Vermilion Energy Inc. Announces 2015 Year-End Summary Reserves and Resource Information

CALGARY, Feb. 29, 2016 /PRNewswire/ - Vermilion Energy Inc. ("Vermilion", the "Company", "We" or "Our") (TSX, NYSE: VET) is pleased to announce summary 2015 year-end reserves and resource information.  The estimates of reserves and resources and other oil and gas information contained in this news release has been estimated by GLJ Petroleum Consultants Ltd. ("GLJ") and prepared in accordance with National Instrument 51-101 "Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities" of the Canadian Securities Administrators ("NI 51-101") and the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook ("COGEH"). For additional information about Vermilion, including Vermilion's statement of reserves data and other information in Form 51-101F1, report on reserves data by independent qualified reserves evaluator or auditor in Form 51-101F2 and report of management and directors on oil and gas disclosure in Form 51-101F3, please review the Company's Annual Information Form for the year ended December 31, 2015, to be filed on March 4, 2016 and available on SEDAR at www.sedar.com and on the SEC's EDGAR system at www.sec.gov.

HIGHLIGHTS

  • Total proved ("1P") reserves increased 6% to 160.7 mmboe(1), while total proved plus probable ("2P") reserves also increased 6% to 260.9 mmboe(1).  This represents year-over-year 1P and 2P per share reserves growth of 2% and 1%, respectively.
  • Finding and Development ("F&D")(2) and Finding, Development and Acquisition ("FD&A")(2) costs, including Future Development Capital ("FDC") for 2015 on a 2P basis decreased 48% to $8.98/boe and 55% to $10.03/boe, respectively.  Similarly, our three-year F&D and FD&A, including FDC, on a 2P basis were $14.82/boe and $17.81/boe, respectively.
  • Achieved a $212.6 million (12%) reduction in FDC costs attributable our existing assets through reductions in drilling, completions and facility capital costs.  This was partially offset by the addition of $38.4 million of FDC related to properties acquired during the year resulting in a net reduction in FDC of 11% to $1.6 billion in 2015.
  • Recycle ratio (including FDC) was 3.6x during 2015, an increase over 3.2x achieved during 2014, indicating that Vermilion has been able to maintain our high level of investment efficiency despite the decline in commodity prices.
  • In 2015, we added 34.0 mmboe of 2P reserves with 30.5 mmboe (90%) of additions coming from exploration and development ("E&D") activities and 3.5 mmboe (10%) of additions through acquisitions.
  • Replaced 152% of production at the 2P level through E&D related activities and 170% including acquisitions.  At a 1P level, we replaced 142% and 146% of 2015 production, respectively.
  • Increased Proved Developed Producing ("PDP") reserves by 25% to 110.4 mmboe at an average F&D cost (including FDC) of $10.67/boe resulting in a recycle ratio (including FDC) of 3.0x.  PDP reserves represent 69% of 1P reserves in 2015 as compared to 58% in 2014.
  • Positive technical revisions of 2.0 mmboe on a 2P basis resulting from strong well performance were more than offset by 10.3 mmboe of revisions due to the decrease in commodity prices since year-end 2014.  Only 4% of the economic revisions occurred outside of Canada, reflecting the continued high quality of our reserves attributable to our international operations.
  • Our independent GLJ 2015 Resource Assessment(3) indicates low, best, and high estimates for contingent resources in the Development Pending category are 95.1(3) mmboe, 160.7(3) mmboe, and 254.7(3) mmboe, respectively.  Approximately 80% of our best estimate contingent resources evaluated reside in the Development Pending category, reflecting the high quality nature of our contingent resource base.
  • At year-end 2015, 2P reserves were comprised of 30% Brent-based light crude, 17% North American-based light crude, 11% natural gas liquids, 20% European natural gas and 22% North American natural gas.
  • Achieved a reserve life index for 2P reserves of 11.7 years for year-end 2015 reserves based on annualized Q4 2015 production, compared to 13.6 years at year-end 2014. Year-end 2015 reserve life index for 1P reserves was 7.2 years, as compared to 8.4 years at year-end 2014.
  • Based on the continued success of our Mannville liquids-rich gas play in Alberta, our 2015 activities resulted in an additional 35 (23.2 net) undeveloped wells booked at the 2P level, with average net reserves of approximately 620 mboe/well.  Additionally, we added a further 14 (9 net) undeveloped wells that were attributed to lands acquired in 2015.
  • In the Paris Basin, we added 7.3 mmboe of 2P reserves, related to 18 development opportunities, including 15 new additions and strong upward revisions related to well performance and expanded waterflood response.  Well additions and successful workover and optimization campaigns in the Aquitaine Basin in France added a further 2.8 mmboe of 2P reserves.
  • We added an additional 1.9 mmboe of 2P reserves to our Slootdorp-06 well (92.8 working interest) related to the discovery in the Rotliegend formation and an additional 1.5 mmboe of 2P reserves to our Slootdorp-07 well (92.8% working interest) related to the discovery in the Zechstein formation).

(1) As evaluated by GLJ Petroleum Consultants Ltd. ("GLJ") in a report dated February 8, 2016 with an effective date of December 31, 2015.
(2) F&D (finding and development) and FD&A (finding, development and acquisition) costs are used as a measure of capital efficiency and are calculated by dividing the applicable capital costs for the period, including the change in undiscounted future development capital ("FDC"), by the change in the reserves, incorporating revisions and production, for the same period.
(3) Vermilion retained GLJ to conduct an independent resource evaluation dated February 8, 2016 to assess contingent resources across all of the Company's key operating regions with an effective date of December 31, 2015 (the "GLJ 2015 Resource Assessment").  The associated chance of development for each of the low, best and high estimate for contingent resources in the Development Pending category are 83%, 82% and 81%, respectively.  There is uncertainty that it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of the resources.

DISCLAIMER

Certain statements included or incorporated by reference in this news release may constitute forward looking statements or financial outlooks under applicable securities legislation.  Such forward looking statements or information typically contain statements with words such as "anticipate", "believe", "expect", "plan", "intend", "estimate", "propose", or similar words suggesting future outcomes or statements regarding an outlook.  Forward looking statements or information in this news release may include, but are not limited to:

  • capital expenditures;
  • business strategies and objectives;
  • estimated reserve quantities and the discounted present value of future net cash flows from such reserves;
  • petroleum and natural gas sales;
  • future production levels (including the timing thereof) and rates of average annual production growth, estimated contingent resources and prospective resources;
  • exploration and development plans;
  • acquisition and disposition plans and the timing thereof;
  • operating and other expenses, including the payment of future dividends;
  • royalty and income tax rates;
  • the timing of regulatory proceedings and approvals; and
  • the estimate of Vermilion's share of the expected natural gas production from the Corrib field.

Such forward-looking statements or information are based on a number of assumptions all or any of which may prove to be incorrect.  In addition to any other assumptions identified in this document, assumptions have been made regarding, among other things:

  • the ability of the Company to obtain equipment, services and supplies in a timely manner to carry out its activities in Canada and internationally;
  • the ability of the Company to market crude oil, natural gas liquids and natural gas successfully to current and new customers;
  • the timing and costs of pipeline and storage facility construction and expansion and the ability to secure adequate product transportation;
  • the timely receipt of required regulatory approvals;
  • the ability of the Company to obtain financing on acceptable terms;
  • foreign currency exchange rates and interest rates;
  • future crude oil, natural gas liquids and natural gas prices; and
  • Management's expectations relating to the timing and results of development activities.

Although the Company believes that the expectations reflected in such forward looking statements or information are reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on forward looking statements because the Company can give no assurance that such expectations will prove to be correct.  Financial outlooks are provided for the purpose of understanding the Company's financial strength and business objectives and the information may not be appropriate for other purposes.  Forward looking statements or information are based on current expectations, estimates and projections that involve a number of risks and uncertainties which could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated by the Company and described in the forward looking statements or information.  These risks and uncertainties include but are not limited to:

  • the ability of management to execute its business plan;
  • the risks of the oil and gas industry, both domestically and internationally, such as operational risks in exploring for, developing and producing crude oil, natural gas liquids and natural gas;
  • risks and uncertainties involving geology of crude oil, natural gas liquids and natural gas deposits;
  • risks inherent in the Company's marketing operations, including credit risk;
  • the uncertainty of reserves estimates and reserves life and estimates of resources and associated expenditures;
  • the uncertainty of estimates and projections relating to production, costs and expenses;
  • potential delays or changes in plans with respect to exploration or development projects or capital expenditures;
  • the Company's ability to enter into or renew leases on acceptable terms;
  • fluctuations in crude oil, natural gas liquids and natural gas prices, foreign currency exchange rates and interest rates;
  • health, safety and environmental risks;
  • uncertainties as to the availability and cost of financing;
  • the ability of the Company to add production and reserves through exploration and development activities;
  • general economic and business conditions;
  • the possibility that government policies or laws may change or governmental approvals may be delayed or withheld;
  • uncertainty in amounts and timing of royalty payments;
  • risks associated with existing and potential future law suits and regulatory actions against the Company; and
  • other risks and uncertainties described elsewhere in the annual information form of the Company for the year ended December 31, 2014 or in the Company's other filings with Canadian securities authorities.

The forward-looking statements or information contained in this news release are made as of the date hereof and the Company undertakes no obligation to update publicly or revise any forward-looking statements or information, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, unless required by applicable securities laws.

RESERVES, FUTURE NET REVENUE AND OTHER OIL AND GAS INFORMATION

The following is a summary of the oil and natural gas reserves and the value of future net revenue of Vermilion as evaluated by GLJ, independent petroleum engineering consultants in Calgary in a report dated February 8, 2016 with an effective date of December 31, 2015 (the "GLJ 2015 Reserves Evaluation").  The GLJ 2015 Reserves Evaluation was prepared in accordance with National Instrument 51-101 and COGEH.

Reserves and other oil and gas information in this news release is effective December 31, 2015 unless otherwise stated.

