e10vq
FORM 10-Q
UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549
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þ |
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QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE
SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 |
For the quarterly period ended JUNE 30, 2008
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o |
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TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE
SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 |
For the transition period from to
Commission file number 1-10816
MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
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WISCONSIN
(State or other jurisdiction of
incorporation or organization)
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39-1486475
(I.R.S. Employer
Identification No.) |
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250 E. KILBOURN AVENUE
MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN
(Address of principal executive offices)
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53202
(Zip Code) |
(414) 347-6480
(Registrants telephone number, including area code)
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by
Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for
such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been
subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. YES þ NO o
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer,
a non-accelerated filer, or a smaller reporting company.
See the definitions of large
accelerated filer, accelerated filer and smaller reporting company in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act. (Check one):
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Large accelerated filer þ |
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Accelerated filer o |
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Non-accelerated filer o
(Do not check if a smaller reporting company) |
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Smaller Reporting Company o |
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the
Exchange Act).YES
o
NO þ
Indicate the number of shares outstanding of each of the issuers classes of common stock, as of
the latest practicable date.
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CLASS OF STOCK |
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PAR VALUE |
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DATE |
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NUMBER OF SHARES |
Common stock
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$1.00
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|
07/31/08
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|
125,068,464 |
TABLE OF CONTENTS
PART I. FINANCIAL INFORMATION
ITEM 1. FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
June 30, 2008 (Unaudited) and December 31, 2007
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June 30, |
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December 31, |
|
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2008 |
|
|
2007 |
|
|
|
(In thousands of dollars) |
|
ASSETS |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Investment portfolio (note 7): |
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|
|
|
|
|
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Securities, available-for-sale, at fair value: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fixed maturities (amortized cost, 2008-$6,730,358; 2007-$5,791,562) |
|
$ |
6,728,330 |
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|
$ |
5,893,591 |
|
Equity securities (cost, 2008-$2,733; 2007-$2,689) |
|
|
2,651 |
|
|
|
2,642 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total investment portfolio |
|
|
6,730,981 |
|
|
|
5,896,233 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cash and cash equivalents |
|
|
1,060,663 |
|
|
|
288,933 |
|
Accrued investment income |
|
|
86,465 |
|
|
|
72,829 |
|
Reinsurance recoverable on loss reserves |
|
|
170,573 |
|
|
|
35,244 |
|
Prepaid reinsurance premiums |
|
|
8,122 |
|
|
|
8,715 |
|
Premiums receivable |
|
|
108,636 |
|
|
|
107,333 |
|
Home office and equipment, net |
|
|
33,067 |
|
|
|
34,603 |
|
Deferred insurance policy acquisition costs |
|
|
10,393 |
|
|
|
11,168 |
|
Investments in joint ventures |
|
|
134,959 |
|
|
|
155,430 |
|
Income taxes recoverable |
|
|
256,940 |
|
|
|
865,665 |
|
Other assets |
|
|
169,785 |
|
|
|
240,208 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total assets |
|
$ |
8,770,584 |
|
|
$ |
7,716,361 |
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|
|
|
|
|
|
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LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS EQUITY |
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Liabilities: |
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|
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|
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Loss reserves |
|
$ |
3,401,170 |
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|
$ |
2,642,479 |
|
Premium deficiency reserves |
|
|
788,162 |
|
|
|
1,210,841 |
|
Unearned premiums |
|
|
320,385 |
|
|
|
272,233 |
|
Short- and long-term debt (note 2) |
|
|
798,368 |
|
|
|
798,250 |
|
Convertible debentures (note 3) |
|
|
373,898 |
|
|
|
|
|
Other liabilities |
|
|
222,203 |
|
|
|
198,215 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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Total liabilities |
|
|
5,904,186 |
|
|
|
5,122,018 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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Contingencies (note 5) |
|
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|
|
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|
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|
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Shareholders equity (note 10): |
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
Common stock, $1 par value, shares authorized
300,000,000; shares issued,
6/30/08 - 130,118,744
12/31/07 - 123,067,426;
shares outstanding, 6/30/08 - 125,068,464
12/31/07 - 81,793,185 |
|
|
130,119 |
|
|
|
123,067 |
|
Paid-in capital |
|
|
358,782 |
|
|
|
316,649 |
|
Treasury stock (shares at cost, 6/30/08 - 5,050,280
12/31/07 - 41,274,241) |
|
|
(276,873 |
) |
|
|
(2,266,364 |
) |
Accumulated other comprehensive income, net of tax |
|
|
10,927 |
|
|
|
70,675 |
|
Retained earnings |
|
|
2,643,443 |
|
|
|
4,350,316 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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Total shareholders equity |
|
|
2,866,398 |
|
|
|
2,594,343 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
Total liabilities and shareholders equity |
|
$ |
8,770,584 |
|
|
$ |
7,716,361 |
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|
See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.
2
MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS
Three Months and Six Months Ended June 30, 2008 and 2007
(Unaudited)
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Three Months Ended |
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Six Months Ended |
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|
June 30, |
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|
June 30, |
|
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2007 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2007 |
|
|
|
(In thousands of dollars, except per share data) |
|
Revenues: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
Premiums written: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Direct |
|
$ |
423,766 |
|
|
$ |
358,528 |
|
|
$ |
844,312 |
|
|
$ |
700,366 |
|
Assumed |
|
|
3,239 |
|
|
|
757 |
|
|
|
6,002 |
|
|
|
1,441 |
|
Ceded |
|
|
(55,208 |
) |
|
|
(38,297 |
) |
|
|
(110,063 |
) |
|
|
(76,785 |
) |
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net premiums written |
|
|
371,797 |
|
|
|
320,988 |
|
|
|
740,251 |
|
|
|
625,022 |
|
Increase in unearned premiums, net |
|
|
(21,505 |
) |
|
|
(14,537 |
) |
|
|
(44,471 |
) |
|
|
(19,550 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net premiums earned |
|
|
350,292 |
|
|
|
306,451 |
|
|
|
695,780 |
|
|
|
605,472 |
|
Investment income, net of expenses |
|
|
76,982 |
|
|
|
61,927 |
|
|
|
149,464 |
|
|
|
124,897 |
|
Realized investment losses, net |
|
|
(10,263 |
) |
|
|
(9,829 |
) |
|
|
(11,457 |
) |
|
|
(12,839 |
) |
Other revenue |
|
|
7,522 |
|
|
|
10,490 |
|
|
|
14,621 |
|
|
|
21,151 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total revenues |
|
|
424,533 |
|
|
|
369,039 |
|
|
|
848,408 |
|
|
|
738,681 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Losses and expenses: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Losses incurred, net |
|
|
688,143 |
|
|
|
235,226 |
|
|
|
1,379,791 |
|
|
|
416,984 |
|
Change in premium deficiency reserves |
|
|
(158,898 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(422,679 |
) |
|
|
|
|
Underwriting and other expenses, net |
|
|
68,236 |
|
|
|
75,330 |
|
|
|
145,222 |
|
|
|
150,402 |
|
Reinsurance fee (note 4) |
|
|
363 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
363 |
|
|
|
|
|
Interest expense |
|
|
19,891 |
|
|
|
8,594 |
|
|
|
30,805 |
|
|
|
19,553 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total losses and expenses |
|
|
617,735 |
|
|
|
319,150 |
|
|
|
1,133,502 |
|
|
|
586,939 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(Loss) income before tax and joint ventures |
|
|
(193,202 |
) |
|
|
49,889 |
|
|
|
(285,094 |
) |
|
|
151,742 |
|
(Credit) provision for income tax |
|
|
(84,146 |
) |
|
|
5,073 |
|
|
|
(131,667 |
) |
|
|
28,616 |
|
Income from joint ventures, net of tax |
|
|
11,157 |
|
|
|
31,899 |
|
|
|
21,134 |
|
|
|
45,952 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net (loss) income |
|
$ |
(97,899 |
) |
|
$ |
76,715 |
|
|
$ |
(132,293 |
) |
|
$ |
169,078 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Earnings per share (note 6): |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Basic |
|
$ |
(0.79 |
) |
|
$ |
0.94 |
|
|
$ |
(1.27 |
) |
|
$ |
2.07 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Diluted |
|
$ |
(0.79 |
) |
|
$ |
0.93 |
|
|
$ |
(1.27 |
) |
|
$ |
2.05 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Weighted average common shares
outstanding diluted (shares in
thousands, note 6) |
|
|
123,834 |
|
|
|
82,309 |
|
|
|
103,981 |
|
|
|
82,349 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Dividends per share |
|
$ |
0.025 |
|
|
$ |
0.25 |
|
|
$ |
0.050 |
|
|
$ |
0.50 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.
3
MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF SHAREHOLDERS EQUITY
Year Ended December 31, 2007 and Six Months Ended June 30, 2008 (unaudited)
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Accumulated |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
other |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Common |
|
|
Paid-in |
|
|
Treasury |
|
|
comprehensive |
|
|
Retained |
|
|
Comprehensive |
|
|
|
stock |
|
|
capital |
|
|
stock |
|
|
income (note 2) |
|
|
earnings |
|
|
(loss) income |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(In thousands of dollars) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Balance, December 31, 2006 |
|
$ |
123,029 |
|
|
$ |
310,394 |
|
|
$ |
(2,201,966 |
) |
|
$ |
65,789 |
|
|
$ |
5,998,631 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net loss |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1,670,018 |
) |
|
$ |
(1,670,018 |
) |
Change in unrealized investment gains and losses, net |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(17,767 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(17,767 |
) |
Dividends declared |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(63,819 |
) |
|
|
|
|
Common stock shares issued |
|
|
38 |
|
|
|
2,205 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Repurchase of outstanding common shares |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(75,659 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reissuance of treasury stock |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(14,187 |
) |
|
|
11,261 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Equity compensation |
|
|
|
|
|
|
18,237 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Defined benefit plan adjustments, net |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
14,561 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
14,561 |
|
Change in the liability for unrecognized tax benefits |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
85,522 |
|
|
|
|
|
Unrealized foreign currency translation adjustment |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
8,456 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
8,456 |
|
Other |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(364 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(364 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Comprehensive loss |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$ |
(1,665,132 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Balance, December 31, 2007 |
|
$ |
123,067 |
|
|
$ |
316,649 |
|
|
$ |
(2,266,364 |
) |
|
$ |
70,675 |
|
|
$ |
4,350,316 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net loss |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(132,293 |
) |
|
$ |
(132,293 |
) |
Change in unrealized investment gains and losses, net |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(67,304 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(67,304 |
) |
Dividends declared |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(5,013 |
) |
|
|
|
|
Common stock shares issued (note 10) |
|
|
7,052 |
|
|
|
68,706 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Repurchase of outstanding common shares |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reissuance of treasury stock (note 10) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(41,686 |
) |
|
|
1,989,491 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1,569,567 |
) |
|
|
|
|
Equity compensation |
|
|
|
|
|
|
11,288 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unrealized foreign currency translation adjustment |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7,845 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7,845 |
|
Other |
|
|
|
|
|
|
3,825 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(289 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(289 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Comprehensive loss |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$ |
(192,041 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Balance, June 30, 2008 |
|
$ |
130,119 |
|
|
$ |
358,782 |
|
|
$ |
(276,873 |
) |
|
$ |
10,927 |
|
|
$ |
2,643,443 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements
4
MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS
Six Months Ended June 30, 2008 and 2007
(Unaudited)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Six Months Ended |
|
|
|
June 30, |
|
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2007 |
|
|
|
(In thousands of dollars) |
|
Cash flows from operating activities: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net (loss) income |
|
$ |
(132,293 |
) |
|
$ |
169,078 |
|
Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash
provided by operating activities: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Amortization of deferred insurance policy
acquisition costs |
|
|
4,393 |
|
|
|
5,556 |
|
Increase in deferred insurance policy
acquisition costs |
|
|
(3,618 |
) |
|
|
(4,479 |
) |
Depreciation and amortization |
|
|
14,734 |
|
|
|
9,715 |
|
Increase in accrued investment income |
|
|
(13,636 |
) |
|
|
(790 |
) |
(Increase) decrease in reinsurance recoverable
on loss reserves |
|
|
(135,329 |
) |
|
|
608 |
|
Decrease in prepaid reinsurance premiums |
|
|
593 |
|
|
|
984 |
|
Increase in premium receivable |
|
|
(1,303 |
) |
|
|
(4,902 |
) |
Increase in loss reserves |
|
|
758,691 |
|
|
|
62,533 |
|
Decrease in premium deficiency reserve |
|
|
(422,679 |
) |
|
|
|
|
Increase in unearned premiums |
|
|
48,152 |
|
|
|
18,586 |
|
Decrease (increase) in income taxes recoverable |
|
|
608,725 |
|
|
|
(32,569 |
) |
Equity earnings in joint ventures |
|
|
(29,363 |
) |
|
|
(65,658 |
) |
Distributions from joint ventures |
|
|
22,010 |
|
|
|
51,512 |
|
Realized loss |
|
|
11,457 |
|
|
|
12,839 |
|
Other |
|
|
126,297 |
|
|
|
9,848 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net cash provided by operating activities |
|
|
856,831 |
|
|
|
232,861 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cash flows from investing activities: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Purchase of fixed maturities |
|
|
(2,040,723 |
) |
|
|
(1,139,277 |
) |
Purchase of equity securities |
|
|
(43 |
) |
|
|
(44 |
) |
Increase in collateral under securities lending |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(172,752 |
) |
Additional investment in joint ventures |
|
|
(490 |
) |
|
|
(3,916 |
) |
Sale of investment in joint ventures |
|
|
27,594 |
|
|
|
|
|
Proceeds from sale of fixed maturities |
|
|
852,957 |
|
|
|
845,607 |
|
Proceeds from maturity of fixed maturities |
|
|
241,101 |
|
|
|
212,574 |
|
Other |
|
|
2,496 |
|
|
|
(14,822 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net cash used in investing activities |
|
|
(917,108 |
) |
|
|
(272,630 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cash flows from financing activities: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Dividends paid to shareholders |
|
|
(5,013 |
) |
|
|
(41,546 |
) |
Repayment of long-term debt |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(200,000 |
) |
Net proceeds from short-term debt |
|
|
|
|
|
|
62,590 |
|
Net proceeds from convertible debentures |
|
|
377,303 |
|
|
|
|
|
Increase in obligations under securities lending |
|
|
|
|
|
|
172,752 |
|
Reissuance of treasury stock |
|
|
383,959 |
|
|
|
1,300 |
|
Repurchase of common stock |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(67,648 |
) |
Common stock issued |
|
|
75,758 |
|
|
|
2,009 |
|
Excess tax benefits from share-based payment arrangements |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(39 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net cash provided by (used in) financing activities |
|
|
832,007 |
|
|
|
(70,582 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents |
|
|
771,730 |
|
|
|
(110,351 |
) |
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of period |
|
|
288,933 |
|
|
|
293,738 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cash and cash equivalents at end of period |
|
$ |
1,060,663 |
|
|
$ |
183,387 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
See accompanying notes to consolidated financial statements.
5
MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
June 30, 2008
(Unaudited)
Note 1 Basis of presentation and summary of certain significant accounting policies
The accompanying unaudited consolidated financial statements of MGIC Investment Corporation and its
wholly-owned subsidiaries have been prepared in accordance with the instructions to Form 10-Q as
prescribed by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for interim reporting and do not
include all of the other information and disclosures required by accounting principles generally
accepted in the United States of America. These statements should be read in conjunction with the
consolidated financial statements and notes thereto for the year ended December 31, 2007 included
in our Annual Report on Form 10-K.
In the opinion of management such financial statements include all adjustments, consisting
primarily of normal recurring accruals, necessary to fairly present our financial position and
results of operations for the periods indicated. The results of operations for the six months ended
June 30, 2008 may not be indicative of the results that may be expected for the year ending
December 31, 2008.
New Accounting Standards
In May 2008, the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) issued FASB Staff Position (FSP) APB
14-1 Accounting for Convertible Debt Instruments That May Be Settled in Cash upon Conversion
(Including Partial Cash Settlement). FSP APB 14-1 requires the issuer of certain convertible debt
instruments that may be settled in cash (or other assets) on conversion to separately account for
the liability (debt) and equity (conversion option) components of the instrument in a manner that
reflects the issuers non-convertible debt borrowing rate. FSP APB 14-1 is effective for fiscal
years beginning after December 15, 2008 on a retroactive basis. We are currently evaluating the
impact of the adoption of FSP APB 14-1 on our financial position, results of operations and cash
flows. At this time, we believe the adoption will result in a net-of-tax increase to our
shareholders equity of approximately $63 million on January 1, 2009 and will result in a
net-of-tax increase to interest expense of approximately $11 million for the year ended December
31, 2008 and $15 million annually thereafter, through April 1, 2013. These increases result from
our Convertible Junior Subordinated Debentures discussed in Note 3.
In March 2008 the FASB issued SFAS No. 161, Disclosures about Derivative Instruments and Hedging
Activities. The new standard is intended to improve financial reporting about derivative
instruments and hedging activities by requiring enhanced disclosures to enable investors to better
understand their effects on an entitys financial position, financial performance, and cash flows.
It is effective for financial statements issued for fiscal years and interim periods beginning
after November 15, 2008. We are currently evaluating the provisions of this statement and the
impact, if any, this statement will have on our disclosures.
In February 2008, the FASB issued FSP FAS 157-2. This statement defers the effective date of FAS
157 for all non-financial assets and non-financial liabilities measured on a non-recurring basis to
fiscal years beginning after November 15, 2008, and interim periods within those fiscal years. We
are currently evaluating the requirements of this statement and the impact, if any, this statement
will have on our financial position and results of operations.
6
Fair Value Measurements
Effective January 1, 2008, we adopted the fair value measurement provisions of SFAS No. 157, Fair
Value Measurements. SFAS No. 157 provides enhanced guidance for using fair value to measure
assets and liabilities. This statement defines fair value, expands disclosure requirements about
fair value and specifies a hierarchy of valuation techniques based on whether the inputs to those
valuation techniques are observable or unobservable. Observable inputs reflect market data
obtained from independent sources, while unobservable inputs reflect a companys market
assumptions. Fair value is used on a recurring basis for assets and liabilities in which fair
value is the primary basis of accounting (i.e., available-for-sale securities). Additionally, fair
value is used on a nonrecurring basis to evaluate assets or liabilities for impairment or for
disclosure purposes.
Fair value is defined as the price that would be received in a sale of an asset or paid to transfer
a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date.
Depending on the nature of the asset or liability, we use various valuation techniques and
assumptions when estimating fair value. In accordance with SFAS No. 157, we applied the following
fair value hierarchy in order to measure fair value for assets and liabilities:
Level 1 Quoted prices for identical instruments in active markets that we have the
ability to access. Financial assets utilizing Level 1 inputs include certain U.S.
Treasury securities and obligations of the U.S. government.
Level 2 Quoted prices for similar instruments in active markets; quoted prices for
identical or similar instruments in markets that are not active; and inputs, other than
quoted prices, that are observable in the marketplace for the financial instrument. The
observable inputs are used in valuation models to calculate the fair value of the
financial instruments. Financial assets utilizing Level 2 inputs include certain
municipal and corporate bonds.
