Blueprint
 
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION 
 
Washington, D.C. 20549 
 
FORM 6-K 
 
REPORT OF FOREIGN PRIVATE ISSUER 
 
Pursuant to Rule 13a-16 or 15d-16 of
the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 
 
For the month of March, 2018 
 
PRUDENTIAL PUBLIC LIMITED COMPANY 
 
(Translation of registrant's name into English) 
 
LAURENCE POUNTNEY HILL,
LONDON, EC4R 0HH, ENGLAND
(Address of principal executive offices)


 
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant files or will file annual reports
under cover Form 20-F or Form 40-F.
Form 20-F X           Form 40-F


Indicate by check mark whether the registrant by furnishing the information
contained in this Form is also thereby furnishing the information to the
Commission pursuant to Rule 12g3-2(b) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.
 
Yes              No X


 
If "Yes" is marked, indicate below the file number assigned to the registrant
in connection with Rule 12g3-2(b): 82- 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
European Embedded Value (EEV) Basis Results
 
POST-TAX OPERATING PROFIT BASED ON LONGER-TERM INVESTMENT RETURNS
 
 
 
 
 
 
2017 £m
2016 £m
 
 
Note
 
note (iii)
Asia operations
 
 
 
New business
3
2,368
2,030
Business in force
4
1,337
1,044
Long-term business
 
3,705
3,074
Asset management
 
155
125
Total
 
3,860
3,199
 
 
 
 
 
US operations
 
 
 
New business
3
906
790
Business in force
4
1,237
1,181
Long-term business
 
2,143
1,971
Asset management
 
7
(3)
Total
 
2,150
1,968
 
 
 
 
 
UK and Europe operations
 
 
 
New business
3
342
268
Business in force
4
673
375
Long-term business
 
1,015
643
General insurance commission
 
13
23
Total insurance operations
 
1,028
666
Asset management
 
403
341
Total
 
1,431
1,007
 
 
 
 
 
Other income and expenditurenote (i)
 
(746)
(682)
Restructuring costsnote (ii)
 
(97)
(32)
Interest received from tax settlement
 
-
37
Operating profit based on longer-term investment returns
 
6,598
5,497
 
 
 
 
 
Analysed as profit (loss) from:
 
 
 
New business
3
3,616
3,088
Business in force
4
3,247
2,600
Long-term business
 
6,863
5,688
Asset management and general insurance commission
 
578
486
Other results
 
(843)
(677)
 
 
6,598
5,497
 
 
 
 
 
Notes
(i)     EEV basis other income and expenditure represents the post-tax IFRS basis results for other operations (including Group and Asia Regional Head Office, holding company borrowings, Africa operations and Prudential Capital) less the unwind of expected margins on the internal management of the assets of the covered business (as explained in note
         14(a)(vii)).
(ii)    Restructuring costs comprise the post-tax charge recognised on an IFRS basis and the additional amount recognised on an EEV basis for the shareholders' share incurred by the PAC with-profits fund. The costs are primarily incurred in UK and Europe and Asia and represent business transformation and integration costs.
(iii)   The comparative results have been prepared using previously reported average exchange rates for the year. The 2016 comparative results have been re-presented from those previously published following the reassessment of the Group's operating segments as described in note B1.3 of the IFRS financial statements. This approach has been adopted
         consistently throughout this supplementary information.
 
 
POST-TAX SUMMARISED CONSOLIDATED INCOME STATEMENT
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Note
2017 £m
2016 £m
Asia operations
 
3,860
3,199
US operations
 
2,150
1,968
UK and Europe operations
 
1,431
1,007
Other income and expenditure
 
(746)
(682)
Restructuring costs
 
(97)
(32)
Interest received from tax settlement
 
-
37
Operating profit based on longer-term investment returns
 
6,598
5,497
Short-term fluctuations in investment returns
5
2,111
(507)
Effect of changes in economic assumptions
6
(102)
(60)
Mark to market value movements on core structural borrowings
 
(326)
(4)
Impact of US tax reform
7
390
-
Profit (loss) attaching to disposal of businesses
17
80
(410)
Total non-operating profit (loss)
 
2,153
(981)
Profit for the year
 
8,751
4,516
 
 
 
 
Attributable to:
 
 
 
Equity holders of the Company
 
8,750
4,516
Non-controlling interests
 
1
-
 
 
8,751
4,516
 
 
Basic earnings per share
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2017
2016
Based on post-tax operating profit including longer-term investment returns
   after non-controlling interests (in pence)
 
257.0p
214.7p
Based on post-tax profit attributable to equity holders of the Company (in pence)
 
340.9p
176.4p
Weighted average number of shares (millions)
 
2,567
2,560
 
MOVEMENT IN SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Note
2017 £m
2016 £m
Profit for the year attributable to equity holders of the Company
 
8,750
4,516
Items taken directly to equity:
 
 
 
  Exchange movements on foreign operations and net investment hedges

 
(2,045)
4,211
  External dividends

 
(1,159)
(1,267)
  Mark to market value movements on Jackson assets backing surplus and required capital

 
40
(11)
  Other reserve movements

 
144
(367)
Net increase in shareholders' equity
9
5,730
7,082
Shareholders' equity at beginning of year
9
38,968
31,886
Shareholders' equity at end of year
9
44,698
38,968
 
 
 
31 Dec 2017 £m
 
31 Dec 2016 £m
Comprising:
Long-term
business operations
Asset
management
and other operations  
Group total
 
Long-term
business
operations
Asset
management
and other operations  
Group total
Asia operations
21,191
401
21,592
 
18,717
383
19,100
US operations
13,257
235
13,492
 
11,805
204
12,009
UK and Europe operations
11,713
1,914
13,627
 
10,320
1,845
12,165
Other operations
-
(4,013)
(4,013)
 
-
(4,306)
(4,306)
Shareholders' equity at end of year
46,161
(1,463)
44,698
 
40,842
(1,874)
38,968
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Representing:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net assets attributable to equity holders of the Company
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
excluding acquired goodwill, holding company net
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
borrowings and non-controlling interests
45,917
1,562
47,479
 
40,597
948
41,545
Acquired goodwill
244
1,214
1,458
 
245
1,230
1,475
Holding company net borrowings at market valuenote 8
-
(4,239)
(4,239)
 
-
(4,052)
(4,052)
 
46,161
(1,463)
44,698
 
40,842
(1,874)
38,968
 
 
SUMMARY STATEMENT OF FINANCIAL POSITION
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Note
31 Dec 2017 £m
31 Dec 2016 £m
Total assets less liabilities, before deduction for insurance funds*
 
434,608
407,928
Less insurance funds:
 
 
 
 
Policyholder liabilities (net of reinsurers' share) and unallocated surplus
 
 
 
 
 
of with-profits funds
 
(418,521)
(393,262)
 
Less shareholders' accrued interest in the long-term business
9
28,611
24,302
 
 
 
 
(389,910)
(368,960)
Total net assets attributable to equity holders of the Company
9
44,698
38,968
 
 
 
 
 
 
Share capital
 
129
129
Share premium
 
1,948
1,927
IFRS basis shareholders' reserves
 
14,010
12,610
Total IFRS basis shareholders' equity
9
16,087
14,666
Additional EEV basis retained profit
9
28,611
24,302
Total EEV basis shareholders' equity
9
44,698
38,968
 
 
 
 
 
 
*     Including liabilities in respect of insurance products classified as investment contracts under IFRS 4.
 
 
Net asset value per share
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
31 Dec 2017
31 Dec 2016
Based on EEV basis shareholders' equity of £44,698 million (2016: £38,968 million) (in pence)
 
1,728p
1,510p
Number of issued shares at year end (millions)
 
2,587
2,581
 
 
 
 
Annualised return on embedded value*
 
17%
17%
 
 
 
 
*       Annualised return on embedded value is based on EEV post-tax operating profit after non-controlling interests, as a percentage of opening EEV basis shareholders' equity.
 
 
NOTES ON THE EEV BASIS RESULTS
 
1 Basis of preparation
 
The EEV basis results have been prepared in accordance with the EEV Principles dated April 2016, issued by the European Insurance CFO Forum. Where appropriate, the EEV basis results include the effects of adoption of EU-endorsed IFRS.
 
The directors are responsible for the preparation of the supplementary information in accordance with the EEV Principles. The auditors have reported on the 2017 EEV basis results supplement to the Company's statutory accounts for 2017. Their report was (i) unqualified and (ii) did not include a reference to any matters to which the auditors drew attention by way of emphasis without qualifying their report. Except for the reclassification of results to reflect the reassessment of the Group's operating segments as described in the note in B1.3 of the IFRS financial statements, the 2016 results have been derived from the EEV basis results supplement to the Company's statutory accounts for 2016. The supplement included an unqualified audit report from the auditors.
 
A detailed description of the EEV methodology and accounting presentation is provided in note 14.
 
2  Results analysis by business area
 
The 2016 comparative results are shown below on both actual exchange rates (AER) and constant exchange rates (CER) bases. The 2016 CER comparative results are translated at 2017 average exchange rates.
 
Annual premium equivalents (APE)note 16
 
 
 
 
2017 £m
 
2016 £m
 
% change
 
Note
 
 
AER
CER
 
AER
CER
Asia
 
3,805
 
3,599
3,773
 
6%
1%
US
 
1,662
 
1,561
1,641
 
6%
1%
UK and Europe
 
1,491
 
1,160
1,160
 
29%
29%
Group total
3
6,958
 
6,320
6,574
 
10%
6%
 
 
Post-tax operating profit
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2017 £m
 
2016 £m
 
% change
 
Note
 
 
AER
CER
 
AER
CER
Asia operations
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
New business
3
2,368
 
2,030
2,123
 
17%
12%
Business in force
4
1,337
 
1,044
1,097
 
28%
22%
Long-term business
 
3,705
 
3,074
3,220
 
21%
15%
Asset management
 
155
 
125
132
 
24%
17%
Total
 
3,860
 
3,199
3,352
 
21%
15%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
US operations
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
New business
3
906
 
790
830
 
15%
9%
Business in force
4
1,237
 
1,181
1,241
 
5%
0%
Long-term business
 
2,143
 
1,971
2,071
 
9%
3%
Asset management
 
7
 
(3)
(4)
 
333%
275%
Total
 
2,150
 
1,968
2,067
 
9%
4%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
UK and Europe operations
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
New business
3
342
 
268
268
 
28%
28%
Business in force
4
673
 
375
375
 
79%
79%
Long-term business
 
1,015
 
643
643
 
58%
58%
General insurance commission
 
13
 
23
23
 
(43)%
(43)%
Total insurance operations
 
1,028
 
666
666
 
54%
54%
Asset management
 
403
 
341
341
 
18%
18%
Total
 
1,431
 
1,007
1,007
 
42%
42%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Other income and expenditure
 
(746)
 
(682)
(688)
 
(9)%
(8)%
Restructuring costs
 
(97)
 
(32)
(32)
 
(203)%
(203)%
Interest received from tax settlement
 
-
 
37
37
 
n/a
n/a
Operating profit based on
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
longer-term investment returns
 
6,598
 
5,497
5,743
 
20%
15%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Analysed as profit (loss) from:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
New business
3
3,616
 
3,088
3,221
 
17%
12%
Business in force
4
3,247
 
2,600
2,713
 
25%
20%
Total long-term business
 
6,863
 
5,688
5,934
 
21%
16%
Asset management and general insurance
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
commission
 
578
 
486
492
 
19%
17%
Other results
 
(843)
 
(677)
(683)
 
(25)%
(23)%
 
 
 
6,598
 
5,497
5,743
 
20%
15%
Post-tax profit
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2017 £m
 
2016 £m
 
% change
 
Note
 
 
AER
CER
 
AER
CER
Operating profit based on longer-term
    investment returns
 
6,598
 
5,497
5,743
 
20%
15%
Short-term fluctuations in investment returns
 5
2,111
 
(507)
(567)
 
 
 
Effect of changes in economic assumptions
 6
(102)
 
(60)
(54)
 
 
 
Mark to market value movements on
   core structural borrowings
 
(326)
 
(4)
(4)
 
 
 
Impact of US tax reform
7
390
 
-
-
 
 
 
Profit (loss) attaching to disposal of
   businesses
17
80
 
(410)
(445)
 
 
 
Total non-operating profit (loss)
 
2,153
 
(981)
(1,070)
 
319%
301%
Profit for the year
 
8,751
 
4,516
4,673
 
94%
87%
 
 
Basic earnings per share
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2017
 
2016
 
% change
 
 
 
 
AER
CER
 
AER
CER
Based on post-tax operating profit including
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
longer-term investment returns after
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
non-controlling interests (in pence)
 
257.0p
 
214.7p
224.3p
 
20%
15%
Based on post-tax profit attributable to
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
equity holders of the Company (in pence)
 
340.9p
 
176.4p
182.5p
 
93%
87%
 
 
3  Analysis of new business contribution
 
(i)    Group summary for long-term business operations
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2017
 
Annual premium
Present value
 of new business
New business
 
New business margin
 
equivalents (APE)
 premiums (PVNBP)
contribution
 
APE
PVNBP
 
£m
£m
£m
 
%
%
 
note 16
note 16
 
 
 
 
Asianote (ii)
3,805
20,405
2,368
 
62
11.6
US
1,662
16,622
906
 
55
5.5
UK and Europe
1,491
13,784
342
 
23
2.5
Total
6,958
50,811
3,616
 
52
7.1
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2016
 
Annual premium
Present value
 of new business
New business
 
New business margin
 
equivalents (APE)
 premiums (PVNBP)
contribution
 
APE
PVNBP
 
£m
£m
£m
 
%
%
 
note 16
note 16
 
 
 
 
Asianote (ii)
3,599
19,271
2,030
 
56
10.5
US
1,561
15,608
790
 
51
5.1
UK and Europe
1,160
10,513
268
 
23
2.5
Total
6,320
45,392
3,088
 
49
6.8
 
Note
After allowing for foreign exchange effects of £133 million, the new business contribution increased by £395 million on a CER basis. This increase is driven by higher sales volumes (a contribution of £188 million), a beneficial effect of changes in long-term interest rates (£48 million) and pricing, product mix and other actions of £159 million. The £159 million impact reflects the beneficial impact of our strategic emphasis on increasing sales from health and protection business in Asia, together with a positive £76 million effect arising in the US for the impact of US tax reform (see note 7).
 
(ii)  Asia new business contribution by business unit
 
 
2017 £m
 
2016 £m
 
 
 
AER
CER
China
133
 
63
65
Hong Kong
1,535
 
1,363
1,427
Indonesia
174
 
175
183
Taiwan
57
 
31
35
Other
469
 
398
413
Total Asia
2,368
 
2,030
2,123
 
 
4 Operating profit from business in force
 
(i)   Group summary for long-term business operations
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2017 £m
 
Asia
US
UK and Europe
Group total
 
note (ii)
note (iii)
note (iv)
 
Unwind of discount and other expected returns
1,007
694
465
2,166
Effect of changes in operating assumptions
241
196
195
632
Experience variances and other items
89
347
13
449
Group total
1,337
1,237
673
3,247
 
 
 
 
 
 
2016 £m
 
Asia
US
UK and Europe
Group total
 
note (ii)
note (iii)
note (iv)
 
Unwind of discount and other expected returns
866
583
445
1,894
Effect of changes in operating assumptions
54
170
25
249
Experience variances and other items
124
428
(95)
457
Group total
1,044
1,181
375
2,600
 
Note
The movement in operating profit from business in force of £647 million from £2,600 million for 2016 to £3,247 million for 2017 comprises:
 
 
 
 
 
£m
Movement in unwind of discount and other expected returns:
 
 
Effects of changes in:
 
 
 
Growth in opening value
251
 
 
Interest rates and other economic assumptions
(47)
 
 
Foreign exchange
68
 
 
 
272
Movement in effect of changes in operating assumptions, experience variances and other items (including foreign exchange of £45 million)
375
Net movement in operating profit from business in force
647
 
 
(ii)  Asia
 
 
 
 
2017 £m
2016 £m
Unwind of discount and other expected returnsnote (a)
1,007
866
Effect of changes in operating assumptionsnote (b)
241
54
Experience variances and other itemsnote (c)
89
124
Total
1,337
1,044
 
Notes
(a)    The £141 million increase in unwind of discount and other expected returns to £1,007 million for 2017 is driven by the growth in the in-force book, with offsetting effects arising from foreign exchange (£38 million) and movements in long-term interest rates and changes in other economic assumptions (£(38) million).
(b)      The effect of changes in operating assumptions of £241 million reflects the net benefit for EEV arising from the annual review of experience, together with the benefit of management actions reflecting our ongoing focus on managing the in-force book for value. It includes a £107 million benefit arising in China from adopting the principles for embedded value reporting under the China Risk Oriented Solvency System (C-ROSS) regime in 2017 (see note 14(a)(v)).
(c)      The £89 million effect of experience variances and other items in 2017 is driven by positive mortality and morbidity experiences in a number of business units, together with positive persistency variances from participating and health and protection products, partially offset by unfavourable persistency variances on unit-linked products. Experience variances also include expense overruns where these are expected to be short-lived, including businesses that are growing rapidly or are sub-scale.
 
