ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

3 Profitable Stocks We Steer Clear Of

TWLO Cover Image

Even if a company is profitable, it doesn’t always mean it’s a great investment. Some struggle to maintain growth, face looming threats, or fail to reinvest wisely, limiting their future potential.

Not all profitable companies are created equal, and that’s why we built StockStory - to help you find the ones that truly shine bright. Keeping that in mind, here are three profitable companies to avoid and some better opportunities instead.

Twilio (TWLO)

Trailing 12-Month GAAP Operating Margin: 3.1%

Known for the clever "Twilio Magic" demo that had developers creating functioning communications apps in minutes, Twilio (NYSE: TWLO) provides a platform that enables businesses to communicate with their customers through voice, messaging, email, and other digital channels.

Why Does TWLO Fall Short?

  1. Customers had second thoughts about committing to its platform over the last year as its average billings growth of 13.4% underwhelmed
  2. Bad unit economics and steep infrastructure costs are reflected in its gross margin of 49%, one of the worst among software companies
  3. Operating profits and efficiency rose over the last year as it benefited from some fixed cost leverage

Twilio is trading at $123.16 per share, or 3.2x forward price-to-sales. If you’re considering TWLO for your portfolio, see our FREE research report to learn more.

Xponential Fitness (XPOF)

Trailing 12-Month GAAP Operating Margin: 6.3%

Owner of CycleBar, Rumble, and Club Pilates, Xponential Fitness (NYSE: XPOF) is a boutique fitness brand offering diverse and specialized exercise experiences.

Why Are We Out on XPOF?

  1. Flat sales over the last two years suggest it must innovate and find new ways to grow
  2. Historical operating margin losses point to an inefficient cost structure
  3. Ability to fund investments or reward shareholders with increased buybacks or dividends is restricted by its weak free cash flow margin of 5% for the last two years

At $4.52 per share, Xponential Fitness trades at 5.6x forward P/E. To fully understand why you should be careful with XPOF, check out our full research report (it’s free).

Vulcan Materials (VMC)

Trailing 12-Month GAAP Operating Margin: 20.4%

Founded in 1909, Vulcan Materials (NYSE: VMC) is a producer of construction aggregates, primarily crushed stone, sand, and gravel.

Why Are We Wary of VMC?

  1. Number of tons shipped has disappointed over the past two years, indicating weak demand for its offerings
  2. Demand will likely be soft over the next 12 months as Wall Street’s estimates imply tepid growth of 1.2%
  3. Gross margin of 25.2% reflects its high production costs

Vulcan Materials’s stock price of $306.20 implies a valuation ratio of 33.3x forward P/E. Check out our free in-depth research report to learn more about why VMC doesn’t pass our bar.

Stocks We Like More

ALSO WORTH WATCHING: Top 5 Momentum Stocks. The best time to own a great stock is when the market is finally noticing it. These aren't just high-quality businesses. Something is happening with them right now. Elite fundamentals meeting near-term momentum — both boxes checked at the same time.

Find out which stocks our AI platform is flagging this week. See this week's Strong Momentum stocks — FREE. Get Our Strong Momentum Stocks for Free HERE.

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,326% between June 2020 and June 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-small-cap company Comfort Systems (+782% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today.

Recent Quotes

View More
Symbol Price Change (%)
AMZN  214.33
+0.84 (0.39%)
AAPL  260.83
+0.95 (0.37%)
AMD  203.23
+0.55 (0.27%)
BAC  48.56
+0.66 (1.38%)
GOOG  306.93
+0.92 (0.30%)
META  654.07
+6.68 (1.03%)
MSFT  405.76
-3.65 (-0.89%)
NVDA  184.77
+2.12 (1.16%)
ORCL  149.40
-2.16 (-1.43%)
TSLA  399.24
+0.56 (0.14%)
Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.