Level 3 Valuations derived from valuation techniques in which one or more significant
inputs or value drivers are unobservable. Level 3 inputs reflect our own assumptions
about the assumptions a market participant would use in pricing an asset or liability.
Financial assets utilizing Level 3 inputs include certain state, corporate and
mortgage-backed securities. Non-financial assets which utilize Level 3 inputs include
real estate acquired through claim settlement. Additionally, financial liabilities
utilizing Level 3 inputs consist of derivative financial instruments.
The adoption of SFAS No. 157 resulted in no changes to January 1, 2008 retained earnings. (See note
7.)
Fair Value Option
In conjunction with the adoption of SFAS No. 157, we have adopted SFAS No. 159, The Fair Value
Option for Financial Assets and Financial Liabilities. This statement provides companies with an
option to report selected financial assets and liabilities at fair value on an
7
instrument-by-instrument basis. After the initial adoption, the election to report a financial
asset or liability at fair value is made at the time of acquisition and it generally may not be
revoked. The objective of this statement is to reduce both complexity in accounting for financial
instruments and the volatility in earnings caused by measuring related assets and liabilities
differently. The adoption of SFAS No. 159 resulted in no changes to January 1, 2008 retained
earnings as we elected not to apply the fair value option to financial instruments not currently
carried at fair value.
Reclassifications
Certain reclassifications have been made in the accompanying financial statements to 2007
amounts to conform to 2008 presentation.
Note 2 Short- and long-term debt
We have a $300 million bank revolving credit facility, expiring in March 2010 that was amended
in June 2008. In the third quarter of 2007, we drew the entire amount available under this
facility. At June 30, 2008 the entire $300 million was outstanding. In July 2008, we repaid $100
million borrowed under this facility. The amount that we repaid remains available for re-borrowing
pursuant to the terms of our credit agreement.
The credit facility, as amended in June 2008, effective July 1, 2008, requires us to maintain
Consolidated Net Worth of no less than $2.00 billion at all times. However, if as of June 30, 2009,
Consolidated Net Worth equals or exceeds $2.75 billion, then the minimum Consolidated Net Worth
under the facility will be increased to $2.25 billion at all times from and after June 30, 2009.
Consolidated Net Worth is generally defined in our credit agreement as the sum of our consolidated
shareholders equity plus the aggregate outstanding principal amount of our 9% Convertible Junior
Subordinated Debentures due 2063, currently $390 million. The credit facility also requires
Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corporation (MGIC) to maintain a statutory risk-to-capital ratio of
not more than 22:1 and maintain policyholders position (which includes MGICs statutory surplus
and its contingency reserve) of not less than the amount required by Wisconsin insurance
regulations. At June 30, 2008, these requirements were met, as was the shareholders equity
requirement of $1.85 billion prior to this amendment. Our shareholders equity and Consolidated Net
Worth at June 30, 2008 were approximately $2.86 billion and $3.25 billion, respectively.
At June 30, 2008 and December 31, 2007 we had $200 million, 5.625% Senior Notes due in September
2011 and $300 million, 5.375% Senior Notes due in November 2015, as well as $300 million
outstanding under the credit facility. At June 30, 2008 and December 31, 2007, the fair value of
this outstanding debt was $674.3 million and $772.0 million, respectively.
Interest payments on all long-term and short-term debt were $21.4 million and $21.6 million for the
six months ended June 30, 2008 and 2007, respectively.
If we fail to maintain any of the requirements under the credit facility discussed above and are
not successful in obtaining an agreement from banks holding a majority of the debt outstanding
under the facility to change (or waive) the applicable requirement, then banks holding a majority
of the debt outstanding under the facility would have the right to declare the entire amount of the
outstanding debt due and payable. If the debt under our bank facility
8
were accelerated in this
manner, the holders of 25% or more of our publicly traded $200 million 5.625% Senior Notes due in
September 2011, and the holders of 25% or more of our publicly traded $300 million 5.375% Senior
Notes due in November 2015, each would have the right to accelerate the maturity of that debt. In
addition, the Trustee of these two issues of Senior Notes, which is also a lender under our bank
credit facility, could, independent of any action by holders of Senior Notes, accelerate the
maturity of the Senior Notes.
Note 3 Convertible debentures and related derivative
In March 2008 we completed the sale of $365 million principal amount of 9% Convertible Junior
Subordinated Debentures due in 2063. In April 2008, the initial purchasers exercised an option to
purchase an additional $25 million aggregate principal amount of these debentures. The debentures
were sold in private placements to qualified institutional buyers pursuant to Rule 144A under the
Securities Act of 1933, as amended. Interest on the debentures will be payable semi-annually in
arrears on April 1 and October 1 of each year, beginning on October 1, 2008. We may defer interest,
under an optional deferral provision, for one or more consecutive interest periods up to ten years
without giving rise to an event of default. Deferred interest will accrue additional interest at
the rate then applicable to the debentures.
The debentures rank junior to all of our existing and future senior indebtedness. The net proceeds
of the debentures were approximately $377 million. A portion of the net proceeds of the debentures
and a concurrent offering of common stock (see Note 10) was used to increase the capital of MGIC,
our principal insurance subsidiary, in order to enable us to expand the volume of our new insurance
written, and a portion will also be used for our general corporate purposes. Debt issuance costs
are being amortized over the expected life of five years to interest expense.
We may redeem the debentures prior to April 6, 2013, in whole but not in part, only in the event of
a specified tax or rating agency event, as defined in the indenture. In any such event, the
redemption price will be equal to the greater of (1) 100% of the principal amount of the debentures
being redeemed and (2) the applicable make-whole amount as
defined in the indenture, in each case plus any accrued but unpaid
interest. On or after April 6, 2013, we may redeem the debentures in whole or in part from time to
time, at our option, at a redemption price equal to 100% of the principal amount of the debentures
being redeemed plus any accrued and unpaid interest if the closing sale price of our common stock
exceeds 130% of the then prevailing conversion price of the debentures for at least 20 of the 30
trading days preceding notice of the redemption. We will not be able to redeem the debentures,
other than in the event of a specified tax event or rating agency event, during an optional
deferral period.
The debentures are currently convertible, at the holders option, at an initial conversion rate,
which is subject to adjustment, of 74.0741 shares per $1,000 principal amount of debentures
at any time prior to the maturity date. This represents an initial conversion price of
approximately $13.50 per share. The initial conversion price represents a 20% conversion premium
based on the $11.25 per share price to the public in our concurrent common stock offering. (See
Note 9.)
In lieu of issuing shares of common stock upon conversion of the debentures occurring after April
6, 2013, we may, at our option, make a cash payment to converting holders equal to the value of all
or some of the shares of our common stock otherwise issuable upon conversion.
9
Our common stock is listed on the New York Stock Exchange, or NYSE. One of the NYSEs rules limits
the number of shares of our common stock that the convertible debentures may be converted into to
less than 20% of the number of shares outstanding immediately before the issuance of the
convertible debentures unless shareholders approve the issuance of the shares that would exceed the
limit. We closed a sale of our common stock immediately prior to the sale of the convertible
debentures, which resulted in approximately 124.9 million shares of our common stock outstanding
prior to the debentures being issued. At the initial conversion rate the outstanding debentures are
convertible into approximately 23.1% of our common stock outstanding, 3.9 million shares above the
NYSE limit. At a special shareholders meeting held in June 2008, we received shareholder approval
on the issuance of shares of our common stock sufficient to convert all of the convertible
debentures.
At issuance approximately $52.8 million in face value of the convertible debentures could not be
settled in our common shares without prior shareholder approval and thus required bifurcation of
the embedded derivative related to those convertible debentures. The derivative value of $16.9
million was determined using the Black-Scholes model, and is treated as a discount on issuance of
the convertible debentures and amortized over the expected life of five years to interest expense.
Prior to shareholder approval, changes in the fair value of the derivative were reflected in our
results of operations. Since the changes in fair value corresponded to changes in our stock price,
a decrease in our stock price resulted in a decrease in the derivative liability. On the date of
shareholder approval, June 27, 2008, the value of the derivative had decreased to $5.9 million. On
this date the amount was re-classified from a liability to shareholders equity on the consolidated
balance sheet, and subsequent changes in the fair value of the derivative will not be reflected on
our financial statements. The change in fair value of the derivative from issuance to shareholder
approval of approximately $11.0 million is included in other revenue on our statement of operations
for the three and six months ended June 30, 2008.
The fair value of the convertible debentures was approximately $289.0 million at June 30, 2008.
Note 4 Reinsurance
In June 2008 we entered into a reinsurance agreement with an affiliate of HCC Insurance Holdings,
Inc. (HCC). The reinsurance agreement is effective on the risk associated with up to $50 billion
of qualifying new insurance written each calendar year. The term of the reinsurance agreement
begins April 1, 2008 and ends on December 31, 2010, subject to two one-year extensions that may be
exercised by HCC.
The reinsurance agreement is expected to provide claims-paying resources in catastrophic loss
environments for insurance written beginning April 1, 2008.
The agreement is accounted for under deposit accounting rather than reinsurance accounting, because
under the guidance of SFAS 113 Accounting for Reinsurance Contracts, we concluded that the
reinsurance agreement does not result in the reasonable possibility that the reinsurer will suffer
a significant loss. The premium ceded to the reinsurer and the brokerage commission paid to an
affiliate of the reinsurer, net of a profit commission to us, is recorded as reinsurance fee
expense on our statement of operations. In non-catastrophic loss environments, we expect the net
expense will be approximately 5% of premiums earned, net of premiums ceded under captive
arrangements, on business covered by the agreement. The reinsurance fee for the second quarter of
2008 was approximately $0.4 million.
10
Note 5 Litigation and contingencies
We are involved in litigation in the ordinary course of business that is not further described in
this footnote. In our opinion, the ultimate resolution of this pending litigation will not have a
material adverse effect on our financial position or results of operations. However, we are unable
to predict the outcome of these cases or estimate our associated expenses or possible losses.
Consumers are bringing a growing number of lawsuits against home mortgage lenders and settlement
service providers. In recent years, seven mortgage insurers, including MGIC, have been involved in
litigation alleging violations of the anti-referral fee provisions of the Real Estate Settlement
Procedures Act, which is commonly known as RESPA, and the notice provisions of the Fair Credit
Reporting Act, which is commonly known as FCRA. MGICs settlement of class action litigation
against it under RESPA became final in October 2003. MGIC settled the named plaintiffs claims in
litigation against it under FCRA in late December 2004 following denial of class certification in
June 2004. Since December 2006, class action litigation was separately brought against a number of
large lenders alleging that their captive mortgage reinsurance arrangements violated RESPA. While
we are not a defendant in any of these cases, there can be no assurance that we will not be subject
to future litigation under RESPA or FCRA or that the outcome of any such litigation would not have
a material adverse effect on us.
In June 2005, in response to a letter from the New York Insurance Department, we provided
information regarding captive mortgage reinsurance arrangements and other types of arrangements in
which lenders receive compensation. In February 2006, the New York Insurance Department requested
MGIC to review its premium rates in New York and to file adjusted rates based on recent years
experience or to explain why such experience would not alter rates. In March 2006, MGIC advised the
New York Insurance Department that it believes its premium rates are reasonable and that, given the
nature of mortgage insurance risk, premium rates should not be determined only by the experience of
recent years. In February 2006, in response to an administrative subpoena from the Minnesota
Department of Commerce, which regulates insurance, we provided the Department with information
about captive mortgage reinsurance and certain other matters. We subsequently provided additional
information to the Minnesota Department of Commerce, and in March 2008 that Department sought
additional information as well as answers to interrogatories regarding
captive mortgage reinsurance. In June 2008, we received a subpoena from the Department of Housing
and Urban Development, commonly referred to as HUD, seeking information about captive mortgage
reinsurance similar to that requested by the Minnesota Department of Commerce, but not limited in
scope to the state of Minnesota. Other insurance departments or other officials, including
attorneys general, may also seek information about or investigate captive mortgage reinsurance.
The anti-referral fee provisions of RESPA provide that the Department of Housing and Urban
Development as well as the insurance commissioner or attorney general of any state may bring an
action to enjoin violations of these provisions of RESPA. The insurance law provisions of many
states prohibit paying for the referral of insurance business and provide various mechanisms to
enforce this prohibition. While we believe our captive reinsurance arrangements are in conformity
with applicable laws and regulations, it is not possible to predict the outcome of any such reviews
or investigations nor is it possible to predict their effect on us or the mortgage insurance
industry.
11
In October 2007, the Division of Enforcement of the Securities and Exchange Commission requested
that we voluntarily furnish documents and information primarily relating to Credit-Based Asset
Servicing and Securitization, C-BASS, the now-terminated merger with Radian Group Inc. and the
subprime mortgage assets in the Companys various lines of business. We are in the process of
providing responsive documents and information to the Securities and Exchange Commission. As part
of its initial information request, the SEC staff informed us that this investigation should not be
construed as an indication by the SEC or its staff that any violation of the securities laws has
occurred, or as a reflection upon any person, entity or security.
In the second and third quarters of 2008, complaints in four separate purported stockholder class
action lawsuits were filed against us and several of our officers. The allegations in the
complaints are generally that through these officers we violated the federal securities laws by
failing to disclose or misrepresenting C-BASSs liquidity, the impairment of our investment in
C-BASS, the inadequacy of our loss reserves and that we were not adequately capitalized. The
collective time period covered by these lawsuits begins on October 12, 2006 and ends on February
12, 2008. The complaints seek damages based on purchases of our stock during this time period at
prices that were allegedly inflated as a result of the purported misstatements and omissions. With
limited exceptions, our bylaws provide that our officers are entitled to indemnification from us
for claims against them of the type alleged in the complaints. We believe, among other things, that
the allegations in the complaints are not sufficient to prevent their dismissal and intend to
defend against them vigorously. However, we are unable to predict the outcome of these cases or
estimate our associated expenses or possible losses.
Two law firms have issued press releases to the effect that they are investigating whether the
fiduciaries of our 401(k) plan breached their fiduciary duties regarding the plans investment in
or holding of our common stock. With limited exceptions, our bylaws provide that the plan
fiduciaries are entitled to indemnification from us for claims against them. We intend to defend
vigorously any proceedings that may result from these investigations.
On June 1, 2007, as a result of an examination by the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) for taxable
years 2000 through 2004, we received a Revenue Agent Report (RAR). The adjustments reported on
the RAR substantially increase taxable income for those tax years
and resulted in the issuance of an assessment for unpaid taxes totaling $189.5 million in taxes and
accuracy-related penalties, plus applicable interest. We have agreed with the IRS on certain issues
and paid $10.5 million in additional taxes and interest. The remaining open issue relates to our
treatment of the flow through income and loss from an investment in a portfolio of residual
interests of Real Estate Mortgage Investment Conduits (REMICS). The IRS has indicated that it
does not believe that, for various reasons, we have established sufficient tax basis in the REMIC
residual interests to deduct the losses from taxable income. We disagree with this conclusion and
believe that the flow through income and loss from these investments was properly reported on our
federal income tax returns in accordance with applicable tax laws and regulations in effect during
the periods involved and have appealed these adjustments. The appeals process may take some time
and a final resolution may not be reached until a date many months or years into the future. On
July 2, 2007, we made a payment of $65.2 million with the United States Department of the Treasury
to
12
eliminate the further accrual of interest. Although the resolution of this issue is uncertain,
we believe that sufficient provisions for income taxes have been made for potential liabilities
that may result. If the resolution of this matter differs materially from our estimates, it could
have a material impact on our effective tax rate, results of operations and cash flows.
Under our contract underwriting agreements, we may be required to provide certain remedies to our
customers if certain standards relating to the quality of our underwriting work are not met. The
cost of remedies provided by us to customers for failing to meet these standards has not been
material to our financial position or results of operations for the six months ended June 30, 2008
and 2007.
Note 6 Earnings per share
Our basic and diluted earnings per share (EPS) have been calculated in accordance with SFAS No.
128, Earnings Per Share. Basic EPS is based on the weighted average number of common shares
outstanding. Typically, diluted EPS is based on the weighted average number of common shares
outstanding plus common stock equivalents which include stock awards, stock options and the
dilutive effect of our convertible debentures. In accordance with SFAS 128, if we report a net loss
from continuing operations then our diluted EPS is computed in the same manner as the basic EPS.
For the three and six months ended June 30, 2008 and 2007, our net (loss) income is the same for
both basic and diluted EPS. The following is a reconciliation of the weighted average number of
shares; however for the three and six months ended June 30, 2008 the basic weighted-average shares
was used in the calculation of both the basic and diluted EPS since including the common stock
equivalents would be anti-dilutive.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
Six Months Ended |
|
|
June 30, |
|
June 30, |
|
|
2008 |
|
2007 |
|
2008 |
|
2007 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(in thousands) |
|
|
|
|
Weighted-average shares Basic |
|
|
123,834 |
|
|
|
81,763 |
|
|
|
103,981 |
|
|
|
81,827 |
|
Common stock equivalents |
|
|
|
|
|
|
546 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
522 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Weighted-average shares Diluted |
|
|
123,834 |
|
|
|
82,309 |
|
|
|
103,981 |
|
|
|
82,349 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Note 7 Fair value measurements
As discussed in Note 1, we adopted SFAS No. 157 and SFAS No. 159 effective January 1, 2008. Both
standards address aspects of the expanding application of fair-value accounting. SFAS No. 157
defines fair value, establishes a consistent framework for measuring fair value and expands
disclosure requirements regarding fair-value measurements. SFAS No. 159 provides companies with an
option to report selected financial assets and liabilities at fair value with changes in fair value
reported in earnings. The option to account for selected financial assets and liabilities at fair
value is made on an instrument-by-instrument basis at the time of acquisition. For the three and
six month periods ended June 30, 2008, we did not elect the fair value option for any financial
instruments acquired for which the primary basis of accounting is not fair value.
13
In accordance with SFAS No. 157, we applied the following fair value hierarchy in order to measure
fair value for assets and liabilities:
Level 1 Quoted prices for identical instruments in active markets that we have the
ability to access. Financial assets utilizing Level 1 inputs include certain U.S.
Treasury securities and obligations of the U.S. government.
Level 2 Quoted prices for similar instruments in active markets; quoted prices for
identical or similar instruments in markets that are not active; and inputs, other than
quoted prices, that are observable in the marketplace for the financial instrument. The
observable inputs are used in valuation models to calculate the fair value of the
financial instruments. Financial assets utilizing Level 2 inputs include certain
municipal and corporate bonds.
Level 3 Valuations derived from valuation techniques in which one or more significant
inputs or value drivers are unobservable. Level 3 inputs reflect our own assumptions
about the assumptions a market participant would use in pricing an asset or liability.
Financial assets utilizing Level 3 inputs include certain state, corporate and
mortgage-backed securities. Non-financial assets which utilize Level 3 inputs include
real estate acquired through claim settlement. Additionally, financial liabilities
utilizing Level 3 inputs consist of derivative financial instruments.
