Power conversion and control solutions provider Vicor Corporation (NASDAQ: VICR) fell short of the market’s revenue expectations in Q1 CY2025, but sales rose 12% year on year to $93.97 million. Its non-GAAP profit of $0.14 per share was 52.5% below analysts’ consensus estimates.
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Vicor (VICR) Q1 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $93.97 million vs analyst estimates of $96.63 million (12% year-on-year growth, 2.8% miss)
- Adjusted EPS: $0.14 vs analyst expectations of $0.29 (52.5% miss)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $9.72 million vs analyst estimates of $16.3 million (10.3% margin, 40.4% miss)
- Operating Margin: 0.2%, down from 1.3% in the same quarter last year
- Free Cash Flow was $15.58 million, up from -$4.69 million in the same quarter last year
- Backlog: $171.7 million at quarter end
- Market Capitalization: $1.99 billion
StockStory’s Take
Vicor’s first quarter results reflected ongoing transitions in its licensing business and operational headwinds from tariff-related costs. Management attributed a significant portion of margin pressure to the implementation of a new ERP system and increased R&D expenses, as well as a short-term decline in royalty revenue tied to a major customer’s shift to unlicensed products. CEO Patrizio Vinciarelli emphasized that the company continues to see growth from both product sales and licensing, supported by strong order activity in high-performance computing (HPC) and new product introductions.
Looking ahead, management declined to provide specific quarterly guidance, citing ongoing uncertainty around customer licensing transitions and the evolving tariff environment. However, the leadership team expressed confidence in longer-term demand for Vicor’s advanced power delivery solutions, particularly in AI, data center, and aerospace markets. "We have strong revenue growth opportunities in years to come," Vinciarelli stated, highlighting the company’s development pipeline and recent customer engagements as positive indicators.
Key Insights from Management’s Remarks
Vicor’s leadership focused on operational changes, market developments, and the evolving competitive landscape as key drivers of Q1 performance and future potential.
- ERP System Transition: Moving to a new SAP ERP system triggered higher expenses and operational disruption, impacting gross margins due to lower utilization and increased consulting costs.
- Licensing Revenue Volatility: The company experienced a decline in licensing income from a major customer’s shift to unlicensed products, but signed at least one new licensee in Q1. Management believes licensing will remain a growth area but acknowledged its unpredictability until a broader base of licensees is established.
- Advanced Product Momentum: Factory-produced advanced products, especially for HPC and AI applications, grew despite royalty declines. Management cited strong demand for next-generation power delivery platforms, with product ramps expected later in the year.
- Tariff and Trade Pressures: Reciprocal tariffs with China are leading to some order cancellations and rising input costs. Vicor is introducing a 10% tariff surcharge on shipments beginning in July, aiming to offset these new expenses without significant demand loss.
- New Market Expansion: The company is entering the aerospace sector with new AC-to-DC module samples and expects the addressable market for its high-density power solutions to exceed $5 billion by 2028, reflecting a strategic push beyond traditional segments.
Drivers of Future Performance
Management’s outlook for the year is shaped by anticipated growth in core product lines and licensing, tempered by ongoing legal, operational, and macroeconomic uncertainties.
- AI and HPC Adoption: Demand for Vicor’s power delivery solutions is expected to increase as the AI and HPC sectors require higher-density, more efficient systems. The upcoming launch of next-generation voltage regulator modules should support growth.
- Tariff Surcharge Implementation: The 10% tariff surcharge starting in Q3 is designed to offset rising costs, but its effect on customer demand and profit margins remains a key variable.
- Legal Actions and Licensing: The company’s ability to enforce intellectual property rights and expand its licensing base will influence revenue stability. Management noted that legal expenses could spike as Vicor pursues ongoing and new cases related to patent infringement.
Top Analyst Questions
- Quinn Bolton (Needham & Company): Asked about the implications of a major customer transitioning to unlicensed products and the outlook for licensing revenue. Management reiterated confidence in long-term licensing growth but declined to provide specifics on customer transitions.
- Jonathan Tanwanteng (CJS Securities): Inquired about the direct and indirect impacts of tariffs and the expected ramp for next-generation VPD products. Management stated that while some Chinese customers canceled orders, the overall impact is limited, and product introductions remain on track for late 2025.
- John Dillon (D&B Capital): Queried the timeline for scaling new point-of-load solutions and progress with the new manufacturing facility. Management affirmed that production-quality shipments are targeted for the second half of the year, with manufacturing capacity increasing as new processes stabilize.
- Richard Shannon (Craig-Hallum): Probed the effect of licensing business changes and margin outlook post-ERP transition and tariff adjustments. Executives noted margin improvement potential as one-off costs dissipate, but would not offer specific forward margin targets.
- Alan Hicks (Ainsley Capital Management): Sought clarification on royalty trends, new licensees, and updates on legal disputes with Foxconn. Management confirmed new licensee signings and ongoing legal appeals, emphasizing the importance of IP enforcement for future revenue.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
In upcoming quarters, the StockStory team will be monitoring (1) the rollout and customer adoption of Vicor’s next-generation AI and data center power delivery products, (2) the effect of the new 10% tariff surcharge on both demand and margins, and (3) progress toward expanding the licensing base and resolving ongoing legal disputes. Additionally, the ability to achieve a smoother operational run-rate after ERP transition and manufacturing investments will be a key indicator of execution.
Vicor currently trades at a forward P/E ratio of 27.4×. Should you load up, cash out, or stay put? See for yourself in our free research report.
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