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Q3 Earnings Highs And Lows: The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE) Vs The Rest Of The Sit-Down Dining Stocks

CAKE Cover Image

As the Q3 earnings season comes to a close, it’s time to take stock of this quarter’s best and worst performers in the sit-down dining industry, including The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ: CAKE) and its peers.

Sit-down restaurants offer a complete dining experience with table service. These establishments span various cuisines and are renowned for their warm hospitality and welcoming ambiance, making them perfect for family gatherings, special occasions, or simply unwinding. Their extensive menus range from appetizers to indulgent desserts and wines and cocktails. This space is extremely fragmented and competition includes everything from publicly-traded companies owning multiple chains to single-location mom-and-pop restaurants.

The 12 sit-down dining stocks we track reported a mixed Q3. As a group, revenues were in line with analysts’ consensus estimates.

In light of this news, share prices of the companies have held steady as they are up 2.5% on average since the latest earnings results.

The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ: CAKE)

Celebrated for its delicious (and free) brown bread, gigantic portions, and delectable desserts, Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ: CAKE) is an iconic American restaurant chain that also owns and operates a portfolio of separate restaurant brands.

The Cheesecake Factory reported revenues of $907.2 million, up 4.8% year on year. This print fell short of analysts’ expectations by 0.5%. Overall, it was a mixed quarter for the company with a beat of analysts’ EPS estimates but a slight miss of analysts’ same-store sales estimates.

“We delivered another quarter of solid results, with revenue within our guidance range and earnings and profitability finishing above the high end of our expectations,” said David Overton, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer.

The Cheesecake Factory Total Revenue

Unsurprisingly, the stock is down 17.4% since reporting and currently trades at $44.88.

Read our full report on The Cheesecake Factory here, it’s free for active Edge members.

Best Q3: Bloomin' Brands (NASDAQ: BLMN)

Owner of the iconic Australian-themed Outback Steakhouse, Bloomin’ Brands (NASDAQ: BLMN) is a leading American restaurant company that owns and operates a portfolio of popular restaurant brands.

Bloomin' Brands reported revenues of $928.8 million, down 10.6% year on year, outperforming analysts’ expectations by 2.7%. The business had a stunning quarter with a beat of analysts’ EPS and EBITDA estimates.

Bloomin' Brands Total Revenue

Although it had a fine quarter compared its peers, the market seems unhappy with the results as the stock is down 11.4% since reporting. It currently trades at $6.40.

Is now the time to buy Bloomin' Brands? Access our full analysis of the earnings results here, it’s free for active Edge members.

Slowest Q3: Denny's (NASDAQ: DENN)

Open around the clock, Denny’s (NASDAQ: DENN) is a chain of diner restaurants serving breakfast and traditional American fare.

Denny's reported revenues of $113.2 million, up 1.3% year on year, falling short of analysts’ expectations by 3.2%. It was a disappointing quarter as it posted a significant miss of analysts’ revenue and EBITDA estimates.

Interestingly, the stock is up 49.5% since the results and currently trades at $6.15.

Read our full analysis of Denny’s results here.

The ONE Group (NASDAQ: STKS)

Doubling as a hospitality services provider for hotels and resorts, The One Group Hospitality (NASDAQ: STKS) is an upscale restaurant company that operates STK Steakhouse and Kona Grill.

The ONE Group reported revenues of $180.2 million, down 7.1% year on year. This result missed analysts’ expectations by 5.7%. It was a disappointing quarter as it also produced a significant miss of analysts’ revenue and EBITDA estimates.

The ONE Group had the weakest performance against analyst estimates among its peers. The stock is down 3.1% since reporting and currently trades at $1.87.

Read our full, actionable report on The ONE Group here, it’s free for active Edge members.

Red Robin (NASDAQ: RRGB)

Known for its bottomless steak fries, Red Robin (NASDAQ: RRGB) is a chain of casual restaurants specializing in burgers and general American fare.

Red Robin reported revenues of $265.1 million, down 3.5% year on year. This print beat analysts’ expectations by 3.3%. It was a very strong quarter as it also put up a solid beat of analysts’ EBITDA estimates and an impressive beat of analysts’ revenue estimates.

Red Robin achieved the biggest analyst estimates beat among its peers. The stock is down 16.7% since reporting and currently trades at $3.92.

Read our full, actionable report on Red Robin here, it’s free for active Edge members.

Market Update

Thanks to the Fed’s series of rate hikes in 2022 and 2023, inflation has cooled significantly from its post-pandemic highs, drawing closer to the 2% goal. This disinflation has occurred without severely impacting economic growth, suggesting the success of a soft landing. The stock market thrived in 2024, spurred by recent rate cuts (0.5% in September and 0.25% in November), and a notable surge followed Donald Trump’s presidential election win in November, propelling indices to historic highs. Nonetheless, the outlook for 2025 remains clouded by potential trade policy changes and corporate tax discussions, which could impact business confidence and growth. The path forward holds both optimism and caution as new policies take shape.

Want to invest in winners with rock-solid fundamentals? Check out our Hidden Gem Stocks and add them to your watchlist. These companies are poised for growth regardless of the political or macroeconomic climate.

StockStory’s analyst team — all seasoned professional investors — uses quantitative analysis and automation to deliver market-beating insights faster and with higher quality.

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