All evaluations of future net production revenue set forth in the tables below are stated after overriding and lessor royalties, Crown royalties, freehold royalties, mineral taxes, direct lifting costs, normal allocated overhead and future capital investments, including abandonment and reclamation obligations.  Future net production revenues estimated by the GLJ 2015 Reserves Evaluation do not represent the fair market value of the reserves.  Other assumptions relating to the costs, prices for future production and other matters are included in the GLJ 2015 Reserve Evaluation.  There is no assurance that the future price and cost assumptions used in the GLJ 2015 Reserves Evaluation will prove accurate and variances could be material.

Reserves for Australia, Canada, France, Germany, Ireland, the Netherlands and the United States are established using deterministic methodology.  Total proved reserves are established at the 90 percent probability (P90) level.  There is a 90 percent probability that the actual reserves recovered will be equal to or greater than the P90 reserves.  Total proved plus probable reserves are established at the 50 percent probability (P50) level.  There is a 50 percent probability that the actual reserves recovered will be equal to or greater than the P50 reserves.

Estimates of reserves have been made assuming that development of each property, in respect of which estimates have been made, will occur without regard to the availability of funding required for that development.

With respect to finding and development costs, the aggregate of the exploration and development costs incurred in the most recent financial year and the change during that year in estimated future development costs generally will not reflect total finding and development costs related to reserve additions for that year.

Pricing used in the forecast price estimates is set forth in the table below and referenced in the notes to subsequent tables.

Table 1: Forecast Prices used in Estimates (1)

Light Crude Oil and Natural GasNatural GasNatural GasInflationExchangeExchange
& Medium Crude OilCrude OilCanadaEuropeLiquidsRateRateRate
WTIEdmontonCromerBrent BlendNational Balancing
CushingPar PriceMediumFOBAECOPointFOB
Oklahoma40˚ API29.3˚ APINorth SeaGas Price(UK)Field GatePercent
Year($US/bbl)($Cdn/bbl)($Cdn/bbl)($US/bbl)($Cdn/MMBtu)($US/MMBtu)($Cdn/bbl)Per Year($US/$Cdn)($CdnEUR)
2015 48.82 57.23 51.91 53.75 2.70 6.55 34.59 1.1 0.783 1.419
Forecast
2016 44.00 55.86 50.80 45.00 2.76 5.55 30.27 2.0 0.725 1.517
2017 52.00 64.00 59.52 54.00 3.27 5.68 35.76 2.0 0.750 1.467
2018 58.00 68.39 63.60 61.00 3.45 6.10 39.04 2.0 0.775 1.419
2019 64.00 73.75 68.59 67.00 3.63 6.70 42.96 2.0 0.800 1.375
2020 70.00 78.79 73.27 73.00 3.81 7.30 45.85 2.0 0.825 1.333
2021 75.00 82.35 76.59 78.00 3.90 7.80 47.86 2.0 0.850 1.294
2022 80.00 88.24 82.06 83.00 4.10 8.30 51.23 2.0 0.850 1.294
2023 85.00 94.12 87.53 88.00 4.30 8.80 54.59 2.0 0.850 1.294
2024 87.88 96.48 89.73 91.39 4.50 9.14 57.18 2.0 0.850 1.294
Thereafter 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 0.850 1.294
Note:
(1) The pricing assumptions used in the GLJ Report  with respect to net present value of future net revenue (forecast) as well as the inflation rates used for operating and capital costs are set forth above.  The NGL price is an aggregate of the individual natural gas liquids prices used in the Total Proved plus Probable evaluation.  GLJ is an independent qualified reserves evaluator appointed pursuant to NI 51-101.

All forecast prices in the tables above are provided by GLJ.  For 2015, the price of Vermilion's natural gas in the Netherlands is based on the TTF day-ahead index, as determined on the Title Transfer Facility Virtual Trading Point operated by Dutch TSO Gas Transport Services, plus various fees. GasTerra, a state owned entity purchases all natural gas produced by Vermilion in the Netherlands.  The price of Vermilion's natural gas in Germany is based on the TTF month-ahead index, as determined on the Title Transfer Facility Virtual Trading Point operated by Dutch TSO Gas Transport Services, plus various fees.  The benchmark price for Australia and France crude oil is Dated Brent. The benchmark price for Canadian crude oil is Edmonton Par and Canadian natural gas is priced against AECO.  For the year ended December 31, 2015, the average realized sales prices before hedging were $70.22 per bbl (Australia), $7.79 per Mcf (Netherlands), $7.18 per Mcf (Germany), $63.31 per bbl (France) for Brent-based crude oil, $49.10 per bbl (United States) for WTI, $49.73 per bbl for Canadian-based crude oil and NGLs and $2.78 per Mcf for Canadian natural gas.

The following table summarizes the capital expenditures made by Vermilion on oil and natural gas properties for the year ended December 31, 2015:

Table 2: Capital Costs Incurred

Acquisition Costs
Proved UnprovedExploration Development Total
(M$)PropertiesPropertiesCostsCostsCosts
Australia -   -   -   61,741 61,741
Canada 14,650 -   -   201,508 216,158
France 317 -   -   92,265 92,582
Germany -   -   -   5,363 5,363
Hungary -   -   1,166 -   1,166
Ireland -   -   -   66,409 66,409
Netherlands -   -   -   47,325 47,325
United States 12,764 -   -   12,250 25,014
Total 27,731 -   1,166 486,861 515,758

The following table sets forth the reserve life index based on total proved and proved plus probable reserve and fourth quarter 2015 production of 61,058 boe/d.

Table 3: Reserve Life Index

CommodityProductionReserve Life Index (years)
Fourth Quarter 2015 Total Proved Proved Plus Probable
Oil and natural gas liquids (bbl/d) 34,043 7.6 12.2
Natural gas (mmcf/d) 162.09 6.7 11.1
Oil Equivalent (boe/d) 61,058 7.2 11.7

The following tables provide reserves data and a breakdown of future net revenue by component and production group using forecast prices and costs.  For Canada, the tables following include Alberta gas cost allowance.

The following tables may not total due to rounding.

Table 4: Oil and Gas Reserves - Based on Forecast Prices and Costs (1)

