ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

1 Surging Stock with Exciting Potential and 2 Facing Challenges

MCD Cover Image

Each stock in this article is trading near its 52-week high. These elevated prices usually indicate some degree of investor confidence, business improvements, or favorable market conditions.

However, not all companies with momentum are long-term winners, and many investors have lost money by following short-term trends. On that note, here is one stock with lasting competitive advantages and two not so much.

Two Stocks to Sell:

UFP Industries (UFPI)

One-Month Return: +5.5%

Beginning as a lumber supplier in the 1950s, UFP Industries (NASDAQ: UFPI) is a holding company making building materials for the construction, retail, and industrial sectors.

Why Should You Sell UFPI?

  1. Customers postponed purchases of its products and services this cycle as its revenue declined by 7.9% annually over the last two years
  2. Performance over the past two years shows each sale was less profitable as its earnings per share dropped by 20.4% annually, worse than its revenue
  3. Diminishing returns on capital suggest its earlier profit pools are drying up

UFP Industries’s stock price of $111.38 implies a valuation ratio of 20.1x forward P/E. If you’re considering UFPI for your portfolio, see our FREE research report to learn more.

Cincinnati Financial (CINF)

One-Month Return: +1.5%

Founded in 1950 by independent insurance agents seeking stable market options for their clients, Cincinnati Financial (NASDAQ: CINF) provides property casualty insurance, life insurance, and related financial services through independent agencies across 46 states.

Why Does CINF Give Us Pause?

  1. Combined ratio failed to improve over the last two years, indicating the firm couldn’t optimize its expenses
  2. Earnings per share lagged its peers over the last two years as they only grew by 14.7% annually
  3. Estimated book value per share growth of 4.3% for the next 12 months implies profitability will slow from its two-year trend

At $163.24 per share, Cincinnati Financial trades at 1.6x forward P/B. Check out our free in-depth research report to learn more about why CINF doesn’t pass our bar.

One Stock to Watch:

McDonald's (MCD)

One-Month Return: +8%

With nicknames spanning Mickey D's in the U.S. to Makku in Japan, McDonald’s (NYSE: MCD) is a fast-food behemoth known for its convenience and broken ice cream machines.

Why Could MCD Be a Winner?

  1. Fast expansion of new restaurants indicates an aggressive approach to attacking untapped market opportunities
  2. Highly-profitable franchise model results in strong unit economics and a best-in-class gross margin of 57.1%
  3. Impressive free cash flow profitability enables the company to fund new investments or reward investors with share buybacks/dividends, and its rising cash conversion increases its margin of safety

McDonald's is trading at $326.99 per share, or 24.8x forward P/E. Is now a good time to buy? Find out in our full research report, it’s free.

High-Quality Stocks for All Market Conditions

The market’s up big this year - but there’s a catch. Just 4 stocks account for half the S&P 500’s entire gain. That kind of concentration makes investors nervous, and for good reason. While everyone piles into the same crowded names, smart investors are hunting quality where no one’s looking - and paying a fraction of the price. Check out the high-quality names we’ve flagged in our Top 9 Market-Beating Stocks. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 244% over the last five years (as of June 30, 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,326% between June 2020 and June 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-small-cap company Comfort Systems (+782% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today.

Recent Quotes

View More
Symbol Price Change (%)
AMZN  208.56
+3.29 (1.60%)
AAPL  272.14
+5.96 (2.24%)
AMD  213.84
+17.24 (8.77%)
BAC  50.41
-0.66 (-1.29%)
GOOG  310.92
-0.77 (-0.25%)
META  639.30
+2.05 (0.32%)
MSFT  389.00
+4.53 (1.18%)
NVDA  192.85
+1.30 (0.68%)
ORCL  146.14
+4.83 (3.42%)
TSLA  409.38
+9.55 (2.39%)
Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.