To determine the fair value of securities available-for-sale in Level 1 and Level 2 of the
fair value hierarchy a variety of inputs are utilized including actual trade data, benchmark yield
data, broker/dealer quotes, issuer spread data and other reference information. This information
is evaluated using a multidimensional pricing model. This model combines all inputs to arrive at a
value assigned to each security. We review the values generated by this model for reasonableness
and, in some cases, further analyze and research values generated to ensure their accuracy, which
includes reviewing other publicly available information. Securities whose fair value is primarily
based on the use of our multidimensional pricing model are classified in Level 2 and include
certain municipal and corporate bonds.
Assets and liabilities classified as Level 3 are as follows:
|
|
|
Securities available-for-sale classified in Level 3 are not readily marketable and are
valued using a combination of broker quotations and/or internally developed models based on
the present value of expected cash flows utilizing data provided by the trustees. |
|
|
|
|
Real estate acquired through claim settlement is fair valued at the lower of our
acquisition cost or a percentage of appraised value. The percentage applied to appraised
value is based upon our historical sales experience. |
|
|
|
|
As discussed in Note 3 the derivative related to the outstanding debentures is valued
using the Black-Scholes model. Remaining derivatives are valued internally, based on the
present value of expected cash flows utilizing data provided by the trustees. |
14
Fair value measurements for items measured at fair value included the following as of June 30, 2008
(in thousands):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Quoted Prices in |
|
|
|
|
|
Significant |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Active Markets for |
|
Significant Other |
|
Unobservable |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Identical Assets |
|
Observable Inputs |
|
Inputs |
|
|
Total |
|
(Level 1) |
|
(Level 2) |
|
(Level 3) |
Assets |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Securities available-for-sale |
|
$ |
6,730,981 |
|
|
$ |
330,602 |
|
|
$ |
6,363,031 |
|
|
$ |
37,348 |
|
Real estate acquired (1) |
|
|
64,619 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
64,619 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Liabilities |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other liabilities (derivatives) |
|
$ |
22,157 |
|
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
22,157 |
|
|
|
|
(1) |
|
Real estate acquired through claim settlement, which is held for sale, is reported in Other
Assets on the consolidated balance sheet. |
For assets and liabilities measured at fair value using significant unobservable inputs (Level 3),
a reconciliation of the beginning and ending balances for the three and six months ended June 30,
2008 is as follows (in thousands):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Securities |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Available- |
|
Real Estate |
|
Other |
|
|
for-Sale |
|
Acquired |
|
Liabilities |
Balance at March 31, 2008 |
|
$ |
32,513 |
|
|
$ |
110,698 |
|
|
$ |
(20,547 |
) |
Total realized/unrealized gains (losses): |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Included in earnings and reported as realized investment gains (losses), net |
|
|
(3,339 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Included in earnings and reported as other revenue |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(3,350 |
) |
Included in earnings and reported as losses incurred, net |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(12,171 |
) |
|
|
|
|
Included in other comprehensive income |
|
|
5,482 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Purchases, issuances and settlements |
|
|
2,692 |
|
|
|
(33,908 |
) |
|
|
1,740 |
|
Transfers in/and or out of Level 3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Balance at June 30, 2008 |
|
$ |
37,348 |
|
|
$ |
64,619 |
|
|
$ |
(22,157 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Amount of total gains (losses) included in earnings for the three months ended
June 30, 2008 attributable to the change in unrealized gains (losses) on assets
(liabilities) still held at June 30, 2008 |
|
$ |
(3,339 |
) |
|
$ |
(11,893 |
) |
|
$ |
(14,416 |
) |
|
|
|
15
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Securities |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Available- |
|
Real Estate |
|
Other |
|
|
for-Sale |
|
Acquired |
|
Liabilities |
Balance at January 1, 2008 |
|
$ |
37,195 |
|
|
$ |
145,198 |
|
|
$ |
(12,132 |
) |
Total realized/unrealized gains (losses): |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Included in earnings and reported as realized investment gains (losses), net |
|
|
(6,054 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Included in earnings and reported as other revenue |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(6,823 |
) |
Included in earnings and reported as losses incurred, net |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(17,758 |
) |
|
|
|
|
Included in other comprehensive income |
|
|
3,543 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Purchases, issuances and settlements |
|
|
2,664 |
|
|
|
(62,821 |
) |
|
|
(3,202 |
) |
Transfers in/and or out of Level 3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Balance at June 30, 2008 |
|
$ |
37,348 |
|
|
$ |
64,619 |
|
|
$ |
(22,157 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Amount of total gains (losses) included in earnings for the six months ended June
30, 2008 attributable to the change in unrealized gains (losses) on assets
(liabilities) still held at June 30, 2008 |
|
$ |
(6,054 |
) |
|
$ |
(15,807 |
) |
|
$ |
(17,888 |
) |
|
|
|
Note 8 Comprehensive income
Our total comprehensive income, as calculated per SFAS No. 130, Reporting Comprehensive Income, was
as follows:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
|
Six Months Ended |
|
|
|
June 30, |
|
|
June 30, |
|
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2007 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2007 |
|
|
|
(In thousands of dollars) |
|
Net (loss) income |
|
$ |
(97,899 |
) |
|
$ |
76,715 |
|
|
$ |
(132,293 |
) |
|
$ |
169,078 |
|
Other comprehensive loss |
|
|
(28,290 |
) |
|
|
(50,046 |
) |
|
|
(59,748 |
) |
|
|
(54,714 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total comprehensive (loss) income |
|
$ |
(126,189 |
) |
|
$ |
26,669 |
|
|
$ |
(192,041 |
) |
|
$ |
114,364 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other comprehensive (loss) income
(net of tax): |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Change in unrealized gains and losses
on investments |
|
$ |
(32,155 |
) |
|
$ |
(53,664 |
) |
|
|
(67,304 |
) |
|
|
(59,578 |
) |
Other |
|
|
3,865 |
|
|
|
3,618 |
|
|
|
7,556 |
|
|
|
4,864 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other comprehensive loss |
|
$ |
(28,290 |
) |
|
$ |
(50,046 |
) |
|
$ |
(59,748 |
) |
|
$ |
(54,714 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
16
At June 30, 2008, accumulated other comprehensive income of $10.9 million included ($1.4) million
of net unrealized losses on investments, $16.3 million relating to a foreign currency
translation adjustment, ($3.2) million relating to defined benefit plans and ($0.8) million
relating to the accumulated other comprehensive loss of the Companys joint venture investments,
all net of tax. At December 31, 2007, accumulated other comprehensive income of $70.7 million
included $65.9 million of net unrealized gains on investments, ($3.2) million relating to defined
benefit plans, $8.5 million relating to foreign currency translation adjustment and ($0.5) million
relating to the accumulated other comprehensive loss of the Companys joint venture investments.
Note 9 Benefit Plans
The following table provides the components of net periodic benefit cost for the pension,
supplemental executive retirement and other postretirement benefit plans:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
|
|
June 30, |
|
|
|
Pension and Supplemental |
|
|
Other Postretirement |
|
|
|
Executive Retirement Plans |
|
|
Benefits |
|
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2007 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2007 |
|
|
|
(In thousands of dollars) |
|
Service cost |
|
$ |
2,036 |
|
|
$ |
2,504 |
|
|
$ |
888 |
|
|
$ |
890 |
|
Interest cost |
|
|
3,332 |
|
|
|
3,016 |
|
|
|
1,179 |
|
|
|
1,112 |
|
Expected return on plan assets |
|
|
(4,805 |
) |
|
|
(4,370 |
) |
|
|
(941 |
) |
|
|
(804 |
) |
Recognized net actuarial loss |
|
|
114 |
|
|
|
63 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
26 |
|
Amortization
of transition obligation |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
71 |
|
|
|
71 |
|
Amortization of prior service cost |
|
|
171 |
|
|
|
141 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net periodic benefit cost |
|
$ |
848 |
|
|
$ |
1,354 |
|
|
$ |
1,197 |
|
|
$ |
1,295 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Six Months Ended |
|
|
|
June 30, |
|
|
|
Pension and Supplemental |
|
|
Other Postretirement |
|
|
|
Executive Retirement Plans |
|
|
Benefits |
|
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2007 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2007 |
|
|
|
(In thousands of dollars) |
|
Service cost |
|
$ |
4,072 |
|
|
$ |
5,008 |
|
|
$ |
1,776 |
|
|
$ |
1,780 |
|
Interest cost |
|
|
6,664 |
|
|
|
6,032 |
|
|
|
2,358 |
|
|
|
2,224 |
|
Expected return on plan assets |
|
|
(9,610 |
) |
|
|
(8,740 |
) |
|
|
(1,882 |
) |
|
|
(1,608 |
) |
Recognized net actuarial loss |
|
|
228 |
|
|
|
126 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
52 |
|
Amortization
of transition obligation |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
142 |
|
|
|
142 |
|
Amortization of prior service cost |
|
|
342 |
|
|
|
282 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net periodic benefit cost |
|
$ |
1,696 |
|
|
$ |
2,708 |
|
|
$ |
2,394 |
|
|
$ |
2,590 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
17
We previously disclosed in our financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2007 that we
expected to contribute approximately $9.3 million and $3.0 million, respectively, to our pension
and postretirement plans in 2008. Consistent with prior years, as of June 30,
2008, none of these contributions have been made, but we expect to make these contributions in
2008.
Note 10 Shareholders equity
In March 2008 we completed the public offering and sale of 42,933,333 shares of our common stock at
a price of $11.25 per share. We received net proceeds of approximately $460 million, after
deducting underwriting discount and estimated offering expenses. The number of shares and proceeds
reflect the exercise in full of the underwriters option to purchase additional shares of common
stock. Of the 42.9 million shares of common stock sold, 7.1 million were newly issued shares and
35.8 million were common shares issued out of treasury. The cost of the treasury shares issued
exceeded the proceeds from the sale by approximately $1.6 billion, which resulted in a deficiency.
The deficiency was charged to paid-in capital related to previous treasury share transactions, and
the remainder was charged to retained earnings.
A portion of the net proceeds of the offering along with the net proceeds of the debentures (see
Note 3) was used to increase the capital of MGIC, our principal insurance subsidiary, in order to
enable us to expand the volume of our new insurance written and a portion will also be used for our
general corporate purposes.
In June 2008 our shareholders approved an amendment to our Articles of Incorporation that will
increase the number of authorized shares of common stock from 300 million to 460 million.
18
ITEM 2. MANAGEMENTS DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
Overview
Through our subsidiary MGIC, we are the leading provider of private mortgage insurance in the
United States to the home mortgage lending industry. Our principal products are primary mortgage
insurance and pool mortgage insurance. Primary mortgage insurance may be written through the flow
market channel, in which loans are insured in individual, loan-by-loan transactions. Primary
mortgage insurance may also be written through the bulk market channel, in which portfolios of
loans are individually insured in single, bulk transactions.
As used below, we and our refer to MGIC Investment Corporations consolidated operations.
The discussion below should be read in conjunction with Managements Discussion and Analysis of
Financial Condition and Results of Operations in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended
December 31, 2007. We refer to this Discussion as the 10-K
MD&A. In the discussion below, we classify, in accordance
with industry practice, as full documentation loans
approved by GSE and other automated underwriting systems under
doc waiver programs that do not require verification of
borrower income. For additional information about such loans, see
footnote (3) to the delinquency table under Results of
Consolidated OperationsLossesLosses Incurred. The discussion of our business
in this document generally does not apply to our international operations which began in 2007, are
conducted only in Australia and are immaterial. The results of our operations in Australia are
included in the consolidated results disclosed. For additional information about our Australian
operations, see We may not be able to realize benefits from our international initiative in Item
I A. of Part II of this Report.
Outlook
We
believe the mortgage insurance industry will experience material losses on the 2006 and 2007 books. The ultimate amount of these losses will
depend in part on the direction of home prices in California, Florida and other distressed markets,
which in turn will be influenced by general economic conditions and other factors. Because we
cannot predict future home prices or general economic conditions with
confidence, we cannot predict with confidence
what our ultimate losses will be on our 2006 and 2007 books. Our current expectation, however, is
that these books will continue to generate material incurred and paid losses for a number of years.
Our view of potential losses on these books has trended upward since the first quarter of 2008 due
in part to the absence of improvement in the cure rate.
Recognizing that a risk-to-capital ratio does not differentiate between loans that have higher
and lower probabilities of loss, we have historically considered our risk-to-capital ratio to be an
important metric in assessing our financial strength and our ability to write new business. See
Liquidity and Capital ResourcesRisk-to-Capital. In recent years, our risk-to-capital ratio was
materially below 15:1. Historically, we viewed a risk-to-capital ratio of around 15:1 as an
optimal target ratio because we saw that level as striking an appropriate balance between
maintaining resources to pay claims that would be adequate in even the most draconian loss
scenarios; enabling us to write as much volume as could be generated in accordance with our
underwriting guidelines; and providing acceptable returns on our capital. In light of the current
loss environment and the extent of our claims paying resources (which are discussed below), we
believe a more appropriate risk-to-capital ratio for us is around 20:1.
19
We expect our risk-to-capital ratio will be materially below 20:1 for the remainder of 2008.
Depending on future losses, and with levels of new insurance written that are somewhat lower than
our projected volume for 2008, our risk-to-capital ratio could remain below 20:1 in 2009 and years
thereafter or could be moderately above 20:1 in 2009 and materially above that level in later
years. Due to this uncertainty, we are studying ways to mitigate this potential increase. These steps
encompass obtaining additional reinsurance, including on older books of pool insurance on which we
do not foresee material future losses but which consume relatively high amounts of capital, or
reducing our volume, although the amount of volume reduction that would provide material capital
relief could adversely affect our customer relationships. We cannot predict whether we will be
successful in these efforts. At this time, we are not exploring mitigation alternatives that
involve increasing our capital through sales of additional equity or debt securities.
The Office of the Commissioner of Insurance of Wisconsin is MGICs principal insurance
regulator. Wisconsins insurance regulations, which do not use a risk-to-capital ratio to assess a
mortgage guaranty insurers capital adequacy, require that a mortgage guaranty insurance company
maintain policyholders position of not less than a minimum computed under a formula.
Policyholders position is the insurers net worth, contingency reserve and a portion of the
reserves for unearned premiums, with credit given for authorized reinsurance. The minimum required
by the formula (MPP) depends on the insurance in force and whether the loans insured are primary
insurance or pool insurance and further depends on the LTV ratio of the individual loans and their
coverage percentage (and in the case of pool insurance, the amount of any deductible). If a
mortgage guaranty insurer does not meet MPP it cannot write new business until its policyholders
position meets the minimum. At June 30, 2008, we exceeded MPP by more than $2 billion. In severe
loss environments, we would have to take action to address a shortfall in MPP. The steps referred
to above that would mitigate a potential increase in our
risk-to-capital may also mitigate an
MPP shortfall.
We believe we have more than adequate resources to pay claims on our insurance in force, even
in scenarios in which losses materially exceed those that would result in an MPP shortfall. Our
claims paying resources principally consist of our investment portfolio, captive reinsurance trust
funds and future premiums on our insurance in force, net of premiums ceded to captive and other
reinsurers.
We also believe we will be in compliance with the terms of our $300 million bank credit
facility, under which $200 million is outstanding. This facility matures in March 2010.
General Business Environment
Please refer to our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007 for our
discussion of the general business environment. Except as discussed
elsewhere below, there have been no material changes to that
discussion.
Housing Legislation
In late July the Housing and Economic Recovery Act of 2008 was enacted. Included in this
legislation is the HOPE for Homeowners Act of 2008 which creates a new, temporary, voluntary
program within FHA to back FHA-insured mortgages to distressed borrowers. The
20
new mortgages offered by FHA-approved lenders will refinance the loans of distressed owner-occupants at risk of
losing their homes to foreclosure at significant discounts to the original value of the home.
There can be no assurance that this legislation will materially reduced the level of delinquencies
and claims we are currently experiencing or could experience in the future.
Also included in the Act is the Federal Housing Finance Regulatory Reform Act of 2008 which
establishes a new, independent, world class regulator for Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the Federal
Home Loan Banks. This regulator has been given broad authority to ensure the safety and soundness
of these entities, including the ability to establish new capital standards, restrict asset growth,
establish standards for portfolio risk management, and review and approve new product offerings.
There can be no assurance that any changes resulting from the implementation of this new regulatory
regime will not alter our relationship or ability to conduct business with the GSEs in a materially
adverse manner.
Factors Affecting Our Results
Our results of operations are affected by:
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Premiums written and earned |
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|
Premiums written and earned in a year are influenced by: |
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|
New insurance written, which increases the size of the in force book of insurance,
is the aggregate principal amount of the mortgages that are insured during a period.
Many factors affect new insurance written, including the volume of low down payment
home mortgage originations and competition to provide credit enhancement on those
mortgages, including competition from other mortgage insurers and alternatives to
mortgage insurance. |
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|
Cancellations, which reduce the size of the in force book of insurance that
generates premiums. Cancellations due to refinancings are affected by the level of
current mortgage interest rates compared to the mortgage coupon rates throughout the in
force book, as well as by current home values compared to values when the loans in the
in force book became insured. |
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|
Premium rates, which are affected by the risk characteristics of the loans insured
and the percentage of coverage on the loans. |
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|
Premiums ceded to reinsurance subsidiaries of certain mortgage lenders (captives)
and risk sharing arrangements with the GSEs. |
Premiums are generated by the insurance that is in force during all or a portion of the
period. Hence, changes in the average insurance in force in the current period compared to an
earlier period is a factor that will increase (when the average in force is higher) or reduce (when
it is lower) premiums written and earned in the current period, although this effect may be enhanced
(or mitigated) by differences in the average premium rate between the two periods as well as by
premiums that are ceded to captives. Also, new insurance written and cancellations during a period
will generally have a greater effect on premiums written and earned in subsequent periods than in
the period in which these events occur.
21
Our investment portfolio is comprised almost entirely of fixed income securities rated A or
higher. The principal factors that influence investment income are the size of the portfolio and
its yield. As measured by amortized cost (which excludes changes in fair market value, such as from
changes in interest rates), the size of the investment portfolio is mainly a function of cash
generated from (or used in) operations, such as investment earnings and claim payments, less cash
used for non-operating activities, such as share repurchases. Realized gains and losses are a
function of the difference between the amount received on sale of a security and the securitys
amortized cost. The amount received on sale of fixed income securities is affected by the coupon
rate of the security compared to the yield of comparable securities at the time of sale.