Light Crude Oil & Medium Crude OilHeavy OilTight OilConventional Natural Gas
Gross (2)Net (2)Gross (2)Net (2)Gross (2)Net (2)Gross (2)Net (2)
(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(MMcf)(MMcf)
Proved Developed Producing (3) (5) (6)
Australia 11,465 11,465 - - - - - -
Canada 13,528 11,785 9 9 10 8 98,840 89,253
France 34,866 32,097 - - - - 7,835 7,309
Germany - - - - - - 20,876 18,148
Ireland - - - - - - 94,976 94,976
Netherlands - - - - - - 29,961 27,236
United States 384 314 - - - - 372 304
Total Proved Developed Producing 60,243 55,661 9 9 10 8 252,860 237,226
Shale GasCoal Bed MethaneNatural Gas LiquidsBOE
Gross (2)Net (2)Gross (2)Net (2)Gross (2)Net (2)GrossNet
(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mboe)(Mboe)
Proved Developed Producing (3) (5) (6)
Australia - - - - - - 11,465 11,465
Canada 1,942 1,832 3,100 2,883 7,052 5,383 37,913 32,846
France - - - - - - 36,172 33,315
Germany - - - - - - 3,479 3,025
Ireland - - - - - - 15,829 15,829
Netherlands - - - - 66 60 5,060 4,599
United States - - - - 59 49 505 414
1,942 1,832 3,100 2,883 7,177 5,492 110,423 101,493
Light Crude Oil & Medium Crude OilHeavy OilTight OilConventional Natural Gas
Gross (2)Net (2)Gross (2)Net (2)Gross (2)Net (2)Gross (2)Net (2)
(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(MMcf)(MMcf)
Proved Developed Non-Producing
Australia - - - - - - - -
Canada 1,032 940 - - - - 17,090 14,633
France 1,914 1,754 - - - - - -
Germany - - - - - - 8,263 7,157
Ireland - - - - - - 10,845 10,845
Netherlands - - - - - - 18,238 18,238
United States 313 254 - - - - 318 258
Total Proved Developed Non-Producing 3,259 2,948 - - - - 54,754 51,131
Shale GasCoal Bed MethaneNatural Gas LiquidsBOE
Gross (2)Net (2)Gross (2)Net (2)Gross (2)Net (2)GrossNet
(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mboe)(Mboe)
Proved Developed Non-Producing
Australia - - - - - - - -
Canada - - 1,743 1,643 692 490 4,863 4,143
France - - - - - - 1,914 1,754
Germany - - - - - - 1,377 1,193
Ireland - - - - - - 1,808 1,808
Netherlands - - - - 22 22 3,062 3,062
United States - - - - 51 41 417 338
Total Proved Developed Non-Producing - - 1,743 1,643 765 553 13,441 12,298
Light Crude Oil & Medium Crude OilHeavy OilTight OilConventional Natural Gas
Gross (2)Net (2)Gross (2)Net (2)Gross (2)Net (2)Gross (2)Net (2)
(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(MMcf)(MMcf)
Proved Undeveloped (3) (8)
Australia 2,300 2,300 - - - - - -
Canada 8,411 7,357 - - - - 74,181 68,479
France 3,941 3,693 - - - - - -
Germany - - - - - - 2,361 1,684
Ireland - - - - - - - -
Netherlands - - - - - - - -
United States 1,337 1,087 - - - - 1,480 1,204
Total Proved Undeveloped 15,989 14,437 - - - - 78,022 71,367
Shale GasCoal Bed MethaneNatural Gas LiquidsBOE
Gross (2)Net (2)Gross (2)Net (2)Gross (2)Net (2)GrossNet
(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mboe)(Mboe)
Proved Undeveloped
Australia - - - - - - 2,300 2,300
Canada - - 3,367 3,114 7,051 5,955 28,387 25,244
France - - - - - - 3,941 3,693
Germany - - - - - - 394 281
Ireland - - - - - - - -
Netherlands - - - - - - - -
United States - - - - 236 192 1,820 1,480
Total Proved Undeveloped - - 3,367 3,114 7,287 6,147 36,842 32,998
Light Crude Oil & Medium Crude OilHeavy OilTight OilConventional Natural Gas
Gross (2)Net (2)Gross (2)Net (2)Gross (2)Net (2)Gross (2)Net (2)
(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(MMcf)(MMcf)
Proved (3)
Australia 13,765 13,765 -   -   -   -   -   -  
Canada 22,971 20,082 9 9 10 8 190,111 172,365
France 40,721 37,544 -   -   -   -   7,835 7,309
Germany -   -   -   -   -   -   31,500 26,989
Ireland -   -   -   -   -   -   105,821 105,821
Netherlands -   -   -   -   -   -   48,199 45,474
United States 2,034 1,655 -   -   -   -   2,170 1,766
Total Proved 79,491 73,046 9 9 10 8 385,637 359,724
Shale GasCoal Bed MethaneNatural Gas LiquidsBOE
Gross (2)Net (2)Gross (2)Net (2)Gross (2)Net (2)GrossNet
(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mboe)(Mboe)
Proved
Australia -   -   -   -   -   -   13,765 13,765
Canada 1,942 1,832 8,210 7,640 14,795 11,828 71,163 62,233
France -   -   -   -   -   -   42,027 38,762
Germany -   -   -   -   -   -   5,250 4,499
Ireland -   -   -   -   -   -   17,637 17,637
Netherlands -   -   -   -   88 82 8,122 7,661
United States -   -   -   -   346 282 2,742 2,232
Total Proved 1,942 1,832 8,210 7,640 15,229 12,192 160,706 146,789
Light Crude Oil & Medium Crude OilHeavy OilTight OilConventional Natural Gas
Gross (2)Net (2)Gross (2)Net (2)Gross (2)Net (2)Gross (2)Net (2)
(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(MMcf)(MMcf)
Probable (4)
Australia 3,700 3,700 - - - - - -
Canada 14,786 12,565 3 3 3 2 132,676 120,460
France 21,325 19,814 - - - - 1,559 1,505
Germany - - - - - - 17,999 14,999
Ireland - - - - - - 47,405 47,405
Netherlands - - - - - - 48,688 43,700
United States 3,818 3,131 - - - - 4,378 3,590
Total Probable 43,629 39,210 3 3 3 2 252,705 231,659
Shale GasCoal Bed MethaneNatural Gas LiquidsBOE
Gross (2)Net (2)Gross (2)Net (2)Gross (2)Net (2)GrossNet
(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mboe)(Mboe)
Probable
Australia - - - - - - 3,700 3,700
Canada 475 447 4,917 4,628 12,751 10,144 50,554 43,637
France - - - - - - 21,585 20,065
Germany - - - - - - 3,000 2,500
Ireland - - - - - - 7,901 7,901
Netherlands - - - - 83 66 8,198 7,349
United States - - - - 698 572 5,246 4,301
Total Probable 475 447 4,917 4,628 13,532 10,782 100,184 89,453
Light Crude Oil & Medium Crude OilHeavy OilTight OilConventional Natural Gas
Gross (2)Net (2)Gross (2)Net (2)Gross (2)Net (2)Gross (2)Net (2)
(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(MMcf)(MMcf)
Proved Plus Probable (3) (4)
Australia 17,465 17,465 -   -   -   -   -   -  
Canada 37,757 32,647 12 12 13 10 322,787 292,825
France 62,046 57,358 -   -   -   -   9,394 8,814
Germany -   -   -   -   -   -   49,499 41,988
Ireland -   -   -   -   -   -   153,226 153,226
Netherlands -   -   -   -   -   -   96,887 89,174
United States 5,852 4,786 -   -   -   -   6,548 5,356
Total Proved Plus Probable 123,120 112,256 12 12 13 10 638,342 591,383
Shale GasCoal Bed MethaneNatural Gas LiquidsBOE
Gross (2)Net (2)Gross (2)Net (2)Gross (2)Net (2)GrossNet
(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mboe)(Mboe)
Proved Plus Probable (3) (4)
Australia -   -   -   -   -   -   17,465 17,465
Canada 2,417 2,279 13,127 12,268 27,546 21,972 121,717 105,870
France -   -   -   -   -   -   63,612 58,827
Germany -   -   -   -   -   -   8,250 6,999
Ireland -   -   -   -   -   -   25,538 25,538
Netherlands -   -   -   -   171 148 16,320 15,010
United States -   -   -   -   1,044 854 7,988 6,533
Total Proved Plus Probable 2,417 2,279 13,127 12,268 28,761 22,974 260,890 236,242
Notes:
(1)  The pricing assumptions used in the GLJ Report with respect to net present value of future net revenue (forecast) as well as the inflation rates used for operating and capital costs are set forth below.  See "Forecast Prices used in Estimates".  The NGL price is an aggregate of the individual natural gas liquids prices used in the Total Proved plus Probable evaluation.  GLJ is an independent qualified reserves evaluator appointed pursuant to NI 51-101.
(2) "Gross Reserves" are Vermilion's working interest (operating or non-operating) share before deduction of royalties and without including any royalty interests of Vermilion.  "Net Reserves" are Vermilion's working interest (operating or non-operating) share after deduction of royalty obligations, plus Vermilion's royalty interests in reserves.
(3)  "Proved" reserves are those reserves that can be estimated with a high degree of certainty to be recoverable.  It is likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed the estimated proved reserves.
(4) "Probable" reserves are those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered than proved reserves.  It is equally likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will be greater or less than the sum of the estimated proved plus probable reserves.
(5) "Developed" reserves are those reserves that are expected to be recovered from existing wells and installed facilities or, if facilities have not been installed, that would involve a low expenditure (e.g. when compared to the cost of drilling a well) to put the reserves on production.
(6) "Developed Producing" reserves are those reserves that are expected to be recovered from completion intervals open at the time of the estimate.  These reserves may be currently producing or, if shut-in, they must have previously been on production, and the date of resumption of production must be known with reasonable certainty.
(7) "Developed Non-Producing" reserves are those reserves that either have not been on production, or have previously been on production, but are shut in, and the date of resumption of production is unknown.
(8) "Undeveloped" reserves are those reserves expected to be recovered from known accumulations where a significant expenditure (for example, when compared to the cost of drilling a well) is required to render them capable of production.  They must fully meet the requirements of the reserves classification (proved, probable, possible) to which they are assigned.

Table 5: Net Present Values of Future Net Revenue - Based on Forecast Prices and Costs (1)

