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Editorial Advisory Board

  • Professor Andrea M. Armani, University of Southern California
  • Ruti Ben-Shlomi, Ph.D., LightSolver
  • James Butler, Ph.D., Hamamatsu
  • Natalie Fardian-Melamed, Ph.D., Columbia University
  • Justin Sigley, Ph.D., AmeriCOM
  • Professor Birgit Stiller, Max Planck Institute for the Science of Light, and Leibniz University of Hannover
  • Professor Stephen Sweeney, University of Glasgow
  • Mohan Wang, Ph.D., University of Oxford
  • Professor Xuchen Wang, Harbin Engineering University
  • Professor Stefan Witte, Delft University of Technology

Spotting Winners: e.l.f. Beauty (NYSE:ELF) And Personal Care Stocks In Q4

ELF Cover Image

As the Q4 earnings season comes to a close, it’s time to take stock of this quarter’s best and worst performers in the personal care industry, including e.l.f. Beauty (NYSE: ELF) and its peers.

While personal care products products may seem more discretionary than food, consumers tend to maintain or even boost their spending on the category during tough times. This phenomenon is known as "the lipstick effect" by economists, which states that consumers still want some semblance of affordable luxuries like beauty and wellness when the economy is sputtering. Consumer tastes are constantly changing, and personal care companies are currently responding to the public’s increased desire for ethically produced goods by featuring natural ingredients in their products.

The 13 personal care stocks we track reported a satisfactory Q4. As a group, revenues beat analysts’ consensus estimates by 3.7% while next quarter’s revenue guidance was 7% below.

While some personal care stocks have fared somewhat better than others, they have collectively declined. On average, share prices are down 4.6% since the latest earnings results.

e.l.f. Beauty (NYSE: ELF)

Short for "eyes, lips, face", e.l.f. Beauty (NYSE: ELF) is a developer of high-quality beauty products at accessible price points.

e.l.f. Beauty reported revenues of $355.3 million, up 31.1% year on year. This print exceeded analysts’ expectations by 7.8%. Despite the top-line beat, it was still a slower quarter for the company with a significant miss of analysts’ EBITDA estimates and full-year revenue guidance missing analysts’ expectations.

e.l.f. Beauty Total Revenue

e.l.f. Beauty scored the fastest revenue growth of the whole group. Still, the market seems discontent with the results. The stock is down 0.7% since reporting and currently trades at $64.41.

Is now the time to buy e.l.f. Beauty? Access our full analysis of the earnings results here, it’s free.

Best Q4: Olaplex (NASDAQ: OLPX)

Rising to fame on TikTok because of its “bond building" hair products, Olaplex (NASDAQ: OLPX) offers products and treatments that repair the damage caused by traditional heat and chemical-based styling goods.

Olaplex reported revenues of $100.7 million, down 9.8% year on year, outperforming analysts’ expectations by 14.4%. The business had an incredible quarter with a solid beat of analysts’ EPS estimates and an impressive beat of analysts’ EBITDA estimates.

Olaplex Total Revenue

Olaplex delivered the biggest analyst estimates beat and highest full-year guidance raise among its peers. However, the results were likely priced into the stock as it’s traded sideways since reporting. Shares currently sit at $1.36.

Is now the time to buy Olaplex? Access our full analysis of the earnings results here, it’s free.

Weakest Q4: Coty (NYSE: COTY)

With a portfolio boasting many household brands, Coty (NYSE: COTY) is a beauty products powerhouse spanning cosmetics, fragrances, and skincare.

Coty reported revenues of $1.67 billion, down 3.3% year on year, falling short of analysts’ expectations by 3.1%. It was a softer quarter as it posted a significant miss of analysts’ EPS estimates and a miss of analysts’ organic revenue estimates.

Coty delivered the weakest performance against analyst estimates in the group. As expected, the stock is down 15.5% since the results and currently trades at $5.72.

Read our full analysis of Coty’s results here.

Inter Parfums (NASDAQ: IPAR)

With licenses to produce colognes and perfumes under brands such as Kate Spade, Van Cleef & Arpels, and Abercrombie & Fitch, Inter Parfums (NASDAQ: IPAR) manufactures and distributes fragrances worldwide.

Inter Parfums reported revenues of $361.5 million, up 10% year on year. This number met analysts’ expectations. However, it was a slower quarter as it produced a significant miss of analysts’ EBITDA estimates.

The stock is down 11% since reporting and currently trades at $123.64.

Read our full, actionable report on Inter Parfums here, it’s free.

Edgewell Personal Care (NYSE: EPC)

Boasting brands such as Banana Boat, Schick, and Skintimate, Edgewell Personal Care (NYSE: EPC) sells personal care products in the skin and sun care, shave, and feminine care categories.

Edgewell Personal Care reported revenues of $478.4 million, down 2.1% year on year. This print was in line with analysts’ expectations. Aside from that, it was a mixed quarter as it also recorded an impressive beat of analysts’ EBITDA estimates but a significant miss of analysts’ EPS estimates.

The stock is down 5.8% since reporting and currently trades at $29.75.

Read our full, actionable report on Edgewell Personal Care here, it’s free.


Want to invest in winners with rock-solid fundamentals? Check out our Top 6 Stocks and add them to your watchlist. These companies are poised for growth regardless of the political or macroeconomic climate.

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