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C O R P O R A T E P A R T I C I P A N T
S
Paul
Huck
Air
Products & Chemicals - SVP, CFO
P R E S E N T A T I O N
Unidentified
Participant
Good
morning, everyone.
Please
know that all important disclosures, including personal holdings disclosures and
Morgan Stanley disclosures, appear in the Morgan Stanley public website at
www.morganstanley.com/research disclosures, or at the registration
desk.
After
that, I’d just like to welcome Paul Huck, who is the Chief Financial Officer of
Air Products, to talk and (inaudible).
Paul Huck -
Air Products & Chemicals - SVP,
CFO
Thanks,
Paul, and thanks, everyone, for being here today, coming to the talk here. The
weather is not great out there, as you probably have realized, that everyone who
has been in this area for this past winter probably can’t wait until spring. I
know I’m one of them that sits here.
With
me today, Ken Walck, a manager from our -- Manager of Investor Relations is here
with me today. I’m going to address really a couple of things. I’m going to talk
about Airgas obviously and our offer to acquire them. I know a lot of you have
questions on that. We’ll also talk about the progress on our goals in the base
company for margin and growth for things. Then I’ll open it up for questions
here.
All
right, I have a lot additional information, three slides worth. Please read this
stuff. I’m not going to read it to you. I’ve got to get past it.
We
talk first about the offer here to acquire Airgas and what’s our (inaudible).
We’ve had a lot of questions obviously on it. The offer is for $60, a 38%
premium to the share price on the closing before it, before we announced, and an
18% premium to the -- and through the 52-week high of the stock. It is
substantially cash accretive to us in year one. We also look at this and we see
there are significant savings which we can bring by bringing these two companies
together, which we don’t think are possible by either of the companies staying
apart for this. About $250 million a year on a run-rate basis by the end of year
two.
We
have -- the financing is fully committed by -- from JP Morgan at this point in
time. We will get back to an A rating over time.
The
other thing is we have transaction costs which everyone should know about. We
think those transaction costs are about $200 million a year, with the current
accounting change this year for us which is that you expense these transaction
costs. Previously,
those costs have all been put into the balance sheet as far as part of the cost
of the acquisition and capitalized as goodwill. But we will have probably about
an $0.08 a share impact in quarter two, a $0.10 a share impact in quarter three,
and then it will continue from there. There is a carrying cost into the bridge
and we are amortizing the cost of the bridge over the 12-month
life of it, just so everyone knows how that accounting works for it. If anyone
has any questions, just give us a call on it.
Another
question which people have had is the regulatory approval of this. We think we
have a very good understanding of the issues here. We are ready to make the
appropriate sales of assets which are needed to complete this
transaction.
If
we look at the logic which sits behind here, we think this is a very strong
strategic case which we have, very compelling reasons for us to do it. First
off, from the obvious one of size, although this is not a size -- it is not a
transaction which is motivated by size, is that it makes us the largest
industrial gas company within North America. It also makes us one of the largest
industrial gas companies in the world.
What
is more strategic for us is it balances the mode of supply for us. It gives us
greater capability in the packaged gas area. I’ll have more to say about why
that’s important to us in a second here.
But
the other aspect of this which makes it very important for us is we think it
combines the complementary skills of the two companies. We think these two
companies blend together extremely well. When you take the things which Air
Products does in the tonnage areas, the ability which we have in the
international areas, our ability in engineering and technology and applications
work, and you combine that with the position which Airgas has in packaged gases,
their skills in packaged gases, their ability to do rollup acquisitions and also
their 1500 salespeople, which really enable us to serve a broader range of
industries.
We
also think that timing is outstanding for this transaction. If you take a look,
one of the things which we do is that it is occurring as we come out of the
recession, so it enables us to maximize the savings which we can get here. We
have an unloaded supply system which has some room in which we can grow and
supply more gas to Airgas locations. We also have the ability, as we look here,
to take them on the international front, which is something which they have a
desire to do. If you do it on the back of the infrastructure which Air Products
has, we have infrastructure across Europe, we have infrastructure across --
certainly across Asia, which they would have to build. We can bring their model
of business more quickly and at a cheaper, a much cheaper cost to places like
China, Korea, Taiwan, India, etc. So, we think there’s a lot of capability there
for us.