(iii)  US
 
 
 
 
2017 £m
2016 £m
Unwind of discount and other expected returnsnote (a)
694
583
Effect of changes in operating assumptionsnote (b)
196
170
Experience variances and other items:
 
 
 
Spread experience variance
71
119
 
Amortisation of interest-related realised gains and losses
91
88
 
Othernote (c)
185
221
 
 
347
428
Total
1,237
1,181
 
Notes                                                                                                                                         
(a)  The £111 million increase in unwind of discount and other expected returns to £694 million for 2017 represents a positive £87 million effect for the growth in the in-force book (after allowing for the benefit of US tax reform) and a net £24 million effect for foreign exchange and interest rate movements.
(b)   The effect of assumption changes of £196 million in 2017 mainly relates to assumption updates for persistency, mortality and policyholder utilisation.
(c)   Other experience variances of £185 million in 2017 include the effects of positive mortality and persistency experience in the period, together with the benefit of tax credits relating to the dividend received deduction for variable annuity business.
 
(iv)   UK and Europe
 
 
 
 
2017 £m
2016 £m
Unwind of discount and other expected returnsnote (a)
465
445
Change in longevity assumptions basisnote (b)
195
-
Reduction in corporate tax rate
-
25
Other itemsnote (c)
13
(95)
Total
673
375
 
Notes
(a)   The £20 million increase in unwind of discount and other expected returns to £465 million for 2017 is mainly driven by the underlying growth in the in-force book.
(b)   The £195 million relates to changes to annuitant mortality assumptions primarily reflecting the adoption of the Continuous Mortality Investigation 2015 model as the basis for future mortality improvements.
(c)   Other items comprise the following:
 
 
 
2017 £m
2016 £m
 
Longevity reinsurance
(6)
(90)
 
Impact of specific management actions to improve solvency position
127
110
 
Provision for cost of undertaking past non-advised annuity sales review and potential redressnote (d)
(187)
(145)
 
Other
79
30
 
 
13
(95)
 
(d)   In response to the findings of the FCA's Thematic Review of Annuities Sales Practices, the UK business has agreed to review all internally vesting annuities sold without advice after 1 July 2008. The FCA formally released its redress calculation methodology in early 2018 and Prudential reassessed the provision held. Reflecting this, the UK 2017 result includes a £(187) million (post-tax) increase in the provision held for the estimated cost of the review and any appropriate customer redress. The provision held continues to exclude any potential for insurance recoveries. For more information, see note B3 of the IFRS financial statements.
 
 
5 Short-term fluctuations in investment returns
 
Short-term fluctuations in investment returns included in profit for the year arise as follows:
 
(i)   Group summary
 
 
 
2017 £m
2016 £m
Asia operationsnote (ii)
887
(100)
US operationsnote (iii)
582
(1,102)
UK and Europe operationsnote (iv)
621
876
Other operations
21
(181)
Group total
2,111
(507)
 
(ii)   Asia operations
The short-term fluctuations in investment returns for Asia operations comprise:
 
 
 
2017 £m
2016 £m
Hong Kong
531
(105)
Singapore
126
52
Other
230
(47)
Total
887
(100)
 
Note
For 2017, the credit of £887 million mainly reflects unrealised gains on bonds driven by the decrease in bond yields across many of the business units (see note 15(i)), together with higher equity returns than assumed for Hong Kong with-profits business and higher investment returns than assumed in Singapore for with-profits and unit-linked businesses.
 
(iii)  US operations
The short-term fluctuations in investment returns for US operations comprise:
 
 
 
 
2017 £m
2016 £m
Investment return related experience on fixed income securitiesnote (a)
(46)
(85)
Investment return related impact due to changed expectation of profits on in-force
 
 
 
variable annuity business in future periods based on current year
 
 
 
separate account return, net of related hedging activity and other itemsnote (b)
628
(1,017)
Total
582
(1,102)
 
Notes
(a)   The net result relating to fixed income securities reflects a number of offsetting items as follows:
-      the impact on portfolio yields of changes in the asset portfolio in the year;
-      the difference between actual realised gains and losses and the amortisation of interest-related realised gains and losses that is recorded within operating profit; and
-      credit experience (versus the longer-term assumption).
(b)   This item reflects the net impact of:
-      changes in projected future fees and future benefit costs arising from the difference between the actual growth in separate account asset values of 17.5 per cent and that assumed of 5.9 per cent for the year (2016: actual growth of 8.9 per cent compared to assumed growth of 6.0 per cent); and
-      related hedging activity arising from realised and unrealised gains and losses on equity-related hedges and interest rate options, and other items.
 
(iv) UK and Europe operations
The short-term fluctuations in investment returns for UK and Europe operations comprise:
 
 
 
2017 £m
2016 £m
Insurance operations:
 
 
 
Shareholder-backed annuity businessnote (a)
387
431
 
With-profits and other businessnote (b)
229
438
Asset management
5
7
Total
621
876
 
Notes
(a)   Short-term fluctuations in investment returns for shareholder-backed annuity business include:
-      gains on surplus assets compared to the expected long-term rate of return reflecting reductions in corporate bond and gilt yields; and
-      the difference between actual and expected default experience.
(b)   The positive £229 million fluctuation in 2017 for with-profits and other business represents the impact of achieving a 9 per cent pre-tax return on the with-profits fund (including unallocated surplus) compared to the assumed rate of return of 5 per cent for the year (2016: achieved return of 14 per cent compared to assumed rate of 5 per cent), partially offset by the effect of a partial hedge of future shareholder transfers expected to emerge from the UK's with-profits sub-fund entered into to protect future shareholder with-profit transfers from movements in the UK equity market.
 
6  Effect of changes in economic assumptions
 
The effects of changes in economic assumptions for in-force business included in the profit for the year arise as follows:
 
(i)    Group summary for long-term business operations
 
 
 
2017 £m
2016 £m
Asianote (ii)
(95)
70
USnote (iii)
(136)
45
UK and Europenote (iv)
129
(175)
Group total
(102)
(60)
 
(ii)   Asia
The effect of changes in economic assumptions for Asia comprises:
 
 
 
2017 £m
2016 £m
Hong Kong
(321)
85
Indonesia
81
46
Malaysia
59
(20)
Singapore
131
(60)
Taiwan
(12)
12
Other
(33)
7
Total
(95)
70
 
Note
The negative effect in 2017 of £(95) million largely arises from movements in long-term interest rates, driven by lower assumed fund earned rates in Hong Kong, partially offset by profits arising from the beneficial impact of valuing future profits at lower discount rates in Indonesia, Malaysia and Singapore (see note 15(i)). In addition, various changes to the basis of setting economic assumptions were made with an overall impact of £5 million (see note 14(a)(viii), note 15(i) and note 15(iv)).
 
(iii)  US
The effect of changes in economic assumptions for US comprises:
 
 
 
2017 £m
2016 £m
Variable annuity business
(101)
86
Fixed annuity and other general account business
(35)
(41)
Total
(136)
45
 
Note
For 2017, the charge of £(136) million mainly reflects the decrease in the assumed separate account return and reinvestment rates, following the 10 basis points decrease in the US 10-year treasury yield in the year, resulting in lower projected fee income and an increase in projected benefit costs for variable annuity business. For fixed annuity and other general account business, the impact reflects the effect on the present value of future projected spread income from the combined movement in interest rates and credit spreads.
 
(iv)  UK and Europe
The effect of changes in economic assumptions for UK and Europe comprises:
 
 
 
2017 £m
2016 £m
Shareholder-backed annuity business
28
(113)
With-profits and other business
101
(62)
Total
129
(175)
 
Note
The credit of £129 million mainly reflects the movement in expected long-term rates of return and risk discount rates as shown in note 15 (iii).
 
 
7 Impact of US tax reform
 
On 22 December 2017, a significant US tax reform package, The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, was enacted into law effective from 1 January 2018. The tax reform package as a whole, which includes a reduction in the corporate income tax rate from 35 per cent to 21 per cent, and a number of specific measures affecting US life insurers, results in a £390 million benefit in non-operating profit. The positive impact on an EEV basis represents the benefit of future profits being taxed at a lower rate, partially offset by a reduction in the net deferred tax asset held in the balance sheet to reflect remeasurement at the new lower tax rate, together with a reduction in the benefit from the dividend received deduction on taxable profits from variable annuity business.
 
In accordance with our usual methodology, the new business contribution and unwind of discount and other expected returns are determined by applying operating and economic assumptions as at the end of the year, including the effect of US tax reform. This led to an increase in new business profit of £76 million. 
 
 
8 Net core structural borrowings of shareholder-financed operations
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
31 Dec 2017 £m
 
31 Dec 2016 £m
 
IFRS
basis
Mark to
market
value
adjustment
EEV
basis at
market
value
 
IFRS
basis
Mark to
market
value
adjustment
EEV
basis at
market
value
Holding company (including central finance subsidiaries)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
cash and short-term investments
(2,264)
-
(2,264)
 
(2,626)
-
(2,626)
Central funds
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Subordinated debt
5,272
515
5,787
 
5,772
182
5,954
 
Senior debt
549
167
716
 
549
175
724
 
5,821
682
6,503
 
6,321
357
6,678
Holding company net borrowings
3,557
682
4,239
 
3,695
357
4,052
Prudential Capital bank loan
275
-
275
 
275
-
275
Jackson surplus notes
184
61
245
 
202
65
267
Group total
4,016
743
4,759
 
4,172
422
4,594
 
Note
In October 2017, the Company issued core structural borrowings of US$750 million 4.875 per cent Tier 2 perpetual subordinated notes. The proceeds, net of costs, were £565 million. In December 2017, the Company repaid its US$1,000 million 6.5 per cent Tier 2 perpetual subordinated notes. The movement in IFRS basis core structural borrowings from 2016 to 2017 also includes foreign exchange effects.
 
 
9  Reconciliation of movement in shareholders' equity
 
 
 
 
 2017 £m
 
Asia
operations
 
US
operations
 
UK and Europe operations
 
Other
operations
 
Group
total
 
note (i)
 
 
 
 
 
note (i)
 
note (iv)
Operating profit (based on longer-term
   investment returns)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Long-term business:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
New businessnote 3
2,368
 
906
 
342
 
-
 
3,616
 
Business in forcenote 4
1,337
 
1,237
 
673
 
-
 
3,247
 
3,705
 
2,143
 
1,015
 
-
 
6,863
Asset management and general
   insurance commission
155
 
7
 
416
 
-
 
578
Restructuring costs
(14)
 
-
 
(73)
 
(10)
 
(97)
Other results
-
 
-
 
-
 
(746)
 
(746)
Operating profit based on longer-term
   investment returns
3,846
 
2,150
 
1,358
 
(756)
 
6,598
Non-operating items
792
 
917
 
750
 
(306)
 
2,153
 
 
4,638
 
3,067
 
2,108
 
(1,062)
 
8,751
Non-controlling interests
-
 
-
 
-
 
(1)
 
(1)
Profit for the year
4,638
 
3,067
 
2,108
 
(1,063)
 
8,750
Other items taken directly to equity:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Exchange movements on foreign operations
   and net investment hedges
(1,192)
 
(1,159)
 
6
 
300
 
(2,045)
Intra-group dividends and investment in
   operationsnote (ii)
(842)
 
(466)
 
(678)
 
1,986
 
-
External dividends
-
 
-
 
-
 
(1,159)
 
(1,159)
Mark to market value movements on Jackson
   assets backing surplus and required capital
-
 
40
 
-
 
-
 
40
Other movementsnote (iii)
(111)
 
1
 
26
 
228
 
144
Net increase in shareholders' equity
2,493
 
1,483
 
1,462
 
292
 
5,730
Shareholders' equity at beginning of year
18,855
 
12,009
 
12,165
 
(4,061)
 
38,968
Shareholders' equity at end of year
21,348
 
13,492
 
13,627
 
(3,769)
 
44,698
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Representing:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
IFRS basis shareholders' equity:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net assets (liabilities)
5,620
 
5,248
 
7,092
 
(3,331)
 
14,629
 
Goodwill
61
 
-
 
1,153
 
244
 
1,458
Total IFRS basis shareholders' equity
5,681
 
5,248
 
8,245
 
(3,087)
 
16,087
Additional retained profit (loss) on an
   EEV basis
15,667
 
8,244
 
5,382
 
(682)
 
28,611
EEV basis shareholders' equity
21,348
 
13,492
 
13,627
 
(3,769)
 
44,698
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Balance at beginning of year:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
IFRS basis shareholders' equity:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net assets (liabilities)
5,069
 
5,392
 
6,679
 
(3,949)
 
13,191
 
Goodwill
61
 
16
 
1,153
 
245
 
1,475
Total IFRS basis shareholders' equity
5,130
 
5,408
 
7,832
 
(3,704)
 
14,666
Additional retained profit (loss) on an
   EEV basis
13,725
 
6,601
 
4,333
 
(357)
 
24,302
EEV basis shareholders' equity
18,855
 
12,009
 
12,165
 
(4,061)
 
38,968
 
Notes
(i)     Other operations of £(3,769) million represents the shareholders' equity of £(4,013) million as shown in the movement in shareholders' equity and includes goodwill of £244 million (2016: £245 million) related to Asia long-term operations.
(ii)    Intra-group dividends represent dividends that have been declared in the year and investment in operations reflect increases in share capital. The amounts included in note 11 for these items are as per the holding company cash flow at transaction rates. The difference primarily relates to intra-group loans, foreign exchange and other non-cash items.
(iii)   Other movements include reserve movements in respect of the shareholders' share of actuarial gains and losses on defined benefit pension schemes, share capital subscribed, share-based payments and treasury shares and intra-group transfers between operations which have no overall effect on the Group's embedded value.
(iv)   Group total EEV basis shareholders' equity can be further analysed as follows:
 
 
 
 
 
31 Dec 2017 £m
 
31 Dec 2016 £m
 
 
Total
long-term business operations
 
Asset management
and general
insurance
commission
Other
operations
Group
total
 
Total
 long-term
business
operations
 
Asset management
and general
insurance
commission
Other
operations
Group
total
 
 
note 10
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total IFRS basis
   shareholders' equity
16,624
2,550
(3,087)
16,087
 
15,938
2,432
(3,704)
14,666
 
Additional retained profit
   (loss) on an EEV basisnote (v)
29,293
-
(682)
28,611
 
24,659
-
(357)
24,302
 
Total EEV basis
   shareholders' equity
45,917
2,550
(3,769)
44,698
 
40,597
2,432
(4,061)
38,968
 
(v)   The additional retained loss on an EEV basis for other operations represents the mark to market value adjustment for holding company net borrowings of a cumulative charge of £(682) million (2016: £(357) million), as shown in note 8.
 
