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  • Professor Andrea M. Armani, University of Southern California
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  • Professor Xuchen Wang, Harbin Engineering University
  • Professor Stefan Witte, Delft University of Technology

Spotting Winners: Texas Roadhouse (NASDAQ:TXRH) And Sit-Down Dining Stocks In Q4

TXRH Cover Image

As the craze of earnings season draws to a close, here’s a look back at some of the most exciting (and some less so) results from Q4. Today, we are looking at sit-down dining stocks, starting with Texas Roadhouse (NASDAQ: TXRH).

Sit-down restaurants offer a complete dining experience with table service. These establishments span various cuisines and are renowned for their warm hospitality and welcoming ambiance, making them perfect for family gatherings, special occasions, or simply unwinding. Their extensive menus range from appetizers to indulgent desserts and wines and cocktails. This space is extremely fragmented and competition includes everything from publicly-traded companies owning multiple chains to single-location mom-and-pop restaurants.

The 13 sit-down dining stocks we track reported a satisfactory Q4. As a group, revenues beat analysts’ consensus estimates by 1.1% while next quarter’s revenue guidance was 2.4% below.

Amidst this news, share prices of the companies have had a rough stretch. On average, they are down 8.7% since the latest earnings results.

Texas Roadhouse (NASDAQ: TXRH)

With locations often featuring Western-inspired decor, Texas Roadhouse (NASDAQ: TXRH) is an American restaurant chain specializing in Southern-style cuisine and steaks.

Texas Roadhouse reported revenues of $1.44 billion, up 23.5% year on year. This print exceeded analysts’ expectations by 2%. Overall, it was a very strong quarter for the company with an impressive beat of analysts’ EBITDA estimates and a decent beat of analysts’ EPS estimates.

Jerry Morgan, Chief Executive Officer of Texas Roadhouse, Inc. commented, “We ended 2024 on an incredible note, which was highlighted by fourth quarter and full-year traffic growth at all three of our brands. These results are a credit to our operators who, as I’ve said before, continue to create an environment where Roadies want to work, and guests want to dine. I also want to thank Roadie Nation and the more than 250 million guests who supported us by dining in our restaurants.”

Texas Roadhouse Total Revenue

The stock is up 1.6% since reporting and currently trades at $174.50.

We think Texas Roadhouse is a good business, but is it a buy today? Read our full report here, it’s free.

Best Q4: Brinker International (NYSE: EAT)

Founded by Norman Brinker in Dallas, Brinker International (NYSE: EAT) is a casual restaurant chain that operates the Chili’s, Maggiano’s Little Italy, and It’s Just Wings banners.

Brinker International reported revenues of $1.36 billion, up 26.5% year on year, outperforming analysts’ expectations by 9.6%. The business had an incredible quarter with an impressive beat of analysts’ EPS estimates and a solid beat of analysts’ EBITDA estimates.

Brinker International Total Revenue

Brinker International scored the biggest analyst estimates beat and highest full-year guidance raise among its peers. Although it had a fine quarter compared to its peers, the market seems unhappy with the results as the stock is down 6.9% since reporting. It currently trades at $144.01.

Is now the time to buy Brinker International? Access our full analysis of the earnings results here, it’s free.

Weakest Q4: Bloomin' Brands (NASDAQ: BLMN)

Owner of the iconic Australian-themed Outback Steakhouse, Bloomin’ Brands (NASDAQ: BLMN) is a leading American restaurant company that owns and operates a portfolio of popular restaurant brands.

Bloomin' Brands reported revenues of $972 million, down 18.6% year on year, falling short of analysts’ expectations by 9.9%. It was a disappointing quarter as it posted full-year EPS guidance missing analysts’ expectations.

Bloomin' Brands delivered the weakest performance against analyst estimates and slowest revenue growth in the group. As expected, the stock is down 26.1% since the results and currently trades at $8.80.

Read our full analysis of Bloomin' Brands’s results here.

Red Robin (NASDAQ: RRGB)

Known for its bottomless steak fries, Red Robin (NASDAQ: RRGB) is a chain of casual restaurants specializing in burgers and general American fare.

Red Robin reported revenues of $285.2 million, down 7.7% year on year. This number was in line with analysts’ expectations. Taking a step back, it was a mixed quarter as it also produced a solid beat of analysts’ EBITDA estimates but a significant miss of analysts’ EPS estimates.

Red Robin had the weakest full-year guidance update among its peers. The stock is flat since reporting and currently trades at $4.57.

Read our full, actionable report on Red Robin here, it’s free.

The Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ: CAKE)

Celebrated for its delicious (and free) brown bread, gigantic portions, and delectable desserts, Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ: CAKE) is an iconic American restaurant chain that also owns and operates a portfolio of separate restaurant brands.

The Cheesecake Factory reported revenues of $921 million, up 5% year on year. This result surpassed analysts’ expectations by 0.9%. Overall, it was a strong quarter as it also recorded an impressive beat of analysts’ EBITDA estimates and a decent beat of analysts’ EPS estimates.

The stock is down 12.4% since reporting and currently trades at $47.54.

Read our full, actionable report on The Cheesecake Factory here, it’s free.


Want to invest in winners with rock-solid fundamentals? Check out our Top 5 Growth Stocks and add them to your watchlist. These companies are poised for growth regardless of the political or macroeconomic climate.

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