Losses incurred are the current expense that reflects estimated payments that will ultimately
be made as a result of delinquencies on insured loans. As explained under Critical Accounting
Policies, in the 10-K MD&A, except in the case of premium deficiency reserves, we recognize an
estimate of this expense only for delinquent loans. Losses incurred are generally affected by:
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|
The state of the economy and housing values, each of which affects the likelihood
that loans will become delinquent and whether loans that are delinquent cure their
delinquency. The level of delinquencies has historically followed a seasonal pattern,
with a reduction in delinquencies in the first part of the year, followed by an
increase in the latter part of the year. However, although this pattern has continued,
the default inventory has increased each quarter since the second quarter of 2007
because the seasonal pattern has been more than offset by the development of the 2006
and 2007 books of business. |
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The product mix of the in force book, with loans having higher risk characteristics
generally resulting in higher delinquencies and claims. |
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The size of loans insured. Higher average loan amounts tend to increase losses
incurred. |
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The percentage of coverage on insured loans. Deeper average coverage tends to
increase incurred losses. |
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Changes in housing values, which affect our ability to mitigate our losses through
sales of properties with delinquent mortgages as well as borrower willingness to
continue to make mortgage payments when the value of the home is below the mortgage
balance. |
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|
The distribution of claims over the life of a book. Historically, the first two
years after a loan is originated are a period of relatively low claims, with claims
increasing substantially for several years subsequent and then declining, although persistency, the
condition of the economy and other factors can affect this pattern. |
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Changes in premium deficiency reserves |
22
Each quarter, we recalculate the premium deficiency reserve on the remaining Wall Street bulk
insurance in force. The premium deficiency reserve primarily changes from quarter to quarter as a
result of two factors. First, it changes as the actual premiums, losses and expenses that were
previously estimated are recognized. Each period such items are reflected in our financial
statements as earned premium, losses incurred and expenses. The difference between the amount and
timing of actual earned premiums, losses incurred and expenses and our previous estimates used to
establish the premium deficiency reserves has an effect (either positive or negative) on that
periods results. Second, the premium deficiency reserve changes as our assumptions relating to
the present value of expected future premiums, losses and expenses on the remaining Wall Street
bulk insurance in force change. Changes to these assumptions also have an effect on that periods
results.
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Underwriting and other expenses |
The majority of our operating expenses are fixed, with some variability due to contract
underwriting volume. Contract underwriting generates fee income included in Other revenue.
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Income (loss) from joint ventures |
Our results of operations are also affected by the results of our joint ventures, which are
accounted for under the equity method. Historically, joint venture income principally consisted of
the aggregate results of our investment in two less than majority owned joint ventures,
Credit-Based Asset Servicing and Securitization LLC, C-BASS, and Sherman Financial Group LLC. In
2007, joint venture losses included an impairment charge equal to our entire equity interest in
C-BASS, as well as equity losses incurred by C-BASS in the fourth quarter that reduced the carrying
value of our $50 million note from C-BASS to zero. As a result, beginning in the first quarter of
2008, our joint venture income principally consists of income from Sherman.
At the time this Quarterly Report was finalized we were seeking to finalize a definitive
agreement for a transaction with Sherman under which Sherman could acquire our entire interest in
Sherman. There can be no assurances that we will enter into a definitive agreement on this sale or
if we do that the transaction will close.
Sherman: Sherman is principally engaged in purchasing and collecting for its own account
delinquent consumer receivables, which are primarily unsecured, and in originating and servicing
subprime credit card receivables. The borrowings used to finance these activities are included in
Shermans balance sheet. During the second and third quarters of 2007 Sherman acquired several
portfolios of performing subprime second mortgages for an approximate aggregate purchase price of
$415 million.
Shermans consolidated results of operations are primarily affected by:
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Revenues from delinquent receivable portfolios
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23
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These revenues are the cash collections on the portfolios, and depend on the aggregate
amount of delinquent receivables owned by Sherman, the type of receivable and the length of
time that the receivable has been owned by Sherman. |
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Amortization of delinquent receivable portfolios |
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|
Amortization is the recovery of the cost to purchase the receivable portfolios. Amortization
expense is a function of estimated collections from the portfolios over their estimated
lives. If estimated collections cannot be reasonably predicted, cost is fully recovered
before any net revenue, calculated as the difference between revenues from a receivable
portfolio and that portfolios amortization, is recognized. |
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Credit card interest and fees, along with the related provision for losses for
uncollectible amounts. |
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Costs of collection, which include servicing fees paid to third parties to collect
receivables. |
C-BASS: In 2007, C-BASS ceased its operations and is managing its portfolio pursuant to a
consensual, non-bankruptcy restructuring, under which its assets are to be paid out over time to
its secured and unsecured creditors.
Mortgage Insurance Earnings and Cash Flow Cycle
In our industry, a book is the group of loans that a mortgage insurer insures in a
particular calendar year. In general, the majority of any underwriting profit (premium revenue
minus losses) that a book generates occurs in the early years of the book, with the largest portion
of any underwriting profit realized in the first year. Subsequent years of a book generally result
in modest underwriting profit or underwriting losses. This pattern of results typically occurs
because relatively few of the claims that a book will ultimately experience typically occur in the
first few years of the book, when premium revenue is highest, while subsequent years are affected
by declining premium revenues, as the number of insured loans decreases (primarily due to loan
prepayments), and losses increase.
2008 Second Quarter Results
Our results of operations in the second quarter of 2008 were principally affected by:
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Premiums written and earned |
Premiums written and earned during the second quarter of 2008 increased compared to the same
period in 2007. The increase in premiums resulted from the continued increase in the average
insurance in force; however the effect of the higher in force has been somewhat offset by lower
average premium yields due to a shift in the mix of new writings to loans with
lower loan-to-value ratios, higher FICO scores and full documentation, which carry lower
premium rates.
24
Investment income in the second quarter of 2008 was higher when compared to the same period in
2007 due to an increase in the average amortized cost of invested assets, offset by a decrease in
the pre-tax yield.
Losses incurred for the second quarter of 2008 significantly increased compared to the same
period in 2007 primarily due to a significant increase in the default inventory as well as an
increase in the estimates regarding how much will be paid on claims, or severity, when compared to
the same period in 2007. The default inventory increased by approximately 14,600 delinquencies in
the second quarter of 2008, compared to an increase of approximately 4,500 in the second quarter of
2007. The increase in estimated severity was primarily the result of the default inventory
containing higher loan exposures with expected higher average claim payments as well as our
inability to mitigate losses through the sale of properties due to slowing home price appreciation
or home price declines in some areas.
During the second quarter of 2008 the premium deficiency reserve on Wall Street bulk
transactions declined by $159 million from $947 million, as of March 31, 2008, to $788 million as
of June 30, 2008. The $788 million premium deficiency reserve as of June 30, 2008 reflects the
present value of expected future losses and expenses that exceeded the present value of expected
future premium and already established loss reserves.
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Underwriting and other expenses |
Underwriting and other expenses for the second quarter of 2008 decreased when compared to the
same period in 2007. The decrease is primarily due to lower accrued employee compensation costs
and non insurance expenses.
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Income from joint ventures |
Income from joint ventures decreased in the second quarter of 2008 compared to the same period
in 2007. The decrease was primarily due to no equity earnings related to C-BASS in the second
quarter of 2008, compared to $23.2 million in the same period last year. Our decrease was also due
to a decrease in equity earnings from Sherman, resulting from a decrease in our ownership
percentage from approximately 41% during the second quarter of 2007 to approximately 24% during the
second quarter of 2008.
25
Results of Consolidated Operations
As discussed under Forward Looking Statements and Risk Factors below, actual results may
differ materially from the results contemplated by forward looking statements. We are not
undertaking any obligation to update any forward looking statements or other statements we may make
in the following discussion or elsewhere in this document even though these statements may be
affected by events or circumstances occurring after the forward looking statements or other
statements were made. Therefore no reader of this document should rely on these statements being
accurate as of any time other than the time at which this document was filed with the Securities
and Exchange Commission.
New insurance written
The amount of our primary new insurance written during the three and six months ended June 30,
2008 and 2007 was as follows:
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Three Months Ended |
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Six Months Ended |
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June 30, |
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June 30, |
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2008 |
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2007 |
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2008 |
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2007 |
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($ billions) |
|
NIW Flow Channel |
|
$ |
13.4 |
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$ |
17.3 |
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$ |
31.5 |
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$ |
27.7 |
|
NIW Bulk Channel |
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|
0.6 |
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1.7 |
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1.6 |
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4.0 |
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Total Primary NIW |
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$ |
14.0 |
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$ |
19.0 |
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$ |
33.1 |
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$ |
31.7 |
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Refinance volume as a % of primary
flow NIW |
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26 |
% |
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23 |
% |
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31 |
% |
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24 |
% |
The decrease in new insurance written on a flow basis in the second quarter of 2008, compared
to the same period in 2007, was primarily due to changes in our underwriting guidelines discussed
below. The higher volume of new insurance written on a flow basis in the first half of 2008,
compared to the same period in 2007, was primarily due to the level of new insurance written in the
first quarter of 2008 prior to our underwriting guideline changes. For a discussion of new
insurance written through the bulk channel, see Bulk transactions below.
Despite the increased volume of new insurance written in the first half of 2008, we anticipate
our flow new insurance written for the full year 2008 to be significantly below the level written
in 2007, due to changes in our underwriting guidelines discussed
below as well as premium rate increases that are being implemented in
the third quarter of 2008. Our level of new insurance
written could also be affected by other items, as noted in our Risk Factors, which are an integral
part of this Managements Discussion and Analysis.
As
we had disclosed for some time in our Risk Factors, the percentage of our volume written
on a flow basis that includes segments we view as having a higher probability of claim continued to
increase through 2007. In particular, the percentage of our flow new insurance written with
loan-to-value ratios greater than 95% grew to 42% in 2007, compared to 34% in 2006. For the
second quarter of 2008 the percentage of our flow new insurance written with loan-to-value
ratios greater than 95% declined to 15%, compared to 45% for the same period a year ago. For the
first half of 2008 the percentage with loan-to-value ratios greater than 95% was 24%, compared to
43% for the first half of 2007.
26
We continue to implement changes to our underwriting guidelines that are designed to improve
the credit risk profile of our new insurance written. The changes primarily affect borrowers who
have multiple risk factors such as a high loan-to-value ratio, a lower FICO score and limited
documentation or are financing a home in a market we categorize as higher risk. We are also
implementing premium rate increases. Several underwriting guidelines and premium rate changes were
implemented in the first half of 2008, although a significant portion of our new business in the
first quarter of 2008 was committed to prior to the effective date of these changes.
Cancellations and insurance in force
New insurance written and cancellations of primary insurance in force during the three and six
months ended June 30, 2008 and 2007 were as follows:
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Three Months Ended |
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Six Months Ended |
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June 30, |
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June 30, |
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2008 |
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2007 |
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2008 |
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2007 |
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($ billions) |
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|
NIW |
|
$ |
14.0 |
|
|
$ |
19.0 |
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|
$ |
33.1 |
|
|
$ |
31.7 |
|
Cancellations |
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|
(9.0 |
) |
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(11.2 |
) |
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(18.4 |
) |
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(22.1 |
) |
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Change in primary insurance
in force |
|
$ |
5.0 |
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|
$ |
7.8 |
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|
$ |
14.7 |
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|
$ |
9.6 |
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Direct primary insurance in force was $226.4 billion at June 30, 2008 compared to $211.7
billion at December 31, 2007 and $186.1 billion at June 30, 2007.
As shown in the table above, in the second quarter of 2008, insurance in force increased $5.0
billion. This was the ninth consecutive quarter of growth, which was preceded by a period of 13
consecutive quarters, during 2003 through the first quarter of 2006, in which our insurance in
force declined.
Cancellation activity has historically been affected by the level of mortgage interest rates
and the level of home price appreciation. Cancellations generally move inversely to the change in
the direction of interest rates, although they generally lag a change in direction. Our persistency
rate (percentage of insurance remaining in force from one year prior) was 79.7% at June 30, 2008,
an increase from 76.4% at December 31, 2007 and 72.0% at June 30, 2007. These persistency rate
improvements reflect the more restrictive credit policies of lenders (which make it more difficult
to refinance loans), as well as the declining rate of home price appreciation in some markets and
declines in housing values in other markets.
27
Bulk transactions
New insurance written for bulk transactions was $0.6 billion and $1.6 billion, respectively,
for the second quarter and first six months of 2008 compared to $1.7 billion and $4.0 billion,
respectively, for the second quarter and first six months of 2007. The decrease in bulk writings
was primarily due to our decision in the fourth quarter of 2007 to stop insuring Wall Street bulk
transactions. The majority of the bulk business in the first half of 2008 was lender paid
transactions that included high quality prime loans and the remainder was bulk business with the
GSEs, which also included prime loans. We expect new insurance written for bulk transactions in
2008 and thereafter to be significantly lower than the $16.0 billion average volume written through
the bulk channel during the last three years. Wall Street bulk transactions represented
approximately 41%, 66% and 89% of our new insurance written for bulk transactions during 2007, 2006
and 2005, respectively, and at June 30, 2008 included approximately 129,900 loans with insurance in
force of approximately $22.0 billion and risk in force of approximately $6.5 billion, which is
approximately 65% of our bulk risk in force.
Pool insurance
In addition to providing primary insurance coverage, we also insure pools of mortgage loans.
New pool risk written during the three months ended June 30, 2008 and 2007 was $44 million and $45
million, respectively. Our direct pool risk in force was $2.4 billion, $2.8 billion and $3.0
billion at June 30, 2008, December 31, 2007 and June 30, 2007, respectively. These risk amounts
represent pools of loans with contractual aggregate loss limits and in some cases those without
these limits. For pools of loans without these limits, risk is estimated based on the amount that
would credit enhance the loans in the pool to a AA level based on a rating agency model. Under
this model, at June 30, 2008, December 31, 2007 and June 30, 2007, for $2.8 billion, $4.1 billion
and $4.3 billion, respectively, of risk without these limits, risk in force is calculated at $306
million, $475 million and $474 million, respectively. For the three months ended June 30, 2008 and
2007 for $9 million and $7 million, respectively, of risk without contractual aggregate loss
limits, new risk written under this model was $0.4 million and $0.4 million, respectively.
New pool risk written during the six months ended June 30, 2008 and 2007 was $101 million and
$87 million, respectively. Under the model described above, for the six months ended June 30, 2008
and 2007 for $22 million and $15 million, respectively, of risk without contractual aggregate loss
limits, new risk written during those periods was calculated at $0.9 million and $0.7 million,
respectively.
Net premiums written and earned
Net premiums written and earned during the second quarter and first six months of 2008
increased compared to the same periods in 2007. The average insurance in force continued to
increase, however the effect of the higher in force has been somewhat offset by lower average
premium yields due to a shift in the mix of new writings to loans with lower loan-to-
value ratios, higher FICO scores and full documentation, which carry lower premium rates. We
expect our average insurance in force to continue to be higher in 2008, compared to 2007, with our
insurance in force balance to begin to stabilize through the remainder of 2008. We believe the
anticipated decrease in the total mortgage origination market will be partially offset by our
expectation that private mortgage insurance will be used on a greater percentage of mortgage
originations, although private mortgage insurance penetration could be negatively impacted by usage
of FHA insurance programs.
28
Despite our premium rate increases, we expect our premium yields to continue to be lower in
2008, compared to 2007, due to the fact that we are no longer insuring Wall Street Bulk
transactions and, as a result of our underwriting changes, we will be insuring fewer loans with
loan-to-value ratios greater than 95%, loans classified as A-minus and reduced documentation loans,
which carry higher premium rates.
Risk sharing arrangements
For the three months ended March 31, 2008, approximately 44.7% of our flow new insurance
written was subject to arrangements with captives or risk sharing arrangements with the GSEs
compared to 47.7% for the year ended December 31, 2007 and 49.7% for the three months ended June
30, 2007. The percentage of new insurance written covered by these arrangements is shown only for
the period ended March 31, 2008 because this percentage normally increases after the end of a
quarter. Such increases can be caused by, among other things, the transfer of a loan in the
secondary market, which can result in a mortgage insured during a quarter becoming part of a risk
sharing arrangement in a subsequent quarter. New insurance written through the bulk channel is not
subject to risk sharing arrangements. Premiums ceded in these arrangements are reported in the
period in which they are ceded regardless of when the mortgage was insured.
On February 14, 2008 Freddie Mac announced that effective on and after June 1, 2008, Freddie
Mac-approved private mortgage insurers, including MGIC, may not cede new risk if the gross risk or
gross premium ceded to captive reinsurers is greater than 25%. Freddie Mac stated that it made this
change to allow mortgage insurers to retain more insurance premiums to pay current claims and
rebuild their capital bases. Fannie Mae informed us on February 26, 2008 that it was making similar
changes to its requirements. Effective June 1, 2008, we have made the appropriate changes to the
terms of our arrangements with those captives that had exceeded the 25% limit.
During 2008, a number of lenders either terminated their captive arrangements with us (in a
termination, the arrangement is cancelled, with no future premium ceded and funds for any incurred
but unpaid losses transferred to MGIC) or placed them into run-off (in a run-off, no new loans are
reinsured by the captive but loans previously reinsured continue to be covered, with premium and
losses continuing to be ceded on those loans). Together, the captives terminated or placed into
run-off represented 17.1% of our flow new insurance written that was subject to captive
arrangements in 2007. We anticipate that additional lenders may decide to terminate their captive
arrangements with us or place them into run-off.
See discussion under -Losses regarding losses assumed by captives.
In June 2008 we entered into a reinsurance agreement with an affiliate of HCC Insurance
Holdings, Inc. The reinsurance agreement is effective on the risk associated with up to $50 billion
of qualifying new insurance written each calendar year. The term of the reinsurance agreement
begins April 1, 2008 and ends on December 31, 2010, subject to two one-year extensions that may be
exercised by HCC. We believe that substantially all of our insurance written subsequent to April 1,
2008 will qualify under the reinsurance agreement.
29
The reinsurance agreement is expected to provide claims-paying resources in catastrophic loss
environments for insurance written beginning April 1, 2008.
The agreement is accounted for under deposit accounting rather than reinsurance accounting,
because under the guidance of SFAS 113 Accounting for Reinsurance Contracts, we concluded that
the reinsurance agreement does not result in the reasonable possibility that the reinsurer will
suffer a significant loss. The premium ceded to the reinsurer and the brokerage commission paid to
an affiliate of the reinsurer, net of a profit commission to us, is recorded as reinsurance fee
expense on our statement of operations. In non-catastrophic loss environments, we expect the net
expense will be approximately 5% of premiums earned, net of premiums ceded under captive
arrangements, on business covered by the agreement. The reinsurance fee for the second quarter of
2008 is separately shown in the statements of operations.
Investment income
Investment income for the second quarter and first six months of 2008 increased when compared
to the same periods in 2007 due to an increase in the average amortized cost of invested assets,
offset by a decrease in the average investment yield. The portfolios average pre-tax investment
yield was 3.87% at June 30, 2008 and 4.59% at June 30, 2007. The portfolios average after-tax
investment yield was 3.46% at June 30, 2008 and 4.13% at June 30, 2007. Assuming shorter-term
yields remain at their current levels, we expect the investment yield will continue to decline
because we are investing available funds in shorter maturities so that they will be available for
claim payments without the need to obtain the necessary funds through sales of fixed income
investments.
Realized losses
Realized losses for the second quarter and first six months of 2008 included other than
temporary impairments on our investment portfolio of approximately $8.5 million. There were no
other than temporary impairments in the second quarter or first six months of 2007.
Other revenue
Other revenue for the second quarter and first six months of 2008 decreased when compared to
the same periods in 2007. The decrease in other revenue was primarily the result of other
non-insurance operations.