 
10 Analysis of movement in net worth and value of in-force for long-term business
 
 
 
 
2017 £m
 
 
Free
surplus
Required
capital
Total
net worth
 
Value of
in-force business
Total
embedded
value
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Group
 
 
 
 
 
 
Shareholders' equity at beginning of year
5,364
10,296
15,660
 
24,937
40,597
New business contribution
(913)
700
(213)
 
3,829
3,616
Existing business - transfer to net worth
3,279
(742)
2,537
 
(2,537)
-
Expected return on existing businessnote 4
138
201
339
 
1,827
2,166
Changes in operating assumptions and experience variancesnote 4
635
(117)
518
 
563
1,081
Restructuring costs
(38)
-
(38)
 
(10)
(48)
Operating profit based on longer-term investment returns
3,101
42
3,143
 
3,672
6,815
Sale of Korea life businessnote 17
76
(76)
-
 
-
-
Other non-operating items
(426)
251
(175)
 
2,601
2,426
Profit for the year
2,751
217
2,968
 
6,273
9,241
Exchange movements on foreign operations and
   net investment hedges
(274)
(248)
(522)
 
(1,800)
(2,322)
Intra-group dividends and investment in operations
(1,535)
-
(1,535)
 
-
(1,535)
Other movements
(64)
-
(64)
 
-
(64)
Shareholders' equity at end of year
6,242
10,265
16,507
 
29,410
45,917
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Asia
 
 
 
 
 
 
New business contribution
(484)
152
(332)
 
2,700
2,368
Existing business - transfer to net worth
1,275
(146)
1,129
 
(1,129)
-
Expected return on existing businessnote 4
51
48
99
 
908
1,007
Changes in operating assumptions and experience variancesnote 4
81
151
232
 
98
330
Operating profit based on longer-term investment returns
923
205
1,128
 
2,577
3,705
Sale of Korea life businessnote 17
76
(76)
-
 
-
-
Other non-operating items
254
137
391
 
401
792
Profit for the year
1,253
266
1,519
 
2,978
4,497
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
US
 
 
 
 
 
 
New business contribution
(254)
304
50
 
856
906
Existing business - transfer to net worth
1,329
(219)
1,110
 
(1,110)
-
Expected return on existing businessnote 4
56
53
109
 
585
694
Changes in operating assumptions and experience variancesnote 4
190
12
202
 
341
543
Operating profit based on longer-term investment returns
1,321
150
1,471
 
672
2,143
Non-operating items
(1,247)
(222)
(1,469)
 
2,358
889
Profit for the year
74
(72)
2
 
3,030
3,032
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
UK and Europe
 
 
 
 
 
 
New business contribution
(175)
244
69
 
273
342
Existing business - transfer to net worth
675
(377)
298
 
(298)
-
Expected return on existing businessnote 4
31
100
131
 
334
465
Changes in operating assumptions and experience variancesnote 4
364
(280)
84
 
124
208
Restructuring costs
(38)
-
(38)
 
(10)
(48)
Operating profit based on longer-term investment returns
857
(313)
544
 
423
967
Non-operating items
567
336
903
 
(158)
745
Profit for the year
1,424
23
1,447
 
265
1,712
 

Note
The net value of in-force business comprises the value of future margins from current in-force business less the cost of holding required capital for long-term business as shown below:
 
 
 
31 Dec 2017 £m
 
31 Dec 2016 £m
 
 
Asia
US
UK and Europe
Total
 
Asia
US
UK and Europe
Total
Value of in-force business before
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
deduction of cost of capital and
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
time value of guarantees
17,539
10,486
3,648
31,673
 
15,371
8,584
3,468
27,423
Cost of capital
(588)
(232)
(607)
(1,427)
 
(477)
(319)
(692)
(1,488)
Cost of time value of guarantees
(186)
(650)
-
(836)
 
(87)
(911)
-
(998)
Net value of in-force business
16,765
9,604
3,041
29,410
 
14,807
7,354
2,776
24,937
Total net worth
4,182
3,653
8,672
16,507
 
3,665
4,451
7,544
15,660
Total embedded valuenote 9(iv)
20,947
13,257
11,713
45,917
 
18,472
11,805
10,320
40,597
 
 
11 Analysis of movement in free surplus
 
For EEV covered business, free surplus is the excess of the regulatory basis net assets for EEV reporting purposes (net worth) over the capital required to support the covered business. Where appropriate, adjustments are made to the net worth so that backing assets are included at fair value rather than cost so as to comply with the EEV Principles. In Asia and US operations, assets deemed to be inadmissible on local regulatory basis are included in net worth where considered fully recognisable on an EEV basis. Free surplus for asset management operations and the UK general insurance commission is taken to be IFRS basis post-tax earnings and shareholders' equity, net of goodwill. Free surplus for other operations (including Group and Asia Regional Head Office, holding company borrowings, Africa operations and Prudential Capital) is taken to be EEV basis post-tax earnings and shareholders' equity net of goodwill, with subordinated debt recorded as free surplus to the extent that it is classified as available capital under Solvency II.
 
Free surplus for insurance and asset management operations and Group total free surplus, including other operations, are shown in the tables below.
 
(i)   Underlying free surplus generated - insurance and asset management operations
The 2016 comparative results are shown below on both actual exchange rates (AER) and constant exchange rates (CER) bases. The 2016 CER comparative results are translated at 2017 average exchange rates.
 
 
 
2017 £m
 
2016 £m
 
% change
 
 
 
AER
CER
 
AER
CER
Asia operations
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Underlying free surplus generated from
   in-force life business
1,407
 
1,210
1,273
 
16%
11%
Investment in new businessnote (iii)(a)
(484)
 
(476)
(500)
 
(2)%
3%
Long-term business
923
 
734
773
 
26%
19%
Asset management
155
 
125
132
 
24%
17%
Total
1,078
 
859
905
 
25%
19%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
US operations
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Underlying free surplus generated from
   in-force life business
1,575
 
1,866
1,961
 
(16)%
(20)%
Investment in new businessnote (iii)(a)
(254)
 
(298)
(313)
 
15%
19%
Long-term business
1,321
 
1,568
1,648
 
(16)%
(20)%
Asset management
7
 
(3)
(4)
 
333%
275%
Total
1,328
 
1,565
1,644
 
(15)%
(19)%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
UK and Europe operations
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Underlying free surplus generated from
   in-force life business
1,070
 
923
923
 
16%
16%
Investment in new businessnote (iii)(a)
(175)
 
(129)
(129)
 
(36)%
(36)%
Long-term business
895
 
794
794
 
13%
13%
General insurance commission
13
 
23
23
 
(43)%
(43)%
Asset management
403
 
341
341
 
18%
18%
Total
1,311
 
1,158
1,158
 
13%
13%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Underlying free surplus generated from
   insurance and asset management
   operations before restructuring costs
3,717
 
3,582
3,707
 
4%
0%
Restructuring costs
(77)
 
(16)
(16)
 
(381)%
(381)%
Underlying free surplus generated from
   insurance and asset management operations
3,640
 
3,566
3,691
 
2%
(1)%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Representing:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Long-term business:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Expected in-force cash flows (including
   expected return on net assets)
3,417
 
3,159
3,278
 
8%
4%
Effects of changes in operating assumptions,
   operating experience variances and other
   items before restructuring costs
635
 
840
879
 
(24)%
(28)%
Underlying free surplus generated from
   in-force life business before restructuring costs
4,052
 
3,999
4,157
 
1%
(3)%
Investment in new businessnote (iii)(a)
(913)
 
(903)
(942)
 
(1)%
3%
Total long-term business
3,139
 
3,096
3,215
 
1%
(2)%
Asset management and general insurance
   commission
578
 
486
492
 
19%
17%
Restructuring costs
(77)
 
(16)
(16)
 
(381)%
(381)%
 
3,640
 
3,566
3,691
 
2%
(1)%
 
(ii)   Underlying free surplus generated - Group total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2017 £m
 
2016 £m
 
% change
 
 
 
AER
CER
 
AER
CER
Underlying free surplus generated from
   insurance and asset management operationsnote (i)
3,640
 
3,566
3,691
 
2%
(1)%
Other income and expenditure
(756)
 
(681)
(687)
 
(11)%
(10)%
Interest received from tax settlement
-
 
37
37
 
n/a
n/a
Group total
2,884
 
2,922
3,041
 
(1)%
(5)%
 
(iii)  Movement in free surplus
 
 
2017 £m
 
Asia
operations
US
operations
UK and
Europe
operations
Total insurance
and asset
management
operations
Other
operations
Group
total
Underlying free surplus generated before restructuring costs
1,078
1,328
1,311
3,717
(746)
2,971
Restructuring costs
(14)
-
(63)
(77)
(10)
(87)
Underlying free surplus generatednotes (i)(ii)
1,064
1,328
1,248
3,640
(756)
2,884
Profit attaching to disposal of businessesnote 17
76
96
-
172
-
172
Other non-operating itemsnote (b)
254
(1,299)
572
(473)
27
(446)
 
1,394
125
1,820
3,339
(729)
2,610
Net cash flows to parent companynote (c)
(645)
(475)
(668)
(1,788)
1,788
-
External dividends
-
-
-
-
(1,159)
(1,159)
Exchange rate movements, timing differences and
   other itemsnote (d)
(421)
(140)
22
(539)
226
(313)
Net movement in free surplus
328
(490)
1,174
1,012
126
1,138
Balance at beginning of year
2,142
2,418
2,006
6,566
1,648
8,214
Balance at end of year
2,470
1,928
3,180
7,578
1,774
9,352
 
 
 
 
2016 £m
 
Asia
operations
US
operations
UK and
Europe
operations
Total insurance
and asset
management
operations
Other
operations
Group
total
Underlying free surplus generated before restructuring costs
859
1,565
1,158
3,582
(628)
2,954
Restructuring costs
-
-
(16)
(16)
(16)
(32)
Underlying free surplus generatednotes (i)(ii)
859
1,565
1,142
3,566
(644)
2,922
Loss attaching to the sold Korea life business
(86)
-
-
(86)
-
(86)
Other non-operating itemsnote (b)
(91)
(770)
(64)
(925)
(214)
(1,139)
 
682
795
1,078
2,555
(858)
1,697
Net cash flows to parent companynote (c)
(516)
(420)
(782)
(1,718)
1,718
-
External dividends
-
-
-
-
(1,267)
(1,267)
Exchange rate movements, timing differences and
   other itemsnote (d)
162
310
21
493
1,119
1,612
Net movement in free surplus
328
685
317
1,330
712
2,042
Balance at beginning of year
1,814
1,733
1,689
5,236
936
6,172
Balance at end of year
2,142
2,418
2,006
6,566
1,648
8,214
 
Notes
(a)   Free surplus invested in new business primarily represents acquisition costs and amounts set aside for required capital.
(b)   Non-operating items include short-term fluctuations in investment returns and the effect of changes in economic assumptions for long-term business operations and the effect of business disposals. In addition, for 2017 this includes the impact of US tax reform.
(c)   Net cash flows to parent company for long-term business operations reflect the flows as included in the holding company cash flow at transaction rates.
(d)   Exchange rate movements, timing differences and other items represent:
 
 
 
 
 
2017 £m
 
 
Asia
operations
US
operations
UK and
Europe
operations
Total insurance
and asset
management operations
Other
operations
Group
total
 
Exchange rate movements
(113)
(190)
6
(297)
(13)
(310)
 
Mark to market value movements on Jackson assets
   backing surplus and required capitalnote 9
-
40
-
40
-
40
 
Other itemsnote (e)
(308)
10
16
(282)
239
(43)
 
 
 
(421)
(140)
22
(539)
226
(313)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2016 £m
 
 
Asia
operations
US
operations
UK and Europe
operations
Total insurance
and asset management operations
Other
operations
Group
total
 
Exchange rate movements
338
368
10
716
48
764
 
Mark to market value movements on Jackson assets
   backing surplus and required capital
-
(11)
-
(11)
-
(11)
 
Other itemsnote (e)
(176)
(47)
11
(212)
1,071
859
 
 
 
162
310
21
493
1,119
1,612
 
(e)   Other items include the effect of movements in subordinated debt for other operations, intra-group loans and other intra-group transfers between operations, non-cash items.
 
 
12 Expected transfer of value of in-force business and required capital to free surplus
 
The discounted value of in-force business and required capital for long-term business operations can be reconciled to the 2017 and 2016 totals for the emergence of free surplus as follows:
 
 
 
2017 £m
2016 £m
Required capitalnote 10
10,265
10,296
Value of in-force business (VIF)note 10
29,410
24,937
Add back: deduction for cost of time value of guaranteesnote 10
836
998
Free surplus generation from the sale of Korea life business
-
(76)
Other items*
(1,371)
(1,430)
Total long-term business operations
39,140
34,725
 
*         'Other items' represent amounts incorporated into VIF where there is no definitive timeframe for when the payments will be made or receipts received. In particular, other items include the deduction of the shareholders' interest in the with-profits estate, the value of which is derived by increasing final bonus rates so as to exhaust the estate over the lifetime of the in-force with-profits business. This is an assumption to give an appropriate valuation. To be conservative this item is excluded from the expected free surplus generation profile below. 
 
Cash flows are projected on a deterministic basis and are discounted at the appropriate risk discount rate. The modelled cash flows use the same methodology underpinning the Group's EEV reporting and so are subject to the same assumptions and sensitivities.
 
The table below shows how the VIF generated by the in-force business and the associated required capital for long-term business operations is modelled as emerging into free surplus over future years.
 
 
 
 
2017 £m
 
 
Expected period of conversion of future post-tax distributable earnings
and required capital flows to free surplus
 
2017 total as shown above
1-5 years
6-10 years
11-15 years
16-20 years
21-40 years
40+ years
Asia
18,692
5,583
3,638
2,418
1,655
3,845
1,553
US
12,455
6,247
3,993
1,697
401
117
-
UK and Europe
7,993
3,012
2,066
1,289
899
704
23
Total
39,140
14,842
9,697
5,404
2,955
4,666
1,576
 
100%
38%
25%
14%
7%
12%
4%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2016 £m
 
 
Expected period of conversion of future post-tax distributable earnings
and required capital flows to free surplus
 
2016 total as shown above
1-5 years
6-10 years
11-15 years
16-20 years
21-40 years
40+ years
Asia
16,393
5,141
3,331
2,209
1,515
3,118
1,079
US
10,556
5,542
3,203
1,240
372
199
-
UK and Europe
7,776
2,890
1,931
1,119
901
899
36
Total
34,725
13,573
8,465
4,568
2,788
4,216
1,115
 
100%
39%
25%
13%
8%
12%
3%
 
 
13 Sensitivity of results to alternative assumptions
 
(a)   Sensitivity analysis - economic assumptions
 
The tables below show the sensitivity of the embedded value as at 31 December 2017 and 31 December 2016 and the new business contribution after the effect of required capital for 2017 and 2016 for long-term business operations to:
 
-    1 per cent increase in the discount rates;
-    1 per cent increase in interest rates and risk discount rates, including consequential changes (assumed investment returns for all asset classes, market values of fixed interest assets);
-    0.5 per cent decrease in interest rates and risk discount rates, including consequential changes (assumed investment returns for all asset classes, market values of fixed interest assets);
-    1 per cent rise in equity and property yields;
-    10 per cent fall in market value of equity and property assets (embedded value only);
-    The statutory minimum capital level in contrast to EEV basis required capital (for embedded value only); and
-    5 basis points increase in UK long-term expected defaults.
 
In each sensitivity calculation, all other assumptions remain unchanged except where they are directly affected by the revised economic conditions.
 
 
New business contribution from long-term business operations
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2017 £m
 
2016 £m
 
Asia
US
UK and
Europe
Total
 
Asia
US
UK and
Europe
Total
New business contributionnote 3
2,368
906
342
3,616
 
2,030
790
268
3,088
Discount rates - 1% increase
(477)
(34)
(48)
(559)
 
(375)
(43)
(32)
(450)
Interest rates - 1% increase
(103)
124
44
65
 
51
64
27
142
Interest rates - 0.5% decrease
(59)
(85)
(23)
(167)
 
(30)
(49)
(15)
(94)
Equity/property yields - 1% rise
130
130
52
312
 
129
91
28
248
Long-term expected defaults - 5 bps increase
-
-
(1)
(1)
 
-
-
(2)
(2)
 
 
Embedded value of long-term business operations
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
31 Dec 2017 £m
 
31 Dec 2016 £m
 
Asia
US
UK and
Europe
Total
 
Asia
US
UK and
Europe
Total
Shareholders' equitynote 10
20,947
13,257
11,713
45,917
 
18,472
11,805
10,320
40,597
Discount rates - 1% increase
 (2,560)
 (440)
 (774)
 (3,774)
 
 (2,078)
 (379)
 (809)
 (3,266)
Interest rates - 1% increase
 (944)
26
 (635)
 (1,553)
 
 (701)
 (241)
 (638)
 (1,580)
Interest rates - 0.5% decrease
121
 (166)
384
339
 
248
25
369
642
Equity/property yields - 1% rise
873
896
425
2,194
 
771
653
314
1,738
Equity/property market values - 10% fall
 (429)
 (209)
 (479)
 (1,117)
 
 (361)
 (11)
 (399)
 (771)
Statutory minimum capital
169
158
-
327
 
150
223
-
373
Long-term expected defaults - 5 bps increase
-
-
 (135)
 (135)
 
-
-
 (138)
 (138)
 
The sensitivities shown above are for the impact of instantaneous changes on the embedded value of long-term business operations and include the combined effect on the value of in-force business and net assets at the balance sheet dates indicated. If the change in assumptions shown in the sensitivities were to occur, then the effect shown above would be recorded within two components of the profit analysis for the following year, namely the effect of economic assumption changes and short-term fluctuations in investment returns. In addition to the sensitivity effects shown above, the other components of the profit for the following year would be calculated by reference to the altered assumptions, for example new business contribution and unwind of discount, together with the effect of other changes such as altered corporate bond spreads. In addition for changes in interest rates, the effect shown above for Jackson would also be recorded within the fair value movements on assets backing surplus and required capital, which are taken directly to shareholders' equity.
 
