425

Filed by Agrium Inc.

(Commission File No. 333-157966)

Pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities

Act of 1933 and deemed filed pursuant to

Rule 14a-12 of the Securities Exchange Act

of 1934

Subject Company:

CF Industries Holdings, Inc.

***

The following letter was sent by Agrium Inc. to CF Industries Holdings, Inc. Board of Directors:

***

 

Michael M. Wilson

President & Chief Executive Officer

  

Agrium Inc.

13131 Lake Fraser Drive S. E.

Calgary, Alberta, Canada T2W 7E8

Telephone    (403) 225-7000

Direct           (403) 225-7547

Facsimile     (403) 225-7600

December 14, 2009

Board of Directors

CF Industries Holdings, Inc.

4 Parkway North

Suite 400

Deerfield, Illinois 60015-2590

Dear Messrs. Wilson, Arzbaecher, Creek, Davisson, Furbacher, Harvey, Johnson and Schmitt:

We are enclosing a slide presentation that demonstrates the compelling nature of our offer to acquire CF Industries Holdings, Inc.

We believe this presentation and our offer warrant careful consideration by you in light of your duties to your stockholders.

Agrium would very much appreciate the opportunity to meet with you to discuss our offer and we await your response.

Sincerely,

Michael M. Wilson

President and Chief Executive Officer

Agrium Inc.

Encl.+


Fundamentals of Growth
Agrium:
CF Board Materials
December 14, 2009


Fundamentals of Growth
2
Important Information
This
presentation
does
not
constitute
an
offer
to
exchange,
or
a
solicitation
of
an
offer
to
exchange,
common
stock
of
CF
Industries Holdings, Inc. (“CF”), nor is it a substitute for the Tender Offer Statement on Schedule TO or the Prospectus/Offer to
Exchange included in the Registration Statement on Form F-4 (including the Letter of Transmittal and related documents)
(collectively, as amended from time to time, the “Exchange Offer Documents”) filed by Agrium Inc. (“Agrium”) with the U.S.
Securities
and
Exchange
Commission
(the
“SEC”)
on
March
16,
2009,
as
amended.
The
Registration
Statement
on
Form
F-4
has
not yet become effective. The offer to exchange is made only through the Exchange Offer Documents. INVESTORS AND
SECURITY
HOLDERS
OF
AGRIUM
AND
CF
ARE
URGED
TO
READ
THE
EXCHANGE
OFFER
DOCUMENTS
AND
OTHER
RELEVANT MATERIALS FILED WITH THE SEC CAREFULLY IN THEIR ENTIRETY AS THEY BECOME AVAILABLE
BECAUSE THEY WILL CONTAIN IMPORTANT INFORMATION ABOUT THE OFFER TO EXCHANGE.
Copies
of
any
documents
filed
by
Agrium
with
the
SEC
are
available
free
of
charge
through
the
web
site
maintained
by
the
SEC
at
www.sec.gov, by calling the SEC at telephone number 800-SEC-0330 or by directing a request to the Agrium Investor
Relations/Media Department, Agrium Inc, 13131 Lake Fraser Drive S.E., Calgary, Alberta, Canada T2J 7E8. Free copies of any
such documents can also be obtained by calling Georgeson Inc. toll-free at (866) 318-0506.
Agrium,
North
Acquisition
Co.
(“North”),
a
wholly-owned
subsidiary
of
Agrium,
their
respective
directors
and
executive
officers
and
individuals nominated by Agrium for election to CF’s board of directors are deemed to be participants in the solicitation of proxies
from CF stockholders for CF’s 2010 annual meeting of stockholders. Information regarding such participants and a description of
their direct and indirect interests in such solicitation, by securities holdings or otherwise, is contained in the Schedule 14A filed
with the SEC on December
4, 2009.
Agrium,
North,
their
respective
directors
and
executive
officers
and
certain
other
persons
are
also
deemed
to
be
participants
in
any solicitation of proxies from CF’s stockholders in respect of the proposed transaction with CF. Information regarding Agrium’s
directors
and
executive
officers
is
available
in
its
management
proxy
circular
dated
March
23,
2009
relating
to
the
annual
general
meeting
of
its
shareholders
held
on
May
13,
2009.
Other
information
regarding
potential
participants
in
such
proxy
solicitation
and
a description of their direct and indirect interests, by security holdings or otherwise, will be contained in any proxy statement filed
in connection with the proposed transaction.
All information in this presentation concerning CF, including its business, operations and financial results, was obtained from
public sources. While Agrium has no knowledge that any such information is inaccurate or incomplete, Agrium has not had the
opportunity to verify any of that information.