The
other thing is that they are embarking on the SAP system. What they’re doing
there is that we have already done that. We have a packaged gas solution. We can
bring them into the Air Products system. We think that has great opportunity for
us.
If
we take a look at Airgas -- and so just a brief view of this. It has a premier
position in the packaged gas area, and so they have about 25% of the market in
this particular area (inaudible) 12. They have grown very strongly and their
same-store sales growth has been strong over the past five years at about
7%.
The
pie chart which you see over here on your right actually also is very important
to us because it gets us into industries which Air Products does not serve that
much in the United States. We serve them in other places in the world where we
have packaged gases applications, where we have applications and we have skills
there which do not go to market today because we don’t have a packaged gas
business in the United States.
The
last aspect of this is the coverage which you can see, a broad coverage. The
sales reps are very important. The role of acquisition skills which they have
are very important to us.
Now,
let’s take a look at the company which this creates. If you look at this, it
makes us, as I said, one of the largest industrial gas companies in the world;
it makes us the largest industrial gas company within North America; it also
expands our capability in packaged gas. Packaged gas is about 40% to 45% of the
market for industrial gases. So, it would take us from being under-represented
in that area to being fairly close to what the market represents. It also gives
us world-class skills in all those areas.
So
I’d like to talk about a little bit about the value of the integration here. If
you take a look at this slide, you can see the tonnage and in the bulk and the
packaged gas (inaudible) the supply in the center. On your left are the products
in which we give. Then on the right are the benefits of being
integrated.
So
if we look at just tonnage and liquid bulk, very obviously the things that you
get is you build the plant a little bit bigger, and you get the co-supply
economics of liquid oxygen and liquid argon, liquid oxygen and liquid nitrogen.
You can also get a coproduct here of argon from a large oxygen plant for things.
The other thing which you get is backup supply to smaller on-sites, which
is an important aspect. You cannot be in that small of the on-site business
without having a liquid business to back that up.
Then if
you look at between the bulk business and the packaged gas business, you
obviously have the product supply outlet, which is important. But even more
important to us is that you get a broader sales coverage, you get broader
ability to hit on the industry. There are industries which Air Products doesn’t
serve a lot which are large consumers of industrial gases.
So if you
take some of the simple examples of the maintenance and repair areas, the
construction area, if you take the analytical area, the food and beverage, the
medical area, we do not have the sales coverage to adequately cover all of the
opportunities for these areas in the United States. They do represent a market
for liquid products but they also purchase a large amount of packaged gases. So
getting the sales force of Airgas with that will help us tremendously with
that.
We now
turn to the cost synergy savings side and you look at the supply chain synergies
which we have and the overhead synergies which we have. We talked about $250
million a year by the end of year two on a run-rate basis for us. We think that
continues to grow beyond that time period. We think the savings are probably
about 60% on the supply-chain side, about 40% on the overhead side.
If we
look at the type of things which we’re doing, first you have to look at what the
focus of the Airgas company has been, and the focus of Airgas has been on
growth. They have been a rollup acquisition strategy; they focus much more on
growth. They have a very good track record in that area. They have done less so
on the efficiency side.
So if you
look at that thing, things like consolidating the build locations which they
have acquired, consolidating the packaged -- the places at which they make the
spec gases which they sell, they’ve not gone through. They operate the bulk of
the ones which they acquired over those years.
As we
look at this, we think these plants should run 365 days a year, 24 hours a day,
etc. We think that there’s a capability to shut a number of these
down.
You would
also go to a different model for delivering the product. Right now, they go very
much on sending the driver on what is known as a [mill] run basis. We would go
to hub and spoke. In other words, the driver gets a different delivery method, a
different delivery route every day instead of the same delivery route. What that
winds up is you don’t have as many drivers, you don’t have as many trucks, you
don’t drive as many miles for each cylinder which you deliver. So you save a
considerable amount of savings.
We have a
much larger requirement on the purchasing end than Airgas has. We would look to
bring them on to our supply contracts and leverage our supplies more. That’s
obvious.
The other
thing which is not as obvious is we have purchasing which we do around the
world. We procure for our businesses in Asia, and we also procure things in Asia
for the US and Europe. We would look to lever that. That is something which
Airgas does not have today since they don’t have the presence in places like
China.
