What Happened?
Shares of human capital management provider Alight (NYSE: ALIT) jumped 2.3% in the morning session after DA Davidson reiterated its Buy rating on the stock with a $7 price target.
The investment firm maintained its positive view despite the stock's significant decline during the year. DA Davidson stated the more than 50% drop in Alight shares year-to-date seemed "overdone," even while noting some modest disappointments over the previous two years. The firm also mentioned that Alight was expected to report its third-quarter results in early November, which would provide an updated financial picture.
After the initial pop the shares cooled down to $3.31, up 2.6% from previous close.
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What Is The Market Telling Us
Alight’s shares are quite volatile and have had 15 moves greater than 5% over the last year. In that context, today’s move indicates the market considers this news meaningful but not something that would fundamentally change its perception of the business.
The previous big move we wrote about was 12 days ago when the stock gained 3.4% on the news that the latest Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index report aligned with economists' predictions, signaling that inflation is under control.
The Core PCE Price Index, which is closely watched by the Federal Reserve as it excludes volatile food and energy costs, rose 0.2% month-over-month and 2.9% year-over-year. These figures precisely matched Wall Street estimates. This alignment provides relief for investors and reinforces the market's belief that inflationary pressures are being managed without harming economic growth. The positive market reaction highlights a growing conviction that the Federal Reserve will likely proceed with its anticipated path of interest rate cuts, which would make capital cheaper and help stimulate further economic expansion.
Alight is down 51% since the beginning of the year, and at $3.31 per share, it is trading 60.9% below its 52-week high of $8.46 from November 2024. Investors who bought $1,000 worth of Alight’s shares at the IPO in July 2021 would now be looking at an investment worth $366.56.
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