What Happened?

Shares of global manufacturing solutions provider Flex (NASDAQ: FLEX) fell 5.5% in the afternoon session after investors appeared to lock in some profits as the company reported fiscal first-quarter results that beat analyst expectations and offered strong forward guidance. The contract manufacturer posted adjusted earnings per share of $0.72 on revenue of $6.6 billion, with both figures beating Wall Street estimates. The company also provided an optimistic forecast for the upcoming quarter and full fiscal year. However, the company's GAAP earnings per share, which is a more formal accounting measure, came in at $0.50, missing the consensus estimate. The stock's decline also seemed to stem from investors taking profits, as shares had climbed more than 12% in the month prior to the report. Significant selling by company insiders in the preceding months may have also contributed to investor caution.

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What Is The Market Telling Us

Flex’s shares are quite volatile and have had 16 moves greater than 5% over the last year. In that context, today’s move indicates the market considers this news meaningful but not something that would fundamentally change its perception of the business.

The biggest move we wrote about over the last year was 3 months ago when the stock gained 8.2% on the news that President Trump clarified that he had no intention of removing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, a statement that helped calm markets. Earlier remarks had sparked fears of political interference in decision making at the central bank. With Trump walking back his earlier comments, investors likely felt more assured that monetary policy decisions will continue to be guided by data, not drama. That kept the Fed's word credible, and more importantly, gave investors a steadier compass to figure out where rates and the markets were headed next. 

Adding to the positive news, the president made constructive comments on US-China trade talks, noting that the tariffs imposed on China were "very high, and it won't be that high. ... No, it won't be anywhere near that high. It'll come down substantially. But it won't be zero." 

Also, a key force at the center of the stock market's massive two-day rally was the frantic behavior of short sellers covering their losses. Hedge fund short sellers added more bearish wagers in both single stocks and securities tied to macro developments after the whipsaw early April triggered by President Donald Trump's tariff rollout and abrupt 90-day pause, according to Goldman Sachs' prime brokerage data. The increased short position in the market created an environment prone to dramatic upswings due to this artificial buying force. A short seller borrows an asset and quickly sells it; when the security decreases in price, they buy it back more cheaply to profit from the difference.

Flex is up 31.9% since the beginning of the year, and at $50.95 per share, it is trading close to its 52-week high of $53.80 from July 2025. Investors who bought $1,000 worth of Flex’s shares 5 years ago would now be looking at an investment worth $4,784.

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