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Vita Coco (COCO): Buy, Sell, or Hold Post Q3 Earnings?

By: StockStory
January 13, 2025 at 04:04 AM EST

COCO Cover Image

Vita Coco’s 22.3% return over the past six months has outpaced the S&P 500 by 19.7%, and its stock price has climbed to $33.62 per share. This was partly thanks to its solid quarterly results, and the run-up might have investors contemplating their next move.

Is it too late to buy COCO? Find out in our full research report, it’s free.

Why Does COCO Stock Spark Debate?

Founded in 2004 followed by a 2021 IPO, The Vita Coco Company (NASDAQ: COCO) offers coconut water products that are a natural way to quench thirst.

Two Things to Like:

1. Elevated Demand Drives Higher Sales Volumes

Revenue growth can be broken down into changes in price and volume (the number of units sold). While both are important, volume is the lifeblood of a successful staples business as there’s a ceiling to what consumers will pay for everyday goods; they can always trade down to non-branded products if the branded versions are too expensive.

Vita Coco’s average quarterly volume growth was a robust 6.1% over the last two years. This is good because meaningful volume growth is hard to come by in the stable consumer staples sector. Vita Coco Year-On-Year Volume Growth

2. Excellent Free Cash Flow Margin Boosts Reinvestment Potential

If you’ve followed StockStory for a while, you know we emphasize free cash flow. Why, you ask? We believe that in the end, cash is king, and you can’t use accounting profits to pay the bills.

Vita Coco has shown terrific cash profitability, driven by its lucrative business model that enables it to reinvest, return capital to investors, and stay ahead of the competition. The company’s free cash flow margin was among the best in the consumer staples sector, averaging 15.3% over the last two years.

Vita Coco Trailing 12-Month Free Cash Flow Margin

One Reason to be Careful:

Less Negotiating Power with Suppliers

Vita Coco is a small consumer staples company, which sometimes brings disadvantages compared to larger competitors benefiting from economies of scale and negotiating leverage. On the other hand, it can grow faster because it’s working from a smaller revenue base and has a longer runway of untapped store chains to sell into.

Vita Coco Trailing 12-Month Revenue

Final Judgment

Vita Coco’s positive characteristics outweigh the negatives, and with its shares topping the market in recent months, the stock trades at 32.9× forward price-to-earnings (or $33.62 per share). Is now the right time to buy? See for yourself in our comprehensive research report, it’s free.

Stocks We Like Even More Than Vita Coco

The Trump trade may have passed, but rates are still dropping and inflation is still cooling. Opportunities are ripe for those ready to act - and we’re here to help you pick them.

Get started by checking out our Top 5 Growth Stocks for this month. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 175% over the last five years.

Stocks that made our list in 2019 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+2,691% between September 2019 and September 2024) as well as under-the-radar businesses like United Rentals (+550% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today for free.

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