Losses
As discussed in Critical Accounting Policies in the 10-K MD&A, and consistent with
industry practices, we establish loss reserves for future claims only for loans that are currently
delinquent. The terms delinquent and default are used interchangeably by us and are defined as
an insured loan with a mortgage payment that is 45 days or more past due. Loss reserves are
established by our estimate of the number of loans in our inventory of delinquent loans that will
not cure their delinquency and thus result in a claim, which is referred to as the claim rate
(historically, a substantial majority of delinquent loans have eventually cured, see
30
discussion below regarding the current increase in the rate at which delinquent loans go to claim), and
further estimating the amount that we will pay in claims on the loans that do not cure, which is
referred to as claim severity. Estimation of losses that we will pay in the future is inherently
judgmental. The conditions that affect the claim rate and claim severity include the current and
future state of the domestic economy and the current and future strength of local housing markets.
Current conditions in the housing and mortgage industries make these assumptions more volatile than
they would otherwise be.
Losses incurred
Losses incurred for the second quarter of 2008 significantly increased compared to the same
period in 2007 primarily due to a significant increase in the default inventory as well as an
increase in the estimates regarding how much will be paid on claims, or severity, when compared to
the same period in 2007. The default inventory increased by approximately 14,600 delinquencies in
the second quarter of 2008, compared to an increase of approximately 4,500 in the second quarter of
2007.
Losses incurred for the first six months of 2008 significantly increased compared to the same
period in 2007 primarily due to increases in the default inventory and estimates regarding how many
delinquencies will result in a claim, or claim rate, and severity, when each of these items is
compared to the same period in 2007. The default inventory increased by approximately 21,100
delinquencies in the first six months of 2008, compared to an increase of approximately 2,000 in
the first six months of 2007.
Our loss estimates are established based upon historical experience. The increase in estimated
severity in the second quarter and first six months of 2008 was primarily the result of the default
inventory containing higher loan exposures with expected higher average claim payments as well as
our inability to mitigate losses through the sale of properties in some geographical areas due to
slowing home price appreciation or declines in home values. We continue to experience increases in
delinquencies in certain markets with higher than average loan balances, such as Florida and
California. In California we have experienced an increase in delinquencies, from 6,900 as of
December 31, 2007 to 8,500 as of March 31, 2008 and 10,200 as of June 30, 2008. Our Florida
delinquencies increased from 12,500 as of December 31, 2007 to 15,600 as of March 31, 2008 and
19,400 as of June 30, 2008. The average claim paid on California loans was more than twice as high
as the average claim paid for the remainder of the country. The increase in the estimated claim
rate is due to increases in the claim rates across the country. Certain markets such as California,
Florida, Nevada and Arizona have experienced more significant increases in claim rates.
We believe that the foregoing trends could continue throughout 2008, resulting in a higher
level of incurred losses in 2008, compared to 2007. These trends may also continue beyond 2008.
As discussed under Risk Sharing Arrangements a portion of our flow new insurance written
is subject to reinsurance arrangements with captives. The majority of these reinsurance
arrangements are aggregate excess of loss reinsurance agreements, and the remainder are quota share
agreements. Under the aggregate excess of loss agreements, we are responsible for the first
aggregate layer of loss, which is typically between 4% and 5%, the captives are responsible for the
second aggregate layer of loss, which is typically 5% or 10%, and we are responsible for any
remaining loss. The layers are typically expressed as a
31
percentage of the original risk on an
annual book of business reinsured by the captive. The premium cessions on these agreements
typically ranged from 25% to 40% of the direct premium. Under a quota share arrangement premiums
and losses are shared on a pro-rata basis between us and the captives, with the captives portion
of both premiums and losses typically ranging from 25% to 50%. As noted under Risk Sharing
Arrangements based on changes to the GSE requirements, beginning June 1, 2008 our captive
arrangements, both aggregate excess of loss and quota share, are limited to a 25% cede rate.
Under these agreements the captives are required to maintain a separate trust account, of
which we are the sole beneficiary. Premiums ceded to a captive are deposited in the applicable
trust account to support the captives layer of insured risk. These amounts are held in the trust
account and are available to pay reinsured losses. The captives ultimate liability is limited to
the assets in the trust account. When specific time periods are met and the individual trust
account balance has reached a required level, then the individual captive may make authorized
withdrawals from its applicable trust account. In most cases, the captives are also allowed to
withdraw funds from the trust account to pay verifiable federal income taxes and operational
expenses. Conversely, if the account balance falls below certain thresholds, the individual captive
may be required to contribute funds to the trust account. However, in most cases, our sole remedy
if a captive does not contribute such funds is to put the captive into run-off, in which case no
new business would be ceded to the captive. The total fair value of the trust fund assets under
these agreements at June 30, 2008 exceeded $730 million.
In the second quarter and first six months of 2008 the captive arrangements reduced our losses
incurred by approximately $90 million and $148 million, respectively. We anticipate that the
reduction in losses incurred will continue at this level or higher in the second half of 2008.
Information about the composition of the primary insurance default inventory at June 30, 2008,
December 31, 2007 and June 30, 2007 appears in the table below.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
June 30, |
|
December 31, |
|
June 30, |
|
|
2008 |
|
2007 |
|
2007 |
Total loans delinquent (1) |
|
|
128,231 |
|
|
|
107,120 |
|
|
|
80,588 |
|
Percentage of loans delinquent (default rate) |
|
|
8.60 |
% |
|
|
7.45 |
% |
|
|
6.11 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Prime loans delinquent (2) |
|
|
60,505 |
|
|
|
49,333 |
|
|
|
36,712 |
|
Percentage of prime loans delinquent (default rate) |
|
|
5.01 |
% |
|
|
4.33 |
% |
|
|
3.58 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
A-minus loans delinquent (2) |
|
|
24,859 |
|
|
|
22,863 |
|
|
|
17,943 |
|
Percentage of A-minus loans delinquent (default rate) |
|
|
21.80 |
% |
|
|
19.20 |
% |
|
|
16.18 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Subprime credit loans delinquent (2) |
|
|
12,425 |
|
|
|
12,915 |
|
|
|
11,679 |
|
Percentage of subprime credit loans delinquent (default rate) |
|
|
36.59 |
% |
|
|
34.08 |
% |
|
|
28.03 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reduced documentation loans delinquent (3) |
|
|
30,442 |
|
|
|
22,009 |
|
|
|
14,254 |
|
Percentage of reduced doc loans delinquent (default rate) |
|
|
22.51 |
% |
|
|
15.48 |
% |
|
|
10.17 |
% |
|
|
|
(1) |
|
At June 30, 2008 and December 31, 2007, 41,312 and 39,704 loans in default, respectively,
related to Wall Street bulk transactions. |
32
|
|
|
(2) |
|
We define prime loans as those having FICO credit scores of 620 or greater, A-minus loans as
those having FICO credit scores of 575-619, and subprime credit loans as those having FICO credit
scores of less than 575, all as reported to us at the time a commitment to insure is issued. Most
A-minus and subprime credit loans were written through the bulk channel. |
|
(3) |
|
In accordance with industry practice, loans approved by GSE and other automated underwriting
(AU) systems under doc waiver programs that do not require verification of borrower income are
classified by MGIC as full documentation. Based in part on information provided by the GSEs,
MGIC estimates full documentation loans of this type were approximately 4% of 2007 NIW. Information
for other periods is not available. MGIC understands these AU systems grant such doc waivers for
loans they judge to have higher credit quality. To the extent the percentage of loans judged to
have higher credit quality increases, the percentage of such doc waivers would also be expected to
increase. |
In the second quarter of 2008 a large servicer changed their methodology for reporting
delinquencies to us and the industry for loans greater than 12 months old. Under the new
methodology this servicer is now reporting delinquencies to us sooner than they had historically
and is now reporting consistent with substantially all other servicers. As a result of this change
the servicer reported approximately 4,400 more delinquencies to us in the second quarter; which
represented 30% of our total increase in delinquencies for the quarter. Because our reserves for
estimated losses include loans that are delinquent but not yet reported to us by servicers within
our incurred but not reported, or IBNR reserves, this change by the servicer did not have any
effect on our overall loss reserves.
The pool notice inventory increased from 25,224 at December 31, 2007 to 25,577 at June 30,
2008; the pool notice inventory was 20,781 at June 30, 2007.
The average primary claim paid for the second quarter of 2008 was $53,282 compared to $33,229
for the same period in 2007. The average primary claim paid for the first six months of 2008 was
$52,234 compared to $32,068 for the same period in 2007. We expect the average primary claim paid
to continue to increase in 2008 and beyond. We expect these increases will be driven by our higher
average insured loan sizes as well as decreases in our ability to mitigate losses through the sale
of properties in some geographical regions, as certain housing markets, like California and
Florida, become less favorable.
The average claim paid for the top 5 states (based on 2008 losses paid) for the three and six
months ended June 30, 2008 and 2007 appears in the table below.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three months ended |
|
|
Six months ended |
|
|
|
June 30, |
|
|
une 30, |
|
Average claim paid for the top 5 states |
|
2008 |
|
|
2007 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2007 |
|
California |
|
$ |
117,843 |
|
|
$ |
71,344 |
|
|
$ |
116,920 |
|
|
$ |
67,914 |
|
Florida |
|
|
70,463 |
|
|
|
39,698 |
|
|
|
70,433 |
|
|
|
36,820 |
|
Michigan |
|
|
37,335 |
|
|
|
35,972 |
|
|
|
37,244 |
|
|
|
34,638 |
|
Ohio |
|
|
33,468 |
|
|
|
31,726 |
|
|
|
34,009 |
|
|
|
31,262 |
|
Arizona |
|
|
74,437 |
|
|
|
44,196 |
|
|
|
73,497 |
|
|
|
36,530 |
|
Other states |
|
|
43,140 |
|
|
|
31,277 |
|
|
|
42,687 |
|
|
|
30,586 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
All states |
|
$ |
53,282 |
|
|
$ |
33,229 |
|
|
$ |
52,234 |
|
|
$ |
32,068 |
|
33
The average loan size of our insurance in force at June 30, 2008, December 31, 2007 and June
30, 2007 appears in the table below.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
June 30, |
|
December 31, |
|
June 30, |
Average loan size |
|
2008 |
|
2007 |
|
2007 |
Total insurance in force |
|
$ |
151,770 |
|
|
$ |
147,308 |
|
|
$ |
141,160 |
|
Prime (FICO 620 & >) |
|
|
147,880 |
|
|
|
141,690 |
|
|
|
133,790 |
|
A-Minus (FICO 575-619) |
|
|
133,410 |
|
|
|
133,460 |
|
|
|
130,780 |
|
Subprime (FICO < 575) |
|
|
122,750 |
|
|
|
124,530 |
|
|
|
127,210 |
|
Reduced doc (All FICOs) |
|
|
209,380 |
|
|
|
209,990 |
|
|
|
207,530 |
|
The average loan size of our insurance in force at June 30, 2008, December 31, 2007 and June
30, 2007 for the top 5 states (based on 2008 losses paid) appears in the table below.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
June 30, |
|
December 31, |
|
June 30, |
Average loan size |
|
2008 |
|
2007 |
|
2007 |
California |
|
$ |
294,085 |
|
|
$ |
291,578 |
|
|
$ |
282,845 |
|
Florida |
|
|
180,218 |
|
|
|
178,063 |
|
|
|
171,549 |
|
Michigan |
|
|
120,466 |
|
|
|
119,428 |
|
|
|
118,100 |
|
Ohio |
|
|
114,952 |
|
|
|
113,276 |
|
|
|
111,374 |
|
Arizona |
|
|
189,896 |
|
|
|
185,518 |
|
|
|
174,626 |
|
All other states |
|
|
146,024 |
|
|
|
141,297 |
|
|
|
135,118 |
|
Information about net paid claims during the three and six months ended June 30, 2008 and 2007
appears in the table below.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three months ended |
|
Six months ended |
|
|
June 30, |
|
June 30, |
Net paid claims ($ millions) |
|
2008 |
|
2007 |
|
2008 |
|
2007 |
Prime (FICO 620 & >) |
|
|
$ |
144 |
|
|
|
$ |
75 |
|
|
|
$ |
281 |
|
|
|
$ |
142 |
|
A-Minus (FICO 575-619) |
|
|
|
73 |
|
|
|
|
36 |
|
|
|
|
141 |
|
|
|
|
70 |
|
Subprime (FICO < 575) |
|
|
|
37 |
|
|
|
|
23 |
|
|
|
|
76 |
|
|
|
|
42 |
|
Reduced doc (All FICOs) |
|
|
|
116 |
|
|
|
|
32 |
|
|
|
|
223 |
|
|
|
|
58 |
|
Other |
|
|
|
24 |
|
|
|
|
24 |
|
|
|
|
49 |
|
|
|
|
48 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Direct losses paid |
|
|
|
394 |
|
|
|
|
190 |
|
|
|
|
770 |
|
|
|
|
360 |
|
Reinsurance |
|
|
|
(9 |
) |
|
|
|
(2 |
) |
|
|
|
(14 |
) |
|
|
|
(6 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net losses paid |
|
|
$ |
385 |
|
|
|
$ |
188 |
|
|
|
$ |
756 |
|
|
|
$ |
354 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
34
Primary claims paid for the top 15 states (based on 2008 losses paid) and all other states for
the three and six months ended June 30, 2008 and 2007 appear in the table below.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three months ended |
|
Six months ended |
|
|
June 30, |
|
June 30, |
Paid claims by state ($ millions) |
|
2008 |
|
2007 |
|
2008 |
|
2007 |
California |
|
$ |
92.2 |
|
|
$ |
8.6 |
|
|
$ |
174.1 |
|
|
$ |
12.5 |
|
Florida |
|
|
36.0 |
|
|
|
4.9 |
|
|
|
66.0 |
|
|
|
6.9 |
|
Michigan |
|
|
27.6 |
|
|
|
25.0 |
|
|
|
56.5 |
|
|
|
46.0 |
|
Ohio |
|
|
17.0 |
|
|
|
17.9 |
|
|
|
35.4 |
|
|
|
36.4 |
|
Arizona |
|
|
16.8 |
|
|
|
1.2 |
|
|
|
29.4 |
|
|
|
1.3 |
|
Georgia |
|
|
15.1 |
|
|
|
9.1 |
|
|
|
29.4 |
|
|
|
17.4 |
|
Illinois |
|
|
14.8 |
|
|
|
8.0 |
|
|
|
27.4 |
|
|
|
14.5 |
|
Texas |
|
|
12.4 |
|
|
|
11.6 |
|
|
|
25.8 |
|
|
|
25.7 |
|
Minnesota |
|
|
11.3 |
|
|
|
6.3 |
|
|
|
25.8 |
|
|
|
13.5 |
|
Nevada |
|
|
12.4 |
|
|
|
1.5 |
|
|
|
22.8 |
|
|
|
2.5 |
|
Colorado |
|
|
9.0 |
|
|
|
8.1 |
|
|
|
19.5 |
|
|
|
15.2 |
|
Massachusetts |
|
|
8.3 |
|
|
|
4.9 |
|
|
|
17.1 |
|
|
|
7.5 |
|
Virginia |
|
|
10.4 |
|
|
|
2.2 |
|
|
|
17.0 |
|
|
|
3.5 |
|
Indiana |
|
|
6.6 |
|
|
|
8.3 |
|
|
|
14.3 |
|
|
|
16.3 |
|
Maryland |
|
|
6.9 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
12.8 |
|
|
|
1.0 |
|
Other states |
|
|
73.2 |
|
|
|
48.3 |
|
|
|
147.7 |
|
|
|
91.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
370.0 |
|
|
|
166.0 |
|
|
|
721.0 |
|
|
|
312.0 |
|
Other (Pool, LAE, Reinsurance) |
|
|
15.0 |
|
|
|
22.0 |
|
|
|
35.0 |
|
|
|
42.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$ |
385.0 |
|
|
$ |
188.0 |
|
|
$ |
756.0 |
|
|
$ |
354.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
35
The default inventory in those same states at June 30, 2008, December 31, 2007 and June 30,
2007 appears in the table below.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
June 30, |
|
December 31, |
|
June 30, |
Default inventory by state |
|
2008 |
|
2007 |
|
2007 |
California |
|
|
10,225 |
|
|
|
6,925 |
|
|
|
4,163 |
|
Florida |
|
|
19,397 |
|
|
|
12,548 |
|
|
|
6,288 |
|
Michigan |
|
|
7,628 |
|
|
|
7,304 |
|
|
|
6,373 |
|
Ohio |
|
|
6,894 |
|
|
|
6,901 |
|
|
|
6,110 |
|
Arizona |
|
|
3,650 |
|
|
|
2,170 |
|
|
|
1,106 |
|
Georgia |
|
|
5,293 |
|
|
|
4,623 |
|
|
|
3,455 |
|
Illinois |
|
|
6,343 |
|
|
|
5,433 |
|
|
|
4,136 |
|
Texas |
|
|
7,261 |
|
|
|
7,103 |
|
|
|
5,916 |
|
Minnesota |
|
|
2,848 |
|
|
|
2,478 |
|
|
|
1,948 |
|
Nevada |
|
|
2,282 |
|
|
|
1,338 |
|
|
|
689 |
|
Colorado |
|
|
1,758 |
|
|
|
1,534 |
|
|
|
1,313 |
|
Massachusetts |
|
|
1,951 |
|
|
|
1,596 |
|
|
|
1,241 |
|
Virginia |
|
|
2,345 |
|
|
|
1,760 |
|
|
|
1,174 |
|
Indiana |
|
|
4,084 |
|
|
|
3,763 |
|
|
|
3,254 |
|
Maryland |
|
|
2,179 |
|
|
|
1,595 |
|
|
|
979 |
|
Other states |
|
|
44,093 |
|
|
|
40,049 |
|
|
|
32,443 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
128,231 |
|
|
|
107,120 |
|
|
|
80,588 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The rate at which claims are received and paid has slowed due to various state and lender
foreclosure moratoriums, servicing delays, fraud investigations by us, pursuit of mitigation
opportunities and a lack of capacity in the court systems. Net paid claims for the full year 2008
may still approximate $1.8 billion to $2.0 billion; however the claims paid in 2008 will likely be
at the lower end of this range due to the slower rate at which claims are currently being received
and paid.
As of June 30, 2008, 76% of our primary insurance in force was written subsequent to December
31, 2004. On our flow business, the highest claim frequency years have typically been the third and
fourth year after the year of loan origination. However, the pattern of claims frequency can be
affected by many factors, including low persistency and deteriorating economic conditions. Low
persistency can have the effect of accelerating the period in the life of a book during which the
highest claim frequency occurs. Deteriorating economic conditions can result in increasing claims
following a period of declining claims. On our bulk business, the period of highest claims
frequency has generally occurred earlier than in the historical pattern on our flow business.
Premium deficiency
During the second quarter of 2008 the premium deficiency reserve on Wall Street bulk
transactions declined by $159 million from $947 million, as of March 31, 2008, to $788 million as
of June 30, 2008. During the first six months of 2008 the premium deficiency reserve on Wall
Street bulk transaction declined by $423 million from $1,211 million as of December 31, 2007. The
$788 million premium deficiency reserve as of June 30, 2008 reflects the present
36
value of expected future losses and expenses that exceeded the present value of expected future
premium and already established loss reserves. As of June 30, 2008 there was no premium
deficiency related to the remainder of our in force business.
