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Editorial Advisory Board

  • Professor Andrea M. Armani, University of Southern California
  • Ruti Ben-Shlomi, Ph.D., LightSolver
  • James Butler, Ph.D., Hamamatsu
  • Natalie Fardian-Melamed, Ph.D., Columbia University
  • Justin Sigley, Ph.D., AmeriCOM
  • Professor Birgit Stiller, Max Planck Institute for the Science of Light, and Leibniz University of Hannover
  • Professor Stephen Sweeney, University of Glasgow
  • Mohan Wang, Ph.D., University of Oxford
  • Professor Xuchen Wang, Harbin Engineering University
  • Professor Stefan Witte, Delft University of Technology

1 Software Stock with Exciting Potential and 2 to Ignore

OKTA Cover Image

From commerce to culture, software is digitizing every aspect of our lives. Companies bringing it to life have been rewarded with explosive earnings growth, and the upward trend shows no signs of stopping - over the past six months, the industry has posted a gain of 9.3% while the S&P 500 was flat.

Although these businesses have produced results, only the best will survive over the long term as AI is eating into the profits of those with lower switching costs. Keeping that in mind, here is one resilient software stock at the top of our wish list and two we’re passing on.

Two Software Stocks to Sell:

Okta (OKTA)

Market Cap: $20.26 billion

Founded during the aftermath of the financial crisis in 2009, Okta (NASDAQ: OKTA) is a cloud-based software-as-a-service platform that helps companies manage identity for their employees and customers.

Why Does OKTA Give Us Pause?

  1. Estimated sales growth of 9.6% for the next 12 months implies demand will slow from its three-year trend
  2. Operating losses show it sacrificed profitability while scaling the business
  3. Free cash flow margin is forecasted to shrink by 4.1 percentage points in the coming year, suggesting the company will consume more capital to keep up with its competitors

Okta’s stock price of $117 implies a valuation ratio of 7.2x forward price-to-sales. Check out our free in-depth research report to learn more about why OKTA doesn’t pass our bar.

C3.ai (AI)

Market Cap: $3.12 billion

Founded in 2009 by enterprise software veteran Tom Seibel, C3.ai (NYSE: AI) provides software that makes it easy for organizations to add artificial intelligence technology to their applications.

Why Are We Wary of AI?

  1. Revenue increased by 16.4% annually over the last three years, acceptable on an absolute basis but tepid for a software company enjoying secular tailwinds
  2. Sky-high servicing costs result in an inferior gross margin of 59.9% that must be offset through increased usage
  3. Extended payback periods on sales investments suggest the company’s platform isn’t resonating enough to drive efficient sales conversions

At $23.35 per share, C3.ai trades at 6.9x forward price-to-sales. Read our free research report to see why you should think twice about including AI in your portfolio.

One Software Stock to Buy:

Semrush (SEMR)

Market Cap: $1.46 billion

Started by Oleg Shchegolev while still in university, Semrush (NYSE: SEMR) is a software-as-a-service platform that helps companies optimize their search engine and content marketing efforts.

Why Are We Backing SEMR?

  1. Billings growth has averaged 23.2% over the last year, indicating a healthy pipeline of new contracts that should drive future revenue increases
  2. Sales outlook for the upcoming 12 months implies the business will stay on its desirable three-year growth trajectory
  3. Software is difficult to replicate at scale and leads to a stellar gross margin of 82.6%

Semrush is trading at $9.98 per share, or 3.3x forward price-to-sales. Is now the right time to buy? See for yourself in our in-depth research report, it’s free.

Stocks We Like Even More

The Trump trade may have passed, but rates are still dropping and inflation is still cooling. Opportunities are ripe for those ready to act - and we’re here to help you pick them.

Get started by checking out our Top 5 Growth Stocks for this month. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 175% over the last five years.

Stocks that made our list in 2019 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+2,183% between December 2019 and December 2024) as well as under-the-radar businesses like Sterling Infrastructure (+1,096% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today for free.

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