ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

3 Consumer Stocks Showing Warning Signs

STRA Cover Image

The performance of consumer discretionary businesses is closely linked to economic cycles. Unfortunately, the industry’s recent performance suggests demand may be fading as discretionary stocks have pulled back by 13.7% over the past six months. This drawdown was significantly worse than the S&P 500’s 2.4% loss.

A cautious approach is imperative when dabbling in these companies as many also lack recurring revenue characteristics and ride short-term fads. Keeping that in mind, here are three consumer stocks we’re steering clear of.

Strategic Education (STRA)

Market Cap: $2.18 billion

Formed through the merger of Strayer Education and Capella Education in 2018, Strategic Education (NASDAQ: STRA) is a career-focused higher education provider.

Why Is STRA Risky?

  1. Demand for its offerings was relatively low as its number of domestic students has underwhelmed
  2. Incremental sales over the last five years were much less profitable as its earnings per share fell by 6.6% annually while its revenue grew
  3. Underwhelming 3.7% return on capital reflects management’s difficulties in finding profitable growth opportunities

Strategic Education’s stock price of $91.36 implies a valuation ratio of 16x forward P/E. If you’re considering STRA for your portfolio, see our FREE research report to learn more.

Lucky Strike (LUCK)

Market Cap: $1.21 billion

Born from the transformation of traditional bowling alleys into modern entertainment destinations, Lucky Strike (NYSE: LUCK) operates bowling alleys and other entertainment venues with upscale amenities, arcade games, and food and beverage services across North America.

Why Do We Steer Clear of LUCK?

  1. Poor same-store sales performance over the past two years indicates it’s having trouble bringing new shoppers into its stores
  2. Cash-burning tendencies make us wonder if it can sustainably generate shareholder value
  3. Depletion of cash reserves could lead to a fundraising event that triggers shareholder dilution

At $8.63 per share, Lucky Strike trades at 28.7x forward P/E. To fully understand why you should be careful with LUCK, check out our full research report (it’s free).

1-800-FLOWERS (FLWS)

Market Cap: $312.7 million

Founded in 1976, 1-800-FLOWERS (NASDAQ: FLWS) is an online retailer of flowers, gifts, and gourmet foods, serving customers globally.

Why Do We Avoid FLWS?

  1. Sales tumbled by 9.9% annually over the last two years, showing consumer trends are working against its favor
  2. Performance over the past five years shows its incremental sales were much less profitable, as its earnings per share fell by 24.2% annually
  3. Eroding returns on capital from an already low base indicate that management’s recent investments are destroying value

1-800-FLOWERS is trading at $4.92 per share, or 16.7x forward P/E. Check out our free in-depth research report to learn more about why FLWS doesn’t pass our bar.

High-Quality Stocks for All Market Conditions

The market surged in 2024 and reached record highs after Donald Trump’s presidential victory in November, but questions about new economic policies are adding much uncertainty for 2025.

While the crowd speculates what might happen next, we’re homing in on the companies that can succeed regardless of the political or macroeconomic environment. Put yourself in the driver’s seat and build a durable portfolio by checking out our Top 5 Strong Momentum Stocks for this week. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 183% over the last five years (as of March 31st 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,545% between March 2020 and March 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-small-cap company Comfort Systems (+782% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today for free.

Recent Quotes

View More
Symbol Price Change (%)
AMZN  233.22
+4.06 (1.77%)
AAPL  278.85
+1.30 (0.47%)
AMD  217.53
+3.29 (1.54%)
BAC  53.65
+0.66 (1.25%)
GOOG  320.12
-0.16 (-0.05%)
META  647.95
+14.34 (2.26%)
MSFT  492.01
+6.51 (1.34%)
NVDA  177.00
-3.26 (-1.81%)
ORCL  201.95
-3.01 (-1.47%)
TSLA  430.17
+3.59 (0.84%)
Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.