The components of the premium deficiency reserve at December 31, 2007, March 31, 2008 and June
30, 2008 appears in the table below.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
December 31, |
|
|
March 31, |
|
|
June 30, |
|
($ millions) |
|
2007 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2008 |
|
Present value of expected future premium |
|
$ |
901 |
|
|
$ |
874 |
|
|
$ |
829 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Present value of expected future paid losses
and expenses |
|
|
(3,561 |
) |
|
|
(3,397 |
) |
|
|
(3,263 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net present value of future cash flows |
|
|
(2,660 |
) |
|
|
(2,523 |
) |
|
|
(2,434 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Established loss reserves |
|
|
1,449 |
|
|
|
1,576 |
|
|
|
1,646 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net deficiency |
|
$ |
(1,211 |
) |
|
$ |
(947 |
) |
|
$ |
(788 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Each quarter, we recalculate the premium deficiency reserve on the remaining Wall Street bulk
insurance in force. The premium deficiency reserve primarily changes from quarter to quarter as a
result of two factors. First, it changes as the actual premiums, losses and expenses that were
previously estimated are recognized. Each period such items are reflected in our financial
statements as earned premium, losses incurred and expenses. The difference between the amount and
timing of actual earned premiums, losses incurred and expenses and our previous estimates used to
establish the premium deficiency reserves has an effect (either positive or negative) on that
periods results. Second, the premium deficiency reserve changes as our assumptions relating to
the present value of expected future premiums, losses and expenses on the remaining Wall Street
bulk insurance in force change. Changes to these assumptions also have an effect on that periods
results. During the first six months of 2008 there were no significant changes to the assumptions
used in calculating the premium deficiency reserve, when compared to December 31, 2007.
The calculation of premium deficiency reserves requires the use of significant judgments and
estimates to determine the present value of future premium and present value of expected losses and
expenses on our business. The present value of future premium relies on, among other things,
assumptions about persistency and repayment patterns on underlying loans. The present value of
expected losses and expenses depends on assumptions relating to severity of claims and claim rates
on current defaults, and expected defaults in future periods. Assumptions used in calculating the
deficiency reserves can be affected by volatility in the current housing and mortgage lending
industries. To the extent premium patterns and actual loss experience differ from the assumptions
used in calculating the premium deficiency reserves, the differences between the actual results and
our estimate will affect future period earnings.
37
As is the case with our loss reserves (See Critical Accounting Policies in our 10-K MD&A),
the severity of claims and claim rates, as well as persistency for the premium deficiency
calculation, are likely to be affected by external events, including actual economic
conditions. However, our estimation process does not include a correlation between these economic
conditions and our assumptions because it is our experience that an analysis of that nature would
not produce reliable results. In considering the potential sensitivity of the factors underlying
managements best estimate of premium deficiency reserves, it is possible that even a relatively
small change in estimated claim rate or a relatively small percentage change in estimated claim
amount could have a significant impact on the premium deficiency reserve and, correspondingly, on
our results of operations. For example, a $1,000 change in the average severity combined with a 1%
change in the average claim rate could change the premium deficiency reserve amount by
approximately $134 million. Additionally, a 5% change in the persistency of the underlying loans
could change the premium deficiency reserve amount by approximately $29 million. We do not
anticipate changes in the discount rate will be significant enough as to result in material changes
in the calculation.
The establishment of premium deficiency reserves is subject to inherent uncertainty and
requires judgment by management. The actual amount of claim payments and premium collections may
vary significantly from the premium deficiency reserve estimates. Similar to our loss reserve
estimates, our estimates for premium deficiency reserves could be adversely affected by several
factors, including a deterioration of regional or economic conditions leading to a reduction in
borrowers income and thus their ability to make mortgage payments, and a drop in housing values
that could expose us to greater losses. Changes to our estimates could result in material changes
in our operations, even in a stable economic environment. Adjustments to premium deficiency
reserves estimates are reflected in the financial statements in the years in which the adjustments
are made.
Underwriting and other expenses
Underwriting and other expenses for the second quarter and first six months of 2008 decreased
when compared to the same periods in 2007. The decrease is primarily due to lower accrued employee
compensation costs and non insurance expenses.
Ratios
The table below presents our loss, expense and combined ratios for our combined insurance
operations for the three and six months ended June 30, 2008 and 2007.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three months ended |
|
|
Six months ended |
|
|
|
June 30, |
|
|
June 30, |
|
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2007 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2007 |
|
Loss ratio |
|
|
196.4 |
% |
|
|
76.7 |
% |
|
|
198.3 |
% |
|
|
68.9 |
% |
Expense ratio |
|
|
14.0 |
% |
|
|
16.7 |
% |
|
|
15.0 |
% |
|
|
17.3 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Combined ratio |
|
|
210.4 |
% |
|
|
93.4 |
% |
|
|
213.3 |
% |
|
|
86.2 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The loss ratio is the ratio, expressed as a percentage, of the sum of incurred losses and loss
adjustment expenses to net premiums earned. The increase in the loss ratio in the second quarter
and first six months of 2008, compared to the same periods in 2007, is due to
38
an increase in losses incurred, partially offset by an increase in premiums earned. The expense ratio is the ratio,
expressed as a percentage, of underwriting expenses to net premiums written. The decrease in the
second quarter and first six months of 2008, compared to the same periods in 2007, is due to a
decrease in underwriting and other expenses as well as an increase in premiums written. The
combined ratio is the sum of the loss ratio and the expense ratio.
Income taxes
The effective tax rate on our pre-tax loss was 43.6% in the second quarter of 2008, compared
to an effective tax rate on our pre-tax income of 10.2% in the second quarter of 2007. The
effective tax rate on our pre-tax loss was 46.2% in the first six months of 2008, compared to an
effective tax rate on our pre-tax income of 18.9% in the first six months of 2007. During those
periods, the rate reflected the benefits recognized from tax-preferenced investments. Our
tax-preferenced investments that impact the effective tax rate consist almost entirely of
tax-exempt municipal bonds. The difference in the rate was primarily the result of a pre-tax loss
during the second quarter and first six months of 2008, compared to pre-tax income during those
same periods in 2007.
Joint ventures
Our equity in the earnings from Sherman and C-BASS and certain other joint ventures and
investments, accounted for in accordance with the equity method of accounting, is shown separately,
net of tax, on our consolidated statement of operations. Income from joint ventures decreased in
the second quarter and first six months of 2008 compared to the same periods in 2007. This decrease
was primarily due to a decrease in equity earnings from C-BASS and Sherman. See discussion
regarding C-BASS below. The decrease in equity earnings from Sherman for the second quarter of 2008
resulted from a decrease in our ownership percentage from approximately 41% during the second
quarter of 2007 to approximately 24% during the second quarter of 2008. The decrease in equity
earnings from Sherman in the first six months of 2008 resulted from lower earnings at Sherman as
well as the decrease in our ownership percentage.
C-BASS
Beginning in February 2007 and continuing through approximately the end of June 2007, the
subprime mortgage market experienced significant turmoil. After a period of relative stability that
persisted during April, May and through approximately late June, market dislocations recurred and
then accelerated to unprecedented levels beginning in approximately mid-July 2007. As noted in the
section titled C-BASS Impairment in our 10-K MD&A, in the third quarter of 2007, we concluded
that our total equity interest in C-BASS was impaired. In addition, during the fourth
quarter of 2007 due to additional losses incurred by C-BASS, we reduced the carrying value of
our $50 million note from C-BASS to zero under equity method accounting.
39
Sherman
Summary Sherman income statements for the periods indicated appear below. We do not
consolidate Sherman with us for financial reporting purposes, and we do not control Sherman.
Shermans internal controls over its financial reporting are not part of our internal controls over
our financial reporting. However, our internal controls over our financial reporting include
processes to assess the effectiveness of our financial reporting as it pertains to Sherman. We
believe those processes are effective in the context of our overall internal controls.
Sherman Summary Income Statement:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three months ended |
|
|
Six months ended |
|
|
|
June 30, |
|
|
June 30, |
|
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2007 |
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2007 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
($ millions) |
|
|
|
|
|
Revenues from receivable portfolios |
|
$ |
273.2 |
|
|
$ |
264.3 |
|
|
$ |
573.7 |
|
|
$ |
531.4 |
|
Portfolio amortization |
|
|
110.6 |
|
|
|
140.4 |
|
|
|
233.9 |
|
|
|
262.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Revenues, net of amortization |
|
|
162.6 |
|
|
|
123.9 |
|
|
|
339.8 |
|
|
|
268.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Credit card interest income and fees |
|
|
202.1 |
|
|
|
156.4 |
|
|
|
408.9 |
|
|
|
288.9 |
|
Other revenue |
|
|
16.3 |
|
|
|
12.0 |
|
|
|
34.2 |
|
|
|
19.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total revenues |
|
|
381.0 |
|
|
|
292.3 |
|
|
|
782.9 |
|
|
|
577.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total expenses |
|
|
302.5 |
|
|
|
220.7 |
|
|
|
638.8 |
|
|
|
423.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income before tax |
|
$ |
78.5 |
|
|
$ |
71.6 |
|
|
$ |
144.1 |
|
|
$ |
153.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Companys income from Sherman |
|
$ |
17.3 |
|
|
$ |
24.6 |
|
|
$ |
31.1 |
|
|
$ |
52.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
In the second quarter and first six months of 2008, compared to the same periods in 2007,
Sherman experienced an increase in collection revenues from
portfolios owned, net of amortization, and continued growth in the banking
segment. The growth in revenues was offset by higher loan loss provisions, interest expense and
operating expenses primarily related to growth in the banking segment.
In September 2007 we sold a portion of our interest in Sherman to an entity owned by Shermans
senior management. The interest sold by us represented approximately 16% of Shermans equity. We
received a cash payment of $240.8 million in the sale and are entitled to a contingent payment if
the management entitys after-tax return on the interests it purchased exceeds approximately 16%
annually over a period that can end as late as December 31, 2013. We recorded a $162.9 million
pre-tax gain on this sale, which is reflected in our results of operations for 2007 as a realized
gain. We now own approximately 24.25% of Shermans interest and Shermans management owns
approximately 54.0%. Radian Group Inc., which also sold interests in Sherman to the management entity, owns the balance of Sherman. We will continue
to account for this investment under the equity method of accounting.
The Companys income from Sherman line item in the table above includes $1.5 million and
$3.2 million of additional amortization expense in the second quarter and first six months of 2008,
respectively, and $4.8 and $10.3 million in the second quarter
and first six months of 2007
40
above Shermans actual amortization expense, related to additional interests in Sherman that
we purchased during the third quarter of 2006 at a price in excess of book value. As noted above,
after the sale of equity interest in September 2007 we now own approximately 24.25% interest in
Sherman, which is the lowest interest held since the original investment.
At the time this Quarterly Report was finalized we were seeking to finalize a definitive
agreement for a transaction with Sherman under which Sherman could acquire our entire interest in
Sherman. There can be no assurances that we will enter into a definitive agreement on this sale or
if we do that the transaction will close.
Financial Condition
As of June 30, 2008, 76% of our investment portfolio was invested in tax-preferenced
securities. In addition, at June 30, 2008, based on book value, approximately 95% of our fixed
income securities were invested in A rated and above, readily marketable securities, concentrated
in maturities of less than 15 years. Approximately 26% of our investment portfolio is covered by
the financial guaranty industry. We evaluate the credit risk of securities through analysis of the
underlying fundamentals of each issuer. A breakdown of the portion of our investment portfolio
covered by the financial guaranty industry by credit rating, including the rating without the
guarantee is shown below.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Guarantor Rating |
($ millions) |
|
AAA |
|
|
AA- |
|
|
A2 |
|
|
BB |
|
|
All |
|
|
|
|
Underlying Rating |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
AAA |
|
$ |
2 |
|
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
6 |
|
|
$ |
2 |
|
|
$ |
10 |
|
AA |
|
|
263 |
|
|
|
179 |
|
|
|
239 |
|
|
|
203 |
|
|
|
884 |
|
A |
|
|
167 |
|
|
|
277 |
|
|
|
198 |
|
|
|
134 |
|
|
|
776 |
|
BBB |
|
|
7 |
|
|
|
39 |
|
|
|
14 |
|
|
|
32 |
|
|
|
92 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
$ |
439 |
|
|
$ |
495 |
|
|
$ |
457 |
|
|
$ |
371 |
|
|
$ |
1,762 |
|
If all of the companies in the financial guaranty industry lose their AAA ratings, the
percentage of our fixed income portfolio rated A or better will decline by 1% to 94% A or
better. No individual guarantor is responsible for the guarantee of more than 10% of our portfolio.
At June 30, 2008, derivative financial instruments in our investment portfolio were
immaterial. We primarily place our investments in instruments that meet high credit quality
standards, as specified in our investment policy guidelines. The policy also limits the amount of
our credit exposure to any one issue, issuer and type of instrument. At June 30, 2008, the modified
duration of our fixed income investment portfolio was 4.1 years, which means that an instantaneous
parallel shift in the yield curve of 100 basis points would result in a change of 4.1% in the
market value of our fixed income portfolio. For an upward shift in the yield curve,
the market value of our portfolio would decrease and for a downward shift in the yield curve,
the market value would increase.
At June 30, 2008, our total assets included $1.1 billion of cash and cash equivalents as shown
on our consolidated balance sheet. In addition, included in Other assets on our
41
consolidated
balance sheet at June 30, 2008 is $64.6 million in real estate acquired as part of the claim
settlement process. The properties, which are held for sale, are carried at fair value. Also
included in Other assets is $63.0 million representing the overfunded status of our pension plan.
At June 30, 2008 we had $200 million, 5.625% Senior Notes due in September 2011 and $300
million, 5.375% Senior Notes due in November 2015, as well as $300 million outstanding under a
credit facility, with a total market value of $674.3 million. The credit facility is scheduled to
expire in March 2010. This credit facility is discussed under Liquidity and Capital Resources
below.
At June 30, 2008, we also had $390 million principal amount of 9% Convertible Junior
Subordinated Debentures due in 2063. Within the $390 million principal amount is an embedded
derivative with a value of $16.9 million. The amount of the derivative is treated as a discount on
issuance and is being amortized over the expected life of five years to interest expense. The fair
value of the convertible debentures was approximately $289.0 million at June 30, 2008.
The total amount of unrecognized tax benefits as of June 30, 2008 is $87.2 million. Included
in that total are $75.5 million in benefits that would affect our effective tax rate. We recognize
interest accrued and penalties related to unrecognized tax benefits in income taxes. We have
accrued $20.8 million for the payment of interest as of June 30, 2008. The establishment of this
liability required estimates of potential outcomes of various issues and required significant
judgment. Although the resolutions of these issues are uncertain, we believe that sufficient
provisions for income taxes have been made for potential liabilities that may result. If the
resolutions of these matters differ materially from these estimates, it could have a material
impact on our effective tax rate, results of operations and cash flows.
On June 1, 2007, as a result of an examination by the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) for
taxable years 2000 through 2004, we received a Revenue Agent Report (RAR). The adjustments
reported on the RAR substantially increase taxable income for those tax years and resulted in the
issuance of an assessment for unpaid taxes totaling $189.5 million in taxes and accuracy-related
penalties, plus applicable interest. We have agreed with the IRS on certain issues and paid $10.5
million in additional taxes and interest. The remaining open issue relates to our treatment of the
flow through income and loss from an investment in a portfolio of residual interests of Real Estate
Mortgage Investment Conduits (REMICS). The IRS has indicated that it does not believe that, for
various reasons, we have established sufficient tax basis in the REMIC residual interests to deduct
the losses from taxable income. We disagree with this conclusion and believe that the flow through
income and loss from these investments was properly reported on our federal income tax returns in
accordance with applicable tax laws and regulations in effect during the periods involved and have
appealed these adjustments. The appeals process may take some time and a final resolution may not
be reached until a date many months or years into the future. On July 2, 2007, we made a payment of
$65.2 million with the United States Department of the Treasury to eliminate the further accrual of
interest. Although the resolution of this issue is uncertain, we
believe that sufficient provisions for income taxes have been made for potential liabilities
that may result. If the resolution of this matter differs materially from our estimates, it could
have a material impact on our effective tax rate, results of operations and cash flows.
42
Our principal exposure to loss is our obligation to pay claims under MGICs mortgage guaranty
insurance policies. At June 30, 2008, MGICs direct (before any reinsurance) primary and pool risk
in force, which is the unpaid principal balance of insured loans as reflected in our records
multiplied by the coverage percentage, and taking account of any loss limit, was approximately
$64.0 billion. In addition, as part of our contract underwriting activities, we are responsible for
the quality of our underwriting decisions in accordance with the terms of the contract underwriting
agreements with customers. Through June 30, 2008, the cost of remedies provided by us to customers
for failing to meet the standards of the contracts has not been material. However, a generally
positive economic environment for residential real estate that continued until 2007 may have
mitigated the effect of some of these costs, the claims for which may lag deterioration in the
economic environment for residential real estate. There can be no assurance that contract
underwriting remedies will not be material in the future.
Sherman
Summary Sherman balance sheets at the dates indicated appear below. We do not consolidate
Sherman with us for financial reporting purposes, and we do not control Sherman. Shermans
internal controls over its financial reporting are not part of our internal controls over our
financial reporting. However, our internal controls over our financial reporting include processes
to assess the effectiveness of our financial reporting as it pertains to Sherman. We believe those
processes are effective in the context of our overall internal controls.
Sherman
Summary Balance Sheet:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
June 30, |
|
December 31, |
|
|
2008 |
|
2007 |
|
|
($ millions) |
Total Assets |
|
$ |
2,432 |
|
|
$ |
2,242 |
|
|
Debt |
|
$ |
1,757 |
|
|
$ |
1,611 |
|
|
Total Liabilities |
|
$ |
1,961 |
|
|
$ |
1,821 |
|
|
Members Equity |
|
$ |
471 |
|
|
$ |
421 |
|
Our investment in Sherman on an equity basis at June 30, 2008 was $124.3 million. We received
$21.7 million in distributions from Sherman during the first six month of 2008. In 2007 we received
$51.5 million in distributions from Sherman and in 2006 we received $103.7 million in
distributions.
43
Liquidity and Capital Resources
Overview
Our sources of funds consist primarily of:
|
|
|
our investment portfolio (which is discussed in Financial Condition above), and
interest income on the portfolio, |
|
|
|
|
premiums that we will receive from our existing insurance in force as well as
policies that we write in the future, |
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|
amounts, if any, remaining available under our credit facility expiring in 2010, |
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|
amounts received from the redemption of U.S. government non-interest bearing tax and
loss bonds, |
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|
amounts that we expect to recover from captives (which is discussed in Results of
Consolidated Operations Risk-Sharing Arrangements and Results of Consolidated
Operations Losses Losses Incurred above) and |
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|
|
amounts we may recover under our reinsurance agreement with HCC (which is discussed
in Results of Consolidated Operations Risk-Sharing Arrangements above). |
Our obligations consist primarily of:
|
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|
claims payments under MGICs mortgage guaranty insurance policies, |
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|
the amount outstanding under our credit facility expiring in 2010, |
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|
our $200 million of 5.625% Senior Notes due in 2011, |
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|
our $300 million of 5.375% Senior Notes due in November 2015, |
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our $390 million of convertible debentures due in 2063, |
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interest on the foregoing debt instruments and |
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|
the other costs and operating expenses of our business. |
Historically cash inflows from premiums have exceeded claim payments. When this is the case,
we invest positive cash flows pending future payments of claims and other expenses. However, we
anticipate that in 2008 claim payments will exceed premiums received. In addition, our Wall Street
bulk insurance in force will generate cash flow shortfalls beyond 2008 as this insurance runs off.
