Frontdoor’s (NASDAQ:FTDR) Q1 Sales Beat Estimates, Stock Jumps 16.3%

May 01, 2025 at 10:07 AM EDT

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Home warranty company Frontdoor (NASDAQ: FTDR) announced better-than-expected revenue in Q1 CY2025, with sales up 12.7% year on year to $426 million. Guidance for next quarter’s revenue was better than expected at $602.5 million at the midpoint, 1.7% above analysts’ estimates. Its non-GAAP profit of $0.64 per share was 69.5% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

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Frontdoor (FTDR) Q1 CY2025 Highlights:

Revenue: $426 million vs analyst estimates of $417.2 million (12.7% year-on-year growth, 2.1% beat)
Adjusted EPS: $0.64 vs analyst estimates of $0.38 (69.5% beat)
Adjusted EBITDA: $100 million vs analyst estimates of $76.22 million (23.5% margin, 31.2% beat)
The company slightly lifted its revenue guidance for the full year to $2.04 billion at the midpoint from $2.02 billion
EBITDA guidance for the full year is $510 million at the midpoint, above analyst estimates of $461.5 million
Operating Margin: 35.4%, up from 13.5% in the same quarter last year
Free Cash Flow Margin: 27.5%, up from 19.3% in the same quarter last year
Market Capitalization: $3.04 billion

“We are off to a great start in 2025 and are pleased to increase our full-year outlook across the board," said Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Bill Cobb.

Company Overview

Established in 2018 as a spin-off from ServiceMaster Global Holdings, Frontdoor (NASDAQ: FTDR) is a provider of home warranty and service plans.

Sales Growth

A company’s long-term performance is an indicator of its overall quality. Any business can put up a good quarter or two, but many enduring ones grow for years. Regrettably, Frontdoor’s sales grew at a sluggish 6.4% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years. This fell short of our benchmark for the consumer discretionary sector and is a tough starting point for our analysis.

Long-term growth is the most important, but within consumer discretionary, product cycles are short and revenue can be hit-driven due to rapidly changing trends and consumer preferences. Frontdoor’s annualized revenue growth of 6.2% over the last two years aligns with its five-year trend, suggesting its demand was consistently weak. Frontdoor Year-On-Year Revenue Growth

This quarter, Frontdoor reported year-on-year revenue growth of 12.7%, and its $426 million of revenue exceeded Wall Street’s estimates by 2.1%. Company management is currently guiding for a 11.2% year-on-year increase in sales next quarter.

Looking further ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to grow 8.3% over the next 12 months. While this projection indicates its newer products and services will fuel better top-line performance, it is still below the sector average.

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Operating Margin

Frontdoor’s operating margin has been trending up over the last 12 months and averaged 19.1% over the last two years. On top of that, its profitability was top-notch for a consumer discretionary business, showing it’s an well-run company with an efficient cost structure.

In Q1, Frontdoor generated an operating profit margin of 35.4%, up 22 percentage points year on year. This increase was a welcome development and shows it was more efficient.

Earnings Per Share

We track the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) for the same reason as long-term revenue growth. Compared to revenue, however, EPS highlights whether a company’s growth is profitable.

Frontdoor’s EPS grew at a solid 13.2% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years, higher than its 6.4% annualized revenue growth. This tells us the company became more profitable on a per-share basis as it expanded.

Frontdoor Trailing 12-Month EPS (Non-GAAP)

In Q1, Frontdoor reported EPS at $0.64, up from $0.44 in the same quarter last year. This print easily cleared analysts’ estimates, and shareholders should be content with the results. Over the next 12 months, Wall Street expects Frontdoor’s full-year EPS of $3.57 to shrink by 14.4%.

Key Takeaways from Frontdoor’s Q1 Results

This was a beat and raise quarter. We were impressed that the company raised full-year revenue guidance and also by Frontdoor’s optimistic EBITDA guidance for next quarter, which blew past analysts’ expectations. We were also excited its EPS outperformed Wall Street’s estimates by a wide margin. Zooming out, we think this was a good print with some key areas of upside. The stock traded up 16.3% to $47.78 immediately after reporting.

Frontdoor may have had a good quarter, but does that mean you should invest right now? We think that the latest quarter is only one piece of the longer-term business quality puzzle. Quality, when combined with valuation, can help determine if the stock is a buy. We cover that in our actionable full research report which you can read here, it’s free.

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Symbol

Price

Change (%)

AMZN

222.03

+5.55 (2.56%)

AAPL

262.77

+0.53 (0.20%)

AMD

238.03

-2.53 (-1.05%)

BAC

51.52

-0.52 (-1.00%)

GOOG

251.34

-5.68 (-2.21%)

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