On the
overhead side, we would actually do a lot of very obvious things on the
corporate side. I think everyone understands the type of things which you would
do there, eliminate the overlap. We would also take and rationalize the
management structure, then the number of regions which they have, look to see if
we could slim down the management of the business here. What we would then also
do is look to bring shared services to the back office. This is something which
they still do a lot of paying of the bills out everyplace; they invoice out at
each of the locations. That is not typically the way people operate today in a
large company. They tend to do that from a single location with an enabled
system, and really coming out and cutting down considerably on the cost in that
area, which would be something which we would look to do there.
So
we think there is significant ability for us to improve margins here, the
margins in the business as we take a look at them, compared to our business,
compared to what pressure (inaudible) about their business is that the margins
are just too low. We think that makes the synergies achievable and something
which adds a lot of value. We think we have the capabilities and the skills to
do that.
If
you look at the area of growth, I touched a little bit on this already. A thing
which we have is we have a business in Europe which has come up with a number of
products which have enabled the sales growth in Europe to be very strong. We
have cylinders, which I’ll talk about later on in the presentation, which have
really enabled growth in this business, which really -- and make our customers a
lot more productive in the things that they do. We also would look to bring
micro bulk, which we have in Europe, into this market more broadly and use the
sales force to drive that. We look for a lot more sales in the industries which
we do not cover, as I talked about earlier. Finally, the area of taking the Air
Products structure and the international aspect of things which we do and bring
that to Airgas.
The
thing which we don’t intend to touch on, the thing which we don’t intend to
destroy, is the success which they have on customer focus. We think that is a
key element of things.
So
I’ve gotten a lot of questions of “Do you understand what the secrets are
(inaudible) Airgas? Yes we do. We do understand that their customer focus has
driven a lot of value in stuff. We would not intend to go out and cut a bunch of
salespeople and get rid of that structure. We do intend to make the back-office
run a lot more efficiently (inaudible). We think there are significant
opportunities for growth when you combine the offerings which we bring, the
density which Airgas brings, and the ability to expand on the Air Products
structure internationally.
A
question which we’ve also gotten is, “Why so much investment within the US?” I
think, as we look at the US, we think that the US is still a very strong market.
As we look at all of the countries in the world, as far as growth is concerned,
from an absolute dollar amount, is second to China during the next five years,
so it’s a very strong area of growth still. We think the opportunities sit
there. It’s 28% of the growth within the world. We still think it is a solid, a
stable region which doesn’t have as much risk associated. And so it balances
some of the things which we and other people are doing in the emerging areas of
the world where there is inherently a lot more risk.
Take
a look at the measures for this. Here are the key areas. We’re spending a lot of
cash to do this thing, and we realize that. So
getting that cash back is going to be extremely important and we’re going to
focus our measures on that. We’re not going to walk away from the return
objectives which we had. I will talk about more of that at the end of this
thing, but we’re going to have a lot of focus on cash and making sure of that
and that we get the cash and that we move back towards our A bond
rating.
So
what you can see is that it’s very strongly accretive on a cash basis for us. We
think that is very important. You can see the impact of the synergies to the
significant improvement in margins, on a cash margin basis, which we think is
important. As we look at it, we don’t think this blocks anything which the base
company was going to do.
So
if you take traditional Air Products and all of the things which we talked about
with everyone over the years, we do not think that we are substituting this for
those things. We think we’re doing those things and doing this. If we thought it
took away from those things, we would not be trying to do this, to be quite
honest with you; we would not be doing this. We think, if you look at this, the
timing is right. We have the people to do it; we have the people identified.
When you talk about the things which we need to do, we know who the people are
to get the savings. Those people are not involved in the other growth
opportunities which we have, so that is normally the key aspect of this. We’ve
taken a hard look at the financial aspect of these things, and we think the
financials work for us. So we think we have the ability to do this thing and to
move this whole thing forward.
A
lot of the questions on what the path -- I can’t give you every tactic which we
have because we don’t know if are going to take every tactic which we have to
play.
If
you own the Airgas stock today, I would ask that you have a very good deal in
front of you and that you consider that very strongly, as you communicate to the
Board of Directors of Airgas, that they ought to give this due consideration.