(b)           Sensitivity analysis - non-economic assumptions
 
The tables below show the sensitivity of the embedded value as at 31 December 2017 and 31 December 2016 and the new business contribution after the effect of required capital for 2017 and 2016 for long-term business operations to:
 
-    10 per cent proportionate decrease in maintenance expenses (a 10 per cent sensitivity on a base assumption of £10 per annum would represent an expense assumption of £9 per annum);
-    10 per cent proportionate decrease in lapse rates (a 10 per cent sensitivity on a base assumption of 5 per cent would represent a lapse rate of 4.5 per cent per annum); and
-    5 per cent proportionate decrease in base mortality and morbidity rates (ie increased longevity).
 
 
 
New business contribution from long-term business operations
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2017 £m
 
2016 £m
 
 
Asia
US
UK and
Europe
Total
 
Asia
US
UK and
Europe
Total
New business contributionnote 3
2,368
906
342
3,616
 
2,030
790
268
3,088
Maintenance expenses - 10% decrease
38
14
3
55
 
33
10
3
46
Lapse rates - 10% decrease
133
24
20
177
 
132
26
11
169
Mortality and morbidity - 5% decrease
69
4
(2)
71
 
57
4
(4)
57
Change representing effect on:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Life business
69
4
1
74
 
57
4
-
61
 
UK annuities
-
-
(3)
(3)
 
-
-
(4)
(4)
 
 
Embedded value of long-term business operations
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
31 Dec 2017 £m
 
31 Dec 2016 £m
 
 
Asia
US
UK and Europe
Total
 
Asia
US
UK and Europe
Total
Shareholders' equitynote 10
20,947
13,257
11,713
45,917
 
18,472
11,805
10,320
40,597
Maintenance expenses - 10% decrease
213
169
64
446
 
187
104
91
382
Lapse rates - 10% decrease
753
659
64
1,476
 
659
533
79
1,271
Mortality and morbidity - 5% decrease
668
214
(442)
440
 
554
192
(302)
444
Change representing effect on:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Life business
668
214
13
895
 
554
192
12
758
 
UK annuities
-
-
(455)
(455)
 
-
-
(314)
(314)
 
 
14  Methodology and accounting presentation
 
(a)           Methodology
 
Overview
The embedded value is the present value of the shareholders' interest in the earnings distributable from assets allocated to covered business after sufficient allowance has been made for the aggregate risks in that business. The shareholders' interest in the Group's long-term business comprises:
-    the present value of future shareholder cash flows from in-force covered business (value of in-force business), less deductions for:
-      the cost of locked-in required capital; and
-      the time value of cost of options and guarantees;
-    locked-in required capital; and
-    the shareholders' net worth in excess of required capital (free surplus).
 
The value of future new business is excluded from the embedded value.
 
Notwithstanding the basis of presentation of results as explained in note 14(b)(iii), no smoothing of market or account balance values, unrealised gains or investment return is applied in determining the embedded value or profit. Separately, the analysis of profit is delineated between operating profit based on longer-term investment returns and other constituent items, as explained in note 14(b)(i).
 
(i)   Covered business
The EEV results for the Group are prepared for 'covered business', as defined by the EEV Principles. Covered business represents the Group's long-term insurance business, including the Group's investments in joint venture and associate insurance operations, for which the value of new and in-force contracts is attributable to shareholders. The post-tax EEV basis results for the Group's covered business are then combined with the post-tax IFRS basis results of the Group's asset management and other operations (including Group and Asia Regional Head Office, holding company borrowings, Africa operations and Prudential Capital). Under the EEV Principles, the results for covered business incorporate the projected margins of attaching internal asset management, as described in note 14(a)(vii).
 
The definition of long-term business operations comprises those contracts falling under the definition for regulatory purposes together with, for US operations, contracts that are in substance the same as guaranteed investment contracts (GICs) but do not fall within the technical definition.
 
Covered business comprises the Group's long-term business operations, with two exceptions:
-       the closed Scottish Amicable Insurance Fund (SAIF) which is excluded from covered business. SAIF is a ring-fenced sub-fund of The Prudential Assurance Company Limited (PAC) long-term fund, established by a Court Approved Scheme of Arrangement in October 1997. SAIF is closed to new business and the assets and liabilities of the fund are wholly attributable to the policyholders of the fund.
-       the presentational treatment of the Group's principal defined benefit pension scheme, the Prudential Staff Pension Scheme (PSPS). The partial recognition of the surplus for PSPS is recognised in 'Other' operations.
 
A small amount of UK group pensions business is also not modelled for EEV reporting purposes.
 
(ii)  Valuation of in-force and new business
The embedded value results are prepared incorporating best estimate assumptions about all relevant factors including levels of future investment returns, expenses, persistency, mortality and morbidity, as described in note 15(vii). These assumptions are used to project future cash flows. The present value of the future cash flows is then calculated using a discount rate which reflects both the time value of money and the non-diversifiable risks associated with the cash flows that are not otherwise allowed for.
 
New business
In determining the EEV basis value of new business, premiums are included in projected cash flows on the same basis of
distinguishing annual and single premium business as set out for statutory basis reporting.
 
New business premiums reflect those premiums attaching to covered business, including premiums for contracts classified as
investment products for IFRS basis reporting. New business premiums for regular premium products are shown on an annualised basis. Internal vesting business is classified as new business where the contracts include an open market option.
 
The post-tax contribution from new business represents profits determined by applying operating and economic assumptions as at the end of the year. New business profitability is a key metric for the Group's management of the development of the business. In addition, post-tax new business margins are shown by reference to annual premium equivalents (APE) and the present value of new business premiums (PVNBP). These margins are calculated as the percentage of the value of new business profit to APE and PVNBP. APE is calculated as the aggregate of regular premiums and one-tenth of single premiums. PVNBP is calculated as equalling single premiums plus the present value of expected premiums of regular premium new business, allowing for lapses and other assumptions made in determining the EEV new business contribution.
 
Valuation movements on investments
With the exception of debt securities held by Jackson, investment gains and losses during the year (to the extent that changes in capital values do not directly match changes in liabilities) are included directly in the profit for the year and shareholders' equity as they arise.
 
The results for any covered business conceptually reflect the aggregate of the IFRS results and the movements on the additional shareholders' interest recognised on the EEV basis. Thus the start point for the calculation of the EEV results for Jackson, as for other businesses, reflects the market value movements recognised on an IFRS basis.
 
However, in determining the movements on the additional shareholders' interest, the basis for calculating the EEV result for Jackson acknowledges that, for debt securities backing liabilities, the aggregate EEV results reflect the fact that the value of in-force business instead incorporates the discounted value of future spread earnings. This value is not affected generally by short-term market movements on securities that, broadly speaking, are held for the longer term.
 
Fixed income securities backing the free surplus and required capital for Jackson are accounted for at fair value. However, consistent with the treatment applied under IFRS for Jackson securities classified as available-for-sale, movements in unrealised appreciation/depreciation on these securities are accounted for in equity rather than in the income statement, as shown in the movement in shareholders' equity.
 
(iii) Cost of capital
A charge is deducted from the embedded value for the cost of locked-in required capital supporting the Group's long-term business. The cost is the difference between the nominal value of the capital and the discounted value of the projected releases of this capital, allowing for post-tax investment earnings on the capital.
 
The annual result is affected by the movement in this cost from year to year which comprises a charge against new business profit and generally a release in respect of the reduction in capital requirements for business in force as this runs off.
 
Where required capital is held within a with-profits long-term fund, the value placed on surplus assets in the fund is already discounted to reflect its release over time and no further adjustment is necessary in respect of required capital.

(iv) Financial options and guarantees
Nature of financial options and guarantees in Prudential's long-term business
 
Asia
Subject to local market circumstances and regulatory requirements, the guarantee features described below in respect of UK and Europe business broadly apply to similar types of participating contracts which are principally written in Hong Kong, Singapore and Malaysia. Participating products have both guaranteed and non-guaranteed elements.
 
There are also various non-participating long-term products with guarantees. The principal guarantees are those for whole-of-life contracts with floor levels of policyholder benefits that accrue at rates set at inception and do not vary subsequently with market conditions.
 
US (Jackson)
The principal financial options and guarantees in Jackson are associated with the fixed annuity (FA) and variable annuity (VA) lines of business.
 
Fixed annuities provide that, at Jackson's discretion, it may reset the interest rate credited to policyholders' accounts, subject to a guaranteed minimum. The guaranteed minimum return varies from 1.0 per cent to 5.5 per cent for both years, depending on the particular product, jurisdiction where issued, and date of issue. For both years, 87 per cent of the account values on fixed annuities are for policies with guarantees of 3 per cent or less, and the average guarantee rate is 2.6 per cent.
 
Fixed annuities also present a risk that policyholders will exercise their option to surrender their contracts in periods of rapidly rising interest rates, possibly requiring Jackson to liquidate assets at an inopportune time.
 
Jackson issues VA contracts for which it contractually guarantees to the contract holder, subject to specific conditions, either: a) return of no less than total deposits made to the contract adjusted for any partial withdrawals; b) total deposits made to the contract adjusted for any partial withdrawals plus a minimum return; or c) the highest contract value on a specified anniversary date adjusted for any withdrawals following the specified contract anniversary. These guarantees include benefits that are payable upon depletion of funds (Guaranteed Minimum Withdrawal Benefit (GMWB)), as death benefits (Guaranteed Minimum Death Benefits (GMDB)) or as income benefits (Guaranteed Minimum Income Benefits (GMIB)). These guarantees generally protect the policyholders' value in the event of poor equity market performance. Jackson hedges the GMWB and GMDB guarantees through the use of equity options and futures contracts, and essentially fully reinsures the GMIB guarantees.
 
Jackson also issues fixed index annuities (FIA) that enable policyholders to obtain a portion of an equity-linked return while providing a guaranteed minimum return. The guaranteed minimum returns are of a similar nature to those described above for fixed annuities.
 
UK and Europe (M&G Prudential)
For covered business the only significant financial options and guarantees in M&G Prudential arise in the with-profits fund.
 
With-profits products provide returns to policyholders through bonuses that are smoothed. There are two types of bonuses - annual and final. Annual bonuses are declared once a year and, once credited, are guaranteed in accordance with the terms of the particular product. Unlike annual bonuses, final bonuses are guaranteed only until the next bonus declaration. The PAC with-profits fund also held a provision of £53 million at 31 December 2017 (31 December 2016: £62 million) to honour guarantees on a small number of guaranteed annuity option products.
 
The Group's main exposure to guaranteed annuity options in M&G Prudential is through the non-covered business of SAIF. A provision of £503 million was held in SAIF at 31 December 2017 (31 December 2016: £571 million) to honour the guarantees. As described in note 14(a)(i), the assets and liabilities are wholly attributable to the policyholders of the fund. Therefore the movement in the provision has no direct impact on shareholders' funds.
 
Time value
The value of financial options and guarantees comprises two parts:
-       The first part arises from a deterministic valuation on best estimate assumptions (the intrinsic value).
-       The second part arises from the variability of economic outcomes in the future (the time value).
 
Where appropriate, a full stochastic valuation has been undertaken to determine the time value of the financial options and guarantees.
 
The economic assumptions used for the stochastic calculations are consistent with those used for the deterministic calculations. Assumptions specific to the stochastic calculations reflect local market conditions and are based on a combination of actual market data, historic market data and an assessment of long-term economic conditions. Common principles have been adopted across the Group for the stochastic asset models, for example, separate modelling of individual asset classes but with an allowance for correlation between the various asset classes. Details of the key characteristics of each model are given in notes 15(iv), (v) and (vi).
 
In deriving the time value of financial options and guarantees, management actions in response to emerging investment and fund solvency conditions have been modelled. Management actions encompass, but are not confined to, investment allocation decisions, levels of reversionary and terminal bonuses and credited rates. Bonus rates are projected from current levels and varied in accordance with assumed management actions applying in the emerging investment and fund solvency conditions.
 
In all instances, the modelled actions are in accordance with approved local practice and therefore reflect the options actually available to management. For the PAC with-profits fund, the actions assumed are consistent with those set out in the Principles and Practices of Financial Management which explains how regular and final bonus rates within the discretionary framework are determined, subject to the general legislative requirements applicable.
 
(v)  Level of required capital
In adopting the EEV Principles, Prudential has based required capital on its internal targets, subject to it being at least the local statutory minimum requirements.
 
For with-profits business written in a segregated life fund, as is the case in Asia and the UK, the capital available in the fund is sufficient to meet the required capital requirements. For M&G Prudential, a portion of future shareholder transfers expected from the with-profits fund is recognised within net worth, together with the associated capital requirements.
 
For shareholder-backed business, the following capital requirements for long-term business operations apply:
-    Asia: the level of required capital has been set to an amount at least equal to the higher of local statutory requirements and the internal target. For China operations, the level of required capital as at 31 December 2017 follows the approach for embedded value reporting issued by the China Association of Actuaries (CAA), reflecting the C-ROSS regime;
-    US: the level of required capital has been set at 250 per cent of the risk-based capital (RBC) required by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC) at the Company Action Level (CAL); and
-    UK and Europe: the capital requirements are set at the Solvency II Solvency Capital Requirement (SCR) for shareholder-backed business as a whole.
 
(vi) With-profits business and the treatment of the estate
The proportion of surplus allocated to shareholders from the PAC with-profits fund has been based on the present level of 10 per cent. The value attributed to the shareholders' interest in the estate is derived by increasing final bonus rates (and related shareholder transfers) so as to exhaust the estate over the lifetime of the in-force with-profits business. In any scenarios where the total assets of the life fund are insufficient to meet policyholder claims in full, the excess cost is fully attributed to shareholders. Similar principles apply, where appropriate, for other with-profits funds of the Group's Asia operations.
 
(vii) Internal asset management
The in-force and new business results from long-term business include the projected value of profits or losses from asset management and service companies that support the Group's covered insurance businesses. The results of the Group's asset management operations include the current year profits from the management of both internal and external funds. EEV basis shareholders' other income and expenditure is adjusted to deduct the unwind of the expected internal asset management profit margin for the year as included in 'Other operations'. The deduction is on a basis consistent with that used for projecting the results for covered insurance business. Group operating profit accordingly includes the variance between actual and expected profit in respect of management of the assets for covered business.
 
 (viii) Allowance for risk and risk discount rates
 
Overview
Under the EEV Principles, discount rates used to determine the present value of future cash flows are set by reference to risk-free rates plus a risk margin.
 
For Asia and the US, the risk-free rates are based on 10-year local government bond yields.
 
For UK and Europe, the EEV risk-free rate is based on the full term structure of interest rates, ie a yield curve, which is used to determine the embedded value at the end of the reporting period.
 
The risk margin should reflect any non-diversifiable risk associated with the emergence of distributable earnings that is not allowed for elsewhere in the valuation. In order to better reflect differences in relative market risk volatility inherent in each product group, Prudential sets the risk discount rates to reflect the expected volatility associated with the cash flows for each product category in the embedded value model, rather than at a Group level.
 
Since financial options and guarantees are explicitly valued under the EEV methodology, risk discount rates under EEV are set excluding the effect of these product features.
 
The risk margin represents the aggregate of the allowance for market risk, additional allowance for credit risk where appropriate, and allowance for non-diversifiable non-market risk. No allowance is required for non-market risks where these are assumed to be fully diversifiable.
 
Market risk allowance
The allowance for market risk represents the beta multiplied by an equity risk premium. Except for UK shareholder-backed annuity business (as explained below), such an approach has been used for the Group's businesses.
 
The beta of a portfolio or product measures its relative market risk. The risk discount rates reflect the market risk inherent in each product group and hence the volatility of product cash flows. These are determined by considering how the profits from each product are affected by changes in expected returns on various asset classes. By converting this into a relative rate of return, it is possible to derive a product-specific beta.
 
Product level betas reflect the most recent product mix to produce appropriate betas and risk discount rates for each major product grouping.
 
Additional credit risk allowance
The Group's methodology is to allow appropriately for credit risk. The allowance for total credit risk is to cover:
-    expected long-term defaults;
-    credit risk premium (to reflect the volatility in downgrade and default levels); and
-    short-term downgrades and defaults.
 
