ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

Amazon And The AI War: iRobot Acquisition In Focus

Amazon stock price

A war is happening in the tech world, and Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) is not sitting idly by. The company commands 30% of the data-center market shares and faces increased competition from names like Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT), which continue to whittle away at the market.

The rise of AI has amped the outlook for cloud growth. To use the words of Oracle (NASDAQ: ORCL) founder Safra Catz, the cloud is getting bigger and growing faster, which creates a significant opportunity in an industry already worth $240 billion on a TTM basis. The deal to acquire Roomba maker iRobot (NASDAQ: IRBT) is not new; it was announced late last year but is an example of consolidation and acquisition that will likely continue as the AI war grinds on. 

At first blush, Amazon buys Roomba to enter the vacuum market. iRobot was a prime target due to its position in the market and struggles to gain traction, so it makes sense in the consumer sense. However, iRobot's $1.15 billion projected revenue in 2024 is only 0.15% of Amazon's, so the consumer argument isn't strong.

However, with AI in the picture, there is a bigger story. iRobot is an AI play that generates data by the terabyte and has been doing so for nearly a decade. Its robots can scan and learn to navigate a room, a potential stepping stone to larger applications like self-driving vehicles. Add that to Amazon’s dominant position in the cloud, where AI lives and business applications arise across sectors and industries. 

The deal for iRobot is not done. Regulators in the UK have OK’d the acquisition, but the companies are still waiting for approval in the US and EU. Reviews are progressing easily, and the outcomes should be similar to the UK’s, where it was decided that Amazon would have entered the robotic vacuum cleaner market without the acquisition. Also, there was enough competition, so any entry by Amazon would not affect the market. 

Amazon is also in talks with AMD (NASDAQ: AMD) to use its new chips, the MI300X. The MI300X is the fastest production-quality AI-centric super chip on the market now. It has more processing power and memory than NVIDIA’s H100 and could dominate the market once it ships. That is expected to begin late in 2023; expect NVIDIA to announce another advancement soon. 

Is There An Opportunity For Investors In iRobot? 

The numbers suggest an opportunity exists for investors who want to buy iRobot. The deal is worth roughly $61 per share, and the market is still well below that level. The market surged when the UK approved the takeover, about 20%, but the $51 closing price is still 16% below the $61 target price.

There are only 2 analysts with ratings since the deal was announced. They expect it to be approved and are Holding with a $61 price target. Institutions own about 85% and have been buying for the last year. Additionally, there is still a high 12% short interest to help support the action as the deal progresses toward completion. 

Amazon: A Buy For AI Enthusiasts 

Amazon has 43 analysts rating its stock a  Moderate Buy, and they see about 15% of upside for the stock. Their activity makes it one of Marketbeat’s Most Upgraded and Top-Rated Stocks, in addition to being 1 of the most followed stocks for the platform. Regarding the analysts, The consensus target has begun to trend higher, and the market is following. 

Amazon's share price hit bottom late in 2022 and completed a reversal in 2023. The market is moving higher and shows signs of extending the rally with a chance of hitting the $140 to $150 level by late summer. The rally may continue if the Q3 results are solid in that scenario. If not, Amazon could top out at that level and enter consolidation. 

amazon iRobot stock charts

Recent Quotes

View More
Symbol Price Change (%)
AMZN  213.21
-5.73 (-2.62%)
AAPL  257.46
-2.83 (-1.09%)
AMD  192.43
-7.02 (-3.52%)
BAC  48.64
-0.89 (-1.80%)
GOOG  298.30
-2.61 (-0.87%)
META  644.86
-15.71 (-2.38%)
MSFT  408.96
-1.72 (-0.42%)
NVDA  177.82
-5.52 (-3.01%)
ORCL  152.96
-1.83 (-1.18%)
TSLA  396.73
-8.82 (-2.17%)
Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.