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Discount Retailer Stocks Q3 Recap: Benchmarking Ollie's (NASDAQ:OLLI)

By: StockStory

February 10, 2025 at 04:03 AM EST

OLLI Cover Image

As the Q3 earnings season wraps, let’s dig into this quarter’s best and worst performers in the discount retailer industry, including Ollie's (NASDAQ: OLLI) and its peers.

Discount retailers understand that many shoppers love a good deal, and they focus on providing excellent value to shoppers by selling general merchandise at major discounts. They can do this because of unique purchasing, procurement, and pricing strategies that involve scouring the market for trendy goods or buying excess inventory from manufacturers and other retailers. They then turn around and sell these snacks, paper towels, toys, clothes, and myriad other products at highly enticing prices. Despite the unique draw and lure of discounts, these discount retailers must also contend with the secular headwinds of online shopping and challenged retail foot traffic in places like suburban strip malls.

The 5 discount retailer stocks we track reported a mixed Q3. As a group, revenues beat analysts’ consensus estimates by 0.8% while next quarter’s revenue guidance was 0.8% below.

While some discount retailer stocks have fared somewhat better than others, they have collectively declined. On average, share prices are down 2.7% since the latest earnings results.

Ollie's (NASDAQ: OLLI)

Often located in suburban or semi-rural shopping centers, Ollie’s Bargain Outlet (NASDAQ: OLLI) is a discount retailer that acquires excess inventory then sells at meaningful discounts.

Ollie's reported revenues of $517.4 million, up 7.8% year on year. This print was in line with analysts’ expectations, and overall, it was a satisfactory quarter for the company with an impressive beat of analysts’ EBITDA estimates but full-year revenue guidance meeting analysts’ expectations.

“We had another great quarter and are pleased with our results. We delivered strong earnings on higher sales, gross margin, and disciplined expense control. We also took advantage of a number of real estate opportunities that strengthened our new store pipeline and enhanced our competitive positioning for the future,” said John Swygert, Chief Executive Officer.

Ollie's delivered the weakest full-year guidance update of the whole group. The stock is up 6.7% since reporting and currently trades at $104.75.

Is now the time to buy Ollie's? Access our full analysis of the earnings results here, it’s free.

Best Q3: Five Below (NASDAQ: FIVE)

Often facilitating a treasure hunt shopping experience, Five Below (NASDAQ: FIVE) is an American discount retailer that sells a variety of products from mobile phone cases to candy to sports equipment for largely $5 or less.

Five Below reported revenues of $843.7 million, up 14.6% year on year, outperforming analysts’ expectations by 5.8%. The business had a very strong quarter with an impressive beat of analysts’ EPS estimates and a solid beat of analysts’ EBITDA estimates.

Five Below achieved the biggest analyst estimates beat, fastest revenue growth, and highest full-year guidance raise among its peers. Although it had a fine quarter compared to its peers, the market seems unhappy with the results as the stock is down 14.1% since reporting. It currently trades at $89.98.

Is now the time to buy Five Below? Access our full analysis of the earnings results here, it’s free.

Weakest Q3: Burlington (NYSE: BURL)

Founded in 1972 as a discount coat and outerwear retailer, Burlington Stores (NYSE: BURL) is now an off-price retailer that has broadened into general apparel, footwear, and home goods.

Burlington reported revenues of $2.53 billion, up 10.5% year on year, falling short of analysts’ expectations by 0.9%. It was a slower quarter as it posted EPS guidance for next quarter missing analysts’ expectations and a slight miss of analysts’ EBITDA estimates.

The stock is down 10.9% since the results and currently trades at $260.

Read our full analysis of Burlington’s results here.

Ross Stores (NASDAQ: ROST)

Selling excess inventory or overstocked items from other retailers, Ross Stores (NASDAQ: ROST) is an off-price concept that sells apparel and other goods at prices much lower than department stores.

Ross Stores reported revenues of $5.07 billion, up 3% year on year. This result missed analysts’ expectations by 1.3%. More broadly, it was a mixed quarter as it also recorded an impressive beat of analysts’ EBITDA estimates but EPS guidance for next quarter missing analysts’ expectations.

Ross Stores had the weakest performance against analyst estimates and slowest revenue growth among its peers. The stock is flat since reporting and currently trades at $142.59.

Read our full, actionable report on Ross Stores here, it’s free.

TJX (NYSE: TJX)

Initially based on a strategy of buying excess inventory from manufacturers or other retailers, TJX (NYSE: TJX) is an off-price retailer that sells brand-name apparel and other goods at prices much lower than department stores.

TJX reported revenues of $14.06 billion, up 6% year on year. This print topped analysts’ expectations by 1%. Taking a step back, it was a mixed quarter as it also produced a solid beat of analysts’ EBITDA estimates but EPS guidance for next quarter missing analysts’ expectations.

The stock is up 5.3% since reporting and currently trades at $125.94.

Read our full, actionable report on TJX here, it’s free.

Want to invest in winners with rock-solid fundamentals? Check out our 9 Best Market-Beating Stocks and add them to your watchlist. These companies are poised for growth regardless of the political or macroeconomic climate.

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