These allowances are initially reflected in determining best estimate returns and through the market risk allowance described above. However, for those businesses largely backed by holdings of debt securities these allowances in the projected returns and market risk allowances may not be sufficient and an additional allowance may be appropriate.
 
The practical application of the allowance for credit risk varies depending upon the type of business as described below:
 
Asia
For Asia, the allowance for credit risk incorporated in the projected rates of return and the market risk allowance are sufficient. Accordingly, no additional allowance for credit risk is required.
 
The projected rates of return for holdings of corporate bonds comprise the risk-free rate plus an assessment of long-term spread over the risk-free rate.
 
US (Jackson)
For Jackson business, the allowance for long-term defaults is reflected in the risk margin reserve (RMR) charge which is deducted in determining the projected spread margin between the earned rate on the investments and the policyholder crediting rate.
 
The risk discount rate incorporates an additional allowance for credit risk premium and short-term downgrades and defaults (0.2 per cent for variable annuity business and 1.0 per cent for non-variable annuity business for both years), as shown in note 15(ii). In determining this allowance a number of factors have been considered. These factors, in particular, include:
-    How much of the credit spread on debt securities represents an increased short-term credit risk not reflected in the RMR long-term default assumptions, and how much is liquidity premium (which is the premium required by investors to compensate for the risk of longer-term investments which cannot be easily converted into cash, and converted at the fair market value). In assessing this effect, consideration has been given to a number of approaches to estimating the liquidity premium by considering recent statistical data; and
-    Policyholder benefits for Jackson fixed annuity business are not fixed. It is possible in adverse economic scenarios to pass on a component of credit losses to policyholders (subject to guarantee features) through lower investment returns credited to policyholders. Consequently, it is only necessary to allow for the balance of the credit risk in the risk discount rate.
 
The level of the additional allowance is assessed at each reporting period to take account of prevailing credit conditions and as the business in force alters over time. The additional allowance for variable annuity business has been set at one-fifth of the non-variable annuity business to reflect the proportion of the allocated holdings of general account debt securities.
 
The level of allowance differs from that for UK annuity business for investment portfolio differences and to take account of the management actions available in adverse economic scenarios to reduce crediting rates to policyholders, subject to guarantee features of the products.
 
UK and Europe (M&G Prudential)
(1) Shareholder-backed annuity business
For shareholder-backed annuity business, Prudential has used a market consistent embedded value (MCEV) approach to derive an implied risk discount rate which is then applied to the projected best estimate cash flows.
 
In the annuity MCEV calculations, as the assets are generally held to maturity to match liabilities, the future cash flows are discounted using the swap yield curve plus an allowance for liquidity premium based on the Solvency II allowance for credit risk. The Solvency II allowance is set by European Insurance and Occupational Pensions Authority (EIOPA) using a prudent assumption that all future downgrades will be replaced annually, and allowing for the credit spread floor.
 
For the purposes of presentation in the EEV results, the results on this basis are reconfigured. Under this approach the projected earned rate of return on the debt securities held is determined after allowing for a best estimate credit risk allowance. The remaining elements of prudence within the Solvency II allowance are incorporated into the risk margin included in the discount rate, shown in note 15(iii).
 
(2) With-profits fund non-profit annuity business
For non-profit annuity business attributable to the PAC with-profits fund, the basis for determining the aggregate allowance for credit risk is consistent with that applied for UK shareholder-backed annuity business (as described above). The allowance for credit risk for this business is taken into account in determining the projected cash flows from the with-profits fund, which are in turn discounted at the risk discount rate applicable to all of the projected cash flows from the fund.
 
(3) With-profits fund holdings of debt securities
The with-profits fund holds debt securities as part of its investment portfolio backing policyholder liabilities and unallocated surplus. The assumed earned rate for with-profit holdings of corporate bonds is defined as the risk-free rate plus an assessment of the long-term spread over risk free, net of expected long-term defaults. This approach is similar to that applied for equities and properties for which the projected earned rate is defined as the risk-free rate plus a long-term risk premium.
     
Allowance for non-diversifiable non-market risks
The majority of non-market and non-credit risks are considered to be diversifiable. An allowance for non-diversifiable non-market risks is estimated as set out below:
 
A base level allowance of 50 basis points is applied to cover the non-diversifiable non-market risks associated with the Group's businesses. For the Group's Asia operations in China, Indonesia, the Philippines, Taiwan, Thailand and Vietnam, additional allowances are applied for emerging market risk ranging from 100 to 250 basis points. The level of these allowances are reviewed and updated based on an assessment of a range of pre-defined emerging market risk indicators, as well as the Group's exposure and experience in the business units. During 2017, the China allowance for non-market risk was reduced reflecting the growth in the size of the business, increasing management exposure and experience in the country and an improvement in our risk assessment of the market. For the Group's US business and UK and Europe business, no additional allowance is necessary.
 
(ix)  Foreign currency translation
Foreign currency profits and losses have been translated at average exchange rates for the year. Foreign currency assets and liabilities have been translated at year-end exchange rates. The principal exchange rates are shown in note A1 of the IFRS financial statements.
 
(x) Taxation
In determining the post-tax profit for the year for covered business, the overall tax rate includes the impact of tax effects determined on a local regulatory basis. Tax payments and receipts included in the projected cash flows to determine the value of in-force business are calculated using rates that have been announced and substantively enacted by the end of the reporting period.
 
(xi)  Inter-company arrangements
The EEV results for covered business incorporate annuities established in the PAC non-profit sub-fund from vesting pension policies in SAIF (which is not covered business). The EEV results also incorporate the effect of the reinsurance arrangement of non-profit immediate pension annuity liabilities of SAIF to the PAC non-profit sub-fund.
 
(b)           Accounting presentation
 
(i)   Analysis of post-tax profit
To the extent applicable, the presentation of the EEV post-tax profit for the year is consistent in the classification between operating and non-operating results with the basis that the Group applies for the analysis of IFRS basis results. Operating results reflect underlying results including longer-term investment returns (which are determined as described in note 14(b)(ii)) and incorporate the following:
-    new business contribution, as defined in note 14(a)(ii);
-    unwind of discount on the value of in-force business and other expected returns, as described in note 14(b)(iii);
-    the impact of routine changes of estimates relating to operating assumptions, as described in note 14(b)(iv); and
-    operating experience variances, as described in note 14(b)(v).
 
Non-operating results comprise the recurrent items of:
-    short-term fluctuations in investment returns;
-    the mark to market value movements on core structural borrowings; and
-    the effect of changes in economic assumptions.
 
In addition, non-operating results include the effect of the disposal of businesses (see note 17) and in 2017, the impact of US tax reform (see note 7).
 
Total profit attributable to shareholders and basic earnings per share include these items, together with actual investment returns. The Group believes that operating profit, as adjusted for these items, better reflects underlying performance.
 
(ii)  Investment returns included in operating profit
For the investment element of the assets covering the net worth of long-term insurance business, investment returns are recognised in operating results at the expected long-term rate of return. These expected returns are calculated by reference to the asset mix of the portfolio. For the purpose of calculating the longer-term investment return to be included in the operating result of the PAC with-profits fund of M&G Prudential, where assets backing the liabilities and unallocated surplus are subject to market volatility, asset values at the beginning of the reporting period are adjusted to remove the effects of short-term market movements as explained in note 14(b)(iii).
 
For the purpose of determining the long-term returns for debt securities of US operations for fixed annuity and other general account business, a risk margin reserve charge is included which reflects the expected long-term rate of default based on the credit quality of the portfolio. For Jackson, interest-related realised gains and losses are amortised to the operating results over the maturity period of the sold bonds and for equity-related investments, a long-term rate of return is assumed, which reflects the aggregation of end-of-period risk-free rates and equity risk premium. For US variable annuity separate account business, operating profit includes the unwind of discount on the opening value of in-force business adjusted to reflect end-of-period projected rates of return with the excess or deficit of the actual return recognised within non-operating profit, together with related hedging activity.
     
For UK annuity business, rebalancing of the asset portfolio backing the liabilities to policyholders may, from time to time, take place to align it more closely with the internal benchmark of credit quality that management applies. Such rebalancing will result in a change in the projected yield on the asset portfolio and the allowance for default risk. The net effect of these changes is included in the operating result for the year.
 
(iii) Unwind of discount and other expected returns
The Group's methodology in determining the unwind of discount and other expected returns is by reference to:
-   the value of in-force business at the beginning of the year (adjusted for the effect of current year economic and operating assumption changes); and
-   required capital and surplus assets.
 
In applying this general approach, the unwind of discount included in operating profit for M&G Prudential is described below.
 
M&G Prudential
The unwind is determined by reference to an implied single risk discount rate. The EEV risk-free rate is based on a yield curve (as set out in note 14(a)(viii)), which is used to derive a single implied discount rate which, if this rate had been used, would reproduce the same embedded value as that calculated by reference to the yield curve. The difference between the operating profit determined using the single implied discount rate and that derived using the yield curve is included within non-operating profit.
 
For with-profits business, the opening value of in-force is adjusted for the effect of short-term investment volatility due to market movements (ie smoothed). In the summary statement of financial position and for total profit reporting, asset values and investment returns are not smoothed. At 31 December 2017 the shareholders' interest in the smoothed surplus assets used for this purpose only were £57 million lower (31 December 2016: £77 million lower) than the surplus assets carried in the statement of financial position.
 
(iv) Effect of changes in operating assumptions
Operating profit includes the effect of changes to non-economic assumptions on the value of in-force at the end of the year. For presentational purposes the effect of changes is delineated to show the effect on the opening value of in-force as operating assumption changes, with the experience variances subsequently being determined by reference to the end-of-year assumptions (see note 14(b)(v)).
 
(v)  Operating experience variances
Operating profit includes the effect of experience variances on non-economic assumptions, such as persistency, mortality and morbidity, expenses and other factors, which are calculated with reference to the end-of-year assumptions.
 
(vi) Effect of changes in economic assumptions
Movements in the value of in-force business at the beginning of the year caused by changes in economic assumptions, net of the related change in the time value of cost of options and guarantees, are recorded in non-operating results. For M&G Prudential, the embedded value incorporates Solvency II transitional measures, which are recalculated using management's estimate of the impact of operating and market conditions at the valuation date. The effect of changes in economic assumptions is after allowing for this recalculation.
 
 
15 Assumptions
 
Principal economic assumptions
The EEV basis results for the Group's operations have been determined using economic assumptions where the long-term expected rates of return on investments and risk discount rates are set by reference to year-end risk-free rates of return (defined below for each of the Group's insurance operations). Expected returns on equity and property asset classes and corporate bonds are derived by adding a risk premium, based on the Group's long-term view, to the risk-free rate.
 
The total profit that emerges over the lifetime of an individual contract as calculated using the embedded value basis is the same over time as that calculated under the IFRS basis. Since the embedded value basis reflects discounted future cash flows, under this methodology the profit emergence is advanced, thus more closely aligning the timing of the recognition of profit with the efforts and risks of current management actions, particularly with regard to business sold during the year.
 
(i)    Asianotes (b)(c)
The risk-free rates of return for Asia are defined as 10-year government bond yields at the end of the year.
 
In order to reflect Prudential's most recent assessment of the growth prospects of the region compared to other developed markets and the historically strong relationship between long-term economic growth and long-term equity returns, in a number of Asia business units, equity risk premiums were increased during 2017 by between 25 basis points and 75 basis points from those applied at 2016. The related expected return on equity and risk discount rates have also been increased by equivalent amounts. In addition, for a few Asia business units, expected long-term inflation assumptions were revised during 2017 to better reflect central bank inflation targets and to align with the currency of the underlying exposures.
 
 
 
Risk discount rate %
 
10-year government
bond yield %
 
Expected
long-term Inflation %
 
New business
 
In-force business
 
 
 
31 Dec
31 Dec
 
31 Dec
31 Dec
 
31 Dec
31 Dec
 
31 Dec
31 Dec
 
2017
2016
 
2017
2016
 
2017
2016
 
2017
2016
China
9.7
9.6
 
9.7
9.6
 
3.9
3.1
 
3.0
2.5
Hong Kongnotes (b)(d)
4.1
3.9
 
4.1
3.9
 
2.4
2.5
 
2.5
2.3
Indonesia
10.6
12.0
 
10.6
12.0
 
6.4
8.1
 
4.5
5.0
Malaysianote (d)
6.4
6.8
 
6.5
6.9
 
3.9
4.3
 
2.5
2.5
Philippines
12.7
11.6
 
12.7
11.6
 
5.2
4.8
 
4.0
4.0
Singaporenote (d)
3.5
4.2
 
4.4
5.0
 
2.0
2.5
 
2.0
2.0
Taiwan
4.3
4.0
 
3.9
4.0
 
0.9
1.2
 
1.5
1.0
Thailand
9.8
9.4
 
9.8
9.4
 
2.3
2.7
 
3.0
3.0
Vietnam
12.6
13.0
 
12.6
13.0
 
5.1
6.3
 
5.5
5.5
Total weighted risk discount ratenote (a)
5.3
5.3
 
5.7
6.1
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Notes
(a)   The weighted risk discount rates for Asia operations shown above have been determined by weighting each market's risk discount rates by reference to the post-tax EEV basis new business contribution and the closing value of in-force business. The changes in the risk discount rates for individual Asia business units reflect:
-   the movements in 10-year government bond yields;
-   changes in product mix; and
-   the effect of changes in the economic basis (see note 14(a)(viii) and above).
(b)   For Hong Kong the assumptions shown are for US dollar denominated business. For other business units, the assumptions are for local currency denominated business.
(c)   Equity risk premiums in Asia range from 4.0 per cent to 9.4 per cent (2016: from 3.5 per cent to 8.7 per cent).
(d)   The mean equity return assumptions for the most significant equity holdings of the Asia operations are:
 
 
 
 
31 Dec 2017 %
31 Dec 2016 %
 
Hong Kong
6.4
6.5
 
Malaysia
10.4
10.2
 
Singapore
8.5
8.5
 
(ii)   US
The risk-free rates of return for the US are defined as 10-year treasury bond yield at the end of the year.
 
 
 
 
 
31 Dec 2017 %
31 Dec 2016 %
Assumed new business spread margins:*
 
 
 
Fixed annuity business:†
 
 
 
 
January to June issues 
1.50
1.25
 
 
July to December issues
1.25
1.25
 
Fixed index annuity business:
 
 
 
 
January to June issues 
1.75
1.50
 
 
July to December issues
1.50
1.50
 
Institutional business
0.50
0.50
Allowance for long-term defaults included in projected spreadnote 14(a)(viii)
0.19
0.21
Risk discount rate:
 
 
 
Variable annuity:
 
 
 
 
Risk discount rate
6.8
6.9
 
 
Additional allowance for credit risk included in risk discount ratenote 14(a)(viii)
0.2
0.2
 
Non-variable annuity:
 
 
 
 
Risk discount rate
4.1
4.1
 
 
Additional allowance for credit risk included in risk discount ratenote 14(a)(viii)
1.0
1.0
 
Weighted average total:
 
 
 
 
New business
6.7
6.8
 
 
In-force business
6.5
6.5
US 10-year treasury bond yield
2.4
2.5
Pre-tax expected long-term nominal rate of return for US equities
6.4
6.5
Expected long-term rate of inflation
3.0
3.0
Equity risk premium
4.0
4.0
S&P equity return volatilitynote (v)
18.0
18.0
*     Including the proportion of variable annuity business invested in the general account and fixed index annuity business, the assumed spread margin grades up linearly by 25 basis points to a long-term assumption over five years.
 †     Including the proportion of variable annuity business invested in the general account.
 
(iii)  UK and Europe
The risk-free rate is based on the full term structure of interest rates, ie a yield curve, which is used to determine the embedded value at the end of the reporting period. These yield curves are used to derive pre-tax expected long-term nominal rates of investment return and risk discount rates. For the purpose of determining the unwind of discount in the analysis of operating profit, these yield curves are used to derive a single implied risk discount rate, as explained in note 14(a)(viii).
 
This single implied risk discount rate is shown, along with the 15-year nominal rate of investment return and 15-year rate of inflation based on the yield curve.
 
