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Markets Focus On Reflation Risk After Fed Cuts Rates
↗
December 19, 2024
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Economy
Speculator Extremes: Ultra T-Bonds, AUD, 5-Year & USD Index Lead Bullish & Bearish Positions
↗
November 24, 2024
This weekly Extreme Positions report highlights the Most Bullish and Most Bearish Positions for the speculator category. Extreme positioning in these markets can foreshadow strong moves in the...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Commodities
Currencies/Forex
Rising Treasury Yields Raise Doubts About Another Fed Rate Cut
↗
November 13, 2024
Fed funds futures are still leaning into expectations that the Federal Reserve will reduce its target rate next by a quarter point, but the related confidence of the forecast is slipping.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Fed: Why They Will Cut Rates (But Probably Should NOT)
↗
November 13, 2024
The Fed is widely expected to cut the federal funds rate (FFR) by 25 basis points today. If we were on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), we would strongly dissent in favor of a pause.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Are Institutions Getting Defensive Before Election?
↗
November 02, 2024
In this week's video, we'll review the latest charts and data to help us answer the question,
Via
Talk Markets
Rates Ready To Plunge?
↗
August 09, 2024
Rates seem to be forming their own very impressive topping patterns, similar to what happened before Covid.
Via
Talk Markets
Asian Markets Gear Up For A Rocky Start
↗
August 04, 2024
The once-cherished narrative of a U.S. economic 'soft landing' has vanished faster than free snacks in a trading room, replaced by the grim prospect of a 'hard landing.'
Via
Talk Markets
Markets Confident That Rate Cuts Will Start In September
↗
July 15, 2024
Via
Talk Markets
Inflation Threats Make Yield Curve ETFs a Top Trade
October 30, 2024
As inflation risks for the United States economy come back online, the trade for a yield curve steepening becomes the best alternative for investors to watch
Via
MarketBeat
Topics
Bonds
ETFs
Economy
Has The Bond Market Rally Peaked?
↗
October 22, 2024
Fresh doubts are bubbling as the market reconsiders a range of risk factors, including renewed skepticism about the Federal Reserve’s commitment to cutting interest rates.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Mixed Signals Persist For Risk-On Sentiment Outlook
↗
October 10, 2024
Investor sentiment has wobbled recently, but there’s still room for debate on whether the appetite for risk has peaked for this market cycle.
Via
Talk Markets
Stocks: Are You Missing The Big Picture?
↗
September 28, 2024
In this week's video, we'll review the latest charts to help us answer the question - are you missing the big picture?
Via
Talk Markets
“Bond Market Yield Curve Returns to Normal”? Signals for Gold, Stocks, Economy
↗
September 21, 2024
The financial media appear to once again be leading the public astray about the Yield Curve situation.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Mixed Risk-Appetite Signals Sharpen Debate For Markets Outlook
↗
September 19, 2024
Recent market volatility has raised questions about the staying power of the rally for global assets that began in late-2023.
Via
Talk Markets
The Fed “Train” Is Leaving The Station: Destination Unknown
↗
September 16, 2024
The markets are pricing in the first rate cut in more than four years. As of this writing, it looks like we can expect a 50-basis-point cut on Wednesday, with a 50% probability of a 1.25% cut by...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Markets Take A Hit, But A Clear Risk-Off Signal Is Still In Dispute
↗
August 08, 2024
From the vantage of the past week of trading the case looks clear for calling recent market volatility a sign of a risk-off pivot.
Via
Talk Markets
Will The Fed Meeting Support A September Rate Cut Forecast?
↗
July 30, 2024
The market is convinced that the Federal Reserve will start cutting interest rates at the Sep. 18 policy meeting.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Stalled Real Estate Market In The US, Gold Rush In India
↗
July 26, 2024
Markets seem to be focusing their expectations on the Fed's next rate cut. If Jerome Powell fails to act within a reasonable timeframe, he could be criticized for taking too long to cut rates.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
U.S. Weekly FundFlows Insight Report: General U.S. Treasury ETFs Take In $1.4 Billion, Eleventh Consecutive Weekly Inflow
↗
July 12, 2024
Spot bitcoin ETFs saw an inflow (+$679 million) over the week—marking the largest inflow since the first week of June despite five straight weeks of negative returns.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
ETFs
Has Risk-On Run Out Of Road?
↗
July 08, 2024
More investors are asking the question lately, in part because markets are seemingly defying gravity and ignoring various macro and geopolitical risks.
Via
Talk Markets
Best Indicator For Recession & Stock Market Downturn
↗
June 17, 2024
The steepening in the yield curve from inversion to above 0 is the best indicator of an imminent recession.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Stocks: What To Watch Now
↗
June 01, 2024
In this week's video, we'll review the latest charts and data to help us understand what we should be watching now to better understand the stock market's risk-reward profile in the context of...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Bearish Signs Are Emerging Across The Market
↗
May 29, 2024
Several indicators are pointing to a more risk-off environment forming in the market.
Via
Talk Markets
Market Trends Continue To Lean Into A Bullish Signal
↗
May 23, 2024
Although there are plenty of warnings from analysts who see trouble ahead, trend profiles show no fear.
Via
Talk Markets
The S&P 500 Comes To The Critical 5,200 Level
↗
May 07, 2024
The S&P 500 is close to filling the gap and hitting multiple resistance levels at 5,200. This is happening as spreads between Italian and German rates widened again.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Are New Highs Coming In The Stock Market?
↗
May 04, 2024
In this week's video, we'll review the latest charts and data to help us answer the question, are new highs coming in the stock market?
Via
Talk Markets
Does Reflation Risk Threaten The Risk-On Signal For Stocks?
↗
April 25, 2024
Animal spirits have come off the boil lately, but these are still early days for deciding if risk-on sentiment for equities has hit a wall or is in a holding pattern that allows markets to consolidate...
Via
Talk Markets
Are The Bears Back In Business?
↗
April 20, 2024
In this week's video, we'll review the latest charts and data to help us answer the question are the Bears back in business.
Via
Talk Markets
Rate Cuts Off The Table For Near Term Outlook: Futures Market
↗
April 15, 2024
In the wake of last week’s hotter-than-expected consumer inflation data for March, the implied forecast via Fed funds futures indicates that interest-rate cuts are unlikely in the months ahead.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Stocks Rally Back To Critical Resistance Zone
↗
April 11, 2024
Stocks rallied on Thursday following their post-CPI report plunge.
Via
Talk Markets
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