Before Deducting Future Income Taxes Discounted AtAfter Deducting Future Income Taxes Discounted At
(M$) 0%5%10%15%20%0%5%10%15%20%
Proved Developed Producing (2) (4) (5)
Australia 2,347 129,206 168,558 175,898 171,717 124,988 173,769 178,900 170,295 158,300
Canada 949,037 750,567 619,559 528,638 462,575 949,037 750,567 619,559 528,638 462,575
France 1,798,973 1,255,682 953,329 767,459 643,532 1,517,541 1,074,705 821,780 664,015 557,940
Germany 43,971 38,938 34,820 31,467 28,720 43,971 38,938 34,820 31,467 28,720
Ireland 552,363 501,468 439,666 387,319 345,603 552,363 501,468 439,666 387,319 345,603
Netherlands 83,154 94,117 99,646 102,200 103,013 64,192 75,617 81,576 84,532 85,720
United States 16,290 12,359 9,959 8,387 7,290 16,290 12,359 9,959 8,387 7,290
Total Proved Developed Producing 3,446,135 2,782,337 2,325,537 2,001,368 1,762,450 3,268,382 2,627,423 2,186,260 1,874,653 1,646,148
Proved Developed Non-Producing (2) (4) (6)
Australia -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Canada 104,042 71,099 54,809 45,013 38,420 104,042 71,099 54,809 45,013 38,420
France 90,457 62,628 45,934 35,314 28,159 58,901 40,465 29,248 22,088 17,265
Germany 25,871 19,029 14,433 11,275 9,044 25,871 19,029 14,433 11,275 9,044
Ireland 92,735 62,194 44,189 32,997 25,688 92,735 62,194 44,189 32,997 25,688
Netherlands 49,823 39,122 30,708 24,196 19,156 41,346 30,978 22,865 16,628 11,839
United States 9,355 5,641 3,488 2,150 1,264 9,355 5,641 3,488 2,150 1,264
Total Proved Developed Non-Producing 372,283 259,713 193,561 150,945 121,731 332,250 229,406 169,032 130,151 103,520
Proved Undeveloped (2) (7)
Australia 90,351 65,761 47,675 34,243 24,141 54,095 38,796 27,698 19,530 13,425
Canada 489,912 322,128 216,629 147,559 100,575 394,990 268,530 185,169 128,464 88,643
France 195,493 141,793 105,874 81,079 63,249 126,807 88,335 62,501 44,867 32,357
Germany 6,456 3,478 1,746 724 117 6,456 3,478 1,746 724 117
Ireland -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Netherlands -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
United States 33,881 15,244 5,265 (415) (3,816) 33,881 15,244 5,265 (415) (3,816)
Total Proved Undeveloped 816,093 548,404 377,189 263,190 184,266 616,229 414,383 282,379 193,170 130,726
Proved (2)
Australia 92,698 194,967 216,233 210,141 195,858 179,083 212,565 206,598 189,825 171,725
Canada 1,542,991 1,143,794 890,997 721,210 601,570 1,448,069 1,090,196 859,537 702,115 589,638
France 2,084,923 1,460,103 1,105,137 883,852 734,940 1,703,249 1,203,505 913,529 730,970 607,562
Germany 76,298 61,445 50,999 43,466 37,881 76,298 61,445 50,999 43,466 37,881
Ireland 645,098 563,662 483,855 420,316 371,291 645,098 563,662 483,855 420,316 371,291
Netherlands 132,977 133,239 130,354 126,396 122,169 105,538 106,595 104,441 101,160 97,559
United States 59,526 33,244 18,712 10,122 4,738 59,526 33,244 18,712 10,122 4,738
Total Proved 4,634,511 3,590,454 2,896,287 2,415,503 2,068,447 4,216,861 3,271,212 2,637,671 2,197,974 1,880,394
Probable (3)
Australia 233,918 195,941 160,242 132,868 112,579 131,359 109,293 88,489 72,597 60,886
Canada 1,259,521 782,374 525,575 374,090 277,970 925,820 572,010 383,568 273,386 203,911
France 1,368,130 737,715 464,855 321,653 235,825 898,657 464,533 277,847 181,362 124,539
Germany 58,777 38,397 26,546 19,305 14,655 58,777 38,397 26,546 19,305 14,655
Ireland 444,344 271,776 182,158 131,596 100,818 444,344 271,776 182,158 131,596 100,818
Netherlands 259,073 192,535 149,984 121,255 100,904 213,280 150,798 111,666 85,850 68,004
United States 169,572 89,698 51,373 30,603 18,222 111,879 59,733 33,482 18,708 9,648
Total Probable 3,793,335 2,308,436 1,560,733 1,131,370 860,973 2,784,116 1,666,540 1,103,756 782,804 582,461
Proved Plus Probable (2) (3)
Australia 326,616 390,908 376,475 343,009 308,437 310,442 321,858 295,087 262,422 232,611
Canada 2,802,512 1,926,168 1,416,572 1,095,300 879,540 2,373,889 1,662,206 1,243,105 975,501 793,549
France 3,453,053 2,197,818 1,569,992 1,205,505 970,765 2,601,906 1,668,038 1,191,376 912,332 732,101
Germany 135,075 99,842 77,545 62,771 52,536 135,075 99,842 77,545 62,771 52,536
Ireland 1,089,442 835,438 666,013 551,912 472,109 1,089,442 835,438 666,013 551,912 472,109
Netherlands 392,050 325,774 280,338 247,651 223,073 318,818 257,393 216,107 187,010 165,563
United States 229,098 122,942 70,085 40,725 22,960 171,405 92,977 52,194 28,830 14,386
Total Proved Plus Probable 8,427,846 5,898,890 4,457,020 3,546,873 2,929,420 7,000,977 4,937,752 3,741,427 2,980,778 2,462,855
Notes:
(1)  The pricing assumptions used in the GLJ Report  with respect to net present value of future net revenue (forecast) as well as the inflation rates used for operating and capital costs are set forth below.  See "Forecast Prices used in Estimates".  The NGL price is an aggregate of the individual natural gas liquids prices used in the Total Proved plus Probable evaluation.  GLJ is an independent qualified reserves evaluator appointed pursuant to NI 51-101.
(2) "Proved" reserves are those reserves that can be estimated with a high degree of certainty to be recoverable.  It is likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed the estimated proved reserves.
(3) "Probable" reserves are those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered than proved reserves.  It is equally likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will be greater or less than the sum of the estimated proved plus probable reserves.
(4) "Developed" reserves are those reserves that are expected to be recovered from existing wells and installed facilities or, if facilities have not been installed, that would involve a low expenditure (e.g. when compared to the cost of drilling a well) to put the reserves on production.
(5) "Developed Producing" reserves are those reserves that are expected to be recovered from completion intervals open at the time of the estimate.  These reserves may be currently producing or, if shut-in, they must have previously been on production, and the date of resumption of production must be known with reasonable certainty.
(6) "Developed Non-Producing" reserves are those reserves that either have not been on production, or have previously been on production, but are shut in, and the date of resumption of production is unknown.
(7) "Undeveloped" reserves are those reserves expected to be recovered from known accumulations where a significant expenditure (for example, when compared to the cost of drilling a well) is required to render them capable of production.  They must fully meet the requirements of the reserves classification (proved, probable, possible) to which they are assigned.

Table 6: Total Future Net Revenue (Undiscounted) Based on Forecast Prices and Costs (1)

AbandonmentFuture NetFuture Net
CapitalandRevenueRevenue
OperatingDevelopmentReclamation BeforeFutureAfter
(M$)RevenueRoyaltiesCostsCostsCostsIncome TaxesIncome TaxesIncome Taxes
Proved (2)
Australia 1,279,689 -   765,611 164,897 256,483 92,698 (86,385) 179,083
Canada 3,444,744 430,994 956,472 429,587 84,700 1,542,991 94,922 1,448,069
France 3,739,055 286,952 1,054,237 142,825 170,118 2,084,923 381,674 1,703,249
Germany 243,200 34,472 121,828 7,557 3,045 76,298 -   76,298
Ireland 945,039 -   196,807 29,121 74,013 645,098 -   645,098
Netherlands 419,120 20,930 153,011 38,411 73,791 132,977 27,439 105,538
United States 193,175 53,303 33,559 44,764 2,023 59,526 -   59,526
Total Proved 10,264,022 826,651 3,281,525 857,162 664,173 4,634,511 417,650 4,216,861
Proved Plus Probable (2) (3)
Australia 1,660,324 -   901,981 164,950 266,777 326,616 16,174 310,442
Canada 6,173,958 832,588 1,597,976 830,126 110,756 2,802,512 428,623 2,373,889
France 6,025,272 448,246 1,560,955 340,273 222,745 3,453,053 851,147 2,601,906
Germany 408,139 61,573 199,859 7,594 4,038 135,075 -   135,075
Ireland 1,487,330 -   294,754 29,121 74,013 1,089,442 -   1,089,442
Netherlands 908,049 67,612 274,464 87,472 86,451 392,050 73,232 318,818
United States 596,459 162,300 91,475 109,001 4,585 229,098 57,693 171,405
Total Proved Plus Probable 17,259,531 1,572,319 4,921,464 1,568,537 769,365 8,427,846 1,426,869 7,000,977
Notes:
(1)  The pricing assumptions used in the GLJ Report with respect to net present value of future net revenue (forecast) as well as the inflation rates used for operating and capital costs are set forth below.  See "Forecast Prices used in Estimates".  The NGL price is an aggregate of the individual natural gas liquids prices used in the Total Proved plus Probable evaluation.  GLJ is an independent qualified reserves evaluator appointed pursuant to NI 51-101.
(2) "Proved" reserves are those reserves that can be estimated with a high degree of certainty to be recoverable.  It is likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed the estimated proved reserves.
(3) "Probable" reserves are those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered than proved reserves.  It is equally likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will be greater or less than the sum of the estimated proved plus probable reserves.

Table 7: Future Net Revenue by Production Group Based on Forecast Prices and Costs (1)

Future Net Revenue
Before Income Taxes (2)
(Discounted at 10% Per Year)Unit Value
Proved Developed Producing(M$)($/boe)
Light crude oil & medium crude oil (3) 1,587,327 25.88
Heavy Oil (3) 216 12.36
Natural gas (4) 733,875 18.69
Shale Gas 2,860 7.26
Coal Bed Methane 1,259 2.62
Total Proved Developed Producing 2,325,537 22.91
Proved Developed Non-Producing
Light crude oil & medium crude oil (3) 66,158 20.41
Heavy Oil (3) -   -  
Natural gas (4) 126,536 14.41
Shale Gas -   -  
Coal Bed Methane 867 3.17
Total Proved Developed Non-Producing 193,561 15.74
Proved Undeveloped
Light crude oil & medium crude oil (3) 259,816 13.92
Heavy Oil (3) -   -  
Natural gas (4) 116,627 8.44
Shale Gas -   -  
Coal Bed Methane 746 1.44
Total Proved Undeveloped 377,189 11.43
Proved
Light crude oil & medium crude oil (3) 1,913,301 22.97
Heavy Oil (3) 216 12.42
Natural gas (4) 977,038 15.81
Shale Gas 2,860 7.28
Coal Bed Methane 2,872 2.26
Total Proved 2,896,287 19.73
Probable
Light crude oil & medium crude oil (3) 992,703 20.85
Heavy Oil (3) 87 15.91
Natural gas (4) 565,389 13.80
Shale Gas 691 7.26
Coal Bed Methane 1,863 2.26
Total Probable 1,560,733 19.73
Proved Plus Probable
Light crude oil & medium crude oil (3) 2,906,004 22.21
Heavy Oil (3) 303 13.30
Natural gas (4) 1,542,427 15.00
Shale Gas 3,551 7.33
Coal Bed Methane 4,735 2.31
Total Proved Plus Probable 4,457,020 18.87
Notes:
(1)  The pricing assumptions used in the GLJ Report with respect to net present value of future net revenue (forecast) as well as the inflation rates used for operating and capital costs are set forth below.  See "Forecast Prices used in Estimates".  The NGL price is an aggregate of the individual natural gas liquids prices used in the Total Proved plus Probable evaluation.  GLJ is an independent qualified reserves evaluator appointed pursuant to NI 51-101.
(2)  Other Company revenue and costs not related to a specific production group have been allocated proportionately to production groups.  Unit values are based on Company Net Reserves.  Net present value of reserves categories are an approximation based on major products.
(3)  Including solution gas and other by-products.
(4) Including by-products but excluding solution gas.

Reconciliations of Changes in Reserves

The following tables set forth a reconciliation of the changes in Vermilion's gross light and medium crude oil, heavy oil and associated and non-associated gas (combined) reserves as at December 31, 2015 compared to such reserves as at December 31, 2014.