 
 
 
31 Dec 2017 %
31 Dec 2016 %
Shareholder-backed annuity in-force business:note (a)
 
 
Risk discount rate
4.0
4.5
Pre-tax expected 15-year nominal rates of investment returnnote (c)
2.6
2.8
With-profits and other business:
 
 
Risk discount rate:note (b)
 
 
 
New business
4.7
4.7
 
In-force business
4.8
4.9
Pre-tax expected 15-year nominal rates of investment return:note (c)
 
 
 
Overseas equities
6.2 to 10.1
6.2 to 9.4
 
Property
4.4
4.5
 
15-year gilt yield
1.6
1.7
 
Corporate bonds
3.4
3.5
Expected 15-year rate of inflation
3.5
3.6
Equity risk premium
4.0
4.0
 
Notes
(a)   For shareholder-backed annuity business, the movements in the pre-tax long-term nominal rates of return and risk discount rates reflect the effect of changes in asset yields.
(b)   The risk discount rates for with-profits and other business shown above represents a weighted average total of the rates applied to determine the present value of future cash flows, including a portion of future with-profits business shareholders' transfers recognised in net worth.
(c)   The table below shows the pattern of the UK risk-free Solvency II spot yield curve at the end of both years:
 
 
 
 
1 year
5 year
10 year
15 year
20 year
 
31 Dec 2017
0.6%
0.9%
1.2%
1.3%
1.4%
 
31 Dec 2016
0.4%
0.7%
1.1%
1.3%
1.3%
 
Stochastic assumptions
Details are given below of the key characteristics of the models used to determine the time value of the financial options and guarantees as referred to in note 14(a)(iv).
 
(iv) Asia
-    The stochastic cost of guarantees is primarily of significance for the Hong Kong, Malaysia, Singapore and Taiwan operations;
-    The principal asset classes are government and corporate bonds;
-    The asset return models are similar to the models as described for M&G Prudential below; and
-    The volatility of equity returns ranges from 18 per cent to 35 per cent, and the volatility of government bond yields ranges from 1.1 per cent to 2.0 per cent (2016: from 0.9 per cent to 2.3 per cent) following a number of modelling changes at full year 2017 in respect of future bond returns.
 
(v) US (Jackson)
-    Interest rates and equity returns are projected using a log-normal generator reflecting historical market data;
-    Corporate bond returns are based on treasury yields plus a spread that reflects current market conditions; and
-    The volatility of equity returns ranges from 18 per cent to 27 per cent for both years, and the standard deviation of interest rates ranges from 2.5 per cent to 2.8 per cent (2016: from 2.3 per cent to 2.6 per cent).
 
(vi) UK and Europe (M&G Prudential)
-    Interest rates are projected using a stochastic interest rate model calibrated to the current market yields;
-    Equity returns are assumed to follow a log-normal distribution;
-    The corporate bond return is calculated based on a risk-free return plus a mean-reverting spread;
-    Property returns are also modelled on a risk-free return plus a risk premium with a stochastic process reflecting total property returns; and
-    The standard deviation of equities and property ranges from 14 per cent to 20 per cent (2016: from 15 per cent to 20 per cent).
 
Operating assumptions
 
  (vii)    Best estimate assumptions
 Best estimate assumptions are used for the cash flow projections, where best estimate is defined as the mean of the distribution of future possible outcomes. The assumptions are reviewed actively and changes are made when evidence exists that material changes in future experience are reasonably certain.
 
 Assumptions required in the calculation of the value of options and guarantees, for example relating to volatilities and correlations, or dynamic algorithms linking liabilities to assets, have been set equal to the best estimates and, wherever material and practical, reflect any dynamic relationships between the assumptions and the stochastic variables.
 
Demographic assumptions
 Persistency, mortality and morbidity assumptions are based on an analysis of recent experience, but also reflect expected future experience. Where relevant, when calculating the time value of financial options and guarantees, policyholder withdrawal rates vary in line with the emerging investment conditions according to management's expectations.
 
 Expense assumptions
Expense levels, including those of service companies that support the Group's long-term business operations, are based on internal expense analysis and are appropriately allocated to acquisition of new business and renewal of in-force business. Exceptional expenses are identified and reported separately. For mature business, it is Prudential's policy not to      take credit for future cost reduction programmes until the actions to achieve the savings have been delivered. Expense overruns are reported where these are expected to be short-lived, including businesses that are growing rapidly or are sub-scale.
 
 For Asia operations, the expenses comprise costs borne directly and recharged costs from the Asia Regional Head Office that are attributable to covered business. The assumed future expenses for these operations also include projections of these future recharges. Development expenses are charged as incurred.
 
Corporate expenditure, which is included in other income and expenditure, comprises:
-    expenditure for Group Head Office, to the extent not allocated to the PAC with-profits funds, together with restructuring costs; and
-    expenditure of the Asia Regional Head Office that is not allocated to the covered business or asset management operations which is charged as incurred. These costs are primarily for corporate related activities and are included within corporate expenditure.
 
  (viii)   Tax rates
The assumed long-term effective tax rates for operations reflect the incidence of taxable profits and losses in the projected cash flows as explained in note 14(a)(x).
 
The local statutory corporate tax rates applicable for the most significant operations for 2016 and 2017 are as follows:
 
 
Statutory corporate tax rates
 
%
Asia operations:
 
 
Hong Kong
 
16.5 per cent on 5 per cent of premium income
Indonesia
 
25.0
        Malaysia 
 
24.0
Singapore
 
17.0
US operations*
 
2016 and 2017: 35.0; from 1 January 2018: 21.0
UK operations
 
2016: 20.0; from 1 April 2017: 19.0; from 1 April 2020: 17.0
 
*       The US tax reform changes included a reduction in the corporate income tax rate from 35 per cent to 21 per cent effective from 1 January 2018 (see note 7).
 
 
 
16 Insurance new business premiumsnote (i)
 
 
 
Single premiums
 
Regular premiums
 
Annual premium
equivalents
(APE)
 
 Present value of
new business premiums
(PVNBP)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
note 14(a)(ii)
 
note 14(a)(ii)
 
2017 £m
2016 £m
 
2017 £m
2016 £m
 
2017 £m
2016 £m
 
2017 £m
2016 £m
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Asia
2,299
2,397
 
3,575
3,359
 
3,805
3,599
 
20,405
19,271
US
16,622
15,608
 
-
-
 
1,662
1,561
 
16,622
15,608
UK and Europe
13,044
9,836
 
187
177
 
1,491
1,160
 
13,784
10,513
Group total
31,965
27,841
 
3,762
3,536
 
6,958
6,320
 
50,811
45,392
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Asia
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Cambodia
-
-
 
16
14
 
16
14
 
70
66
Hong Kong
582
1,140
 
1,667
1,798
 
1,725
1,912
 
10,027
10,930
Indonesia
288
236
 
268
255
 
297
279
 
1,183
1,048
Malaysia
73
110
 
271
233
 
278
244
 
1,398
1,352
Philippines
62
91
 
71
61
 
77
70
 
287
278
Singapore
859
523
 
361
299
 
447
351
 
3,463
2,627
Thailand
139
80
 
70
81
 
84
89
 
421
404
Vietnam
8
6
 
133
115
 
134
116
 
659
519
SE Asia operations
   including Hong Kong
2,011
2,186
 
2,857
2,856
 
3,058
3,075
 
17,508
17,224
Chinanote (ii)
179
124
 
276
187
 
294
199
 
1,299
880
Taiwan
46
36
 
208
146
 
213
150
 
634
499
Indianote (iii)
63
51
 
234
170
 
240
175
 
964
668
Total
2,299
2,397
 
3,575
3,359
 
3,805
3,599
 
20,405
19,271
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
US
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Variable annuities
11,536
10,653
 
-
-
 
1,154
1,065
 
11,536
10,653
Elite Access (variable annuity)
2,013
2,056
 
-
-
 
201
206
 
2,013
2,056
Fixed annuities
454
555
 
-
-
 
45
55
 
454
555
Fixed index annuities
295
508
 
-
-
 
30
51
 
295
508
Wholesale
2,324
1,836
 
-
-
 
232
184
 
2,324
1,836
Total
16,622
15,608
 
-
-
 
1,662
1,561
 
16,622
15,608
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
UK and Europe
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Bonds
3,509
3,834
 
-
-
 
351
384
 
3,510
3,835
Corporate pensions
103
110
 
130
121
 
140
132
 
533
479
Individual pensions
5,747
2,532
 
32
35
 
607
289
 
5,897
2,681
Income drawdown
2,218
1,649
 
-
-
 
222
165
 
2,218
1,649
Other products
1,467
1,711
 
25
21
 
171
190
 
1,626
1,869
Total
13,044
9,836
 
187
177
 
1,491
1,160
 
13,784
10,513
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Group total
31,965
27,841
 
3,762
3,536
 
6,958
6,320
 
50,811
45,392
 
Notes
(i)    The tables shown above are provided as an indicative volume measure of transactions undertaken in the reporting period that have the potential to generate profits for shareholders. The amounts shown are not, and not intended to be, reflective of premium income recorded in the IFRS income statement. A reconciliation of APE and gross earned premiums on an IFRS basis is provided in Note E within the EEV unaudited financial information.
(ii)    New business in China is included at Prudential's 50 per cent interest in the China life operation.
(iii)   New business in India is included at Prudential's 26 per cent interest in the India life operation.
 
 
17 Disposal of businesses
 
On 18 May 2017, the Group announced it had completed the sale of its life insurance subsidiary in Korea, PCA Life Insurance, to Mirae Asset Life Insurance for KRW 170 billion (£117 million at 17 May 2017 closing exchange rate) following regulatory approval. The proceeds, net of £(9) million of related expenses, were £108 million. Upon disposal, £76 million of required capital was released and a corresponding increase in free surplus was recognised. There were no other impacts on the 2017 results.
 
On 15 August 2017, the Group through its subsidiary National Planning Holdings, Inc. (NPH) sold its US independent broker-dealer network to LPL Financial LLC. The initial consideration received was £252 million (US$ 325 million) resulting in a post-tax profit on disposal of £80 million (US$103 million) after costs and net losses that have been incurred in the year.
 
 
18 Post balance sheet events
 
Intention to demerge the Group's UK businesses
In March 2018, the Group announced its intention to demerge its UK & Europe business ('M&G Prudential') from Prudential plc, resulting in two separately-listed companies. In preparation for the UK demerger process, Prudential plc intends to transfer the legal ownership of its Hong Kong insurance subsidiaries from The Prudential Assurance Company Limited (M&G Prudential's UK regulated insurance entity) to Prudential Corporation Asia Limited, which is expected to complete by the end of 2019.
 
Sale of £12.0 billion* UK annuity portfolio
In March 2018, M&G Prudential also announced the sale of £12.0 billion* of its shareholder annuity portfolio to Rothesay Life. Under the terms of the agreement, M&G Prudential has reinsured £12.0 billion* of liabilities to Rothesay Life, which is expected to be followed by a Part VII transfer of the portfolio by the end of 2019. Further details are set out in the CFO Report.
 
* Relates to £12.0 billion of IFRS shareholder annuity liabilities, valued as at 31 December 2017.
 
 
Additional EEV financial information*
 
A   New Business
 
BASIS OF PREPARATION
 
The format of the schedules is consistent with the distinction between insurance and investment products as applied for previous financial reporting periods. With the exception of some US institutional business, products categorised as 'insurance' refer to those classified as contracts of long-term insurance business for regulatory reporting purposes, ie falling within one of the classes of insurance specified in part II of Schedule 1 to the Regulated Activities Order under Prudential Regulation Authority regulations.
 
The details shown for insurance products include contributions for contracts that are classified under IFRS 4 'Insurance Contracts' as not containing significant insurance risk. These products are described as investment contracts or other financial instruments under IFRS. Contracts included in this category are primarily certain unit-linked and similar contracts written in UK and Europe Insurance Operations, and Guaranteed Investment Contracts and similar funding agreements written in US Insurance Operations.
 
New business premiums for regular premium products are shown on an annualised basis. Internal vesting business is classified as new business where the contracts include an open market option. New business premiums reflect those premiums attaching to covered business, including premiums for contracts designed as investment products for IFRS reporting.
 
Investment products referred to in the tables for funds under management are unit trusts, mutual funds and similar types of retail fund management arrangements. These are unrelated to insurance products that are classified as investment contracts under IFRS 4, as described in the preceding paragraph, although similar IFRS recognition and measurement principles apply to the acquisition costs and fees attaching to this type of business.
 
Post-tax New Business Profit has been determined using the European Embedded Value (EEV) methodology set out in our EEV basis results supplement.
 
In determining the EEV basis value of new business written in the period policies incept, premiums are included in projected cash flows on the same basis of distinguishing annual and single premium business as set out for statutory basis reporting.
 
Annual premium equivalent (APE) sales are subject to rounding.
 
*     The additional financial information is not covered by the KPMG LLP independent audit opinion.
 
Notes to Schedules A(i) to A(v)
 
(1)   Prudential plc reports its results using both actual exchange rates (AER) and constant exchange rates (CER) so as to eliminate the impact of exchange translation.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Average rate*
 
Closing rate
 
Local currency : £
2017
2016
% appreciation (depreciation) of local currency against GBP
 
31 Dec
2017
31 Dec
2016
% appreciation (depreciation) of local currency against GBP
 
China
8.71
8.99
3%
 
8.81
8.59
(2)%
 
Hong Kong
10.04
10.52
5%
 
10.57
9.58
(9)%
 
Indonesia
17,249.38
18,026.11
5%
 
18,353.44
16,647.30
(9)%
 
Malaysia
5.54
5.61
1%
 
5.47
5.54
1%
 
Singapore
1.78
1.87
5%
 
1.81
1.79
(1)%
 
Thailand
43.71
47.80
9%
 
44.09
44.25
0%
 
US
1.29
1.35
5%
 
1.35
1.24
(8)%
 
Vietnam
29,279.71
30,292.79
3%
 
30,719.60
28,136.99
(8)%
 
*       Average rate is for the 12 month period to 31 December.
 
(2)     Annual Premium Equivalents (APE), calculated as regular new business contributions plus 10 per cent of single new business contributions, are subject to rounding. Present value of new business premiums (PVNBP) are calculated as equalling single premiums plus the present value of expected premiums of new regular premium business. In determining the present value, allowance is made for lapses and other assumptions applied in determining the EEV new business profit.
(3)      Balance includes segregated and pooled pension funds, private finance assets and other institutional clients.
(4)      New business in India is included at Prudential's 26 per cent interest in the India life operation.
(5)      Balance Sheet figures have been calculated at the closing exchange rates.
(6)      New business in China is included at Prudential's 50 per cent interest in the China life operation.
(7)      Mandatory Provident Fund (MPF) product sales in Hong Kong are included at Prudential's 36 per cent interest in Hong Kong MPF operation.
(8)      Investment flows for the year exclude year-to-date Eastspring Money Market Funds (MMF) gross inflow of £192,662 million (2016: gross inflow of £146,711 million) and net inflow of £1,495 million (2016: net inflow of £403 million).
(9)      Total Group Investment Operations funds under management exclude MMF funds under management of £9,317 million at 31 December 2017 (31 December 2016: £7,714 million).
 
 
Schedule A(i) New Business Insurance Operations (Actual Exchange Rates)
 
Note:      The 2016 comparative results are shown below on actual exchange rates (AER) as previously reported.
 