Fundamentals of Growth
3
Forward-Looking
Statements
Certain
statements
and
other
information
included
in
this
presentation
constitute
“forward-looking
information”
within
the
meaning
of
applicable
Canadian
securities
legislation
or
constitute
“forward-looking
statements”
(together,
“forward-looking
statements”).
All
statements
in
this
presentation, other than those relating to historical information or current condition, are forward-looking statements, including, but not limited to,
estimates,
forecasts
and
statements
as
to
management’s
expectations
with
respect
to,
among
other
things,
business
and
financial
prospects,
financial multiples and accretion estimates, future trends, plans, strategies, objectives and expectations, including with respect to future
operations following the proposed acquisition of CF. These forward-looking statements are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties, many
of which are beyond our control, which could cause actual results to differ materially from such forward-looking statements.
Events or circumstances that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements, include, but are not
limited to, CF’s failure to accept Agrium’s proposal and enter into a definitive agreement to effect the transaction, the failure of CF stockholders
to elect Agrium’s nominees as directors of CF at its 2010 annual stockholder meeting, Agrium common shares issued in connection with the
proposed acquisition may have a market value lower than expected, the businesses of Agrium and CF, or any other recent business
acquisitions, may not be integrated successfully or such integration may be more difficult, time-consuming or costly than expected, the expected
combination benefits and synergies and costs savings from the Agrium/CF transaction may not be fully realized or not realized within the
expected
time
frame,
the
possible
delay
in
the
completion
of
the
steps
required
to
be
taken
for
the
eventual
combination
of
the
two
companies,
including the possibility that approvals or clearances required to be obtained from regulatory and other agencies and bodies will not be obtained
in a timely manner or will be obtained on conditions that may require divestiture of assets expected to be acquired, disruption from the proposed
transaction making it more difficult to maintain relationships with customers, employees and suppliers, general business and economic
conditions, interest rates, exchange rates and tax rates, weather conditions, crop prices, the supply, demand and price level for our major
products,
gas
prices
and
gas
availability,
operating
rates
and
production
costs,
domestic
fertilizer
consumption
and
any
changes
in
government
policy in key agriculture markets, including the application of price controls and tariffs on fertilizers and the availability of subsidies or changes in
their amounts, changes in development plans, construction progress, political risks, including civil unrest, actions by armed groups or conflict,
governmental and regulatory requirements and actions by governmental authorities, including changes in government policy, changes in
environmental, tax and other laws or regulations and the interpretation thereof and other risk factors detailed from time to time in Agrium and
CF’s reports filed with the SEC.
Agrium
disclaims
any
intention
or
obligation
to
update
or
revise
any
forward-looking
statements
in
this
presentation
as
a
result
of
new
information or future events, except as may be required under applicable U.S. federal securities laws or applicable Canadian securities
legislation.
These
forward-looking
statements
are
based
on
certain
assumptions
and
analyses
made
by
us
in
light
of
our
experience
and
perception
of
historical
trends,
current
conditions
and
expected
future
developments
as
well
as
other
factors
we
believe
are
appropriate
in
the
circumstances. Expected future developments are based, in part, upon assumptions respecting our ability to successfully integrate the
businesses of Agrium and CF, or any other recent acquisitions.
All of the forward-looking statements contained herein are qualified by these cautionary statements and by the assumptions that are stated or
inherent in such forward-looking statements. Although we believe these assumptions are reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on
these assumptions and such forward-looking statements. The key assumptions that have been made in connection with the forward-looking
statements include, but are not limited to, CF’s acceptance of Agrium’s proposal and the entering into of a definitive agreement to effect the
proposed transaction, closing the proposed transaction, the market value of Agrium common shares issued in connection with the proposed
acquisition, our ability to successfully integrate within expected time frames and costs, and realize the expected combination benefits and
synergies
and
costs
savings
from,
the
combination
of
the
businesses
of
Agrium
and
CF,
or
any
other
recent
business
acquisitions,
and
our
ability to maintain relationships with customers, employees and suppliers during the course of the proposed transaction.


