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  • Professor Andrea M. Armani, University of Southern California
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  • Professor Stefan Witte, Delft University of Technology

JCI Q1 Earnings Call: New Leadership Emphasizes Operational Efficiency and Strategic Refocus

JCI Cover Image

Building operations company Johnson Controls (NYSE: JCI) reported Q1 CY2025 results beating Wall Street’s revenue expectations, with sales up 1.4% year on year to $5.68 billion. On top of that, next quarter’s revenue guidance ($6.19 billion at the midpoint) was surprisingly good and 4.3% above what analysts were expecting. Its non-GAAP profit of $0.82 per share was 2.6% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

Is now the time to buy JCI? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).

Johnson Controls (JCI) Q1 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $5.68 billion vs analyst estimates of $5.64 billion (1.4% year-on-year growth, 0.7% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $0.82 vs analyst estimates of $0.80 (2.6% beat)
  • Revenue Guidance for Q2 CY2025 is $6.19 billion at the midpoint, above analyst estimates of $5.94 billion
  • Management reiterated its full-year Adjusted EPS guidance of $3.55 at the midpoint
  • Operating Margin: 10.2%, up from -6.8% in the same quarter last year
  • Organic Revenue rose 7% year on year (1.1% in the same quarter last year)
  • Market Capitalization: $67.71 billion

StockStory’s Take

Johnson Controls’ first quarter results were shaped by steady demand across its building solutions and applied HVAC businesses, underpinned by a sharp focus on operational execution. CEO Joakim Weidemanis, in his first earnings call since taking the helm, highlighted broad-based organic sales growth and margin expansion, attributing these gains to improved productivity, streamlined processes, and continued strength in service offerings. Weidemanis noted, “Our record backlog and momentum in our recurring businesses continue to demonstrate broad-based and sustained demand for our differentiated solutions.” The company also reported enhanced working capital management and strong free cash flow, reflecting its ongoing efforts to deliver more predictable and consistent performance.

Looking forward, Johnson Controls’ leadership signaled that the company’s outlook is anchored by its record backlog, ongoing operational improvements, and a shift toward a more customer-centric organizational model. Weidemanis stated, “We are building on a solid foundation, and I believe with more relentless focus on customers across our organization as well as on lean-enabled execution fundamentals, we will be able to drive accelerated value creation.” Management also cautioned that navigating tariffs and global uncertainties remains a challenge, but the company plans to leverage its long-cycle business structure, pricing strategies, and supply chain adjustments to mitigate potential impacts. Strategic priorities now include implementing lean methodologies and reassessing portfolio optimization for higher returns.

Key Insights from Management’s Remarks

Management attributed quarterly growth to robust backlog expansion, operational efficiencies, and a reorganization designed to enhance customer focus and agility.

  • Backlog Expansion: The company reported a 12% increase in its order backlog, reaching $14 billion, driven by strong demand for its YORK HVAC systems and Metasys building automation platform. This provides multi-quarter revenue visibility and underpins management’s confidence in future performance.
  • Operational Efficiencies: Margin improvements were supported by leaner operations, SKU reduction efforts, and an emphasis on waste elimination. Management described initiatives to simplify product offerings and optimize manufacturing and supply chain processes, aiming to unlock further cost savings.
  • Segment Reorganization: Johnson Controls transitioned to three geographically focused reporting segments, supported by global centers of functional excellence. This new structure is intended to foster customer intimacy, accelerate innovation, and clarify roles across the organization.
  • Service and Applied HVAC Growth: The service business continued to post high-single-digit organic growth, with especially strong performance in North America and Asia Pacific. Applied HVAC, which serves large infrastructure projects such as data centers, delivered more than 20% growth, reflecting both volume increases and product differentiation.
  • Tariff and Supply Chain Adaptation: Management acknowledged the challenge posed by new tariffs and outlined mitigation strategies, such as localizing supply chains, accelerating pricing actions, and enforcing contractual protections to minimize financial impact.

Drivers of Future Performance

Management expects future growth to be shaped by lean operational initiatives, robust backlog execution, and proactive responses to external headwinds.

  • Lean Transformation Initiatives: CEO Joakim Weidemanis emphasized the rollout of lean business practices across operations, starting with targeted value streams and SKU rationalization. These efforts are expected to yield further productivity improvements and margin enhancement over time, though management noted the scale and complexity of the organization may delay full impact.
  • Portfolio Optimization and Customer Focus: The company is reassessing its portfolio, including fire and security offerings, for higher returns and strategic alignment. Management is prioritizing customer-centricity and data-driven decision making, with ongoing evaluation of which business areas and geographies offer the best opportunities for value creation.
  • Tariff and Inflation Risk Management: Johnson Controls is actively adjusting its pricing models and contractual terms to address inflation and tariff risks. The company’s long-cycle business model and recurring service contracts provide some stability, but management cautioned that passing through higher costs may temporarily dampen margin expansion.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

In the coming quarters, the StockStory team will be watching (1) the pace and effectiveness of lean transformation efforts across product and field operations, (2) whether backlog conversion and service attachment rates improve under the new organizational structure, and (3) how successfully Johnson Controls mitigates tariff and inflationary pressures through pricing and supply chain strategies. Progress in portfolio optimization and clarity on capital allocation priorities will also be key signposts for future performance.

Johnson Controls currently trades at a forward P/E ratio of 26.7×. Should you double down or take your chips? The answer lies in our full research report (it’s free).

Stocks That Trumped Tariffs

Donald Trump’s victory in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election sent major indices to all-time highs, but stocks have retraced as investors debate the health of the economy and the potential impact of tariffs.

While this leaves much uncertainty around 2025, a few companies are poised for long-term gains regardless of the political or macroeconomic climate, like our Top 5 Growth Stocks for this month. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 183% over the last five years (as of March 31st 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,545% between March 2020 and March 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-small-cap company Comfort Systems (+782% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today.

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