 
 
 
Single premiums
Regular premiums
APE(2)
PVNBP(2)
 
2017
2016
+/(-)
2017
2016
+/(-)
2017
2016
+/(-)
2017
2016
+/(-)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
£m
£m
%
£m
£m
%
£m
£m
%
£m
£m
%
Group insurance operations
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Asia
2,299
2,397
(4)%
3,575
3,359
6%
3,805
3,599
6%
20,405
19,271
6%
US
16,622
15,608
6%
-
-
-
1,662
1,561
6%
16,622
15,608
6%
UK and Europe
13,044
9,836
33%
187
177
6%
1,491
1,160
29%
13,784
10,513
31%
Group total
31,965
27,841
15%
3,762
3,536
6%
6,958
6,320
10%
50,811
45,392
12%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Asia insurance
operations
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Cambodia
-
-
-
16
14
14%
16
14
14%
70
66
6%
Hong Kong
582
1,140
(49)%
1,667
1,798
(7)%
1,725
1,912
(10)%
10,027
10,930
(8)%
Indonesia
288
236
22%
268
255
5%
297
279
6%
1,183
1,048
13%
Malaysia
73
110
(34)%
271
233
16%
278
244
14%
1,398
1,352
3%
Philippines
62
91
(32)%
71
61
16%
77
70
10%
287
278
3%
Singapore
859
523
64%
361
299
21%
447
351
27%
3,463
2,627
32%
Thailand
139
80
74%
70
81
(14)%
84
89
(6)%
421
404
4%
Vietnam
8
6
33%
133
115
16%
134
116
16%
659
519
27%
SE Asia operations
including Hong Kong
2,011
2,186
(8)%
2,857
2,856
0%
3,058
3,075
(1)%
17,508
17,224
2%
China(6)
179
124
44%
276
187
48%
294
199
48%
1,299
880
48%
Taiwan
46
36
28%
208
146
42%
213
150
42%
634
499
27%
India(4)
63
51
24%
234
170
38%
240
175
37%
964
668
44%
Total Asia insurance
operations
2,299
2,397
(4)%
3,575
3,359
6%
3,805
3,599
6%
20,405
19,271
6%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
US insurance
operations
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Variable annuities
11,536
10,653
8%
-
-
-
1,154
1,065
8%
11,536
10,653
8%
Elite Access (variable
annuity)
2,013
2,056
(2)%
-
-
-
201
206
(2)%
2,013
2,056
(2)%
Fixed annuities
454
555
(18)%
-
-
-
45
55
(18)%
454
555
(18)%
Fixed index annuities
295
508
(42)%
-
-
-
30
51
(41)%
295
508
(42)%
Wholesale
2,324
1,836
27%
-
-
-
232
184
26%
2,324
1,836
27%
Total US insurance
operations
16,622
15,608
6%
-
-
-
1,662
1,561
6%
16,622
15,608
6%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
UK and Europe insurance operations
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Bonds
3,509
3,834
(8)%
-
-
-
351
384
(9)%
3,510
3,835
(8)%
Corporate pensions
103
110
(6)%
130
121
7%
140
132
6%
533
479
11%
Individual pensions
5,747
2,532
127%
32
35
(9)%
607
289
110%
5,897
2,681
120%
Income drawdown
2,218
1,649
35%
-
-
-
222
165
35%
2,218
1,649
35%
Other products
1,467
1,711
(14)%
25
21
19%
171
190
(10)%
1,626
1,869
(13)%
Total UK and Europe insurance operations
13,044
9,836
33%
187
177
6%
1,491
1,160
29%
13,784
10,513
31%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Group total
31,965
27,841
15%
3,762
3,536
6%
6,958
6,320
10%
50,811
45,392
12%
 
 
Schedule A(ii) New Business Insurance Operations (Constant Exchange Rates)
 
Note:      The 2016 comparative results are shown below on constant exchange rates (CER), ie translated at 2017 average exchange rates.
 
 
 
Single premiums
Regular premiums
APE(2)
PVNBP(2)
 
2017
2016
+/(-)
2017
2016
+/(-)
2017
2016
+/(-)
2017
2016
+/(-)
 
£m
£m
%
£m
£m
%
£m
£m
%
£m
£m
%
Group insurance operations
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Asia
2,299
2,509
(8)%
3,575
3,522
2%
3,805
3,773
1%
20,405
20,180
1%
US
16,622
16,405
1%
-
-
-
1,662
1,641
1%
16,622
16,405
1%
UK and Europe
13,044
9,836
33%
187
177
6%
1,491
1,160
29%
13,784
10,513
31%
Group total
31,965
28,750
11%
3,762
3,699
2%
6,958
6,574
6%
50,811
47,098
8%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Asia insurance
operations
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Cambodia
-
-
-
16
14
14%
16
14
14%
70
69
1%
Hong Kong
582
1,192
(51)%
1,667
1,884
(12)%
1,725
2,002
(14)%
10,027
11,442
(12)%
Indonesia
288
247
17%
268
267
0%
297
292
2%
1,183
1,096
8%
Malaysia
73
111
(34)%
271
235
15%
278
246
13%
1,398
1,368
2%
Philippines
62
90
(31)%
71
61
16%
77
70
10%
287
275
4%
Singapore
859
550
56%
361
314
15%
447
369
21%
3,463
2,761
25%
Thailand
139
88
58%
70
88
(20)%
84
97
(13)%
421
442
(5)%
Vietnam
8
6
33%
133
119
12%
134
120
12%
659
537
23%
SE Asia operations
including Hong Kong
2,011
2,284
(12)%
2,857
2,982
(4)%
3,058
3,210
(5)%
17,508
17,990
(3)%
China(6)
179
129
39%
276
193
43%
294
206
43%
1,299
909
43%
Taiwan
46
40
15%
208
163
28%
213
167
28%
634
557
14%
India(4)
63
56
13%
234
184
27%
240
190
26%
964
724
33%
Total Asia insurance
operations
2,299
2,509
(8)%
3,575
3,522
2%
3,805
3,773
1%
20,405
20,180
1%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
US insurance
operations
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Variable annuities
11,536
11,196
3%
-
-
-
1,154
1,120
3%
11,536
11,196
3%
Elite Access (variable
annuity)
2,013
2,161
(7)%
-
-
-
201
216
(7)%
2,013
2,161
(7)%
Fixed annuities
454
584
(22)%
-
-
-
45
58
(22)%
454
584
(22)%
Fixed index annuities
295
534
(45)%
-
-
-
30
54
(44)%
295
534
(45)%
Wholesale
2,324
1,930
20%
-
-
-
232
193
20%
2,324
1,930
20%
Total US insurance
operations
16,622
16,405
1%
-
-
-
1,662
1,641
1%
16,622
16,405
1%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
UK and Europe insurance operations
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Bonds
3,509
3,834
(8)%
-
-
-
351
384
(9)%
3,510
3,835
(8)%
Corporate pensions
103
110
(6)%
130
121
7%
140
132
6%
533
479
11%
Individual pensions
5,747
2,532
127%
32
35
(9)%
607
289
110%
5,897
2,681
120%
Income drawdown
2,218
1,649
35%
-
-
-
222
165
35%
2,218
1,649
35%
Other products
1,467
1,711
(14)%
25
21
19%
171
190
(10)%
1,626
1,869
(13)%
Total UK and Europe insurance operations
13,044
9,836
33%
187
177
6%
1,491
1,160
29%
13,784
10,513
31%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Group total
31,965
28,750
11%
3,762
3,699
2%
6,958
6,574
6%
50,811
47,098
8%
 
 
Schedule A(iii) Total Insurance New Business APE (Actual and Constant Exchange Rates)
 
Note: Comparative results for the first half (H1) and second half (H2) of 2016 and H1 2017 are presented on both actual exchange rates (AER) and constant exchange rates (CER). The H2 2017 amounts are presented on actual exchange rates (including the effect of retranslating H1 results for movements in average exchange rates between H1 and H2).
 
 
 
AER
CER
 
2016
2017
2016
2017
 
H1
H2
H1
H2
H1
H2
H1
H2
 
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
Group insurance operations
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Asia
1,605
1,994
1,943
1,862
1,779
1,994
1,908
1,897
US
782
779
960
702
869
772
939
723
UK and Europe
593
567
721
770
593
567
721
770
Group total
2,980
3,340
3,624
3,334
3,241
3,333
3,568
3,390
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Asia insurance operations
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Cambodia
6
8
8
8
6
8
8
8
Hong Kong
868
1,044
914
811
962
1,040
891
834
Indonesia
125
154
144
153
139
153
140
157
Malaysia
109
135
128
150
116
130
127
151
Philippines
30
40
36
41
31
39
35
42
Singapore
142
209
195
252
158
211
194
253
Thailand
43
46
42
42
50
47
42
42
Vietnam
44
72
62
72
49
71
61
73
SE Asia operations including Hong Kong
1,367
1,708
1,529
1,529
1,511
1,699
1,498
1,560
China(6)
109
90
187
107
118
88
186
108
Taiwan
56
94
105
108
67
100
104
109
India(4)
73
102
122
118
83
107
120
120
Total Asia insurance operations
1,605
1,994
1,943
1,862
1,779
1,994
1,908
1,897
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
US insurance operations
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Variable annuities
500
565
604
550
556
564
591
563
Elite Access (variable annuity)
99
107
110
91
110
106
107
94
Fixed annuities
28
27
24
21
32
26
24
21
Fixed index annuities
28
23
16
14
30
24
16
14
Wholesale
127
57
206
26
141
52
201
31
Total US insurance operations
782
779
960
702
869
772
939
723
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
UK and Europe insurance operations
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Bonds
196
188
174
177
196
188
174
177
Corporate pensions
74
58
75
65
74
58
75
65
Individual pensions
134
155
279
328
134
155
279
328
Income drawdown
81
84
106
116
81
84
106
116
Other products
108
82
87
84
108
82
87
84
Total UK and Europe insurance operations
593
567
721
770
593
567
721
770
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Group total
2,980
3,340
3,624
3,334
3,241
3,333
3,568
3,390
 
 
Schedule A(iv) Investment Operations (Actual Exchange Rates)
 
Note:      The H1 and H2 of 2016 and H1 2017 comparative results are shown below on actual exchange rates (AER) as previously reported.
 
 
 
 
2016
 
 
2017
 
 
 
H1
H2
 
 
H1
H2
 
 
 
£m
£m
 
 
£m
£m
 
Group investment operations
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Opening FUM
 
156,686
162,384
 
 
174,805
193,714
 
Net Flows:(8)
 
(7,378)
1,123
 
 
9,452
11,026
 
    - Gross Inflows
 
15,894
24,239
 
 
34,213
35,201
 
    - Redemptions
 
(23,272)
(23,116)
 
 
(24,761)
(24,175)
 
Other Movements
 
13,076
11,298
 
 
9,457
5,683
 
Group total(9)
 
162,384
174,805
 
 
193,714
210,423
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
M&G Prudential
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Retail
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Opening FUM
 
60,801
59,217
 
 
64,209
72,500
 
Net Flows:
 
(6,122)
(131)
 
 
5,515
5,528
 
    - Gross Inflows
 
6,160
9,625
 
 
15,871
15,078
 
    - Redemptions
 
(12,282)
(9,756)
 
 
(10,356)
(9,550)
 
Other Movements
 
4,538
5,123
 
 
2,776
1,669
 
Closing FUM
 
59,217
64,209
 
 
72,500
79,697
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Comprising amounts for:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   UK
 
34,308
35,208
 
 
35,201
35,740
 
   Europe (excluding UK)
 
23,020
26,905
 
 
35,192
42,321
 
   South Africa
 
1,889
2,096
 
 
2,107
1,636
 
 
 
59,217
64,209
 
 
72,500
79,697
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Institutional(3)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Opening FUM
 
65,604
70,439
 
 
72,554
76,618
 
Net Flows:
 
(844)
(993)
 
 
1,664
4,630
 
    - Gross Inflows
 
3,571
3,485
 
 
6,806
8,414
 
    - Redemptions
 
(4,415)
(4,478)
 
 
(5,142)
(3,784)
 
Other Movements
 
5,679
3,108
 
 
2,400
2,910
 
Closing FUM
 
70,439
72,554
 
 
76,618
84,158
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total M&G Prudential
 
129,656
136,763
 
 
149,118
163,855
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
PPM South Africa FUM included in total M&G Prudential
 
5,354
6,047
 
 
5,427
5,963
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Eastspring - excluding MMF(8)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Third party retail(7)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Opening FUM
 
25,541
27,155
 
 
30,793
36,093
 
Net Flows:
 
(787)
1,237
 
 
2,186
1,567
 
    - Gross Inflows
 
5,650
9,875
 
 
10,781
11,017
 
    - Redemptions
 
(6,437)
(8,638)
 
 
(8,595)
(9,450)
 
Other Movements
 
2,401
2,401
 
 
3,114
1,016
 
Closing FUM(5)
 
27,155
30,793
 
 
36,093
38,676
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Third party institutional
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Opening FUM
 
4,740
5,573
 
 
7,249
8,503
 
Net Flows:
 
375
1,010
 
 
87
(699)
 
    - Gross Inflows
 
513
1,254
 
 
755
692
 
    - Redemptions
 
(138)
(244)
 
 
(668)
(1,391)
 
Other Movements
 
458
666
 
 
1,167
88
 
Closing FUM(5)
 
5,573
7,249
 
 
8,503
7,892
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total Eastspring investment operations (excluding MMF)
 
32,728
38,042
 
 
44,596
46,568
 
 
 
Schedule A(v) Total Insurance New Business Profit (Actual and Constant Exchange Rates)
 
Note: Comparative results for half year (HY) and full year (FY) 2016 and half year  2017 are presented on both actual exchange rates (AER) and constant exchange rates (CER). The full year 2017 results are presented on actual exchange rates.
 
 
 
AER
CER
 
2016
2017
2016
2017
 
HY
FY
HY
FY
HY
FY
HY
FY
 
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
New Business Profit
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total Asia insurance operations
821
2,030
1,092
2,368
908
2,123
1,069
2,368
Total US insurance operations
311
790
436
906
346
830
426
906
Total UK and Europe insurance operations
125
268
161
342
125
268
161
342
Group total
1,257
3,088
1,689
3,616
1,379
3,221
1,656
3,616
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
APE(2)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total Asia insurance operations
1,605
3,599
1,943
3,805
1,779
3,773
1,908
3,805
Total US insurance operations
782
1,561
960
1,662
869
1,641
939
1,662
Total UK and Europe insurance operations
593
1,160
721
1,491
593
1,160
721
1,491
Group total
2,980
6,320
3,624
6,958
3,241
6,574
3,568
6,958
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
New Business Margin (NBP as % of APE)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total Asia insurance operations
51%
56%
56%
62%
51%
56%
56%
62%
Total US insurance operations
40%
51%
45%
55%
40%
51%
45%
55%
Total UK and Europe insurance operations
21%
23%
22%
23%
21%
23%
22%
23%
Group total
42%
49%
47%
52%
43%
49%
46%
52%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
PVNBP(2)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total Asia insurance operations
8,679
19,271
10,095
20,405
9,609
20,180
9,914
20,405
Total US insurance operations
7,816
15,608
9,602
16,622
8,690
16,405
9,387
16,622
Total UK and Europe insurance operations
5,267
10,513
6,616
13,784
5,267
10,513
6,616
13,784
Group total
21,762
45,392
26,313
50,811
23,566
47,098
25,917
50,811
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
New Business Margin (NBP as % of PVNBP)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total Asia insurance operations
9.5%
10.5%
10.8%
11.6%
9.4%
10.5%
10.8%
11.6%
Total US insurance operations
4.0%
5.1%
4.5%
5.5%
4.0%
5.1%
4.5%
5.5%
Total UK and Europe insurance operations
2.4%
2.5%
2.4%
2.5%
2.4%
2.5%
2.4%
2.5%
Group total
5.8%
6.8%
6.4%
7.1%
5.9%
6.8%
6.4%
7.1%
 
 
B Reconciliation of expected transfer of value of in-force business and required capital to free surplus
 
The tables below show how the value of in-force business (VIF) generated by the in-force long-term business and the associated required capital is modelled as emerging into free surplus over the next 40 years. Although a small amount (less than 4 per cent) of the Group's embedded value emerges after this date, analysis of cash flows emerging in the years shown in the tables is considered most meaningful. The modelled cash flows use the same methodology underpinning the Group's embedded value reporting and so are subject to the same assumptions and sensitivities used to prepare our 2017 results.
 
In addition to showing the amounts, both discounted and undiscounted, expected to be generated from all in-force business at 31 December 2017, the tables also present the expected future free surplus to be generated from the investment made in new business during 2017 over the same 40-year period for long-term business operations.
 
 
(i) Expected transfer of value of in-force business (VIF) and required capital to free surplus
 
 
 
 
 
31 Dec 2017 £m
 
 
Undiscounted expected generation from
all in-force business*
 
Undiscounted expected generation from
new business written*
Expected period of emergence
Asia
US
UK and Europe
Total
 
Asia
US
UK and Europe
Total
2018
1,393
1,464
671
3,528
 
197
226
36
459
2019
1,352
1,425
685
3,462
 
182
113
38
333
2020
1,299
1,483
674
3,456
 
181
124
40
345
2021
1,256
1,551
660
3,467
 
162
155
43
360
2022
1,239
1,441
638
3,318
 
164
129
48
341
2023
1,202
1,433
618
3,253
 
139
65
44
248
2024
1,171
1,404
601
3,176
 
142
73
40
255
2025
1,149
1,277
580
3,006
 
136
179
39
354
2026
1,154
1,158
553
2,865
 
131
154
39
324
2027
1,109
1,051
526
2,686
 
141
138
38
317
2028
1,066
897
499
2,462
 
121
125
36
282
2029
1,032
840
473
2,345
 
125
114
32
271
2030
1,003
731
448
2,182
 
116
99
31
246
2031
980
612
422
2,014
 
117
89
30
236
2032
971
514
532
2,017
 
134
78
30
242
2033
919
325
498
1,742
 
112
51
28
191
2034
898
333
467
1,698
 
113
32
26
171
2035
885
189
434
1,508
 
112
29
25
166
2036
868
140
402
1,410
 
111
23
23
157
2037
854
90
370
1,314
 
120
21
22
163
2038-2042
4,252
286
1,401
5,939
 
581
-
83
664
2043-2047
4,280
-
972
5,252
 
719
-
76
795
2048-2052
3,948
-
385
4,333
 
737
-
9
746
2053-2057
3,490
-
197
3,687
 
714
-
5
719
Total free surplus expected to
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
emerge in the next 40 years
37,770
18,644
13,706
70,120
 
5,507
2,017
861
8,385
 
 
*
The analysis excludes amounts incorporated into VIF at 31 December 2017 where there is no definitive timeframe for when the payments will be made or receipts received. In particular, it excludes the value of the shareholders' interest in the with-profits estate. It also excludes any free surplus emerging after 2057.
 