Right now, we do not think we have been given due consideration. We think we
have a very compelling offer on the table that really enhances the value on the
Airgas shareholder. We also think there is value for the Air Products
shareholder, which is considerable here.
But
you can see the things which we’ve done, so we have a lawsuit, which is a normal
thing to do; this is nothing which is odd or unusual. It happens in almost all
of these cases at the companies incorporated in Delaware. We have commenced on
the tender offer. We have the financing committed. We have started the
regulatory process. We are prepared to make the appropriate sales of assets
which we will need to make.
One
of the things which you should understand is we do not have a packaged gas
business in the United States. If you go back to the Airgas slide and just take
a look at that, 90% of the business is in packaged gas. That is our target, the
bulk business we are ready to sell and to give that -- and to sell that to
somebody else if that is required by the FTC. But we are going to proceed with
the FTC and make sure that -- and that this transaction gets approval for it. We
are willing to carry that out.
As
far as that, as far as a proxy contest is concerned, we are ready to deal with
that. We are committed to do the things which we need to do to complete this
transaction.
Now,
I’d like to talk a little bit about Air Products itself on the financial
performance end of things and really walk you through on the ‘04/’08 period. I
think a lot of you know the story there. It was a very good period for us. We
grew our sales very strongly. On
the margin basis, we improved margins. EPS grew greater than sales. Even more
importantly, our returns improved substantially during that period.
The
first half of ‘09, we saw very sharp downturn. We took actions very quickly. In
our Q1, they started turning things around. You
see, even though the sales were down a lot more, we abated a lot more of the
impact on profits which we’re concerned -- we started to improve returns again
and climb back up. That is continued in Q1, despite the fact that you have a
relatively slow recovery occurring at this point in time.
So,
we think the Company is extremely well-positioned to take advantage of the
opportunities as the world comes out of the downturn here. So what I’d like to
do here is talk about some of those opportunities which we see
here.
We
have a lot of opportunities on the growth side of things. If you look at the
drivers for this, we talked about the energy, the environment, the emerging
markets. On the energy, we still see lots of things on the on-site side for
hydrogen and oxygen. I will talk about them to you.
On
the environment side, we see a lot of things still occurring on Oxy fuel. Carbon
capture is still going to be something. I don’t know when it occurs, but that is
something which the world is determined to deal with. We see a lot of
applications for using alternative fuels, for using alternative fuels where they
replace traditional fuels which have gotten a lot more expensive to control the
environment aspect, so really bringing the energy and the environment together
on these things, which is a lot -- very common thing for us to do -- and to
drive growth of industrial gases. So, we see a lot of opportunities occurring
there.
On
the emerging markets area, we still see a lot of growth occurring in China for
us, growth in India, growth in Mexico for us. So,
we see a lot of opportunities which continue.
Let’s
talk about some of the applications which we have. So to give you an application
in glass, and it’s a real-life example here. But
what you see on the left here is a burner which we have patented, which we
supply to the glass company. Then we combined the offering of the burner with a
small on-site business. All of this occurs in the emerging gas area, so a plant
which is really designed around a glass furnace, because it gives -- (inaudible)
right for the glass furnace and everything like that.
What
you get from the combination of the oxygen and this burner is you save about 15%
of the energy which is required to make glass, so a significant savings there,
plus you lower the emissions of NOX, you lower the emissions of carbon dioxide
on the glass furnace, so a lot of savings and a lot of benefits to the person
who was running that glass furnace. We have a about 75%
win rate in this area. It’s a really good example, I think, of how you take the
(inaudible) energy where the prices of energy are going up, the demands on the
environment and where they are continually trying to tighten down on the
regulations of things. For people to keep operating, they have got to improve
their environmental performance continually. You see those two things coming
together.
Another
example here to bring forward here is -- are some of the things which we have
done in the packaged gas business in Europe. What you see here is a cylinder,
which is a new offering in Europe. It has probably about 10% of our sales today
since we introduced it about five years ago. What this cylinder is, is it really
enables our customers to work more productively. We give them a lighter
cylinder, a shorter cylinder, and the amount of gas is the same; it’s a higher
pressure cylinder. But the valve, the regulator and the gauge, it all goes
together. You can see it’s protected, so it’s extremely safe. It’s a lot easier
for them to move around. So if you think of job sites or you think within a
plant and stuff like that, the advantage which our customer gets for being able
to take that cylinder -- the cylinder normally would come up pretty close to the
top of the chest of the woman who is shown in this picture here, so a
significant improvement there and for our customer on the productivity
end.
