
Over the past six months, Western Union’s stock price fell to $8.61. Shareholders have lost 9.1% of their capital, which is disappointing considering the S&P 500 has climbed by 13.1%. This may have investors wondering how to approach the situation.
Is there a buying opportunity in Western Union, or does it present a risk to your portfolio? Check out our in-depth research report to see what our analysts have to say, it’s free for active Edge members.
Why Do We Think Western Union Will Underperform?
Even with the cheaper entry price, we don't have much confidence in Western Union. Here are two reasons we avoid WU and a stock we'd rather own.
1. Revenue Spiraling Downwards
A company’s long-term sales performance can indicate its overall quality. Even a bad business can shine for one or two quarters, but a top-tier one grows for years.
Western Union struggled to consistently generate demand over the last five years as its revenue dropped at a 3.4% annual rate. This wasn’t a great result and signals it’s a low quality business.

2. EPS Trending Down
Analyzing the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) shows whether a company's incremental sales were profitable – for example, revenue could be inflated through excessive spending on advertising and promotions.
Sadly for Western Union, its EPS and revenue declined by 1.1% and 3.4% annually over the last five years. We tend to steer our readers away from companies with falling revenue and EPS, where diminishing earnings could imply changing secular trends and preferences. If the tide turns unexpectedly, Western Union’s low margin of safety could leave its stock price susceptible to large downswings.

Final Judgment
Western Union falls short of our quality standards. Following the recent decline, the stock trades at 4.8× forward P/E (or $8.61 per share). While this valuation is optically cheap, the potential downside is huge given its shaky fundamentals. There are better stocks to buy right now. Let us point you toward the Amazon and PayPal of Latin America.
Stocks We Would Buy Instead of Western Union
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