Table 8: Reconciliation of Company Gross Reserves by Principal Product Type - Based on Forecast Prices and Costs (3)

Light Crude Oil &
AUSTRALIATotal Oil (4)Medium Crude OilHeavy OilTight Oil
Proved +Proved +Proved +Proved +
Proved Probable P+P (1) (2)ProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbable
Factors(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)
At December 31, 2014 12,534 5,449 17,983 12,534 5,449 17,983 -   -   -   -   -   -  
Discoveries -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Extensions & Improved Recovery 500 50 550 500 50 550 -   -   -   -   -   -  
Technical Revisions 3,087 (1,799) 1,288 3,087 (1,799) 1,288 -   -   -   -   -   -  
Acquisitions -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Dispositions -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Economic Factors -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Production (2,356) -   (2,356) (2,356) -   (2,356) -   -   -   -   -   -  
At December 31, 2015 13,765 3,700 17,465 13,765 3,700 17,465 - - - - - -
Total Gas (4)Conventional Natural GasCoal Bed Methane (5)Shale Natural Gas (5)
Proved +Proved +Proved +Proved +
Proved Probable P+P (1) (2)ProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbable
Factors(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)
At December 31, 2014 -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Discoveries -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Extensions & Improved Recovery -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Technical Revisions -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Acquisitions -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Dispositions -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Economic Factors -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Production -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
At December 31, 2015 -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Natural Gas LiquidsBOE
Proved +Proved +
Proved Probable P+P (1) (2)ProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbable
Factors(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mboe)(Mboe)(Mboe)
At December 31, 2014 -   -   -   12,534 5,449 17,983
Discoveries -   -   -   -   -   -  
Extensions & Improved Recovery -   -   -   500 50 550
Technical Revisions -   -   -   3,087 (1,799) 1,288
Acquisitions -   -   -   -   -   -  
Dispositions -   -   -   -   -   -  
Economic Factors -   -   -   -   -   -  
Production -   -   -   (2,356) -   (2,356)
At December 31, 2015 -   -   -   13,765 3,700 17,465
Light Crude Oil &
CANADATotal Oil (4)Medium Crude OilHeavy OilTight Oil
Proved +Proved +Proved +Proved +
Proved Probable P+P (1) (2)ProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbable
Factors(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)
At December 31, 2014 27,488 14,799 42,287 27,478 14,797 42,275 10 2 12 -   -   -  
Discoveries -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Extensions & Improved Recovery 1,245 2,541 3,786 1,245 2,541 3,786 -   -   -   -   -   -  
Technical Revisions (283) (825) (1,108) (295) (828) (1,123) (1) 1 -   13 3 16
Acquisitions -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Dispositions (9) (4) (13) (9) (4) (13) -   -   -   -   -   -  
Economic Factors (1,970) (1,720) (3,690) (1,970) (1,720) (3,690) -   -   -   -   -   -  
Production (3,481) -   (3,481) (3,478) -   (3,478) -   -   -   (3) -   (3)
At December 31, 2015 22,990 14,792 37,782 22,971 14,786 37,757 9 3 12 10 3 13
Total Gas (4)Conventional Natural GasCoal Bed Methane (5)Shale Natural Gas (5)
Proved +Proved +Proved +Proved +
Proved Probable P+P (1) (2)ProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbable
Factors(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)
At December 31, 2014 177,414 141,032 318,446 153,592 130,581 284,173 22,260 10,031 32,291 1,562 420 1,982
Discoveries -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Extensions & Improved Recovery 56,482 22,244 78,726 56,482 22,244 78,726 -   -   -   -   -   -  
Technical Revisions 4,325 (7,773) (3,448) 3,505 (7,828) (4,323) -   -   -   820 55 875
Acquisitions 1,933 10,824 12,757 1,933 10,824 12,757 -   -   -   -   -   -  
Dispositions (39) (8,944) (8,983) (39) (8,944) (8,983) -   -   -   -   -   -  
Economic Factors (13,736) (19,315) (33,051) (2,350) (14,201) (16,551) (11,386) (5,114) (16,500) -   -   -  
Production (26,116) -   (26,116) (23,012) -   (23,012) (2,664) -   (2,664) (440) -   (440)
At December 31, 2015 200,263 138,068 338,331 190,111 132,676 322,787 8,210 4,917 13,127 1,942 475 2,417
Natural Gas LiquidsBOE
Proved +Proved +
Proved Probable P+P (1) (2)ProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbable
Factors(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mboe)(Mboe)(Mboe)
At December 31, 2014 13,550 11,331 24,881 70,608 49,635 120,243
Discoveries -   -   -   -   -   -  
Extensions & Improved Recovery 3,059 2,749 5,808 13,718 8,997 22,715
Technical Revisions (410) (2,077) (2,487) 28 (4,197) (4,169)
Acquisitions 187 1,538 1,725 509 3,342 3,851
Dispositions (2) (193) (195) (18) (1,688) (1,705)
Economic Factors (95) (597) (692) (4,354) (5,536) (9,891)
Production (1,494) -   (1,494) (9,328) -   (9,328)
At December 31, 2015 14,795 12,751 27,546 71,162 50,554 121,717
Light Crude Oil &
FRANCETotal Oil (4)Medium Crude OilHeavy OilTight Oil
Proved +Proved +Proved +Proved +
Proved Probable P+P (1) (2)ProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbable
Factors(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)
At December 31, 2014 35,602 20,288 55,890 35,602 20,288 55,890 -   -   -   -   -   -  
Discoveries -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Extensions & Improved Recovery 4,328 2,466 6,794 4,328 2,466 6,794 -   -   -   -   -   -  
Technical Revisions 5,268 (1,429) 3,839 5,268 (1,429) 3,839 -   -   -   -   -   -  
Acquisitions -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Dispositions -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Economic Factors -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Production (4,477) -   (4,477) (4,477) -   (4,477) -   -   -   -   -   -  
At December 31, 2015 40,721 21,325 62,046 40,721 21,325 62,046 -   -   -   -   -   -  
Total Gas (4)Conventional Natural GasCoal Bed Methane (5)Shale Natural Gas (5)
Proved +Proved +Proved +Proved +
Proved Probable P+P (1) (2)ProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbable
Factors(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)
At December 31, 2014 9,875 2,582 12,457 9,875 2,582 12,457 -   -   -   -   -   -  
Discoveries -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Extensions & Improved Recovery -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Technical Revisions -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Acquisitions -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Dispositions -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Economic Factors (1,686) (1,023) (2,709) (1,686) (1,023) (2,709) -   -   -   -   -   -  
Production (354) -   (354) (354) -   (354) -   -   -   -   -   -  
At December 31, 2015 7,835 1,559 9,394 7,835 1,559 9,394 -   -   -   -   -   -  
Natural Gas LiquidsBOE
Proved +Proved +
Proved Probable P+P (1) (2)ProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbable
Factors(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mboe)(Mboe)(Mboe)
At December 31, 2014 -   -   -   37,249 20,719 57,967
Discoveries -   -   -   -   -   -  
Extensions & Improved Recovery -   -   -   4,328 2,465 6,794
Technical Revisions -   -   -   5,268 (1,429) 3,839
Acquisitions -   -   -   -   -   -  
Dispositions -   -   -   -   -   -  
Economic Factors -   -   -   (281) (171) (452)
Production -   -   -   (4,537) -   (4,537)
At December 31, 2015 -   -   -   42,027 21,585 63,612
Light Crude Oil &
GERMANYTotal Oil (4)Medium Crude OilHeavy OilTight Oil
Proved +Proved +Proved +Proved +
Proved Probable P+P (1) (2)ProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbable
Factors(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)
At December 31, 2014 -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Discoveries -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Extensions & Improved Recovery -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Technical Revisions -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Acquisitions -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Dispositions -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Economic Factors -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Production -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
At December 31, 2015 -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Total Gas (4)Conventional Natural GasCoal Bed Methane (5)Shale Natural Gas (5)
Proved +Proved +Proved +Proved +
Proved Probable P+P (1) (2)ProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbable
Factors(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)
At December 31, 2014 40,258 21,301 61,559 40,258 21,301 61,559 -   -   -   -   -   -  
Discoveries -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Extensions & Improved Recovery 2,546 (2,546) -   2,546 (2,546) -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Technical Revisions (5,543) (756) (6,299) (5,543) (756) (6,299) -   -   -   -   -   -  
Acquisitions -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Dispositions -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Economic Factors -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Production (5,761) -   (5,761) (5,761) -   (5,761) -   -   -   -   -   -  
At December 31, 2015 31,500 17,999 49,499 31,500 17,999 49,499 -   -   -   -   -   -  
Natural Gas LiquidsBOE
Proved +Proved +
Proved Probable P+P (1) (2)ProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbable
Factors(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mboe)(Mboe)(Mboe)
At December 31, 2014 -   -   -   6,710 3,550 10,260
Discoveries -   -   -   -   -   -  
Extensions & Improved Recovery -   -   -   424 (424) -  
Technical Revisions -   -   -   (924) (126) (1,050)
Acquisitions -   -   -   -   -   -  
Dispositions -   -   -   -   -   -  
Economic Factors -   -   -   -   -   -  
Production -   -   -   (960) -   (960)
At December 31, 2015 -   -   -   5,250 3,000 8,250
Light Crude Oil &
IRELANDTotal Oil (4)Medium Crude OilHeavy OilTight Oil
Proved +Proved +Proved +Proved +
Proved Probable P+P (1) (2)ProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbable
Factors(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)
At December 31, 2014 -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Discoveries -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Extensions & Improved Recovery -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Technical Revisions -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Acquisitions -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Dispositions -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Economic Factors -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Production -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