The above amounts can be reconciled to the new business amounts as follows:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2017 £m
 
 
Asia
US
UK and
Europe
Total
Undiscounted expected free surplus generation for years 2018 to 2057
5,507
2,017
861
8,385
Less: discount effect
(3,153)
(689)
(339)
(4,181)
Discounted expected free surplus generation for years 2018 to 2057
2,354
1,328
522
4,204
Discounted expected free surplus generation for years after 2057
442
-
1
443
Less: Free surplus investment in new business
(484)
(254)
(175)
(913)
Other items**
56
(168)
(6)
(118)
Post-tax EEV new business profit for long-term business operations
2,368
906
342
3,616
 
 
**
Other items represent the impact of the time value of options and guarantees on new business, foreign exchange effects and other non-modelled items. Foreign exchange effects arise as EEV new business profit amounts are translated at average exchange rates and the expected free surplus generation uses year end closing rates.
 
 
The undiscounted expected free surplus generation from all in-force business at 31 December 2017 shown below can be reconciled to the amount that was expected to be generated as at 31 December 2016 as follows:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Group
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
 
Other
 
Total
 
 
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
 
£m
 
£m
2016 expected free surplus generation   
   for years 2017 to 2056
3,441
3,195
3,111
3,070
3,030
2,865
 
45,321
 
64,033
Less: Amounts expected to be realised
   in the current year
(3,441)
-
-
-
-
-
 
-
 
(3,441)
Add: Expected free surplus to be
   generated in year 2057*
-
-
-
-
-
-
 
578
 
578
Foreign exchange differences
-
(180)
(176)
(176)
(175)
(163)
 
(2,225)
 
(3,095)
New business
-
459
333
345
360
341
 
6,547
 
8,385
Operating movements
-
(130)
(96)
(63)
(34)
(5)
 
 
 
 
Non-operating and other movements
-
184
290
280
286
280
 
2,668
 
3,660
2017 expected free surplus generation
   for years 2018 to 2057
-
3,528
3,462
3,456
3,467
3,318
 
52,889
 
70,120
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Asia
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
 
Other
 
Total
 
 
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
 
£m
 
£m
2016 expected free surplus generation   
   for years 2017 to 2056
1,320
1,247
1,202
1,167
1,142
1,122
 
27,080
 
34,280
Less: Amounts expected to be realised
   in the current year
(1,320)
-
-
-
-
-
 
-
 
(1,320)
Add: Expected free surplus to be
   generated in year 2057*
-
-
-
-
-
-
 
540
 
540
Foreign exchange differences
-
(69)
(66)
(65)
(64)
(63)
 
(1,511)
 
(1,838)
New business
-
197
182
181
162
164
 
4,621
 
5,507
Operating movements
-
11
15
-
(8)
(17)
 
 
 
 
Non-operating and other movements
-
7
19
16
24
33
 
501
 
601
2017 expected free surplus generation
   for years 2018 to 2057
-
1,393
1,352
1,299
1,256
1,239
 
31,231
 
37,770
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
US
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
 
Other
 
Total
 
 
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
 
£m
 
£m
2016 expected free surplus generation
   for years 2017 to 2056
1,446
1,279
1,273
1,281
1,282
1,152
 
8,257
 
15,970
Less: Amounts expected to be realised
   in the current year
(1,446)
-
-
-
-
-
 
-
 
(1,446)
Foreign exchange differences
-
(111)
(110)
(111)
(111)
(100)
 
(714)
 
(1,257)
New business
-
226
113
124
155
129
 
1,270
 
2,017
Operating movements
-
(72)
(48)
(8)
24
57
 
 
 
 
Non-operating and other movements
-
142
197
197
201
203
 
2,467
 
3,360
2017 expected free surplus generation
   for years 2018 to 2057
-
1,464
1,425
1,483
1,551
1,441
 
11,280
 
18,644
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
UK and Europe
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
 
Other
 
Total
 
 
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
£m
 
£m
 
£m
2016 expected free surplus generation
   for years 2017 to 2056
675
669
636
622
606
591
 
9,984
 
13,783
Less: Amounts expected to be realised
   in the current year
(675)
-
-
-
-
-
 
-
 
(675)
Add: Expected free surplus to be
   generated in year 2057*
-
-
-
-
-
-
 
38
 
38
New business
-
36
38
40
43
48
 
656
 
861
Operating movements
-
(69)
(63)
(55)
(50)
(45)
 
 
 
 
Non-operating and other movements
-
35
74
67
61
44
 
(300)
 
(301)
2017 expected free surplus generation
   for years 2018 to 2057
-
671
685
674
660
638
 
10,378
 
13,706
 
*         Excluding 2017 new business.
 
At 31 December 2017, the total free surplus expected to be generated over the next five years (2018 to 2022 inclusive), using the same assumptions and methodology as those underpinning our 2017 embedded value reporting was £17.2 billion, an increase of £1.4 billion from the £15.8 billion expected over an equivalent period from the end of 2016.
 
This increase primarily reflects the new business written in 2017, which is expected to generate £1,838 million of free surplus over the next five years.
 
At 31 December 2017, the total free surplus expected to be generated on an undiscounted basis in the next 40 years is £70.1 billion, up from the £64.0 billion expected at the end of 2016, reflecting the effect of new business written across all three business operations of £8.4 billion, a negative foreign exchange translation effect of £(3.1) billion and a £3.7 billion net effect reflecting operating, market assumption changes and other items. In Asia, these include the effect of changes in operating assumptions reflecting the net benefit arising from annual review of experience, together with the benefit of management actions. In the US, these mainly reflect the positive effect from persistency assumption updates and increase in equity market returns, together with the benefits from US tax reform, partially offset by lower future separate account return due to the decrease in interest rates. In the UK and Europe, these reflect the impact of management actions which had the effect of accelerating the generation of future free surplus into 2017, partially offset by higher than assumed investment returns on with-profits funds. The overall growth in the Group's undiscounted value of free surplus reflects our ability to write both growing and profitable new business.
 
Actual underlying free surplus generated in 2017 from life business in force before restructuring costs at the end of 2017 was £4.1 billion including £0.6 billion of changes in operating assumptions and experience variances. This compares with the expected 2017 realisation at the end of 2016 of £3.4 billion. This can be analysed further as follows:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Asia
US
UK and Europe
Total
 
£m
£m
£m
£m
Transfer to free surplus in 2017
1,275
1,329
675
3,279
Expected return on free assets
51
56
31
138
Changes in operating assumptions and
    experience variances
81
190
364
635
Underlying free surplus generated from
in-force life business before restructuring costs in 2017
1,407
1,575
1,070
4,052
 
 
 
 
 
2017 free surplus expected to be generated at
    31 December 2016
1,320
1,446
675
3,441
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
The equivalent discounted amounts of the undiscounted expected transfers from in-force business and required capital into free surplus shown previously are as follows:
 
 
 
 
 
31 Dec 2017 £m
 
 
Discounted expected generation from all
in-force business
 
Discounted expected generation from
new business written
Expected period of emergence
Asia
US
UK and Europe
Total
 
Asia
US
UK and Europe
Total
2018
1,337
1,400
655
3,392
 
188
220
35
443
2019
1,218
1,282
645
3,145
 
161
103
36
300
2020
1,102
1,254
610
2,966
 
150
107
38
295
2021
997
1,234
573
2,804
 
127
124
39
290
2022
929
1,077
529
2,535
 
121
99
41
261
2023
845
1,008
487
2,340
 
98
46
36
180
2024
777
930
452
2,159
 
96
51
32
179
2025
718
795
415
1,928
 
86
112
30
228
2026
679
680
375
1,734
 
78
89
28
195
2027
619
580
337
1,536
 
80
75
25
180
2028
561
467
303
1,331
 
64
64
22
150
2029
515
410
272
1,197
 
62
54
20
136
2030
477
337
241
1,055
 
55
44
18
117
2031
445
268
212
925
 
52
37
16
105
2032
420
215
261
896
 
56
31
15
102
2033
376
124
229
729
 
45
24
13
82
2034
350
123
202
675
 
44
16
12
72
2035
329
72
176
577
 
42
14
10
66
2036
309
52
156
517
 
39
10
9
58
2037
291
30
136
457
 
42
8
7
57
2038-2042
1,314
117
465
1,896
 
180
-
30
210
2043-2047
1,101
-
117
1,218
 
192
-
7
199
2048-2052
837
-
89
926
 
166
-
2
168
2053-2057
593
-
33
626
 
130
-
1
131
Total discounted free surplus expected to emerge in the next 40 years
17,139
12,455
7,970
37,564
 
2,354
1,328
522
4,204
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
The above amounts can be reconciled to the Group's EEV basis financial statements as follows:
 
 
 
 
31 Dec 2017 £m
Discounted expected generation from all in-force business for years 2018 to 2057
37,564
Discounted expected generation from all in-force business for years after 2057
1,576
Discounted expected generation from all in-force business at 31 December 2017
39,140
Add: Free surplus of life operations held at 31 December 2017
6,242
Less: Time value of guarantees
(836)
Other non-modelled items
1,371
Total EEV for long-term business operations
45,917
 
 
C Foreign currency source of key metrics
The tables below show the Group's key free surplus, IFRS and EEV metrics analysis by contribution by currency group:
 
 
2017 Free surplus and Group IFRS results
 
 
 
 
Underlying free surplus generated for total insurance and asset management operations
Group IFRS
pre-tax
operating profit
Group IFRS
shareholders'
funds
 
%
%
%
 
 
notes (2)(3)
notes (2)(3)
US dollar linkednote (1)
13%
24%
21%
Other Asia currencies
17%
18%
16%
Total Asia
30%
42%
37%
UK sterlingnotes (2)(3)
34%
11%
50%
US dollarnote (3)
36%
47%
13%
Total
100%
100%
100%
 
 
2017 Group EEV post-tax results
 
 
 
 
New
business profits
Operating profit
Shareholders'
funds
 
%
%
%
 
 
notes (2)(3)
notes (2)(3)
US dollar linkednote (1)
54%
46%
37%
Other Asia currencies
12%
12%
11%
Total Asia
66%
58%
48%
UK sterlingnotes (2)(3)
9%
9%
29%
US dollarnote (3)
25%
33%
23%
Total
100%
100%
100%
 
Notes
(1)  US dollar linked comprise the Hong Kong and Vietnam operations where the currencies are pegged to the US dollar and the Malaysia and Singapore operations where the currencies are managed against a basket of currencies including the US dollar.
(2)   For operating profit and shareholders' funds, UK sterling includes amounts in respect of M&G Prudential and other operations (including central operations, Africa operations and Prudential Capital). Operating profit for central operations includes amounts for corporate expenditure for Group Head Office as well as Asia Regional Head Office which is incurred in HK dollars.
(3)  For shareholders' funds, the US dollar grouping includes US dollar denominated core structural borrowings. Sterling operating profits include all interest payable as sterling denominated, reflecting interest rate currency swaps in place.
 
 
D Reconciliation between IFRS and EEV shareholders' funds
The table below shows the reconciliation of EEV shareholders' funds and IFRS shareholders' funds at the end of the year:
 
 
 
31 Dec 2017 £m
31 Dec 2016 £m
EEV shareholders' funds
44,698
38,968
Less: Value of in-force business of long-term businessnote (a)
(29,410)
(24,937)
Deferred acquisition costs assigned zero value for EEV purposes
9,227
9,170
Othernote (b)
(8,428)
(8,535)
IFRS shareholders' funds
16,087
14,666
 
Notes
(a)  The EEV shareholders' funds comprises the present value of the shareholders' interest in the value of in-force business, net worth of long-term business operations and IFRS shareholders' funds of asset management and other operations. The value of in-force business reflects the present value of future shareholder cash flows from long-term in-force business which are not captured as shareholders' interest on an IFRS basis. Net worth represents the net assets for EEV reporting purposes that reflect the regulatory basis position, sometimes with adjustments to achieve consistency with the IFRS treatment of certain items.
 
(b)  Other adjustments represent asset and liability valuation differences between IFRS and the local regulatory reporting basis used to value net worth for long-term insurance operations. For the UK, this would be the difference between IFRS and Solvency II.
 
It also includes the mark to market of the Group's core structural borrowings which are fair valued under EEV but not IFRS. The most significant valuation differences relate to changes in the valuation of insurance liabilities. For example, in Jackson where IFRS liabilities are higher than the local regulatory basis as they are principally based on policyholder account balances (with a deferred acquisition costs recognised as an asset) whereas the local regulatory basis used for EEV is based on future cash flows due to the policyholder on a prudent basis with consideration of an expense allowance as applicable, but with no separate deferred acquisition cost asset.
 
 
E Reconciliation of APE new business sales to earned premiums
The Group reports APE new business sales as a measure of the new policies sold in the year. This differs from the IFRS measure of premiums earned as shown below:
 
 
 
2017 £m
2016 £m
Annual premium equivalents as published
6,958
6,320
Adjustment to include 100% of single premiums on new business sold in the yearnote (a)
28,769
25,057
Premiums from in-force business and other adjustmentsnote (b)
8,278
7,604
Gross premiums earned
44,005
38,981
Outward reinsurance premiums
(2,062)
(2,020)
Earned premiums, net of reinsurance as shown in the IFRS financial statements
41,943
36,961
 
Notes
(a)   APE new business sales only include one tenth of single premiums, recorded on policies sold in the year. Gross premiums earned include 100 per cent of such premiums.
(b)   Other adjustments principally include amounts in respect of the following:
Gross premiums earned include premiums from existing in-force business as well as new business. The most significant amount is recorded in Asia, where a significant portion of regular premium business is written. Asia in-force premiums form the vast majority of the other adjustment amount;
APE includes new policies written in the year which are classified as investment contracts without discretionary participation features under IFRS 4, arising mainly in Jackson for guaranteed investment contracts and in M&G Prudential for certain unit-linked savings and similar contracts. These are excluded from gross premiums earned and recorded as deposits;
APE new business sales are annualised while gross premiums earned are recorded only when revenues are due; and
For the purpose of reporting APE new business sales, we include the Group's share of amounts sold by the Group's insurance joint ventures and associates. Under IFRS, joint ventures and associates are equity accounted and so no amounts are included within gross premiums earned.
 
 
F Calculation of return on embedded value
Return on embedded value is calculated as the EEV post-tax operating profit based on longer-term investment returns, as a percentage of opening EEV basis shareholders' funds.
 
 
 
Note
2017
2016
Operating profit based on longer-term investment returns (£ million)
2
6,598
5,497
Opening EEV basis shareholders' funds (£ million)
9
38,968
31,886
Return on embedded value
 
17%
17%
 
 
G Calculation of EEV shareholders' funds per share
EEV shareholders' funds per share is calculated as closing EEV shareholders' funds divided by the number of issued shares at the balance sheet date. EEV shareholders' funds per share excluding goodwill attributable to shareholders is calculated in the same manner, except goodwill attributable to shareholders is deducted from closing EEV shareholders' funds.
 
 
 
Note
31 Dec 2017
31 Dec 2016
Closing EEV shareholders' funds (£ million)
9
44,698
38,968
Less: Goodwill attributable to shareholders (£ million)
9
(1,458)
(1,475)
Closing EEV shareholders' funds excluding goodwill attributable to shareholders (£ million)
 
43,240
37,493
Number of issued shares at year end (millions)
 
2,587
2,581
Shareholders' funds per share (in pence)
 
1,728p
1,510p
Shareholders' funds per share excluding goodwill attributable to shareholders (in pence)
 
1,671p
1,453p
 
 
 
 
SIGNATURES
 
 
 
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.
 
 
 
 
 
Date: 14 March 2018
 
 
 
 
PRUDENTIAL PUBLIC LIMITED COMPANY
 
 
 
By: /s/ Mark FitzPatrick
 
 
 
Mark FitzPatrick
 
Chief Financial Officer