Spotting Winners: Warner Music Group (NASDAQ:WMG) And Media Stocks In Q3

WMG Cover Image

As the Q3 earnings season comes to a close, it’s time to take stock of this quarter’s best and worst performers in the media industry, including Warner Music Group (NASDAQ: WMG) and its peers.

The advent of the internet changed how shows, films, music, and overall information flow. As a result, many media companies now face secular headwinds as attention shifts online. Some have made concerted efforts to adapt by introducing digital subscriptions, podcasts, and streaming platforms. Time will tell if their strategies succeed and which companies will emerge as the long-term winners.

The 7 media stocks we track reported a strong Q3. As a group, revenues beat analysts’ consensus estimates by 1.4%.

While some media stocks have fared somewhat better than others, they have collectively declined. On average, share prices are down 1.9% since the latest earnings results.

Warner Music Group (NASDAQ: WMG)

Launching the careers of legendary artists like Frank Sinatra, Warner Music Group (NASDAQ: WMG) is a music company managing a diverse portfolio of artists, recordings, and music publishing services worldwide.

Warner Music Group reported revenues of $1.87 billion, up 14.6% year on year. This print exceeded analysts’ expectations by 10.8%. Overall, it was an exceptional quarter for the company with a beat of analysts’ EPS estimates and an impressive beat of analysts’ revenue estimates.

"With our artists and songwriters hotter than ever, market share gains drove our quarterly revenues to an all-time high,” said Robert Kyncl, CEO, Warner Music Group.

Warner Music Group Total Revenue

Warner Music Group achieved the biggest analyst estimates beat and fastest revenue growth of the whole group. Investor expectations, however, were likely higher than Wall Street’s published projections, leaving some wishing for even better results (analysts’ consensus estimates are those published by big banks and advisory firms, not the investors who make buy and sell decisions). The stock is down 8.7% since reporting and currently trades at $27.85.

Is now the time to buy Warner Music Group? Access our full analysis of the earnings results here, it’s free for active Edge members.

Best Q3: fuboTV (NYSE: FUBO)

Originally launched as a soccer streaming platform, fuboTV (NYSE: FUBO) is a video streaming service specializing in live sports, news, and entertainment content.

fuboTV reported revenues of $377.2 million, down 2.3% year on year, outperforming analysts’ expectations by 4.9%. The business had a stunning quarter with a beat of analysts’ EPS estimates and a solid beat of analysts’ EBITDA estimates.

fuboTV Total Revenue

Although it had a fine quarter compared its peers, the market seems unhappy with the results as the stock is down 23.9% since reporting. It currently trades at $2.88.

Is now the time to buy fuboTV? Access our full analysis of the earnings results here, it’s free for active Edge members.

Weakest Q3: Scholastic (NASDAQ: SCHL)

Creator of the legendary Scholastic Book Fair, Scholastic (NASDAQ: SCHL) is an international company specializing in children's publishing, education, and media services.

Scholastic reported revenues of $225.6 million, down 4.9% year on year, falling short of analysts’ expectations by 5.6%. It was a slower quarter as it posted a significant miss of analysts’ revenue estimates and a significant miss of analysts’ EPS estimates.

Scholastic delivered the weakest performance against analyst estimates in the group. Interestingly, the stock is up 8.8% since the results and currently trades at $29.38.

Read our full analysis of Scholastic’s results here.

News Corp (NASDAQ: NWSA)

Established in 2013 after a restructuring, News Corp (NASDAQ: NWSA) is a multinational conglomerate known for its news publishing, broadcasting, digital media, and book publishing.

News Corp reported revenues of $2.14 billion, up 2.3% year on year. This number topped analysts’ expectations by 2%. It was a strong quarter as it also put up a beat of analysts’ EPS estimates and a decent beat of analysts’ adjusted operating income estimates.

The stock is up 1.9% since reporting and currently trades at $25.56.

Read our full, actionable report on News Corp here, it’s free for active Edge members.

Warner Bros. Discovery (NASDAQ: WBD)

Formed from the merger of WarnerMedia and Discovery, Warner Bros. Discovery (NASDAQ: WBD) is a multinational media and entertainment company, offering television networks, streaming services, and film and television production.

Warner Bros. Discovery reported revenues of $9.05 billion, down 6% year on year. This result lagged analysts' expectations by 1.9%. Zooming out, it was a mixed quarter as it also recorded a solid beat of analysts’ adjusted operating income estimates but a miss of analysts’ Content revenue estimates.

Warner Bros. Discovery had the slowest revenue growth among its peers. The stock is up 6.7% since reporting and currently trades at $24.45.

Read our full, actionable report on Warner Bros. Discovery here, it’s free for active Edge members.

Market Update

The Fed’s interest rate hikes throughout 2022 and 2023 have successfully cooled post-pandemic inflation, bringing it closer to the 2% target. Inflationary pressures have eased without tipping the economy into a recession, suggesting a soft landing. This stability, paired with recent rate cuts (0.5% in September 2024 and 0.25% in November 2024), fueled a strong year for the stock market in 2024. The markets surged further after Donald Trump’s presidential victory in November, with major indices reaching record highs in the days following the election. Still, questions remain about the direction of economic policy, as potential tariffs and corporate tax changes add uncertainty for 2025.

Want to invest in winners with rock-solid fundamentals? Check out our Top 5 Quality Compounder Stocks and add them to your watchlist. These companies are poised for growth regardless of the political or macroeconomic climate.

StockStory’s analyst team — all seasoned professional investors — uses quantitative analysis and automation to deliver market-beating insights faster and with higher quality.

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