At December 31, 2015 -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Total Gas (4)Conventional Natural GasCoal Bed Methane (5)Shale Natural Gas (5)
Proved +Proved +Proved +Proved +
Proved Probable P+P (1) (2)ProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbable
Factors(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)
At December 31, 2014 105,931 38,707 144,638 105,931 38,707 144,638 -   -   -   -   -   -  
Discoveries -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Extensions & Improved Recovery -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Technical Revisions (99) 8,698 8,599 (99) 8,698 8,599 -   -   -   -   -   -  
Acquisitions -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Dispositions -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Economic Factors -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Production (11) -   (11) (11) -   (11) -   -   -   -   -   -  
At December 31, 2015 105,821 47,405 153,226 105,821 47,405 153,226 -   -   -   -   -   -  
Natural Gas LiquidsBOE
Proved +Proved +
Proved Probable P+P (1) (2)ProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbable
Factors(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mboe)(Mboe)(Mboe)
At December 31, 2014 -   -   -   17,655 6,451 24,106
Discoveries -   -   -   -   -   -  
Extensions & Improved Recovery -   -   -   -   -   -  
Technical Revisions -   -   -   (17) 1,450 1,434
Acquisitions -   -   -   -   -   -  
Dispositions -   -   -   -   -   -  
Economic Factors -   -   -   -   -   -  
Production -   -   -   (2) -   (2)
At December 31, 2015 -   -   -   17,637 7,901 25,538
Light Crude Oil &
NETHERLANDSTotal Oil (4)Medium Crude OilHeavy OilTight Oil
Proved +Proved +Proved +Proved +
Proved Probable P+P (1) (2)ProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbable
Factors(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)
At December 31, 2014 -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Discoveries -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Extensions & Improved Recovery -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Technical Revisions -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Acquisitions -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Dispositions -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Economic Factors -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Production -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
At December 31, 2015 -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Total Gas (4)Conventional Natural GasCoal Bed Methane (5)Shale Natural Gas (5)
Proved +Proved +Proved +Proved +
Proved Probable P+P (1) (2)ProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbable
Factors(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)
At December 31, 2014 37,155 47,076 84,231 37,155 47,076 84,231 -   -   -   -   -   -  
Discoveries 17,405 2,880 20,285 17,405 2,880 20,285 -   -   -   -   -   -  
Extensions & Improved Recovery 5,736 4,366 10,102 5,736 4,366 10,102 -   -   -   -   -   -  
Technical Revisions 4,242 (5,634) (1,392) 4,242 (5,634) (1,392) -   -   -   -   -   -  
Acquisitions -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Dispositions -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Economic Factors -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Production (16,339) -   (16,339) (16,339) -   (16,339) -   -   -   -   -   -  
At December 31, 2015 48,199 48,688 96,887 48,199 48,688 96,887 -   -   -   -   -   -  
Natural Gas LiquidsBOE
Proved +Proved +
Proved Probable P+P (1) (2)ProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbable
Factors(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mboe)(Mboe)(Mboe)
At December 31, 2014 54 103 157 6,247 7,949 14,196
Discoveries 39 7 46 2,940 487 3,427
Extensions & Improved Recovery 7 6 13 963 734 1,697
Technical Revisions 24 (33) (9) 731 (972) (241)
Acquisitions -   -   -   -   -   -  
Dispositions -   -   -   -   -   -  
Economic Factors -   -   -   -   -   -  
Production (36) -   (36) (2,759) -   (2,758)
At December 31, 2015 88 83 171 8,122 8,198 16,320
Light Crude Oil &
UNITED STATESTotal Oil (4)Medium Crude OilHeavy OilTight Oil
Proved +Proved +Proved +Proved +
Proved Probable P+P (1) (2)ProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbable
Factors(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)
At December 31, 2014 449 1,338 1,787 449 1,338 1,787 -   -   -   -   -   -  
Discoveries -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Extensions & Improved Recovery 1,367 1,324 2,691 1,367 1,324 2,691 -   -   -   -   -   -  
Technical Revisions 106 370 476 106 370 476 -   -   -   -   -   -  
Acquisitions 196 786 982 196 786 982 -   -   -   -   -   -  
Dispositions -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Economic Factors -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Production (84) -   (84) (84) -   (84) -   -   -   -   -   -  
At December 31, 2015 2,034 3,818 5,852 2,034 3,818 5,852 -   -   -   -   -   -  
Total Gas (4)Conventional Natural GasCoal Bed Methane (5)Shale Natural Gas (5)
Proved +Proved +Proved +Proved +
Proved Probable P+P (1) (2)ProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbable
Factors(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)
At December 31, 2014 243 1,402 1,645 243 1,402 1,645 -   -   -   -   -   -  
Discoveries -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Extensions & Improved Recovery 1,453 1,569 3,022 1,453 1,569 3,022 -   -   -   -   -   -  
Technical Revisions 274 507 781 274 507 781 -   -   -   -   -   -  
Acquisitions 220 900 1,120 220 900 1,120 -   -   -   -   -   -  
Dispositions -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Economic Factors -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Production (18) -   (18) (18) -   (18) -   -   -   -   -   -  
At December 31, 2015 2,170 4,378 6,548 2,170 4,378 6,548 -   -   -   -   -   -  
Natural Gas LiquidsBOE
Proved +Proved +
Proved Probable P+P (1) (2)ProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbable
Factors(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mboe)(Mboe)(Mboe)
At December 31, 2014 10 58 68 500 1,630 2,129
Discoveries -   -   -   -   -   -  
Extensions & Improved Recovery 233 250 483 1,842 1,836 3,678
Technical Revisions 72 247 319 223 702 925
Acquisitions 35 143 178 267 1,079 1,346
Dispositions -   -   -   -   -   -  
Economic Factors -   -   -   -   -   -  
Production (3) -   (3) (90) -   (90)
At December 31, 2015 346 698 1,044 2,742 5,246 7,988
Light Crude Oil &
TOTAL COMPANYTotal Oil (4)Medium Crude OilHeavy OilTight Oil
Proved +Proved +Proved +Proved +
Proved Probable P+P (1) (2)ProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbable
Factors(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)
At December 31, 2014 76,073 41,874 117,947 76,063 41,872 117,935 10 2 12 -   -   -  
Discoveries -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Extensions & Improved Recovery 7,440 6,381 13,821 7,440 6,381 13,821 -   -   -   -   -   -  
Technical Revisions 8,178 (3,683) 4,496 8,166 (3,686) 4,480 (1) 1 -   13 3 16
Acquisitions 196 786 982 196 786 982 -   -   -   -   -   -  
Dispositions (9) (4) (13) (9) (4) (13) -   -   -   -   -   -  
Economic Factors (1,970) (1,720) (3,690) (1,970) (1,720) (3,690) -   -   -   -   -   -  
Production (10,398) -   (10,398) (10,395) -   (10,395) -   -   -   (3) -   (3)
At December 31, 2015 79,510 43,635 123,145 79,491 43,629 123,120 9 3 12 10 3 13
Total Gas (4)Conventional Natural GasCoal Bed Methane (5)Shale Natural Gas (5)
Proved +Proved +Proved +Proved +
Proved Probable P+P (1) (2)ProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbable
Factors(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)(MMcf)
At December 31, 2014 370,876 252,100 622,976 347,054 241,649 588,703 22,260 10,031 32,291 1,562 420 1,982
Discoveries 17,405 2,880 20,285 17,405 2,880 20,285 -   -   -   -   -   -  
Extensions & Improved Recovery 66,217 25,633 91,850 66,218 25,633 91,851 -   -   -   -   -   -  
Technical Revisions 3,199 (4,958) (1,760) 2,379 (5,013) (2,635) -   -   -   820 55 875
Acquisitions 2,153 11,724 13,877 2,153 11,724 13,877 -   -   -   -   -   -  
Dispositions (39) (8,944) (8,983) (39) (8,944) (8,983) -   -   -   -   -   -  
Economic Factors (15,422) (20,338) (35,760) (4,036) (15,224) (19,260) (11,386) (5,114) (16,500) -   -   -  
Production (48,599) -   (48,599) (45,495) -   (45,495) (2,664) -   (2,664) (440) -   (440)
At December 31, 2015 395,788 258,097 653,885 385,637 252,705 638,342 8,210 4,917 13,127 1,942 475 2,417
Natural Gas LiquidsBOE
Proved +Proved +
Proved Probable P+P (1) (2)ProvedProbableProbableProvedProbableProbable
Factors(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mboe)(Mboe)(Mboe)
At December 31, 2014 13,614 11,492 25,106 151,503 95,383 246,884
Discoveries 39 7 46 2,940 487 3,427
Extensions & Improved Recovery 3,299 3,005 6,304 21,775 13,659 35,433
Technical Revisions (315) (1,863) (2,178) 8,397 (6,372) 2,026
Acquisitions 222 1,681 1,903 776 4,421 5,197
Dispositions (2) (193) (195) (18) (1,688) (1,705)
Economic Factors (95) (597) (692) (4,635) (5,707) (10,342)
Production (1,533) -   (1,533) (20,032) -   (20,031)
At December 31, 2015 15,229 13,532 28,761 160,706 100,184 260,889 .
Notes:
(1)  "Proved" reserves are those reserves that can be estimated with a high degree of certainty to be recoverable.  It is likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed the estimated proved reserves.
(2) "Probable" reserves are those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered than proved reserves.  It is equally likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will be greater or less than the sum of the estimated proved plus probable reserves.
(3)  The pricing assumptions used in the GLJ Report with respect to net present value of future net revenue (forecast) as well as the inflation rates used for operating and capital costs are set forth above.  See "Forecast Prices used in Estimates".  The NGL price is an aggregate of the individual natural gas liquids prices used in the Total Proved plus Probable evaluation.  GLJ is an independent qualified reserves evaluator appointed pursuant to NI 51-101.
(4)  For reporting purposes, "Total Oil" is the sum of Light Crude oil and Medium Crude Oil, Heavy Oil and Tight Oil.  For reporting purposes, "Total Gas" is the sum of Conventional Natural Gas, Coal Bed Methane and Shale Natural Gas.
(5) "Coal Bed Methane" and "Shale Natural Gas" were considered "Unconventional Natural Gas" in previous years. NI 51-5101 no longer differentiates between conventional and unconventional activities.

