The negatives:
Profit growth already low and slowing
Car sales rolled over in September
New home sales already rolled over
Housing starts flattened
Personal income anemic, and distribution issues further softening demand
800,000 federal workers not getting paid
0 rate policy/QE is a deflationary bias
Pro active austerity already initiated
Federal deficit looking too low for financial conditions
Markets/analysts have ignored/ridiculed the paradox of thrift so are ‘long and wrong’
Japan’s currency depreciation works against US and euro domestic demand
Not only no chance of fiscal relaxation if things go bad, but more likely further fiscal tightening.
So it’s thereby worse than flying without a net.
The positives:
Just rhetoric-
Americans are resilient and all that…
feel free to distribute.