(See Losses Premium deficiency). When we experience cash shortfalls, we can fund them through
sales of short-term investments and other investment portfolio securities, subject to insurance
regulatory requirements regarding the payment of dividends to the extent funds were required by an
entity other than the seller. Substantially all of the investment portfolio securities are held by
our insurance subsidiaries.
To increase our capital position, in the first quarter of 2008, we raised proceeds of
approximately $815 million through the sale of our common stock and junior convertible
44
debentures.
We also raised an additional approximately $25 million in April 2008 through the sale of additional
debentures. In the second quarter of 2008, we further enhanced our capital resources by entering
into the reinsurance agreement with HCC discussed under Results
of Consolidated OperationsRisk sharing arrangements.
Our Credit Facility
We have a $300 million, bank revolving credit facility that is scheduled to expire in March
2010 that was amended in June 2008. In the third quarter of 2007, we drew the entire amount
available under this facility and repaid the amount then outstanding under our commercial paper
program. In July 2008 we terminated our commercial paper program, under which no amounts were
outstanding. At June 30, 2008 the entire $300 million was outstanding under our credit facility. In
July 2008, we repaid $100 million borrowed under this facility. The amount that we repaid remains
available for re-borrowing pursuant to the terms of our credit agreement.
The credit facility, as amended in June 2008, is effective July 1, 2008 and requires us to
maintain Consolidated Net Worth of no less than $2.00 billion at all times. However, if as of June
30, 2009, Consolidated Net Worth equals or exceeds $2.75 billion, then the minimum Consolidated Net
Worth under the facility will be increased to $2.25 billion at all times from and after June 30,
2009. Consolidated Net Worth is generally defined in our credit agreement as the sum of our
consolidated shareholders equity plus the aggregate outstanding principal amount of our 9%
Convertible Junior Subordinated Debentures due 2063, currently $390 million. The credit facility
also requires MGIC to maintain a statutory risk-to-capital ratio of not more than 22:1 and maintain
policyholders position, which includes MGICs statutory surplus and its contingency reserve, of
not less than the amount required by Wisconsin insurance regulation. At June 30, 2008, these
requirements were met, as was the shareholders equity requirement of $1.85 billion prior to this
amendment. Our shareholders equity and Consolidated Net Worth at June 30, 2008 were approximately
$2.86 billion and $3.25 billion, respectively. You should review our Risk Factor titled Our
shareholders equity could fall below the minimum amount required under our bank debt.
Holding Company Capital Resources
The credit facility, senior notes and convertible debentures are obligations of MGIC
Investment Corporation and not of its subsidiaries. We are a holding company and the payment of
dividends from our insurance subsidiaries is restricted by insurance regulation. MGIC is the
principal source of dividend-paying capacity. During the first six months of 2008, MGIC paid two
quarterly dividends of $15 million each to our holding company, which increased the cash resources
of our holding company. As has been the case for the past several years, as a result of
extraordinary dividends paid, MGIC cannot currently pay any dividends without regulatory approval.
We recently received regulatory approval to pay a $15 million
dividend in the third quarter of 2008. We anticipate that in the
remainder of 2008 we will seek approval to pay an additional $15 million
in dividends from MGIC.
As of June 30, 2008, we had a total of approximately $482 million in cash, cash equivalents
and liquid investments at our holding company(approximately $382 million after $100 million
reduction in July 2008 of borrowings under our credit facility). Our use of funds at the holding
company includes interest payments on our Senior Notes, credit facility and junior convertible
debentures, and dividends on our common stock. On an annual basis, in aggregate, these uses
total approximately $85 million, based on the current rate in effect on our credit facility, our
current dividend rate and assuming a full year of interest on the entire $390 million of
debentures.
45
Risk-to-Capital
We consider our risk-to-capital ratio an important indicator of our financial strength and our
ability to write new business. This ratio is computed on a statutory basis for our combined
insurance operations and is our net risk in force divided by our policyholders position.
Policyholders position consists primarily of statutory policyholders surplus (which increases as
a result of statutory net income and decreases as a result of statutory net loss and dividends
paid), plus the statutory contingency reserve. The statutory contingency reserve is reported as a
liability on the statutory balance sheet. A mortgage insurance company is required to make annual
contributions to the contingency reserve of approximately 50% of net earned premiums. These
contributions must generally be maintained for a period of ten years. However, with regulatory
approval a mortgage insurance company may make early withdrawals from the contingency reserve when
incurred losses exceed 35% of net earned premium in a calendar year.
The premium deficiency reserve discussed under Results of Operations Losses Premium
deficiency above is not recorded as a liability on the statutory balance sheet and is not a
component of statutory net income. The present value of expected future premiums and already
established loss reserves and statutory contingency reserves, exceeds the present value of expected
future losses and expenses, so no deficiency is recorded on a statutory basis.
Our combined insurance companies risk-to-capital calculation appears in the table below.
|
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|
June 30, |
|
|
December 31, |
|
|
|
2008 |
|
|
2007 |
|
|
|
($ in millions) |
|
Risk in force net of reinsurance |
|
$ |
60,562 |
|
|
$ |
57,527 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Statutory policyholders surplus |
|
$ |
1,712 |
|
|
$ |
1,351 |
|
Statutory contingency reserve |
|
|
3,063 |
|
|
|
3,464 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Statutory policyholders position |
|
$ |
4,775 |
|
|
$ |
4,815 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Risk-to-capital: |
|
|
12.7:1 |
|
|
|
11.9:1 |
|
The increase in risk-to-capital during the first six months of 2008 is the result of an
increase in net risk in force as well as a decrease in statutory policyholders position. Our net
risk in force increased as a result of new business written. Statutory policyholders position
decreased during the first six months of 2008, primarily due to quarterly withdrawals of
statutory contingency reserves, offset by a capital contribution to our subsidiary, MGIC, from
the proceeds raised by the sale of our common stock and the convertible debentures. If our
insurance in force continues to grow, our risk in force would also grow. To the extent our
46
statutory policyholders position does not increase at the same rate as our growth in risk in
force, our risk-to-capital ratio will increase. Similarly, if our statutory policyholders position
decreases at a greater rate than our risk in force, then our risk-to-capital ratio will increase.
We believe we have more than adequate resources to pay claims on our insurance in force, even
in very high loss scenarios. However, we expect our risk-to-capital to increase throughout 2008,
as risk in force (the numerator in the calculation) increases and our statutory policyholders
position (the denominator) declines. We expect risk in force to grow as we continue to write new
business and the persistency rate of the current risk in force remains at or above recent levels.
We expect statutory policyholders position to decline as losses are recognized, particularly on
Wall Street bulk transactions, which have no premium deficiency reserve for statutory purposes. As
a result we expect that our risk-to-capital ratio will increase above
its level at June 30, 2008. See Managements
Discussion of AnalysisOverviewOutlook for
additional information about our risk-to-capital ratio.
Financial Strength Ratings
Standard & Poors Rating Services insurer financial strength rating of MGIC, our principal
mortgage insurance subsidiary, is A with a negative outlook. The financial strength of MGIC is
rated A1 by Moodys Investors Service with a negative outlook. The financial strength of MGIC is
rated A+ by Fitch Ratings and is on rating watch negative.
For further information about the importance of MGICs ratings, see our Risk Factor titled
Our financial strength rating has been downgraded below Aa3/AA-, which could reduce the volume of
our new business writings in Item 1A.
Contractual Obligations
At June 30, 2008, the approximate future payments under our contractual obligations of the
type described in the table below are as follows:
Contractual Obligations ($ millions):
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Less than |
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More than |
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|
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Total |
|
|
1 year |
|
|
1-3 years |
|
|
3-5 years |
|
|
5 years |
|
Long-term debt obligations |
|
$ |
3,314 |
|
|
$ |
72 |
|
|
$ |
439 |
|
|
$ |
311 |
|
|
$ |
2,492 |
|
Operating lease obligations |
|
|
20 |
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|
|
7 |
|
|
|
10 |
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|
|
3 |
|
|
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|
|
Purchase obligations |
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pension, SERP and other
post-retirement
benefit plans |
|
|
131 |
|
|
|
6 |
|
|
|
16 |
|
|
|
22 |
|
|
|
87 |
|
Other long-term liabilities |
|
|
3,401 |
|
|
|
1,837 |
|
|
|
1,360 |
|
|
|
204 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
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|
|
Total |
|
$ |
6,866 |
|
|
$ |
1,922 |
|
|
$ |
1,825 |
|
|
$ |
540 |
|
|
$ |
2,579 |
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Our long-term debt obligations at June 30, 2008 include our $300 million of 5.375% Senior
Notes due in November 2015, $200 million of 5.625% Senior Notes due in 2011, $300 million
outstanding under a credit facility expiring in 2010 and $390 million in convertible debentures due
in 2063, including related interest, as discussed in Note 2. Short- and long-term debt and Note
3. Convertible debentures and related derivative to our consolidated financial
47
statements and
under Liquidity and Capital Resources above. For discussions related to our debt covenants see
-Liquidity and Capital Resources and our Risk Factor titled Our shareholders equity could fall
below the minimum required under our bank debt. Our operating lease obligations include operating
leases on certain office space, data processing equipment and autos, as discussed in Note 12 to our
consolidated financial statements in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31,
2007. See Note 9 to our consolidated financial statement in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the
year ended December 31, 2007 for discussion of expected benefit payments under our benefit plans.
Our other long-term liabilities represent the loss reserves established to recognize the
liability for losses and loss adjustment expenses related to defaults on insured mortgage loans.
The establishment of loss reserves is subject to inherent uncertainty and requires significant
judgment by management. The future loss payment periods are estimated based on historical
experience, and could emerge significantly different than this estimate. See Note 6. Loss
reserves to our consolidated financial statements and -Critical Accounting Policies, both in our
Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007.
The table above does not reflect the liability for unrecognized tax benefits due to
uncertainties in the timing of the effective settlement of tax positions. We can not make a
reasonably reliable estimate of the timing of payment for the liability for unrecognized tax
benefits, net of payments on account, of $18.9 million. See Note 10 to our consolidated financial
statement in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007 for additional
discussion on unrecognized tax benefits.
48
Forward-Looking Statements and Risk Factors
General: Our revenues and losses could be affected by the risk factors referred to under
Location of Risk Factors below that are applicable to us, and our income from joint ventures
could be affected by the risk factors referred to under Location of Risk Factors that is
applicable to Sherman. These risk factors are an integral part of Managements Discussion and
Analysis.
These factors may also cause actual results to differ materially from the results contemplated
by forward looking statements that we may make. Forward looking statements consist of statements
which relate to matters other than historical fact. Among others, statements that include words
such as we believe, anticipate or expect, or words of similar import, are forward looking
statements. We are not undertaking any obligation to update any forward looking statements we may
make even though these statements may be affected by events or circumstances occurring after the
forward looking statements were made. Therefore no reader of this document should rely on these
statements being accurate as of any time other than the time at which this document was filed with
the Securities and Exchange Commission.
Location of Risk Factors: The risk factors are in Item 1 A of our Annual Report on Form 10-K
for the year ended December 31, 2007, as supplemented by Part II, Item 1 A of our Quarterly Report
on Form 10-Q for the Quarter Ended March 31, 2008 and in Part II, Item 1 A of this Quarterly Report
on Form 10-Q. The risk factors in the 10-K, as supplemented by those 10-Qs and through updating of
various statistical and other information, are reproduced in Exhibit 99 to this Quarterly Report on
Form 10-Q.
49
ITEM 3. QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK
At June 30, 2008, the derivative financial instruments in our investment portfolio were
immaterial. We place our investments in instruments that meet high credit quality standards, as
specified in our investment policy guidelines; the policy also limits the amount of credit exposure
to any one issue, issuer and type of instrument. At June 30, 2008, the modified duration of our
fixed income investment portfolio was 4.1 years, which means that an instantaneous parallel shift
in the yield curve of 100 basis points would result in a change of 4.1% in the market value of our
fixed income portfolio. For an upward shift in the yield curve, the market value of our portfolio
would decrease and for a downward shift in the yield curve, the market value would increase.
The interest rate on our $300 million credit facility is variable and is based on, at our
option, LIBOR plus a margin that varies with MGICs financial strength rating or a base rate
specified in the credit agreement. For each 100 basis point change in LIBOR or the base rate, our
interest cost, expressed on an annual basis, would change by 1%. Based on the amount outstanding
under our credit facility as of June 30, 2008, this would result in a change of $3 million. This
figure does not take into account the repayment, in the third quarter of 2008, of $100 million of
the amount owed under the credit facility.
ITEM 4. CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES
Our management, with the participation of our principal executive officer and principal
financial officer, has evaluated our disclosure controls and procedures (as defined in Rule
13a-15(e) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended), as of the end of the period
covered by this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q. Based on such evaluation, our principal executive
officer and principal financial officer concluded that such controls and procedures were effective
as of the end of such period. There was no change in our internal control over financial reporting
that occurred during the second quarter of 2008 that materially affected, or is reasonably likely
to materially affect, our internal control over financial reporting.
50
PART II. OTHER INFORMATION
Item 1. Legal Proceedings
Complaints in four purported stockholder class action lawsuits have been filed against us and
several of our officers. Wayne County Employees Retirement System v. MGIC Investment Corporation
was filed in May 2008, Plumbers & Pipefitters Local #562 Pension Fund v. MGIC Investment
Corporation was filed in May 2008, Teamsters Local 456 Annuity Fund v. MGIC Investment Corporation
was filed in June 2008, and Minneapolis Firefighters Relief Association v. MGIC Investment
Corporation was filed in July 2008. With the exception of Wayne County Employees Retirement
System, which was filed in the U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of Michigan, all of
these lawsuits were filed in the U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of Wisconsin.
The allegations in the complaints are generally that through the officers named in the
complaints, we violated the federal securities laws by failing to disclose or misrepresenting
C-BASSs liquidity, the impairment of our investment in C-BASS, the inadequacy of our loss reserves
and that we were not adequately capitalized. The collective time period covered by these lawsuits
begins on October 12, 2006 and ends on February 12, 2008. The complaints seek damages based on
purchases of our stock during this time period at prices that were allegedly inflated as a result
of the purported misstatements and omissions. With limited exceptions, our bylaws provide that our
officers are entitled to indemnification from us for claims against them of the type alleged in the
complaints. We believe, among other things, that the allegations in the complaints are not
sufficient to prevent their dismissal and intend to defend against them vigorously. However, we
are unable to predict the outcome of these cases or estimate our associated expenses or possible
losses.
In addition to the above litigation, we face other litigation and regulatory risks. For
additional information about such other litigation and regulatory risks you should review our Risk
Factor titled We are subject to the risk of private litigation and regulatory proceedings.
Item 1 A. Risk Factors
With the exception of the changes described and set forth below, there have been no
material changes in our risk factors from the risk factors disclosed in the Companys Annual Report
on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007 as supplemented by Part II, Item 1 A of our
Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the Quarter Ended March 31, 2008. The risk factors in the 10-K,
as supplemented by these 10-Qs and through updating of various statistical and other information,
are reproduced in their entirety in Exhibit 99 to this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q.
The mix of business we write also affects the likelihood of losses occurring.
Certain types of mortgages have higher probabilities of claims. These segments include loans with
loan-to-value ratios over 95% (including loans with 100% loan-to-value ratios or in certain markets
that have experienced declining housing values, over 90%), FICO credit scores below 620, limited
underwriting, including limited borrower documentation, or total
51
debt-to-income ratios of 38% or higher, as well as loans having combinations of higher risk factors. As of
June 30, 2008, approximately 59.7% of our primary risk in force consisted of loans with
loan-to-value ratios equal to or greater than 95%, 10% had FICO credit scores below 620, and 15%
had limited underwriting, including limited borrower documentation. (In accordance with industry
practice, loans approved by GSE and other automated underwriting systems under doc waiver
programs that do not require verification of borrower income are classified by MGIC as full
documentation. For additional information about such loans, see
footnote (3) to the delinquency table under Managements
Discussion and AnalysisResults of Consolidated
OperationsLossesLosses Incurred.)
A material portion of these loans were written in 2005 2007 and through the first quarter of
2008. Beginning in the fourth quarter of 2007 we made a series of changes to our underwriting
guidelines in an effort to improve the risk profile of the business we are writing, including
recent guideline changes that will become effective in early August 2008. Requirements imposed by
new guidelines, however, only affect business written under commitments to insure loans that are
issued when those guidelines become effective. Business for which commitments are issued after new
guidelines are announced and before they become effective is insured by us in accordance with the
guidelines in effect at time of the commitment even though that business would not meet the new
guidelines. For commitments we issue for loans that close and are insured by us, a period longer
than a calendar quarter can elapse between the time we issue a commitment to insure a loan and the
time we receive the payment of the first premium and report the loan in our risk in force, although
this period is generally shorter.
As of June 30, 2008, approximately 4.0% of our primary risk in force written through the flow
channel, and 40.1% of our primary risk in force written through the bulk channel, consisted of
adjustable rate mortgages in which the initial interest rate may be adjusted during the five years
after the mortgage closing (ARMs). We classify as fixed rate loans adjustable rate mortgages in
which the initial interest rate is fixed during the five years after the mortgage closing. We
believe that when the reset interest rate significantly exceeds the interest rate at loan
origination, claims on ARMs would be substantially higher than for fixed rate loans. Moreover, even
if interest rates remain unchanged, claims on ARMs with a teaser rate (an initial interest rate
that does not fully reflect the index which determines subsequent rates) may also be substantially
higher because of the increase in the mortgage payment that will occur when the fully indexed rate
becomes effective. In addition, we believe the volume of interest-only loans, which may also be
ARMs, and loans with negative amortization features, such as pay option ARMs, increased in 2005 and
2006 and remained at these levels during the first half of 2007, before beginning to decline in the
second half of 2007. Because interest-only loans and pay option ARMs are a relatively recent
development, we have no meaningful data on their historical performance. We believe claim rates on
certain of these loans will be substantially higher than on loans without scheduled payment
increases that are made to borrowers of comparable credit quality.
Although we attempt to incorporate these higher expected claim rates into our underwriting and
pricing models, there can be no assurance that the premiums earned and the associated investment
income will prove adequate to compensate for actual losses even under our current underwriting
guidelines. We do, however, believe that given the various changes in our underwriting guidelines
that are effective in 2008, our 2008 book will generate underwriting profit.
52
Our Consolidated Net Worth could fall below the minimum amount required under our bank debt.
We have a $300 million bank revolving credit facility which matures in March 2010 and under which
$200 million is currently outstanding.
Our revolving credit facility, as amended in June 2008, requires that we maintain Consolidated Net
Worth of no less than $2.00 billion at all times. However, if as of June 30, 2009, our Consolidated
Net Worth equals or exceeds $2.75 billion, then the minimum Consolidated Net Worth under the
facility will be increased to $2.25 billion at all times from and after June 30, 2009.