The table below sets out the future development costs deducted in the estimation of future net revenue attributable to total proved reserves and total proved plus probable reserves (using forecast prices and costs).

Table 9: Future Development Costs(1)

Total ProvedTotal Proved Plus Probable
(M$)Estimated Using Forecast Prices and CostsEstimated Using Forecast Prices and Costs
Australia
2016 52,820 52,820
2017 6,701 6,701
2018 51,052 51,052
2019 2,993 2,993
2020 3,052 3,052
Remainder 48,279 48,332
Total for all years undiscounted 164,897 164,950
Canada
2016 120,559 152,322
2017 98,902 170,944
2018 89,432 189,394
2019 45,342 136,985
2020 51,326 127,236
Remainder 24,026 53,245
Total for all years undiscounted 429,587 830,126
France
2016 47,099 79,711
2017 41,380 77,270
2018 12,751 76,088
2019 7,300 49,803
2020 15,570 24,985
Remainder 18,725 32,416
Total for all years undiscounted 142,825 340,273
Germany
2016 210 210
2017 159 159
2018 141 141
2019 6,936 6,936
2020 110 147
Remainder 1 1
Total for all years undiscounted 7,557 7,594
Ireland
2016 8,862 8,862
2017 1,321 1,321
2018 -   -  
2019 1,826 1,826
2020 -   -  
Remainder 17,112 17,112
Total for all years undiscounted 29,121 29,121
Netherlands
2016 1,487 5,150
2017 28,416 48,788
2018 1,076 15,274
2019 424 11,254
2020 433 433
Remainder 6,575 6,573
Total for all years undiscounted 38,411 87,472
United States
2016 11,034 30,362
2017 24,333 37,820
2018 9,397 40,819
2019 -   -  
2020 -   -  
Remainder -   -  
Total for all years undiscounted 44,764 109,001
Total Company
2016 242,071 329,437
2017 201,212 343,003
2018 163,849 372,768
2019 64,821 209,797
2020 70,491 155,853
Remainder 114,718 157,679
Total for all years undiscounted 857,162 1,568,537
Note:
(1)  The pricing assumptions used in the GLJ Report with respect to net present value of future net revenue (forecast) as well as the inflation rates used for operating and capital costs are set forth above.  See "Forecast Prices used in Estimates".  The NGL price is an aggregate of the individual natural gas liquids prices used in the Total Proved plus Probable evaluation.  GLJ is an independent qualified reserves evaluator appointed pursuant to NI 51-101.

Vermilion expects to source its capital expenditure requirements from internally generated cash flow and, as appropriate, from Vermilion's existing credit facility or equity or debt financing.  It is anticipated that costs of funding the future development costs will not impact development of its properties or Vermilion's reserves or future net revenue.

CONTINGENT RESOURCES

Vermilion retained GLJ to conduct an independent resource evaluation to assess contingent resources across all of the Company's key operating regions with an effective date of December 31, 2015 (the "GLJ Resources Assessment").  All contingent resources evaluated in the GLJ Resources Assessment were deemed economic at the effective date of December 31, 2015.

A range of contingent resources estimates (low, best and high) were prepared by GLJ.  See notes 6 to 8 of the tables below for a description of low estimate, best estimate and high estimate.

The GLJ Resources Assessment estimated contingent resources of 95.1 million boe (low estimate) to 254.7 million boe (high estimate), with a best estimate of 160.7 million boe.  Contingent resources are in addition to reserves estimated in the GLJ Report.

An estimate of risked net present value of future net revenue of contingent resources is preliminary in nature and is provided to assist the reader in reaching an opinion on the merit and likelihood of the company proceeding with the required investment. It includes contingent resources that are considered too uncertain with respect to the chance of development to be classified as reserves. There is uncertainty that the risked net present value of future net revenue will be realized.

Summary information regarding contingent resources and net present value of future net revenues from contingent resources are set forth below and are derived, in each case, from the GLJ Resources Assessment. The GLJ Resources Assessment was prepared in accordance with COGEH and NI-51-101 by GLJ, an independent qualified reserve evaluator.

Table 10: Summary of Risked Oil and Gas Contingent Resources as at December 31, 2015 (1) (2) - Forecast Prices and Costs (3) (4)

Unrisked
Light Crude Oil &ConventionalCoal BedNatural GasOilOil
ResourcesMedium Crude OilNatural GasMethaneLiquidsEquivalentEquivalent
ProjectChance
MaturityGrossNetGrossNetGrossNetGrossNetGrossNetof Dev.GrossNet
Sub-Class(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(MMcf)(MMcf)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)(%) (9)(Mbbl)(Mbbl)
Contingent (1C) - Low Estimate
Development Pending
Australia(10) -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   - -   -  
Canada(11) 15,733 11,470 216,245 186,486 3,537 3,360 15,457 11,988 67,820 55,099 81.5% 83,218 67,516
France(12) 12,604 11,853 1,020 1,020 -   -   -   -   12,774 12,023 87.8% 14,542 13,687
Germany -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   - -   -  
Ireland(13) -   -   4,475 4,475 -   -   -   -   746 746 70.0% 1,065 1,065
Netherlands(14) -   -   215 215 -   -   -   -   36 36 60.0% 60 60
USA(15) 10,099 8,314 11,178 9,202 -   -   1,782 1,467 13,744 11,315 90.0% 15,272 12,571
Total 38,436 31,637 233,133 201,398 3,537 3,360 17,239 13,455 95,120 79,219 83.3% 114,157 94,899
Contingent (2C) - Best Estimate
Development Pending
Australia(10) 3,000 3,000 -   -   -   -   -   -   3,000 3,000 80.0% 3,750 3,750
Canada(11) 24,685 17,637 361,733 312,655 6,445 6,009 24,018 18,485 110,066 89,233 79.8% 138,003 111,976
France(12) 25,611 24,007 1,300 1,300 -   -   -   -   25,828 24,224 85.7% 30,138 28,255
Germany -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   - -   -  
Ireland(13) -   -   6,859 6,859 -   -   -   -   1,143 1,143 70.0% 1,633 1,633
Netherlands(14) -   -   4,739 4,739 -   -   3 3 793 793 60.0% 1,321 1,321
USA(15) 14,470 11,912 16,449 13,540 -   -   2,622 2,159 19,834 16,328 90.0% 22,038 18,141
Total 67,766 56,556 391,080 339,093 6,445 6,009 26,643 20,647 160,664 134,721 81.6% 196,883 165,076
Contingent (3C) - High Estimate
Development Pending
Australia(10) 4,040 4,040 -   -   -   -   -   -   4,040 4,040 80.0% 5,050 5,050
Canada(11) 51,590 36,716 537,685 461,047 8,843 8,270 34,482 25,750 177,160 140,686 78.6% 225,319 179,007
France(12) 41,455 38,784 1,670 1,670 -   -   -   -   41,733 39,062 85.0% 49,114 45,950
Germany -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   - -   -  
Ireland(13) -   -   10,671 10,671 -   -   -   -   1,779 1,779 70.0% 2,541 2,541
Netherlands(14) -   -   9,294 9,294 -   -   6 6 1,555 1,555 60.0% 2,592 2,592
USA(15) 20,592 16,951 23,987 19,746 -   -   3,824 3,148 28,414 23,390 90.0% 31,571 25,988
Total 117,677 96,491 583,307 502,428 8,843 8,270 38,312 28,904 254,681 210,512 80.5% 316,187 261,128

Table 11: Summary of Risked Net Present Value of Future Net Revenues as at December 31, 2015 - Forecast Prices and Costs (3)

Resources Project
Maturity Sub-ClassBefore Income Taxes, Discounted at (5)After Income Taxes, Discounted at (5)
(M$)0%5%10%15%20%0%5%10%15%20%
Contingent (1C) -Low Estimate (6)
Development Pending
Australia -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Canada 1,263,475 696,994 404,377 244,496 152,795 917,336 485,559 266,767 150,423 85,918
France 764,172 412,773 234,791 138,408 83,554 500,593 255,152 135,124 72,474 38,285
Germany -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Ireland 10,759 6,832 3,908 1,827 388 10,759 6,832 3,908 1,827 388
Netherlands 321 288 235 183 139 (111) (31) (4) 1 (1)
USA 402,480 183,006 86,860 41,587 19,010 257,913 112,016 47,760 18,068 3,877
Total 2,441,207 1,299,893 730,171 426,501 255,886 1,686,490 859,528 453,555 242,793 128,467
Contingent (2C) -Best Estimate (7)
Development Pending
Australia 112,493 76,004 51,782 35,416 24,186 8,804 (933) (6,457) (9,465) (10,961)
Canada 2,320,917 1,231,251 711,661 438,235 283,381 1,690,519 869,129 482,208 282,696 172,627
France 1,596,937 861,198 493,517 295,075 181,775 1,046,955 534,621 286,991 157,949 87,111
Germany -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Ireland 34,337 24,293 16,560 11,029 7,171 25,752 18,634 12,872 8,618 5,581
Netherlands 17,580 12,005 8,041 5,233 3,236 8,618 5,315 2,916 1,218 28
USA 761,511 347,466 175,611 95,123 53,819 490,733 219,043 105,532 52,935 26,574
Total 4,843,775 2,552,217 1,457,172 880,111 553,568 3,271,381 1,645,809 884,062 493,951 280,960
Contingent (3C) -High Estimate (8)
Development Pending
Australia 213,428 151,220 109,414 80,640 60,405 40,896 22,363 11,003 3,988 (347)
Canada 4,528,849 2,254,759 1,249,423 745,486 469,386 3,301,748 1,601,403 857,791 491,549 295,260
France 2,789,003 1,489,072 858,593 521,966 329,664 1,828,488 934,880 512,726 293,550 172,056
Germany -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -   -  
Ireland 73,725 48,565 32,219 21,620 14,641 55,100 36,396 24,132 16,127 10,830
Netherlands 54,851 37,676 26,539 19,104 13,995 29,079 19,328 12,926 8,658 5,754
USA 1,306,063 569,626 289,610 162,255 96,886 844,550 363,515 179,660 96,592 54,589
Total 8,965,919 4,550,918 2,565,798 1,551,071 984,977 6,099,861 2,977,885 1,598,238 910,464 538,142

