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  • Professor Andrea M. Armani, University of Southern California
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  • Professor Birgit Stiller, Max Planck Institute for the Science of Light, and Leibniz University of Hannover
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  • Mohan Wang, Ph.D., University of Oxford
  • Professor Xuchen Wang, Harbin Engineering University
  • Professor Stefan Witte, Delft University of Technology

Q4 Earnings Review: Waste Management Stocks Led by Casella Waste Systems (NASDAQ:CWST)

CWST Cover Image

As the Q4 earnings season comes to a close, it’s time to take stock of this quarter’s best and worst performers in the waste management industry, including Casella Waste Systems (NASDAQ: CWST) and its peers.

Waste management companies can possess licenses permitting them to handle hazardous materials. Furthermore, many services are performed through contracts and statutorily mandated, non-discretionary, or recurring, leading to more predictable revenue streams. However, regulation can be a headwind, rendering existing services obsolete or forcing companies to invest precious capital to comply with new, more environmentally-friendly rules. Lastly, waste management companies are at the whim of economic cycles. Interest rates, for example, can greatly impact industrial production or commercial projects that create waste and byproducts.

The 9 waste management stocks we track reported a slower Q4. As a group, revenues missed analysts’ consensus estimates by 1.2%.

Amidst this news, share prices of the companies have had a rough stretch. On average, they are down 15.6% since the latest earnings results.

Best Q4: Casella Waste Systems (NASDAQ: CWST)

Starting with the founder picking up garbage with a pickup truck he purchased using savings from high school, Casella (NASDAQ: CWST) offers waste management services for businesses, residents, and the government.

Casella Waste Systems reported revenues of $427.5 million, up 18.9% year on year. This print exceeded analysts’ expectations by 2.3%. Overall, it was an exceptional quarter for the company with a solid beat of analysts’ EPS estimates and an impressive beat of analysts’ EBITDA estimates.

“We finished the year strong, reporting records yet again across our key financial metrics in 2024, with growth of over 20% in revenues, Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted Free Cash Flow,” said John W. Casella, Chairman and CEO of Casella Waste Systems,

Casella Waste Systems Total Revenue

Casella Waste Systems scored the biggest analyst estimates beat, fastest revenue growth, and highest full-year guidance raise of the whole group. Investor expectations, however, were likely higher than Wall Street’s published projections, leaving some wishing for even better results (analysts’ consensus estimates are those published by big banks and advisory firms, not the investors who make buy and sell decisions). The stock is down 5.4% since reporting and currently trades at $101.07.

Is now the time to buy Casella Waste Systems? Access our full analysis of the earnings results here, it’s free.

Republic Services (NYSE: RSG)

Processing several million tons of recyclables annually, Republic (NYSE: RSG) provides waste management services for residences, companies, and municipalities.

Republic Services reported revenues of $4.05 billion, up 5.6% year on year, falling short of analysts’ expectations by 0.7%. However, the business still had a satisfactory quarter with an impressive beat of analysts’ EPS estimates but a slight miss of analysts’ sales volume estimates.

Republic Services Total Revenue

However, the results were likely priced into the stock as it’s traded sideways since reporting. Shares currently sit at $226.28.

Is now the time to buy Republic Services? Access our full analysis of the earnings results here, it’s free.

Weakest Q4: Perma-Fix (NASDAQ: PESI)

Tackling hazardous waste challenges since 1990, Perma-Fix (NASDAQ: PESI) provides environmental waste treatment services.

Perma-Fix reported revenues of $14.7 million, down 35.3% year on year, falling short of analysts’ expectations by 6.9%. It was a disappointing quarter as it posted a significant miss of analysts’ EBITDA and EPS estimates.

Perma-Fix delivered the weakest performance against analyst estimates and slowest revenue growth in the group. As expected, the stock is down 5.9% since the results and currently trades at $6.82.

Read our full analysis of Perma-Fix’s results here.

Waste Connections (NYSE: WCN)

Operating a network of municipal solid waste landfills in the U.S. and Canada, Waste Connections (NYSE: WCN) is North America's third-largest waste management company providing collection, disposal, and recycling services.

Waste Connections reported revenues of $2.26 billion, up 11% year on year. This number topped analysts’ expectations by 0.8%. Aside from that, it was a mixed quarter as it also produced an impressive beat of analysts’ adjusted operating income estimates but a miss of analysts’ EPS estimates.

The stock is down 4.3% since reporting and currently trades at $181.51.

Read our full, actionable report on Waste Connections here, it’s free.

Waste Management (NYSE: WM)

Headquartered in Houston, Waste Management (NYSE: WM) is a provider of comprehensive waste management services in North America.

Waste Management reported revenues of $5.89 billion, up 13% year on year. This result surpassed analysts’ expectations by 0.9%. Taking a step back, it was a slower quarter as it produced a significant miss of analysts’ adjusted operating income and EPS estimates.

The stock is up 4.4% since reporting and currently trades at $219.03.

Read our full, actionable report on Waste Management here, it’s free.


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