflected a decrease in estimated reinsurance recoverables related to Hurricane Katrina due to a change in the composition of estimated ceded losses, partially offset by prior year reserve releases related to Hurricane Wilma and 2004 third quarter hurricanes. The reserving actions related to Hurricane Katrina reflect a review completed by RSUI during the 2006 fourth quarter of Hurricane Katrina reinsurance cessions that showed RSUI’s net retained losses would be slightly higher than previously estimated. With respect to the 2004 third quarter hurricanes, the reserve releases reflected a determination that paid losses for such hurricanes were at or close to ultimate expected losses.

 

Additional information regarding RSUI’s use of reinsurance and risks related to reinsurance recoverables can be found on pages 18 through 20 and pages 26 and 27 of this Form 10-K Report. Additional information regarding RSUI’s adjustments to and releases of prior year reserves can be found on page 35 and pages 45 and 46 of this Form 10-K Report.

 

Rates at RSUI in 2007 compared to 2006 reflect overall industry trends of downward pricing as a result of increased competition, with decreased rates in all of RSUI’s lines of business, particularly with respect to the general liability, umbrella and property lines of business. In 2006, rates for RSUI’s catastrophe-exposed property risks increased substantially, more than offsetting reductions in premium resulting from exposure reduction efforts RSUI commenced during the 2005 fourth quarter. RSUI undertook such efforts to reduce its exposed limits and raise attachment points on catastrophe-exposed property business. RSUI believes that its efforts have resulted in significantly lower accumulations of catastrophe risk on a gross basis. With respect to RSUI’s casualty lines of business, rates during 2006 decreased slightly from 2005 due to increased competition.

 

AIHL Re

 

AIHL Re was formed in June 2006 as a captive reinsurance subsidiary of AIHL to provide catastrophe reinsurance coverage for RSUI. AIHL Re and RSUI entered into a reinsurance agreement, effective July 1, 2006, whereby AIHL Re, in exchange for market-based premiums, took that portion of RSUI’s catastrophe reinsurance program not covered by third-party reinsurers. The cumulative premiums ceded from RSUI to AIHL Re under this agreement for the coverage period was $59.1 million, which reflects a $1.1 million premium adjustment recorded during the second quarter of 2007. This reinsurance coverage expired on April 30, 2007 and AIHL Re is not participating in RSUI’s catastrophe reinsurance program for the 2007-2008 period.

 

AIHL Re’s underwriting profit in 2007 reflects the absence of catastrophe losses during the period. In connection with the expiration of the reinsurance agreement, the trust funds established to secure AIHL Re’s obligations to make payments to RSUI under such reinsurance agreement were dissolved and the $208.0 million in such trust funds was returned to AIHL.

AIHL Re and Homesite entered into a reinsurance agreement, effective April 1, 2007, whereby AIHL Re, in exchange for annual premium of approximately $2.0 million, provides $20.0 million of excess-of-loss reinsurance coverage to Homesite under its catastrophe reinsurance program. To secure AIHL Re’s obligations to make payments to Homesite under the April 1, 2007 agreement, a deposit of approximately $20.0 million has been made into a trust fund established for the benefit of Homesite.

 

CATA

 

The increases in CATA’s net premiums earned in 2007 from 2006, and in 2006 from 2005, reflect growth in gross and net premiums written in CATA’s property and casualty (including in excess and surplus markets) lines of business. The increases in loss and loss adjustment expenses in 2007 from 2006, and in 2006 from 2005, reflect growth in net premiums earned and higher property losses, partially offset by reductions of prior year reserves principally related to liability and commercial surety lines of business. Such reductions were $14.4 million in 2007, $13.6 million in 2006 and $5.1 million in 2005. The increase in underwriting expenses in 2007 from 2006, and in 2006 from 2005, primarily reflect higher commissions and other acquisition-related expenses as a consequence of increased premium volumes. The increases in CATA’s underwriting profit in 2007 from 2006, and in 2006 from 2005, primarily reflect favorable loss emergence principally in its liability and commercial surety lines of business, resulting in a release of prior year reserves, partially offset by higher than expected current year property loss frequency and severity. CATA’s property lines of business were unprofitable in 2007.

 

Additional information regarding CATA’s releases of prior year reserves can be found on page 35 of this Form 10-K Report.

 

CATA experienced increased competition and decreased rates in its property and casualty and commercial surety lines of business during 2007, compared with 2006. CATA experienced generally unchanged rates in its property and casualty and commercial surety lines of business in 2006, compared with 2005.

 

EDC

 

EDC’s net premiums earned in 2007 reflect rate decreases on new and renewal policies of 9.5 percent effective December 15, 2006 and 14.2 percent effective June 30, 2007. Loss and loss adjustment expenses in 2007 reflect the exposure of EDC’s underlying book of business, relatively flat trends in loss costs and the favorable impact of a net $9.7 million reduction in reserves for periods prior to EDC’s acquisition by AIHL. This $9.7 million reserve reduction consisted of an $18.8 million reduction in reserves for prior accident years, partially offset by a $9.1 million increase for the 2007 accident year through the date of EDC’s acquisition by AIHL. Additional information regarding EDC’s releases to prior year reserves can be found on page 36 of this Form 10-K Report. EDC experienced increased competition and decreasing rates in its California workers’ compensation business during 2007.

 

AIHL’s results include the results of EDC, net of purchase accounting adjustments, commencing July 18, 2007. See Note 16 to the Notes to our consolidated financial statements set forth in Item 8 of this Form 10-K Report.

 

Darwin

 

The increases in Darwin’s net premiums earned in 2007 from 2006, and in 2006 from 2005, reflect increases in gross premiums written reflecting growth in Darwin’s E&O and medical malpractice lines of business, improved pricing and terms under Darwin’s reinsurance programs compared with its expired programs, and a reduction of ceded premiums, resulting from the release of prior accident year loss reserves. The increases in loss and loss adjustment expenses and underwriting expenses in 2007 from 2006, and in 2006 from 2005, primarily reflect an increase in premium volume, partially offset by a reduction of reserves for prior accident years. The increases in underwriting profit in 2007 from 2006, and in 2006 from 2005, primarily reflect an increase in net premiums earned and releases of prior year loss reserves and corresponding adjustments in ceded reinsurance premiums. The releases of prior year loss reserves and corresponding

adjustments in ceded reinsurance premiums totaled $21.2 million in 2007 and $4.0 million in 2006, compared with no prior year loss reserve releases in 2005.

 

Additional information regarding Darwin’s use of reinsurance and risks related to reinsurance recoverables can be found on page 20 and page 26 of this Form 10-K Report. Additional information regarding Darwin’s releases of prior year reserves can be found on pages 35 and 36 and page 46 of this Form 10-K Report.

 

Darwin experienced increased competition and decreased rates across all of its lines of business during 2007, compared with 2006.

 

Reserve Review Process

 

AIHL’s insurance operating units periodically analyze and adjust their expected ultimate cost, where necessary, to reflect positive or negative development in loss experience and new information, including, for certain catastrophic events, revised industry estimates of the magnitude of a catastrophe. Adjustments to previously recorded liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, both positive and negative, are reflected in our financial results in the periods in which these adjustments are made and are referred to as prior year reserve development. The following table presents the reserves established in connection with the losses and loss adjustment expenses of AIHL’s insurance operating units on a gross and net basis by line of business. These reserve amounts represent the accumulation of estimates of ultimate losses, including IBNR, and loss adjustment expenses.