VLTO Q3 Deep Dive: Tariff Mitigation, Data Center Growth, and Margin Trends

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Water analytics and treatment company Veralto (NYSE: VLTO) met Wall Streets revenue expectations in Q3 CY2025, with sales up 6.8% year on year to $1.40 billion. On the other hand, next quarter’s revenue guidance of $1.38 billion was less impressive, coming in 1.4% below analysts’ estimates. Its non-GAAP profit of $0.99 per share was 4.6% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

Is now the time to buy VLTO? Find out in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).

Veralto (VLTO) Q3 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $1.40 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.4 billion (6.8% year-on-year growth, in line)
  • Adjusted EPS: $0.99 vs analyst estimates of $0.95 (4.6% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $347 million vs analyst estimates of $343.4 million (24.7% margin, 1.1% beat)
  • Revenue Guidance for Q4 CY2025 is $1.38 billion at the midpoint, below analyst estimates of $1.40 billion
  • Management raised its full-year Adjusted EPS guidance to $3.84 at the midpoint, a 2% increase
  • Operating Margin: 23.2%, in line with the same quarter last year
  • Market Capitalization: $25.44 billion

StockStory’s Take

Veralto’s third quarter results reflected steady execution across its core Water Quality and Product Quality and Innovation (PQI) segments, with management attributing growth to new customer wins and increased market penetration. CEO Jennifer Honeycutt highlighted the company’s ability to navigate a dynamic macro environment, noting that demand was broad-based across geographies and end markets. Management credited pricing actions, particularly in response to tariffs, and continued operational improvements for supporting margins. Honeycutt also pointed to the importance of the Veralto Enterprise System in helping deliver consistent results, emphasizing, “Our team delivered mid-single-digit core sales growth, double-digit adjusted earnings per share growth and over 100% free cash flow conversion.”

Looking ahead, management’s updated guidance is shaped by ongoing investments in strategic growth areas and disciplined capital deployment, even as near-term revenue expectations are slightly more cautious. CFO Sameer Ralhan acknowledged that tariff mitigation costs and ongoing growth investments will weigh on PQI margins in the near term, but expressed confidence that these headwinds will ease by the middle of next year. Honeycutt emphasized the opportunity in AI-driven infrastructure, stating, “We are well positioned to capitalize on the rapid growth of infrastructure required to support AI growth.” The company expects continued strength from recurring revenue streams, new product launches, and expansion into high-growth markets, while maintaining flexibility for targeted acquisitions.

Key Insights from Management’s Remarks

Management attributed broad-based sales growth and stable margins to strategic pricing, new product traction, and disciplined cost controls, especially in the face of tariff pressures and evolving end markets.

  • Tariff responses deliver results: Pricing adjustments and supply chain shifts helped offset tariff-related cost pressures, especially in PQI, allowing the company to maintain volume growth and protect profitability.
  • Data center opportunity expands: The Water Quality segment benefited from double-digit growth tied to new and existing data center projects, as hyperscale customers seek efficient water treatment solutions to reduce energy and water usage.
  • Videojet and product launches drive PQI: Recent launches in continuous inkjet and laser marking systems, including UV laser products, gained traction with customers needing greater traceability and compliance with evolving food safety regulations.
  • Recurring revenue momentum: High single-digit recurring revenue growth, driven by consumables, software, and service contracts, contributed to business stability and supported overall margin performance, with software-based revenues in TraceGains and Esko becoming more meaningful.
  • Geographic diversification pays off: High-growth markets such as India, the Middle East, and Latin America delivered strong results, while China returned to growth across both Water Quality and PQI, reducing its drag on overall performance.

Drivers of Future Performance

Veralto’s forward guidance is influenced by ongoing tariff impacts, continued investment in growth areas, and the secular demand for water analytics and treatment solutions.

  • Tariff impact moderates: Management expects the negative margin impact from tariffs on PQI to ease by the second quarter of next year, as pricing adjustments and supply chain changes take full effect, but near-term margin growth will remain modest.
  • AI and infrastructure growth: The company anticipates continued strength in water treatment for data centers and AI-related infrastructure, with these end markets expected to drive double-digit growth within Water Quality and present long-term expansion potential.
  • Capital deployment and M&A focus: Building cash reserves provide flexibility for targeted acquisitions in both core segments. Management remains disciplined in valuation and sees a robust pipeline of opportunities to further expand recurring revenue and digital capabilities.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

In the quarters ahead, the StockStory team will be closely watching (1) the pace of margin recovery in PQI as tariff mitigation actions take hold, (2) continued expansion in data center and AI-related water treatment projects within Water Quality, and (3) the integration and performance of recent acquisitions such as TraceGains. Additional milestones will include growth in recurring revenue streams and potential M&A activity leveraging Veralto’s strong balance sheet.

Veralto currently trades at $99.45, down from $102.54 just before the earnings. At this price, is it a buy or sell? The answer lies in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).

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