Fundamentals of Growth
4
Compelling
Rationale for Combination
We believe a combination of Agrium and CF would make a great company
Our offer to CF stockholders is compelling
Significant
premium,
attractive
multiple
at
7.8x
2010E
owned
EBITDA
(1)
,
flexible
cash
/
stock mix
Further upside through ownership of Agrium shares
CF has not presented any alternatives to the Agrium offer which provide
superior value to
CF stockholders today or in the future
In comparison, CF’s offer for Terra is likely to result in value impairment of
~$880 million, or $14.75 per CF share
(2)
CF should not ignore its stockholders
Through multiple letters to the CF Board and calls to CF management and its advisors,
we have sought engagement
CF
has
ignored
our
efforts
to
discuss
restructuring
options
that
could
allow
our
two
great
companies to merge and create value for our stockholders
The
CF
Board
has
an
obligation
to
act
in
its
stockholders’
best
interests
and
should respond to Agrium:  We are ready to commence discussions as
soon as possible
(1)
Represents
consensus
estimated
‘owned’
EBITDA
(consolidated
EBITDA
adjusted
to
reflect
leakage
of
minority
interest and addition of equity investment income).
(2)
See page 12


Fundamentals of Growth
5
(1)
6.9 x
6.4 x
5.9 x
5.6 x
Agrium
Consolidated
Terra
Consolidated
CF 'Owned'
CF Consolidated
CF stockholders want to receive a
premium, not pay one
Both CF/Agrium and Terra/CF
transaction multiples are at significant
premiums to historic trading levels
Agrium’s offer for CF is relatively higher, as
CF has historically traded at a discount to
both Terra and Agrium
Agrium’s offer of $107.88 per CF share
represents a premium of
20% to CF’s current trading price of $89.99
37% to CF’s unaffected price of ~$78.50
43% to CF’s expected share price of
~$75.25, pro forma a combination with
Terra
(2)
Implied Transaction Multiples:
EV
/
2010E
‘Owned’
EBITDA
Source:  Bloomberg; market data as of Dec 11
(1)
CF estimated unaffected price of ~$78.50, see page 11
(2)
CF share price pro forma a transaction with Terra of ~$75.25, see page 12
(3)
CF/Agrium implied offer of $107.88. 50.3mm F.D. shares outstanding, $748mm net cash ($5mm notes payable, $123mm customer advances, $100mm estimated deal expenses, $703mm cash &
equivalents,
$46mm
cash
proceeds
from
options,
$227mm
position
in
Terra
valued
at
CF’s
estimation
of
Terra’s
unaffected
price
of
$32.50),
and
2010E
‘Owned’
EBITDA
of
$604mm
(consolidated
EBITDA adjusted to reflect leakage of minority interests and addition of equity investment income)
(4)
Terra/CF implied offer of $46.05, 100.7mm F.D. shares outstanding, $457mm net cash ($600mm senior notes, $0.5mm preferred stock , $41mm customer advances, $100mm estimated deal
expenses,
and
$1,198mm
cash
&
equivalents)
and
2010E
‘Owned’
EBITDA
of
$523mm
(consolidated
EBITDA
adjusted
to
reflect
leakage
of
minority
interests
and
addition
of
equity
investment
income)
(5)
Forward consensus estimated ‘owned’
EBITDA (consolidated EBITDA adjusted to reflect leakage of minority
interests
and
addition
of
equity
investment
income).
Ratio
of
‘owned’’
EBITDA
to
consolidated
EBITDA
per
analyst research reports, used as proxy for minority interests and addition of equity investment income,
which is used to adjust consolidated EBITDA.  Enterprise values exclude minority interests
Average Forward EBITDA Multiples:
Last 3 years to Jan 15
Agrium has traded at a multiple 1.3x greater than CF
7.8 x
8.0 x
CF/Agrium Offer
Terra/CF Offer
(3)
(4)
(5)
Agrium’s
Offer
for
CF
is
Compelling
CF’s
Board 
Needs to Justify Not Engaging
with Agrium


