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5 Must-Read Analyst Questions From Sinclair’s Q1 Earnings Call

By: StockStory

SBGI Cover Image

Sinclair’s first quarter results were met with a negative market reaction, as the company reported a year-over-year revenue decline driven by softness in core advertising and ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty. Management cited tariff-related pressures and reduced advertiser visibility as headwinds, particularly in key categories such as automotive. CEO Chris Ripley highlighted that while core advertising trends remained relatively resilient compared to industry peers, distribution revenue growth was slightly offset by lower-than-expected subscriber improvements. The company’s adjusted EBITDA outperformed expectations due to disciplined expense management, but the significant GAAP loss reflected cost pressures and one-time refinancing expenses. As CFO Lucy Rutishauser noted, “We delivered in-line media revenues in our Local Media segment, with core advertising down 4.5% year-over-year, and distribution revenues were slightly below expectations, although they grew year-over-year.”

Is now the time to buy SBGI? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).

Sinclair (SBGI) Q1 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $776 million vs analyst estimates of $774.3 million (2.8% year-on-year decline, in line)
  • EPS (GAAP): -$2.30 vs analyst estimates of -$0.91 (significant miss)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $113 million vs analyst estimates of $101.8 million (14.6% margin, 11% beat)
  • Revenue Guidance for the full year is $797 billion at the midpoint, above analyst estimates of $3.17 billion fix-here1
  • EBITDA guidance for Q2 CY2025 is $99 million at the midpoint, below analyst estimates of $129 million
  • Operating Margin: 1.8%, down from 5.3% in the same quarter last year
  • Market Capitalization: $938.5 million

While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.

Our Top 5 Analyst Questions Sinclair’s Q1 Earnings Call

  • Dan Kurnos (Benchmark) asked about the potential impact of FCC actions to cap network programming fees and direct negotiations with streaming distributors. CEO Chris Ripley explained the FCC does have regulatory authority in these areas and emphasized, “Capping a major expense like that could be very helpful in terms of leveling the playing field.”
  • Dan Kurnos (Benchmark) inquired about the removal of the media expense line item from guidance and advertiser sentiment for the remainder of the year. COO Rob Weisbord stated, “Our visibility is greatly reduced over what it was six to eight weeks ago,” and expressed cautious optimism but limited clarity.
  • Aaron Watts (Deutsche Bank) followed up on trends in auto advertising and whether there was a pre-tariff surge. Weisbord stated there was no noticeable bump and that leasing is becoming more prevalent, but uncertainty remains due to foreign manufacturer supply chain concerns.
  • Steven Cahall (Wells Fargo) pressed on the timeline for deregulation and M&A activity, asking if Sinclair needs to wait for new rules to transact. Ripley said new FCC appointments and rulemaking could proceed quickly but that “the rules as they exist today do actually afford most players...a significant amount of flexibility for M&A.”
  • Benjamin Soff (Deutsche Bank) requested detail on Compulse’s impact and ongoing cost savings. Rutishauser credited company-wide discipline for expense reductions, while Ripley described Compulse as delivering “double-digit growth” and healthy margins, with further scaling planned.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

Looking ahead, our analysts are focused on (1) the pace and impact of FCC regulatory changes, especially regarding ownership rules and retransmission fees; (2) Sinclair’s execution in expanding digital platforms like Compulse and growing its sports content footprint; and (3) the trajectory of core advertising and distribution revenues amid ongoing macroeconomic and tariff uncertainties. The company’s ability to sustain cost discipline and capitalize on M&A opportunities will also be monitored closely.

Sinclair currently trades at $13.51, down from $15.70 just before the earnings. In the wake of this quarter, is it a buy or sell? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).

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