Smith & Wesson (NASDAQ:SWBI) Misses Q3 Sales Targets, Stock Drops 12.8%

December 05, 2024 at 16:38 PM EST

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American firearms manufacturer Smith & Wesson (NASDAQ: SWBI) missed Wall Street’s revenue expectations in Q3 CY2024 as sales rose 3.8% year on year to $129.7 million. Its non-GAAP profit of $0.11 per share was 33.3% below analysts’ consensus estimates.

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Smith & Wesson (SWBI) Q3 CY2024 Highlights:

Revenue: $129.7 million vs analyst estimates of $133.5 million (3.8% year-on-year growth, 2.9% miss)
Adjusted EPS: $0.11 vs analyst expectations of $0.17 (33.3% miss)
Adjusted EBITDA: $18.49 million vs analyst estimates of $20.62 million (14.3% margin, 10.3% miss)
Operating Margin: 5.4%, in line with the same quarter last year
Free Cash Flow was -$10.7 million compared to -$37.87 million in the same quarter last year
Market Capitalization: $632.4 million

Company Overview

With a history dating back to 1852, Smith & Wesson (NASDAQ: SWBI) is a firearms manufacturer known for its handguns and rifles.

Leisure Products

Leisure products cover a wide range of goods in the consumer discretionary sector. Maintaining a strong brand is key to success, and those who differentiate themselves will enjoy customer loyalty and pricing power while those who don’t may find themselves in precarious positions due to the non-essential nature of their offerings.

Sales Growth

Examining a company’s long-term performance can provide clues about its quality. Any business can put up a good quarter or two, but the best consistently grow over the long haul. Over the last five years, Smith & Wesson’s demand was weak and its revenue declined by 1.2% per year. This was below our standards and signals it’s a lower quality business.

Long-term growth is the most important, but within consumer discretionary, product cycles are short and revenue can be hit-driven due to rapidly changing trends and consumer preferences. Smith & Wesson’s recent history shows its demand has stayed suppressed as its revenue has declined by 4.5% annually over the last two years. Smith & Wesson Year-On-Year Revenue Growth

This quarter, Smith & Wesson’s revenue grew by 3.8% year on year to $129.7 million, falling short of Wall Street’s estimates.

Looking ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to grow 12.4% over the next 12 months. Although this projection implies its newer products and services will spur better top-line performance, it is still below the sector average.

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Operating Margin

Smith & Wesson’s operating margin might have seen some fluctuations over the last 12 months but has remained more or less the same, averaging 9.2% over the last two years. This profitability was mediocre for a consumer discretionary business and caused by its suboptimal cost structure.

In Q3, Smith & Wesson generated an operating profit margin of 5.4%, in line with the same quarter last year. This indicates the company’s overall cost structure has been relatively stable.

Key Takeaways from Smith & Wesson’s Q3 Results

We struggled to find many resounding positives in these results as its revenue, EPS, and EBITDA fell short of Wall Street’s estimates. Overall, this quarter could have been better. The stock traded down 12.8% to $11.90 immediately after reporting.

Smith & Wesson’s earnings report left more to be desired. Let’s look forward to see if this quarter has created an opportunity to buy the stock. We think that the latest quarter is only one piece of the longer-term business quality puzzle. Quality, when combined with valuation, can help determine if the stock is a buy. We cover that in our actionable full research report which you can read here, it’s free.

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