Fundamentals of Growth
6
No Credible Scenario for CF Stockholders to
Realize Superior Value to Agrium’s Offer
Agrium
Offer
at
Illustrative
35%
Sector
Upward
Move
CF Sector Move Required:
Unaffected
Price
(1)
~$146
Source:  Bloomberg; market data as of Dec 11
(1)
CF estimated unaffected price of ~$78.50 calculated using Terra’s unaffected multiple (5.14x, implied by CF’s
estimated
Terra
unaffected
$32.50
stock
price)
applied
to
CF’s
2010E
‘owned’
EBITDA
(consolidated
EBITDA
adjusted to reflect leakage of minority interests and addition of equity investment income).  See page 11
(2)
See page 12
An illustrative upward sector
move of 35% from the current
Agrium offer would achieve a
future CF stock price of ~$146
assuming 100% stock
election (or reinvestment of
cash into sector)
CF stockholders would have
to realize an 86% sector
upward move on CF's
unaffected price
(1)
and a 94%
sector upward move on CF’s
share price pro forma a
combination
with
Terra
(2)
to
achieve
equivalent future
value
$
107.88
$
145.64
Current Offer Price
Implied Future
Offer Value
35 %
Sector
Move
$
78.50
$
145.64
$
145.64
$
75.25
CF Unaffected
Price (1)
Future Offer
Value
@ 35% Sector
Move
Pro Forma CF
Share Price (2)
Future Offer
Value
@ 35% Sector
Move
Required Sector
Move
94 %
86 %
Required Sector
Move


Fundamentals of Growth
7
CF’s Offer for Terra is Likely to Impair
Stockholder Value
(1)
Per CF’s estimate of Terra’s unaffected share price of $32.50 per Dec 7 presentation to Terra Board
(2)
5.14x
implied
Terra
EV/2010E
‘Owned’
EBITDA based on CF’s estimate of Terra’s unaffected share price of $32.50
per Dec 7 presentation to Terra Board
An acquisition of Terra is likely to impair the value of CF stock by 
$14.75 per share (~$880 million)
The value of the combined entity would be equal to the standalone value of CF
and Terra plus synergies
CF’s $32.50 estimate of Terra’s unaffected stock price implies a Terra
standalone enterprise value on an ‘owned’
basis of $2.7 billion
(1)
Implied 5.14x 2010E ‘Owned’
EBITDA
CF’s current proposal for Terra is notionally worth $46.05 ($36.75 cash and
0.1034 CF shares per Terra share at CF’s current market price of $89.99)
Implies an enterprise value for Terra of $4.2 billion
$1.5 billion over estimated standalone unaffected value
Giving full credit for estimated synergies of $120 million represents value of $617
million
(synergies
capitalized
at
5.14x
(2)
)
Enterprise value premium of $1.5 billion less capitalized synergies of $617
implies ~$880 million of value impairment
If the CF Board continues down its current path
it is likely to impair stockholder value


