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  • Professor Andrea M. Armani, University of Southern California
  • Ruti Ben-Shlomi, Ph.D., LightSolver
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  • Justin Sigley, Ph.D., AmeriCOM
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  • Professor Stefan Witte, Delft University of Technology

3 Reasons TDY is Risky and 1 Stock to Buy Instead

TDY Cover Image

Teledyne’s 14% return over the past six months has outpaced the S&P 500 by 9.5%, and its stock price has climbed to $540.06 per share. This was partly due to its solid quarterly results, and the performance may have investors wondering how to approach the situation.

Is there a buying opportunity in Teledyne, or does it present a risk to your portfolio? Get the full stock story straight from our expert analysts, it’s free.

Why Is Teledyne Not Exciting?

We’re glad investors have benefited from the price increase, but we don't have much confidence in Teledyne. Here are three reasons why TDY doesn't excite us and a stock we'd rather own.

1. Core Business Falling Behind as Demand Plateaus

Investors interested in Inspection Instruments companies should track organic revenue in addition to reported revenue. This metric gives visibility into Teledyne’s core business because it excludes one-time events such as mergers, acquisitions, and divestitures along with foreign currency fluctuations - non-fundamental factors that can manipulate the income statement.

Over the last two years, Teledyne failed to grow its organic revenue. This performance was underwhelming and implies it may need to improve its products, pricing, or go-to-market strategy. It also suggests Teledyne might have to lean into acquisitions to accelerate growth, which isn’t ideal because M&A can be expensive and risky (integrations often disrupt focus). Teledyne Organic Revenue Growth

2. Recent EPS Growth Below Our Standards

Although long-term earnings trends give us the big picture, we like to analyze EPS over a shorter period to see if we are missing a change in the business.

Teledyne’s EPS grew at an unimpressive 4.5% compounded annual growth rate over the last two years. On the bright side, this performance was higher than its 2.2% annualized revenue growth and tells us the company became more profitable on a per-share basis as it expanded.

Teledyne Trailing 12-Month EPS (Non-GAAP)

3. Previous Growth Initiatives Haven’t Impressed

Growth gives us insight into a company’s long-term potential, but how capital-efficient was that growth? A company’s ROIC explains this by showing how much operating profit it makes compared to the money it has raised (debt and equity).

Teledyne historically did a mediocre job investing in profitable growth initiatives. Its five-year average ROIC was 7.7%, somewhat low compared to the best industrials companies that consistently pump out 20%+.

Teledyne Trailing 12-Month Return On Invested Capital

Final Judgment

Teledyne isn’t a terrible business, but it doesn’t pass our quality test. With its shares outperforming the market lately, the stock trades at 24.3× forward P/E (or $540.06 per share). This valuation tells us a lot of optimism is priced in - we think other companies feature superior fundamentals at the moment. We’d recommend looking at a top digital advertising platform riding the creator economy.

Stocks We Like More Than Teledyne

Market indices reached historic highs following Donald Trump’s presidential victory in November 2024, but the outlook for 2025 is clouded by new trade policies that could impact business confidence and growth.

While this has caused many investors to adopt a "fearful" wait-and-see approach, we’re leaning into our best ideas that can grow regardless of the political or macroeconomic climate. Take advantage of Mr. Market by checking out our Top 9 Market-Beating Stocks. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 183% over the last five years (as of March 31st 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,545% between March 2020 and March 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-small-cap company Exlservice (+354% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today.

StockStory is growing and hiring equity analyst and marketing roles. Are you a 0 to 1 builder passionate about the markets and AI? See the open roles here.

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