On
the on-site side, let’s talk about the hydrogen market (inaudible) couple of
slides which we’ve shown to you guys before. What
you see is hydrogen is still a very strong driver of growth. We’ve got a lot of
hydrogen coming on stream this year. We have more orders in the backlog for
hydrogen. It’s really driven by what you see in the pie chart up, there the
conversion to more transportation fuels coming out of the refinery.
So
what you see on the bottom side is what’s happening on the refinery area. You
can see the refiners who don’t use a lot of hydrogen. What happens with them is
those refiners actually have a lower margin because the transportation fuels
which they make sell for $1-plus a gallon. The residual fuels which they get
sell for (technical difficulty) cents on a gallon. When you move that stuff over
there and you use more of the hydrogen to take out the sulfur to make more
transportation fuel, what you wind up getting is more of those transportation
fuels (inaudible) true of the cash margin of the refinery.
The
other thing that you get is clean fuels on those things, so we are still going
to see regs coming in there, off-road diesel regs coming in in 2010 within the
US, and on rail within the US that comes in 2012, and Marine comes across the
world in 2014-2017. So
you still see a lot of activity there. You see the crew slate as people look at
that and the outsourcing which we’ve done. So as the customer looks to go out
and to change and they look to go out and they move towards more on the
outsource hydrogen for a new requirement, they will very often throw in a
shutdown of the existing capacity which they have in hydrogen.
On
the auction market, we have a lot of opportunities which still sit there. If you
look at this on the Asian area, they continue to grow. They continue to have a
lot of opportunities in China or on making an industry on chemicals in China
from all of the coal that they have. It’s a very large application for
us.
Steel
has shown some signs of life, especially in Asia, for us. As we look at this, we
see, for the, future clean coal and power capture on the CO2 thing. We think
that, probability over the next five to eight years, that there’s probably 100
new large oxygen plants which are going to be required around the world. So
substantial growth, substantial opportunities for us.
If
you take a look at our backlog here, we’ve talked a lot about the 2010 plants
which are coming on stream. We’ve also got a nice backlog building for 2011-2012
for the large plants. If you take -- it’s just, if you take a look at the slide
on your left, what you are going to see are the hydrogen opportunities. On your
right, you’re going to see the oxygen and nitrogen opportunities.
What these really build on is, first, we start a
base contract, so a lot of these things add to that. We build a franchise out
and we have plans on a pipeline system. We look to sell more products out of
there, so we’ve got liquid opportunities which occur in the oxygen area, cogen
opportunities in the hydrogen area where we look to integrate the heat of the
customer and really bring more customers on the pipeline system for
us.
Electronics,
just to briefly touch on that, thin-film has slowed somewhat but it still
remains a very large opportunity. If we look at that on the flat-panel thing, a
1 gigawatt facility of production of panels a year probably produces about $100
million in gases sale. We think the size of this market opportunity over the
next eight to ten years is probably $3 billion to $4 billion in sales in gases
for us.
An
untapped source of growth is the equity affiliates for us; it’s very important
for us. We’ve had success in doing this in places like Spain, Malaysia, Korea
and Taiwan, which all started out as equity affiliates for us. Then we acquired
the majority of the stake in there from our partners. So, these are
opportunities which we have for the future.
If
we take a look at 2010, we’ve talked a lot about 2010. If you look at the
economy, we still think that the pullout from the recession is quite slow
globally, probably manufacturing up 1% to 2% in fiscal year 2010 for us. We
think the US is flat to up 1% or so. We think Europe is probably down 1% in that
time period. Asia is up 8% to 9%, so silicon growth strong, 20% to 25%, albeit
it’s coming off a low base from that.
Our
CapEx forecast remains unchanged at $1.3 billion to $1.5 billion. So, we still
think there are lots of opportunities for us in good growth going
forward.
