2 Reasons to Like CACI (and 1 Not So Much)

CACI Cover Image

CACI trades at $550.01 per share and has stayed right on track with the overall market, gaining 20.1% over the last six months. At the same time, the S&P 500 has returned 23.8%.

Is now a good time to buy CACI? Find out in our full research report, it’s free for active Edge members.

Why Does CACI Spark Debate?

Founded to commercialize SIMSCRIPT, CACI International (NYSE: CACI) offers defense, intelligence, and IT solutions to support national security and government transformation efforts.

Two Things to Like:

1. Surging Backlog Locks In Future Sales

Investors interested in Defense Contractors companies should track backlog in addition to reported revenue. This metric shows the value of outstanding orders that have not yet been executed or delivered, giving visibility into CACI’s future revenue streams.

CACI’s backlog punched in at $33.9 billion in the latest quarter, and over the last two years, its year-on-year growth averaged 11.3%. This performance was impressive and shows the company has a robust sales pipeline because it is accumulating more orders than it can fulfill. Its growth also suggests that customers are committing to CACI for the long term, enhancing the business’s predictability. CACI Backlog

2. Outstanding Long-Term EPS Growth

Analyzing the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) shows whether a company's incremental sales were profitable – for example, revenue could be inflated through excessive spending on advertising and promotions.

CACI’s EPS grew at a remarkable 12.3% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years, higher than its 8.8% annualized revenue growth. This tells us the company became more profitable on a per-share basis as it expanded.

CACI Trailing 12-Month EPS (Non-GAAP)

One Reason to be Careful:

Free Cash Flow Margin Dropping

If you’ve followed StockStory for a while, you know we emphasize free cash flow. Why, you ask? We believe that in the end, cash is king, and you can’t use accounting profits to pay the bills.

As you can see below, CACI’s margin dropped by 1.9 percentage points over the last five years. If its declines continue, it could signal increasing investment needs and capital intensity. CACI’s free cash flow margin for the trailing 12 months was 6.9%.

CACI Trailing 12-Month Free Cash Flow Margin

Final Judgment

CACI’s merits more than compensate for its flaws, but at $550.01 per share (or 19.7× forward P/E), is now the time to initiate a position? See for yourself in our full research report, it’s free for active Edge members.

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