Fundamentals of Growth
8
CF’s Board Needs to Justify why CF/Agrium Is
Not a Superior Combination Across All Criteria
9.2%
6.7%
Integration
Risk
(Synergies
%
of
Pro
Forma
2010E
EBITDA)
(1)
112%
42%
Integration Risk (Deal Size % of Current Enterprise Value)
Smaller business totally reliant on
volatile commodities
Bigger, stronger and more stable
company
Stability
2009E: 1.9x
2010E: 1.9x
2009E: 1.7x
2010E: 1.0x
Pro
Forma
Leverage
(Debt/EBITDA)
(3)
CF: 5.6x
Terra: 6.4x
Blended: 6.0x
Agrium: 6.9x
CF: 5.6x
Blended: 6.6x
Historical
Consensus
Forward
Trading
Multiple
(2)
$1,311
$2,247
Pro
Forma
2010E
EBITDA
($millions)
(1)
2
revenue
streams
Nitrogen and Phosphate
5
revenue
streams
Nitrogen, Phosphate, Potash,
Retail and Specialties
Diversity
Estimated Non-Investment
Grade
(4)
Investment Grade
(lower cost of capital)
Credit Rating
CF has
invested
in
1
joint
venture
TOTAL OF $25 MILLION
Agrium has
successfully completed 16
acquisitions
9 acquisitions
TOTALING $3.4 BILLION
in the last 5 years alone
Execution and Integration Risk
Terra/CF
CF/Agrium
(1)
Includes CF/Agrium synergies of ~$150 million and Terra/CF synergies of $120 million
(2)
Historical forward multiples for last 3 years ending Jan 15.  Blended multiple of consensus EBITDA weighted on current enterprise value basis as of Dec 11. Source: CapitalIQ
(3)
Agrium
2009E
pro
forma
debt
of
$3.0
billion ($1.8 billion existing debt as of Sep 30 plus $1.2 billion new debt), divided by pro forma consolidated 2009E EBITDA of $1.8 billion ($851 million Agrium plus
$769
million
CF
plus
~$150
million
synergies)
and
2010E
pro
forma
debt
of
$2.3
billion,
divided
by
pro
forma
consolidated
EBITDA
for 2010E of $2.2 billion ($1.4 billion Agrium plus $666 million
CF plus ~$150 million synergies). Pro forma CF total debt of $2.5 billion per increased CF acquisition debt facility in
Dec 7 Investor Presentation, divided by pro forma consolidated EBITDA for 2009E of $1.3 billion ($769 million CF
plus
$418
million
Terra
and
$120
million
synergies)
and
2010E
of
$1.3
billion
($666
million
CF
plus
$525
million
Terra and $120 million synergies). Assumes no pay-down of CF pro forma debt
(4)
Investment rating not yet public
:
:
:
:


Fundamentals of Growth
9
The CF Board has an Obligation to Act in
its Stockholders’
Best Interests
Equity
research
analysts
recognize
“value-destructive”
effect
of
CF’s
offer
“We think that CF has officially waded waist-deep into value-destructive territory with this bid. On a
stand-alone basis, the per share value of the offer is roughly twice our $23 fair value estimate for Terra.
If we include a rough per share value for CF's $105 million-$135 million in targeted synergies of $10.50-
$13.50, then the border between creating and eroding value for CF shareholders would fall at about
$36.50 per Terra share, based on our estimates. The latest bid is still about 26% higher than this
stretch target.
Ben Johnson, Morningstar.ca, Dec 7
CF stockholders want to receive a premium, not pay one
60% of CF stockholders (excluding Agrium’s shares) supported this deal with Agrium
Our offer has increased a further 14% since we increased the cash consideration
CF has consistently restructured its offer to avoid giving its own stockholders a voice
“Given the extraordinary nature of the CF board's "end-run" around its own shareholders…
and
restructuring of its offer…
we remain concerned about the accountability of the CF board going
forward…
CF shareholders will have no recourse to prevent an undesired Terra deal from being
consummated…
we have heard many complaints from CF shareholders about the potential for
disenfranchisement…
Chris Young, RiskMetrics Group, Nov 16
Give CF stockholders a voice:  Waive
The
Pill
and
Delaware
Section
203
If
the
CF
Board
believes
they’re
acting
in
stockholders’
interests
and
have
full
support
of
their stockholders, why not remove the pill and 203 and give their stockholders a voice?
The CF Board has an obligation to engage:
We stand ready to execute a merger agreement