If
you take a look at the things which we have, you don’t get a lot on trying to
load the existing system from a 1% to 2% growth in manufacturing. That, I think,
is going to follow more in 2011-2012 for us as we think manufacturing is
probably going to grow 2%
to 3% in 2011, probably 4% to 5% in ‘12. But until we get some jobs being
created around the world, I think it’s very difficult. We’ve
got to get the consumer to come back. But we do have -- but if you take a look
at 2010 for us, because of the things which we’ve done from a cost standpoint
and the new projects which I talked about earlier, we do have a solid amount of
growth which is coming forward here.
Just
to wrap up as far as the opportunity for which we see, we still see a large
amount of stability in the Company, the contract which we have underlying a good
portion of what Air Products is, the business which we have. We think Airgas
really enables us to compete across all three modes of supply. We think that’s
important.
As
far as growth opportunity, we had a backlog which continues to grow and is very
solid. We think the energy, the environment, the emerging markets growth is
still very strong. Airgas provides us opportunities more broadly on the
international end as far as packaged gases, plus more growth within the United
States.
Our
basic goals remain unchanged -- double-digit EPS growth; ROCE 3% to 5% above our
cost of capital; continued improvements in margins and return. The Airgas
transaction also delivers a tremendous amount of cash for us over the years, so
if you look five years out and see what the capability which (inaudible) grows
for this company and the ability to go out and fund investments and to do things
as these markets occur, you’re going to see a much stronger company from Air
Products evolve from that.
So
we think we are positioned well with or without Airgas. We would like it more if
we include it, but we still think our story is strong even without it. So, we
think we have -- this is an “and” case; it’s not “or”, or “one or the
other”.
So
with that, I will take your questions.
Q U E S T I O N S A N D A N S W E R S
Unidentified
Participant
So
you mentioned that you expect to get a return on capital employed of 3% to 5%
above your cost of capital. Can you talk about whether or not the Airgas
transaction fits into that criteria, the current terms suggested, and whether,
given the availability of
cheap financing in the [automotive] industry in general, you would expect to see
returns come down over the next couple of years or whether you still expect them
to remain where they were over the past five years?
Paul Huck - Air Products & Chemicals - SVP,
CFO
Okay.
First, and with the transaction itself, as we bring the transaction in, from an
accounting return standpoint, it is going to depress the accounting
returns.
If
I look at cash flow returns which I have, I am above the cost of capital by that
type of spread when I put all of the savings in, which I have. But it’s going to
take me -- if I take a look at the return on capital, I’m probably going to get,
in 2010, Paul, probably about a 12% or so return. If you then project out in
year one of the transaction, my return on the ROCE drops to a little bit above
9%.
As the cost savings come in the second year, it gets to ‘11. By year three, it
is back up to 12% and then grows from there.
I
think the key for us here is that, if we take a look at the profile -- I am
marking a big piece of the business to market, so I don’t have the depreciation
impact, which you obviously get on a return on capital employed for things. But
the slope of the curve is sharper and the Airgas is going up, then on the base
Air Products. If we take -- just to get on the competition aspect of things,
investment has slowed a little bit in those opportunities, but as the world
becomes clearer, I think those investment opportunities are going to continue to
pick up. We have not seen returns dropping for us as far as the bids which we
are willing to put out.
Unidentified
Audience Member
Just
the obvious question -- one, the price of Airgas is trading above where the bid
is, and so I’m not going to say somebody else is coming in, and I won’t ask you
that question. But the question is, assuming you do get the Airgas and it is at
a higher price, could we expect realistically an offering from you guys to
reduce your debt sometime in the next 6 to 12 months after that, or can you say
definitively that you have no intention of doing an offering?
Paul Huck - Air Products & Chemicals - SVP,
CFO
At
the price at which I stopped, Bob, if we do get competition on this thing, the
price at which I stopped, I still could get a BBB rating and remain within the
parameters for which I would want to be in and do it with 100%
debt.
If
I go out to the future and we go out -- if I go out six to seven months out from
today, I’m going to make a judgment over whether I want to be BBB or BBB+. If I
go to the BBB-plus, then I would have to offer equity to enhance that. I will
make that decision at that point in time.
Unidentified
Audience Member
Just
to be clear, when you say BBB flat --
Paul Huck - Air Products & Chemicals - SVP,
CFO
Yes?
Unidentified
Audience Member
--
you are not at all insinuating BBB minus. You are (multiple speakers)
(inaudible)
Paul Huck - Air Products & Chemicals - SVP,
CFO
No,
I’m not. BBB flat, right, BBB.
