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MasterCraft (NASDAQ:MCFT) Beats Q1 Sales Targets But Full-Year Sales Guidance Misses Expectations Significantly

MCFT Cover Image

Sport boat manufacturer MasterCraft (NASDAQ: MCFT) reported revenue ahead of Wall Street’s expectations in Q1 CY2025, but sales fell by 20.6% year on year to $75.96 million. On the other hand, the company’s full-year revenue guidance of $275 million at the midpoint came in 3.7% below analysts’ estimates. Its non-GAAP profit of $0.30 per share was 70.5% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

Is now the time to buy MasterCraft? Find out by accessing our full research report, it’s free.

MasterCraft (MCFT) Q1 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $75.96 million vs analyst estimates of $74.92 million (20.6% year-on-year decline, 1.4% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $0.30 vs analyst estimates of $0.18 (70.5% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $7.49 million vs analyst estimates of $5.1 million (9.9% margin, 46.8% beat)
  • The company dropped its revenue guidance for the full year to $275 million at the midpoint from $285 million, a 3.5% decrease
  • Management lowered its full-year Adjusted EPS guidance to $0.71 at the midpoint, a 5.3% decrease
  • EBITDA guidance for the full year is $20 million at the midpoint, below analyst estimates of $21.1 million
  • Operating Margin: 5.4%, up from 4.2% in the same quarter last year
  • Free Cash Flow was $6.68 million, up from -$3.00 million in the same quarter last year
  • Boats Sold: 619, down 186 year on year
  • Market Capitalization: $264.4 million

Brad Nelson, Chief Executive Officer, commented, “Our business performed well during the third quarter against a backdrop of macroeconomic and demand uncertainty. Our near-term focus continues to be centered around closely managing production levels, driving focused innovation, and delivering operating efficiencies – all while maximizing cash flow and aggressively managing costs.”

Company Overview

Started by a waterskiing instructor, MasterCraft (NASDAQ: MCFT) specializes in designing, manufacturing, and selling sport boats.

Sales Growth

A company’s long-term sales performance is one signal of its overall quality. Any business can put up a good quarter or two, but many enduring ones grow for years. MasterCraft struggled to consistently generate demand over the last five years as its sales dropped at a 9% annual rate. This was below our standards and is a sign of lacking business quality.

MasterCraft Quarterly Revenue

Long-term growth is the most important, but within consumer discretionary, product cycles are short and revenue can be hit-driven due to rapidly changing trends and consumer preferences. MasterCraft’s recent performance shows its demand remained suppressed as its revenue has declined by 37.4% annually over the last two years. MasterCraft Year-On-Year Revenue Growth

MasterCraft also discloses its number of boats sold, which reached 619 in the latest quarter. Over the last two years, MasterCraft’s boats sold averaged 40.8% year-on-year declines. Because this number is lower than its revenue growth during the same period, we can see the company’s monetization has risen. MasterCraft Boats Sold

This quarter, MasterCraft’s revenue fell by 20.6% year on year to $75.96 million but beat Wall Street’s estimates by 1.4%.

Looking ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to grow 18.6% over the next 12 months, an improvement versus the last two years. This projection is noteworthy and indicates its newer products and services will fuel better top-line performance.

Today’s young investors won’t have read the timeless lessons in Gorilla Game: Picking Winners In High Technology because it was written more than 20 years ago when Microsoft and Apple were first establishing their supremacy. But if we apply the same principles, then enterprise software stocks leveraging their own generative AI capabilities may well be the Gorillas of the future. So, in that spirit, we are excited to present our Special Free Report on a profitable, fast-growing enterprise software stock that is already riding the automation wave and looking to catch the generative AI next.

Operating Margin

Operating margin is an important measure of profitability as it shows the portion of revenue left after accounting for all core expenses – everything from the cost of goods sold to advertising and wages. It’s also useful for comparing profitability across companies with different levels of debt and tax rates because it excludes interest and taxes.

MasterCraft’s operating margin has shrunk over the last 12 months and averaged 5.9% over the last two years. The company’s profitability was mediocre for a consumer discretionary business and shows it couldn’t pass its higher operating expenses onto its customers.

MasterCraft Trailing 12-Month Operating Margin (GAAP)

This quarter, MasterCraft generated an operating profit margin of 5.4%, up 1.2 percentage points year on year. This increase was a welcome development, especially since its revenue fell, showing it was more efficient because it scaled down its expenses.

Earnings Per Share

Revenue trends explain a company’s historical growth, but the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) points to the profitability of that growth – for example, a company could inflate its sales through excessive spending on advertising and promotions.

Sadly for MasterCraft, its EPS declined by 26.7% annually over the last five years, more than its revenue. We can see the difference stemmed from higher taxes as the company actually grew its operating margin and repurchased its shares during this time.

MasterCraft Trailing 12-Month EPS (Non-GAAP)

In Q1, MasterCraft reported EPS at $0.30, down from $0.37 in the same quarter last year. Despite falling year on year, this print easily cleared analysts’ estimates. Over the next 12 months, Wall Street expects MasterCraft’s full-year EPS of $0.48 to grow 162%.

Key Takeaways from MasterCraft’s Q1 Results

We were impressed by how significantly MasterCraft blew past analysts’ revenue, EPS, and EBITDA expectations this quarter. On the other hand, its number of boats sold missed and it lowered its full-year revenue, EPS, and EBITDA guidance. Overall, this was a weaker quarter. The stock traded down 4.2% to $15.11 immediately after reporting.

So do we think MasterCraft is an attractive buy at the current price? The latest quarter does matter, but not nearly as much as longer-term fundamentals and valuation, when deciding if the stock is a buy. We cover that in our actionable full research report which you can read here, it’s free.

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