Fundamentals of Growth
10
Appendix


Fundamentals of Growth
11
CF Unaffected Stock Price of ~$78.50 Based on
Estimated Terra Unaffected Price of $32.50
Source: Balance sheet data per latest company filings; estimates per analyst research; market data per Bloomberg as of Dec 11
Note:
All
multiples
on
an
‘Owned’
EBITDA
basis.
Assumes
2010E
‘Owned’
EBITDA
(consolidated
EBITDA
less
minority
interest
plus
equity
investments)
estimate
for
CF
of
$604mm
(1)
CF’s
estimated
unaffected
price
of
$32.50
per
CF
Dec
7
presentation
to
Terra
Board
implies
an
estimated
Terra
standalone
multiple
of
5.14x
2010E
‘Owned”
EBITDA.
99.8mm
shares
outstanding,
$557mm
net
cash
($600mm
senior
notes,
$41mm
customer
advances,
$0.5mm
preferred
stock,
$1,198mm
cash
&
equivalents),
and
2010E
‘Owned’
EBITDA
of
$523mm
(consolidated
EBITDA
adjusted
to
reflect
leakage
of
minority
interests
and
addition
of
equity
investment
income).
5.14x
CF’s
2010E
‘owned’
EBITDA
implies
$3,104mm
enterprise
value
(2)
CF net cash balance consists of $5mm notes payable, $123mm customer advances, and $703mm cash & equivalents
(3)
Cash
proceeds
from
options
based
on
the
exercise
of
in
the
money
options
(4)
CF’s toehold in Terra valued at an estimated unaffected price of $32.50 per CF Dec 7 Presentation
(5)
CF implied share price of $78.46 calculated based on 50.2mm diluted shares outstanding
Illustrative
CF
Unaffected
Stock
Price
Based
on
Terra
Implied
Unaffected
EV
/
2010E
EBITDA
of
5.14x
(1)
$3,104
$575
$33
$3,939
$227
Implied Unaffected CF
Enterprise Value (1)
(5.14x 2010E EBITDA of $604mm)
Net Cash (2)
Cash Proceeds from
Options (3)
Toe Hold
in TRA (4)
Implied CF
Equity Value
Implied CF Stock Price:
$78.46 (5)


Fundamentals of Growth
12
Acquiring
Terra Likely to Result in Net
Value Impairment of ~$15 Per CF Share
(1)
CF’s estimate of Terra’s unaffected share price per Dec 7 Investor Presentation
(2)
Basic shares outstanding of 99.8mm
(3)
TRA net cash of $557mm as at Q3 2009 is pro forma for $600mm 2019 notes issuance and $381mm repayment of 2017 notes including tender premiums ($600mm debt, $1,198mm of cash and
$41mm customer advances), and $0.5mm of preferred shares
(4)
Estimated ‘Owned’
2010E EBITDA as at Dec 11
(5)
Fully diluted shares outstanding of 100.7mm reflects 99.8mm basic shares and 0.9mm unvested and phantom shares
(6)
Estimated deal expenses of $100mm combined for CF and Terra
(7)
Midpoint of CF synergy estimates of $105mm to $135mm per CF’s Nov 4 Investor Presentation
(8)
5.14x implied
Terra
EV/2010E
‘Owned’
EBITDA
based
on
CF’s
estimate
of
Terra’s
unaffected
share price
of $32.50 per Dec 7 presentation to Terra Board
(9)
59.5mm pro forma shares outstanding (49.8mm CF diluted shares, plus 9.7mm shares issued to Terra including 0.9mm unvested and phantom shares and net of CF’s 6.9mm toehold in Terra)
Source:  Latest public filings, Market data as of Dec 11
(US$ millions, unless otherwise noted)
Standalone Terra Valuation
CF Estimation of Terra Unaffected Stock Price (US$)
(1)
$32.50
Implied Terra Market Cap (99.8 mm shares)
$3,244
Net Debt (Cash)
(3)
(556)
Terra Standalone Enterprise Value   (A)
$2,688
Implied EV / 2010E 'Owned' EBITDA ($523mm)
5.14
x
Value of CF's Offer for Terra
Terra Offer Price (Based on At-Market CF, US$)
$46.05
Implied Terra Equity Value (100.7 mm shares)
(5)
$4,639
Net Debt (Cash)
(3)
(556)
Estimated Deal Expenses 
(6)
100
Value of CF's Offer for Terra   (B)
$4,182
Implied EV / 2010E 'Owned' EBITDA ($523mm)
8.00
x
Implied
Enterprise
Value
Premium
(C
=
B
-
A)
$1,494
Estimated Annual Synergies
(7)
$
120
Capitalized Value of Synergies (@ 5.14x)    
(D)
$
617
Implied Net Value Leakage   (C -
D)
$877
Implied Net Value Leakage Per Share (US$)
(9)
$14.75
Current CF Stock Price
$89.99
Implied Pro Forma CF Stock Price
$75.24
(4)
(2)
(8)
(4)