December 11th, 2017

1 Reason MSCI is Risky and 1 Stock to Buy Instead

MSCI Cover Image

Even though MSCI (currently trading at $567.88 per share) has gained 12.1% over the last six months, it has lagged the S&P 500’s 32.7% return during that period. This may have investors wondering how to approach the situation.

Is there a buying opportunity in MSCI, or does it present a risk to your portfolio? Dive into our full research report to see our analyst team’s opinion, it’s free for active Edge members.

Why Is MSCI Not Exciting?

We're cautious about MSCI. Here is one reason we avoid MSCI and a stock we'd rather own.

Previous Growth Initiatives Have Lost Money

Return on equity (ROE) measures how effectively banks generate profit from each dollar of shareholder equity - a critical funding source. High-ROE institutions typically compound shareholder wealth faster over time through retained earnings, share repurchases, and dividend payments.

Over the last five years, MSCI has averaged an ROE of negative 150%, a bad result not only in absolute terms but also relative to the majority of firms putting up 25%+. It also shows that MSCI has little to no competitive moat.

MSCI Return on Equity

Final Judgment

MSCI isn’t a terrible business, but it doesn’t pass our quality test. With its shares trailing the market in recent months, the stock trades at 31.1× forward P/E (or $567.88 per share). This valuation tells us it’s a bit of a market darling with a lot of good news priced in - you can find more timely opportunities elsewhere. We’d recommend looking at a dominant Aerospace business that has perfected its M&A strategy.

Stocks We Like More Than MSCI

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