Yes?
Unidentified
Audience Member
I
was wondering why you reduced the initial offering from $62 cash and stock to
$60 cash. I know the stated reason was the additional expense for having to go
on friendly. But is there really -- it doesn’t seem like there’s a better way to
railroad negotiations than reducing the face value of your initial bid,
especially when everybody is predicting a higher price.
Paul Huck - Air Products & Chemicals - SVP,
CFO
Well,
it’s all about the place at which you start. We had went and we had raised the
offer a little bit for them from $60 to $62 as a sign of goodwill to get them to
the table. They didn’t come to the table, right? Obviously, we’ve done a whole
lot of things to try and get them there. Now, my costs are going up and I’m not
going to tell them “Hey, I’m going to send you -- I want you to understand that
I’m serious but I’m also I’m not going to bid against myself in this. The $60 to
$62 was a bid against myself. I’m not willing to do that. So, we are going to
start at $60, the original spot, as if they hadn’t moved at all.
We
had addressed a number of the issues. If you go back and you read this stuff,
they complained about the currency which we used; they didn’t like the stock.
They wrote a bunch of stuff about that.
So
we decided to go all-cash. All-cash costs more in the initial term. We went and
committed on the financing to do this.
Unidentified
Audience Member
I’m
sorry, I have one more question, just a clarification on appropriate
divestitures. I know you said that you wanted the gas, but are you talking about
liquid bulk?
Paul Huck - Air Products & Chemicals - SVP,
CFO
Yes,
yes, so it’s that 10% which we are prepared to sell.
Unidentified
Audience Member
Okay.
Paul Huck - Air Products & Chemicals - SVP,
CFO
Anybody
else? Paul?
Unidentified
Participant
What
do you think about new projects coming onstream in your current business? You’ve
given us some guidance for 2010, but should we look at new revenues from new
projects increasing in 2011 or decreasing in -- relative to 2010 based on your
current pipeline?
Paul Huck - Air Products & Chemicals - SVP,
CFO
Yes,
I don’t think it is going to be as large in 2011 as it has been in ‘12 -- I mean
as it has been in ‘10. I think it is going to be a little bit shorter of that.
It’s not going to be as large.
Unidentified
Participant
Given
what you said regarding synergies and rationale around this transaction, do you
prefer to own this to complete like a greater transaction on the asset now or in
a year’s time? What do you look at?
Paul Huck - Air Products & Chemicals - SVP,
CFO
I
would prefer to own the asset now. I do care.
I
don’t have a desire -- you know, on the hostile basis, we went because it was
the right decision for us. We thought long and hard about it. I would rather
have this be an offer in which we can agree and work out in a good
way.
Unidentified
Participant
Can
you detail the reasons why you would rather own it now? Is it like, in a year’s
time, half the synergies are gone?
Paul Huck - Air Products & Chemicals - SVP,
CFO
No,
it’s a good thing for us to do. The quicker in which we can get to go out and do
something, the better off which we are to make that happen. I have the people
ready to go and address this, so we are ready to go after this.
Unidentified
Audience Member
Just
a quick question -- when you went through the thinking about buying or offering
for Airgas, was buying back your own shares an alternative, a large-scale
repurchase?
Paul Huck - Air Products & Chemicals - SVP,
CFO
Well,
certainly we take a look at that all of the time. In the end, what we have
always said is that a strategic investment within the business which meets our
criteria is always preferred over our share buyback.
Unidentified
Audience Member
So,
I mean, can you expand a little bit? Because it sounds like there is something
more in the future that you see with these, beyond those initial synergies, that
would enable you to get better margins. I mean is it just a different business
structure or --?
Paul Huck - Air Products & Chemicals - SVP,
CFO
No,
I think the thing what you said -- on putting the SAP system in, as we look at
this, I’m not going to get that in until the last half of year two. There are
savings beyond this, so we look to drive the margins higher. Our goal is to have
margins which are close to the margins which we have been able to get in Europe
in the business, which is around 20%. We think the business is capable of that.
We think we can do those things.
We’ve
got to cut it off. I’m sorry. All right, thank you very much, everyone. I
appreciate it.
(applause)
D
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