Consolidated Net Worth is generally defined in our credit agreement as the sum of our consolidated
stockholders equity (determined in accordance with GAAP) plus the aggregate outstanding
principal amount of our 9% Convertible Junior Subordinated Debentures due 2063. The current
aggregate outstanding principal amount of our 9% Convertible Junior Subordinated Debentures due
2063 is $390 million.
At June 30, 2008, our Consolidated Net Worth was approximately $3.25 billion. We expect we will
have a net loss in the remainder of 2008, with the result that we expect our Consolidated Net Worth
to decline. Our current forecast of our 2008 net loss would result in our forecasted Consolidated
Net Worth at December 31, 2008 being materially above the $2.0 billion minimum. There can be no
assurance that our actual results will not be materially worse than our forecast or that losses in
periods after 2008 will not reduce our Consolidated Net Worth below the minimum amount required.
In addition, regardless of our results of operations, our Consolidated Net Worth would be reduced
to the extent the carrying value of our investment portfolio declines from its carrying value at
June 30, 2008 due to market value adjustments and to the extent we pay dividends to our
shareholders. At June 30, 2008, the modified duration of our fixed income portfolio was 4.1 years,
which means that an instantaneous parallel upward shift in the yield curve of 100 basis points
would result in a decline of 4.1% (approximately $319 million) in the market value of this
portfolio. Market value adjustments could also occur as a result of changes in credit spreads.
The credit
facility also requires that MGICs risk-to-capital ratio not exceed
22:1. As discussed under Managements Discussion and
AnalysisOverviewOutlook, it is possible our
risk-to-capital ratio could moderately exceed 20:1 in 2009 or could
materially exceed 20:1 in years thereafter. Given the March 2010
maturity of the credit facility, we do not expect the maximum
risk-to-capital ratio under the credit facility will result in the
maturity of the credit facility being earlier than March 2010.
If we did
not meet the minimum Consolidated Net Worth or risk-to-capital
requirements in our revolving credit facility
and are not successful obtaining an agreement from banks holding a majority of the debt outstanding
under the facility to change (or waive) these requirements, banks holding a majority of the debt
outstanding under the facility would have the right to declare the entire amount of the outstanding
debt due and payable. If the debt under our facility were accelerated in this manner, the holders
of 25% or more of our publicly traded $200 million 5.625% senior notes due in September 2011, and
the holders of 25% or more of our publicly traded $300 million 5.375% senior notes due in November
2015, each would have the right to accelerate the maturity of that debt. In addition, the trustee
of these two issues of senior notes, which is also a lender under our revolving credit facility,
could, independent of any action by holders of senior notes, accelerate the maturity of the senior
notes. In the event the amounts owing under our revolving credit facility or any series of our
outstanding senior notes are accelerated, we may not have sufficient funds to repay any such
amounts.
Our financial strength rating has been downgraded below Aa3/AA-, which could reduce the volume of
our new business writings.
Standard & Poors Rating Services insurer financial strength rating of MGIC, our principal
mortgage insurance subsidiary, is A with a negative outlook. The financial strength of MGIC
is rated A1 by Moodys Investors Service and with a negative outlook. The financial strength of
MGIC is rated A+ by Fitch Ratings and is on rating watch negative.
53
The private mortgage insurance industry has historically viewed a financial strength rating of at
least Aa3/AA- as critical to writing new business. In part this view has resulted from the mortgage
insurer eligibility requirements of the GSEs, which each year purchase the majority of loans
insured by us and the rest of the private mortgage insurance industry. The eligibility requirements
define the standards under which the GSEs will accept mortgage insurance as a credit enhancement on
mortgages they acquire. These standards impose additional restrictions on insurers that do not have
a financial strength rating of at least Aa3/AA-. These restrictions include not permitting such
insurers to engage in captive reinsurance transactions with lenders. For many years, captive
reinsurance has been an important means through which mortgage insurers compete for business from
lenders, including lenders who sell a large volume of mortgages to the GSEs. In February 2008
Freddie Mac announced that it was temporarily suspending the portion of its eligibility
requirements that impose additional restrictions on a mortgage insurer that is downgraded below
Aa3/AA- if the affected insurer commits to submitting a complete remediation plan for its approval.
In February 2008 Fannie Mae advised us that it would not automatically impose additional
restrictions on a mortgage insurer that is downgraded below Aa3/AA- if the affected insurer submits
a written remediation plan.
We have submitted written remediation plans to both Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae. Freddie Mac has
publicly announced that our remediation plan is acceptable to it. Fannie Mae has not completed its
review of our remediation plan. Our remediation plans include projections of our future financial
performance. There can be no assurance that we will be able to successfully complete our
remediation plans in a timely manner. In addition, there can be no assurance that Freddie Mac and
Fannie Mae will continue the positions described above with respect to mortgage insurers that have
been downgraded below Aa3/AA-.
Apart from the effect of the eligibility requirements of the GSEs, we believe lenders who hold
mortgages in portfolio and choose to obtain mortgage insurance on the loans assess a mortgage
insurers financial strength rating as one element of the process through which they select
mortgage insurers. As a result of these considerations, a mortgage insurer such as MGIC that is
rated less than Aa3/AA- may be competitively disadvantaged.
Competition or changes in our relationships with our customers could reduce our revenues or
increase our losses.
Competition for private mortgage insurance premiums occurs not only among private mortgage insurers
but also with mortgage lenders through captive mortgage reinsurance transactions. In these
transactions, a lenders affiliate reinsures a portion of the insurance written by a private
mortgage insurer on mortgages originated or serviced by the lender. As discussed under - We are
subject to risk from private litigation and regulatory proceedings below, we provided information
to the New York Insurance Department and the Minnesota Department of Commerce about captive
mortgage reinsurance arrangements and the Department of Housing and Urban Development, commonly
referred to as HUD, has recently issued a subpoena covering similar information. Other insurance
departments or other officials, including attorneys general, may also seek information about or
investigate captive mortgage reinsurance.
54
In recent years, the level of competition within the private mortgage insurance industry has been
intense as many large mortgage lenders reduced the number of private mortgage insurers with whom
they do business. At the same time, consolidation among mortgage lenders has increased the share of
the mortgage lending market held by large lenders. Our private mortgage insurance competitors
include:
|
|
|
PMI Mortgage Insurance Company, |
|
|
|
|
Genworth Mortgage Insurance Corporation, |
|
|
|
|
United Guaranty Residential Insurance Company, |
|
|
|
|
Radian Guaranty Inc., |
|
|
|
|
Republic Mortgage Insurance Company, whose parent, based on information filed with the
SEC through July 1, 2008, is our largest shareholder, and |
|
|
|
|
CMG Mortgage Insurance Company. |
Our relationships with our customers could be adversely affected by a variety of factors, including
continued tightening of our underwriting guidelines, which will result in our declining to insure
some of the loans originated by our customers. We believe the Federal Housing Administration, which
until recently we was not viewed by us as a significant competitor, has substantially increased its
market share, including insuring a number of loans that would meet our current underwriting
guidelines at a cost to the borrower that is lower than the cost of our insurance.
While the mortgage insurance industry has not had new entrants in many years, it is possible that
positive business fundamentals combined with the deterioration of the financial strength ratings of
the existing mortgage insurance companies could encourage the formation of start-up mortgage
insurers.
Changes in the business practices of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could reduce our revenues or
increase our losses.
The majority of our insurance written through the flow channel is for loans sold to Fannie Mae and
Freddie Mac, each of which is a government sponsored entity, or GSE. As a result, the business
practices of the GSEs affect the entire relationship between them and mortgage insurers and
include:
|
|
|
the level of private mortgage insurance coverage, subject to the limitations of Fannie
Mae and Freddie Macs charters, when private mortgage insurance is used as the required
credit enhancement on low down payment mortgages, |
|
|
|
|
whether Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac influence the mortgage lenders selection of the
mortgage insurer providing coverage and, if so, any transactions that are related to that
selection, |
55
|
|
|
the underwriting standards that determine what loans are eligible for purchase by
Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac, which thereby affect the quality of the risk insured by the
mortgage insurer and the availability of mortgage loans, |
|
|
|
|
the terms on which mortgage insurance coverage can be canceled before reaching the
cancellation thresholds established by law, and |
|
|
|
|
the circumstances in which mortgage servicers must perform activities intended to avoid
or mitigate loss on insured mortgages that are delinquent. |
In addition, both Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have policies which provide guidelines on terms under
which they can conduct business with mortgage insurers with financial strength ratings below
Aa3/AA-. In February 2008 Freddie Mac announced that it was temporarily suspending the portion of
its eligibility requirements that impose additional restrictions on a mortgage insurer that is
downgraded below Aa3/AA- if the affected insurer commits to submitting a complete remediation plan
for its approval. In February 2008 Fannie Mae advised us that it would not automatically impose
additional restrictions on a mortgage insurer that is downgraded below Aa3/AA- if the affected
insurer submits a written remediation plan. We have submitted written remediation plans to both
Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae. Freddie Mac has publicly announced that our remediation plan is
acceptable to it. Fannie Mae has not completed its review of our remediation plan. Our
remediation plans include projections of our future financial performance. There can be no
assurance that we will be able to successfully complete our remediation plans in a timely manner.
In addition, there can be no assurance that Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae will continue the positions
described above with respect to mortgage insurers that have been downgraded below Aa3/AA-.
We are subject to the risk of private litigation and regulatory proceedings.
Consumers are bringing a growing number of lawsuits against home mortgage lenders and settlement
service providers. In recent years, seven mortgage insurers, including MGIC, have been involved in
litigation alleging violations of the anti-referral fee provisions of the Real Estate Settlement
Procedures Act, which is commonly known as RESPA, and the notice provisions of the Fair Credit
Reporting Act, which is commonly known as FCRA. MGICs settlement of class action litigation
against it under RESPA became final in October 2003. MGIC settled the named plaintiffs claims in
litigation against it under FCRA in late December 2004 following denial of class certification in
June 2004. Since December 2006, class action litigation was separately brought against a number of
large lenders alleging that their captive mortgage reinsurance arrangements violated RESPA. While
we are not a defendant in any of these cases, there can be no assurance that we will not be subject
to future litigation under RESPA or FCRA or that the outcome of any such litigation would not have
a material adverse effect on us.
In June 2005, in response to a letter from the New York Insurance Department, we provided
information regarding captive mortgage reinsurance arrangements and other types of arrangements in
which lenders receive compensation. In February 2006, the New York Insurance Department requested
MGIC to review its premium rates in New York and to file adjusted rates based on recent years
experience or to explain why such experience would not alter rates. In March 2006, MGIC advised the
New York Insurance Department that it believes its premium rates are reasonable and that, given the
nature of mortgage insurance risk, premium rates should not be determined only by the experience of
recent years.
56
In February 2006, in response to an administrative subpoena from the Minnesota Department of Commerce,
which regulates insurance, we provided the Department with information about captive mortgage
reinsurance and certain other matters. We subsequently provided additional information to the
Minnesota Department of Commerce, and in March 2008 that Department sought additional information
as well as answers to interrogatories regarding captive mortgage reinsurance. In June 2008, we
received a subpoena from the Department of Housing and Urban Development, commonly referred to as
HUD, seeking information about captive mortgage reinsurance similar to that requested by the
Minnesota Department of Commerce, but not limited in scope to the state of Minnesota. Other
insurance departments or other officials, including attorneys general, may also seek information
about or investigate captive mortgage reinsurance.
The anti-referral fee provisions of RESPA provide that the Department of Housing and Urban
Development as well as the insurance commissioner or attorney general of any state may bring an
action to enjoin violations of these provisions of RESPA. The insurance law provisions of many
states prohibit paying for the referral of insurance business and provide various mechanisms to
enforce this prohibition. While we believe our captive reinsurance arrangements are in conformity
with applicable laws and regulations, it is not possible to predict the outcome of any such reviews
or investigations nor is it possible to predict their effect on us or the mortgage insurance
industry.
In October 2007, the Division of Enforcement of the Securities and Exchange Commission requested
that we voluntarily furnish documents and information primarily relating to C-BASS, the
now-terminated merger with Radian and the subprime mortgage assets in the Companys various lines
of business. We are in the process of providing responsive documents and information to the
Securities and Exchange Commission. As part of its initial information request, the SEC staff
informed us that this investigation should not be construed as an indication by the SEC or its
staff that any violation of the securities laws has occurred, or as a reflection upon any person,
entity or security.
In the second and third quarters of 2008, complaints in four separate purported stockholder class
action lawsuits were filed against us and several of our officers. The allegations in the
complaints are generally that through these officers we violated the federal securities laws by
failing to disclose or misrepresenting C-BASSs liquidity, the impairment of our investment in
C-BASS, the inadequacy of our loss reserves and that we were not adequately capitalized. The
collective time period covered by these lawsuits begins on October 12, 2006 and ends on February
12, 2008. The complaints seek damages based on purchases of our stock during this time period at
prices that were allegedly inflated as a result of the purported misstatements and omissions. With
limited exceptions, our bylaws provide that our officers are entitled to indemnification from us
for claims against them of the type alleged in the complaints. We believe, among other things, that
the allegations in the complaints are not sufficient to prevent their dismissal and intend to
defend against them vigorously. However, we are unable to predict the outcome of these cases or
estimate our associated expenses or possible losses.
Two law firms have issued press releases to the effect that they are investigating whether the
fiduciaries of our 401(k) plan breached their fiduciary duties regarding the plans investment in
or holding of our common stock. With limited exceptions, our bylaws provide that the plan
fiduciaries are entitled to indemnification from us for claims against them. We intend to defend
vigorously any proceedings that may result from these investigations.
57
We may not be able to realize benefits from our international initiative.
We have committed significant resources to begin international operations, primarily in Australia,
where we started to write business in June 2007, and also in Canada where we previously expected to
begin writing business in 2008. In view of our need to dedicate capital to our domestic mortgage
insurance operations, we have been exploring alternatives for our Australian activities which may
include a partner or reinsurance. Because these efforts have not been successful to date, we are
also implementing reductions in our Australian headcount and, given changes in our underwriting
guidelines that will become effective in the near future, we expect our Australian volume to
decline materially. In addition to the general economic and insurance business-related factors
discussed above, we are subject to a number of other risks from having deployed capital in
Australia, including foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations and interest-rate volatility
particular to Australia. In addition, we recently decided to withdraw our efforts to expand our
business into the Canadian market.
58
ITEM 4. SUBMISSION OF MATTERS TO A VOTE OF SECURITY HOLDERS
1.
|
(a) |
|
The Annual Meeting of Shareholders of the Company was held on May 15, 2008. |
|
|
(b) |
|
Not applicable. |
|
|
(c) |
|
Matters voted upon at the Annual Meeting and the number of shares voted for, against,
abstaining from voting and broker non-votes were as follows. |
|
(1) |
|
Election of three Directors for terms expiring in 2011. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
FOR |
|
WITHHELD |
David S. Engelman |
|
|
70,119,546 |
|
|
|
3,687,115 |
|
Kenneth M. Jastrow, II |
|
|
68,497,565 |
|
|
|
5,309,096 |
|
Daniel P. Kearney |
|
|
68,716,513 |
|
|
|
5,090,148 |
|
Donald T. Nicolaisen |
|
|
70,390,433 |
|
|
|
3,416,228 |
|
|
(2) |
|
Approval of performance goals for certain awards under MGIC Investment
Corporations 2002 Stock Incentive Plan. |
|
|
|
|
|
For: |
|
|
67,218,233 |
|
Against: |
|
|
5,971,070 |
|
Abstaining from Voting: |
|
|
617,358 |
|
|
(3) |
|
Approval of performance goals for MGIC Investment Corporations annual bonus plan
that includes such goals. |
|
|
|
|
|
For: |
|
|
69,738,259 |
|
Against: |
|
|
3,446,755 |
|
Abstaining from Voting: |
|
|
621,647 |
|
|
(4) |
|
Ratification of the appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent
registered public accounting firm of MGIC Investment Corporation for 2008. |
|
|
|
|
|
For: |
|
|
69,235,399 |
|
Against: |
|
|
4,002,099 |
|
Abstaining from Voting: |
|
|
569,163 |
|
2.
|
(a) |
|
A Special Meeting of Shareholders of the Company was held on June 27, 2008. |
|
|
(b) |
|
Not applicable. |
|
|
(c) |
|
Matters voted upon at the Special Meeting and the number of shares voted for, against,
abstaining from voting and broker non-votes were as follows. |
59
|
(1) |
|
Approval of the issuance of more than 19.99% of MGIC Investment Corporations
common stock on conversion of convertible debentures. |
|
|
|
|
|
For: |
|
|
100,583,028 |
|
Against: |
|
|
306,769 |
|
Abstaining from Voting: |
|
|
833,770 |
|
Broker non-vote: |
|
|
10,678,210 |
|
|
(2) |
|
Approval of an amendment to our Articles of Incorporation to increase our
authorized common stock from 300,000,000 to 460,000,000 shares. |
|
|
|
|
|
For: |
|
|
90,803,720 |
|
Against: |
|
|
20,699,932 |
|
Abstaining from Voting: |
|
|
898,125 |
|
|
(3) |
|
Approval of an amendment to our Articles of Incorporation to implement majority
voting for the election of directors in uncontested elections. |
|
|
|
|
|
For: |
|
|
110,217,067 |
|
Against: |
|
|
1,325,727 |
|
Abstaining from Voting: |
|
|
858,983 |
|
ITEM 6. EXHIBITS
The accompanying Index to Exhibits is incorporated by reference in answer to this portion of
this Item, and except as otherwise indicated in the next sentence, the Exhibits listed in such
Index are filed as part of this Form 10-Q. Exhibit 32 is not filed as part of this Form 10-Q but
accompanies this Form 10-Q.
60
SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused
this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized, on August 11,
2008.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
MGIC INVESTMENT CORPORATION |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
\s\ J. Michael Lauer
J. Michael Lauer
Executive Vice President and
Chief Financial Officer
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
\s\ Joseph J. Komanecki
Joseph J. Komanecki
Senior Vice President, Controller and
Chief Accounting Officer
|
|
|
61
INDEX TO EXHIBITS
(Part II, Item 6)
|
|
|
Exhibit |
|
|
Number |
|
Description of Exhibit |
|
|
|
3.1
|
|
Articles of Incorporation, as amended |
|
|
|
4.5.2
|
|
Amendment No. 2 to Five-Year Credit Agreement, dated as of June 23, 2008, between MGIC
Investment Corporation and the lenders named therein [Incorporated by reference to Exhibit
4.5.2 to the companys Current Report on Form 8-K filed on June 25, 2008] |
|
|
|
11
|
|
Statement Re Computation of Net Income Per Share |
|
|
|
31.1
|
|
Certification of CEO under Section 302 of Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 |
|
|
|
31.2
|
|
Certification of CFO under Section 302 of Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 |
|
|
|
32
|
|
Certification of CEO and CFO under Section 906 of Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 (as indicated in
Item 6 of Part II, this Exhibit is not being filed) |
|
|
|
99
|
|
Risk Factors included in Item 1 A of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended
December 31, 2007, as supplemented by Part II, Item 1A of our Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q
for the quarters ended March 31, and June 30, 2008 and through updating of various
statistical and other information |