Notes:
(1)  The contingent resource assessments were prepared by GLJ in accordance with the definitions, standards and procedures contained in the COGEH and NI 51-101. Contingent resource is defined in the COGEH as those quantities of petroleum estimated, as of a given date, to be potentially recoverable from known accumulations using established technology or technology under development, but which are not currently considered to be commercially recoverable due to one or more contingencies. There is no certainty that it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of the contingent resources or that Vermilion will produce any portion of the volumes currently classified as contingent resources. The estimates of contingent resources involve implied assessment, based on certain estimates and assumptions, that the resources described exists in the quantities predicted or estimated, as at a given date, and that the resources can be profitably produced in the future. The risked net present value of the future net revenue from the contingent resources does not necessarily represent the fair market value of the contingent resources. Actual contingent resources (and any volumes that may be reclassified as reserves) and future production therefrom may be greater than or less than the estimates provided herein.
(2) GLJ prepared the estimates of contingent resources shown for each property using deterministic principles and methods. Probabilistic aggregation of the low and high property estimates shown in the table might produce different total volumes than the arithmetic sums shown in the table. 
(3)   The forecast price and cost assumptions utilized in the year-end 2015 reserves report were also utilized by GLJ in preparing the contingent resource assessments. See "GLJ December 31, 2015 Forecast Prices" in Vermilion's Annual Information Form for the year ended December 31, 2015.
(4) "Gross" Contingent Resources are Vermilion's working interest (operating or non-operating) share before deduction of royalties and without including any royalty interests of Vermilion.  "Net" Contingent Resources are Vermilion's working interest (operating or non-operating) share after deduction of royalty obligations, plus Vermilion's royalty interests in Contingent Resources.
(5) The risked net present value of future net revenue attributable to the contingent resources does not necessarily represent the fair market value of the contingent resources. Estimated abandonment and reclamation costs have been included in the evaluation.
(6) This is considered to be a conservative estimate of the quantity that will actually be recovered. It is likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed the low estimate. If probabilistic methods are used, there should be at least a 90 percent probability (P90) that the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the low estimate.
(7) This is considered to be the best estimate of the quantity that will actually be recovered. It is equally likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will be greater or less than the best estimate. If probabilistic methods are used, there should be at least a 50 percent probability (P50) that the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the best estimate.
(8) This is considered to be an optimistic estimate of the quantity that will actually be recovered. It is unlikely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed the high estimate. If probabilistic methods are used, there should be at least a 10 percent probability (P10) that the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the high estimate.
(9) The Chance of Development (CoDev) is the estimated probability that, once discovered, a known accumulation will be commercially developed. Five factors have been considered in determining the CoDev as follows:

  • CoDev = Ps (Economic Factor) × Ps (Technology Factor) × Ps (Development Plan Factor) ×Ps (Development Timeframe Factor) × Ps (Other Contingency Factor) wherein
  • Ps is the probability of success
  • Economic Factor - For reserves to be assessed, a project must be economic. With respect to contingent resources, this factor captures uncertainty in the assessment of economic status principally due to uncertainty in cost estimates and marketing options. Economic viability uncertainty due to technology is more aptly captured with the Technology Factor. The Economic Factor will be 1 for reserves and will often be 1 for development pending and for projects with a development study or pre-development study with a robust rate of return. A robust rate of return means that the project retains economic status with variation in costs and/or marketing plans over the expected range of outcomes for these variables.
  • Technology Factor - For reserves to be assessed, a project must utilize established technology. With respect to contingent resources, this factor captures the uncertainty in the viability of the proposed technology for the subject reservoir, namely, the uncertainty associated with technology under development. By definition, technology under development is a recovery process or process improvement that has been determined to be technically viable via field test and is being field tested further to determine its economic viability in the subject reservoir. The Technology Factor will be 1 for reserves and for established technology. For technology under development, this factor will consider different risks associated with technologies being developed at the scale of the well versus the scale of a project and technologies which are being modified or extended for the subject reservoir versus new emerging technologies which have not previously been applied in any commercial application. The risk assessment will also consider the quality and sufficiency of the test data available, the ability to reliably scale such data and the ability to extrapolate results in time.
  • Development Plan Factor - For reserves to be assessed, a project must have a detailed development plan. With respect to contingent resources, this factor captures the uncertainty in the project evaluation scenario. The Development Plan Factor will be 1 for reserves and high, approaching 1, for development pending projects. This factor will consider development plan detail variations including the degree of delineation, reservoir specific development and operating strategy detail (technology decision, well layouts (spacing and pad locations), completion strategy, start-up strategy, water source and disposal, other infrastructure, facility design, marketing plans etc) and the quality of the cost estimates as provided by the developer.
  • Development Timeframe Factor - In the case of major projects, for reserves to be assessed, first major capital spending must be initiated within 5 years of the effective date. The Development Timeframe Factor will be 1 for reserves and will often be 1 for development pending provided the project is planned on-stream based on the same criteria used in the assessment of reserves. With respect to contingent resources, the factor will approach 1 for projects planned on-stream with a timeframe slightly longer than the limiting reserves criteria.
  • Other Contingency Factor - For reserves to be assessed, all contingencies must be eliminated. With respect to contingent resources, this factor captures major contingencies, usually beyond the control of the operator, other than those captured by economic status, technology status, project evaluation scenario status and the development timeframe. The Other Contingency Factor will be 1 for reserves and for development pending and less than 1 for on hold. Provided all contingencies have been identified and their resolution is reasonably certain, this factor would also be 1 for development unclarified.
  • These factors may be inter-related (dependent) and care has been taken to ensure that risks are appropriately accounted.
(10) Contingent resources for Australia have been estimated based on the continued drilling in our active core asset (see "Description of Properties" section of this AIF) using established recovery technologies.  The estimated cost to bring these   Contingent resources on commercial production is $171 MM and the expected timeline is between two and six years.  The specific contingencies for these resources are Corporate Commitment and Development Timing.
(11) Contingent resources for Canada have been estimated based on the continued drilling in our active core assets (see "Description of Properties" section of this AIF) using established recovery technologies.  The estimated cost to bring these Contingent resources on commercial production is  $1,234 MM and the expected timeline is between one and 10 years.  The specific contingencies for these resources are Corporate Commitment and Development Timing.
(12) Contingent resources for France have been estimated based on the continued drilling in our active core assets (see "Description of Properties" section of this AIF) using established recovery technologies.  The estimated cost to bring these Contingent resources on commercial production is $542 MM and the expected timeline is between two and 10 years.  The specific contingencies for these resources are Corporate Commitment and Development Timing.
(13) Contingent resources for Ireland have been estimated based on the continued drilling in our active core asset (see "Description of Properties" section of this AIF) using established recovery technologies.  The estimated cost to bring these Contingent resources on commercial production is $31 MM and the expected timeline is between three and four years.  The specific contingencies for these resources are Corporate Commitment and Development Timing.
(14)  Contingent resources for Netherlands have been estimated based on the continued drilling in our active core assets (see "Description of Properties" section of this AIF) using established recovery technologies.  The estimated cost to bring these Contingent resources on commercial production is $14 MM and the expected timeline is between two and 10 years.  The specific contingencies for these resources are Corporate Commitment and Development Timing.
(15) Contingent resources for USA have been estimated based on the continued drilling in our active core asset (see "Description of Properties" section of this AIF) using established recovery technologies.  The estimated cost to bring these Contingent resources on commercial production is $278 MM and the expected timeline is between two and 10 years.  The specific contingencies for these resources are Corporate Commitment and Development Timing.

ABOUT VERMILION

Vermilion is an international energy producer that seeks to create value through the acquisition, exploration, development and optimization of producing properties in North America, Europe and Australia. Our business model targets annual organic production growth, along with providing reliable and increasing dividends to investors.  Vermilion is targeting growth in production primarily through the exploitation of light oil and liquids-rich natural gas conventional resource plays in Canada and the United States, the exploration and development of high impact natural gas opportunities in the Netherlands and Germany, and through oil drilling and workover programs in France and Australia.  Vermilion also holds an 18.5% working interest in the Corrib gas field in Ireland.  Vermilion pays a monthly dividend of Canadian $0.215 per share, which provides a current yield of approximately 7%.  Management and directors of Vermilion hold approximately 6% of the outstanding shares, are committed to consistently delivering superior rewards for all stakeholders, and have delivered a 20-year history of market outperformance.  Vermilion trades on the Toronto Stock Exchange and the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol VET.

Natural gas volumes have been converted on the basis of six thousand cubic feet of natural gas to one barrel equivalent of oil.  Barrels of oil equivalent ("boe") may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation.  A boe conversion ratio of six thousand cubic feet of natural gas to one barrel of oil is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead.

Fund flows from operations, netbacks and recycle ratio are measures that do not have standardized meanings prescribed by International Financial Reporting Standards ("IFRS") and therefore may not be comparable with the calculations of similar measures for other entities. "Fund flows from operations" represents cash flows from operating activities before changes in non-cash operating working capital and asset retirement obligations settled. Management considers fund flows from operations and fund flows from operations per share to be key measures as they demonstrate Vermilion's ability to generate the cash necessary to pay dividends, repay debt, fund asset retirement obligations and make capital investments. Management believes that by excluding the temporary impact of changes in non-cash operating working capital, fund flows from operations provides a useful measure of Vermilion's ability to generate cash that is not subject to short-term movements in non-cash operating working capital. "Recycle Ratio" means a measure of capital efficiency calculated by dividing the operating netback of production by the cost of adding reserves. "Netbacks" are per boe and per Mcf measures used in operational and capital allocation decisions. After-tax cash flow netbacks are calculated as cash flow from operating activities (determined in accordance with IFRS) expressed on a per boe basis.

SOURCE Vermilion Energy Inc.

PDF available at: http://stream1.newswire.ca/media/2016/02/29/20160229_C9877_DOC_EN_44637.pdf

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